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Contents ii 4 Working Group on Interpretation and Applications 129 The COSMO-LEPS Suite at ECMWF: Present Status and Developments A. Montani, C. Marsigli, T. Paccagnella . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129 Verification of the COSMO-LEPS new Suite in Terms of Precipitation Distribution A. Montani, C. Marsigli, T. Paccagnella . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134 COSMO-LEPS Forecasts for the August 2005 Floods in Switzerland A. Walser . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 142 Use of Multimodel Super Ensemble Technique for Complex Orography Weather Forecast M. Milelli, D. Cane . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 146 Interpretation of the New High Resolution Model LMK H. Hoffmann, V. Renner, S. Theis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152 Simple Kalman Filter – A ”Smoking Gun” of Shortages of Models A. Mazur . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158 5 Working Group on Verification and Case Studies 162 Verification of aLMo in the Year 2005 M. Arpagaus, P. Kaufmann, G. de Morsier, D. Ruffieux, F. Schubiger, A. Walser, E. Zala . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165 Verifiation of aLMo Precipitation using a Coupled Hydro-Meteorological Modeling Approach for the Alpine Tributaries of the Rhine M. Verbunt, J. Gurtz, M. Zappa, P. Kaufmann . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 172 First Results on Verification of LMK Test Runs Basing on SYNOP Data C.-J. Lenz, U. Damrath . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175 Latest Results in the Precipitation Verification over Northern Italy E. Oberto, M. Turco, P. Bertolotto . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 180 Verification of LAMI at SYNOP Stations P. Emiliani, A. Raspanti . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 185 Precipitation Verification (Overestimation): A Common View of the Behaviour of the LM, aLMo and LAMI F. Schubiger, P. Kaufmann, U. Damrath, E. Oberto . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 192 Verification of COSMO-LM in Poland K. Starosta, J. Linkowska, A. Mazur . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 201 6 Working Group on Implementation and Reference Version 210 The new Lokal-Modell LME of the German Weather Service J.-P. Schulz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 210 7 External Contributions 213 Flow Across the Antarctic Plateau U. Wacker, H. Ries, U. Schättler . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 213 An Objective Quality Measure based on a Pattern Recognition Technique to validate Regional Ensemble Forecasts C. Keil, G. Craig . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 220 COSMO Newsletter No. 6
Contents iii CLM – The Climate Version of LM: Brief Description and Long-Term Applications U. Böhm, M. Kücken, W. Ahrens, A. Block, D. Hauffe, K. Keuler B. Rockel, A. Will . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225 The Effect of Ice-Phase Microphysics on Tropical Cyclones simulated by the Lokal Modell T. Frisius, T. Hasselbeck, F. Herbert . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 236 Application of the LM to Investigate the Sharpness of the Extratropical Tropopause T. Szabó, V. Wirth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 242 Numerical Simulations of the Elbe Flood Case: Sensitivity to Initial and Boundary Data G. Zängl, G. Hartjenstein, G. Doms, H. Frank, U. Schättler . . . . . . . . . . 246 Appendix C: List of COSMO Newsletters and Technical Reports 257 COSMO Newsletter No. 6
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