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In Search of an Enforceable Medical Malpractice Exculpatory

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866 NEW YORK UNIVERSITY LAW REVIEW [Vol. 84:850<br />

A hypothetical c<strong>an</strong> help illustrate the unavoidable signaling<br />

effect: If a healthcare provider <strong>of</strong>fers <strong>an</strong> exculpatory agreement along<br />

with a fee reduction <strong>of</strong> $200 <strong>an</strong>d the patient rejects it, the doctor then<br />

knows that the patient values her right to sue for malpractice at<br />

greater th<strong>an</strong> $200. A perfectly rational patient calculates the expected<br />

value <strong>of</strong> malpractice availability by multiplying her estimated<br />

probability <strong>of</strong> recovery by her estimated recovery amount; her rejection<br />

<strong>of</strong> the fee decrease shows that the product <strong>of</strong> these two estimates<br />

is more th<strong>an</strong> $200. Thus, the patient thinks there is a signific<strong>an</strong>t<br />

ch<strong>an</strong>ce that her provider will negligently cause her signific<strong>an</strong>t harm,<br />

<strong>an</strong>d that she would successfully seek compensation for such harm. 67<br />

This signaling effect is complicated—but not eliminated or necessarily<br />

diminished—by risk-averse patients 68 <strong>an</strong>d the availability <strong>of</strong><br />

insur<strong>an</strong>ce. 69<br />

r<strong>an</strong>ty pricing). Moreover, confidential contracting will not cure the inefficiencies <strong>of</strong> contracting<br />

arising from the fact that malpractice liability c<strong>an</strong> be a collective good. See Arlen,<br />

supra note 4, at 247 (“Patients may benefit less from contractual liability th<strong>an</strong> from tort<br />

liability because patients governed by malpractice liability do not benefit simply from liability<br />

imposed for their own injuries.”). For more on the efficiency implications <strong>of</strong> the<br />

argument in this Note, see infra note 79 <strong>an</strong>d accomp<strong>an</strong>ying text.<br />

67 Pricing the right to malpractice is a difficult task. For one approach to the application<br />

<strong>of</strong> option pricing theory to legal rights, see generally IAN AYRES, OPTIONAL LAW:<br />

THE STRUCTURE OF LEGAL ENTITLEMENTS (2005).<br />

68 Risk-averse patients are those patients who would prefer a 100% ch<strong>an</strong>ce <strong>of</strong> losing<br />

$100 to a 10% ch<strong>an</strong>ce <strong>of</strong> losing $1000. See, e.g., STEVEN SHAVELL, FOUNDATIONS OF ECO-<br />

NOMIC ANALYSIS OF LAW 258–69 (2004) (discussing risk aversion <strong>an</strong>d accident costs). Risk<br />

aversion would simply affect the hypothetical in the form <strong>of</strong> a multiplier on the expected<br />

award received through litigation (thus, rather th<strong>an</strong> weigh the reduced price against the full<br />

benefits <strong>of</strong> a tort award, the patient would weigh the reduced price against some fraction <strong>of</strong><br />

the benefits <strong>of</strong> a tort award). This would not ch<strong>an</strong>ge the fact that the patient must both<br />

foresee a signific<strong>an</strong>t ch<strong>an</strong>ce <strong>of</strong> harm <strong>an</strong>d be willing to litigate in order for the expected<br />

award to be relev<strong>an</strong>t to her signing decision.<br />

69 The dynamics <strong>of</strong> the choice to sign a medical malpractice exculpatory agreement for<br />

<strong>an</strong> insured patient are slightly different th<strong>an</strong> for <strong>an</strong> uninsured patient—the insured patient<br />

has both more <strong>an</strong>d less incentive to sign the agreement. An insured patient has more<br />

incentive to sign because she would not be able to collect that portion <strong>of</strong> the tort award<br />

that went to medical treatment even if she retained the malpractice right—insur<strong>an</strong>ce comp<strong>an</strong>ies<br />

usually claim a subrogation interest equal to the amount they have paid as a result<br />

<strong>of</strong> the plaintiff’s harm. See generally Kenneth S. Reinker & David Rosenberg, Unlimited<br />

Subrogation: Improving <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Malpractice</strong> Liability by Allowing <strong>In</strong>surers To Take<br />

Charge, 36 J. LEGAL STUD. 261 (2007) (discussing subrogation). However, <strong>an</strong> insured<br />

patient has less incentive to sign because if the insur<strong>an</strong>ce comp<strong>an</strong>y pays a large percentage<br />

<strong>of</strong> the medical fee, it would see most <strong>of</strong> the resulting savings. Although a full <strong>an</strong>alysis <strong>of</strong><br />

the pricing dynamics under insur<strong>an</strong>ce is beyond the scope <strong>of</strong> this Note, it should be noted<br />

that insur<strong>an</strong>ce alters—but does not eliminate—the patient’s cost-benefit calculus. Accordingly,<br />

the signaling effect remains. <strong>In</strong>sured doctors retain <strong>an</strong> incentive to <strong>of</strong>fer exculpatory<br />

agreements because claims against doctors lead to higher insur<strong>an</strong>ce premiums. Thomas H.<br />

Gallagher & Wendy Levinson, Disclosing Harmful <strong>Medical</strong> Errors to Patients: A Time for<br />

Pr<strong>of</strong>essional Action, 165 ARCHIVES INTERNAL MED. 1819, 1819 (2005). <strong>In</strong>sur<strong>an</strong>ce comp<strong>an</strong>ies<br />

may even request that doctors <strong>of</strong>fer such agreements. Finally, for the forty-seven mil-

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