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Multifractality of US Dollar/Deutsche Mark Exchange Rates - Studies2

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intuition turns out to be correct, but misses a great deal <strong>of</strong> information. Mandelbrot (1989) shows<br />

that an alternative renormalization is more informative. CFM neatly categorizes this interpretation<br />

with two other common interpretations for f(α):<br />

(D1) the limit <strong>of</strong> a renormalized histogram <strong>of</strong> coarse Hölder exponents,<br />

(D2) the fractal dimension <strong>of</strong> the set <strong>of</strong> instants with Hölder exponent α,<br />

(D3) the limit <strong>of</strong> k −1 log b P {αk >α} + 1 provided by Large Deviation Theory.<br />

The second interpretation is a statement about fractal dimension, or Hausdorff-Besicovitch<br />

dimension. In a partition <strong>of</strong> size △t, the number <strong>of</strong> intervals characterized by α takes the form<br />

Nα(△t) ∼ (△t) −f(α) .<br />

This form justifies calling f(α) a fractal dimension. 18 On the real line, fractal dimensions are<br />

constrained to lie between zero and one. Fractal dimension and (unit renormalized) Lebesgue<br />

measure coincide when both are either zero or one. On the other hand, all sets with positive<br />

Lebesgue measure have a fractal dimension <strong>of</strong> one, and all sets with fractal dimension less than one<br />

have zero Lebesgue measure. Thus, fractal dimension provides more information about some types<br />

<strong>of</strong> sets. Standard continuous-time financial models have components with fractal dimension <strong>of</strong> one,<br />

which applies to typical Itô diffusions, or zero, which applies to jump components. Thus, fractal<br />

sets fill space in a manner that is midway between the standard cases <strong>of</strong> continuous time finance.<br />

Definition (D3) is a statement about applying Large Deviation Theory (“LDT”) to multifractals<br />

generated via multiplicative cascades. In the case <strong>of</strong> multifractals, the LDT provides far more<br />

information about the generating mechanism than do the Strong Law <strong>of</strong> Large Numbers or Central<br />

Limit Theorem.<br />

These three definitions coincide when f(α) > 0, but clearly (D1) precludes negative values <strong>of</strong><br />

f(α). 19 Negative fractal dimensions are known as latent α’s, deriving from the fact that sets <strong>of</strong><br />

18 Note that the quantity − log Nα(△t)/ log(△t), which is f(α), does not depend on △t.<br />

19 Definition (D2) is compatible with negative values for f(α) since Mandelbrot (1988, 1995) introduced the concept<br />

<strong>of</strong> negative dimension as “degreee <strong>of</strong> emptiness <strong>of</strong> an empty set.” The idea is troubling at first, but has an interesting<br />

probabilistic justification related to the embedding <strong>of</strong> a process or measure in a higher-dimensional space. For<br />

example, in a one dimensional section drawn from a three dimensional space populated by stellar matter, the fractal<br />

dimension <strong>of</strong> stellar matter is negative. An individual draw almost always has no matter, but by the generation <strong>of</strong><br />

numerous low-dimensional sections, called supersampling, one obtains information about the (positive) dimension <strong>of</strong><br />

stellar matter in the embedding space.<br />

14

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