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Market News Service - International Trade Centre

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<strong>Market</strong> Conditions<br />

EU <strong>Market</strong>s<br />

The market has not been badly disturbed by<br />

the political upheavals in North Africa,<br />

although prolonged problems in Egypt would<br />

have had a serious impact given the range of<br />

products for which it is an important origin.<br />

Provided the situation there remains basically<br />

stable – in terms of the day-to-day economy<br />

functioning – there should not be any major<br />

impact on product prices. Tunisia is a<br />

commercial producer of a narrow range of<br />

essential oils (neroli, rosemary) but it is not a<br />

dominant origin, so the continuing disruption<br />

there should not affect the market unduly.<br />

Libya and Syria do not have significant<br />

essential oil production, and Morocco, the<br />

other major producer in North Africa, has not<br />

been involved in the turmoil.<br />

Prices of almost all essential oils remain firm,<br />

driven by 2 basic factors:<br />

The flavours and fragrances market<br />

continues to grow, and<br />

US <strong>Market</strong><br />

According to a Malagasy producer, there was<br />

explosion of geranium and ravintsara demand<br />

in the first quarter of the year which continues<br />

to grow. Geranium oil is being sold at 200 euro<br />

FOB now. They have also noticed the rise in<br />

demand of the vegetable oil of calophyllum<br />

inophyllum(also called forah in Madagascar).<br />

In Guatemala the harvesting season of<br />

cardamom has finished. The total production<br />

expected from Sept-2010 till August-2011<br />

seems to be 10-15% more in comparison with<br />

last season. Prices are at high levels, which<br />

are reported to likely stay at the same levels<br />

until next season which starts in October.<br />

During recent years the weather conditions<br />

have been the most important condition<br />

regarding production volumes in Guatemala.<br />

US importers of essential oils are reporting<br />

strong demands for American peppermint oil,<br />

resulting in firm prices, which may potentially<br />

increase in the next few months. Spearmint oil<br />

is also reported to have firm pricing. Indian<br />

suppliers continue to explain the lack of<br />

<strong>Market</strong> <strong>News</strong> <strong>Service</strong><br />

Essential Oil and Oleoresins<br />

Updates<br />

Fuel costs, which represent a major part<br />

of the costs of the production of all<br />

products, are very high and likely to<br />

remain so.<br />

An additional factor is the range of crop<br />

options that farmers have these days,<br />

particularly short term fresh food crops. This<br />

has resulted in farmers being able to turn<br />

away from ‗traditional‘ crops when prices are<br />

poor. They are no longer tied in to production<br />

of a particular crop but have a broad range of<br />

options to choose from. The consequence of<br />

this is that many have permanently<br />

abandoned the traditional cultivation of<br />

essential oils, while others might possibly drop<br />

the crop when returns are poor and<br />

alternatives offer better returns. These<br />

changes are driving the industry towards<br />

‗sustainable‘ pricing as a necessary strategy to<br />

avoid the continuing uncertainty over supply<br />

and price spikes from shortages.<br />

supplies and high prices of essential oils from<br />

India due to adverse weather conditions,<br />

inflation, and the strengthening of the Indian<br />

currency against the US dollar. Likewise, in<br />

Indonesia, shippers are reporting that even<br />

though it was still rainy (in February when this<br />

was reported), the situation has improved with<br />

both prices and with available stock, possibly<br />

due to anticipation of the end of the rainy<br />

season.<br />

The recent flooding in Australia has reportedly<br />

impacted the tea tree oil distillation this year,<br />

with estimates that the 2011 production may<br />

be 30% less than last year. Increases in the<br />

currently quoted prices (approx. US$40/kg) for<br />

tea tree oil are foreseen.<br />

In Paraguay the Petitgrain distillation season<br />

which should have begun by now, but has<br />

been delayed by about two months; therefore,<br />

production is limited and producers are now<br />

busy with other products. Oil Guaiacwood has<br />

been taken off the CITES list early this year,<br />

and therefore is being exported once again.<br />

5

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