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1 CHAPTER 3 LEARNING OBJECTIVES Sct 3.1 Calculations for ...

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ENGINEERING ECONOMY, Sixth Edition<br />

M c<br />

Graw<br />

Hill<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

by Blank and Tarquin<br />

<strong>CHAPTER</strong> 3<br />

COMBINING FACTORS<br />

3-1<br />

3-3<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

<strong>Sct</strong> <strong>3.1</strong> <strong>Calculations</strong> <strong>for</strong> Uni<strong>for</strong>m<br />

Series that are Shifted<br />

For a shifted series the present worth point<br />

in time is NOT t = 0.<br />

It is shifted either to the left of “0” or to the<br />

right of “0”.<br />

Remember, when dealing with a uni<strong>for</strong>m<br />

series:<br />

The PW point is always one period to the left of the<br />

first series value, no matter where the series falls<br />

on the time line.<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

Example of Shifted Series P and F<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />

P0<br />

P 2<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

A = $-500/year<br />

• F <strong>for</strong> this series is at t = 6; F 6 = A(F/A,i%,4)<br />

• P 0 <strong>for</strong> this series at t = 0 is<br />

P 0 = -500(P/A,i%,4)(P/F,i%,2)<br />

3-5<br />

F 6<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

<strong>LEARNING</strong> <strong>OBJECTIVES</strong><br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

Consider:<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

1. Dealing with<br />

shifted series<br />

2. Shifted series<br />

and single<br />

amounts<br />

3. Shifted<br />

gradients<br />

4. Decreasing<br />

gradients<br />

5. Spreadsheet<br />

applications<br />

3-2<br />

Shifted Uni<strong>for</strong>m Series<br />

3-4<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />

P 0<br />

P 2<br />

A = $-500/year<br />

P of this series is at t = 2 (P 2 ) or F 2<br />

P 2 = -500(P/A,i%,4) or could refer to as F 2<br />

P 0 = P 2 (P/F,i%,2) or could be F 2 (P/F,i%,2)<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

3-6<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

<strong>Sct</strong> 3.2 <strong>Calculations</strong> Involving<br />

Uni<strong>for</strong>m-Series Uni<strong>for</strong>m Series and Randomly-Placed<br />

Randomly Placed<br />

Single Amounts<br />

Draw and correctly label the cash flow diagram that<br />

defines the problem<br />

Locate the present and future worth points <strong>for</strong> each<br />

series<br />

Write the time value of money equivalence<br />

relationships<br />

Substitute the correct factor values and solve<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

1


Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

Series with additional<br />

single cash flows<br />

It is common to find cash flows that are combinations of<br />

series and single, randomly-placed cash flows<br />

For present worth, P<br />

Solve <strong>for</strong> the series present worth values then move to t = 0<br />

Then solve <strong>for</strong> the P at t = 0 <strong>for</strong> the single cash flows using the<br />

P/F factor <strong>for</strong> each cash flow<br />

Add the equivalent P values at t = 0<br />

For future worth, F<br />

Convert all cash flows to an equivalent F using the F/A and F/P<br />

factors in year t = n<br />

Add the equivalent F values at t = n<br />

3-7<br />

3.2 The PW Points are:<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

A = $500<br />

1 2 3<br />

F 4 = $300<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />

i = 10%<br />

F 5 = -$400<br />

t = 1 is the PW point <strong>for</strong> the $500 annuity;<br />

“n” = 3<br />

3-9<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

3.2 Write the Equivalence<br />

Statement<br />

P = $500(P/A,10%,3)(P/F,10%,2)<br />

+<br />

$300(P/F,10%,4)<br />

-<br />

400(P/F,10%,5)<br />

Substituting the factor values into the<br />

equivalence expression and solving….<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

3-11<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

3.2 Series with Other cash flows<br />

♦ Consider:<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

A = $500<br />

i = 10%<br />

F 4 = $300<br />

F 5 = -$400<br />

•Find the PW at t = 0 <strong>for</strong> this cash flow<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

3-8<br />

3-10<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

3.2 The PW Points are:<br />

Back 4 periods<br />

A = $500<br />

1 2 3<br />

F 4 = $300<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />

i = 10%<br />

Back 5 Periods<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

F 5 = -$400<br />

t = 1 is the PW point <strong>for</strong> the two other<br />

single cash flows<br />

3-12<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

3.2 Substitute the factors and<br />

solve<br />

P = $500( 2.4869 )( 0.8264 )<br />

+<br />

$300( 0.6830 )<br />

-<br />

400( 0.6209 )<br />

=<br />

$984.12<br />

$1,027.58<br />

$204.90<br />

$248.36<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

2


<strong>Sct</strong> 3.3 Calculation <strong>for</strong> Shifted<br />

Gradients<br />

The Present Worth of an arithmetic gradient<br />

(linear gradient) is always located:<br />

One period to the left of the first cash flow<br />

in the series ( “0” gradient cash flow) or,<br />

Two periods to the left of the “1G” cash<br />

flow<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

3-13<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

Example of a Conventional Gradient<br />

♦ Consider:<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

Gradient Series<br />

……..Base Series ……..<br />

0 1 2 … n-1 n<br />

This represents a conventional gradient<br />

The present worth point is t = 0<br />

3-15<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

Shifted Gradient: Numerical Example<br />

0<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

3-17<br />

G = $+100<br />

Base Series = $500<br />

1 2 3 4 ……….. ……….. 9 10<br />

Cash flows start at t = 3<br />

$500/year increasing by $100/year through<br />

year 10; i = 10%; Find P at t = 0<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

A Shifted Gradient<br />

has its present value<br />

point removed from<br />

time t = 0<br />

A Conventional<br />

Gradient has its<br />

present worth point at<br />

t = 0<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

Shifted Gradient<br />

3-14<br />

3-16<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

Example of a Shifted Gradient<br />

Gradient Series<br />

……..Base Series ……..<br />

0 1 2 … n-1 n<br />

The present worth point <strong>for</strong> the<br />

base series and the gradient is<br />

here!<br />

This represents a shifted gradient<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

Shifted Gradient: Numerical Example<br />

PW of the base series<br />

P 0<br />

0<br />

P 2<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

n series = 8 time periods<br />

Base Series = $500<br />

1 2 3 4 ……….. ……….. 9 10<br />

P 2 = 500(P/A,10%,8) = 500(5.3349) = $2667.45<br />

P 0 = 2667.45(P/F,10%,2) = 2667.45(0.8264)<br />

= $2204.38<br />

3-18<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

3


Shifted Gradient: Numerical Example<br />

P 0<br />

0<br />

P 2<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

PW <strong>for</strong> the gradient component<br />

1 2 3 4 ……….. ……….. 9 10<br />

3-19<br />

G = +$100<br />

P 2 = $100(P/G,10%,8) = $100(16.0287) = $1,602.87<br />

P 0 = $1,602.87(P/F,10%,2) = $1,602.87(0.8264)<br />

= $1,324.61<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

To Find A <strong>for</strong> a Shifted Gradient<br />

1) Find the present worth of the gradient<br />

at actual time 0<br />

2) Then apply the (A/P,i,n) factor to<br />

convert the present worth to an<br />

equivalent annuity (series)<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

3-21<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

Shifted Geometric Gradient<br />

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Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

Shifted Geometric Gradient<br />

A 1<br />

0 1 2 3 … … … n<br />

Present worth point is at t = 2 <strong>for</strong> this example<br />

3-23<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

Example: Total Present Worth Value<br />

For the base series<br />

P 0 = $2204.38<br />

For the arithmetic gradient<br />

P 0 = $1,324.61<br />

Total present worth<br />

P = $2204.38 + $1,324.61 = $3528.99<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

3-20<br />

3-22<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

Shifted Geometric Gradient<br />

A 1<br />

Conventional Geometric Gradient<br />

0 1 2 3 … … … n<br />

Present worth point is at t = 0 <strong>for</strong> a conventional<br />

geometric gradient<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

Shifted Geometric Gradient Example<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />

A = $700/year<br />

A 1 = $400 in year t = 5<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

i = 10%/year<br />

3-24<br />

12% increase/year<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

4


Geometric Gradient Example<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />

A = $700/year<br />

PW point <strong>for</strong> the A<br />

series is t = 0<br />

PW point <strong>for</strong> the<br />

gradient is t = 4<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

i = 10%/year<br />

3-25<br />

12% increase/year<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

3.3 The Annuity Present Worth<br />

♦ PW of the Annuity<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />

A = $700/yr<br />

P 0 = $700(P/A,10%,4)<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

i = 10%/year<br />

= $700( <strong>3.1</strong>699 ) = $2,218.94<br />

3-27<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

<strong>Sct</strong> 3.4 Shifted Decreasing Arithmetic<br />

Gradients<br />

Given the following shifted, decreasing gradient<br />

i = 10%/year<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

F 3 = $1,000; G = $-100<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />

Find the present worth at t = 0<br />

3-29<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

3.3 The Gradient Amounts<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

t Base Amt<br />

51<br />

$400.00<br />

62<br />

$448.00<br />

73<br />

$501.76<br />

8<br />

4 $561.97<br />

Present Worth of the Gradient at t = 4<br />

3.73674<br />

P4 = $400{ P/A1 ,12%,10%,4 } = $ 1,494.70<br />

P 0 = $1,494.70( P/F,10%,4) = $1,494.70( 0. 6830 )<br />

P 0 = $1,020,88<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

3-26<br />

3-28<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

3.3 Total Present Worth<br />

♦ Geometric Gradient @ t =<br />

♦ P 0 = $1,020,88<br />

♦ Annuity<br />

♦ P 0 = $2,218.94<br />

♦ Total Present Worth”<br />

♦ $1,020.88 + $2,218.94<br />

♦ = $3,239.82<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

PW <strong>for</strong> Shifted Decreasing Gradient<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

First, find PW at t = 2<br />

F 3 = $1,000; G = -$100<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />

PW point at t = 2<br />

3-30<br />

i = 10%/year<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

5


Shifted Decreasing Gradient Example<br />

i = 10%/year<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />

P 0 here<br />

P 2<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

Second, find the PW at t = 0<br />

F 3 = $1,000; G = $-100<br />

The gradient amount is subtracted from the base<br />

amount<br />

3-31<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

3.4 Time Periods Involved<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />

P 0 here<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6th Edition, 2005<br />

F 3 = $1,000; G=-$100<br />

1 2 3 4 5<br />

P 2 or, F 2 : Take back to t = 0<br />

Dealing with n = 5.<br />

3-33<br />

Summary<br />

i = 10%/year<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

Chapter summarizes cash flow<br />

patterns that are shifted away from time<br />

t = 0<br />

Illustrations of using multiple factors<br />

to per<strong>for</strong>m PW or FW analysis <strong>for</strong><br />

shifted cash flows<br />

Illustrations of shifted arithmetic and<br />

geometric gradients<br />

Illustrations of the power of Excel<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

financial functions3-35<br />

Shifted Decreasing Gradient Example<br />

i = 10%/year<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />

P 0 here<br />

P 2<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

F 3 = $1,000; G = -$100<br />

Base amount = $1,000<br />

3-32<br />

3-34<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

3.4 Time Periods Involved<br />

F 3 = $1,000; G=-$100<br />

$1,000<br />

G = -$100/yr<br />

1 2 3 4 5<br />

i = 10%/year<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />

P 2 = $1,000( P/A,10%,5 ) – 100( P/G,10%.5 )<br />

P 2 = $1,000( 3.7908 ) - $100( 6.8618 ) = $3,104.62<br />

P 0 = $3,104.62( P/F,10%,2 ) = $3104.62( 0 .8264 ) = $2,565.65<br />

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering<br />

Economy, 6 th Edition, 2005<br />

<strong>CHAPTER</strong> 3<br />

<strong>CHAPTER</strong> 3<br />

End of Slide Set<br />

3-36<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

© 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved<br />

6

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