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New horizons alternative Asian markets – From OPPortUNITY to CONNECtivitY

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There is a non-linear relationship between incomes and<br />

protein and fat consumption, as shown in the charts<br />

below. This highlights that it is worth looking not only<br />

at the level of incomes, but also the growth, when<br />

considering export opportunities for <strong>New</strong> Zealand.<br />

Protein and fat consumption across Asia<br />

Note that the curve was estimated from all countries while<br />

just 29 countries analysed are plotted.<br />

AVERAGE FAT CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY<br />

160<br />

140<br />

120<br />

SOURCES OF CALORIE CONSUMPTION<br />

Least developed countries<br />

Developing countries<br />

Developed countries<br />

Other<br />

animal<br />

products**<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

Cereals<br />

Fruit<br />

g/person/day<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

0 25,000 50,000 75,000<br />

Income per capita (USD)<br />

Source: ANZ, World Bank, FAO<br />

AVERAGE PROTEIN CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY<br />

140<br />

130<br />

120<br />

g/person/day<br />

110<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

0 25,000 50,000 75,000<br />

Income per capita (USD)<br />

Source: ANZ, World Bank, FAO<br />

5. Cereal import dependency ratio. We struggled <strong>to</strong> find<br />

a reliable indica<strong>to</strong>r for <strong>to</strong>tal food import dependency,<br />

but decided this would be a reasonable proxy. This<br />

indica<strong>to</strong>r highlights the willingness <strong>to</strong> trade in base<br />

soft commodities, but also the shortfall/limitations in<br />

domestic food production <strong>to</strong> meet <strong>to</strong>tal demand.<br />

6. Natural capital per capita. This highlights domestic<br />

production potential within a country and potential<br />

shortfall/limitations in domestic food production.<br />

ARABLE LAND RESOURCES BY REGION AND<br />

COUNTRY<br />

Land (ha) / capita<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

Meat<br />

Calorie intake by food type<br />

Kcalories (Kcal) per person per day<br />

Source: ANZ<br />

Sugars and alcohol<br />

Vegetables*<br />

0<br />

4. Share of dietary energy derived from cereals, roots and<br />

tubers. Usually an (inverse) indica<strong>to</strong>r of westernised diets<br />

and the development stage of a food market. As the<br />

chart below shows, the four indica<strong>to</strong>rs above highlight<br />

not only alignment with what <strong>New</strong> Zealand produces,<br />

but more broadly westernised/developed country diets.<br />

Middle East &<br />

North Africa<br />

East Asia &<br />

Pacific<br />

Source: ANZ, World Bank<br />

Euro area<br />

World<br />

Australia<br />

<strong>New</strong> Zealand<br />

Thailand<br />

China<br />

Indonesia<br />

India<br />

Page 13

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