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Solutions to Homework Set No. 4 – Probability Theory (235A), Fall ...

Solutions to Homework Set No. 4 – Probability Theory (235A), Fall ...

Solutions to Homework Set No. 4 – Probability Theory (235A), Fall ...

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passing through the point (x0, ϕ(x0)) whose slope lies between these two numbers). <strong>No</strong>w<br />

take the supporting line function at x0 = EX and see what happens.<br />

Solution. If you can show that ϕ has a supporting line y(x) = ax + b, it is easy <strong>to</strong><br />

prove the inequality. As mentioned in Hint, put x0 = EX, and then<br />

ϕ(X) ≥ y(X) = aX + b, which implies E(ϕ(X)) ≥ aEX + b = y(EX) = ϕ(EX).<br />

Existence of supporting line<br />

Choose and fix z ∈ R in (1). Then from (1),<br />

where A := infw≥z (ϕ(w)−ϕ(z))<br />

(w−z)<br />

where B := sup w≤z<br />

(ϕ(z)−ϕ(w))<br />

(z−w)<br />

ϕ(x) ≥ ϕ(z) + A(x − z) for any x ≤ z<br />

that depends only on z. Similarly,<br />

ϕ(y) ≥ ϕ(z) + B(y − z) for any y ≥ z<br />

that depends only on z. By defining α = (A + B)/2, we have<br />

ϕ(x) ≥ ϕ(z) + α(x − z) := L(x) for any x ∈ R<br />

because A ≤ B. So, for each fixed z, L(x) is a linear function, and ϕ(z) = L(z) and<br />

ϕ(x) ≥ L(x) for all x.<br />

2. If X is a random variable satisfying a ≤ X ≤ b, prove that<br />

and identify when equality holds.<br />

V(X) ≤<br />

(b − a)2<br />

, (2)<br />

4<br />

Solution. Suppose that a = b. Since (X − E(X)) 2 is a quadratic function of X, the line<br />

intersecting (a, (a − E(X)) 2 ) and (b, (b − E(X)) 2 ) is above the (X − E(X)) 2 for a ≤ X ≤ b.<br />

That is,<br />

(X − E(X)) 2 ≤ (b − EX)2 − (a − EX) 2<br />

(X − a) + (a − EX)<br />

b − a<br />

2<br />

2

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