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IJSP-2010(3-4) - Indian Association For Social Psychiatry

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Multidimensional Assessment of Psychotic Prodrome (MAPP)<br />

(Yung & McGorry,1996).<br />

Duration of the schizophrenia prodrome<br />

Virtually all patients experience a prodromal phase, which<br />

varies in duration from a very brief period to several years.<br />

Varsamis and Adamson (1971) found a tendency for the<br />

duration of the prodromal phase to be bimodal in distribution:<br />

<strong>For</strong> some patients it was less than 1 year and for others more<br />

than 4 years. Beiser et al (1993) reported that the prodromal<br />

period was highly variable in length, from none at all to 20<br />

years duration. Loebel et al (1992) found that the time interval<br />

from the onset of prodromal symptoms to the onset of psychotic<br />

symptoms lasts a mean of 98.5 weeks. This time interval was<br />

not significantly different for the schizophrenia and<br />

schizoaffective subjects, and there was no significant gender<br />

difference.<br />

Progression to schizophrenia<br />

Conversion rates depend not only on the inclusion criteria but<br />

also on the population sampled and the treatments applied.<br />

Although conversion to psychosis is considered to be the main<br />

criterion, transitions to other severe mental disorders are also<br />

common but receive less attention. Conversion rates to<br />

psychosis vary across various studies even though the<br />

samples were recruited through comparable criteria. The most<br />

widely used criteria for inclusion for pharmacological pre onset<br />

prevention programmes, the Australian Criteria (Yung et al,<br />

1998), predict conversion to psychosis with approximately 50<br />

percent probability within 1 year under naturalistic treatment<br />

conditions, as shown in the table 3.<br />

Table 3<br />

Neurodevelopmental issues<br />

Siddiqui et al<br />

Pantelis et al (2003) reported striking baseline differences in<br />

regional gray matter volume between those who subsequently<br />

developed a psychotic illness and those who did not;<br />

specifically, those who developed psychosis had less gray<br />

matter in the right medial temporal, lateral temporal inferior<br />

frontal cortex and in the cingulate cortex bilaterally. In the<br />

longitudinal comparison, when rescanned, individuals who<br />

had developed psychosis showed a reduction in gray matter<br />

in the left parahippocampal, fusiform, orbitofrontal cerebellar<br />

cortices and the cingulate gyri, whereas longitudinal changes<br />

were restricted to the cerebellum in those who did not become<br />

psychotic. Such a progressive developmental pathophysiology<br />

of the illness during adolescence may result from several<br />

factors working singly or in combination.<br />

First, genetic factors may predispose to an excess synaptic<br />

elimination, increased neuronal apoptosis, decreased cell<br />

somal size, or a combination of these processes during<br />

adolescence. Such changes might result from altered<br />

expression of genes that are critical for neurodevelopmental<br />

processes such as glutamatergic NMDA receptor expression<br />

(Olney & Farber, 1995), brain-derived neurotrophic factor levels<br />

(Nawa et al, 2000), or altered dynamics of dopaminergic and<br />

GABAergic neurotrans-mitter systems .<br />

Second, hormonal changes, especially of the reproductive<br />

steroids, could modulate brain maturational processes such<br />

as synaptic pruning and/or myelination (Amateau & McCarthy,<br />

2002). This possibility is supported by observations that agerelated<br />

gray matter volume reductions during adolescence in<br />

Study Inclusion criteria Conversion rate<br />

Yung & McGorry, 1996 1) Psychosocial decline with positive family,<br />

or 2) two DSM-III-R prodromal symptoms,<br />

or 3) schizotypal or schizoid personality<br />

21% in 20 months<br />

Yung et al, 1998 1) BLIPS, 41% in 12 months,<br />

or 2) subthreshold psychiatric symptoms,<br />

or 3) psychosocial decline with positive family history<br />

50% in 24 months<br />

Cornblatt & Malhotra, 2001 Identical with Yung et al, 1998 14% after 6 months<br />

McGlashan et al, 2001 Identical with Yung et al, 1998 54% in 12 months<br />

Klosterkotter et al,2001 Two cognitive "basic symptoms" in subjects with mental state at risk 59% in 6-9 years, 97% with variable length<br />

of state at risk follow-up period (mean 9.6 yrs)<br />

© <strong>2010</strong> <strong>Indian</strong> <strong>Association</strong> for <strong>Social</strong> <strong>Psychiatry</strong> 105

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