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OPPORTUNITIES IN THE FOOD<br />

MARKETS OF<br />

TURKEY<br />

For fur<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>formation about this report contact:<br />

Dennis Pervis, Senior Market<strong>in</strong>g and Trade Officer<br />

Agriculture and Agri-<strong>Food</strong> Canada<br />

<strong>Markets</strong> and Trade Team<br />

#420 - 4321 Still Creek Drive<br />

Burnaby, B.C.<br />

V5C 6S7<br />

Email: Dennis.Pervis@agr.gc.ca<br />

Last Updated: August 2010<br />

Although every effort is made to ensure that <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation is correct. Agriculture and Agri-<strong>Food</strong><br />

Canada assumes no responsibility for its accuracy, reliability, or for any decisions aris<strong>in</strong>g from <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>formation conta<strong>in</strong>ed here<strong>in</strong>.


TABLE OF CONTENTS<br />

LIST OF TABLES.............................................................v<br />

LIST OF FIGURES ........................................................... vi<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................... vii<br />

I. PURPOSE ................................................................1<br />

II. A SELECTED PROFILE OF TURKEY .........................................1<br />

A. Geography .............................................................1<br />

1. Black Sea Region.....................................................1<br />

2. Marmara Region .....................................................2<br />

3. Aegean Region.......................................................2<br />

4. Mediterranean Region .................................................3<br />

5. Central Anatolia Region ...............................................3<br />

6. Eastern Anatolia Region ...............................................4<br />

7. Sou<strong>the</strong>astern Anatolia Region ...........................................4<br />

B. Demography............................................................5<br />

C. <strong>Food</strong> ..................................................................5<br />

D. Trade .................................................................6<br />

1. Data Sources and Valuations ............................................6<br />

2. Currencies ..........................................................6<br />

3. Quantitative Units ....................................................7<br />

4. International Considerations ............................................7<br />

5. Imports .............................................................8<br />

6. Exports .............................................................9<br />

III. BUSINESS PARADIGMS ...............................................10<br />

A. The Competitive Environment .............................................10<br />

B. Pure Export ...........................................................10<br />

C. Export with Agreements .................................................10<br />

D. Franchis<strong>in</strong>g............................................................10<br />

E. Multi-National Operations ................................................10<br />

IV. RECENT ECONOMIC CONDITIONS .....................................10<br />

A. The Macro-economy ....................................................10<br />

B. Determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> <strong>Food</strong> Demand and Imports ..................................11<br />

C. Recent Trends <strong>in</strong> Household Retail Expenditures and Sales Volume ...............13<br />

1. Confectionery Products ...............................................13<br />

2. Bakery Products .....................................................14<br />

3. Ice Cream..........................................................16<br />

ii


4. Dairy Products ......................................................17<br />

5. Sweet and Savoury Snacks ............................................19<br />

6. Snack Bars .........................................................21<br />

7. Meal Replacement Products ...........................................21<br />

8. Soup ..............................................................21<br />

9. Pasta ..............................................................22<br />

10.Canned / Preserved <strong>Food</strong> ..............................................23<br />

11.Frozen Processed <strong>Food</strong> ...............................................24<br />

12.Dried Processed <strong>Food</strong> ................................................26<br />

13. Chilled Processed <strong>Food</strong> ...............................................28<br />

14.Oils and Fats .......................................................28<br />

15. Sauces, Dress<strong>in</strong>gs and Condiments ......................................30<br />

16. Baby <strong>Food</strong> .........................................................33<br />

17. Spreads ............................................................34<br />

18.Alcoholic Beverages .................................................35<br />

19.S<strong>of</strong>t Dr<strong>in</strong>ks.........................................................39<br />

20. Tobacco ...........................................................43<br />

21.Hot Dr<strong>in</strong>ks .........................................................45<br />

22. Pet <strong>Food</strong> ...........................................................47<br />

V. RISK FACTORS .........................................................48<br />

A. Political / Economic Events ...............................................48<br />

B. Handl<strong>in</strong>g Risks <strong>of</strong> International Trade.......................................49<br />

VI. PRODUCT ANALYSIS .................................................49<br />

A. Regulatory Issues.......................................................49<br />

1. Dairy Products ......................................................49<br />

2. Beef Products .......................................................50<br />

B. Selected Products Imported from Canada ....................................50<br />

C. Selected Products Not Imported from Canada .................................52<br />

VII. GRID ANALYSIS ......................................................58<br />

A. All Agri-food and Fish Products ...........................................58<br />

B. Agri-food and Fish Imports <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong> from Canada vs from <strong>the</strong> Whole World .......58<br />

VIII. PRICE WORK-UPS ....................................................60<br />

A. The Research Price Work-up..............................................60<br />

B. Duties, Taxes, Charges and Fees ...........................................61<br />

IX. IDENTIFICATION OF CONTESTABLE MARKETS .........................61<br />

A. The Indicators <strong>of</strong> Contestability ...........................................61<br />

1. Price Change .......................................................61<br />

2. Price Ratio .........................................................61<br />

3. Consumption Change.................................................61<br />

iii


4. Change <strong>in</strong> Value <strong>of</strong> Imports............................................61<br />

5. Change <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Volume <strong>of</strong> Imports .......................................61<br />

6. Position on <strong>the</strong> Grid Analysis ..........................................61<br />

7. Caveats............................................................62<br />

B. Index <strong>of</strong> Indicators ......................................................62<br />

C. General Recommendations ...............................................68<br />

1. Beef Products .......................................................68<br />

2. Dairy Products ......................................................68<br />

3. Seafood Products ....................................................68<br />

D. Product Groups with an Index <strong>of</strong> Indicators <strong>of</strong> 1.00 ............................68<br />

E. Product Groups with an Index <strong>of</strong> Indicators Between 0.75 and 0.99 ...............68<br />

F. Product Groups with an Index <strong>of</strong> Indicators Between 0.50 and 0.74 ...............69<br />

G. Product Groups with an Index <strong>of</strong> Indicators Between 0.25 and 0.49 ...............70<br />

H. Product Groups with an Index <strong>of</strong> Indicators Between 0.01 and 0.24 ...............71<br />

X. CONCLUSIONS ..........................................................71<br />

XI. CONTACTS FOR ASSISTANCE AND INFORMATION ......................73<br />

A. Regional Offices <strong>in</strong> Canada ...............................................73<br />

B. In <strong>Turkey</strong> .............................................................73<br />

APPENDIX 1 - General Data ...................................................75<br />

APPENDIX 2 - Dairy Product Export Restrictions ...................................92<br />

Canada - New Zealand/US - Measures Affect<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> Importation <strong>of</strong> Milk and <strong>the</strong> Exportation<br />

<strong>of</strong> Dairy Products ..........................................................92<br />

A. The WTO Rul<strong>in</strong>gs ......................................................92<br />

B. The Mutually Agreed Solutions............................................93<br />

APPENDIX 3 - Turkish Cuis<strong>in</strong>e .................................................94<br />

Cul<strong>in</strong>ary Customs..........................................................94<br />

Breakfast .............................................................94<br />

Eat<strong>in</strong>g out.............................................................94<br />

Summer cuis<strong>in</strong>e ........................................................94<br />

Traditional Turkish <strong>Food</strong>....................................................94<br />

ENDNOTES ...............................................................101<br />

iv


LIST OF TABLES<br />

Table 1. Rates <strong>of</strong> Increase <strong>of</strong> Population. <strong>Turkey</strong>. ...................................5<br />

Table 2. Trade Agreements <strong>in</strong> Effect as <strong>of</strong> September 2010. <strong>Turkey</strong> ....................7<br />

Table 3. Annual Rates <strong>of</strong> Change <strong>of</strong> Measures <strong>of</strong> GDP and GDP per Person. <strong>Turkey</strong>. 1999 to<br />

2009. ..............................................................11<br />

Table 4. Rates <strong>of</strong> Change <strong>of</strong>: Prices <strong>of</strong> <strong>Food</strong> and Non-alcoholic Beverages; Prices <strong>of</strong> All<br />

Consumer Goods and; Household Disposable Income. <strong>Turkey</strong>. ................12<br />

Table 5. Annual Rates <strong>of</strong> Change <strong>in</strong> Selected Exchange Rates and Rank<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> Exchange Rate<br />

Advantages. ........................................................13<br />

Table 6. Taxes and Import Duties on Alcoholic Dr<strong>in</strong>ks. <strong>Turkey</strong>. 2009. .................35<br />

Table 7. Summary <strong>of</strong> Indicators <strong>of</strong> Contestable <strong>Markets</strong>. <strong>Turkey</strong>. 2009 .................63<br />

Table 8. Area, Population and GDP. <strong>Turkey</strong> by Prov<strong>in</strong>ce. 2000. ......................75<br />

Table 9. Population, GDP and Exchange Rates. <strong>Turkey</strong> .............................79<br />

Table 10. Rates <strong>of</strong> Change <strong>of</strong> Sales Value, Sales Volume and Price <strong>of</strong> Selected <strong>Food</strong> and<br />

Beverage Products. <strong>Turkey</strong>. 1999 to 2009. ................................80<br />

Table 11. Product and Price Information <strong>of</strong> Selected Products. <strong>Turkey</strong>. .................86<br />

Table 12. Canada's WTO Dairy Export Subsidy Commitment Levels ...................93<br />

Table 13. Traditional <strong>Food</strong> Products and Ingredients. <strong>Turkey</strong> .........................94<br />

v


LIST OF FIGURES<br />

Figure 1. <strong>Turkey</strong> and Neighbour<strong>in</strong>g Countries ......................................1<br />

Figure 2. Black Sea Region <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong> ............................................1<br />

Figure 3. Marmara Region <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong> .............................................2<br />

Figure 4. Aegean Region <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong> ..............................................2<br />

Figure 5. Mediterranean Region <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>.........................................3<br />

Figure 6. Central Anatolia Region <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong> .......................................3<br />

Figure 7. Eastern Anatolia Region <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong> .......................................4<br />

Figure 8. Sou<strong>the</strong>astern Anatolia Region <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>...................................4<br />

Figure 9. Population Pyramid. <strong>Turkey</strong>. 2010. .......................................5<br />

Figure 10. Annual GDP Measured at Fixed 1998 prices. <strong>Turkey</strong> ........................11<br />

Figure 11. Price Indices <strong>of</strong> All Consumer Goods and <strong>Food</strong> & Non-alcoholic Beverages, 1995 =<br />

100. <strong>Turkey</strong> ........................................................11<br />

Figure 12. Value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Turkish Lira (CAD Per TRY). Jan, 1999 to Mar, 2010. ............12<br />

Figure 13. Percent Changes <strong>in</strong> Turkish Agri-food & Seafood Imports - From Canada vs From<br />

<strong>the</strong> World. 2004 - 2009. ...............................................58<br />

vi


TURKEY:<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

• has a population <strong>of</strong> 72.0 million people, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at an annual rate <strong>of</strong> 1.28% (1999 to<br />

2009). - A significantly positive <strong>in</strong>fluence on <strong>the</strong> demand for food;<br />

• experienced a 18.9% per year <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> household disposable <strong>in</strong>come between 2000<br />

and 2009. - A significantly positive <strong>in</strong>fluence on <strong>the</strong> demand for food;<br />

• experienced a 14.26% per year <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> prices <strong>of</strong> food and non-alcoholic<br />

beverages between 2000 and 2009. - A significantly negative <strong>in</strong>fluence on <strong>the</strong> amount<br />

<strong>of</strong> food purchased;<br />

• had 2 out <strong>of</strong> 7 regions with GDP per person greater than <strong>the</strong> national average (Aegean<br />

Region and <strong>the</strong> Marmara Region). - A Canadian exporter should <strong>in</strong>itially target one or<br />

both <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se geographic regions;<br />

• experienced an annual decrease <strong>of</strong> -4.37% <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Turkish Lira compared<br />

to <strong>the</strong> Canadian Dollar between January 2005 and March 2010. - A negative <strong>in</strong>fluence<br />

on imports from Canada;<br />

• experienced movements <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Turkish Lira compared to o<strong>the</strong>r currencies<br />

(US Dollar, Russian Ruble and <strong>the</strong> Ukranian Hryvnia) over <strong>the</strong> period 2005 to 2010<br />

that were more favorable to imports than <strong>the</strong> movement <strong>of</strong> its value compared to <strong>the</strong><br />

Canadian Dollar. - Canada faces competition from <strong>the</strong>se counties base on exchange<br />

rates. Canadian exporters must compete on o<strong>the</strong>r aspects <strong>of</strong> trade such as, quality,<br />

tim<strong>in</strong>g, followup services, appropriate quantities, research on tastes & preferences,<br />

packag<strong>in</strong>g etc.;<br />

• sourced 29.83% <strong>of</strong> its food imports from 30 American countries <strong>in</strong> 2009. The top five<br />

were: <strong>the</strong> USA, Brazil, Argent<strong>in</strong>a, Canada and Ecuador. - Canada faces considerable<br />

competition from <strong>the</strong> USA and <strong>the</strong> emerg<strong>in</strong>g economies <strong>in</strong> South America;<br />

• imported CAD 8,743.9 million worth <strong>of</strong> food products <strong>in</strong> 2009, <strong>of</strong> which CAD 175.0<br />

million (2.0%) was from Canada. - As a supplier <strong>of</strong> food to <strong>Turkey</strong>, Canada dropped<br />

from 7 th place <strong>in</strong> 2008 to 13 th place <strong>in</strong> 2009 - <strong>the</strong> decl<strong>in</strong>e was due to decreases <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>’s imports <strong>of</strong> several product groups, particularly “Lentils, Dried Shelled,<br />

Includ<strong>in</strong>g Seed”, “Wheat (O<strong>the</strong>r than Durum Wheat), and Mesl<strong>in</strong>”, “Durum Wheat”<br />

and “Brew<strong>in</strong>g or Distill<strong>in</strong>g Dregs and Waste, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Pelleted”.<br />

Tariffs, non-tariff barriers and trade rules currently preclude imports <strong>of</strong> some products from<br />

Canada. Never<strong>the</strong>less, from an economic perspective based on <strong>the</strong> “<strong>in</strong>dex <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>dicators” analysis,<br />

opportunities may exist <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g Turkish markets. In <strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> beef and dairy products<br />

vii


<strong>the</strong>se economic opportunities may not be fully available at this time:<br />

• Cheese Not Elsewhere Specified or Indicated (Nesoi). <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import <strong>the</strong>se<br />

products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009;<br />

• Sesamum Seeds, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import this product from<br />

Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009;<br />

• Sunflower-seed or Safflower Oil, Crude. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import <strong>the</strong>se products from<br />

Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009;<br />

• Preparations <strong>of</strong> Cereals, Flour, Starch or Milk for Infant Use, Put up for Retail<br />

Sale. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import <strong>the</strong>se products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009;<br />

•<br />

• Prepared <strong>Food</strong>s Obta<strong>in</strong>ed by <strong>the</strong> Swell<strong>in</strong>g or Roast<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> Cereal or Cereal<br />

Products. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import <strong>the</strong>se products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009;<br />

• C<strong>of</strong>fee Extracts, Essences and Concentrates. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import <strong>the</strong>se products<br />

from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009;<br />

• Butter. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import this product from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009;<br />

• Cheese, Grate or Powdered, <strong>of</strong> All K<strong>in</strong>ds. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import <strong>the</strong>se products<br />

from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009;<br />

• Chickpeas, Dried, Shelled. Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Sk<strong>in</strong>ned or Split. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import<br />

<strong>the</strong>se products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009;<br />

• Hazelnuts or Filberts, Fresh or Dried. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import <strong>the</strong>se products from<br />

Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009;<br />

• Canary Seed. <strong>Turkey</strong> imported this product from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009;<br />

• Maize (Corn) Oil, Crude. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import this product from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009;<br />

• Sweet Biscuits. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import <strong>the</strong>se products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009;<br />

• Communion Wafers, Empty Cachets for Pharmaceutical Use and Similar Products<br />

and Bakers’ Wares Nesoi. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import <strong>the</strong>se products from Canada <strong>in</strong><br />

2008;<br />

• Jams, Fruit Jellies, Fruit / Nut Puree & Paste, Cooked Preparations, Sugared,<br />

Sweetened or Not. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import <strong>the</strong>se products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2008;<br />

viii


• Apple Juice, Nesoi, Unfermented and Not Spirited Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Sugared /<br />

Sweetened. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import <strong>the</strong>se products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2008;<br />

• Prote<strong>in</strong> Concentrates and Textured Prote<strong>in</strong> Substances. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import<br />

<strong>the</strong>se products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2008.<br />

On <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g retail sales volume alone, Canadian exporters should also consider <strong>the</strong><br />

Turkish markets for:<br />

• Granola / Muesli Bars;<br />

• Meal Replacements Slimm<strong>in</strong>g Products;<br />

• Take Home Ice Cream;<br />

• Sour Milk;<br />

• Fortified W<strong>in</strong>e & Vermouth;<br />

• 100% Juice;<br />

• Nectars (25.99% Juice);<br />

• Juice Dr<strong>in</strong>ks (Up to 24% Juice);<br />

• Flavoured Bottled Water;<br />

• Sports Dr<strong>in</strong>ks;<br />

• Energy Dr<strong>in</strong>ks;<br />

• Mid Tar Cigarettes;<br />

• Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes;<br />

• Instant C<strong>of</strong>fee.<br />

ix


OPPORTUNITIES IN THE FOOD MARKETS OF TURKEY<br />

I. PURPOSE<br />

The purpose <strong>of</strong> this paper is to provide<br />

Canadian food exporters with <strong>in</strong>dications <strong>of</strong><br />

opportunities or “contestable markets” <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>, based on economic considerations.<br />

A number <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>dicators <strong>of</strong> “contestable<br />

markets” are calculated and <strong>the</strong> product<br />

markets are ranked by <strong>the</strong>ir ord<strong>in</strong>al<br />

probabilities <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g opportunities <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>m.<br />

The paper provides <strong>in</strong>dications only.<br />

Companies should follow up on<br />

opportunities <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest with: fur<strong>the</strong>r market<br />

research; acquisition <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation on<br />

sanitary / phyto-sanitary requirements;<br />

label<strong>in</strong>g requirements; <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> a<br />

research price work-up and; eventually a<br />

specific price work-up. In some cases<br />

Figure 1. <strong>Turkey</strong> and Neighbour<strong>in</strong>g Countries.<br />

Source: CIA - World Factbook.<br />

tariffs, non-tariff barriers and trade rules may preclude <strong>the</strong> import <strong>of</strong> some products from Canada. Companies should<br />

do additional research to determ<strong>in</strong>e if <strong>the</strong>ir products are affected.<br />

The <strong>in</strong>dicators <strong>of</strong> contestability used <strong>in</strong> this paper are based on historical economic statistics and <strong>the</strong>refore<br />

assume future tastes and preferences <strong>of</strong> Turkish consumers rema<strong>in</strong> fixed, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> images Turkish consumers<br />

have <strong>of</strong> Canada and Canadian products. The Brand<strong>in</strong>g Strategy for <strong>the</strong> Canadian Agriculture and <strong>Food</strong> Sector 1 is<br />

designed to improve knowledge <strong>of</strong> Canadian products and food systems, to differentiate Canada from its competitors<br />

and establish a reputation <strong>of</strong> high quality. This program can have a major positive <strong>in</strong>fluence on Turkish acceptance<br />

<strong>of</strong> Canadian food products and <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>the</strong> probabilities <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g opportunities <strong>in</strong> Turkish markets.<br />

II. A SELECTED PROFILE OF TURKEY<br />

A. Geography 2<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> is located <strong>in</strong> Sou<strong>the</strong>astern Europe and Southwestern Asia (that portion <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong> west <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Bosporus is<br />

geographically part <strong>of</strong> Europe). The European part <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong> is known as Thrace and <strong>the</strong> Asian part is known as<br />

Anatolia. It is bordered by: Bulgaria and Greece on <strong>the</strong> northwest; <strong>the</strong> Black Sea on <strong>the</strong> north; Georgia, Armenia,<br />

Azerbaijan and Iran on <strong>the</strong> east; Iraq and Syria on <strong>the</strong> sou<strong>the</strong>ast; <strong>the</strong> Mediterranean Sea on <strong>the</strong> southwest and; <strong>the</strong><br />

Aegean Sea on <strong>the</strong> west.<br />

Geographically, <strong>Turkey</strong> is divided <strong>in</strong>to seven regions and <strong>the</strong><br />

regions are politically divided <strong>in</strong>to prov<strong>in</strong>ces. In total <strong>the</strong>re are 81<br />

prov<strong>in</strong>ces:<br />

1. Black Sea Region<br />

The Black Sea region is divided <strong>in</strong>to 18 prov<strong>in</strong>ces. It has a<br />

steep, rocky coast with rivers that cascade through <strong>the</strong> gorges <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> coastal mounta<strong>in</strong> ranges to <strong>the</strong> Black Sea. A few larger rivers<br />

that cut back through <strong>the</strong> Pontic Mounta<strong>in</strong>s, have tributaries that<br />

flow <strong>in</strong> broad, elevated bas<strong>in</strong>s. Access <strong>in</strong>land from <strong>the</strong> coast is<br />

limited to a few narrow valleys because mounta<strong>in</strong> ridges form an<br />

1<br />

Figure 2. Black Sea Region <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Source: Wikipedia.


almost unbroken wall separat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> coast from <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>terior. The higher slopes fac<strong>in</strong>g northwest tend to be densely<br />

forested. Because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se natural conditions, <strong>the</strong> Black Sea coast historically has been isolated from <strong>the</strong> rest <strong>of</strong><br />

Anatolia.<br />

Runn<strong>in</strong>g from Zonguldak <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> west to Rize <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> east, <strong>the</strong> narrow coastal strip widens at several places <strong>in</strong>to<br />

fertile, <strong>in</strong>tensely cultivated deltas. The Samsun area, close to <strong>the</strong> midpo<strong>in</strong>t, is a major tobacco-grow<strong>in</strong>g region; east<br />

<strong>of</strong> it are numerous citrus groves. East <strong>of</strong> Samsun, <strong>the</strong> area around Trabzon is world-renowned for <strong>the</strong> production <strong>of</strong><br />

hazelnuts, and far<strong>the</strong>r east <strong>the</strong> Rize region has numerous tea plantations. All cultivable areas, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g mounta<strong>in</strong><br />

slopes wherever <strong>the</strong>y are not too steep, are sown or used as pasture. The mild, damp climate <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Black Sea coast<br />

makes commercial farm<strong>in</strong>g pr<strong>of</strong>itable. The western part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Black Sea region, especially <strong>the</strong> Zonguldak area, is a<br />

center <strong>of</strong> coal m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and heavy <strong>in</strong>dustry.<br />

2. Marmara Region<br />

The Marmara region is divided <strong>in</strong>to 11 prov<strong>in</strong>ces and <strong>in</strong>cludes<br />

<strong>the</strong> European portion <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong> which consists ma<strong>in</strong>ly <strong>of</strong> roll<strong>in</strong>g<br />

plateau country well suited to agriculture. It receives about 520<br />

millimeters <strong>of</strong> ra<strong>in</strong>fall annually.<br />

Densely populated, this area <strong>in</strong>cludes <strong>the</strong> cities <strong>of</strong> Istanbul and<br />

Edirne. The Bosphorus, which l<strong>in</strong>ks <strong>the</strong> Sea <strong>of</strong> Marmara and <strong>the</strong><br />

Black Sea, is about twenty-five kilometers long and averages 1.5<br />

kilometers <strong>in</strong> width but narrows <strong>in</strong> places to less than 1,000<br />

meters. There are two suspension bridges over <strong>the</strong> Bosphorus,<br />

both its Asian and European banks rise steeply from <strong>the</strong> water and<br />

form a succession <strong>of</strong> cliffs, coves, and nearly landlocked bays.<br />

Most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> shores are densely wooded and are marked by<br />

2<br />

Figure 3. Marmara Region <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Source: Wikipedia.<br />

numerous small towns and villages. The Dardanelles Strait, which l<strong>in</strong>ks <strong>the</strong> Sea <strong>of</strong> Marmara with <strong>the</strong> Aegean Sea, is<br />

approximately forty kilometers long and <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> width toward <strong>the</strong> south. Unlike <strong>the</strong> Bosphorus, <strong>the</strong> Dardanelles<br />

has fewer settlements along its shores. The Saros Bay is located near <strong>the</strong> Gallipoli pen<strong>in</strong>sula and is famous for its<br />

clean beaches. It is a favourite spot among scuba divers for <strong>the</strong> richness <strong>of</strong> its underwater fauna and is becom<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly popular due to its proximity to Istanbul.<br />

The most important valleys are <strong>the</strong> Kocaeli Valley, <strong>the</strong> Bursa Ovasi (Bursa Bas<strong>in</strong>), and <strong>the</strong> Pla<strong>in</strong>s <strong>of</strong> Troy<br />

(historically known as <strong>the</strong> Troad). The valley lowlands around Bursa is densely populated.<br />

3. Aegean Region<br />

The Aegean region <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong> is located on <strong>the</strong> western side <strong>of</strong><br />

Anatolia and is divided <strong>in</strong>to eight prov<strong>in</strong>ces. It has fertile soil and<br />

a typically Mediterranean climate; mild, wet w<strong>in</strong>ters and hot, dry<br />

summers. The broad, cultivated valley lowlands conta<strong>in</strong> about half<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> country's richest farmlands.<br />

The largest city <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Aegean Region is ¤zmir which is <strong>the</strong><br />

country's third largest city and a major manufactur<strong>in</strong>g center; as<br />

well as its second largest port after Istanbul.<br />

Olive and olive oil production is particularly important for <strong>the</strong><br />

economy <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> region. The seaside town <strong>of</strong> Ayvaik and numerous<br />

towns <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> prov<strong>in</strong>ces <strong>of</strong> Balikesir, ¤zmir and Ayd<strong>in</strong> are<br />

particularly famous for <strong>the</strong>ir olive oil and related products; such as<br />

soap and cosmetics.<br />

Figure 4. Aegean Region <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Source: Wikipedia.


The region also has many important centers <strong>of</strong> tourism which are known both for <strong>the</strong>ir historic monuments and<br />

for <strong>the</strong> beauty <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir beaches.<br />

4. Mediterranean Region<br />

The Mediterranean region is divided <strong>in</strong>to eight prov<strong>in</strong>ces.<br />

Toward <strong>the</strong> east, <strong>the</strong> extensive pla<strong>in</strong>s around Adana, <strong>Turkey</strong>'s<br />

fourth largest city, consist largely <strong>of</strong> reclaimed flood lands. In<br />

general, rivers have not cut valleys to <strong>the</strong> sea <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> western part<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> region. Historically, movement <strong>in</strong>land from <strong>the</strong> western<br />

Mediterranean coast was difficult. East <strong>of</strong> Adana, much <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

coastal pla<strong>in</strong> has limestone features such as collapsed caverns and<br />

s<strong>in</strong>kholes. Between Adana and Antalya, <strong>the</strong> Taurus Mounta<strong>in</strong>s<br />

rise sharply from <strong>the</strong> coast to high elevations. O<strong>the</strong>r than Adana,<br />

Antalya, and Mers<strong>in</strong>, <strong>the</strong> Mediterranean coast has few major<br />

cities, although it has numerous farm<strong>in</strong>g villages.<br />

3<br />

Figure 5. Mediterranean Region <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Source: Wikipedia.<br />

Parallel<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> Mediterranean coast, <strong>the</strong> Taurus (Toros<br />

Daglari) is <strong>Turkey</strong>'s second cha<strong>in</strong> <strong>of</strong> folded mounta<strong>in</strong>s. The range<br />

rises just <strong>in</strong>land from <strong>the</strong> coast and trends generally <strong>in</strong> an easterly direction until it reaches <strong>the</strong> Arabian Platform,<br />

where it arcs around <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn side <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> platform. The Taurus Mounta<strong>in</strong>s are more rugged and less dissected by<br />

rivers than <strong>the</strong> Pontus Mounta<strong>in</strong>s and historically have served as a barrier to human movement <strong>in</strong>land from <strong>the</strong><br />

Mediterranean coast except where <strong>the</strong>re are mounta<strong>in</strong> passes such as <strong>the</strong> historic Cilician Gates (Gülek Pass),<br />

northwest <strong>of</strong> Adana.<br />

5. Central Anatolia Region<br />

The Central Anatolia region is divided <strong>in</strong>to 13 prov<strong>in</strong>ces.<br />

Stretch<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>land from <strong>the</strong> Aegean coastal pla<strong>in</strong>, <strong>the</strong> Central<br />

Anatolian region occupies <strong>the</strong> area between <strong>the</strong> two zones <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

folded mounta<strong>in</strong>s, extend<strong>in</strong>g east to <strong>the</strong> po<strong>in</strong>t where <strong>the</strong> two<br />

ranges converge. The plateau-like, semiarid highlands <strong>of</strong> Anatolia<br />

are considered <strong>the</strong> heartland <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> country. The region varies <strong>in</strong><br />

elevation from 600 to 1,200 meters from west to east. The two<br />

largest bas<strong>in</strong>s on <strong>the</strong> plateau are <strong>the</strong> Konya Ovasi and <strong>the</strong> bas<strong>in</strong><br />

occupied by <strong>the</strong> large salt lake, Tuz Gölü. Both bas<strong>in</strong>s are<br />

characterized by <strong>in</strong>land dra<strong>in</strong>age. Wooded areas are conf<strong>in</strong>ed to<br />

<strong>the</strong> northwest and nor<strong>the</strong>ast <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> plateau. Ra<strong>in</strong>-fed cultivation is<br />

widespread, with wheat be<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>in</strong>cipal crop. Irrigated<br />

agriculture is restricted to <strong>the</strong> areas surround<strong>in</strong>g rivers and<br />

wherever sufficient underground water is available. Important<br />

Figure 6. Central Anatolia Region <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Source: Wikipedia.<br />

irrigated crops <strong>in</strong>clude barley, corn, cotton, various fruits, grapes, opium poppies, sugar beets, roses, and tobacco.<br />

There also is extensive graz<strong>in</strong>g throughout <strong>the</strong> plateau.<br />

Central Anatolia receives little annual ra<strong>in</strong>fall. The semiarid center <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> plateau receives an average yearly<br />

precipitation <strong>of</strong> only 300 millimeters. However, actual ra<strong>in</strong>fall from year to year is irregular and occasionally may be<br />

less than 200 millimeters, lead<strong>in</strong>g to severe reductions <strong>in</strong> crop yields for both ra<strong>in</strong>-fed and irrigated agriculture. In<br />

years <strong>of</strong> low ra<strong>in</strong>fall, stock losses also can be high. Overgraz<strong>in</strong>g has contributed to soil erosion on <strong>the</strong> plateau.<br />

Dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> summers, frequent dust storms blow a f<strong>in</strong>e yellow powder across <strong>the</strong> plateau. Locusts occasionally ravage<br />

<strong>the</strong> eastern area <strong>in</strong> April and May. In general, <strong>the</strong> plateau experiences extreme heat, with almost no ra<strong>in</strong>fall <strong>in</strong><br />

summer and cold wea<strong>the</strong>r with heavy snow <strong>in</strong> w<strong>in</strong>ter.


Frequently <strong>in</strong>terspersed throughout <strong>the</strong> folded mounta<strong>in</strong>s, and also situated on <strong>the</strong> Anatolian Plateau, are welldef<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

bas<strong>in</strong>s, which <strong>the</strong> Turks call ova. Some are no more than a widen<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> a stream valley; o<strong>the</strong>rs, such as <strong>the</strong><br />

Konya Ovasi, are large bas<strong>in</strong>s <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>land dra<strong>in</strong>age or are <strong>the</strong> result <strong>of</strong> limestone erosion. Most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bas<strong>in</strong>s take <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

names from cities or towns located at <strong>the</strong>ir rims. Where a lake has formed with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> bas<strong>in</strong>, <strong>the</strong> water body is usually<br />

sal<strong>in</strong>e as a result <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternal dra<strong>in</strong>age--<strong>the</strong> water has no outlet to <strong>the</strong> sea.<br />

6. Eastern Anatolia Region<br />

The Eastern Anatolia region is divided <strong>in</strong>to 14 prov<strong>in</strong>ces. In<br />

this region <strong>the</strong> Pontus and Taurus mounta<strong>in</strong> ranges converge,<br />

result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> rugged country with higher elevations, a more severe<br />

climate, and greater precipitation than are found on <strong>the</strong> Anatolian<br />

Plateau. The region is known as <strong>the</strong> Anti-Taurus, and <strong>the</strong> average<br />

elevation <strong>of</strong> its peaks exceeds 3,000 meters. Mount Ararat, at 5,137<br />

meters <strong>the</strong> highest po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>in</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>, is located <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Anti-Taurus.<br />

Many <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Anti-Taurus peaks apparently are recently ext<strong>in</strong>ct<br />

volcanoes, as <strong>in</strong>dicated by extensive lava flows. <strong>Turkey</strong>'s largest<br />

lake, Lake Van, is situated <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> mounta<strong>in</strong>s at an elevation <strong>of</strong> 1,546<br />

meters. The headwaters <strong>of</strong> three major rivers arise <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Anti-<br />

Taurus: <strong>the</strong> east-flow<strong>in</strong>g Aras, which empties <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> Caspian Sea;<br />

4<br />

Figure 7. Eastern Anatolia Region <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Source: Wikipedia.<br />

<strong>the</strong> south-flow<strong>in</strong>g Euphrates; and <strong>the</strong> south-flow<strong>in</strong>g Tigris, which eventually jo<strong>in</strong>s <strong>the</strong> Euphrates <strong>in</strong> Iraq before<br />

empty<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> Persian Gulf. Several small streams that empty <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> Black Sea or landlocked Lake Van also<br />

orig<strong>in</strong>ate <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>se mounta<strong>in</strong>s.<br />

In addition to its rugged mounta<strong>in</strong>s, <strong>the</strong> area is known for severe w<strong>in</strong>ters with heavy snowfalls. The few valleys<br />

and pla<strong>in</strong>s <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>se mounta<strong>in</strong>s tend to be fertile and to support diverse agriculture. The ma<strong>in</strong> bas<strong>in</strong> is <strong>the</strong> Mus Valley,<br />

west <strong>of</strong> Lake Van. Narrow valleys also lie at <strong>the</strong> foot <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> l<strong>of</strong>ty peaks along river corridors.<br />

7. Sou<strong>the</strong>astern Anatolia Region<br />

The Sou<strong>the</strong>ast Anatolia region is divided <strong>in</strong>to n<strong>in</strong>e prov<strong>in</strong>ces and<br />

is located south <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Anti-Taurus Mounta<strong>in</strong>s. It is a region <strong>of</strong><br />

roll<strong>in</strong>g hills and a broad plateau surface that extends <strong>in</strong>to Syria.<br />

Elevations decrease gradually, from about 800 meters <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> north to<br />

about 500 meters <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> south. Traditionally, wheat and barley were<br />

<strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> crops <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> region, but <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>auguration <strong>of</strong> major new<br />

irrigation projects <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1980s has led to greater agricultural<br />

diversity and development.<br />

Figure 8. Sou<strong>the</strong>astern Anatolia Region<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Source: Wikipedia.<br />

B. Demography<br />

At January 1, 2010, <strong>the</strong> population <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong> was estimated at<br />

72,473,600 people. Dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> period mid-year1977 to mid-year 2009 <strong>the</strong> population grew at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.63 percent<br />

per year. The rate <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease has varied over this period and is currently (2006 to 2009) 1.29 percent per year. See<br />

Table 1.<br />

The population pyramid <strong>in</strong> Figure 9 <strong>in</strong>dicates a fairly normal age distribution for a country with a healthy but<br />

slowly decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g rate <strong>of</strong> population growth.<br />

Canadian exporters may want to target <strong>the</strong> age groups 0 to 29.


Table 1. Rates <strong>of</strong> Increase <strong>of</strong><br />

Population. <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Time Period Rate <strong>of</strong> Increase<br />

(% per year)<br />

1977 - 2009 1.63<br />

1977 - 1986 2.13<br />

1986 - 1996 1.66<br />

1996 - 2006 1.34<br />

2006 - 2009 1.29<br />

Source: Calculated from data from<br />

Euromonitor. (August 2010)<br />

Note: Population was estimated at<br />

mid-year.<br />

C. <strong>Food</strong> 3<br />

Turkish cuis<strong>in</strong>e is largely <strong>the</strong> heritage <strong>of</strong> Ottoman cuis<strong>in</strong>e,<br />

which can be described as a fusion and ref<strong>in</strong>ement <strong>of</strong> Central Asian,<br />

Middle Eastern and Balkan cuis<strong>in</strong>es. Turkish cuis<strong>in</strong>e has <strong>in</strong> turn<br />

<strong>in</strong>fluenced those and o<strong>the</strong>r neighbour<strong>in</strong>g cuis<strong>in</strong>es, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g that <strong>of</strong><br />

western European. The Ottomans fused various cul<strong>in</strong>ary traditions<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir realm with <strong>in</strong>fluences from <strong>the</strong> Middle East, along with<br />

traditional Turkic elements from Central Asia, creat<strong>in</strong>g a vast array<br />

<strong>of</strong> technical specialities, many with strong regional associations.<br />

Turkish cuis<strong>in</strong>e is not homogeneous. Aside from common<br />

Turkish specialities that can be found throughout <strong>the</strong> country, <strong>the</strong>re<br />

are also many region-specific specialities:<br />

The Black Sea Region's cuis<strong>in</strong>e is based on corn and anchovies;<br />

5<br />

AGE<br />

100+<br />

95-99<br />

90-94<br />

85-89<br />

80-84<br />

75-79<br />

70-74<br />

65-69<br />

60-64<br />

55-59<br />

50-54<br />

45-49<br />

40-44<br />

35-39<br />

30-34<br />

25-29<br />

20-24<br />

15- 19<br />

10- 14<br />

5-9<br />

0-4<br />

MALE FEMALE<br />

-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4<br />

Millions<br />

Figure 9. Population Pyramid. <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

2010.<br />

Source: Data from U.S. Census Bureau,<br />

International Database.<br />

The Sou<strong>the</strong>ast Anatolia Region is famous for its kebabs, mezes and dough-based desserts such as baklava,<br />

kaday2if and künefe;<br />

In <strong>the</strong> western parts <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>, where olive trees are grown abundantly, olive oil is <strong>the</strong> major type <strong>of</strong> oil used for<br />

cook<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Mediterranean regions display basic characteristics <strong>of</strong> Mediterranean cuis<strong>in</strong>e as <strong>the</strong>y are rich <strong>in</strong> vegetables,<br />

herbs, and fish;<br />

Central Anatolia is famous for its pasta specialties, such as keÕskek (kashkak), mant2i (especially from Kayseri)<br />

and gözleme.


A specialty's name sometimes <strong>in</strong>cludes that <strong>of</strong> a city or region, ei<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong> or outside <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>, and may refer to<br />

<strong>the</strong> specific technique or <strong>in</strong>gredients used <strong>in</strong> that area. For example, <strong>the</strong> difference between Urfa kebab and Adana<br />

kebab is <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> garlic <strong>in</strong>stead <strong>of</strong> onion and <strong>the</strong> larger amount <strong>of</strong> hot pepper used.<br />

Appendix 3 conta<strong>in</strong>s a list <strong>of</strong> Turkish food and <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>gredients. Ingredients that Canada can or could supply are<br />

noted <strong>in</strong> bold.<br />

D. Trade<br />

1. Data Sources and Valuations<br />

In this and follow<strong>in</strong>g sections, trade data is presented and analyzed. Unless o<strong>the</strong>rwise <strong>in</strong>dicated, trade data has<br />

been obta<strong>in</strong>ed from <strong>the</strong> Global Trade Atlas which is a product <strong>of</strong>:<br />

Global Trade Information Services, Inc. -GTI-<br />

2218 Dev<strong>in</strong>e Street<br />

Columbia, SC 29205<br />

USA<br />

Tel: (803) 765-1860<br />

Fax: (803) 799-5589<br />

E-Mail: trade@gtis.com .<br />

The data reported for <strong>Turkey</strong> is supplied to GTI by <strong>the</strong> Turkish State Institute <strong>of</strong> Statistics and is evaluated FOB<br />

for exports and CIF for imports. At <strong>the</strong> time <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> analysis, data for 2009 is <strong>the</strong> latest available.<br />

Data reported from Canadian sources orig<strong>in</strong>ates with Statistics Canada and is evaluated FOB for both imports<br />

and exports.<br />

2. Currencies<br />

On 1 January 2005 <strong>the</strong> old Turkish lira (TRL) was converted to new Turkish lira (TRY) at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1,000,000<br />

old to 1 new Turkish lira; on 1 January 2009 <strong>the</strong> Turkish government dropped <strong>the</strong> word "new" and <strong>the</strong> currency is<br />

now called simply <strong>the</strong> Turkish Lira.<br />

Currency designations used <strong>in</strong> this paper are <strong>the</strong> ISO 4217 codes. Specifically:<br />

Canadian Dollar ............................... CAD;<br />

Turkish Lira .................................. TRY;<br />

United States Dollar ............................ USD;<br />

Russian Ruble................................. RUB;<br />

Ukra<strong>in</strong>ian Hryvnia .............................UAH.<br />

For a complete list <strong>of</strong> ISO currency codes, see <strong>the</strong> website www.xe.com/iso4217.htm.<br />

3. Quantitative Units<br />

The quantitative unit symbols used <strong>in</strong> this paper are as follows:<br />

t = metric tonne = 1000 Kg;<br />

Lt = litres = 1000 millilitres;<br />

Km = kilometres = 1000 metres;<br />

Kg = kilograms = 1000 grams;<br />

million = 1,000,000.<br />

6


4. International Considerations<br />

As <strong>of</strong> September 2010 <strong>Turkey</strong> had a customs union agreement with <strong>the</strong> EU and free trade agreements <strong>in</strong> effect<br />

with The Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO), EFTA, Israel, Macedonia. Boznia-Herzegovena, Croatia, <strong>the</strong><br />

Palest<strong>in</strong>ian Authority, Tunisia, Morocco, Syria, Egypt and Albania, Georgia, Montenegro and Serbia.<br />

Except for Boznia-Herzegovena and Georgia, <strong>Turkey</strong>’s partners <strong>in</strong> trade agreements have lost market share <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> Turkish markets for agriculture, agri-food, seafood and fish products.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> is a candidate for full accession to <strong>the</strong> EU. When that occurs, <strong>Turkey</strong>’s trade agreements will be<br />

superseded by <strong>the</strong> trade agreements <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> EU.<br />

Table 2. Trade Agreements <strong>in</strong> Effect as <strong>of</strong> September 2010. <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Agreement With Type Date In Force Share <strong>of</strong> Total <strong>Food</strong><br />

Imports <strong>in</strong> Year <strong>of</strong><br />

Date <strong>in</strong> Force<br />

(%)<br />

Economic Cooperation<br />

Organization (ECO)**<br />

7<br />

Share <strong>of</strong> Total<br />

<strong>Food</strong> Imports <strong>in</strong><br />

2009<br />

(%)<br />

PTA Feb 17, 1992 5.03*** 4.19<br />

EFTA FTA Apr 1, 1992 1.64*** 1.58<br />

EU15* CU Jan 1, 1996 22.92*** 20.75<br />

Israel FTA May 1, 1997 1.27*** 0.41<br />

Macedonia FTA Sep 1, 2000 0.13 0.03<br />

Boznia-Herzegovena, FTA Jul 1 2003 0.07 0.24<br />

Croatia FTA Jul 1, 2003 0.05 0.04<br />

The Palest<strong>in</strong>ian Authority FTA Jun 1 2005 0.01 0.003<br />

Tunisia FTA Jul 1, 2005 0.14 0.08<br />

Morocco FTA Jan 1, 2006 0.23 0.09<br />

Syria FTA Jan 1, 2007 0.39 0.14<br />

Egypt FTA Mar 1, 2007 1.67 0.84<br />

Albania FTA May 1, 2008 0.05 0.03<br />

Georgia FTA Nov 1, 2008 0.13 0.47<br />

Montenegro FTA Mar 12, 2010 n/a n/a<br />

Serbia FTA Sep 1, 2010 n/a n/a


Agreement With Type Date In Force Share <strong>of</strong> Total <strong>Food</strong><br />

Imports <strong>in</strong> Year <strong>of</strong><br />

Date <strong>in</strong> Force<br />

(%)<br />

8<br />

Share <strong>of</strong> Total<br />

<strong>Food</strong> Imports <strong>in</strong><br />

2009<br />

(%)<br />

Source: http://rtais.wto.org/UI/PublicSearchByMember.aspx.<br />

Note: * Does not cover services or public procurement. There are bilateral concessions that apply to<br />

agriculture.<br />

** Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Iran, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz Republic, Pakistan, Tajikistan,<br />

Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan.<br />

*** 1998 - earliest data available.<br />

CU = Customs Union.<br />

FTA = Free Trade Agreement.<br />

PFA = Preferred Trade Agreement.<br />

5. Imports<br />

In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported a total <strong>of</strong> CAD 159,484.6 million worth <strong>of</strong> a wide variety <strong>of</strong> merchandise from many<br />

countries. The top five import categories were:<br />

M<strong>in</strong>eral Fuel, Oil. (HS: 27) 4 ;<br />

Mach<strong>in</strong>ery; Reactors, Boilers. (HS: 84);<br />

Electrical Mach<strong>in</strong>ery, Etc. (HS: 85);<br />

Iron and Steel. (HS: 72);<br />

Vehicles, Not Railway. (HS: 87).<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> imported a total <strong>of</strong> CAD 8,743.9 million worth <strong>of</strong> agri-food and seafood products from many countries.<br />

The top five categories by value were:<br />

Cereals. (HS: 10) ............................................................ CAD 1,386.7 million;<br />

Animal or Vegetable Fats and Oils and Their Cleavage Products; Prepared Edible Fats;<br />

Animal or Vegetable Waxes. (HS: 15) .......................................... CAD 1,270.2 million;<br />

Oil Seeds and Oleag<strong>in</strong>ous Fruits; Miscellaneous Gra<strong>in</strong>s, Seeds and Fruits; Industrial or<br />

Medic<strong>in</strong>al Plants; Straw and Fodder. (HS: 12) .................................... CAD 1,203.7 million;<br />

Cotton, Not Carded or Combed. (HS: 5201) ....................................... CAD 1,123.3 million;<br />

Residues and Waste from <strong>the</strong> <strong>Food</strong> Industries; Prepared Animal Feed. (HS: 23) ........... CAD 631.5 million.<br />

The five most important sources, by value, <strong>of</strong> agri-food and seafood imports were:<br />

USA ........................................................CAD 1,682.0 million;<br />

Russia.......................................................CAD 927.4 million;<br />

Ukra<strong>in</strong>e......................................................CAD 661.2 million;<br />

Germany.....................................................CAD 408.8 million;<br />

Greece ...................................................... CAD 368.5 million.<br />

Canada ranked 13 th ............................................. CAD 175.0 million.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> imported about CAD 175.0 million worth <strong>of</strong> agri-food and seafood products from Canada. <strong>the</strong> top five<br />

categories, by value, were:<br />

Edible Vegetables and Certa<strong>in</strong> Roots and Tubers. (HS: 07)..............................CAD 143.5 million;<br />

Cereals. (HS: 10) ............................................................. CAD 13.0 million;


Dairy Produce; Birds' Eggs; Natural Honey; Edible Products <strong>of</strong> Animal Orig<strong>in</strong>, Nesoi. (HS: 04) CAD 4.9 million;<br />

Oil Seeds and Oleag<strong>in</strong>ous Fruits; Miscellaneous Gra<strong>in</strong>s, Seeds and Fruits; Industrial or<br />

Medic<strong>in</strong>al Plants; Straw and Fodder. (HS: 12) ..................................... CAD 4.0 million;<br />

Residues and Waste from <strong>the</strong> <strong>Food</strong> Industries; Prepared Animal Feed. (HS: 23) .............CAD 3.4 million.<br />

6. Exports<br />

In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> exported a total <strong>of</strong> CAD 116,137.6 million worth <strong>of</strong> a wide variety <strong>of</strong> merchandise to many<br />

countries. The top five categories, by value, were:<br />

Vehicles, Not Railway. (HS: 87);<br />

Mach<strong>in</strong>ery; Reactors, Boilers. (HS: 84);<br />

Iron and Steel. (HS: 72);<br />

Knit Apparel. (HS: 61);<br />

Electrical Mach<strong>in</strong>ery, Etc. (HS: 85).<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> exported a total <strong>of</strong> CAD 12,324.7 million worth <strong>of</strong> agri-food and seafood products to many countries.<br />

The top five categories by value were:<br />

Edible Fruit and Nuts; Peel <strong>of</strong> Citrus Fruit or Melons. (HS: 08) ........................ CAD 3,370.0 million;<br />

Preparations <strong>of</strong> Vegetables, Fruit, Nuts, or O<strong>the</strong>r Parts <strong>of</strong> Plants. (HS: 20)................ CAD 1,443.1 million;<br />

Edible Vegetables and Certa<strong>in</strong> Roots and Tubers. (HS: 07)............................ CAD 1,175.3 million;<br />

Tobacco and Manufactured Tobacco Substitutes. (HS: 24) ............................ CAD 859.8 million;<br />

Preparations Of Cereals, Flour, Starch Or Milk; Bakers' Wares. (HS: 19)................. CAD 772.4 million.<br />

The five most important dest<strong>in</strong>ations, by value, for agri-food and seafood exports were:<br />

Iraq .........................................................CAD 1,545.4 million;<br />

Germany.....................................................CAD 1,199.7 million;<br />

Russia.......................................................CAD 915.7 million;<br />

Italy ........................................................CAD 658.8 million;<br />

USA ........................................................ CAD 516.8 million.<br />

Canada ranked 35 th ............................................. CAD 82.3 million.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> exported about CAD 82.3 million worth <strong>of</strong> agri-food and seafood products to Canada. The top five<br />

categories, by value, were:<br />

Edible Fruit and Nuts; Peel <strong>of</strong> Citrus Fruit or Melons. (HS: 08) .......................... CAD 50.6 million;<br />

Preparations <strong>of</strong> Vegetables, Fruit, Nuts, or O<strong>the</strong>r Parts <strong>of</strong> Plants. (HS: 20).................. CAD 7.3 million;<br />

Preparations <strong>of</strong> Cereals, Flour, Starch or Milk; Bakers' Wares. (HS: 19) ................... CAD 4.8 million;<br />

Animal or Vegetable Fats and Oils and Their Cleavage Products; Prepared Edible Fats; Animal<br />

or Vegetable Waxes. (HS: 15) .................................................. CAD 4.8 million;<br />

Edible Vegetables and Certa<strong>in</strong> Roots and Tubers. (HS: 07)...............................CAD 2.7 million.<br />

III. BUSINESS PARADIGMS<br />

There are several ways <strong>in</strong> which Canadian companies can participate <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> food markets <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>. Some<br />

understand<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> competitive nature <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Turkish food markets is necessary for Canadian companies to decide<br />

on <strong>the</strong> appropriate paradigm for <strong>the</strong>m.<br />

9


A. The Competitive Environment<br />

The packaged food market is quite competitive with many companies. The top five owners <strong>of</strong> global brands<br />

account for only 15.4 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales. Similarly, <strong>the</strong> top five owners <strong>of</strong> national brands account<br />

for only 14.3 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales.<br />

B. Pure Export<br />

The paradigm assumed <strong>in</strong> this paper is characterized by production <strong>in</strong> Canada by Canadian companies with sea<br />

or air transport to <strong>Turkey</strong> by any available carrier. Canadian companies normally cease to be <strong>in</strong>terested <strong>in</strong> a shipment<br />

when it is loaded onto a ship or airplane and payment is received. Transport, wholesal<strong>in</strong>g, distribut<strong>in</strong>g and retail<strong>in</strong>g<br />

is <strong>the</strong> responsibility <strong>of</strong> Turkish companies and at <strong>the</strong>ir risk. With this paradigm <strong>the</strong> emphasis is on identify<strong>in</strong>g<br />

products that Canadian companies can pr<strong>of</strong>itably export and Turkish companies can pr<strong>of</strong>itably import from Canada<br />

and f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g those Turkish buyers.<br />

C. Export with Agreements<br />

This paradigm is much <strong>the</strong> same as pure export except that Canadian companies enter <strong>in</strong>to various k<strong>in</strong>ds <strong>of</strong><br />

agreements with Turkish companies to participate <strong>in</strong> any one or more market<strong>in</strong>g functions such as wholesal<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

storage, distribut<strong>in</strong>g, advertis<strong>in</strong>g and / or retail<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

D. Franchis<strong>in</strong>g<br />

This paradigm is useful when direct market access is difficult. For compensation, a Canadian company can give<br />

legal permission for a Turkish company to produce one or more specific products and / or use a protected name /<br />

logo. This permission can be accompanied by restrictions to prevent competition with <strong>the</strong> Canadian company <strong>in</strong><br />

Canada or <strong>in</strong> a third market.<br />

E. Multi-National Operations<br />

This paradigm <strong>in</strong>cludes a mix <strong>of</strong> local (<strong>in</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>) production and imports to <strong>Turkey</strong>. It may also <strong>in</strong>clude <strong>the</strong><br />

performance <strong>of</strong> many market<strong>in</strong>g functions. Multi-nationals operate as if <strong>the</strong>re were no borders, plac<strong>in</strong>g production<br />

plants <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> most economic position <strong>in</strong> relation to sources <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>puts and <strong>the</strong> markets to be served. Tariffs and o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

trade barriers are costs <strong>of</strong> do<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess and <strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>the</strong> placement <strong>of</strong> production plants as <strong>the</strong>y affect economic<br />

and f<strong>in</strong>ancial considerations. If / when trade barriers fall, <strong>the</strong>se companies are <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> best position to adjust and<br />

benefit from <strong>the</strong> comparative advantages <strong>of</strong> many countries.<br />

Some multi-national companies active <strong>in</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong> are :<br />

- Nestle (Switzerland);<br />

- Unilever Group (UK);<br />

- Kraft <strong>Food</strong>s Inc. (USA);<br />

- Danone, Groupe (France);<br />

- Cadbury Schweppes Plc (UK);<br />

- PepsiCo Inc. (USA).<br />

IV. RECENT ECONOMIC<br />

CONDITIONS<br />

A. The Macro-economy<br />

There are three measures <strong>of</strong> GDP:<br />

1) Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> annual GDP <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>, measured at purchas<strong>in</strong>g power parity (PPP)<br />

was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.89 percent per year. See<br />

Table 3.<br />

2) GDP measured <strong>in</strong> TRY at current prices was<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 24.02 percent per year, between<br />

1999 and 2009. See Table 3.<br />

10<br />

BILLION TRY<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

Figure 10. Annual GDP Measured at Fixed 1998<br />

prices. <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Source: Central Bank <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Republic <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009


3) GDP measured <strong>in</strong> TRY at constant 1998 prices. See Figure 10.<br />

In 2000 - 2001, <strong>Turkey</strong> experienced two politico-economic crises <strong>in</strong> three months requir<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>tervention <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> IMF. These crises probably had an effect on consumers and accounts for some discont<strong>in</strong>uities <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> time series<br />

<strong>of</strong> retail sales per household <strong>of</strong> many food products <strong>in</strong> 2000, 2001 or <strong>in</strong> later years. At <strong>the</strong> time <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se crises,<br />

consumers appear to have rapidly reduced purchases <strong>of</strong> non-basic food products. These discont<strong>in</strong>uities <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> data are<br />

noted below <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> section “C” which discusses trends <strong>in</strong> household expenditures and volumes <strong>of</strong> purchases.<br />

Table 3. Annual Rates <strong>of</strong> Change <strong>of</strong> Measures <strong>of</strong> GDP and<br />

GDP per Person. <strong>Turkey</strong>. 1999 to 2009.<br />

GDP at Current Prices GDP Per Person at Current Prices<br />

TRY<br />

(% / Year)<br />

PPP<br />

(% / Year)<br />

TRY<br />

(% / Year)<br />

11<br />

INDEX<br />

8,000.0<br />

7,000.0<br />

6,000.0<br />

5,000.0<br />

4,000.0<br />

3,000.0<br />

2,000.0<br />

1,000.0<br />

0.0<br />

PPP<br />

(% / Year)<br />

1990<br />

1992<br />

1994<br />

1996<br />

CAD<br />

(% / Year)<br />

24.02 7.89 22.45 6.52 7.48<br />

Source: Calculated from data from Euromonitor and <strong>the</strong> Pacific<br />

Exchange Rate Service. (August 2010)<br />

Historically, <strong>in</strong>flation has been a problem for<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> period 1990 to 2000 <strong>the</strong> consumer<br />

price <strong>in</strong>dex was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 79.88 percent<br />

per year. Recently, this has been reduced considerably.<br />

Data from Euromonitor <strong>in</strong>dicate that between 2007<br />

and 2009, consumer prices <strong>in</strong>creased at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.34<br />

percent per year. Forecasts <strong>in</strong>dicate that <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>flation<br />

rate will be 4.22 percent after 2009. See Figure 11.<br />

B. Determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> <strong>Food</strong> Demand and<br />

Imports<br />

The rate <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> amount <strong>of</strong> agri-food<br />

products demanded <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> market is <strong>in</strong>fluenced by <strong>the</strong><br />

rates <strong>of</strong> change <strong>of</strong>: population, product prices and<br />

<strong>in</strong>come per person or per household.<br />

1998<br />

2000<br />

2002<br />

2004<br />

2006<br />

Consumer Price Index <strong>Food</strong> & Non-Alc Bev Price Index<br />

Figure 11. Price Indices <strong>of</strong> All Consumer Goods and<br />

<strong>Food</strong> & Non-alcoholic Beverages, 1995 =<br />

100. <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Source: Data from Euromonitor.<br />

As noted above, between 2006 and 2009 <strong>the</strong><br />

population <strong>in</strong>creased at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.29 percent per year -<br />

quite rapid relative to some o<strong>the</strong>r countries. Figure 11 presents <strong>the</strong> price <strong>in</strong>dices <strong>of</strong> all consumer products and food &<br />

non-alcoholic beverages. Generally, food & beverage prices were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g slower than prices <strong>of</strong> all consumer<br />

prices. Between 2007 to 2009 <strong>the</strong> prices <strong>of</strong> all consumer goods <strong>in</strong>creased at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.34 percent per year while <strong>the</strong><br />

prices <strong>of</strong> food and non-alcoholic beverages <strong>in</strong>crease at a rate <strong>of</strong> 4.84 percent per year. See Table 4.<br />

2008


Table 4. Rates <strong>of</strong> Change <strong>of</strong>: Prices <strong>of</strong> <strong>Food</strong> and Non-alcoholic<br />

Beverages; Prices <strong>of</strong> All Consumer Goods and;<br />

Household Disposable Income. <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Time Period <strong>Food</strong> and Nonalcoholic<br />

Beverage Prices<br />

(% per Year)<br />

12<br />

All Consumer<br />

Prices<br />

(% per Year)<br />

CAD PER TRY<br />

5.00<br />

4.50<br />

4.00<br />

3.50<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

Jan-99<br />

Jan-00<br />

Jan-01<br />

Jan-02<br />

Household<br />

Disposable<br />

Income<br />

(% per Year)<br />

1990 to 2009 47.32 49.15 51.55<br />

1990 to 2000 79.41 79.88 82.51<br />

2000 to 2009 14.26 15.84 18.91<br />

2007 to 2009 4.84 8.34 4.29<br />

2010 to 2020<br />

(Forecast)<br />

n/a 4.22 5.33<br />

Source: Calculated from data from Euromonitor. (March 2010)<br />

Over <strong>the</strong> period 1990 to 2008, household disposable <strong>in</strong>come was generally <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g faster than <strong>the</strong> prices <strong>of</strong><br />

both food & non-alcoholic beverages and all consumer goods. The exception is <strong>the</strong> 2007 to 2009, 24 month period<br />

when prices <strong>of</strong> all consumer goods and food & non-alcoholic beverages both <strong>in</strong>creased faster than household<br />

disposable <strong>in</strong>come.<br />

Normally <strong>the</strong> high rates <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>flation would have<br />

negative <strong>in</strong>fluences on <strong>the</strong> demand for food but <strong>the</strong><br />

faster <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> household disposable <strong>in</strong>come <strong>of</strong>fsets<br />

<strong>the</strong>se with a positive <strong>in</strong>fluence on <strong>the</strong> demand for food.<br />

The quantities <strong>of</strong> agri-food and seafood products<br />

that <strong>Turkey</strong> imports from Canada is <strong>in</strong>fluenced by<br />

many factors <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g: relative costs <strong>of</strong> production <strong>in</strong><br />

Canada compared to <strong>Turkey</strong> and o<strong>the</strong>r competitors;<br />

transportation costs; consumer preferences and; <strong>the</strong><br />

changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> exchange rate between <strong>the</strong> TRY and <strong>the</strong><br />

CAD compared to that <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> currencies <strong>of</strong> our<br />

competitors <strong>in</strong> Turkish markets.<br />

Figure 12 presents <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> TRY <strong>in</strong> CADs.<br />

After a major decrease <strong>in</strong> value from 1999 to about<br />

2002 <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> TRY has leveled out or is<br />

decreas<strong>in</strong>g more slowly.<br />

Jan-03<br />

Jan-04<br />

Jan-05<br />

Jan-06<br />

Jan-07<br />

Jan-08<br />

Jan-09<br />

Figure 12. Value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Turkish Lira (CAD Per<br />

TRY). Jan, 1999 to Mar, 2010.<br />

Source: Pacific Exchange Rate Service.<br />

Table 5 presents <strong>the</strong> rates <strong>of</strong> change <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> TRY <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> CAD, USD, RUB and <strong>the</strong> UAH<br />

over three time periods. Over <strong>the</strong> period January 1999 to March 2010, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> TRY was decreas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />

relation to <strong>the</strong> CAD and Canada ranked 4 th <strong>in</strong> exchange rate advantage. Exchange rates tend to provide Ukra<strong>in</strong>ian<br />

exporters with an advantage over Canadian exporters. Canadian exporters will have to compete on o<strong>the</strong>r aspects <strong>of</strong><br />

trade such as quality, delivery tim<strong>in</strong>g, followup service, appropriate quantities, tastes & preferences, packag<strong>in</strong>g etc.<br />

Jan-10


While <strong>the</strong> strong CAD may not favour Canadian exporter, it does favour companies consider<strong>in</strong>g mak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Table 5. Annual Rates <strong>of</strong> Change <strong>in</strong> Selected Exchange Rates and Rank<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong><br />

Exchange Rate Advantages.<br />

Dates CAD Per TRY<br />

(% Per Year)<br />

(Rank)<br />

Jan 1999 to Dec<br />

2002<br />

Jan 2002 to Dec<br />

2005<br />

Jan 2005 to Mar<br />

2010<br />

Apr 2009 to Mar<br />

2010<br />

-34.86<br />

(3)<br />

-4.67<br />

(4)<br />

-4.37<br />

(4)<br />

-10.29<br />

(4)<br />

Sources: Pacific Exchange Rate Service.<br />

* National Bank <strong>of</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

USD Per TRY<br />

(% Per Year)<br />

(Rank)<br />

13<br />

-36.17<br />

(4)<br />

3.80<br />

(1)<br />

-2.27<br />

(3)<br />

RUB Per TRY<br />

(% Per Year)<br />

(Rank)<br />

-30.96<br />

(2)<br />

0.02<br />

(2)<br />

-0.31<br />

(2)<br />

UAH Per TRY*<br />

(% Per Year)<br />

(Rank)<br />

C. Recent Trends <strong>in</strong> Household Retail Expenditures and Sales Volume<br />

The data <strong>in</strong> this section were obta<strong>in</strong>ed from Euromonitor dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> period May and July, 2010. Euromonitor<br />

updates its databases regularly and future data may not correspond exactly to <strong>the</strong> data presented here.<br />

4.75<br />

(2)<br />

-6.53<br />

(3)<br />

-28.37<br />

(1)<br />

-1.50<br />

(3)<br />

8.20<br />

(1)<br />

11.51<br />

(1)<br />

Between 1999 and 2009, household disposable <strong>in</strong>come was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at an estimate rate <strong>of</strong> 24.80 percent per<br />

year. This will affect <strong>the</strong> values and volumes <strong>of</strong> retail sales <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> products discussed below, accord<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>come<br />

elasticities <strong>of</strong> demand exhibited by <strong>the</strong> households. The changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> prices <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> products discussed below will<br />

affect <strong>the</strong> values and volumes <strong>of</strong> sales accord<strong>in</strong>g to both <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>come elasticity <strong>of</strong> demand and <strong>the</strong> own price<br />

elasticities <strong>of</strong> demand exhibited by <strong>the</strong> households.<br />

The 2009 exchange rate used <strong>in</strong> this section is TRY 1.00 = CAD 0.733133.<br />

1. Confectionery Products<br />

Chocolate Confectionery<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> chocolate confectionery was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 15.4 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 21.7 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

90.86 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 5.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 5.241<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 95,400 t worth TRY 1,653.5 million (CAD 1,212.2 million).<br />

In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top two companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Ulker Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS and Nestle Gida<br />

Sanayii AS) accounted for 61.9 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next three companies (Marsa Kraft Gida<br />

Sanayii ve Ticaret AS, Eti Gida Sanayii ve Ticaret AS and Ferrero SpA) accounted for 16.7 percent.<br />

Prospects: Over <strong>the</strong> next few years <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales <strong>of</strong> chocolate confectionery is expected to cont<strong>in</strong>ue to


grow based on tablets conta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g expensive <strong>in</strong>gredients such as almonds. These will be promoted and<br />

prices may rise. However <strong>the</strong> prices <strong>of</strong> countl<strong>in</strong>es and boxed chocolates will be under pressure result<strong>in</strong>g<br />

from competition from chocolate covered biscuits, crisps / chips and snack bars.<br />

Sugar Confectionery<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> sugar confectionery was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 15.0 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 16.6 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

32.48 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: In 2001, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household fell sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

reach<strong>in</strong>g 2.745 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.4<br />

percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 50,000 t worth TRY 591.1 million (CAD 433.4 million).<br />

In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top two companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Kent Gida Maddeleri Sanayii ve Ticaret AS and<br />

Ülker Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS) accounted for 58.9 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market, The next three companies<br />

(Frito-Lay Gida Sanayii ve Ticaret AS, Perfetti Van Melle Group and Haribo GmbH & Co KG)<br />

accounted for 8.0 percent.<br />

Prospects: The general economic problems <strong>of</strong> 2008 are result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> changes that will negatively affect <strong>the</strong> price and<br />

value <strong>of</strong> retail sales <strong>of</strong> sugar confectionery: a switch to cheaper products; <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g share <strong>of</strong> private<br />

labels and; price promotions by manufacturers <strong>in</strong> an effort to boost volume sales. The most popular forms<br />

<strong>of</strong> sugar confectionery are pastilles, gums, jellies and chews and <strong>the</strong>y are <strong>the</strong> only sub-categories <strong>of</strong> sugar<br />

confectionery expected to show positive growth through 2014.<br />

Gum<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> gum was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 16.5 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 18.6 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

27.71 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.8 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.548<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 10,000 t worth TRY 504.2 million (CAD 369.6 million).<br />

In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top two companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Dandy Gida Sanayii ve Ticaret AS and Perfetti<br />

Van Melle Group) accounted for 66.9 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next three companies (Kent Gida<br />

Maddeleeri Sanayii ve Ticaret AS, Ülker Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS and Baycan Gida Sanayii ve Ticaret<br />

AS) accounted for 16.7 percent.<br />

Prospects: Sugarized gum and bubble gum are expected to decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> value and volume <strong>of</strong> sales as <strong>the</strong>y become less<br />

popular. Sugar-free gum is expected to be <strong>the</strong> only category to experience positive growth <strong>in</strong> retail<br />

volume.<br />

2. Bakery Products<br />

In 2008, artisanal producers dom<strong>in</strong>ated sales with 97.3 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. This is due to <strong>the</strong> popularity <strong>of</strong><br />

unpackaged / artisanal bread and pastries. Mult<strong>in</strong>ationals’ imported products represent a negligible portion <strong>of</strong> sales.<br />

Bread<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> bread was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 18.5 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 18.6 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

1,379.79 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was volatile, ris<strong>in</strong>g 4.8 percent from 1999 to 2002 <strong>the</strong>n fall<strong>in</strong>g<br />

-3.0 percent from 2002 to 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.1<br />

percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 608.000 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 11,064,700 t worth TRY 25,110.2 million (CAD 18,409.1<br />

million).<br />

14


Pastries<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> pastries <strong>in</strong>creased steeply until 2003 <strong>the</strong>n much slower until 2009.<br />

A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.7 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household also <strong>in</strong>creased steeply until 2003 and <strong>the</strong>n was quite stable until<br />

2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 value data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.7 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g<br />

TRY 18.85 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -1.8 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 1.169 Kg <strong>in</strong><br />

2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 21,300 t worth TRY 343.0 million (CAD 251.5 million).<br />

Cakes<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> cakes <strong>in</strong>creased sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it <strong>in</strong>creased much more<br />

slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> price data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.9 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 14.4 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

84.04 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> sales per household fell slightly <strong>in</strong> 2001 and <strong>the</strong>n <strong>in</strong>creased sharply reach<strong>in</strong>g 8.862 Kg <strong>in</strong><br />

2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 3.2 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 161,300 t worth TRY 1,529.3 million (CAD 1,121.2 million).<br />

Biscuits<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> biscuits <strong>in</strong>creased sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it <strong>in</strong>creased much<br />

more slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.2 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 14.9 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

72.45 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 3.3 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 11.486<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 209,000 t worth TRY 1,318.4 million (CAD 966.6 million).<br />

In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top two companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Ülker Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS and Eti Gida<br />

Sanayii ve Ticaret AS) accounted for 83.1 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next three companies (Rekor Gida<br />

AS, Saray Biskuvi ve Gida Sanayi and Bifa Biskuvi ve Gida Sanayii AS) accounted for 3.1 percent.<br />

Prospects: Savoury biscuits and crackers are expected to experience a decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales as demand<br />

shifts to extruded snacks and pretzels. Filled biscuits are expected to experience <strong>the</strong> highest growth rate<br />

through 2014 due to a high number <strong>of</strong> new products.<br />

Breakfast Cereals<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> breakfast cereals was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 13.7 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 14.9 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

6.04 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g from 1999 to 2003 <strong>the</strong>n <strong>in</strong>creased sharply to<br />

2009 reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.407 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.1<br />

percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 7,400 t worth TRY 110.0 million (CAD 80.6 million).<br />

In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top two companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Nestle gida Sanayii AS and Ülker Gida Sanayi ve<br />

Ticaret AS) accounted for 81.7 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next three companies (Dr Oetker Gida Sanayi<br />

AS, Eti Gida Sanayii ve Ticaret AS and Ucel Gida ve Kimya Sanayii) accounted for 5.8 percent.<br />

Prospects: Breakfast cereals are expected to experience positive growth through 2014 but at a lower rate than <strong>in</strong><br />

recent years when <strong>the</strong> growth rate was particularly high. Flakes are expected to cont<strong>in</strong>ue to experience<br />

<strong>the</strong> highest growth. Advertis<strong>in</strong>g target<strong>in</strong>g women and children will add to sales growth. Muesli is<br />

expected to experience <strong>the</strong> second highest growth rate. Prices will <strong>in</strong>crease slightly due to <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g<br />

costs <strong>of</strong> material.<br />

15


3. Ice Cream<br />

Generally, <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>in</strong> retail sales volume will be slower than <strong>in</strong> past years due to <strong>the</strong> economic recession.<br />

Prices will decrease due to consumers’ price sensitivity and fierce competition among <strong>the</strong> top three manufacturers.<br />

Impulse Ice Cream<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> impulse ice cream was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased much more slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.1 percent<br />

per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 18.6 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

54.66 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.7 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 5.247<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 95.5 million Lt worth TRY 994.8 million (CAD 729.3 million).<br />

In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top three companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Unilever Sanayii ve Ticaret Türk AS, Üker Gida<br />

Sanayi ve Ticaret AS and Has Gida Sanayii ve Ticaret AS) accounted for 99.0 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market.<br />

Take Home Ice Cream<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> take home ice cream was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.8 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 22.3 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

21.57 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.3 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 3.359<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 61.1 million Lt worth TRY 392.6 million (CAD 287.8 million).<br />

In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top two companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Unilever Sanayii ve Ticaret Türk AS and Has<br />

Gida Sanayii ve Ticaret AS) accounted for 92.7 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next three companies (Üker<br />

Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS, General Mills Inc. and Nestle Gida Sanayii AS) accounted for 6.4 percent.<br />

Prospects: Take-home ice cream will experience <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sales due to an <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g number <strong>of</strong> ice cream desserts<br />

and <strong>the</strong> launch <strong>of</strong> new premium bulk ice cream brands.<br />

Artisanal Ice Cream<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> artisanal ice cream was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.7 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 14.8 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

10.80 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: From 1999 to 2002, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household decl<strong>in</strong>ed slightly. From 2002 to 2009 <strong>the</strong><br />

volume <strong>in</strong>creased sharply. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 3.7 percent per<br />

year reach<strong>in</strong>g 1.650 Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 30.0 million Lt worth TRY 196.6 million (CAD 144.1 million).<br />

4. Dairy Products<br />

Dr<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g Milk Products (Milk, Flavoured Milk Dr<strong>in</strong>ks)<br />

Market: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top two companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (P<strong>in</strong>ar Süt Mamülleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS and<br />

Ülker Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS), accounted for 42.0 percent <strong>of</strong> retail sales. The next three companies<br />

(Danone Tikvesli Gida ve Icecek San ve AS, Dimes Gida San ve Ticaret AS and Tat Konserve Sanayii<br />

AS) accounted for 18.2 percent.<br />

Prospects: Generally <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>in</strong> retail sales will be slower <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> next few years than <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> recent past due to <strong>the</strong><br />

economic recession. Manufacturers are expected to <strong>of</strong>fer more value-added products, such as milk<br />

products fortified by vitam<strong>in</strong>s, m<strong>in</strong>erals, honey and coconut. Fat free long-life / UHT milk is expected to<br />

have <strong>the</strong> highest rate <strong>of</strong> growth.<br />

Milk<br />

16


Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> milk <strong>in</strong>creased sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was stable. A trend<br />

l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.6 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household <strong>of</strong> dr<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g milk <strong>in</strong>creased sharply from 1999 to 2003, was stable<br />

for three years <strong>the</strong>n <strong>in</strong>creased at a slower rate from 2005 to 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009<br />

data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 47.05 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2009 <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household forms a “V”, decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g sharply from<br />

1999 to 2005 <strong>the</strong>n <strong>in</strong>creases sharply to 2009 reach<strong>in</strong>g 30.936 Lt. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009<br />

data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -0.1 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 563.0 million Lt worth TRY 856.2 million (CAD 627.7 million).<br />

Flavoured Milk<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> flavoured milk was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.5 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 16.1 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

3.87 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 4.2 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 1.063<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 19.3 million Lt worth TRY 70.5 million (CAD 51.7 million).<br />

Cheese<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> cheese was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was quite<br />

stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.8 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 12.0 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

73.25 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: From 1999 to 2004, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g. From 2004 to 2009 it was<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 2.0 percent per year<br />

reach<strong>in</strong>g 5.905 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 107,500 t worth TRY 1,333.1 million (CAD 977.3 million).<br />

In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top three companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Bahçivan Gida Sanayi ve Tic AS, Sütas AS and<br />

P<strong>in</strong>ar Süt Mamülleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS) accounted for 39.1 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next two<br />

companies (Ülker Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS and Yorsan Gida Mamülleri AS) accounted for 16.7<br />

percent.<br />

Prospects: Generally, <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>in</strong> retail sales will be slower <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> future than it was <strong>in</strong> recent years. Spreadable<br />

unprocessed cheese is <strong>the</strong> sub-category expected to show <strong>the</strong> most dynamic growth. It is becom<strong>in</strong>g<br />

popular as an easy way for children to consume s<strong>of</strong>t cheese.<br />

Yoghurt<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2009, The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household <strong>of</strong> yoghurt was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong><br />

11.8 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 173.55 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market was worth TRY 3,158.4 million (CAD 2,315.5 million).<br />

In 2008, artisanal yoghurt cont<strong>in</strong>ued to be <strong>the</strong> major source, account<strong>in</strong>g for 64.5 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong><br />

retail sales. The top three corporate manufacturers (Danone Tikesli Gida ve Icecek San ve Tic AS, Sütas<br />

AS and Ülker Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS) accounted for 22.2 percent. The next two companies (P<strong>in</strong>ar Süt<br />

Mamülleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS and Yorsan Gida Mamülleri AS) accounted for 5.7 percent.<br />

Prospects: The growth <strong>in</strong> retail sales is expected to be slower <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> near future than it was <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> recent past because<br />

<strong>the</strong> market is already quite mature and <strong>the</strong> effects <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economic recession. The sub-sector expected to<br />

experience <strong>the</strong> most dynamic growth is flavoured or fruited spoonable yoghurts - ma<strong>in</strong>ly targeted at<br />

children.<br />

Sour Milk<br />

Price: Between 2004 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> sour milk was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.3 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 51.4 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

3.85 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

17


Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 51.0 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 1.040<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 18.9 million Lt worth TRY 70.1 million (CAD 51.4 million).<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Dairy Products (Chilled and Shelf Stable Desserts, C<strong>of</strong>fee Whiteners and Cream)<br />

Market: In 2008, Nestlé Gida Sanayii accounted for 23 percent <strong>of</strong> market share.<br />

Prospects: In <strong>the</strong> near future, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales are expected to grow slower than <strong>the</strong>y did <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> recent past,<br />

due to <strong>the</strong> recession. Prices are expected to decl<strong>in</strong>e result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> a negative growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail<br />

sales.<br />

Chilled and Shelf Stable Desserts<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> chilled and shelf stable desserts was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003<br />

to 2009 it was quite stable, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at<br />

a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.6 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 13.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

4.45 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: In 2001, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household fell sharply. From 2001 to 2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g<br />

quickly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 -2009 data was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 2.6 percent per year<br />

reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.588 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 10,700 t worth TRY 75.5 million (CAD 55.4 million).<br />

Prospects: Volume sales are expected to be <strong>the</strong> best <strong>of</strong> all “o<strong>the</strong>r dairy products” with new products.<br />

C<strong>of</strong>fee Whiteners<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> c<strong>of</strong>fee whiteners was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it<br />

decreased slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.6 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003 <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it decreased sharply reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.19 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 3.2 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -5.9 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.014<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 300 t worth TRY 3.5 million (CAD 2.6 million).<br />

Cream<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> cream was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was quite<br />

stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.2 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was quite stable, decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g only slightly reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.80 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong><br />

1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.7 percent per year.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2006, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2006 to<br />

2009, it <strong>in</strong>creased slightly reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.112 Kg. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data decreases at a<br />

rate <strong>of</strong> -1.4 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 2,000 t worth TRY 14.6 million (CAD 10.7 million).<br />

5. Sweet and Savoury Snacks<br />

Market: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top three companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Frito-Lay Gida Sanayii ve Ticaret AS, Tadim<br />

Gida Maddeleri Sanayii ve Ticaret AS and Marsa Kraft Gida Sanayii ve Ticaret AS), accounted for 55.3<br />

percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next two companies (Papagan Kuruyemis AS and Malatya Pazari<br />

Kuruyemiscilik Koll Sti) accounted for 12.5 percent.<br />

18


Prospects: Manufacturers are expected to <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>the</strong> range <strong>of</strong> products <strong>of</strong>fered and to <strong>in</strong>crease advertis<strong>in</strong>g and<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r market<strong>in</strong>g activities <strong>in</strong> order to m<strong>in</strong>imize <strong>the</strong> effects <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economic slowdown. Dur<strong>in</strong>g economic<br />

slowdowns, consumers tend to spend more time at home where <strong>the</strong>y tend to eat sweet and savoury snacks<br />

while watch<strong>in</strong>g TV or enterta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g guests.<br />

Fruit Snacks<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> fruit snacks was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.1 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.4 percent<br />

per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 28.89 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> volume data forms a “V”. From 1999 to 2005 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply.<br />

From 2005 to 2009, it <strong>in</strong>creased sharply to reach 3.747 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 -2009<br />

volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.3 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 68,200 t worth TRY 525.7 million (CAD 385.4 million).<br />

Chips / Crisps<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> chips / crisps was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 12.4 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 13.7 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

18.30 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 2000 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g. From 2002 to 2009 it<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased sharply, reach<strong>in</strong>g 1.426 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a<br />

rate <strong>of</strong> 1.2 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 26,000 t worth TRY 333.0 million (CAD 244.1 million).<br />

Extruded Snacks<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> extruded snacks was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.9 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.9 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

8.87 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: From 2000 to 2003, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009<br />

it <strong>in</strong>creased sharply reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.768 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data does not<br />

provide a rate <strong>of</strong> change.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 14,000 t worth TRY 161.5 million (CAD 118.4 million).<br />

Tortilla / Corn Chips<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> tortilla / corn chips was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 15.4 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 16.6 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

15.81 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: From 2000 to 2002, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009,<br />

it <strong>in</strong>creased sharply, reach<strong>in</strong>g 1.189 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a<br />

rate <strong>of</strong> 1.1 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 21,600 t worth TRY 287.7 million (CAD 210.9 million).<br />

Popcorn<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> popcorn was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.6 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.1 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 2.29<br />

<strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: In 2002 <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household fell sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it decreased slowly<br />

reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.188 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -0.5 percent<br />

per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 3,400 t worth TRY 41.7 million (CAD 30.6 million).<br />

19


Pretzels<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> pretzels was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it decreased<br />

slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 6.7 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 2.08<br />

<strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 2.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.350<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 6,400 t worth TRY 37.8 million (CAD 27.7 million).<br />

Nuts<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> nuts was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it decreased slowly.<br />

A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 6.1 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it decl<strong>in</strong>ed very slowly reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 21.32 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2000 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.0 percent per year.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2005, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2005 to<br />

2009 it decreased sharply, reach<strong>in</strong>g 1.501 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong><br />

0.8 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 27,300 t worth TRY 387.9 million (CAD 284.4 million).<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Sweet and Savoury Snacks<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r sweet and savoury snacks was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003<br />

to 2009 it was quite steady, decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g only slightly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at<br />

a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.3 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was quite steady, decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g only slightly reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 1.14 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong><br />

1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.3 percent per year.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 an 2004, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2004 to<br />

2009 it <strong>in</strong>creased sharply, reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.266 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data does not<br />

provide a rate <strong>of</strong> change.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 4,800 t worth TRY 20.7 million (CAD 15.2 million).<br />

6. Snack Bars<br />

Market: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> market for snack bars was essentially a duopoly. The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> two<br />

companies (Tadim Gida Maddeleri Sanayii ve Ticaret AS and Ülker Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS)<br />

accounted for 95.0 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market.<br />

Prospects: Before 2007, <strong>the</strong> sales <strong>of</strong> snack bars was negligible. There is a market opportunity for snack bars among<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>’s young and <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g number <strong>of</strong> work<strong>in</strong>g people but <strong>in</strong> order to become established,<br />

significant advertis<strong>in</strong>g and promotional <strong>in</strong>vestment will be required. Unit prices are expected to decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> near future due to price competition and <strong>the</strong> economic recession.<br />

Granola / Muesli bars<br />

Price: Between 2007 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> granola / muesli bars was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.8 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 141.1 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

0.87 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 136.8 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.034<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 600 t worth TRY 15.9 million (CAD 11.7 million).<br />

20


7. Meal Replacement Products<br />

Meal Replacement Slimm<strong>in</strong>g Products<br />

Price: Between 2001 and 2006, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> meal replacement slimm<strong>in</strong>g products was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. In 2007, <strong>the</strong> it<br />

fell sharply <strong>the</strong>n <strong>in</strong>creased slowly to 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 2001 - 2009 data decreases at a rate<br />

<strong>of</strong> -2.1 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 70.4 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

1.79 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 74.1 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.026<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 500 t worth TRY 32.6 million (CAD 23.9 million). The market<br />

for meal replacement slimm<strong>in</strong>g products is essentially a monopoly with 92.1 percent (2008) held by<br />

Herbalife International Urunleri Ticaret Ltd Sti.<br />

Prospects: The company is expected to step up <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> promotional activities and expand its direct sell<strong>in</strong>g<br />

network although prices are expected to decrease due to consumers’ price sensitivity and <strong>the</strong> economic<br />

recession.<br />

8. Soup<br />

Market: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top three companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Unilever Sanayii ve Ticaret Türk AS, Ülker<br />

Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS and Nestle Gida Sanayii AS) accounted for 88.3 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The<br />

next two companies (Tukas Turgutlu Konserve San AS and Marsan Gida San ve Tic AS) accounted for<br />

4.6 percent.<br />

Prospects: Generally, soup is expected to experience slower volume growth due to <strong>the</strong> recession. However new<br />

products are expected to be a source <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased sales. Instant soup is also expected to experience<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased sales volume. In general prices are not expected to move significantly. However, <strong>in</strong>stant soup is<br />

expected to experience price decl<strong>in</strong>es due to <strong>the</strong> competition from new products. UHT soup is expected to<br />

experience price <strong>in</strong>creases due to <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>of</strong> new higher prices products.<br />

Dehydrated Soup<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> dehydrated soup was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was<br />

quite stable, decreas<strong>in</strong>g only slightly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.1<br />

percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 12.0 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

6.42 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply, reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.680 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 2.7 percent.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 12,400 t worth TRY 116.8 million (CAD 85.6 million).<br />

Instant Soup<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>stant soup was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it rema<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

quite stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.0 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.2 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.63<br />

<strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Beween 2000 and 2005, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2005 to<br />

2009 it <strong>in</strong>creased sharply reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.019 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases<br />

at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.3 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 300 t worth TRY 11.5 million (CAD 8.4 million).<br />

21


UHT Soup<br />

Price: Between 2007 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> UHT soup <strong>in</strong>creased at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.1 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household <strong>in</strong>creased at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.6 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.09 <strong>in</strong><br />

2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.0107<br />

Kg per household.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 200 t worth TRY 1.7 million (CAD 1.2 million).<br />

9. Pasta<br />

Market: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top three companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Filiz Gida San ve Ticaret AS, Nuhun Ankara<br />

Makarnasi and Tat Konserve Sanayii AS), accounted for 72.1 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next two<br />

companies (Marsan Gida San ve Tic AS and Selva Gida San AS) accounted for 15.1 percent.<br />

Prospects: Consumer demand is expected to shift to good quality but competitively priced products. The value <strong>of</strong><br />

sales is expected to decl<strong>in</strong>e due to lower prices made possible by expected lower wheat prices. (This<br />

expectation may have changed recently). Companies are develop<strong>in</strong>g different pasta styles and pasta<br />

sauces that are like traditional homemade foods ra<strong>the</strong>r than Italian tastes.<br />

Dried Pasta<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> dried pasta was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was quite<br />

stable, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.5<br />

percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g slowly, reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 27.49 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.6 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.0 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 17.569<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 319,700 t worth TRY 500.2 million (CAD 366.7 million).<br />

10. Canned / Preserved <strong>Food</strong><br />

Market: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top three companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Dardanel Onetas Gida Sanayii AS, Tat<br />

Konserve Sanayii AS and Tamek Gida ve Konsantre Sanayi AS), accounted for 38.1 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

market. The next two companies (Kerevitas AS and Tukas Turgutlu Konserve San AS) accounted for<br />

16.5 percent.<br />

Prospects: The busier lifestyles <strong>of</strong> Turkish consumers will cont<strong>in</strong>ue to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> demand. Volume growth <strong>of</strong> sales <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> next few years are expected to be slower than <strong>in</strong> recent years. However, it is expected to experience<br />

positive pressure from new products and packag<strong>in</strong>g developments. The value <strong>of</strong> sales is expected to<br />

decl<strong>in</strong>e due to <strong>the</strong> economic recession and price competition. The volume <strong>of</strong> sales <strong>of</strong> canned / preserved<br />

fruit is expected to be <strong>the</strong> best performer <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> next few years.<br />

Canned / Preserved Fish / Seafood<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> canned / preserved fish / seafood was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From<br />

2003 to 2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g much slower. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate<br />

<strong>of</strong> 9.8 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it <strong>in</strong>creased much slower, reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 1.87 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.9 percent per year.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was volatile but generally <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g<br />

sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.155 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 -<br />

2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.5 percent.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 2,800 t worth TRY 34.1 million (CAD 25.0 million).<br />

22


Canned / Preserved Vegetables<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> canned / preserved vegetables was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.9<br />

percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.8 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

6.29 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 to 2005, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was volatile but generally decreas<strong>in</strong>g<br />

sharply. From 2005 to 2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g, reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.921 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 -<br />

2009 data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -0.05 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 16,800 t worth TRY 114.5 million (CAD 83.9 million).<br />

Canned / Preserved Tomatoes<br />

Price: Between 1998 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> canned / preserved tomatoes was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 14.2 percent<br />

per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 14.8 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

0.16 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: In 2002, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household <strong>in</strong>creased sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it decl<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

quickly reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.024 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.5<br />

percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 400 t worth TRY 2.9 million (CAD 2.1 million).<br />

Canned / Preserved Beans<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> canned / preserved beans was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was quite stable, decreas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a<br />

rate <strong>of</strong> 8.6 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it <strong>in</strong>creased very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.4 percent<br />

per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.16 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: From 2000 to 2002, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household decreased sharply, <strong>the</strong>n decl<strong>in</strong>ed slowly until<br />

2005. From 2005 to 2009 it was generally <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.030 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong><br />

1999 - 2009 data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -0.1 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 100 t worth TRY 2.9 million (CAD 2.1 million).<br />

Canned / Preserved Fruit<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> canned / preserved fruit was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 16.7 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 17.1 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

0.06 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: From 2001 to 2004, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2004 to 2009<br />

it was stable reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.007 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong><br />

0.3 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 100 t worth TRY 1.1 million (CAD 0.8 million).<br />

Canned / Preserved Ready Meals<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> canned / preserved ready meals was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003<br />

to 2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.6<br />

percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 to 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009<br />

it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 1.19 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.0 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -2.3 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.158<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 2,900 t worth TRY 21.7 million (CAD 15.9 million).<br />

23


11. Frozen Processed <strong>Food</strong><br />

Market: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top three companies by value <strong>of</strong> sales (Kerevitas AS, P<strong>in</strong>ar Entegre Et ve Yem Sanayii AS<br />

and Harika Gida San AS), accounted for 71.8 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next two companies (P<strong>in</strong>ar<br />

Deniz Ürunleri AS and Bolpat Bolu Patates San ve Tic AS) accounted for 10.0 percent.<br />

Prospects: The demand cont<strong>in</strong>ues to be supported by ris<strong>in</strong>g employment, busier lifestyles and <strong>the</strong> grow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

prevalence <strong>of</strong> freezers. Growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> sales will experience positive <strong>in</strong>fluences from new<br />

products, improved distribution and <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> advertiz<strong>in</strong>g and promotional activities. The<br />

value <strong>of</strong> sales will be negatively affected by <strong>in</strong>creased preferences for cheaper products dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

economic recession The average price is expected to decl<strong>in</strong>e dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> next few years. The value <strong>of</strong> sales<br />

<strong>of</strong> frozen pizza is expected to grow <strong>the</strong> fastest over <strong>the</strong> next few years due to <strong>the</strong> ris<strong>in</strong>g number <strong>of</strong> s<strong>in</strong>gle<br />

work<strong>in</strong>g people and students <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> cities. Frozen ready meals will experience <strong>the</strong> second highest rate <strong>of</strong><br />

growth.<br />

Frozen Processed Red Meat<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> frozen processed red meat was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.5 percent<br />

per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.4 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

1.04 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: From 2000 to 2005, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply, From 2005 to 2009<br />

it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.042 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 to 2009 data decreases at a<br />

rate <strong>of</strong> -0.012 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 800 t worth TRY 18.9 million (CAD 13.9 million).<br />

Frozen Processed Poultry<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> frozen processed poultry was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 5.8 percent<br />

per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.16 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at<br />

a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.0 percent per year.<br />

Volume Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g quite quickly reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.008 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009<br />

data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.2 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 100 t worth TRY 2.9 million (CAD 2.1 million).<br />

Frozen Processed Fish / Seafood<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> frozen processed fish / seafood was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003<br />

to 2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong><br />

10.5 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.8 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

0.45 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 2000 and 2005, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2005 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.015 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.3 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 300 t worth TRY 8.2 million (CAD 6.0 million).<br />

Frozen Processed Vegetables<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> frozen processed vegetables was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it <strong>in</strong>creased slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.4 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.7 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

24


0.24 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. In 2003 it<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased sharply and <strong>the</strong>n <strong>in</strong>creased slowly reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.026 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 -<br />

2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.3 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 500 t worth TRY 4.4 million (CAD 3.2 million).<br />

Frozen Processed Potatoes<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> frozen processed potatoes was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.2 percent<br />

per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.9 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 1.44<br />

<strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2001, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2001 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g slower reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.386 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.6 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 7,000 t worth TRY 26.2 million (CAD 19.2 million).<br />

Frozen Bakery Products<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> frozen bakery products was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.3 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.7 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

1.58 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: From 1999 to 2003, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009<br />

it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g slowly reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.379 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases<br />

at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.3 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 6,900 t worth TRY 28.7 million (CAD 21.0 million).<br />

Frozen Ready Meals<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> frozen ready meals was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.2 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.7 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

0.38 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.047 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.5 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 900 t worth TRY 7.0 million (CAD 5.1 million).<br />

Frozen Pizza<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> frozen pizza was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was quite<br />

stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.3 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g slowly reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 1.63 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.4 percent per year.<br />

Volume: In 2001, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household fell sharply and <strong>the</strong>n cont<strong>in</strong>ued to fall slowly. From<br />

2005 to 2009 it <strong>in</strong>creased sharply reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.185 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.1 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 3,400 t worth TRY 29.6 million (CAD21.7 million).<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Frozen Processed <strong>Food</strong><br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r frozen processed food was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 6.7 percent<br />

per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

25


2009 it <strong>in</strong>creased very slowly reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.24 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.2 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 2.3 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.024<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 400 t worth TRY 4.3 million (CAD 3.2 million).<br />

12. Dried Processed <strong>Food</strong><br />

Market: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top two companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Reis Tarimsal Urunler San ve Tic AS and Filiz<br />

Gida San ve Ticaret AS) accounted for 26.3 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next three companies (Nuhun<br />

Ankara Makarnasi San ve Tic AS, Aral End Urunier San ve Tic AS and Unilever Sanayii ve Ticaret Türk<br />

AS) accounted for 22.9 percent.<br />

Prospects: Generally, <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>in</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales is expected to be slower <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> next few years than it was<br />

<strong>in</strong> recent years due to <strong>the</strong> economic recession. The average value <strong>of</strong> retail sales is expected to decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> next few years due to a shift to cheaper products and competition among companies.<br />

Rice<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> rice was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g<br />

more slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.0 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

41.50 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2005, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was volatile with no trend. From 2005<br />

to 2007 it <strong>in</strong>creases sharply <strong>the</strong>n was quite stable reach<strong>in</strong>g 12.261 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong><br />

1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.3 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 223,100 t worth TRY 755.2 million (CAD 553.7 million).<br />

Dessert Mixes<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> dessert mixes was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.7 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 14.2 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

3.79 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 3.2 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.288<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 5,200 t worth TRY 69.0 million (CAD 50.6 million).<br />

Dried Ready Meals<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> dried ready meals was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.5 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.2 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

0.19 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: In 2002, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household fell sharply and <strong>the</strong>n <strong>in</strong>creased slowly reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.022<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -1.2 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 400 t worth TRY 3.4 million (CAD 2.5 million).<br />

Dehydrated Soup<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> dehydrated soup was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was<br />

quite stable, decreas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.1<br />

percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 12.0 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

6.42 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g rapidly. From 2002 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g rapidly reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.680 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 <strong>in</strong>creases<br />

at a rate <strong>of</strong> 2.7 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 12,400 t worth TRY 116.8 million (CAD 85.6 million).<br />

26


Instant Soup<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>stant soup was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was quite<br />

stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.0 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.63 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at<br />

a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.2 percent per year.<br />

Volume: Between 2000 and 2004, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household fell rapidly. From 2005 to 2009 it<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased sharply reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.019 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate<br />

<strong>of</strong> 0.3 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 300 t worth TRY 11.5 million (CAD 8.4 million).<br />

Dried Pasta<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> dried pasta was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009, it <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.5 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g more slowly reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 27.49 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009<br />

data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.6 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.0 percent per year, reach<strong>in</strong>g 17.569<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 319,700 t worth TRY 500.2 million (CAD 366.7 million).<br />

13. Chilled Processed <strong>Food</strong><br />

Market: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top four companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (P<strong>in</strong>ar Entegre Et ve Yem Sanayii AS, Tat<br />

Konserve Sanayii AS, Aytac Gida AS and Banvit AS), accounted for 71.8 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The<br />

next company (Basyazici Et ve Gida San ve AS) accounted for 4.2 percent.<br />

Prospects: Current products are expected to experience a decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales. New products and<br />

improvements <strong>in</strong> distribution will provide a positive <strong>in</strong>fluence on demand. Price will be affected by<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g competition among companies.<br />

Chilled Processed Meats<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> chilled processed meats was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009<br />

it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g much more slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.0<br />

percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.6 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

41.56 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 2.4 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 1.868<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 34,000 t worth TRY 756.3 million (CAD 554.5 million).<br />

Chilled Fish / Seafood<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> chilled fish / seafood was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009, it<br />

was quite stable, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g slightly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.8<br />

percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was quite stable, reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.45 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases<br />

at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.5 percent per year.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to<br />

2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g quickly, reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.006 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -0.2 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 100 t worth TRY 8.2 million (CAD 6.0 million).<br />

27


Chilled Ready Meals<br />

Price: Between 2000 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> chilled ready meals was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it<br />

was decreas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 2000 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 3.0 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: Between 2000 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g much more slowly, reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.03 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 2000 -<br />

2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 6.8 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 3.6 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.003<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 100 t worth TRY 0.6 million (CAD 0.4 million).<br />

14. Oils and Fats<br />

Market: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top three companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Ülker Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS, Unilever<br />

Sanayii ve Ticaret Türk AS and Marsa Kraft Gida Sanayii ve Ticaret AS) accounted for 25.9 percent <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> market. The next two companies (Yudum Gida Sanayii ve Tic AS and Besler Et ve Gida Sanayii)<br />

accounted for 13.1 percent.<br />

Prospects: Sales <strong>of</strong> regular spreadable oils and fats will cont<strong>in</strong>ue to decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> near future because <strong>the</strong>y have an<br />

unhealthy image. Vegetable and seed oils are expected to experience both value and volume growth.<br />

Consumers are expected to ga<strong>in</strong> a better understand<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> healthy eat<strong>in</strong>g. This <strong>in</strong> turn is expected to<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>the</strong> demand for olive oil. In addition, olive oil manufacturers are expected to make packag<strong>in</strong>g<br />

more attractive and premium-oriented. Functional spreadable oils are expected to experience positive<br />

volume growth and manufacturers will <strong>in</strong>troduce products fortified with vitam<strong>in</strong>s, m<strong>in</strong>erals and herbs.<br />

Olive Oil<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> olive oil was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 19.1 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 20.8 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

46.73 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was volatile but a trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.4 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 3.825 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 69,600 t worth TRY 850.4 million (CAD 623.5 million).<br />

Vegetable & Seed Oil<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> vegetable & seed oil was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 20.0 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 20.7 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

144.31 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was volatile but a trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.6 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 36.745 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 668,700 t worth TRY 2,626.2 million (CAD 1,925.4 million).<br />

Butter<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> butter was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g<br />

very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.9 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g slowly, reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 39.76 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.5 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -1.3 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 4.024<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 73,200 t worth TRY 723.6 million (CAD 530.5 million).<br />

28


Margar<strong>in</strong>e<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> margar<strong>in</strong>e was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g much more slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.6<br />

percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to<br />

2009 it was volatile but generally decreas<strong>in</strong>g, reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 11.20 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999<br />

- 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 3.6 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -6.3 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 2.637<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 48,000 t worth TRY 203.8 million (CAD 149.4 million).<br />

Spreadable Oils & Fats<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> spreadable oils & fats was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 13.4 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g more slowly, reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 43.10 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009<br />

data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.7 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -5.0 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 7.714<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 140,400 t worth TRY 784.3 million (CAD 575.0 million).<br />

15. Sauces, Dress<strong>in</strong>gs and Condiments<br />

Market: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top three companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Tat Konserve Sanayii AS, Tamek Gida ve<br />

Konsantre Sanayi AS and Unilever Sanayii ve Ticaret Türk AS) accounted for 43.4 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market.<br />

The next two companies (Tukas Turgutlu Konserve San AS and Penguen Gida Sanayii AS) accounted for<br />

13.2 percent.<br />

Prospects: Sauces, dress<strong>in</strong>gs and condiments as a group are expected to experience <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sales volume growth<br />

but negative value growth. The most dynamic sub-sector <strong>in</strong> retail volume is expected to by herbs and<br />

spices as <strong>the</strong>y are considered necessary products <strong>in</strong> local cuis<strong>in</strong>e. Tomato pastes and purees is <strong>the</strong> largest<br />

sub-sector and manufacturers are expected to cont<strong>in</strong>ue to <strong>in</strong>vest <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir brands.<br />

Tomato Pastes and Purees<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> tomato pastes and purees was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 6.9 percent<br />

per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g slowly, reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 17.94 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.9 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.9 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 4.323<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 78,700 t worth TRY 326.5 million (CAD 239.4 million).<br />

Bouillon / Stock Cubes<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> bouillon / stock cubes was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it<br />

was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g much more slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.6<br />

percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

3.87 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply, reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.340 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.7 percent per year.<br />

29


Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 6,200 t worth TRY 70.4 million (CAD 51.6 million).<br />

Herbs & Spices<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> herbs & spices was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.3 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.0 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 5.00<br />

<strong>in</strong> 2008.<br />

Volume: In 2001, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household fell sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g<br />

sharply, reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.130 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.6<br />

percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 2,400 t worth TRY 90.9 million (CAD 66.6 million).<br />

Table Sauces<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> table sauces was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was quite<br />

stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.0 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was quite stable, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly, reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.06 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong><br />

1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.4 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was volatile but a trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.4 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.003 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 100 t worth TRY 1.1 million (CAD 0.8 million).<br />

Soy Based Sauces<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> soy based sauces was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was<br />

quite stable, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.1<br />

percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was quite stable, decreas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly, reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.32 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong><br />

1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.8 percent per year.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2004, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was volatile. From 2004 to 2009 it was<br />

decreas<strong>in</strong>g quickly, reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.02 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data decreases at a<br />

rate <strong>of</strong> -0.3 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 400 t worth TRY 5.9 million (CAD 4.3 million).<br />

Pasta Sauces<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> pasta sauces was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was quite<br />

stable decreas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 6.4 percent<br />

per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was quite stable, reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.15 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases<br />

at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.1 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.7 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.011<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 200 t worth TRY 2.8 million (CAD 2.1 million).<br />

Dry Sauces / Powder Mixes<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> dry sauces / powder mixes was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it varied with<strong>in</strong> a narrow range. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 6.1<br />

percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.3 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

1.78 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

30


Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 4.8 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.131<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 2,400 t worth TRY 32.4 million (CAD 23.8 million).<br />

Ketchup<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> ketchup was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it was quite<br />

stable, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.5 percent<br />

per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.7 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

2.82 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 2000 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g. From 2002 to 2009 it<br />

was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g quickly, reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.585 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at<br />

a rate <strong>of</strong> 2.1 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 10,600 t worth TRY 51.3 million (CAD 37.6 million).<br />

Mayonnaise<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> mayonnaise was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.3 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.3 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

1.55 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2005, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g steeply. From 2005 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.176 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data decreases at<br />

a rate <strong>of</strong> -0.9 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 3,200 t worth TRY 28.2 million (CAD 20.7 million).<br />

Mustard<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> mustard was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was quite<br />

stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.3 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was quite stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.9 percent per<br />

year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.54 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -2.1 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.038<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 700 t worth TRY 9.8 million (CAD 7.2 million).<br />

Salad Dress<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> salad dress<strong>in</strong>gs was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was<br />

stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.1 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was stable reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.03 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g<br />

at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.5 percent per year.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was stable at 0.0007 Kg except for<br />

2000 when it was 0.0008 Kg.<br />

Market: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was less than 100 t worth TRY 0.6 million (CAD 0.4 million).<br />

V<strong>in</strong>aigrettes<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> v<strong>in</strong>aigrettes was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.1 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted<br />

to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.0 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 2.70 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -0.9 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.833<br />

31


Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 15,200 t worth TRY 49.1 million (CAD 36.0 million).<br />

Dips<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> dips was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was quite stable,<br />

decreas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 6.6 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 6.1 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.40<br />

<strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 2000 and 2004, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g quickly. From 2004 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -0.49 percent per<br />

year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.029 Kg <strong>in</strong> 20089.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 500 t worth TRY 7.2 million (CAD 5.3 million).<br />

Pickled Products<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> pickled products was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g much more slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.2<br />

percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was quite stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.7 percent per<br />

year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 6.72 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was volatile. From 2003 to 2009 it was<br />

decreas<strong>in</strong>g. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -0.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g<br />

1.164 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 21,200 t worth TRY 122.3 million (CAD 89.7 million).<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Sauces, Dress<strong>in</strong>gs & Condiments<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r sauces, dress<strong>in</strong>gs & condiments was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply,<br />

Between 2003 and 2009 it was quite stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate<br />

<strong>of</strong> 9.3 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was quite stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.6 percent per<br />

year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.85 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -1.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.153<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 2,800 t worth TRY 15.5 million (CAD 11.4 million).<br />

16. Baby <strong>Food</strong><br />

Market: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top two companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Numil Gida Urunleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS and<br />

Ülker Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS) accounted for 78.8 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next three companies<br />

(Eti Gida Sanayii ve Ticaret AS, Wyeth Turkiye AS and Nestle Gida Sanayii AS) accounted for 16.5<br />

percent.<br />

Prospects: In <strong>the</strong> near future, baby food as a whole is expected to experience slower volume growth and negative<br />

value growth due to fall<strong>in</strong>g prices for exist<strong>in</strong>g products. The prepared baby food sub-sector is expected to<br />

experience <strong>the</strong> highest volume and value growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> near future. Manufacturers are expected to<br />

compete on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> product quality, new products and pric<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Milk Formula<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 28.7 percent<br />

per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 14.01 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> retail market was TRY 254.9 million (CAD 186.9 million).<br />

32


Prepared Baby <strong>Food</strong><br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> prepared baby food was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 19.2 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 29.6 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

15.00 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.7 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.121<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 2,200 t worth TRY 27.3 million (CAD 20.0 million).<br />

Dried Baby <strong>Food</strong><br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> dried baby food was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 21.1 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 27.6 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

6.07 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 5.3 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.259<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 4,700 t worth TRY 110.5 million (CAD 81.0 million).<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Baby <strong>Food</strong><br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r baby food was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 18.1 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 19.7 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

5.93 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2006, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was generally <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. In<br />

2007 it <strong>in</strong>creased sharply and cont<strong>in</strong>ued to <strong>in</strong>crease to 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.4 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.700 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 12,700 t worth TRY 107.9 (CAD 79.1 million).<br />

17. Spreads<br />

Market: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top two companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Ülker Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS and Sanset<br />

Gida AS) accounted for 40.9 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next three companies (Nestlé Gida Sanayii AS,<br />

Ferrero SpA and Altiparmak Pazarlama Koll Sti) accounted for 19.0 percent.<br />

Prospects: In <strong>the</strong> next few years, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales is expected to <strong>in</strong>crease much more slowly than <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

recent past due to <strong>the</strong> economic recession. Prices and value <strong>of</strong> retail sales are expected to decl<strong>in</strong>e. Sales <strong>of</strong><br />

sugar-free jams are expected to <strong>in</strong>crease due to consumers’ <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g health awareness.<br />

Jams & Preserves<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> jams & preserves was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.4 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.7 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

5.39 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2006, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g quickly. From 2006 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.735 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 decreases at a<br />

rate <strong>of</strong> -0.7 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 13,400 t worth TRY 98.1 million (CAD 71.9 million).<br />

Honey<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> honey was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 13.0 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2004, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2004 to<br />

2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 6.0 percent per<br />

year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 5.45 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -6.2 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.314<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 5,700 t worth TRY 99.2 million (CAD 72.7 million).<br />

33


Chocolate Spreads<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> chocolate spreads was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 16.3 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 20.2 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

21.80 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 3.4 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 2.189<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 39,800 t worth TRY 396.7 million (CAD 290.8 million).<br />

Nut Based Spreads<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> nut based spreads was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was<br />

quite stable, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g only slightly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.0<br />

percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was quite stable, decreas<strong>in</strong>g only slightly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a<br />

rate <strong>of</strong> 7.8 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.75 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -2.0 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.046<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 827 t worth TRY 13.7 million (CAD 10.0 million).<br />

18. Alcoholic Beverages<br />

Table 6 presents <strong>the</strong> various taxes applied to alcoholic beverages.<br />

Table 6. Taxes and Import Duties on Alcoholic<br />

Dr<strong>in</strong>ks. <strong>Turkey</strong>. 2009.<br />

Tax / Duty Tax Rate<br />

(% <strong>of</strong> value)<br />

Excise Taxes<br />

Beer 0.20<br />

W<strong>in</strong>e 3.28<br />

Spirits 41.42<br />

Import Taxes<br />

Dr<strong>in</strong>ks up to 18% alcohol by volume. 7.60<br />

Dr<strong>in</strong>ks 18% and over, alcohol by<br />

volume.<br />

Sales Tax<br />

34<br />

4.40<br />

All dr<strong>in</strong>ks 18.00<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Taxes on All Dr<strong>in</strong>ks<br />

Defense Fund 10.00<br />

Education Fund 10.00


Tax / Duty Tax Rate<br />

(% <strong>of</strong> value)<br />

Additional Tax 15.00<br />

Treasure Share 10.00<br />

War Benevolent Fund 2.00<br />

Source: State <strong>of</strong>fice <strong>of</strong> taxation via Euromonitor<br />

International.<br />

Cider / Perry<br />

Cider / perry is not available <strong>in</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>. It is unlikely that cider will become popular <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> near future unless<br />

heavy <strong>in</strong>vestments are made to <strong>in</strong>troduce, market and promote it. The tourist market is not expected to <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>the</strong><br />

potential for cider <strong>in</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Beer<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> top two companies own<strong>in</strong>g national brands by volume <strong>of</strong> sales (Efes Pilsen AS and Türk<br />

Tuborg Bira ve Malt Sanayii AS) accounted for 94.9 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next three companies<br />

(He<strong>in</strong>eken NV, Anheuser-Busch European Trade Inc and Modelo SA de CV, Grupo) accounted for 2.3<br />

percent.<br />

In 2009, <strong>the</strong> top two companies own<strong>in</strong>g global brands by volume <strong>of</strong> sales (Anadolu Group and Israel<br />

Beer Breweries Ltd.) accounted for 93.6 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next three companies (He<strong>in</strong>eken NV,<br />

SABMiller Plc and Anheuser-Busch Cos Inc) accounted for 2.6 percent.<br />

Prospects: Beer is expected to cont<strong>in</strong>ue to be <strong>the</strong> most dynamic sub-sector <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> alcoholic beverage sector. Growth<br />

<strong>in</strong> sales is expected to occur due to <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g number <strong>of</strong> young adults reach<strong>in</strong>g legal age and <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>of</strong> new products. Higher taxes may deter companies from fur<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> beer for <strong>the</strong><br />

domestic market, or from enter<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> domestic market. There is a trend toward premiumisation;<br />

however, prices are expected to decrease slightly due to price competition dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> economic recession.<br />

Lager Beer by Orig<strong>in</strong><br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> lager beer by orig<strong>in</strong> was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it<br />

was quite stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.1 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 18.8 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

222.06 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.0 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 39.845<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 725.1 million Lt worth TRY 4,041.2 million (CAD 2,962.7<br />

million).<br />

Dark Beer<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> dark beer was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was quite<br />

stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.0 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g quickly. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g more slowly reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.11 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009<br />

data was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 13.2 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 2.0 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.018<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 0.3 million Lt worth TRY 2.0 million (CAD 1.5 million).<br />

35


Low / Non Alcoholic Beer<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> low / non alcoholic beer was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009<br />

it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.2 percent<br />

per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.27 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.4 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 2.1 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.048<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 0.9 million Lt worth TRY 4.8 million (CAD 3.5 million).<br />

RTD (Ready to Dr<strong>in</strong>k) High-Strength Premixes<br />

Price: Between 2007 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> RTD high-strength premixes was volatile. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong><br />

2007 - 2009 data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -14.2 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -55.4 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

0.22 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -48.0 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.021<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 380,000 Lt worth TRY 4.1 million (CAD3.0 million). In regard<br />

to domestic manufacturers, <strong>the</strong> market for RDT high-strength premixes is a monopoly held by Zefirium<br />

Icecek Gida San ve Tic AS.<br />

Prospects: Value and volume <strong>of</strong> sales are expected to decrease <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> near future but not as quickly as <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> past.<br />

Still Light Grape W<strong>in</strong>e<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> still light grape w<strong>in</strong>e was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 18.3 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2007, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g quickly. From 2007 to<br />

2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 21.92 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 22.9 percent per year.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2007, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g quickly. From 2007 to<br />

2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply, reach<strong>in</strong>g 1.199 Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 3.9 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 21.8 million Lt worth TRY 398.9 million (CAD 292.4 million).<br />

In 2009, <strong>the</strong> top three producers, by volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Kavaklidere Saraplari AS, Doluca Bagcilik ve<br />

Sarapcilik and Mey Icki Sanayi ve Ticaret AS) accounted for 36.1 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next two<br />

producers (Yazgan Sarapçilik AS and Sevilen Sarap Sanayii AS) accounted for 8.7 percent.<br />

Sparkl<strong>in</strong>g W<strong>in</strong>e<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2004, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> sparkl<strong>in</strong>g w<strong>in</strong>e was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2004 to 2009 it was<br />

decreas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.4 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2007, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g quickly. From 2007 to<br />

2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.56 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.4 percent per year.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2007, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g quickly. From 2007 to<br />

2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.017 Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -0.9 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 0.3 million Lt worth TRY 10.2 million (CAD 7.5 million).<br />

36


Fortified W<strong>in</strong>e & Vermouth<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> fortified w<strong>in</strong>e & vermouth was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 16.3 percent<br />

per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 44.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

0.53 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 24.2 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.023<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 0.4 million Lt worth TRY 9.7 million (CAD 7.1 million).<br />

Spirits (Whiskey, Brandy & Cognac, White Spirits, Rum, Tequila (& Mezcal), Liqueurs<br />

and O<strong>the</strong>r Spirits)<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> top two companies own<strong>in</strong>g national brands, by volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Mey Icki Sanayi ve<br />

Ticaret AS and Burgaz Alkollü Içkiler Sanayii ve Ticareti AS) accounted for 82.3 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market.<br />

The next three companies (Efe Alkollü Içkiler AS, Pernod Ricard Groupe and Diageo Plc) accounted for<br />

13.4 percent.<br />

Prospects: Spirits are expected to experience a decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales <strong>in</strong> 2010 but to recover after 2011 as<br />

economic conditions improve. Competition will result <strong>in</strong> decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g prices and add to <strong>the</strong> decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> value<br />

<strong>of</strong> retail sales. Vodka is expected to experience <strong>the</strong> highest volume growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> next few years because<br />

it is not as traditional as aniseed-flavoured spirits and <strong>the</strong>refore will appeal to younger consumers.<br />

Whiskey<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> whiskey was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2007 it was<br />

decreas<strong>in</strong>g. From 2007 to 2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g quickly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at 8.0 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2004, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2004 to<br />

2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g quickly reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 2.02 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 6.3 percent per year.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2007, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was volatile but generally <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

From 2007 to 2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.026 Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 -<br />

2009 data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -1.6 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 470,400 Lt worth TRY 36.8 million (CAD 27.0 million).<br />

Brandy & Cognac<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> brandy & cognac was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009, it was<br />

decreas<strong>in</strong>g. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.0 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to<br />

2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.62 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at<br />

a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.7 percent per year.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2007, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2007 to<br />

2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.008 Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.7 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 149,100 Lt worth TRY 11.4 million (CAD 8.4 million).<br />

White Spirits<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2004, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> white spirits was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2004 to 2009 it was<br />

decreas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.3 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 14.3 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

6.86 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 2.8 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.245<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 4,455,800 Lt worth TRY 124.9 million (CAD 91.6 million).<br />

37


Rum<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> rum was volatile. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong><br />

3.5 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was quite stable, decreas<strong>in</strong>g slowly reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.025 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 -<br />

2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.1 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was volatile but generally <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.0004 Lt <strong>in</strong><br />

2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 3.4 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 7,600 Lt worth TRY 0.4 million (CAD 0.3 million).<br />

Tequila (& Mezcal)<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> tequila (& mezcal) was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it<br />

was decreas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.0 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.30 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at<br />

a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.2 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 2.9 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.004<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 66,900 Lt worth TRY 5.5 million (CAD 4.0 million).<br />

Liqueurs<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> liqueurs was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it was<br />

decreas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.4 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2004, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2004 to<br />

2009 it was quite stable reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 1.92 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases<br />

at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.4 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.8 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.049<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 899,900 Lt worth TRY 35.0 million (CAD 25.7 million).<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Spirits<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r spirits was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 19.9 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 14.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

54.26 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -4.6 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 1.624<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 29,549,000 Lt worth TRY 987.5 million (CAD 724.0 million).<br />

19. S<strong>of</strong>t Dr<strong>in</strong>ks<br />

Carbonates (Cola Carbonates and Non Cola Carbonates)<br />

<strong>Markets</strong>: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> top three companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail <strong>of</strong>f-trade sales (Coca-Cola Icecek Uretim AS, Pepsi-<br />

Cola International Tanitim Ltd and Ülker Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS) accounted for 92.1 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

market. The next two companies (Erbak-Uludag Mesrubatlari AS and Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat San ve<br />

Tic AS) accounted for 3.2 percent.<br />

Prospects: In <strong>the</strong> next few years, <strong>the</strong> carbonates sector is expected to grow <strong>in</strong> <strong>of</strong>f-trade volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales, but<br />

slower than <strong>in</strong> recent years. Off-trade volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales <strong>of</strong> cola carbonates are expected to cont<strong>in</strong>ue to<br />

decl<strong>in</strong>e. Factors negatively affect<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> sales <strong>of</strong> carbonates are: <strong>the</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g economic recession;<br />

consumers <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g concern for health and wellness; competition from fruit / vegetable juices and;<br />

competition from RTD tea and flavoured bottled water.<br />

38


Cola Carbonates<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> cola carbonates was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it was<br />

quite stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.9 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 17.9 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

85.71 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.3 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 68.692<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 1,250.1 million Lt worth TRY 1,559.8 million (CAD 1,143.5<br />

million).<br />

Non Cola Carbonates<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> non cola carbonates was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it<br />

was stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.0 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 15.9 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

41.39 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 4.4 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 38.937<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 708.6 million Lt worth TRY 753.2 million (CAD 552.2 million).<br />

Fruit / Vegetable Juice (100% Juice, Nectars and Juice Dr<strong>in</strong>ks)<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> top three companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail <strong>of</strong>f-trade sales (Coca-Cola Icecek Uretim AS, Dimes<br />

Gida San ve Ticaret AS and Aroma Bursa Meyva Sulari ve Gida San AS) accounted for 51.5 percent <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> market. The next two companies (Sek AS and Tamek Gida ve Konsantre Sanayi AS) accounted for<br />

14.7 percent.<br />

Prospects: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales is expected to grow slower <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> near future than <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> last few years due to<br />

<strong>the</strong> economic recession After several years <strong>of</strong> slow growth it is expected to <strong>in</strong>crease more quickly as <strong>the</strong><br />

economy recovers. 100% juice is expected to experience <strong>the</strong> highest rate <strong>of</strong> volume growth as consumers<br />

show <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> health and wellness.<br />

100% Juice<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> 100% juice was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it was quite<br />

stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.5 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 25.6 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

5.71 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 14.7 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 3.499<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 63.7 million Lt worth TRY 103.9 million (CAD 76.2 million).<br />

Nectars (25.99% Juice)<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> nectars (25.99% juice) was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it<br />

was quite stable, decreas<strong>in</strong>g slightly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.2<br />

percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 20.2 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

31.28 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.0 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 25.662<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 467.0 million Lt worth TRY 569.2 million (CAD 417.3 million).<br />

Juice Dr<strong>in</strong>ks (Up to 24% Juice)<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> juice dr<strong>in</strong>ks (up to 24% juice) was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to<br />

2009, it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.2<br />

percent per year.<br />

39


Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 21.7 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

2.56 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 1.980<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 36.0 million Lt worth TRY 46.5 million (CAD 34.1 million).<br />

Fruit Flavoured Dr<strong>in</strong>ks (No Juice Content)<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> fruit flavoured dr<strong>in</strong>ks (no juice content) was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply.<br />

From 2002 to 2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at<br />

a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.6 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2004, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2004 to<br />

2009 it was volatile, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 9.20 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 -<br />

2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 16.7 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 6.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 7.726<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 140.6 million Lt worth TRY 167.4 million (CAD 122.7 million).<br />

Bottled Water (Still Bottled Water, Carbonated Bottled Water, Flavoured Bottled Water)<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> top two producers, by volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Nestle Waters Gida ve Mesrubat San Tic AS<br />

and Sirma AS) accounted for 25.6 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next three producers (Aytac Gida AS,<br />

Danone Tikvesli Gida ve Icecek San ve Tic AS and P<strong>in</strong>ar Süt Mamülleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS)<br />

accounted for 19.8 percent.<br />

Prospects: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales is expected to cont<strong>in</strong>ue to grow but not as quickly as <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> last few years.<br />

Factors result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased consumption are: <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g population; decreas<strong>in</strong>g quality <strong>of</strong> tap water; <strong>the</strong><br />

expected improvement <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy after 2011; new products and; flavoured bottled water, which is<br />

expected to compete favourably with carbonates.<br />

Still Bottled Water<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> still bottled water was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 19.1 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 28.3 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

86.86 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.7 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 258.428<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 4,703.0 million Lt worth TRY 1,581.0 million (CAD 1,159.1<br />

million).<br />

Carbonated Bottled Water<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> carbonated bottled water was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to<br />

2009 it was quite stable, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a<br />

rate <strong>of</strong> 10.7 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 20.2 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

9.94 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.6 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 10.259<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 186.7 million Lt worth TRY 181.0 million (CAD132.7 million).<br />

Flavoured Bottled Water<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> flavoured bottled water was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009<br />

it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.7 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 34.9 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

11.28 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

40


Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 24.1 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 4.257<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 77.5 million Lt worth TRY 205.3 million (CAD 150.5 million).<br />

Functional Dr<strong>in</strong>ks (Sports Dr<strong>in</strong>ks and Energy Dr<strong>in</strong>ks)<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> top two companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail <strong>of</strong>f-trade sales (Red Bull GmbH and Coca-Cola Co)<br />

accounted for 65.5 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next three companies (Ülker Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS,<br />

Macro Group Handels GmbH and PepsiCo Inc.) accounted for 17.3 percent.<br />

Prospects: Sales growth is expected to be good particularly for energy dr<strong>in</strong>ks due to <strong>the</strong> large number <strong>of</strong> young<br />

people <strong>in</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>. However, prices are expected to fall as a result <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased competition over <strong>the</strong> next<br />

few years. Energy dr<strong>in</strong>ks are expected to experience <strong>the</strong> fastest growth <strong>in</strong> both volume and value <strong>of</strong> retail<br />

sales.<br />

Sports Dr<strong>in</strong>ks<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2001, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> sports dr<strong>in</strong>ks was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2001 to 2009 it was<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g very slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 5.7 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 18.4 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

0.66 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 12.0 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.172<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 3.1 million Lt worth TRY 12.0 million (CAD 8.8 million).<br />

Energy Dr<strong>in</strong>ks<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> energy dr<strong>in</strong>ks was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it was<br />

quite stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.1 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2004, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. In 2005 it fell<br />

steeply. From 2005 to 2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 6.16 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to<br />

<strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 24.0 percent per year.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2004, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. In 2005 it fell<br />

steeply. From 2005 to 2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.530 Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong><br />

1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.5 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 9.6 million Lt worth TRY 112.1 million (CAD 82.2 million).<br />

Concentrates<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> top two producers, by value <strong>of</strong> retail <strong>of</strong>f-trade sales (Kraft Jacobs Suchard SA and Nazli<br />

Gida AS) accounted for 58.8 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next three producers (Cardak Konsantre Meyve<br />

Sulari San Tic Ltd Sti, Lezzo Gida San ve Tic AS and Meysan Genel Gida San ve Ticaret AS) accounted<br />

for 19.9 percent.<br />

Prospects: Sales <strong>of</strong> concentrates are expected to fall <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> near future <strong>in</strong> both value and volume. This is partly due to<br />

competition from fruit / vegetable juices. Unit prices are expected to decl<strong>in</strong>e due to <strong>the</strong> availability <strong>of</strong><br />

lower priced concentrates <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g private label.<br />

Liquid Concentrates<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2004, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> liquid concentrates was volatile. From 2004 to 2009 it was quite<br />

stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.066 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -11.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

0.37 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -11.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.129<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 2.3 million Lt worth TRY 6.8 million (CAD 5.0 million).<br />

41


Powdered Concentrates<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> powdered concentrates was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009<br />

it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.5 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2005, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g quickly. In 2006 it fell<br />

steeply. Between 2006 and 2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 2.38 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong><br />

1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 4.2 percent per year.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2005, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g quickly. In 2006 it fell<br />

steeply. Between 2006 and 2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.174 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong><br />

1999 - 2009 data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -4.0 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 3,159.9 t worth TRY 43.4 million (CAD 31.8 million).<br />

RTD C<strong>of</strong>fee<br />

In 2009, <strong>the</strong> sales <strong>of</strong> RTD c<strong>of</strong>fee was negligible. The only current product available <strong>in</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong> is from Malee<br />

Sampran Public Co Ltd. In 2002 Nestle did some market trials <strong>in</strong> an effort to <strong>in</strong>crease c<strong>of</strong>fee sales <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> summer<br />

when hot c<strong>of</strong>fee sales decl<strong>in</strong>e. The result was that <strong>the</strong> Turkish consumer preferred hot c<strong>of</strong>fee but <strong>the</strong>re were some<br />

positive responses to <strong>the</strong> taste <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> product. If manufacturers were to <strong>in</strong>vest <strong>in</strong> advertis<strong>in</strong>g and promotional<br />

campaigns for RTD c<strong>of</strong>fee, demand would likely <strong>in</strong>crease<br />

Still RTD Tea<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> still RTD tea was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it was<br />

quite stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.9 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 19.2 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

6.13 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.4 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 2.770<br />

Lt <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 50.4 million Lt worth TRY 111.5 million (CAD 81.7 million).<br />

The top two companies, by value <strong>of</strong> retail <strong>of</strong>f-trade sales (Pepsi-Lipton International and Coca-Cola<br />

Icecek Uretim AS) accounted for 97.9 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next three companies (Erbak-Uludag<br />

Mesrubatlari AS, Ülker Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS and Aroma Bursa Meyva Sulari ve Gida San AS)<br />

accounted for 1.3 percent.<br />

Prospects: Both value and volume <strong>of</strong> sales are expected to grow <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> next few years based on <strong>Turkey</strong>’s hot<br />

summers and <strong>in</strong>creased tourism. However, prices are expected to decl<strong>in</strong>e due to competition.<br />

20. Tobacco<br />

Cigarettes (High Tar Cigarettes, Mid Tar Cigarettes, Low Tar Cigarettes and Ultra Low<br />

Tar Cigarettes)<br />

Market: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top four companies, by volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Philip Morris Sabanci Pazarlama ve Satis AS,<br />

Tekel, JT International Tutun Urunleri Pazarlama AS and British American Tobacco <strong>Turkey</strong>) accounted<br />

for 89.5 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next company (Imperial Tobacco Sigara ve Tutunculuck Sanayi ve<br />

Ticaret AS) accounted for 3.3 percent.<br />

High Tar Cigarettes<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> high tar cigarettes was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 20.4 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2006, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g quickly. In 2007 it fell<br />

very sharply. From 2007 to 2009 it cont<strong>in</strong>ued to decrease reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 4.95 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted<br />

to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -20.8 percent per year.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. In 2007 it fell<br />

very sharply. From 2007 to 2009 it cont<strong>in</strong>ued to decrease reach<strong>in</strong>g 27.3 sticks <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted<br />

to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -34.2 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 496.6 million sticks worth TRY 90.1 million (CAD 66.1 million).<br />

42


Mid Tar Cigarettes<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> mid tar cigarettes was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 23.3 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 50.8 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

1,254.98 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2006, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was quite stable. In 2007 it <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

very sharply. From 2007 to 2009 it was stable reach<strong>in</strong>g 5,450.9 sticks <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong><br />

1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 22.3 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 99,197.7 million sticks worth TRY 22,838.7 million (CAD<br />

16,743.8 million).<br />

Low Tar Cigarettes<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> low tar cigarettes was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 32.0 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 40.0 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

34.23 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g slowly reach<strong>in</strong>g 180.7 sticks <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 6.1 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 3,289.1 million sticks worth TRY 786.7 million (CAD 576.8<br />

million).<br />

Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes<br />

Price: Between 2002 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> ultra low tar cigarettes was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.4 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 46.3 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

12.04 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 32.6 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 43.6<br />

sticks <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 793.4 million sticks worth TRY 219.1 million (CAD 160.6<br />

million).<br />

Cigars and Cigarillos<br />

Until <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> 2008, <strong>Turkey</strong> ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed a ban on <strong>the</strong> importation <strong>of</strong> cigars and cigarillos. The lift<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> ban<br />

was prompted by <strong>the</strong> government’s <strong>in</strong>ability to control illicit imports. After <strong>the</strong> ban was lifted only a few foreign<br />

brands began to enter <strong>the</strong> country.<br />

Cigars Exclud<strong>in</strong>g Cigarillos<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2001, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> cigars exclud<strong>in</strong>g cigarillos was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. In 2002 it fell<br />

very sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it <strong>in</strong>creased. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data decreases at a<br />

rate <strong>of</strong> -2.0 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2001, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. In 2002 it fell<br />

very sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it was volatile reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.08 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong><br />

1999 - 2009 data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -1.4 percent per year.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. In 2003 it fell<br />

very sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was volatile, decreas<strong>in</strong>g slowly reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.047 units <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend<br />

l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.56 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 0.9 million units worth TRY 1.4 million (CAD 1.0 million).<br />

In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top manufacturer <strong>of</strong> cigars by volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales (TEKA AS) accounted for 94.8 percent<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next two manufacturers (Agio Cigars and Arnold Antre Cicars Gmbh & Co KG)<br />

accounted for 0.7 percent. The market for domestically produced product was essentially a monopoly.<br />

43


Cigarillos<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2001, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> cigarillos was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. In 2002 it fell very sharply. From<br />

2002 to 2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong><br />

-7.6 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2001, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. In 2002 it fell<br />

very sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it was quite stable reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 0.03 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong><br />

1999 - 2009 data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -11.9 percent per year.<br />

Volume: Between 1999 and 2001, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2001 to<br />

2003 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was volatile reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.025 units <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend<br />

l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -4.7 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 0.4 million units worth TRY 0.5 million (CAD 0.4 million).<br />

In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top manufacturer <strong>of</strong> cigarillos by volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales (TEKA AS) accounted for 98.0<br />

percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. O<strong>the</strong>r unnamed companies account for 2.0 percent. The market for domestically<br />

produced cigarillos was essentially a monopoly.<br />

Pipe Tobacco<br />

Smok<strong>in</strong>g through a nargile (water pipe) is <strong>the</strong> oldest traditional way <strong>of</strong> smok<strong>in</strong>g tobacco and is becom<strong>in</strong>g<br />

fashionable aga<strong>in</strong>. Many c<strong>of</strong>fee houses <strong>in</strong> big cities and tourist areas started to serve tobacco with various flavours<br />

(vanilla, apple, c<strong>in</strong>namon and chocolate). High taxation on tobacco products makes it difficult to control illicit<br />

imports.<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> pipe tobacco was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to 2009 it was<br />

volatile. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 31.0 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 23.1 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

1.07 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: Between 2000 and 2003, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2003 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.006 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data decreases at<br />

a rate <strong>of</strong> -6.0 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 103.8 t worth TRY 19.4 million (CAD 14.2 million).<br />

In 2008, <strong>the</strong> top three manufacturers by volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Salar AS, Servetli Ltd and Tekel)<br />

accounted for 98.7 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. Unnamed manufacturer accounted for 1.3 percent. The market<br />

for domestically produced pipe tobacco was essentially an oligopoly.<br />

21. Hot Dr<strong>in</strong>ks<br />

C<strong>of</strong>fee (Fresh C<strong>of</strong>fee and Instant C<strong>of</strong>fee)<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> top two companies by <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Nestle Prodalim Gida Mamuleri AS and<br />

Kraftsa Kraft Sabanci Gida Pazarlama ve Ticaret AS) accounted for 78.2 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next<br />

three companies (Ülker Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS, Kuru Kahveci Mehmet Efendi Ltc and <strong>Food</strong> Empire<br />

Hold<strong>in</strong>gs Ltd) accounted for 16.8 percent.<br />

Prospects: C<strong>of</strong>fee is expected to experience growth, particularly <strong>in</strong>stant c<strong>of</strong>fee, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> next few years due <strong>in</strong> part to<br />

rapid urbanization.<br />

Fresh C<strong>of</strong>fee<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> fresh c<strong>of</strong>fee was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it was<br />

stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.5 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to<br />

2009 it was quite stable reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 2.07 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases<br />

at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.5 percent per year.<br />

Volume: In 2001, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household fell very sharply. From 2001 to 2009 it was volatile,<br />

reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.172 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong> -0.9 percent<br />

per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 3,134.3 t worth TRY 37.7 million (CAD27.64 million).<br />

44


Instant C<strong>of</strong>fee<br />

Price: After <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g between 1999 and 2001, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>stant c<strong>of</strong>fee fell very sharply <strong>in</strong> 2002. Between<br />

2002 and 2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data decreases at a rate <strong>of</strong><br />

-9.1 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 18.9 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

17.94 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 30.9 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.938<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 17,069.8 t worth TRY 326.4 million (CAD 239.3 million).<br />

Tea<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> top three companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Cay Isletmeleri Genel Müdürlügü, Unilever<br />

Sanayii ve Ticaret Türk AS and Dogus Cay) accounted for 80.9 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next two<br />

companies (Dogadan Gida Urunleri San ve Paz AS and Marmara Gida San AS) accounted for 7.1<br />

percent.<br />

Prospects: The growth <strong>in</strong> retail sales is expected to cont<strong>in</strong>ue <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> next few years but slower than <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> last several<br />

years. Tea is an essential part <strong>of</strong> Turkish culture and is not likely to be affected very much by <strong>the</strong><br />

economic recession. The biggest threat to growth <strong>in</strong> tea sales is illegal imports.<br />

Black Tea<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> black tea was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it was quite<br />

stable. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.8 percent per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g slowly reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 55.96 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.4 percent per year.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 1.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 6.878<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 125,168.6 t worth TRY 1,018.4 million (CAD 746.6 million).<br />

Green Tea<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> green tea was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it was stable.<br />

A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.3 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 17.9 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

0.99 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 6.9 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.015<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 276.4 t worth TRY 18.0 million (CAD13.2 million).<br />

Fruit / Herbal Tea<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> fruit / herbal tea was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009 it was<br />

quite stable, decreas<strong>in</strong>g slightly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.7<br />

percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 18.9 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

3.01 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.4 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.044<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 798.5 t worth TRY 54.8 million (CAD 40.18 million).<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Tea<br />

Price: Between 2003 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r tea was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -0.4 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 6.8 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 1.35<br />

<strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

45


Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 7.2 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.014<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 256.8 t worth TRY 24.5 million (CAD 17.96 million).<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Hot Dr<strong>in</strong>ks<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> top two companies by value <strong>of</strong> retail sales (Ülker Gida Saanayi ve Ticaret AS and Nestle<br />

Prodalim Gida Mamulleri AS) accounted for 55.6 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next three companies<br />

(McCormick San ve Ticaret AS, Kent Gida Maddeleri Sanayii ve Ticaret AS and Meysan Genel Gida<br />

San ve Ticaret AS) accounted for 23.2 percent.<br />

Prospects: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales is expected to grow while <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales is expected to rema<strong>in</strong><br />

constant over <strong>the</strong> nest few years. Factors affect<strong>in</strong>g growth <strong>in</strong> retail sales are: rapidly grow<strong>in</strong>g young<br />

population; <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g number <strong>of</strong> retailers sell<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> products and; new product launches. Chocolatebased<br />

flavoured powder dr<strong>in</strong>ks are expected to be <strong>the</strong> fastest grow<strong>in</strong>g sub-sector based on <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> new product development and advertiz<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Flavoured Powder Dr<strong>in</strong>ks<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> flavoured powder dr<strong>in</strong>ks was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to 2009<br />

it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 11.8 percent per<br />

year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 19.0 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

3.56 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 6.4 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.143<br />

Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 2,602.3 t worth TRY 64.7 million (CAD 47.43 million).<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Plant-Based Hot Dr<strong>in</strong>ks<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r plant-based hot dr<strong>in</strong>ks was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to<br />

2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g slowly. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.9 percent<br />

per year.<br />

Value: Between 1999 and 2002, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g sharply. From 2002 to<br />

2009 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g more slowly reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY 1.67 <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009<br />

data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.4 percent per year.<br />

Volume: In 2001, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household fell very sharply. From 2001 to 2007 it was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g<br />

quickly. From 2007 to 2009 it was decreas<strong>in</strong>g reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.094 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 -<br />

2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 0.5 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 1,700.9 t worth TRY 30.4 million (CAD 22.3 million).<br />

22. Pet <strong>Food</strong><br />

Dog and Cat <strong>Food</strong><br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> dog and cat food was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 12.9 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 28.5 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

12.20 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 13.8 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g 1.2 Kg<br />

<strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 21,231.8 t, worth TRY 222.7 million (CAD 163.3 million).<br />

In 2009, <strong>the</strong> top three companies produc<strong>in</strong>g dog food (Colgate-Palmolive Co, Nutro Products Inc and<br />

Tropikal Bahçe ve Evcil Hayvan Ürünleri AS) accounted for 55.6 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next two<br />

companies (Nestlé Pur<strong>in</strong>a Petcare Tükiye and Mars Inc) accounted for 22.8 percent.<br />

In 2009, <strong>the</strong> top three companies produc<strong>in</strong>g cat food (Mars Inc, Colgate Palmolive Co and Tropikal<br />

46


Bahçe ve Evcil Hayvan Ürünleri AS) accounted for 53.4 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. The next two companies<br />

(Nestlé Pur<strong>in</strong>a Petcare Tükiye and Nutro Products Inc) accounted for 19.8 percent.<br />

Prospects: The growth <strong>of</strong> sales <strong>of</strong> dog food will be based on lower priced products such as economy brands and dry<br />

dog food. Premium brands which are specific to breed or size will also grow.<br />

The growth <strong>of</strong> sales <strong>of</strong> cat food will be based on lower priced products. Premium brands will also grow<br />

based on segmentation <strong>in</strong> areas specific to <strong>the</strong> needs <strong>of</strong> cats: hairball control, weight management, breed<br />

and neutered cats.<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Pet <strong>Food</strong> (Not Dog or Cat <strong>Food</strong>)<br />

Price: Between 1999 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r pet food was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.5 percent per year.<br />

Value: The value <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 13.7 percent per year reach<strong>in</strong>g TRY<br />

16.30 <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

Volume: The volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household was volatile generally <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g reach<strong>in</strong>g 0.6 Kg <strong>in</strong> 2009. A<br />

trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong> 1999 - 2009 data <strong>in</strong>creases at a rate <strong>of</strong> 2.9 percent per year.<br />

Market: In 2009, <strong>the</strong> total retail market size was 10,454.4 t, worth TRY 296.7 million (CAD 217.5 million).<br />

Prospects: O<strong>the</strong>r pet food is expected to grow slower <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> near future than it did <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> last few years. Bird food<br />

dom<strong>in</strong>ates <strong>the</strong> sector <strong>in</strong> volume.<br />

V. RISK FACTORS<br />

A. Political / Economic Events<br />

Jihadist Terrorism <strong>in</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong> has developed from an isolated phenomenon ma<strong>in</strong>ly embodied by two obscure<br />

groups, which were a m<strong>in</strong>or threat compared to <strong>the</strong> Kurdistan Workers’ Party’s (PKK) <strong>in</strong>surgency, to a major<br />

terrorist threat to <strong>the</strong> country. From nationalist groups, <strong>the</strong> Turkish Islamist terrorists have developed <strong>in</strong>to parts <strong>of</strong><br />

larger transnational networks, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly transcend<strong>in</strong>g national affiliations, without however giv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>m up.<br />

Instead <strong>of</strong> target<strong>in</strong>g Turkish secularists and moderate Islamists, <strong>the</strong>y <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly attack Western targets like <strong>the</strong><br />

Israeli cruise ships <strong>in</strong> August 2005 and <strong>the</strong> US consulate <strong>in</strong> Istanbul <strong>in</strong> July 2008. The anti-Jewish and anti-Israeli<br />

dimension <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir activities is partly due to <strong>the</strong>ir strong connections to Syria, Iraq and Lebanon.<br />

There are <strong>in</strong>dications <strong>of</strong> an accelerat<strong>in</strong>g trend towards <strong>in</strong>ternationalization. This trend was foreshadowed on <strong>the</strong><br />

Jihadist Internet, where Turks <strong>in</strong> recent years have developed a pr<strong>of</strong>ound <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> conflicts <strong>in</strong> Iraq, Afghanistan<br />

and fur<strong>the</strong>r afield. Subsequently, it has allowed for a greater cooperation with Uzbek, Afghan, Pakistani and Arab<br />

Jihadists. Should such a trend cont<strong>in</strong>ue to unfold, <strong>the</strong> terrorist threat <strong>in</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong> and <strong>in</strong> countries with sizable Turkish<br />

diaspora communities is likely to grow. 5<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> has a long history <strong>of</strong> political turbulence, which on occasion has escalated <strong>in</strong>to violence. However, <strong>in</strong><br />

recent years <strong>the</strong> economy has stabilized and streng<strong>the</strong>ned and it is likely that <strong>the</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>ued shaky political<br />

environment is less likely to precipitated ano<strong>the</strong>r f<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis. On September 25, 2009 it was reported that <strong>the</strong><br />

prime m<strong>in</strong>ister expressed disapproval <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Central Bank <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>’s <strong>in</strong>dependence. He felt that <strong>the</strong> bank’s<br />

autonomy restricted <strong>the</strong> government’s options <strong>in</strong> economic policy-mak<strong>in</strong>g. He also expressed dissatisfaction with <strong>the</strong><br />

IMF proposals, rais<strong>in</strong>g concern that <strong>the</strong> government is shift<strong>in</strong>g away from <strong>the</strong> reform agenda that was put <strong>in</strong> place <strong>in</strong><br />

2001.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> is considered a medium risk 6 country. The risks are identified as: 1) strikes, riots, and civil commotion;<br />

2) terrorism; 3) sovereign non-payment and; 4) supply cha<strong>in</strong> vulnerability.<br />

B. Handl<strong>in</strong>g Risks <strong>of</strong> International Trade<br />

Some risks are normally covered by commercial cargo <strong>in</strong>surance <strong>in</strong> accordance with m<strong>in</strong>imum cover <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

Institute Cargo Clauses (Institute <strong>of</strong> London Underwriters) or some similar clause. This <strong>in</strong>surance normally covers<br />

<strong>the</strong> standard risks <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> transport<strong>in</strong>g goods, such as accidents and wea<strong>the</strong>r.<br />

47


If a Canadian exporter expects to <strong>in</strong>cur costs or receive payment <strong>in</strong> TRYs <strong>the</strong> company may want to consider<br />

hedg<strong>in</strong>g aga<strong>in</strong>st currency risks by participat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> futures market. This strategy is not appropriate <strong>in</strong> all situations<br />

and <strong>the</strong> exporter should obta<strong>in</strong> advice from a bank or o<strong>the</strong>r trusted expert.<br />

Additional risks might be covered by Accounts Receivable Insurance and o<strong>the</strong>r products similar to those <strong>of</strong>fered<br />

by Export Development Canada (EDC). The availability, terms and costs <strong>of</strong> this <strong>in</strong>surance will depend on conditions<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> import<strong>in</strong>g country, <strong>the</strong> reputation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> importer and EDC policy. Generally <strong>the</strong> Accounts Receivable<br />

Insurance will cover up to 90% <strong>of</strong> losses result<strong>in</strong>g from a wide range <strong>of</strong> commercial and political risks <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g:<br />

<strong>in</strong>solvency or default <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> buyer; payment delay caused by blockage <strong>of</strong> funds or transfer difficulties; refusal <strong>of</strong><br />

goods by <strong>the</strong> buyer (provided <strong>the</strong> Canadian exporter meets <strong>the</strong> contract terms); war or hostilities <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> buyer’s<br />

country, or between two or more o<strong>the</strong>r countries and; cancellation or non-renewal <strong>of</strong> export or import permits.<br />

Optional coverage <strong>in</strong>cludes: protection aga<strong>in</strong>st contract cancellation by <strong>the</strong> buyer; <strong>in</strong>surance for Letters <strong>of</strong> Credit<br />

transactions on a country-by-country basis; coverage for sales made by foreign affiliates; <strong>in</strong>voic<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> foreign<br />

currency and; <strong>in</strong>surance for receivables generated by provid<strong>in</strong>g services. For <strong>the</strong> latest <strong>in</strong>formation see www.edc.ca .<br />

VI. PRODUCT ANALYSIS<br />

A. Regulatory Issues<br />

1. Dairy Products<br />

As a result <strong>of</strong> a WTO decision (See Appendix 2) and agreements between Canada & New Zealand and Canada<br />

& <strong>the</strong> USA, Canadian dairy products produced from milk purchased at <strong>the</strong> lower <strong>in</strong>dustrial price are considered to be<br />

subsidized when exported. The export <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se products are limited to: 3,500 t <strong>of</strong> butter; 9,076 t <strong>of</strong> cheese; 44,953 t<br />

<strong>of</strong> skim milk powder and; 30,282 t <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r milk products. Although not normally economic, <strong>the</strong>re is no limit to <strong>the</strong><br />

export <strong>of</strong> dairy products produced from <strong>the</strong> domestic full-priced milk.<br />

A company wish<strong>in</strong>g to export products produced from <strong>the</strong> lower prices <strong>in</strong>dustrial milk must obta<strong>in</strong> a permit to<br />

export with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> quota limits from:<br />

The Canadian Dairy Commission<br />

Chief Commercial Operations<br />

Market<strong>in</strong>g Operations<br />

Build<strong>in</strong>g 55, CEF<br />

Floor Upper, Room 302<br />

960 Carl<strong>in</strong>g Ave<br />

Ottawa, ON<br />

K1A 0Z2<br />

Ph: (613) 792-2010<br />

FAX: (613) 792-2009<br />

If <strong>the</strong> company is us<strong>in</strong>g domestic full-priced milk, no permit from <strong>the</strong> CDC is required.<br />

In any case a company must be a registered establishment with <strong>the</strong> Canadian <strong>Food</strong> Inspection Agency (CFIA) - see<br />

website: http://www.<strong>in</strong>spection.gc.ca/.<br />

2. Beef Products<br />

As <strong>of</strong> November 5, 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> has a complete ban on <strong>the</strong> importation <strong>of</strong> beef from Canada due to a fear <strong>of</strong><br />

BSE contam<strong>in</strong>ation.<br />

48


B. Selected Products Imported from Canada<br />

Follow<strong>in</strong>g are trade statistics <strong>of</strong> selected food products imported by <strong>Turkey</strong> from many countries <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Canada. Unless o<strong>the</strong>rwise <strong>in</strong>dicated, <strong>the</strong> averages refer to <strong>the</strong> six years 2004 to 2009.<br />

The six digit numbers associated with each product / product group are Harmonized System (HS) codes used to<br />

classify <strong>in</strong>ternationally traded products.<br />

071340 Lentils Dried, Shelled, Includ<strong>in</strong>g Seed<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 88.2 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 141,541 t<br />

worth CAD 153.4 million from: Canada (CAD 142.6 million); Iraq (CAD 4.2 million); Ethiopia (CAD 3.1<br />

million); Australia (CAD 1.3 million) and; <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 1.2 million). Eight o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD<br />

1.1 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

100110 Durum Wheat<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 34.0 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 111,342 t<br />

worth CAD 60.2 million from: Greece (CAD 39.5 million); Canada (CAD 7.0 million); Spa<strong>in</strong> (CAD 4.2<br />

million); France (CAD 3.4 million) and; Italy (CAD 3.0 million). Seven o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 3.2<br />

million worth <strong>of</strong> this product <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

100190 Wheat Nesoi and Mesl<strong>in</strong><br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 567.9 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 3,281,351 t<br />

worth CAD 982.8 million from: Russia (CAD 588.5 million); Germany (CAD 126.7 million); Kazakhstan<br />

(CAD 73.7 million); <strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD 58.1 million) and; Lithuania (CAD 34.1 million). Canada supplied<br />

CAD 5.6 million and 19 o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied 96.0 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

040700 Eggs, Bird, <strong>in</strong> Shell, Fresh, Preserved or Cooked<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 12.3 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 9.6 million<br />

eggs worth CAD 9.1 million from: <strong>the</strong> UK (CAD 4.4 million); Canada (CAD 3.9 million); Brazil (CAD<br />

298,000); France (CAD 222,000) and; <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 106,000). Two o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 124,000<br />

worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

120100 Soya Beans, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 431.5 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 973,574 t<br />

worth CAD 485.9 million from: <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 330.0 million); Paraguay (CAD 72.6 million); Argent<strong>in</strong>a<br />

(CAD 47.3 million); <strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD 20.1 million) and; Italy (CAD 7.1 million). Canada supplied CAD 3.0<br />

million and five o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied 5.7 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

051110 Semen Bov<strong>in</strong>e<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 5.5 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 3,251,991<br />

unknown units worth CAD 7.9 million from: <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 2.0 million); Germany (CAD 2.0 million);<br />

Canada (CAD 1.5 million); Italy (CAD 670,000) and; France (CAD 415,000). Ten o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied<br />

CAD 1.3 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

240120 Tobacco, Unmanufactured, Partly or Wholly Stemmed or Stripped<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 237.8 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 47,855 t<br />

worth CAD 314.9 million from: Brazil (CAD 108.2 million); <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 37.4 million); Malawi (CAD<br />

33.0 million); Germany (CAD 28.3 million) and; India (CAD 21.7 million). Canada supplied CAD 1.5 million<br />

and 34 o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 84.8 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

230330 Brew<strong>in</strong>g or Distill<strong>in</strong>g Dregs and Waste<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over <strong>the</strong> five years 2005 to 2009 was CAD 67.3 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong><br />

imported 448,679 t worth CAD 97.5 million from: <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 95.9 million); Canada (CAD 1.1 million);<br />

<strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD 313,000) and; Bulgaria (CAD 87,000).<br />

49


040210 Milk Powder Not Exceed<strong>in</strong>g 1.5% Fat<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 25.7 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 12,304 t worth<br />

CAD 30.4 million from: Switzerland (CAD 9.2 million); <strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD 6.3 million); <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 5.7<br />

million); Australia (CAD 2.3 million) and; Poland (CAD 2.0 million). Canada supplied CAD 1.0 million and<br />

11 o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 3.9 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

230910 Dog or Cat <strong>Food</strong> Put up for Retail Sale<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 22.6 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 19,691 t worth<br />

CAD 30.9 million from: <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 7.8 million); France (CAD 4.7 million); <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands (CAD 4.3<br />

million); Hungary (CAD 3.4 million) and; Spa<strong>in</strong> (CAD 1.9 million). Canada supplied CAD 996,000 and 15<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 7.7 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

210690 <strong>Food</strong> Preparations Nesoi<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 245.9 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 50,214 t<br />

worth CAD 255.4 million from: Germany (CAD 61.1 million); <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands (CAD 56.3 million); <strong>the</strong> USA<br />

(CAD 31.7 million); Italy (CAD 22.4 million) and; Thailand (CAD 15.2 million). Canada supplied CAD<br />

985,000 and 41 o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 67.7 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

230990 Animal Feed Preparations Nesoi<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 67.7 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 37,352 t worth<br />

CAD 71.3 million from: Italy (CAD 19.8 million); Germany (CAD 8.8 million); Greece (CAD 8.8 million);<br />

<strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 6.4 million) and; France (CAD 5.4 million). Canada supplied CAD 978,000 and 27 o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

countries supplied CAD 20.9 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

071333 Kidney Beans and White Pea Beans Dried, Shelled, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Sk<strong>in</strong>ned / Split<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 38.1 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 53,254 t worth<br />

CAD 62.6 million from: Ch<strong>in</strong>a (CAD 27.2 million); Kyrgyzstan (CAD 18.9 million); Argent<strong>in</strong>a (CAD 8.5<br />

million); Egypt (CAD 5.9 million) and; <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 980,000). Canada supplied CAD 541,000 and seven<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 605,000 worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

100830 Canary Seed<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 325,000. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 1,973 t worth CAD<br />

762,000 from: Canada (CAD 455,000); Bulgaria (CAD 216,000); Iran (CAD 42,000); <strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD<br />

36,000) and; Hungary (CAD 12,000).<br />

071310 Peas, Dried, Shelled, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Sk<strong>in</strong>ned or Split<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 1.8 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 2,291 t worth<br />

CAD 2.8 million from: Hungary (CAD 1.0 million); <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 506,000); Canada (CAD 330,000); Spa<strong>in</strong><br />

(CAD 247,000) and; Germany (CAD 239,000). Six o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 489,000 worth <strong>of</strong> this<br />

product group <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

520100 Cotton, Not Carded or Combed<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 1,141.4 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 753,164 t<br />

worth CAD 1,123.3 million from: <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 593.6 million); Greece (CAD 274.0 million); Turkmenistan<br />

(CAD 74.3 million); India (CAD 35.1 million) and; Uzbekistan (CAD 29.6 million). In 2009 Canada supplied<br />

CAD 320,000 and 27 o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 116.3 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group.<br />

350400 Peptones & Derivatives; Prote<strong>in</strong> Substances and Derivatives, Nes; Hide Powder<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 10.6 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 4,467 t worth<br />

CAD 21.8 million from: Ch<strong>in</strong>a (CAD 5.9 million); Germany (CAD 3.2 million); Greece (CAD 2.6 million);<br />

Australia (CAD 2.4 million) and; New Zealand (CAD 2.1 million). Canada supplied CAD 305,000 and 14<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 5.3 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

50


230110 Flours, Meals & Pellets <strong>of</strong> Meat or Meat Offal Unfit for Human Consumption; Greaves<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 420,000. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 522 t worth CAD<br />

498,000 from: Canada (CAD 296,000); Germany (CAD 128,000); Greece (CAD 49,000) and; Italy (CAD<br />

26,000).<br />

120750 Mustard Seeds, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 597,000. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 226 t worth CAD<br />

327,000 from: Canada (CAD 283,000) and; <strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD 44,000).<br />

120925 Seeds, Rye Grass, for Sow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 2.2 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 1,239 t worth<br />

CAD 2.7 million from: Denmark (CAD 938,000); <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 458,000); <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands (CAD 400,000);<br />

Canada (CAD 265,000) and; Germany (CAD 249,000). Four o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 367,000 worth <strong>of</strong><br />

this product <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

120400 Flaxseed (L<strong>in</strong>seed), Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 2.8 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 819 t worth<br />

CAD 502,000 from: Canada (CAD 261,000); <strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD 213,000); India (CAD 19,000); Russia (CAD<br />

6,000) and; Afghanistan (CAD 2,000). One o<strong>the</strong>r country supplied less than CAD 1,000 worth <strong>of</strong> this product<br />

group <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

C. Selected Products Not Imported from Canada<br />

Follow<strong>in</strong>g are trade statistics <strong>of</strong> selected food products imported by <strong>Turkey</strong> from many countries exclud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Canada. Turkish trade data was used to determ<strong>in</strong>e that Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se products. Canadian trade<br />

data may not be consistent with <strong>the</strong> Turkish data.<br />

Unless o<strong>the</strong>rwise <strong>in</strong>dicated, average data refers to <strong>the</strong> years 2004 to 2009.<br />

151211 Sunflower-Seed or Safflower Oil, Crude<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 315.5 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 323,578 t<br />

worth CAD 558.2 million from: <strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD 307.1 million); Russia (CAD 220.2 million); Argent<strong>in</strong>a<br />

(CAD 23.2 million); Romania (CAD 7.6 million) and; Egypt (CAD 64,000). In 2009 Canada did not supply<br />

this product to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 485,000 worth to three o<strong>the</strong>r countries.<br />

120600 Sunflower Seeds, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 245.9 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 468,277 t<br />

worth CAD 279.0 million from: Bulgaria (CAD 121.4 million); <strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD 69.6 million); Moldova<br />

(CAD 35.1 million); Romania (CAD 27.1 million) and; <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 12.4 million). N<strong>in</strong>eteen o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

countries supplied CAD 13.5 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2008. Canada last supplied this product to<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2008. In 2009, Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 65.5<br />

million worth to 47 o<strong>the</strong>r countries.<br />

230400 Soya-Bean Oil-Cake and O<strong>the</strong>r Solid Residues, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Ground or Pelleted<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 145.3 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 351,832 t<br />

worth CAD 173.9 million from: <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 109.9 million); Argent<strong>in</strong>a (CAD 47.2 million); Brazil (CAD<br />

5.4 million); Spa<strong>in</strong> (CAD 5.1 million) and; India (CAD 3.9 million). Four o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 2.4<br />

million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but<br />

exported CAD 25.3 million worth to five o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

120740 Sesamum Seeds, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 101.0 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 91,954 t<br />

worth CAD 146.7 million from: Nigeria (CAD 47.0 million); Ethiopia (CAD 27.4 million); India (CAD 14.0<br />

51


million); Mozambique (CAD 13.8 million) and; Pakistan (CAD 12.9 million). Twenty-six o<strong>the</strong>r countries<br />

supplied CAD 31.6 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada last supplied this product group to<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2006. In 2009, Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 1.0<br />

million worth to seven o<strong>the</strong>r countries.<br />

100590 Maize (Corn), Nes<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 178.2 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 480,072 t<br />

worth CAD 135.6 million from: <strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD 54.5 million); Russia (CAD 27.5 million); Romania (CAD<br />

15.7 million); Hungary (CAD 12.7 million) and; Argent<strong>in</strong>a (CAD 9.2 million). N<strong>in</strong>e o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied<br />

CAD 16.0 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada last supplied this product to <strong>Turkey</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2008. In<br />

2009, Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 56.2 million worth to 23 o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

countries.<br />

120991 Seeds, Vegetable, Nesoi for Sow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 75.8 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 4,929 t worth<br />

CAD 111.7 million from: Ch<strong>in</strong>a (CAD 20.7 million); <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands (CAD 17.1 million); Israel (CAD 14.1<br />

million); France (CAD 12.2 million) and; <strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD 9.1 million). Thirty-one o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied<br />

CAD 38.5 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 2.8 million worth to seven o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

150200 Bov<strong>in</strong>e, Sheep & Goat Fats, O<strong>the</strong>r than Head<strong>in</strong>g 1503<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 94.7 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 125,804 t<br />

worth CAD 95.6 million from: <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 95.6 million); Germany (CAD 38,000) and; Italy (CAD<br />

23,000). Canada last supplied this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2004. In 2009, Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong><br />

this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 102.3 million worth to 15 o<strong>the</strong>r countries.<br />

410210 Sheep or Lamb Sk<strong>in</strong>s, Raw, with Wool On, Nesoi<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 244.9 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 19,468,567<br />

Sk<strong>in</strong>s worth CAD 91.7 million from: Spa<strong>in</strong> (CAD 30.6 million); Italy (CAD 10.5 million); <strong>the</strong> UK (CAD 10.0<br />

million); Greece (CAD 9.9 million) and; France (CAD 5.9 million). Forty-three o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD<br />

24.9 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada last supplied this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2007.<br />

Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2009 but exported CAD 827,000 worth to 12<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r countries.<br />

151521 Maize (Corn) Oil Crude<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 101.7 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 83,367 t<br />

worth CAD 82.4 million from: <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 72.9 million); Argent<strong>in</strong>a (CAD 6.0 million); Brazil (CAD 1.8<br />

million); Bulgaria (CAD 888,000) and; Ch<strong>in</strong>a (CAD 785,000). Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product to<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 820,000 worth to three o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

240399 Manufactured Tobacco & Substitute, Nesoi, Includ<strong>in</strong>g Extracts and Substances<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 68.0 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 9,172 t worth<br />

CAD 76.7 million from: <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands (CAD 42.2 million); Germany (CAD 17.9 million); Russia (CAD<br />

13.1 million); <strong>the</strong> UK (CAD 2.2 million) and; <strong>the</strong> Czech Republic (CAD 658,000). Three o<strong>the</strong>r countries<br />

supplied CAD 611,000 worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group<br />

to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 71,000 worth to one o<strong>the</strong>r country <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

230310 Residues <strong>of</strong> Starch Manufacture and Similar Residues<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 61.0 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 378,163 t<br />

worth CAD 73.3 million from: <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 66.3 million); <strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD 5.1 million); Bulgaria (CAD<br />

924,000); Ch<strong>in</strong>a (CAD 778,000) and; Romania (CAD 137,000). Four o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 95,000<br />

worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported<br />

CAD 9.6 million worth to two o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

52


350510 Dextr<strong>in</strong>s and O<strong>the</strong>r Modified Starches<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 64.2 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 86,855 t worth<br />

CAD 72.8 million from: Bulgaria (CAD 18.3 million); <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands (CAD 17.5 million); Germany (CAD<br />

14.1 million); Thailand (CAD 8.4 million) and; France (CAD 4.7 million). Twenty-three o<strong>the</strong>r countries<br />

supplied CAD 9.9 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product<br />

group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 12.8 million worth to 24 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

190110 Preparations <strong>of</strong> Cereals, Flour, Starch or Milk for Infant Use, Put up for Retail Sale<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 56.8 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 8,100 t worth<br />

CAD 71.2 million from: Germany (CAD 24.6 million); Poland (CAD 18.4 million); Portugal (CAD 9.5<br />

million); <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands (CAD 9.3 million) and; Switzerland (CAD 4.4 million). Eleven o<strong>the</strong>r countries<br />

supplied CAD 5.0 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product<br />

group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 7.1 million worth to 22 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

230120 Flours, Meals & Pellets <strong>of</strong> Fish, Crustaceans, Molluscs or O<strong>the</strong>r Aquatic Invertebrates, Unfit for<br />

Human Consumption<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 55.3 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 52,329 t worth<br />

CAD 65.8 million from: Peru (CAD 55.3 million); Morocco (CAD 3.9 million); Mexico (CAD 3.1 million);<br />

Georgia (CAD 1.8 million) and; South Africa (CAD 650,000). Six o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 1.0 million<br />

worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported<br />

CAD 8.1 million worth to 10 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

210111 C<strong>of</strong>fee Extracts, Essences and Concentrates<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 46.4 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 5,627 t worth<br />

CAD 63.3 million from: Spa<strong>in</strong> (CAD 19.0 million); Brazil (CAD 7.8 million); Switzerland (CAD 7.5<br />

million); Japan (CAD 7.2 million) and; South Korea (CAD 5.6 million). Fourteen o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied<br />

CAD 16.2 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 13.9 million worth to 21 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

120510 Low Erucic Acid Rape or Colza Seeds, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 61.3 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 123,696 t<br />

worth CAD 57.9 million from: <strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD 32.8 million); Romania (CAD 11.0 million); Moldova<br />

(CAD 6.8 million); Bulgaria (CAD 6.5 million) and; Russia (CAD 544,000). Five o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied<br />

CAD 189,000 worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. (Turkish data <strong>in</strong>dicates no imports from Canada, but<br />

Canadian data <strong>in</strong>dicates that CAD 1,762 worth was exported to <strong>Turkey</strong>). Canada supplied CAD 3,471.7<br />

million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group to 29 o<strong>the</strong>r countries 2009.<br />

230630 Sunflower Seed Oil-Cake & O<strong>the</strong>r Solid Residues, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Ground or Pelleted<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 56.7 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 322,288 t<br />

worth CAD 52.8 million from: <strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD 26.9 million); Russia (CAD 20.9 million); Bulgaria (CAD<br />

2.9 million); Romania (CAD 2.1 million) and; Georgia (CAD 68,000).<br />

120890 Flours and Meals <strong>of</strong> Oil Seeds or Oleag<strong>in</strong>ous Fruits, Except Mustard, Nes<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 10.6 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 117,686 t<br />

worth CAD 48.6 million from: Georgia (CAD 31.6 million); Bulgaria (CAD 12.2 million) and; <strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e<br />

(CAD 4.8 million). Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 6.0 million<br />

worth to 16 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

180690 Chocolate and O<strong>the</strong>r <strong>Food</strong> Preparations Conta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Cocoa Nes<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 30.2 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 9,188 t worth<br />

CAD 47.3 million from: Poland (CAD 26.7 million); Italy (CAD 9.1 million); Slovakia (CAD 3.7 million);<br />

Chile (CAD 2.6 million) and; Germany (CAD 2.1 million). Twenty-six o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 3.1<br />

million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada last supplied this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2008. In<br />

53


2009 Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 183.2 million worth to 69<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r countries.<br />

240391 Homogenized or Reconstituted Tobacco<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 35.9 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 12,181 t worth<br />

CAD 46.7 million from: France (CAD 38.9 million); Malaysia (CAD 3.1 million); Russia (CAD 2.9 million);<br />

Brazil (CAD 1.5 million) and; South Korea (CAD 273,000). Two o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 106,000<br />

worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

220720 Ethyl Alcohol and O<strong>the</strong>r Spirits, Denatured, <strong>of</strong> Any Strength<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 33.0 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 45,347,118 Lt<br />

worth CAD 42.6 million from: Pakistan (CAD 26.6 million); Belgium (CAD 4.0 million); Brazil (CAD 3.4<br />

million); Russia (CAD 3.3 million) and; South Africa (CAD 3.0 million). Five o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD<br />

2.2 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong><br />

but exported CAD 53.4 million worth to 20 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

230230 Wheat Bran, Sharps and O<strong>the</strong>r Residues, Pelleted or Not<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 66.6 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 315,485 t<br />

worth CAD 42.4 million from: <strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD 22.0 million); Russia (CAD 13.9 million); Bulgaria (CAD<br />

3.8 million); South Africa (CAD 1.1 million) and; Italy (CAD 887,000). Three o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD<br />

766,000 worth <strong>of</strong> this product <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada last supplied this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2005. In 2009,<br />

Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 7.3 million worth to one o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

country.<br />

040510 Butter<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 22.2 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 13,477 t worth<br />

CAD 38.4 million from: Australia (CAD 10.6 million); <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands (CAD 5.9 million); New Zealand<br />

(CAD 4.0 million); Switzerland (CAD 3.1 million) and; Israel (CAD 1.9 million). Seventeen o<strong>the</strong>r countries<br />

supplied CAD 12.8 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product to<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 349,000 worth to seven o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

350300 Gelat<strong>in</strong> and Gelat<strong>in</strong> Derivatives; Is<strong>in</strong>glass; Glues <strong>of</strong> Animal Orig<strong>in</strong>, Nes<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 18.1 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 4,912 t worth<br />

CAD 32.8 million from: Brazil (CAD 18.2 million); Argent<strong>in</strong>a (CAD 6.6 million); Pakistan (CAD 2.9<br />

million); Slovakia (CAD 1.7 million) and; Colombia (CAD 1.1 million). Twelve o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied<br />

CAD 2.3 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product to <strong>Turkey</strong> but<br />

exported CAD 53.5 million worth to 30 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

100300 Barley<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 37.5 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 91,649 t worth<br />

CAD 32.7 million from: France (CAD 29.3 million); Russia (CAD 2.6 million); <strong>the</strong> UK (CAD 595,000); <strong>the</strong><br />

Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD 137,000) and; Croatia (less than CAD 1,000). Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product to<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 441.3 million worth to 17 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

030374 Mackerel, Frozen, Exclud<strong>in</strong>g Head<strong>in</strong>g 0304, Livers and Roes<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 21.5 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 21,675 t worth<br />

CAD 31.7 million from: Norway (CAD 28.0 million); South Korea (CAD 1.3 million); Ch<strong>in</strong>a (CAD 1.2<br />

million); Morocco (CAD 1.1 million) and; Spa<strong>in</strong> (CAD 32,000). Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product to<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 38.7 million worth to 33 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

060290 Plants, Live (Includ<strong>in</strong>g Their Roots), Nes and Mushroom Spawn<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 34.8 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 14,999 t worth<br />

CAD 29.3 million from: Italy (CAD 11.8 million); <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands (CAD 10.2 million); Germany (CAD 1.6<br />

54


million); Hungary (CAD 1.6 million) and; France (CAD 893,000). N<strong>in</strong>eteen o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 3.1<br />

million worth <strong>of</strong> this product <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD<br />

181.0 million worth to 17 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

040690 Cheese Nesoi<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 20.9 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 5,882 t worth<br />

CAD 28.7 million from: <strong>the</strong> Turkish Republic <strong>of</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Cyprus (CAD 13.0 million); Ireland (CAD 4.7<br />

million); Italy (CAD 3.6 million); <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands (CAD 1.9 million) and; <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 1.5 million).<br />

Fourteen o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 4.0 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any<br />

<strong>of</strong> this product to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 58.9 million worth to 32 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

190410 Preparations <strong>of</strong> <strong>Food</strong>s Obta<strong>in</strong>ed by <strong>the</strong> Swell<strong>in</strong>g or Roast<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> Cereal or Cereal Products<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 20.4 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 9,176 t worth<br />

CAD 28.3 million from: Poland (CAD 13.8 million); France (CAD 6.0 million); Spa<strong>in</strong> (CAD 5.4 million);<br />

Switzerland (CAD 1.3 million) and; Germany (CAD 1.2 million). N<strong>in</strong>e o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 623,000<br />

worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported<br />

CAD 213.3 million worth to 25 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

151620 Vegetable Fats & Oils & Fractions Hydrogenated Inter-esterified / Re-esterified, Etc, Ref<strong>in</strong>ed or Not<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 16.5 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 18,388 t worth<br />

CAD 24.7 million from: Malaysia (CAD 9.6 million); Indonesia (CAD 9.1 million); India (CAD 1.6 million);<br />

Germany (CAD 1.4 million) and; <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands (CAD 1.2 million). Eighteen o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD<br />

1.7 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong><br />

but exported CAD 24.5 million worth to 23 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

190590 Communion Wafers, Empty Cachets for Pharmaceutical Use and Similar Products and Bakers'<br />

Wares Nesoi<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 12.3 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 4,022 t worth<br />

CAD 22.3 million from: Germany (CAD 9.0 million); Belgium (CAD 6.7 million); Italy (CAD 2.1 million);<br />

<strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands (CAD 1.1 million) and; <strong>the</strong> UK (CAD 805,000). Twenty o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 2.6<br />

million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada last supplied this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2004. In<br />

2009, Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 735.3 million worth to 80<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r countries.<br />

150420 Fish Fats & Oils & Their Fractions Exclud<strong>in</strong>g Liver, Ref<strong>in</strong>ed or Not, Not Chemically Modified<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 12.8 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 18,060 t worth<br />

CAD 22.2 million from: Norway (CAD 18.8 million); <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 1.6 million); <strong>the</strong> UK (CAD 930,000);<br />

France (CAD 320,000) and; Ch<strong>in</strong>a (CAD 318,000). Six o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 279,000 worth <strong>of</strong> this<br />

product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada last supplied this product group to turkey <strong>in</strong> 2008, (Turkish trade data<br />

<strong>in</strong>dicates no imports from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009, Canadian data <strong>in</strong>dicates exports to <strong>Turkey</strong> valued at CAD 28,426).<br />

Canada exported CAD 21.0 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group to 37 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

100510 Maize (Corn) Seed<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 14.9 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 5,059 t worth<br />

CAD 21.3 million from: <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 8.5 million); France (CAD 5.6 million); Serbia (CAD 1.7 million);<br />

Chile (CAD 1.5 million) and; Romania (CAD 1.2 million). Twelve o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 2.7 million<br />

worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada last supplied this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2005. In 2009,<br />

Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 53.9 million worth to 11 o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

countries.<br />

210610 Prote<strong>in</strong> Concentrates and Textured Prote<strong>in</strong> Substances<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 19.6 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 5,908 t worth<br />

CAD 19.2 million from: Belgium (CAD 7.0 million); <strong>the</strong> USA (CAD 3.1 million); Italy (CAD 2.7 million);<br />

55


<strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands (CAD 1.3 million) and; Ch<strong>in</strong>a (CAD 1.2 million). Eleven o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 3.9<br />

million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but<br />

exported CAD 18.6 million worth to 45 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

120910 Seeds, Sugar Beet, for Sow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 6.8 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 785 t worth<br />

CAD 18.4 million from: Germany (CAD 8.3 million); Belgium (CAD 5.8 million); France (CAD 4.1 million)<br />

and; Sweden (CAD 231,000). Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD<br />

32,000 worth to three o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

030343 Skipjack or Stripe-bellied Bonito, Frozen Exclud<strong>in</strong>g Head<strong>in</strong>g 0304, Livers & Roes<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 12.3 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 11,510 t worth<br />

CAD 17.6 million from: France (CAD 11.6 million); Spa<strong>in</strong> (CAD 2.9 million); India (CAD 1.2 million);<br />

Mayotte (CAD 837,000) and; Seychelles (CAD 662,000). One o<strong>the</strong>r country supplied CAD 330,000 worth <strong>of</strong><br />

this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD<br />

3,000 worth to one o<strong>the</strong>r country <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

180632 Chocolate & <strong>Food</strong> Preparations Conta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Cocoa <strong>in</strong> Blocks, Slabs or Bars, Not Filled, Not over 2 Kg<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 15.7 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 2,511 t worth<br />

CAD 17.2 million from: Germany (CAD 4.0 million); Slovakia (CAD 3.3 million); Bulgaria (CAD 3.2<br />

million); Switzerland (CAD 3.0 million) and; Romania (CAD 2.0 million). Thirteen o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied<br />

CAD 1.8 million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 51.7 million worth to 23 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

170490 Sugar Confectionery Nes (Includ<strong>in</strong>g White Chocolate), Not Conta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Cocoa<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 9.5 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 3,445 t worth<br />

CAD 16.9 million from: Spa<strong>in</strong> (CAD 5.0 million); Germany (CAD 3.0 million); <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands (CAD 2.6<br />

million); Ireland (CAD 925,000) and; Mexico (CAD 896,000). N<strong>in</strong>eteen o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 4.5<br />

million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but<br />

exported CAD 376.4 million worth to 79 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

040221 Milk and Cream Powder Unsweetened Exceed<strong>in</strong>g 1.5% Fat<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 19.9 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 5,470 t worth<br />

CAD 16.4 million from: France (CAD 7.4 million); S<strong>in</strong>gapore (CAD 2.5 million); <strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD 2.2<br />

million); Ireland (CAD 1.2 million) and; Switzerland (CAD 893,000). Six o<strong>the</strong>r countries supplied CAD 2.2<br />

million worth <strong>of</strong> this product group <strong>in</strong> 2009. Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but<br />

exported CAD 588,000 worth to 11 o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

120590 Rape or Colza Seeds, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken, O<strong>the</strong>r than Low Erucic Acid<br />

The average value <strong>of</strong> imports over six years was CAD 9.1 million. In 2009, <strong>Turkey</strong> imported 33,812 t worth<br />

CAD 16.0 million from: <strong>the</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e (CAD 13.5 million); Romania (CAD 1.5 million); Bulgaria (CAD<br />

836,000) and; Moldova (CAD 167,000). Canada last supplied this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2006. In 2009,<br />

Canada did not supply any <strong>of</strong> this product group to <strong>Turkey</strong> but exported CAD 4.5 million worth to four o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

countries.<br />

VII. GRID ANALYSIS<br />

Unless o<strong>the</strong>rwise <strong>in</strong>dicated <strong>the</strong> annual rates <strong>of</strong> change refer to <strong>the</strong> period 2004 to 2009. Figure 13 presents <strong>the</strong><br />

grid analysis which compares <strong>the</strong> rate <strong>of</strong> change <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>’s imports from <strong>the</strong> world with <strong>the</strong> rate <strong>of</strong> change <strong>of</strong><br />

imports from Canada.<br />

A. All Agri-food and Fish Products<br />

56


Between 2004 and 2009, <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> Turkish imports <strong>of</strong> all agri-food and fish products from all sources was<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 12.2 percent 7 per year. The value <strong>of</strong> imports from Canada was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 34.5<br />

percent per year. Canada was ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong> an expand<strong>in</strong>g import market. In 2009 Canada had 2.0 percent<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market for imported agri-food and fish products.<br />

B. Agri-food and Fish Imports <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> from Canada vs from<br />

<strong>the</strong> Whole World<br />

030622 Lobsters, Live, Fresh, Chilled,<br />

Dried, Salted or <strong>in</strong> Br<strong>in</strong>e<br />

The value <strong>of</strong> imports from all sources was<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 113.7 percent per<br />

year while <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> imports from<br />

Canada was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 127.6<br />

percent per year. Canada was ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

market share <strong>in</strong> an expand<strong>in</strong>g import<br />

market. <strong>Turkey</strong> was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong><br />

imports from Canada faster than from <strong>the</strong><br />

world. In 2009, Canada held 92.59 percent<br />

<strong>of</strong> this CAD 254,000 import market.<br />

040700 Birds' Eggs, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Shell, Fresh,<br />

Preserved or Cooked<br />

The value <strong>of</strong> imports from all sources was<br />

decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -12.7 percent per<br />

year while <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> imports from<br />

Canada was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 4.4<br />

percent per year. Canada was ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

market share <strong>in</strong> a contract<strong>in</strong>g import<br />

market. <strong>Turkey</strong> was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong><br />

imports from Canada while decreas<strong>in</strong>g<br />

imports from <strong>the</strong> world. In 2009, Canada<br />

held 42.91 percent <strong>of</strong> this CAD 9.1 million<br />

import market.<br />

051110 Bov<strong>in</strong>e Semen<br />

The value <strong>of</strong> imports from all sources was<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 22.2 percent per year<br />

while <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> imports from Canada<br />

was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 23.3 percent per<br />

year. Canada was ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong><br />

an expand<strong>in</strong>g import market. <strong>Turkey</strong> was<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> imports from<br />

Canada faster than from <strong>the</strong> world. In<br />

2009, Canada held 19.25 percent <strong>of</strong> this<br />

CAD 7.9 million import market.<br />

071310 Peas, Dried Shelled, Includ<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Seed<br />

The value <strong>of</strong> imports from all sources<br />

was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 8.1 percent<br />

per year while <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> imports<br />

AVERAGE ANNUAL % CHANGE<br />

CANADA ---> TURKEY<br />

-128% -108% -88% -68% -48% -28% -8% 12% 32% 52% 72% 92% 112%<br />

57<br />

3a<br />

1<br />

3b<br />

112%<br />

92%<br />

72%<br />

52%<br />

32%<br />

12%<br />

-28%<br />

-48%<br />

-68%<br />

-88%<br />

-108%<br />

-128%<br />

AVERAGE ANNUAL % CHANGE<br />

WHOLE WORLD ---> TURKEY<br />

030622 040700 051110<br />

071310 071340 100830<br />

120400 120750 210690<br />

220830 230910 230990<br />

240120 ALL AGRIFOOD<br />

Figure 13. Percent Changes <strong>in</strong> Turkish Agri-food & Seafood<br />

Imports - From Canada vs From <strong>the</strong> World. 2004 -<br />

2009.<br />

Legend:<br />

HS CODE DESCRIPTION<br />

030622 Lobsters, Live, Fresh, Chilled, Dried, Salted or <strong>in</strong> Br<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

040700 Birds’ Eggs <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Shell, Fresh, Preserved or Cooked.<br />

051110 Bov<strong>in</strong>e Semen.<br />

071310 Peas, Dried, Shelled Includ<strong>in</strong>g Seed.<br />

071340 Lentils, Dried Shelled, Includ<strong>in</strong>g Seed.<br />

100830 Canary Seed.<br />

120400 Flaxseed (L<strong>in</strong>seed) Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken.<br />

120750 Mustard Seeds, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken.<br />

210690 <strong>Food</strong> Preparations Nes.<br />

220830 Whiskies.<br />

230910 Dog and Cat <strong>Food</strong>, Put up for Retail Sale.<br />

230990 Animal Feed Preparations Except Dog or Cat <strong>Food</strong> Put up<br />

for Retail Sale.<br />

240120 Tobacco, Partly or Wholly Stemmed / Stripped.<br />

All Agrifood All Agri-food and Seafood Products.<br />

2a<br />

4<br />

2b


from Canada was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -7.0 percent per year. Canada was los<strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong> an<br />

expand<strong>in</strong>g import market. <strong>Turkey</strong> was decreas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> imports from Canada while <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

value from <strong>the</strong> world. In 2009, Canada held 11.66 percent <strong>of</strong> this CAD 2.8 million import market.<br />

071340 Lentils, Dried Shelled, Includ<strong>in</strong>g Seed<br />

The value <strong>of</strong> imports from all sources was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 103.1 percent per year while <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong><br />

imports from Canada was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 19.3 percent per year. Canada was los<strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong> an<br />

expand<strong>in</strong>g import market. <strong>Turkey</strong> was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> imports from Canada slower than from <strong>the</strong><br />

world. In 2009, Canada held 92.93 percent <strong>of</strong> this CAD 153.4 million import market.<br />

100830 Canary Seed<br />

The value <strong>of</strong> imports from all sources was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 25.2 percent per year while <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong><br />

imports from Canada was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 95.7 percent per year. Canada was ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong> an<br />

expand<strong>in</strong>g import market. <strong>Turkey</strong> was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> imports from Canada faster than from <strong>the</strong><br />

world. In 2009, Canada held 59.8 percent <strong>of</strong> this CAD 762,000 import market.<br />

120400 Flaxseed (L<strong>in</strong>seed), Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken<br />

The value <strong>of</strong> imports from all sources was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 5.8 percent per year while <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong><br />

imports from Canada was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -4.2 percent per year. Canada was los<strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong> an<br />

expand<strong>in</strong>g import market. <strong>Turkey</strong> was decreas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> imports from Canada while <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

value <strong>of</strong> imports from <strong>the</strong> world. In 2009, Canada held 51.95 percent <strong>of</strong> this CAD 502,000 import market.<br />

120750 Mustard Seeds, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken<br />

The value <strong>of</strong> imports from all sources was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -3.2 percent per year while <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong><br />

imports from Canada was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 34.3 percent per year. Canada was ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong> a<br />

contract<strong>in</strong>g import market. <strong>Turkey</strong> was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> imports from Canada while decreas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

value <strong>of</strong> imports from <strong>the</strong> world. In 2009, Canada held 86.61 percent <strong>of</strong> this CAD 327,000 import market.<br />

210690 <strong>Food</strong> Preparations Nesoi<br />

The value <strong>of</strong> imports from all sources was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 4.8 percent per year while <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong><br />

imports from Canada was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 40.2 percent per year. Canada was ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong> an<br />

expand<strong>in</strong>g import market. <strong>Turkey</strong> was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> imports from Canada faster than from <strong>the</strong><br />

world. In 2009, Canada held 0.39 percent <strong>of</strong> this CAD 255.4 million import market.<br />

220830 Whiskies<br />

The value <strong>of</strong> imports from all sources was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 48.3 percent per year while <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong><br />

imports from Canada was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.4 percent per year. Canada was los<strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong> an<br />

expand<strong>in</strong>g import market. <strong>Turkey</strong> was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> imports from Canada slower than from <strong>the</strong><br />

world. In 2009, Canada held 0.51 percent <strong>of</strong> this CAD 32.3 million import market.<br />

230910 Dog and Cat <strong>Food</strong>, Put up for Retail Sale<br />

The value <strong>of</strong> imports from all sources was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 13.2 percent per year while <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong><br />

imports from Canada was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -7.5 percent per year. Canada was los<strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong> an<br />

expand<strong>in</strong>g import market. <strong>Turkey</strong> was decreas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> imports from Canada while <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

value <strong>of</strong> imports from <strong>the</strong> world. In 2009, Canada held 3.23 percent <strong>of</strong> this CAD 30.9 million import market.<br />

230990 Animal Feed Preparations Except Dog or Cat <strong>Food</strong>, Put up <strong>in</strong> Retail Packages<br />

The value <strong>of</strong> imports from all sources was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 9.7 percent per year while <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong><br />

imports from Canada was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 14.3 percent per year. Canada was ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong> an<br />

expand<strong>in</strong>g import market. <strong>Turkey</strong> was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> imports from Canada faster than from <strong>the</strong><br />

world. In 2009, Canada held 1.37 percent <strong>of</strong> this CAD 71.3 million import market.<br />

58


240120 Tobacco, Partly or Wholly Stemmed / Stripped<br />

The value <strong>of</strong> imports from all sources was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> 10.4 percent per year while <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong><br />

imports from Canada was decreas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate <strong>of</strong> -9.1 percent per year. Canada was los<strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong> an<br />

expand<strong>in</strong>g import market. <strong>Turkey</strong> was decreas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> imports from Canada while <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

value <strong>of</strong> imports from <strong>the</strong> world. In 2009, Canada held 0.48 percent <strong>of</strong> this CAD 314.9 million import market.<br />

VIII. PRICE WORK-UPS<br />

A market is contestable only if <strong>the</strong> accumulated costs <strong>of</strong> putt<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> product on <strong>the</strong> retail self are expected to<br />

compete favourably with similar products <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. In order to fur<strong>the</strong>r identify likely contestable markets,<br />

Canadian exporters can ga<strong>the</strong>r specific data and <strong>in</strong>formation to complete a research-price-work-up. A<br />

research-price-work-up <strong>of</strong> this k<strong>in</strong>d could be developed before open<strong>in</strong>g negotiations with a potential buyer and only<br />

to obta<strong>in</strong> an <strong>in</strong>dication <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> contestability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> import market. It will be necessary to do a specific price work-up<br />

for <strong>the</strong> actual terms negotiated - usually FOB or CIF.<br />

A. The Research Price Work-up<br />

A research-price-work-up is developed by start<strong>in</strong>g with <strong>the</strong> exporters production or acquisition cost and add<strong>in</strong>g<br />

costs to calculate <strong>the</strong>: “ex works” (EXW) value; “free alongside” (FAS) value; “free on board” (FOB) value;“cost<br />

and freight” (CFR) value; “cost, <strong>in</strong>surance and freight” (CIF) value; “delivered duty paid” (DDP) value and; <strong>the</strong><br />

m<strong>in</strong>imum retail value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> product. The m<strong>in</strong>imum retail value can <strong>the</strong>n be compared to <strong>the</strong> actual retail prices <strong>of</strong><br />

similar products <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> foreign market. This, along with o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>formation, such as quality and consumer<br />

characteristics, can be <strong>of</strong> significant importance <strong>in</strong> determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g if a market is contestable. The retail prices presented<br />

<strong>in</strong> Table 11 may assist <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> search for specific products that Canadian companies can export successfully.<br />

B. Duties, Taxes, Charges and Fees<br />

Canadian exporters should contact <strong>the</strong>ir Regional Office <strong>of</strong> Agriculture and Agri-food Canada<br />

(http://www.ats-sea.agr.gc.ca/reg/reg-eng.htm) or Canadian representatives <strong>in</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong><br />

(http://www.tradecommissioner.gc.ca/eng/<strong>of</strong>fice.jsp?cid=30F&oid=99) for <strong>the</strong> latest <strong>in</strong>formation.<br />

IX. IDENTIFICATION OF CONTESTABLE MARKETS<br />

In recent months (April 2009 to March 2010) <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> TRY was decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> relation to <strong>the</strong> CAD faster<br />

than <strong>in</strong> relation to th USD, RUB and <strong>the</strong> UAH (see Table 5). This puts Canadian exporters at a relative currency<br />

disadvantage.<br />

Search<strong>in</strong>g for market opportunities is not an exact science but some <strong>in</strong>dication <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> probability that Canadian<br />

companies will f<strong>in</strong>d an opportunity <strong>in</strong> a particular market can be estimated by <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> positive <strong>in</strong>dicators <strong>in</strong><br />

Table 7.<br />

A. The Indicators <strong>of</strong> Contestability<br />

The <strong>in</strong>dicators <strong>of</strong> contestability are a number <strong>of</strong> statistical measures <strong>of</strong> factors that affect <strong>the</strong> economic viability<br />

<strong>of</strong> export<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

1. Price Change<br />

The statistic used is a time series <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> CIF price (measured <strong>in</strong> CADs) <strong>of</strong> a product group (HS code) as it is<br />

imported to <strong>Turkey</strong>. If <strong>the</strong> price is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g it is a positive <strong>in</strong>dication that <strong>the</strong>re may be an opportunity for Canadian<br />

exporters.<br />

59


2. Price Ratio<br />

This is def<strong>in</strong>ed as <strong>the</strong> ratio <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> most recent CIF price (measured <strong>in</strong> CADs) <strong>of</strong> a product groups from Canada<br />

divided by <strong>the</strong> most recent average CIF price <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> same product group from all countries. If <strong>the</strong> ratio is less than<br />

1.00 it <strong>in</strong>dicates that Canada is supply<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> product at a price lower than <strong>the</strong> world as a whole and is a positive<br />

<strong>in</strong>dication that <strong>the</strong>re may be an opportunity for Canadian exporters.<br />

3. Consumption Change<br />

The statistic used is a time series <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> household consumption <strong>of</strong> a product reported by Euromonitor<br />

International. The product classifications used by Euromonitor do not correspond directly with <strong>the</strong> HS codes but a<br />

correspondence can be estimated. This estimated correspondence is available <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Notes <strong>of</strong> Table 7. If household<br />

consumption is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g, it is a positive <strong>in</strong>dication that <strong>the</strong>re may be an opportunity for Canadian exporters.<br />

4. Change <strong>in</strong> Value <strong>of</strong> Imports<br />

The statistic used is a time series <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> an imported product group. If <strong>the</strong> value is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g, it<br />

<strong>in</strong>dicates that <strong>the</strong> country: 1) has a need for <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g amounts <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> product and / or; 2) <strong>the</strong> country is will<strong>in</strong>g to<br />

pay <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g prices for <strong>the</strong> product. If <strong>the</strong> value is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g, it is a positive <strong>in</strong>dication that <strong>the</strong>re may be an<br />

opportunity for Canadian exporters.<br />

5. Change <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Volume <strong>of</strong> Imports<br />

The statistic used is a time series <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> an imported product group. If <strong>the</strong> volume is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g, it is a<br />

positive <strong>in</strong>dication that <strong>the</strong>re may be an opportunity for Canadian exporters.<br />

6. Position on <strong>the</strong> Grid Analysis<br />

The statistic used is <strong>the</strong> position on <strong>the</strong> grid analysis <strong>of</strong> Figure 13. The grid analysis compares <strong>the</strong> rate <strong>of</strong> change<br />

<strong>of</strong> imports from Canada with <strong>the</strong> rate <strong>of</strong> change <strong>of</strong> imports from <strong>the</strong> world as a whole. If a product group falls <strong>in</strong>to<br />

sector 2a <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> graph <strong>in</strong> Figure 13, it <strong>in</strong>dicates that imports from Canada are <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g faster than from <strong>the</strong> world <strong>in</strong><br />

an expand<strong>in</strong>g market. This <strong>in</strong> turn is a positive <strong>in</strong>dication that <strong>the</strong>re may cont<strong>in</strong>ue to be an opportunity for Canadian<br />

exporters.<br />

7. Caveats<br />

The <strong>in</strong>dicators <strong>of</strong> contestability are estimates only and due to <strong>the</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> homogeneity with<strong>in</strong> HS classifications,<br />

comparative <strong>in</strong>dicators will suffer from some ambiguity. For example, <strong>the</strong> classification 020319 (Meat <strong>of</strong> sw<strong>in</strong>e<br />

nesoi, fresh or chilled) <strong>in</strong>cludes several different k<strong>in</strong>ds <strong>of</strong> specific products and <strong>the</strong> product that Canada supplies may<br />

be a different type or quality from that supplied by some o<strong>the</strong>r countries. As a result comparisons are less than<br />

perfect.<br />

B. Index <strong>of</strong> Indicators<br />

For product groups which are imported from Canada, all six <strong>in</strong>dicators are generally available. The <strong>in</strong>dex <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>dicators is <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> positive <strong>in</strong>dicators divided by six.<br />

For products groups which are not imported from Canada, four <strong>in</strong>dicators are generally available. The <strong>in</strong>dex <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>dicators is <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> positive <strong>in</strong>dicators divided by four.<br />

In a few cases (eg. 430110 M<strong>in</strong>k Fursk<strong>in</strong>s, Raw, Whole) an <strong>in</strong>dicator that would normally be available, is not. In<br />

this case <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> positive <strong>in</strong>dicators is divided by <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>dicators available.<br />

A positive research price work-up would be ano<strong>the</strong>r strong <strong>in</strong>dicator <strong>of</strong> a contestable market but requires <strong>the</strong><br />

analysis <strong>of</strong> additional data and <strong>in</strong>formation, best left to <strong>the</strong> prospective Canadian exporter.<br />

60


Table 7. Summary <strong>of</strong> Indicators <strong>of</strong> Contestable <strong>Markets</strong>. <strong>Turkey</strong>. 2009.<br />

Product Indicators <strong>of</strong> Contestability Index <strong>of</strong><br />

Indicators<br />

030622 Lobsters, Live, Fresh, Chilled, Dried,<br />

Salted or <strong>in</strong> Br<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

040700 Birds' Eggs, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Shell, Fresh,<br />

Preserved or Cooked.<br />

World<br />

Price<br />

Change*<br />

(%/Year)<br />

Ratio "<br />

(Can Price /<br />

World Price)<br />

61<br />

Change <strong>in</strong><br />

Consumption<br />

Per Household $<br />

(%/Year)<br />

PRODUCTS IMPORTED FROM CANADA IN 2009<br />

Change <strong>in</strong><br />

Value <strong>of</strong><br />

Imports*<br />

(%/ Year)<br />

Change <strong>in</strong><br />

Volume<br />

Imported*<br />

(%/ Year)<br />

Position<br />

on Grid<br />

Analysis (<br />

(No. <strong>of</strong> +) /<br />

(no.<br />

available)<br />

1.2 1.007 -0.7 113.7 111.0 2a 0.67<br />

n/a 0.010 -2.0 -12.7 -13.2 1 0.20<br />

051110 Bov<strong>in</strong>e Semen. -1.4 1.258 n/a 22.2 23.9 2a 0.60<br />

071310 Peas, Dried Shelled, Includ<strong>in</strong>g Seed. 10.5 0.548 -0.1 8.1 -2.2 4 0.50<br />

071340 Lentils, Dried Shelled, Includ<strong>in</strong>g Seed. 19.1 0.991 -0.1 103.1 70.4 2b 0.67<br />

100830 Canary Seed. 9.3 1.410 8.0 25.2 15.0 2a 0.83<br />

120400 Flaxseed (L<strong>in</strong>seed), Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not<br />

Broken.<br />

1.8 1.246 n/a 5.8 3.9 4 0.60<br />

120750 Mustard Seeds, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken. 19.7 1.055 n/a -3.2 -33.6 1 0.20<br />

210690 <strong>Food</strong> Preparations Nesoi. -6.5 16.165 1.5 4.8 12.1 2a 0.67<br />

220830 Whiskies. 27.2 0.625 -8.9 48.3 16.6 2b 0.67<br />

230910 Dog and Cat <strong>Food</strong>, Put up for Retail Sale. -1.2 0.943 11.3 13.2 14.7 4 0.67<br />

230990 Animal Feed Preparations Except Dog or<br />

Cat <strong>Food</strong>, Put up <strong>in</strong> Retail Packages.<br />

-0.7 1.173 8.0 9.7 10.7 2a 0.67


Product Indicators <strong>of</strong> Contestability Index <strong>of</strong><br />

Indicators<br />

240120 Tobacco, Partly or Wholly Stemmed /<br />

Stripped.<br />

World<br />

Price<br />

Change*<br />

(%/Year)<br />

Ratio "<br />

(Can Price /<br />

World Price)<br />

62<br />

Change <strong>in</strong><br />

Consumption<br />

Per Household $<br />

(%/Year)<br />

Change <strong>in</strong><br />

Value <strong>of</strong><br />

Imports*<br />

(%/ Year)<br />

Change <strong>in</strong><br />

Volume<br />

Imported*<br />

(%/ Year)<br />

Position<br />

on Grid<br />

Analysis (<br />

(No. <strong>of</strong> +) /<br />

(no.<br />

available)<br />

5.0 1.065 -2.6 10.4 5.1 4 0.50<br />

PRODUCTS NOT IMPORTED FROM CANADA IN 2009<br />

040510 Butter. 3.9 n/a -0.4 23.8 19.2 n/a 0.75<br />

040620 Cheese, Grated or Powdered, <strong>of</strong> All<br />

K<strong>in</strong>ds.<br />

6.3<br />

n/a<br />

6.3 4.3 -1.8 n/a 0.75<br />

040690 Cheese Nesoi. 3.1 n/a 6.3 11.6 8.2 n/a 1.00<br />

040900 Honey, Natural. 13.4 n/a -7.7 -10.3 -20.9 n/a 0.25<br />

071320 Chickpeas, Dried, Shelled, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or<br />

Not Sk<strong>in</strong>ned or Split.<br />

080222 Hazelnuts or Filberts, Fresh or Dried,<br />

Shelled or Peeled.<br />

9.8 n/a -0.1 90.3 73.4 n/a 0.75<br />

-3.7 n/a 0.2 8.7 12.9 n/a 0.75<br />

120740 Sesamum Seeds, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken. 13.1 n/a n/a 15.2 1.9 n/a 1.00<br />

151211 Sunflower-seed or Safflower Oil, Crude. 19.2 n/a 0.6 51.0 26.8 n/a 1.00<br />

151521 Maize (Corn) Oil Crude. 6.0 n/a 0.6 2.6 -3.1 n/a 0.75<br />

190110 Preparations <strong>of</strong> Cereals, Flour, Starch or<br />

Milk for Infant Use, Put up for Retail<br />

Sale.<br />

190410 Prepared <strong>Food</strong>s Obta<strong>in</strong>ed by <strong>the</strong> Swell<strong>in</strong>g<br />

or Roast<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> Cereal or Cereal Products.<br />

3.7 n/a 6.7 16.6 12.5 n/a 1.00<br />

3.7 n/a 4.7 13.0 9.0 n/a 1.00<br />

190531 Sweet Biscuits. -1.5 n/a 4.8 8.1 9.7 n/a 0.75


Product Indicators <strong>of</strong> Contestability Index <strong>of</strong><br />

Indicators<br />

190590 Communion Wafers, Empty Cachets For<br />

Pharmaceutical Use and Similar Products<br />

and Bakers' Wares Nesoi.<br />

200799 Jams, Fruit Jellies, Fruit / Nut Purée &<br />

Paste, Cooked Preparations, Sugared,<br />

Sweetened or Not.<br />

200979 Apple Juice, Nesoi, Unfermented and<br />

Not Spirited Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Sugared /<br />

Sweetened.<br />

210111 C<strong>of</strong>fee Extracts, Essences and<br />

Concentrates.<br />

210610 Prote<strong>in</strong> Concentrates and Textured<br />

Prote<strong>in</strong> Substances.<br />

World<br />

Price<br />

Change*<br />

(%/Year)<br />

Ratio "<br />

(Can Price /<br />

World Price)<br />

63<br />

Change <strong>in</strong><br />

Consumption<br />

Per Household $<br />

(%/Year)<br />

Change <strong>in</strong><br />

Value <strong>of</strong><br />

Imports*<br />

(%/ Year)<br />

Change <strong>in</strong><br />

Volume<br />

Imported*<br />

(%/ Year)<br />

Position<br />

on Grid<br />

Analysis (<br />

(No. <strong>of</strong> +) /<br />

(no.<br />

available)<br />

3.9 n/a 0.0 24.4 19.7 n/a 0.75<br />

-7.5 n/a 1.7 8.0 16.7 n/a 0.75<br />

-3.4 n/a 23.5 39.6 44.8 n/a 0.75<br />

6.3 n/a 15.6 11.7 5.1 n/a 1.00<br />

-5.9 n/a 2.9 0.5 6.9 n/a 0.75


Product Indicators <strong>of</strong> Contestability Index <strong>of</strong><br />

Indicators<br />

World<br />

Price<br />

Change*<br />

(%/Year)<br />

Ratio "<br />

(Can Price /<br />

World Price)<br />

Change <strong>in</strong><br />

Consumption<br />

Per Household $<br />

(%/Year)<br />

Change <strong>in</strong><br />

Value <strong>of</strong><br />

Imports*<br />

(%/ Year)<br />

Change <strong>in</strong><br />

Volume<br />

Imported*<br />

(%/ Year)<br />

Position<br />

on Grid<br />

Analysis (<br />

Notes:<br />

*Values >0.00 are positive <strong>in</strong>dicators <strong>of</strong> contestability. Calculated from <strong>the</strong> 2004 to 2009 CIF values <strong>of</strong> Turkish imports supplied by <strong>the</strong> Global Trade<br />

Atlas and sourced from <strong>the</strong> Turkish State Institute <strong>of</strong> Statistics.<br />

" Values 0.00 are positive <strong>in</strong>dicators <strong>of</strong> contestability. Calculated from Euromonitor data (2004 to 2009) which are not classified by HS codes.<br />

The approximate relationships are:<br />

100% juice: 200979<br />

Baked goods: 190590<br />

Biscuits: 190531<br />

Breakfast cereals: 190410<br />

Butter: 040510<br />

Cheese: 040620, 040690<br />

Chilled fish & seafood: 030622<br />

Chilled ready meals: 210610<br />

Cigarettes: 240120<br />

C<strong>of</strong>fee: 210111<br />

Dog & cat food: 230910<br />

Dried baby food: 190110<br />

Eggs: 040700<br />

Frozen ready meals: 210690<br />

Honey: 040900<br />

Jams & preserves: 200799<br />

Nuts: 080222<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r pet food: 100830, 230990<br />

Pulses: 071310, 071340, 071320<br />

Vegetable & seed oil: 151211, 151521<br />

Whiskey: 220830<br />

64<br />

(No. <strong>of</strong> +) /<br />

(no.<br />

available)


Product Indicators <strong>of</strong> Contestability Index <strong>of</strong><br />

Indicators<br />

World<br />

Price<br />

Change*<br />

(%/Year)<br />

Ratio "<br />

(Can Price /<br />

World Price)<br />

Change <strong>in</strong><br />

Consumption<br />

Per Household $<br />

(%/Year)<br />

Change <strong>in</strong><br />

Value <strong>of</strong><br />

Imports*<br />

(%/ Year)<br />

( The mean<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> positions on <strong>the</strong> “Grid Analysis” are as follows:<br />

1: Imports from Canada <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g; Canada ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong> a contract<strong>in</strong>g import market.<br />

2a: Imports from Canada <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g; Canada ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong> an expand<strong>in</strong>g import market - a positive <strong>in</strong>dicator.<br />

2b: Imports from Canada <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g; Canada los<strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong> an expand<strong>in</strong>g import market.<br />

3a: Imports from Canada decreas<strong>in</strong>g; Canada ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong> a contract<strong>in</strong>g import market.<br />

3b: Imports from Canada decreas<strong>in</strong>g; Canada los<strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong> a contract<strong>in</strong>g import market.<br />

4: Imports from Canada decreas<strong>in</strong>g; Canada los<strong>in</strong>g market share <strong>in</strong> an expand<strong>in</strong>g import market.<br />

65<br />

Change <strong>in</strong><br />

Volume<br />

Imported*<br />

(%/ Year)<br />

Position<br />

on Grid<br />

Analysis (<br />

(No. <strong>of</strong> +) /<br />

(no.<br />

available)


C. General Recommendations<br />

Canadian companies should: <strong>in</strong>crease market<strong>in</strong>g efforts <strong>in</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>; participate <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> efforts to establish <strong>the</strong><br />

image <strong>of</strong> Canadian products <strong>in</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong> by brand<strong>in</strong>g; ensure that <strong>the</strong>y have sufficient capacity to meet export<br />

opportunities and; take advantage <strong>of</strong> economies <strong>of</strong> scale and modern technology.<br />

1. Beef Products<br />

Monitor <strong>the</strong> regulatory situation <strong>in</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong> relative to <strong>the</strong> importation <strong>of</strong> Canadian beef.<br />

2. Dairy Products<br />

Exam<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> economics <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> product to be exported and determ<strong>in</strong>e if it can be exported outside <strong>the</strong> quota limit<br />

or must use lower priced milk and be subject to <strong>the</strong> quotas. See “VI. Product Analysis”, “A. Regulatory Issues”, “1.<br />

Dairy Products”.<br />

3. Seafood Products<br />

Ensure that basic stocks are produc<strong>in</strong>g at <strong>the</strong> optimum level to ensure a cont<strong>in</strong>uous production level.<br />

D. Product Groups with an Index <strong>of</strong> Indicators <strong>of</strong> 1.00<br />

Based on <strong>the</strong> analysis summarized <strong>in</strong> Table 7, Canadian exporters have <strong>the</strong> highest probability <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g<br />

opportunities <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g food markets <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>. Unless o<strong>the</strong>rwise <strong>in</strong>dicated, <strong>the</strong> descriptions over time refer to<br />

<strong>the</strong> period 2004 to 2009.<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g imported products were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>the</strong> average CIF value was<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. Consumption per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import any <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se product groups from<br />

Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009:<br />

040690 Cheese Nesoi;<br />

120740 Sesamum Seeds, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken;<br />

151211 Sunflower-Seed or Safflower Oil, Crude;<br />

190110 Preparations <strong>of</strong> Cereals, Flour, Starch or Milk for Infant Use, Put up for Retail Sale;<br />

190410 Prepared <strong>Food</strong>s Obta<strong>in</strong>ed by <strong>the</strong> Swell<strong>in</strong>g or Roast<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> Cereal or Cereal Products;<br />

210111 C<strong>of</strong>fee Extracts, Essences and Concentrates.<br />

E. Product Groups with an Index <strong>of</strong> Indicators Between 0.75 and 0.99<br />

Canadian exporters have a high probability <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g opportunities <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g food markets <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>,<br />

although this analysis <strong>in</strong>dicates that <strong>the</strong> probability will be lower than for <strong>the</strong> product groups above.<br />

040510 Butter<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> this imported product were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>the</strong> average CIF value was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Consumption per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import this product from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

040620 Cheese Grated or Powdered <strong>of</strong> All K<strong>in</strong>ds<br />

The value <strong>of</strong> imports, <strong>the</strong> average CIF value and consumption per household were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. The volume <strong>of</strong><br />

imports was decreas<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import this product group from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

071320 Chickpeas, Dried, Shelled, We<strong>the</strong>r or Not Sk<strong>in</strong>ned or Split<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se imported products were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>the</strong> average CIF value was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Consumption per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import this product group from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

66


080222 Hazelnuts or Filberts, Fresh or Dried, Shelled or Peeled<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> imports were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g and consumption per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. The<br />

average CIF price was decreas<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import this product group from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

100830 Canary Seed<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> this imported product were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>the</strong> average CIF value was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

The position on <strong>the</strong> grid analysis was favourable. Consumption per household was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. The Canada /<br />

World price ratio was unfavourable. <strong>Turkey</strong> imported this product from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

151521 Maize (Corn) Oil Crude<br />

The value <strong>of</strong> this imported product and <strong>the</strong> average CIF value were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. Consumption per household<br />

was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. The volume <strong>of</strong> imports was decreas<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import his product from Canada <strong>in</strong><br />

2009.<br />

190531 Sweet Biscuits<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> imports and consumption per household were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. The average CIF value<br />

was decreas<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import this product group from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

190590 Communion Wafers, Empty Cachets for Pharmaceutical Use and Similar Products and Bakers’<br />

Wares Nesoi<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se imported products were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>the</strong> average CIF value was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Consumption per household did not show a trend. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import this product group from Canada <strong>in</strong><br />

2009.<br />

200799 Jams, Fruit Jellies, Fruit / Nut Purée & Paste, Cooked Prparations, Sugared, Sweetened or Not<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> imports and consumption per household were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. The average CIF value<br />

was decreas<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import this product group from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

200979 Apple Juice, Nesoi, Unfermented and Not Spirited Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Sugared / Sweetened<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> imports and consumption per household were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. The average CIF value<br />

was decreas<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import this product group from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

210610 Prote<strong>in</strong> Concentrates and Textured Prote<strong>in</strong> Substances<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se imported products were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. Consumption per household was<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. The average CIF value was decreas<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import this product group from Canada <strong>in</strong><br />

2009.<br />

F. Product Groups with an Index <strong>of</strong> Indicators Between 0.50 and 0.74<br />

Canadian exporters have a reasonable probability <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g opportunities <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g markets <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

The probability will be lower than for <strong>the</strong> products noted above.<br />

Recommendation: Conduct market research to determ<strong>in</strong>e if Canada has a future <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>se markets.<br />

030622 Lobsters, Live, Fresh, Chilled, Dried, Salted or <strong>in</strong> Br<strong>in</strong>e<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se imported products were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. The position on <strong>the</strong> grid analysis was<br />

favourable and <strong>the</strong> average CIF value was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. The Canada / World price ratio was unfavourable.<br />

Consumption per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Turkey</strong> imported <strong>the</strong>se products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

051110 Bov<strong>in</strong>e Semen<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> this imported product were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>the</strong> position on <strong>the</strong> grid analysis was<br />

favourable. The CIF value was decreas<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>the</strong> Canada / World price ratio was unfavourable. <strong>Turkey</strong><br />

imported this product from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

67


071310 Peas, Dried Shelled, Includ<strong>in</strong>g Seed<br />

The value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se imported products and <strong>the</strong> average CIF value were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. The Canada / World price<br />

ratio was favourable. The position on <strong>the</strong> grid analysis were unfavourable. Consumption per household and<br />

<strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> imported products were decreas<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Turkey</strong> imported <strong>the</strong>se products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

071340 Lentils, Dried Shelled, Includ<strong>in</strong>g Seed<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se imported products were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. The average CIF value was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g and<br />

<strong>the</strong> Canada / World price ratio was favourable. The position on <strong>the</strong> grid analysis was unfavourable and<br />

consumption per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Turkey</strong> imported <strong>the</strong>se products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

120400 Flaxseed (L<strong>in</strong>seed), Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se imported products were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>the</strong> average CIF value was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

The position on <strong>the</strong> grid analysis was unfavourable. The Canada / World price ratio was unfavourable. <strong>Turkey</strong><br />

imported <strong>the</strong>se products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

210690 <strong>Food</strong> Preparations Nesoi<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se imported products were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. Consumption per household was<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>the</strong> position on <strong>the</strong> grid analysis was favourable. The average CIF value was decreas<strong>in</strong>g and<br />

<strong>the</strong> Canada / World price ratio was unfavourable. <strong>Turkey</strong> imported <strong>the</strong>se products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

220830 Whiskies<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se imported products were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>the</strong> average CIF value was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

The Canada / World price ratio was favourable. Consumption per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g. The position on<br />

<strong>the</strong> grid analysis was unfavourable. <strong>Turkey</strong> imported <strong>the</strong>se products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

230910 Dog and Cat <strong>Food</strong>, Put up for Retail Sale<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se imported products and <strong>the</strong> consumption per household were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. The<br />

Canada / World price ratio was favourable. The average CIF value <strong>of</strong> this imported product group was<br />

decreas<strong>in</strong>g. The position on <strong>the</strong> grid analysis was unfavourable. <strong>Turkey</strong> imported <strong>the</strong>se products from Canada<br />

<strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

230990 Animal Feed Preparations Except Dog or Cat <strong>Food</strong>, Put up for Retail Sale<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se imported products were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. Consumption per household was<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>the</strong> position on <strong>the</strong> grid analysis was favourable. The average CIF value was decreas<strong>in</strong>g and<br />

<strong>the</strong> Canada / World price ratio was unfavourable. <strong>Turkey</strong> imported <strong>the</strong>se products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

240120 Tobacco, Partly or Wholly Stemmed / Stripped<br />

The value and volume <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se imported products were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>the</strong> average CIF value was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

The position on <strong>the</strong> grid analysis was unfavourable. Consumption per household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Turkey</strong><br />

imported <strong>the</strong>se products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

G. Product Groups with an Index <strong>of</strong> Indicators Between 0.25 and 0.49<br />

Canadian exporters have a low probability <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g opportunities <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g markets <strong>of</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Recommendation: Conduct market research to determ<strong>in</strong>e if Canada has a future <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>se markets.<br />

040900 Honey<br />

The average CIF value was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. The value and volume <strong>of</strong> this imported product and consumption per<br />

household was decreas<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Turkey</strong> did not import this product from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2008.<br />

H. Product Groups with an Index <strong>of</strong> Indicators Between 0.01 and 0.24<br />

68


Canadian exporters may have a very low probability <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g or ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g an opportunity <strong>in</strong> this Turkish<br />

food market.<br />

040700 Birds’ Eggs <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Shell, Fresh Preserved or Cooked<br />

The Canada / World price ration was favourable. The value and volume <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se imported products and <strong>the</strong><br />

consumption per household were decreas<strong>in</strong>g. The position on <strong>the</strong> grid analysis was unfavourable. <strong>Turkey</strong><br />

imported <strong>the</strong>se products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

120750 Mustard Seeds, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken<br />

The average CIF value was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. The Canada / World price ratio and <strong>the</strong> position on <strong>the</strong> grid analysis<br />

were unfavourable. The value and volume <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se imported products were decreas<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Turkey</strong> imported <strong>the</strong>se<br />

products from Canada <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />

X. CONCLUSIONS<br />

With a relatively high rate <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> population and household disposable <strong>in</strong>come and decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>flation;<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong> is becom<strong>in</strong>g a country where Canadian exporters may look for opportunities. Factors that are problematic for<br />

Canadian exports to <strong>Turkey</strong> are: <strong>the</strong> decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> TRY <strong>in</strong> relation to <strong>the</strong> CAD; transportation costs relative<br />

to those from countries nearer to <strong>Turkey</strong> than is Canada.<br />

Canadian exporters will have to compete on product quality, tim<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> shipments, followup service, quantities<br />

appropriate to <strong>the</strong> needs <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> importers, product and packag<strong>in</strong>g adjustments to meet <strong>the</strong> tastes and preferences <strong>of</strong><br />

Turkish consumers.<br />

Based on <strong>the</strong> analysis <strong>of</strong> Table 7, specific product groups that Canadian exporters should consider are:<br />

040510 Butter<br />

040620 Cheese, Grated or Powdered, <strong>of</strong> All K<strong>in</strong>ds;<br />

040690 Cheese Nesoi;<br />

071320 Chickpeas, Dried, Shelled, We<strong>the</strong>r or Not Sk<strong>in</strong>ned or Split<br />

080222 Hazelnuts or Filberts, Fresh or Dried;<br />

100830 Canary Seed<br />

120740 Sesamum Seeds, Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Broken;<br />

151211 Sunflower-Seed or Safflower Oil, Crude;<br />

151521 Maize (Corn) Oil, Crude;<br />

190110 Preparations <strong>of</strong> Cereals, Flour, Starch or Milk for Infant Use, Put up for Retail Sale;<br />

190410 Prepared <strong>Food</strong>s Obta<strong>in</strong>ed by <strong>the</strong> Swell<strong>in</strong>g or Roast<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> Cereal or Cereal Products;<br />

190531 Sweet Biscuits;<br />

190590 Communion Wafers, Empty Cachets for Pharmaceutical Use and Similar Products and Bakers’ Wares<br />

Nesoi;<br />

200799 Jams, Fruit Jellies, Fruit / Nut Puree & Paste, Cooked Preparations, Sugared, Sweetened or Not;<br />

200979 Apple Juice, Nesoi, Unfermented and Not Spirited Whe<strong>the</strong>r or Not Sugared / Sweetened;<br />

210111 C<strong>of</strong>fee Extracts, Essences and Concentrates;<br />

210610 Prote<strong>in</strong> Concentrates and Textured Prote<strong>in</strong> Substances.<br />

Based on high rates <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g volume <strong>of</strong> retail sales per household (see Table 10), Canadian exporters<br />

should also consider <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g:<br />

Granola / Muesli Bars;<br />

Meal Replacements Slimm<strong>in</strong>g Products;<br />

Take Home Ice Cream;<br />

Sour Milk;<br />

Fortified W<strong>in</strong>e & Vermouth;<br />

69


100% Juice;<br />

Nectars (25.99% Juice);<br />

Juice Dr<strong>in</strong>ks (Up to 24% Juice);<br />

Flavoured Bottled Water;<br />

Sports Dr<strong>in</strong>ks;<br />

Energy Dr<strong>in</strong>ks;<br />

Mid Tar Cigarettes;<br />

Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes;<br />

Instant C<strong>of</strong>fee.<br />

70


XI. CONTACTS FOR ASSISTANCE AND INFORMATION<br />

A. Regional Offices <strong>in</strong> Canada<br />

Alberta and <strong>the</strong> Territories<br />

Alberta & Territories Regional Office,<br />

Agriculture and Agri-<strong>Food</strong> Canada,<br />

9700 Jasper Avenue, Suite 720,<br />

Edmonton, AB,<br />

T5J 4G5.<br />

Voice: 780-495-5527.<br />

Fax: 780-495-3324.<br />

Atlantic Region<br />

Atlantic Regional Office,<br />

Agriculture and Agri-<strong>Food</strong> Canada,<br />

1800 Argyle Street, 5th Floor,<br />

Halifax, NS,<br />

B3J 2N7.<br />

Voice: 902-426-6151.<br />

Fax: 902-426-3439.<br />

British Columbia Region<br />

British Columbia Regional Office,<br />

Agriculture and Agri-<strong>Food</strong> Canada,<br />

Suite 420, 4321 Still Creek Drive,<br />

Burnaby, BC,<br />

V5C 6S7.<br />

Voice: 604-666-2861.<br />

Fax: 604-666-7235.<br />

Manitoba Region<br />

Manitoba Regional Office,<br />

Agriculture and Agri-<strong>Food</strong> Canada,<br />

303 Ma<strong>in</strong> Street, Room 402,<br />

W<strong>in</strong>nipeg, MB,<br />

R3C 3G7.<br />

Voice: 204-983-3032.<br />

Fax: 204-983-4583.<br />

B. In <strong>Turkey</strong><br />

The Embassy <strong>of</strong> Canada <strong>in</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong><br />

Street Address:<br />

C<strong>in</strong>nah Caddesi 58, Cankaya,<br />

Ankara, 06690.<br />

TURKEY.<br />

71<br />

Ontario Region<br />

Ontario Regional Office,<br />

Agriculture and Agri-<strong>Food</strong> Canada,<br />

174 Stone Road West,<br />

Guelph, ON,<br />

N1G 4S9.<br />

Voice: 519-829-9400.<br />

Fax: 519-837-9782.<br />

Quebec Region<br />

Quebec Regional Office,<br />

Agriculture and Agri-<strong>Food</strong> Canada,<br />

2001, University (Room 746-M),<br />

Montréal, QC,<br />

H3A 3N2.<br />

Voice: 514-283-8888.<br />

Fax: 514-496-3966.<br />

and<br />

901, rue du Cap-Diamant (3rd Floor),<br />

Québec, QC,<br />

G1K 4K1.<br />

Voice: 418-648-4775.<br />

Fax: 418-648-7342.<br />

Saskatchewan Region<br />

7 th Floor,<br />

123-2nd Avenue South,<br />

Saskatoon, SK,<br />

S7N 7E6.<br />

Voice: 306-975-4660.<br />

Fax: 306-975-5263.


Mail<strong>in</strong>g Address:<br />

C<strong>in</strong>nah Caddesi 58, Cankaya,<br />

Ankara, 06690,<br />

TURKEY.<br />

Voice: (011-90-312) 409-2700.<br />

Fax: (011-90-312) 409-2715.<br />

Email: ankra-td@<strong>in</strong>ternational.gc.ca<br />

Web Page Address: http://www.tradecommissioner.gc.ca/eng/<strong>of</strong>fice.jsp?cid=30F&oid=99<br />

Mr. Cakiroglu Osman,<br />

Trade Commissioner.<br />

Aborig<strong>in</strong>al Products, Services and Technologies, Aerospace and Defence, Agricultural Technology and<br />

Equipment, Agriculture, <strong>Food</strong> and Beverages, Automotive, Consumer Products, Fish and Seafood Products,<br />

Information and Communications Technologies, Manufactur<strong>in</strong>g Technologies, Ocean Technologies, Rail and Urban<br />

Transit, Science and Technology, Service Industries and Capital Projects, Space.<br />

Email: ankra-td@dfait-maeci.gc.ca<br />

72


APPENDIX 1 - General Data<br />

Table 8. Area, Population and GDP. <strong>Turkey</strong> by Prov<strong>in</strong>ce. 2000.<br />

Prov<strong>in</strong>ce Area<br />

(km²)<br />

Population* Population<br />

Density<br />

(People /<br />

km²)<br />

AEGEAN REGION<br />

73<br />

GDP<br />

(TRY)<br />

GDP /<br />

Person<br />

(TRY)<br />

GDP / Person<br />

(CAD)<br />

Afyonkarahisar. 14,532 812,416 56 878,484,786 1,081 2,581<br />

Ayd<strong>in</strong>. 7,922 950,757 120 1,747,086,697 1,838 4,386<br />

Denizli. 11,716 950,029 81 1,481,215,700 1,559 3,721<br />

¤Izmir. 11,811 3,370,866 285 9,089,080,961 2,696 6,436<br />

Kütahya. 12,119 656,903 54 926,917,967 1,411 3,368<br />

Manisa. 13,120 1,260,169 96 2,598,539,738 2,062 4,922<br />

Mugla. 12,716 715,328 56 1,901,840,479 2,659 6,346<br />

Usak. 5,174 322,313 62 413,360,662 1,282 3,061<br />

Subtotal. 89,110 9,038,781 101 19,036,526,990 2,106 5,027<br />

BLACK SEA REGION<br />

Amasya. 5,731 365,231 64 470,003,417 1,287 3,072<br />

Artv<strong>in</strong>. 7,493 191,934 26 340,837,874 1,776 4,239<br />

Bart2<strong>in</strong>. 1,960 184,178 94 157,449,448 855 2,040<br />

Bayburt. 4,043 97,358 24 80,327,610 825 1,969<br />

Bolu. 10,716 270,654 25 966,017,056 3,569 8,519<br />

Çorum. 12,833 597,065 47 854,549,711 1,431 3,416<br />

Düzce. 3,641 314,261 86 322,021,797 1,025 2,446<br />

Giresun. 7,151 523,819 73 615,940,836 1,176 2,807<br />

Gümüshane. 6,125 186,953 31 174,512,760 933 2,228<br />

Karabük. 2,420 225,102 93 317,248,545 1,409 3,364<br />

Kastamonu. 13,473 375,476 28 572,772,352 1,525 3,641<br />

Ordu. 5,894 887,765 151 765,004,963 862 2,057<br />

Rize. 3,792 365,938 97 560,226,256 1,531 3,654


Prov<strong>in</strong>ce Area<br />

(km²)<br />

Population* Population<br />

Density<br />

(People /<br />

km²)<br />

74<br />

GDP<br />

(TRY)<br />

GDP /<br />

Person<br />

(TRY)<br />

GDP / Person<br />

(CAD)<br />

Samsun. 9,474 1,209,137 128 1,756,168,727 1,452 3,467<br />

S<strong>in</strong>op. 5,858 225,574 39 268,096,835 1,189 2,837<br />

Tokat. 9,912 828,027 84 916,856,593 1,107 2,643<br />

Trabzon. 4,495 975,137 217 1,177,576,405 1,208 2,882<br />

Zonguldak. 3,470 615,599 177 1,464,850,124 2,380 5,680<br />

Subtotal. 118,481 8,439,208 71 11,780,461,309 1,396 3,332<br />

CENTRAL ANATOLIA REGION<br />

Aksaray. 8,051 396,084 49 356,477,025 900 2,148<br />

Ankara. 25,615 5,017,914 196 10,371,837,263 2,067 4,933<br />

Çankiri. 8,411 270,355 32 270,912,672 1,002 2,392<br />

EskiÕsehir. 13,904 706,009 51 1,489,623,508 2,110 5,036<br />

Karaman. 8,816 243,210 28 426,182,044 1,752 4,183<br />

Kayseri. 17,116 1,060,432 62 1,516,180,219 1,430 3,413<br />

Kirikkale. 4,589 383,508 84 820,575,766 2,140 5,107<br />

K2irsehir. 6,434 253,239 39 306,863,053 1,212 2,892<br />

Konya. 40,824 2,192,166 54 3,099,272,073 1,414 3,374<br />

Nevsehir. 5,438 309,914 57 564,855,832 1,823 4,350<br />

Nigde. 7,318 348,081 48 544,823,385 1,565 3,736<br />

Sivas. 28,129 755,091 27 828,896,518 1,098 2,620<br />

Yozgat. 14,083 682,919 48 533,536,754 781 1,865<br />

Subtotal. 188,728 12,618,922 67 21,130,036,112 1,674 3,997<br />

EASTERN ANATOLIA REGION<br />

Agr2i. 11,315 528,744 47 272,088,039 515 1,228<br />

Ardahan. 5,495 133,756 24 89,684,277 671 1,600<br />

B<strong>in</strong>göl. 8,402 253,739 30 170,816,530 673 1,607<br />

Bitlis. 8,413 388,678 46 214,388,127 552 1,317


Prov<strong>in</strong>ce Area<br />

(km²)<br />

Population* Population<br />

Density<br />

(People /<br />

km²)<br />

75<br />

GDP<br />

(TRY)<br />

GDP /<br />

Person<br />

(TRY)<br />

GDP / Person<br />

(CAD)<br />

Elazig. 9,181 569,616 62 807,198,035 1,417 3,382<br />

Erz<strong>in</strong>can. 11,974 316,841 26 303,041,403 956 2,283<br />

Erzurum. 24,741 937,389 38 856,611,768 914 2,181<br />

Hakkâri. 7,729 236,581 31 164,595,858 696 1,661<br />

Igdir. 3,584 168,634 47 123,008,551 729 1,741<br />

Kars. 9,594 325,016 34 233,791,446 719 1,717<br />

Malatya. 12,235 853,658 70 992,948,237 1,163 2,776<br />

Mus. 8,023 453,654 57 205,436,842 453 1,081<br />

Tunceli. 7,406 93,584 13 118,890,973 1,270 3,032<br />

Van. 20,927 877,524 42 610,047,942 695 1,659<br />

Subtotal. 149,019 6,137,414 41 5,162,548,028 841 2,008<br />

MARMARA REGION<br />

Balikesir. 14,442 1,076,347 75 1,899,897,156 1,765 4,213<br />

Bilecik. 4,181 194,326 46 428,370,472 2,204 5,262<br />

Bursa. 11,087 2,625,140 237 4,579,937,632 1,745 4,164<br />

Çanakkale. 9,887 464,975 47 1,009,738,204 2,172 5,183<br />

Edirne. 6,241 402,606 65 914,217,771 2,271 5,420<br />

Istanbul. 5,170 11,622,257 2,248 27,548,600,621 2,370 5,658<br />

Kirklareli. 6,056 328,461 54 899,872,797 2,740 6,539<br />

Kocaeli. 3,635 1,206,085 332 5,663,425,950 4,696 11,208<br />

Sakarya. 4,895 756,168 154 1,379,776,692 1,825 4,355<br />

Tekirdag. 6,345 623,591 98 1,330,778,630 2,134 5,094<br />

Yalova. 847 168,593 199 490,563,226 2,910 6,945<br />

Subtotal. 72,786 19,468,549 267 46,145,179,151 2,370 5,657<br />

MEDITERRANEAN REGION<br />

Adana. 14,256 1,849,478 130 3,805,182,669 2,057 4,911


Prov<strong>in</strong>ce Area<br />

(km²)<br />

Population* Population<br />

Density<br />

(People /<br />

km²)<br />

76<br />

GDP<br />

(TRY)<br />

GDP /<br />

Person<br />

(TRY)<br />

GDP / Person<br />

(CAD)<br />

Antalya. 20,599 1,719,751 83 3,117,095,408 1,813 4,326<br />

Burdur. 7,238 256,803 35 440,074,357 1,714 4,090<br />

Hatay. 5,678 1,253,726 221 1,892,091,738 1,509 3,602<br />

Isparta. 8,733 513,681 59 676,971,107 1,318 3,146<br />

Kahramanmaras. 14,213 1,002,384 71 1,217,419,109 1,215 2,899<br />

Mers<strong>in</strong>. 15,737 2,271,400 144 3,424,605,768 1,508 3,599<br />

Osmaniye. 3,767 458,782 122 451,002,297 983 2,346<br />

Subtotal. 90,221 9,326,005 103 15,024,442,453 1,611 3,845<br />

SOUTHEASTERN ANATOLIA REGION<br />

Adiyaman. 7,572 623,811 82 486,660,930 780 1,862<br />

Batman. 4,671 456,734 98 433,631,586 949 2,266<br />

Diyarbakir. 15,162 1,362,708 90 1,438,926,876 1,056 2,520<br />

Gaziantep. 7,194 1,285,249 179 1,694,599,523 1,318 3,147<br />

Kilis. 1,642 114,724 70 167,870,042 1,463 3,493<br />

Mard<strong>in</strong>. 9,097 705,098 78 505,980,065 718 1,713<br />

Siirt. 5,465 263,676 48 232,026,342 880 2,100<br />

Sanliurfa. 19,091 1,443,422 76 1,161,707,677 805 1,921<br />

Sirnak. 7,296 353,197 48 182,861,189 518 1,236<br />

Subtotal. 77,190 6,608,619 86 6,304,264,230 954 2,277<br />

TOTAL. 785,535 71,637,498 91 124,583,458,273 1,739 4,151<br />

Source: Wikipedia.<br />

Note: * 2000 census data.<br />

TRY 1.00 = CAD 2.386835.


Table 9. Population, GDP and Exchange Rates. <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Year<br />

Population<br />

at Mid-<br />

Year*<br />

('000)<br />

GDP at<br />

Current<br />

Prices<br />

(Million TRY)<br />

GDP /<br />

Person<br />

(TRY)<br />

GDP Measured<br />

at PPP<br />

(Million<br />

International $)<br />

77<br />

GDP /<br />

Person<br />

(PPP)<br />

CAD per<br />

TRY**<br />

(CAD)<br />

GDP /<br />

Person<br />

(CAD)<br />

1977 42,613.4 1.5 0.03520 n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

1978 43,572.3 2.2 0.05049 n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

1979 44,542.7 3.8 0.08531 n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

1980 45,530.3 7.0 0.15374 n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

1981 46,534.2 10.6 0.22779 n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

1982 47,546.4 14.1 0.29655 n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

1983 48,553.9 18.7 0.38514 n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

1984 49,544.2 29.6 0.59745 n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

1985 50,510.0 47.2 0.93447 n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

1986 51,451.7 68.7 1 n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

1987 52,377.7 100.4 2 n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

1988 53,296.6 173.7 3 246,758.0 4,630 n/a n/a<br />

1989 54,215.1 305.6 6 256,723.0 4,735 n/a n/a<br />

1990 55,139.1 528.4 10 291,306.0 5,283 n/a n/a<br />

1991 56,064.6 847.0 15 304,426.0 5,430 285.42 4,311.95<br />

1992 56,986.1 1,469.8 26 330,294.0 5,796 180.16 4,646.81<br />

1993 57,904.1 2,664.1 46 364,742.0 6,299 120.78 5,557.05<br />

1994 58,818.2 5,200.1 88 352,108.0 5,986 49.68 4,392.22<br />

1995 59,727.8 10,434.6 175 385,287.0 6,451 30.29 5,291.08<br />

1996 60,633.4 19,857.3 327 420,135.0 6,929 17.20 5,634.30<br />

1997 61,522.7 38,762.5 630 459,738.0 7,473 9.39 5,915.26<br />

1998 62,407.5 70,203.2 1,125 479,309.0 7,680 5.73 6,448.95<br />

1999 63,297.7 104,596.0 1,652 469,993.0 7,425 3.62 5,979.86<br />

2000 64,175.1 166,658.0 2,597 512,697.0 7,989 2.39 6,198.43


Year<br />

Population<br />

at Mid-<br />

Year*<br />

('000)<br />

GDP at<br />

Current<br />

Prices<br />

(Million TRY)<br />

GDP /<br />

Person<br />

(TRY)<br />

GDP Measured<br />

at PPP<br />

(Million<br />

International $)<br />

78<br />

GDP /<br />

Person<br />

(PPP)<br />

CAD per<br />

TRY**<br />

(CAD)<br />

GDP /<br />

Person<br />

(CAD)<br />

2001 65,043.0 240,224.1 3,693 494,410.0 7,601 1.36 5,014.13<br />

2002 65,905.0 350,476.1 5,318 533,449.2 8,094 1.05 5,563.81<br />

2003 66,760.6 454,780.7 6,812 573,493.9 8,590 0.94 6,370.60<br />

2004 67,608.2 559,033.0 8,269 658,460.5 9,739 0.91 7,547.55<br />

2005 68,444.9 648,931.7 9,481 747,617.2 10,923 0.90 8,527.81<br />

2006 69,275.1 758,390.8 10,948 825,234.8 11,912 0.79 8,690.20<br />

2007 70,137.8 843,179.0 12,022 888,492.1 12,668 0.82 9,885.96<br />

2008 71,051.7 950,534.0 13,378 915,736.0 12,888 0.82 10,975.85<br />

2009 71,995.4 953,973.9 13,250 880,049.7 12,224 0.73 9,714.36<br />

Sources. * Euromonitor (August 2010).<br />

** Pacific Exchange Rate Service.<br />

Table 10. Rates <strong>of</strong> Change <strong>of</strong> Sales Value, Sales Volume and Price <strong>of</strong> Selected <strong>Food</strong> and<br />

Beverage Products. <strong>Turkey</strong>. 1999 to 2009.<br />

Product / Item Change <strong>in</strong> Value <strong>of</strong><br />

Sales per Household<br />

(% per Year)<br />

Change <strong>in</strong> Volume <strong>of</strong><br />

Sales per Household<br />

(% per Year)<br />

Disposable Income Per Household at Current TRY Prices was <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at 21.95 % / Year.<br />

Change <strong>in</strong> Retail Price<br />

(% per Year)<br />

Chocolate Confectionery. 21.7 5.5 15.4<br />

Sugar Confectionery. 16.6 1.4 15.0<br />

Gum. 18.6 1.8 16.5<br />

Bread. 18.6 0.1 18.5<br />

Pastries. 8.7 -1.8 10.7<br />

Cakes. 14.4 3.2 10.9<br />

Biscuits. 14.9 3.3 11.2<br />

Breakfast Cereal. 14.9 1.1 13.7<br />

Fruit Snacks. 11.4 0.3 11.1


Product / Item Change <strong>in</strong> Value <strong>of</strong><br />

Sales per Household<br />

(% per Year)<br />

79<br />

Change <strong>in</strong> Volume <strong>of</strong><br />

Sales per Household<br />

(% per Year)<br />

Change <strong>in</strong> Retail Price<br />

(% per Year)<br />

Chips / Crisps. 13.7 1.2 12.4<br />

Extruded Snacks. 10.9 0.0 10.9<br />

Tortilla or Corn Chips. 16.6 1.1 15.4<br />

Popcorn. 8.1 -0.5 8.6<br />

Pretzels. 9.5 2.5 6.7<br />

Nuts. 7.0 0.8 6.1<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Sweet & Savoury<br />

Snacks.<br />

Granola / Muesli Bars.<br />

(2007 to 2009)<br />

Meal Replacement<br />

Slimm<strong>in</strong>g Products. (2001<br />

to 2009)<br />

UTH Soup. (2007 to<br />

2009)<br />

8.3 0.0 8.3<br />

141.1 136.8 1.8<br />

70.4 74.1 -2.1<br />

11.6 0.5 11.1<br />

Dried Pasta. 11.6 1.0 10.5<br />

Canned / Preserved Fish /<br />

Seafood.<br />

Canned / Preserved<br />

Vegetables.<br />

Canned / Preserved<br />

Tomatoes.<br />

Canned / Preserved<br />

Beans.<br />

9.9 0.5 9.8<br />

10.8 -0.1 10.9<br />

14.8 0.5 14.2<br />

8.4 -0.1 8.6<br />

Canned / Preserved Fruit. 17.1 0.3 16.7<br />

Canned / Preserved<br />

Ready Meals.<br />

Frozen Processed Red<br />

Meat.<br />

9.0 -2.3 11.6<br />

10.4 0.0 10.5<br />

Frozen Processed Poultry. 7.0 1.2 5.8<br />

Frozen Processed Fish /<br />

Seafood.<br />

10.8 0.3 10.5


Product / Item Change <strong>in</strong> Value <strong>of</strong><br />

Sales per Household<br />

(% per Year)<br />

Frozen Processed<br />

Vegetables.<br />

Frozen Processed<br />

Potatoes.<br />

80<br />

Change <strong>in</strong> Volume <strong>of</strong><br />

Sales per Household<br />

(% per Year)<br />

Change <strong>in</strong> Retail Price<br />

(% per Year)<br />

10.7 0.3 10.4<br />

9.9 1.6 8.2<br />

Frozen Bakery Products. 11.7 1.3 10.3<br />

Frozen Ready Meals. 10.7 0.5 10.2<br />

Frozen Pizza. 9.4 0.1 9.3<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Frozen Processed<br />

<strong>Food</strong>.<br />

9.2 2.3 6.7<br />

Rice. 11.5 1.3 10.0<br />

Dessert Mixes. 14.2 3.2 10.7<br />

Dried Ready Meals. 10.2 -1.2 11.5<br />

Dehydrated Soup. 12.0 2.7 9.1<br />

Instant Soup. 9.2 0.3 9.0<br />

Dried Pasta. 11.6 1.0 10.5<br />

Chilled Processed Meats. 10.6 2.4 8.0<br />

Chilled Fish / Seafood. 7.5 -0.2 7.8<br />

Chilled Ready Meals.<br />

(2000 to 2009)<br />

Tomato Pastes and<br />

Purees.<br />

6.8 3.6 3.0<br />

8.9 1.9 6.9<br />

Bouillon / Stock Cubes. 10.5 1.7 8.6<br />

Herbs & Spices. 9.0 0.6 8.3<br />

Table Sauces. 8.4 0.4 8.0<br />

Soy Based Sauces. 7.8 -0.3 8.1<br />

Pasta Sauces. 7.1 0.7 6.4<br />

Dry Sauces / Powder<br />

Mixes.<br />

11.3 4.8 6.1<br />

Ketchup. 10.7 2.1 8.5<br />

Mayonnaise. 10.3 -0.9 11.3


Product / Item Change <strong>in</strong> Value <strong>of</strong><br />

Sales per Household<br />

(% per Year)<br />

81<br />

Change <strong>in</strong> Volume <strong>of</strong><br />

Sales per Household<br />

(% per Year)<br />

Change <strong>in</strong> Retail Price<br />

(% per Year)<br />

Mustard. 7.9 -2.1 10.3<br />

V<strong>in</strong>aigrettes. 9.0 -0.9 10.1<br />

Dips. 6.1 -0.49 6.6<br />

Pickled Products. 9.7 -0.5 10.2<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Sauces, Dress<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

& Condiments.<br />

7.6 -1.5 9.3<br />

Jams & Preserves. 10.7 -0.7 11.4<br />

Honey. 6.0 -6.2 13.0<br />

Chocolate Spread. 20.2 3.4 16.3<br />

Nut Based Spreads. 7.8 -2.0 10.0<br />

Impulse Ice Cream. 18.6 7.7 10.1<br />

Take Home Ice Cream. 22.3 10.3 10.8<br />

Artisanal Ice Cream. 14.8 3.7 10.7<br />

Milk. 9.5 -0.1 9.6<br />

Flavoured Milk. 16.1 4.2 11.5<br />

Cheese. 12.0 2.0 9.8<br />

Yoghurt. 11.8 n/a n/a<br />

Sour Milk. 51.4 51.0 0.3<br />

Olive Oil. 20.8 1.4 19.1<br />

Vegetable & Seed Oil. 20.7 0.6 20.0<br />

Butter. 7.5 -1.3 8.9<br />

Margar<strong>in</strong>e. 3.6 -6.3 10.6<br />

Spreadable Oils & Fats. 7.7 -5.0 13.4<br />

Milk Formula. 28.7 n/a n/a<br />

Prepared Baby <strong>Food</strong>. 29.6 8.7 19.2<br />

Dried Baby <strong>Food</strong>. 27.6 5.3 21.1<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Baby <strong>Food</strong>. 19.7 1.4 18.1<br />

Lager Beer by Orig<strong>in</strong>. 18.8 8.0 10.1


Product / Item Change <strong>in</strong> Value <strong>of</strong><br />

Sales per Household<br />

(% per Year)<br />

82<br />

Change <strong>in</strong> Volume <strong>of</strong><br />

Sales per Household<br />

(% per Year)<br />

Change <strong>in</strong> Retail Price<br />

(% per Year)<br />

Dark Beer. 13.2 2.0 11.0<br />

Low / non Alcoholic<br />

Beer.<br />

11.4 2.1 9.2<br />

RTDs. (2007 to 2009) -55.4 -48.0 -14.2<br />

Still Light Grape W<strong>in</strong>e. 22.9 3.9 18.3<br />

Fortified W<strong>in</strong>e &<br />

Vermouth.<br />

44.5 24.2 16.3<br />

Whiskey. 6.3 -1.6 8.0<br />

Brandy & Cognac. 7.7 0.7 7.0<br />

White Spirits. 14.3 2.8 11.3<br />

Rum. 7.1 3.4 3.5<br />

Tequila (& Mezcal). 10.2 2.9 7.0<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Spirits. 14.5 -4.6 19.9<br />

Cola Carbonates. 17.9 7.3 9.9<br />

Non Cola Carbonates. 15.9 4.4 11.0<br />

100% Juice. 25.6 14.7 9.5<br />

Nectars (25.99% Juice). 20.2 10.0 9.2<br />

Juice Dr<strong>in</strong>ks (Up to 24%<br />

Juice).<br />

Fruit Flavoured Dr<strong>in</strong>ks.<br />

(No Juice Content).<br />

21.7 11.5 9.2<br />

16.7 6.5 9.6<br />

Still Bottled Water. 28.3 7.7 19.1<br />

Carbonated Bottled<br />

Water.<br />

20.2 8.6 10.7<br />

Flavoured Bottled Water. 34.9 24.1 8.7<br />

Sports Dr<strong>in</strong>ks. 18.4 12.0 5.7<br />

Energy Dr<strong>in</strong>ks. 24.0 11.5 11.1<br />

Liquid Concentrates. -11.5 -11.5 0.1<br />

Powder Concentrates. 4.2 -4.0 8.5<br />

Still RTD Tea. 19.2 8.4 9.9


Product / Item Change <strong>in</strong> Value <strong>of</strong><br />

Sales per Household<br />

(% per Year)<br />

83<br />

Change <strong>in</strong> Volume <strong>of</strong><br />

Sales per Household<br />

(% per Year)<br />

Change <strong>in</strong> Retail Price<br />

(% per Year)<br />

High Tar Cigarettes. -20.8 -34.2 20.4<br />

Mid Tar Cigarettes. 50.8 22.3 23.3<br />

Low Tar Cigarettes. 40.0 6.1 32.0<br />

Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes.<br />

(2002 to 2009)<br />

Cigars Exclud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Cigarillos.<br />

46.3 32.6 10.4<br />

-1.4 0.56 -2.0<br />

Cigarillos. -11.9 -4.7 -7.6<br />

Pipe Tobacco. 23.1 -6.0 31.0<br />

Fresh C<strong>of</strong>fee. 9.5 -0.9 10.5<br />

Instant C<strong>of</strong>fee. 18.9 30.9 -9.1<br />

Black Tea. 11.4 1.5 9.8<br />

Green Tea. 17.9 6.9 10.3<br />

Fruit / Herbal Tea. 18.9 8.4 9.7<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Tea. (2003 to 2009) 6.8 7.2 -0.4<br />

Flavoured Powder<br />

Dr<strong>in</strong>ks.<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Plant-Based Hot<br />

Dr<strong>in</strong>ks.<br />

Source: Calculated from data from Euromonitor.<br />

19.0 6.4 11.8<br />

9.4 0.5 8.9


Table 11. Product and Price Information <strong>of</strong> Selected Products. <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Date <strong>of</strong><br />

Information<br />

(yyyy/mm/dd)<br />

Brand andProduct<br />

Name<br />

2009/08/18 Gol Chocolate<br />

Covered with<br />

Hazelnuts.<br />

2009/09/17 Sana Butter<br />

Flavoured Vegetable<br />

Margar<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

2009/09/01 Sutas Stra<strong>in</strong>ed Whole<br />

Fat White Cheese.<br />

2009/02/20 Kesk<strong>in</strong>oglu DHA<br />

Eggs.<br />

2009/03/17 Aybar Tavukculuk<br />

Pure Brown Eggs,<br />

Jumbo Eggs.<br />

2009/08/17 Boalsan Flour Mix -<br />

Wheat-Rye with Flax<br />

Seeds; Wheat-Oats<br />

with Prebiotic Fiber;<br />

Wheat with ground<br />

Rye and Oatmeal,<br />

With Fiber; Oats.<br />

Manufacturer /<br />

Country<br />

Description Retail<br />

Price<br />

(TRY)<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Available <strong>in</strong> three flavours (milk, dark<br />

and white).<br />

Unilever Sanayi ve<br />

Ticaret Turk A.S. /<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Sutas A.S. /<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Conta<strong>in</strong>s no trans fats. Does conta<strong>in</strong>s<br />

Vegetable oil; water: butter powder;<br />

whey powder; acetic acid; soy<br />

lecith<strong>in</strong>; salt; lactic acid; potassium<br />

sorbate; buttter flavour; vitam<strong>in</strong>s;<br />

beta carotene.<br />

100% natural cheese with no<br />

preservatives. Conta<strong>in</strong>s cow milk;<br />

cheese; yeast; salt.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Grade A quality eggs <strong>in</strong> an over<br />

sleeved carton conta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g 10 eggs.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Available <strong>in</strong> 10, 20 or 30 count<br />

packages. Class A chicken eggs.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. A range <strong>of</strong> flour mixes:<br />

Wheat-rye with flax seed ..........<br />

Wheat-oat with prebiotic fiber ......<br />

Wheat with ground rye & oatmeal<br />

with fiber ......................<br />

Oat ...........................<br />

84<br />

Retail<br />

Price<br />

(CAD)<br />

Package<br />

Size<br />

Unit Retail<br />

Price<br />

(CAD /<br />

Unit)<br />

2.00 1.46 45 gm 32.44 / Kg<br />

2.85 2.07 500 gm 4.14 / Kg<br />

4.99 3.62 500 gm 7.24 / Kg<br />

4.45 3.33 10 eggs 3.33 / 10<br />

eggs<br />

4.20 3.10 10 eggs 3.10 / 10<br />

eggs<br />

5.60<br />

4.45<br />

4.45<br />

4.29<br />

4.09<br />

3.25<br />

3.25<br />

3.13<br />

1 Kg<br />

1 Kg<br />

1 Kg<br />

1 Kg<br />

4.09 / Kg<br />

3.25 / Kg<br />

3.25 / Kg<br />

3.13 / Kg


Date <strong>of</strong><br />

Information<br />

(yyyy/mm/dd)<br />

Brand andProduct<br />

Name<br />

2009/04/30 Migros Chick Peas -<br />

Yellow; White.<br />

2009/04/30 Iglo Frozen Garden<br />

Peas, Soy Beans.<br />

2009/03/17 Peyman Mac<br />

Sunflower Seed.<br />

2008/11/07 Ceresse Sunflower<br />

Seeds.<br />

2007/08/17 Aymar Keten<br />

Tohumu Yagi,<br />

Antepfistigi Tohumu<br />

Yagi, Coerek Otu<br />

Yagi.<br />

Manufacturer /<br />

Country<br />

Description Retail<br />

Price<br />

(TRY)<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Chick peas available <strong>in</strong> two varieties<br />

( yellow and white).<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. 100% natural with no preservatives.<br />

Packaged frozen <strong>in</strong> plastic packets.<br />

Peas ..........................<br />

Soy beans ......................<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Sunflower seeds packaged <strong>in</strong> plastic<br />

bags. Low <strong>in</strong> salt.<br />

Available <strong>in</strong> three sizes (100 gm, 200<br />

gm, 400 gm).<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Salted sunflower seeds packaged <strong>in</strong><br />

plastic bags. Available <strong>in</strong> five sizes.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Three edible oils (flaxseed oil, black<br />

cum<strong>in</strong> oil, pistachio seed oil).<br />

85<br />

Retail<br />

Price<br />

(CAD)<br />

Package<br />

Size<br />

Unit Retail<br />

Price<br />

(CAD /<br />

Unit)<br />

1.65 1.26 150 gm 8.4 / Kg<br />

4.30<br />

8.05<br />

5.59<br />

3.27<br />

6.13<br />

4.25<br />

400 gm<br />

800 gm<br />

300 gm<br />

8.18 / Kg<br />

7.66 / Kg<br />

14.17 / Kg<br />

n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

n/a<br />

1.50<br />

n/a<br />

n/a<br />

n/a<br />

n/a<br />

1.14<br />

n/a<br />

n/a<br />

n/a<br />

40 gm<br />

250 gm<br />

400 gm<br />

1 Kg<br />

5 Kg<br />

n/a<br />

4.56 / Kg<br />

n/a<br />

n/a<br />

n/a<br />

11.50 9.24 250 ml 36.96 / Lt


Date <strong>of</strong><br />

Information<br />

(yyyy/mm/dd)<br />

Brand andProduct<br />

Name<br />

2008/01/29 Doga Granola - Balli<br />

Citir Musli.<br />

2007/03/19 Dr. Sacchi Muhabbet<br />

Kusu Yemi.<br />

2008/11/07 One Nature Organic<br />

Organik Kermizi<br />

Mercimek - Kabuklu;<br />

Ic.<br />

2009/05/04 Noba Lentils -<br />

Green; Red.<br />

2007/10/29 Bono fit Vitalife Dry<br />

Dog <strong>Food</strong> - Junior;<br />

Banquet (2 Kg);<br />

Banquet (500 gm).<br />

2009/02/26 Super Cat Cat <strong>Food</strong> -<br />

Tuna & Ocean Fish<br />

& Liver.<br />

Manufacturer /<br />

Country<br />

Description Retail<br />

Price<br />

(TRY)<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Honey roasted crunchy muesli<br />

packaged <strong>in</strong> a cardboard box.<br />

Conta<strong>in</strong>s: whole rolled oats; whole<br />

rolled wheat; corn flakes; puffed<br />

rice; natural honey; whole rolled soy<br />

beans; flaxseed; sesame seeds; dried<br />

bananas; apricot kernels; corn oil;<br />

brown sugar and; fructose.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Budgerigar food packaged <strong>in</strong> a<br />

cardboard box. Conta<strong>in</strong>s: yellow<br />

millet; white millet; red millet;<br />

canary seed; unshelled oats; l<strong>in</strong>seed.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Organic red lentils packaged <strong>in</strong> plastic<br />

bags.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Lentils packaged <strong>in</strong> plastic packets.<br />

Two varieties available: red and<br />

green.<br />

Czech Republic. Dog food packaged <strong>in</strong> a lam<strong>in</strong>ated<br />

bag. Conta<strong>in</strong>s: cereals; vegetable byproducts;<br />

oil; fat; vitam<strong>in</strong> A; vitam<strong>in</strong><br />

D3; vitam<strong>in</strong> E, copper sulfate;<br />

pentahydrate; antioxidants; colour.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Two variants <strong>of</strong> cat food packaged <strong>in</strong><br />

plastic bags.<br />

86<br />

Retail<br />

Price<br />

(CAD)<br />

Package<br />

Size<br />

Unit Retail<br />

Price<br />

(CAD /<br />

Unit)<br />

4.55 3.91 375 gm 10.43 / Kg<br />

1.90 1.58 400 gm 3.95 / Kg<br />

3.95 3.01 500 gm 6.02 / Kg<br />

5.90 4.36 1 Kg 4.36 / Kg<br />

2.90 2.35 500 gm 4.70 / Kg<br />

3.25 2.43 400 gm 6.08 / Kg


Date <strong>of</strong><br />

Information<br />

(yyyy/mm/dd)<br />

Brand andProduct<br />

Name<br />

2005/10/03 Dr. Oetker Pratik<br />

Ikramlar Mix - Fir<strong>in</strong><br />

Mucveri.<br />

2009/02/20 Tat Hardal<br />

(Mustard).<br />

2008/11/07 Carrefour Bal -<br />

Suezme Cicek.<br />

2006/04/07 St. Dalfour France<br />

Rhapsodie de Fruit<br />

Jam - Quatre Fruits.<br />

2009/06/17 Ulker Mavi Yesil<br />

Jam - Raspberry;<br />

Sour Cherry;<br />

Strawberry; Orange.<br />

2005/10/03 Nestle Cereal - Corn<br />

Flakes.<br />

Manufacturer /<br />

Country<br />

Description Retail<br />

Price<br />

(TRY)<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Vegetable patty meal helper<br />

packaged <strong>in</strong> cardboard, paperboard<br />

boxes. One kit makes eight patties.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Mustard conta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g: water; yellow<br />

mustard seeds; v<strong>in</strong>egar; salt; spices;<br />

antioxidants. Packaged <strong>in</strong> glass jars.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Filtered flower honey packaged <strong>in</strong><br />

glass jars. Comes <strong>in</strong> three sizes.<br />

France. Fruit jam with no sugar or<br />

preservatives added packaged <strong>in</strong> glass<br />

jars. Conta<strong>in</strong>s: raspberries;<br />

blackberries; cherries; fruit pect<strong>in</strong>;<br />

grape juice; lemon juice and;<br />

strawberries.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Fruit jam conta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g: raspberries;<br />

fructose syrup; water; pect<strong>in</strong>; sodium<br />

citrate and; aspartame packaged <strong>in</strong><br />

glass jars. Available <strong>in</strong> four flavours<br />

(raspberry, sour cherry,<br />

strawberry, orange).<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Corn flakes cereal fortified with<br />

eight vitam<strong>in</strong>s and m<strong>in</strong>erals packaged<br />

<strong>in</strong> cardboard; paperboard boxes.<br />

87<br />

Retail<br />

Price<br />

(CAD)<br />

Package<br />

Size<br />

Unit Retail<br />

Price<br />

(CAD /<br />

Unit)<br />

1.18 1.02 220 gm 4.64 / Kg<br />

2.29 1.71 190 gm 9.00 / Kg<br />

4.25<br />

n/a<br />

n/a<br />

3.24<br />

n/a<br />

n/a<br />

225 gm<br />

460 gm<br />

850 gm<br />

14.40 / Kg<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

3.35 2.87 284 gm 10.11 / Kg<br />

3.95 2.88 275 gm 10.47 / Kg<br />

3.89 3.37 375 gm 8.89 / Kg


Date <strong>of</strong><br />

Information<br />

(yyyy/mm/dd)<br />

Brand andProduct<br />

Name<br />

2009/05/22 Carrefour Kids<br />

Biscuits - Apricot;<br />

Chocolate;<br />

Raspberry;<br />

Strawberry.<br />

2007/01/11 Emco Musli Biscuits<br />

- Blueberry +<br />

Cranberry.<br />

Manufacturer /<br />

Country<br />

Description Retail<br />

Price<br />

(TRY)<br />

France. Biscuits for children <strong>in</strong> four flavours<br />

packaged <strong>in</strong> paperboard boxes.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Muesli biscuits packaged <strong>in</strong> lam<strong>in</strong>ate<br />

wrappers.<br />

2008/04/23 Migros Tah<strong>in</strong>. <strong>Turkey</strong>. Sesame seed paste packaged <strong>in</strong> glass<br />

jars.<br />

2007/08/20 Misura Cereal<br />

Flakes with Soy,<br />

Corn Flakes with<br />

Fiber and Bran<br />

Flakes.<br />

Italy. Three varieties <strong>of</strong> breakfast cereals<br />

packaged <strong>in</strong> cardboard boxes.<br />

2009/09/01 Soyola Soya Oil. <strong>Turkey</strong>. Soy oil packaged <strong>in</strong> plastic bottles.<br />

Available <strong>in</strong> three sizes.<br />

2009/08/18 Yudum Corn Oil. <strong>Turkey</strong>. Corn oil packaged <strong>in</strong> plastic bottles.<br />

Available <strong>in</strong> three sizes.<br />

2009/04/19 Exotic Squeezed<br />

Mixed Fruit Juice -<br />

Apple, Strawberry<br />

and Banana, apple<br />

and Orange.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Squeezed mixed fruit juice available<br />

<strong>in</strong> two varieties packaged <strong>in</strong> plastic<br />

bottles. Available <strong>in</strong> two sizes.<br />

88<br />

Retail<br />

Price<br />

(CAD)<br />

Package<br />

Size<br />

Unit Retail<br />

Price<br />

(CAD /<br />

Unit)<br />

4.55 3.36 240 gm 14.00 / Kg<br />

1.39 1.15 60 gm 19.17 / Kg<br />

2.90 2.26 300 gm 7.53 / Kg<br />

9.99 8.03 375 gm 21.41 / Kg<br />

5.45<br />

9.35<br />

21.90<br />

5.99<br />

11.50<br />

23.56<br />

2.96<br />

5.45<br />

3.96<br />

6.79<br />

15.90<br />

4.37<br />

8.40<br />

17.21<br />

2.25<br />

4.15<br />

910 gm<br />

2 Lt<br />

5 Lt<br />

1 Lt<br />

2 Lt<br />

5 Lt<br />

330 ml<br />

750 ml<br />

4.35 / Kg<br />

3.40 / Lt<br />

3.18 / Lt<br />

4.37 / Lt<br />

4.20 / Lt<br />

3.44 / Lt<br />

6.82 / Lt<br />

5.53 / Lt


Date <strong>of</strong><br />

Information<br />

(yyyy/mm/dd)<br />

Brand andProduct<br />

Name<br />

Manufacturer /<br />

Country<br />

Description Retail<br />

Price<br />

(TRY)<br />

2007/12/24 Yummy Elma Suyu. <strong>Turkey</strong>. 100% apple juice from concentrate<br />

with vitam<strong>in</strong> C and ascorbic acid<br />

added; packaged <strong>in</strong> comb<strong>in</strong>ation dr<strong>in</strong>k<br />

boxes.<br />

2008/08/08 Carrefour<br />

Cappucc<strong>in</strong>o Mix.<br />

2008/04/22 Bunsa Soya Eti<br />

Kusbasi.<br />

Source: Datamonitor.<br />

Note: Items <strong>in</strong> bold can be supplied by Canada.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. Instant cappucc<strong>in</strong>o mix packaged <strong>in</strong><br />

an 8 count lam<strong>in</strong>ate; plastic wrapper<br />

<strong>of</strong> 18 gm packets.<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. A high prote<strong>in</strong>, low fat textured soy<br />

prote<strong>in</strong> suitable as a meat substitute<br />

packaged <strong>in</strong> cardboard boxes.<br />

89<br />

Retail<br />

Price<br />

(CAD)<br />

Package<br />

Size<br />

Unit Retail<br />

Price<br />

(CAD /<br />

Unit)<br />

0.41 0.35 200 ml 1.75 / Lt<br />

1.90 1.70 144 gm 11.81 / Kg<br />

2.70 2.11 200 gm 10.55 / Kg


APPENDIX 2 - Dairy Product Export Restrictions<br />

Canada - New Zealand/US - Measures Affect<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> Importation <strong>of</strong> Milk and <strong>the</strong> Exportation <strong>of</strong> Dairy<br />

Products<br />

A. The WTO Rul<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

On <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> challenges from New Zealand and <strong>the</strong> United States, <strong>the</strong> WTO ruled <strong>in</strong> 1999 that certa<strong>in</strong><br />

Canadian dairy exports benefitted from export subsidies under <strong>the</strong> rules <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> WTO Agreement on Agriculture.<br />

Thus, <strong>the</strong>y were subject to Canada's WTO export subsidy reduction commitments. S<strong>in</strong>ce exports exceeded those<br />

commitments, Canada was found to be <strong>in</strong> breach <strong>of</strong> its obligations. The milk sales affected by <strong>the</strong> WTO rul<strong>in</strong>g<br />

accounted for about four per cent <strong>of</strong> total Canadian production. The WTO rul<strong>in</strong>g did not prevent <strong>the</strong> export <strong>of</strong> dairy<br />

products as Canada is allowed to use export subsidies for dairy products with<strong>in</strong> specified limits (see Table 21).<br />

Canada's Measures to Implement <strong>the</strong> 1999 WTO Rul<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Canada unsuccessfully appealed <strong>the</strong> Panel’s Report - <strong>in</strong> its Report <strong>in</strong> October 1999, <strong>the</strong> WTO Appellate<br />

Body upheld <strong>the</strong> Panel's key f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs. The WTO Dispute Settlement Body adopted <strong>the</strong>se f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs, and recommended<br />

that Canada br<strong>in</strong>g its measures <strong>in</strong>to conformity with <strong>the</strong> WTO rules.<br />

• New Zealand and <strong>the</strong> United States <strong>the</strong>n reached an agreement with Canada <strong>in</strong> December 1999 on <strong>the</strong> time-frame<br />

for Canada's implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> outcome <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> case. This agreement provided for a "phased" implementation<br />

over <strong>the</strong> 2000 calendar year. As part <strong>of</strong> its implementation, Canada would cont<strong>in</strong>ue to make use <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> "Special<br />

Milk Classes" scheme for dairy exports, but agreed to limit export volumes under <strong>the</strong> scheme to with<strong>in</strong> its<br />

commitment levels.<br />

However as part <strong>of</strong> its implementation, Canada <strong>in</strong>troduced a number <strong>of</strong> new dairy export mechanisms on a prov<strong>in</strong>ceby-prov<strong>in</strong>ce<br />

basis. Canada claimed that <strong>the</strong> new schemes did not provide export subsidies, and it would not <strong>the</strong>refore<br />

limit <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> exports under <strong>the</strong>m to with<strong>in</strong> its export subsidy commitment levels. New Zealand and United<br />

States <strong>of</strong>ficials considered that <strong>the</strong> new schemes cont<strong>in</strong>ued to provide export subsidies and that Canada had <strong>the</strong>refore<br />

failed to comply with <strong>the</strong> Dispute Settlement Body's recommendations.<br />

In February 2001, New Zealand, <strong>the</strong> United States and Canada held consultations on this issue, but failed to<br />

resolve New Zealand's and <strong>the</strong> United State's concerns. Consequently, later <strong>in</strong> February, New Zealand and <strong>the</strong><br />

United States formally requested that <strong>the</strong> WTO reconvene <strong>the</strong> orig<strong>in</strong>al dispute settlement Panel to exam<strong>in</strong>e Canada's<br />

replacement schemes. The Panel received written and oral submissions from <strong>the</strong> parties <strong>in</strong> May 2001 and <strong>in</strong> July<br />

2001, found that Canada's replacement schemes cont<strong>in</strong>ued to provide export subsidies <strong>in</strong> breach <strong>of</strong> its WTO<br />

commitments.<br />

Canada subsequently appealed this decision and <strong>in</strong> December 2001 <strong>the</strong> Appellate Body held that <strong>the</strong> Panel<br />

had applied <strong>the</strong> wrong legal test to determ<strong>in</strong>e whe<strong>the</strong>r export subsidies had been provided. The Appellate Body also<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>ed that it was unable to make any determ<strong>in</strong>ation as to whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> Canadian measures were export subsidies<br />

s<strong>in</strong>ce fur<strong>the</strong>r factual <strong>in</strong>formation was required before <strong>the</strong> correct legal test could be applied.<br />

Follow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> December 2001 Appellate Body rul<strong>in</strong>g, New Zealand and <strong>the</strong> United States requested, for a<br />

second time, <strong>the</strong> reconven<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> orig<strong>in</strong>al dispute settlement Panel to exam<strong>in</strong>e Canada's replacement measures<br />

aga<strong>in</strong>st <strong>the</strong> legal test outl<strong>in</strong>ed by <strong>the</strong> Appellate Body. The Panel received written and oral submissions from <strong>the</strong><br />

parties <strong>in</strong> March and April 2002 and <strong>in</strong> July 2002. <strong>the</strong> Panel, once aga<strong>in</strong>, found that Canada's replacement schemes<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>ued to provide export subsidies <strong>in</strong> breach <strong>of</strong> its WTO commitments.<br />

On 23 September 2002, Canada notified its decision to appeal <strong>the</strong> Panel decision. Follow<strong>in</strong>g receipt <strong>of</strong><br />

written submissions <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> parties, <strong>the</strong> Appellate Body heard <strong>the</strong> appeal <strong>in</strong> Geneva on 31 October 2002. In its report<br />

<strong>of</strong> 20 December 2002 <strong>the</strong> Appellate Body upheld <strong>the</strong> Panel's f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g that Canada was provid<strong>in</strong>g export subsidies <strong>in</strong><br />

breach <strong>of</strong> its WTO commitments. The Appellate Body found that Canada's replacement scheme was contrary to<br />

Canada's obligations under Article 3.3 and Article 8 <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Agreement on Agriculture. The Appellate Body's decision<br />

90


was adopted by <strong>the</strong> Dispute Settlement Body on 17 January 2003.<br />

At <strong>the</strong> same time as <strong>in</strong>itiat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> dispute settlement process to <strong>in</strong>vestigate Canada's compliance with <strong>the</strong><br />

orig<strong>in</strong>al panel's f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g, New Zealand also lodged a request seek<strong>in</strong>g authorisation from <strong>the</strong> Dispute Settlement Body<br />

to take retaliatory action aga<strong>in</strong>st Canada by suspend<strong>in</strong>g tariff concessions up to <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> US$35 million a year,<br />

which is <strong>the</strong> damage calculated to be caused to New Zealand by Canada's illegal dairy export subsidy regime. The<br />

US also made a similar request to <strong>the</strong> Dispute Settlement Body. The requests <strong>of</strong> New Zealand and <strong>the</strong> US were<br />

referred to arbitration. A mutually agreed solution between Canada and New Zealand and separately between<br />

Canada and <strong>the</strong> United States was notified to <strong>the</strong> WTO on 9 May 2003.<br />

B. The Mutually Agreed Solutions<br />

Table 12. Canada's WTO Dairy Export Subsidy<br />

Commitment Levels.<br />

Commodity Quantity<br />

Commitments<br />

(t)<br />

91<br />

Budgetary Outlay<br />

Commitments<br />

(CAD ‘000)<br />

Butter. 3,500 11,025<br />

Cheese. 9,076 16,228<br />

Skim Milk Powder. 44,953 31,149<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Milk Products. 30,282 22,505<br />

Incorporated Products. 20,276<br />

Source: Uruguay Round Schedule <strong>of</strong> Commitments, Schedule V -<br />

Canada, F<strong>in</strong>al Schedule <strong>of</strong> Agriculture Commitments.<br />

Note: Based on dairy year (August 1-July 31).


APPENDIX 3 - Turkish Cuis<strong>in</strong>e<br />

Products that Canada can provide are <strong>in</strong> bold <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g text.<br />

Cul<strong>in</strong>ary Customs<br />

Breakfast<br />

A typical Turkish breakfast consists <strong>of</strong> cheese (beyaz peynir, kasar etc.), butter, olives, eggs, tomatoes,<br />

cucumbers, green peppers, reçel (jam/marmalade; a preserve <strong>of</strong> whole fruits) and honey usually consumed on<br />

top <strong>of</strong> kaymak. Sucuk (spicy Turkish sausage), pastirma (pressed meat), börek (a salty pastry made with th<strong>in</strong><br />

dough), simit, pogaça and even soups can be taken as a morn<strong>in</strong>g meal <strong>in</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>. A common Turkish speciality for<br />

breakfast is called menemen, which is prepared with roasted tomatoes, peppers, olive oil and eggs. Invariably,<br />

black tea is served at breakfast. C<strong>of</strong>fee has affected Turkish culture so much that <strong>the</strong> Turkish word for breakfast,<br />

"kahvalti" literally means "before c<strong>of</strong>fee."<br />

Eat<strong>in</strong>g out<br />

Although fast food is ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g popularity and many major foreign fast food cha<strong>in</strong>s have opened all over<br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>, Turkish consumers still rely primarily on <strong>the</strong> rich and extensive dishes <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Turkish cuis<strong>in</strong>e. In addition,<br />

some traditional Turkish foods, especially köfte, döner, börek and gözleme are <strong>of</strong>ten served as fast food <strong>in</strong> <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Eat<strong>in</strong>g out has always been common <strong>in</strong> large commercial cities. Esnaf lokantasi (restaurants for shopkeepers and<br />

tradesmen) are widespread, serv<strong>in</strong>g traditional Turkish home cook<strong>in</strong>g at affordable prices.<br />

Summer cuis<strong>in</strong>e<br />

In <strong>the</strong> hot Turkish summer, many consumers prefer a lighter meal consist<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> seasonal vegetables and<br />

fruits. A summer meal is usually made up <strong>of</strong> fried vegetables (such as eggplant, potatoes, zucch<strong>in</strong>i, and green<br />

peppers) served with yoghurt, tomato sauce, sheep's cheese, cucumbers, tomatoes, watermelons, melons, or<br />

summer helva (lighter and less sweet than regular helva).<br />

Traditional Turkish <strong>Food</strong><br />

Follow<strong>in</strong>g is a table <strong>of</strong> traditional Turkish food products and <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>gredients. Ingredients that Canada can<br />

or could supply are noted <strong>in</strong> bold.<br />

Table 13. Traditional <strong>Food</strong> Products and Ingredients. <strong>Turkey</strong>.<br />

Product Name Description & / Ingredients<br />

Aacili ezme. A meze conta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g hot spicy mashed tomatoes with onion and<br />

green herbs.<br />

Açma. A s<strong>of</strong>t bread similar to simit <strong>in</strong> shape, covered <strong>in</strong> a glaze with<br />

sesame seeds.<br />

Acuka. A cirassian meze prepared with walnuts, tomato paste and garlic.<br />

Alcoholic beverages. Lager beer. W<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

Arnavut cigeri. Liver slices, onion and sumac.<br />

Asure. A soup. Beans, wheat, dried fruit, c<strong>in</strong>namon rose water.<br />

Ayran. Salty yoghurt dr<strong>in</strong>k.<br />

Baba gannus (Patlican salatasi). A meze. Eggplant salad.<br />

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Product Name Description & / Ingredients<br />

Bakla ezmesi. A meze. Hummus prepared with broad beans.<br />

Baklava. Sugar or honey, water, lemon juice, pistachio nuts or walnuts, wheat<br />

flour, salt, olive oil, eggs, starch, butter or margar<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

Bazlama. Very popular leavened flat bread made from flour, water, salt and<br />

sour starter. After 2-3 hr <strong>of</strong> fermentation, 200 to 250g pieces <strong>of</strong><br />

dough are cut, rounded, sheeted to a thickness <strong>of</strong> 4-5 mm, and baked<br />

on a hot plate.<br />

Beyaz peynir. A salty white cheese.<br />

Boraniye. Broad beans or sp<strong>in</strong>ach or squash cooked toge<strong>the</strong>r with meat,<br />

yoghurt and chickpeas.<br />

Börek. General name for salty pastries made with phyllo (th<strong>in</strong>) dough.<br />

Boza. Millet, c<strong>in</strong>namon.<br />

Bugulama. Fish with lemon and parsley covered while cook<strong>in</strong>g so it cooks with<br />

steam.<br />

Bulgur pilav. Boiled and pounded bulgur wheat.<br />

Bulgur. Bulgur is a quick-cook<strong>in</strong>g form <strong>of</strong> whole wheat that has been<br />

cleaned, parboiled, dried, ground <strong>in</strong>to particles and sifted <strong>in</strong>to<br />

dist<strong>in</strong>ct sizes.<br />

Cacik. A meze. Cucumber with yoghurt, dried m<strong>in</strong>t and olive oil.<br />

Çerkez tavugu. A meze. Circassian chicken.<br />

Cevizli biber. A meze prepared with walnuts, red peppers, pepper paste, onions<br />

and cum<strong>in</strong>.<br />

Çig köfte. A meze. Raw meatballs prepared with bulgur wheat and m<strong>in</strong>ced<br />

meat.<br />

Çig börek or Tartar börek. Börek stuffed with m<strong>in</strong>ced meat.<br />

Çilbir. Eggs, yoghurt, oil.<br />

Çoban kavurma. A variety <strong>of</strong> kavurma prepared with tomatoes, onions, mushrooms,<br />

peppers and herbs.<br />

Çoban slatasi. A Meze. Shepard’s salad.<br />

Çökelek. Unsalted white cheese.<br />

Çorba. Soup - general. Common <strong>in</strong>gredients are lentils, yoghurt or wheat.<br />

Desserts - traditional. Qu<strong>in</strong>ce, figs, pumpk<strong>in</strong>, apple, pear cooked <strong>in</strong> a pot or <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> oven<br />

with sugar, carnation and c<strong>in</strong>namon, served with walnut or pistachio<br />

and kaymak.<br />

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Product Name Description & / Ingredients<br />

Dolma. A meze. V<strong>in</strong>e leaves, cabbage leaves, chard leaves, peppers,<br />

tomato, squash, pumpk<strong>in</strong>, eggplant or mussels stuffed with rice<br />

and / or meat.<br />

Domatesli pilav. Tomato pilaf.<br />

Döner a kebab (‘donair', 'donar', 'doner',<br />

‘donner’).<br />

Rotat<strong>in</strong>g roast. Made <strong>of</strong> lamb meat cooked on a vertical spit and<br />

sliced <strong>of</strong>f to order. In English, <strong>the</strong> term kebab <strong>in</strong> some countries<br />

refers specifically to döner kebab.<br />

Eriste. Home made pasta that can be comb<strong>in</strong>ed with vegetables or used <strong>in</strong><br />

soups and rice.<br />

Etli taze fasulye. Green bean stew with meat.<br />

Etli pilav. Pilaf with meat.<br />

Etli yaprak sarma. V<strong>in</strong>e leaves stuffed with meat and rice.<br />

Etli bamya. Okra with meat or chicken.<br />

Etli pilav. Rice conta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g meat pieces.<br />

Fasulye pilaki. A meze. Beans cooked with garlic, tomato paste, carrots and olive<br />

oil.<br />

Fava. A meze. Broad bean or horse bean puree.<br />

Fried köfte. A meze. Meatballs.<br />

Fried vegetables. A meze. Fried eggplants, peppers and courgettes with yoghurt or<br />

tomato and garlic sauce.<br />

Fruit. Plums, apricots, dates, apples, grapes, figs.<br />

Gözleme. Made <strong>of</strong> lavash bread or phyllo dough folded around a variety <strong>of</strong><br />

fill<strong>in</strong>gs such as sp<strong>in</strong>ach, cheese, parsley, m<strong>in</strong>ced meat or potatoes<br />

and cooked on a large griddle.<br />

Güllaç. Th<strong>in</strong> large dough layers, Corn starch, wheat flour, milk, rose<br />

water served with pomegranate seeds and walnuts.<br />

Hamsi. Anchovy fish.<br />

Hardalotu. A meze. Mustard plant salad.<br />

Haslama. Boiled lamb with vegetables and lemon juice.<br />

Hellim. A salty, firm-textured cheese <strong>of</strong>ten with m<strong>in</strong>t added.<br />

Helva (various types). Flour, semol<strong>in</strong>a, p<strong>in</strong>e nuts, walnuts, almonds, crushed sesame<br />

seeds.<br />

Hosaf. Stewed fruit. Popular types: apple, qu<strong>in</strong>ce, apricot, cherry, grape.<br />

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Product Name Description & / Ingredients<br />

Hösmerim. An unsalted cheese.<br />

Hummus. A meze. Sesame, chickpeas, garlic, olive oil.<br />

Hünkar begendi. The puree <strong>of</strong> grilled eggplant with cashar cheese topped wi<strong>the</strong><br />

cubed lamb meat.<br />

Imam bayildi. An eggplant slashed down <strong>the</strong> middle and stuffed with onions,<br />

garlic, tomatoes, dill and parsley and <strong>the</strong>n simmered <strong>in</strong> olive oil.<br />

Iskembe soup. Soup made <strong>of</strong> sheep stomach. Added to <strong>the</strong> soup is fried butter,<br />

garlic sauce, lemon and red pepper.<br />

Iskembeli nohut. Chickpeas with tripe.<br />

Ispanakli yumurta. Eggs, roasted sp<strong>in</strong>ach and onions.<br />

Kabak çiçegi dolmasi. A meze. A k<strong>in</strong>d <strong>of</strong> dolma with stuffed cabbage flower.<br />

Karniyarik. Eggplants filled with m<strong>in</strong>ced meat, onion, garlic and tomato paste<br />

and cooked <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> oven.<br />

Kasar. A moderately fatty sheep’s cheese.<br />

Kaskaval. Yellow sheep’s cheese.<br />

Kavurma. Roasted lamb.<br />

Kaygana. Omelet (eggs) prepared with flour and traditionally served with<br />

cheese, honey or eggplant.<br />

Kaymak. A creamy dairy product, similar to clotted cream, made orig<strong>in</strong>ally <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>Turkey</strong>. It is made from <strong>the</strong> milk. Kaymak recipe : boil <strong>the</strong> milk<br />

slowly, <strong>the</strong>n simmer it for two hours over a very low heat. After <strong>the</strong><br />

heat source is shut <strong>of</strong>f, <strong>the</strong> cream is skimmed and left to chill for<br />

several hours or days. It is <strong>of</strong>ten serve with honey.<br />

Kefir. A fermented milk dr<strong>in</strong>k. Kefir gra<strong>in</strong>s, milk.<br />

Keskek. A meat and wheat or barley stew.<br />

Kisir or Sarma içi. A popular meze. Bulgur wheat, tomato paste, parsley, onion,<br />

garlic, sour pomegranate juice and a lot <strong>of</strong> spices.<br />

Kiymali fasulye. Beans with m<strong>in</strong>ced meat.<br />

Kiymali ispanak. Sp<strong>in</strong>ach with m<strong>in</strong>ced meat served with yoghurt.<br />

Köfte. Spicy grilled ground veal and lamb patties. Lamb, veal, cayenne<br />

pepper, coriander seeds, cum<strong>in</strong> seeds, black pepper, salt, unsalted<br />

butter, pide bread, onions, sumac, parsley.<br />

Kokoreç. The <strong>in</strong>test<strong>in</strong>e <strong>of</strong> sheep with spices.<br />

Komposto. Compote.<br />

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Product Name Description & / Ingredients<br />

Kurabiyesi - several types. Cookies. Egg, sugar, almond. Flour. Walnuts.<br />

Kurut, Kes. Dried bricks <strong>of</strong> yoghurt made from low-fat milk or çökelek made<br />

from buttermilk.<br />

Kuskus. Turkish version <strong>of</strong> couscous. Can be served with any meat or stew.<br />

Kuyruk yagi. Tail fat <strong>of</strong> sheep.<br />

Kuzu kapama. Spr<strong>in</strong>g lamb stewed.<br />

Kuzu çevirme. Milk-fed lamb cooked on a spit.<br />

Kuzu etli eng<strong>in</strong>ar. Artichokes with lamb.<br />

Kuzu güvec. Lamb cooked <strong>in</strong> a casserole.<br />

Lahmacum. A th<strong>in</strong> flatbread (wheat flour) covered with a layer <strong>of</strong> spiced m<strong>in</strong>ced<br />

meat, tomato, pepper, onion or garlic.<br />

Lavas.<br />

Large and airy 'balloon' bread (wheat flour) spread with sesame<br />

seeds. Eaten with meze dishes.<br />

Lor. Unsalted white cheese made from <strong>the</strong> whey left over from <strong>the</strong><br />

manufacture <strong>of</strong> kasar.<br />

Mahmudiye. Chicken meat mixed with honey, apricots, almonds, currents and<br />

black pepper.<br />

Manti. A pasta <strong>of</strong> folded triangles <strong>of</strong> dough (wheat flour) conta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

m<strong>in</strong>ced meat <strong>of</strong>ten with m<strong>in</strong>ced onions and parsley. Often served<br />

with garlic yoghurt and melted butter or warmed olive oil and a<br />

range <strong>of</strong> spices such as oregano, dried m<strong>in</strong>t, ground sumac and red<br />

pepper powder. O<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>gredients can be m<strong>in</strong>ced chicken, quail<br />

meats.<br />

Marzipan. Ground pistachio.<br />

Menemen. Scrambled eggs cooked with tomatoes and green pepper.<br />

Mercimek köfte. Red lentils, onions, tomato paste.<br />

Meze. A selection <strong>of</strong> food served as <strong>the</strong> appetizer course with or without<br />

dr<strong>in</strong>ks (an appetizer). Some can be served as a ma<strong>in</strong> course.<br />

Examples: olives, mature kasar kashar cheese, white cheese, mixed<br />

pickles.<br />

Mihaliç peyniri or Kelle peyniri. A hard sheep’s cheese that can be grated.<br />

Misir ekmegi. A corn bread. Yellow corn meal, all purpose flour, bak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

powder, salt, milk, yoghurt, sugar, eggs, olive oil, lemen zest.<br />

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Product Name Description & / Ingredients<br />

Moussaka. Sautéed and fried eggplant, green peppers, tomatoes, onions,<br />

m<strong>in</strong>ced meat, parsley. Variants <strong>in</strong>clude us<strong>in</strong>g zucch<strong>in</strong>i, carrots and<br />

potatoes.<br />

Müever. Grated squash / courgette or potatoes, egg, onion dill and / or<br />

cheese and flour. Can be ei<strong>the</strong>r fried or cooked <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> oven.<br />

Non-alcoholic beverages. Black tea. C<strong>of</strong>fee.<br />

Örgu peyniri. Braided cheese.<br />

Otlu peynir. A cheese with herbs (wild garlic, Mentha longifolia, Pimp<strong>in</strong>ella<br />

rhodentha).<br />

Paça çorbasi. Lamb’s feet soup.<br />

Pastirmali kuru fasulye. White beans with pastirma.<br />

Patlican. Eggplant.<br />

Patlican dolma. Filled eggplant.<br />

Patlican reçeli. Eggplant jam.<br />

Patlican salatasi. Roasted eggplant salad. Eggplant, garlic, tomato, olive oil, pla<strong>in</strong><br />

yoghurt, lemon juice, feta cheese, salt, pepper.<br />

Pekmez. Grape syrup.<br />

Pide. A broad, round and flat bread made <strong>of</strong> wheat. Can be made with<br />

m<strong>in</strong>ced meat with onion, chopped tomatoes, parsley and spices.<br />

Also made with sp<strong>in</strong>ach, white cheese, peices <strong>of</strong> meat, braised<br />

meat, sukuk, pastirma and/or eggs.<br />

Pilaf. Rice, <strong>of</strong>ten with currants or rais<strong>in</strong>s.<br />

Pilâki. Fish cooked with various vegetables, onion <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> oven.<br />

Pilav. Pilaf with meat<br />

Piliç dolma. Stuffed chicken with spice fill<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Pogaça. Halfmoons with feta cheese (Cheese buns). Butter, olive oil, all<br />

purpose white flour, egg, bak<strong>in</strong>g powder, salt, feta cheese,<br />

parsley.<br />

Popular fish. Anchovy, sard<strong>in</strong>es, bonito, gilt-head bream, red mullet, sea bass,<br />

whit<strong>in</strong>g, swordfish, turbot, white grouper.<br />

Raki. A traditional alcoholic beverage flavoured with anise.<br />

Sade pilav. Ord<strong>in</strong>ary rice served with most dishes.<br />

Sahlep. Extract <strong>of</strong> wild orchid roots, c<strong>in</strong>namon.<br />

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Product Name Description & / Ingredients<br />

Saksuka. Eggplants, tomatoes, potatoes, zucch<strong>in</strong>is, sweet green/red<br />

peppers, garlic, olive oil, parsley, yogurt.<br />

Salgam suyu. Turnip juice.<br />

Sardalya. Sard<strong>in</strong>es.<br />

Sherbet. Rose hips, cornelian cherries, rose or licorice and spices.<br />

Shkembe. A type <strong>of</strong> tripe soup.<br />

Simit or gevrek. A r<strong>in</strong>g-shaped bread (wheat flour)covered with sesame seeds.<br />

Commonly eaten with cheese, butter or marmalade.<br />

Su böregi. Water pastry (wheat flour). A salty baklava-like pastry with cheese<br />

fill<strong>in</strong>g and parsley.<br />

Sucuk. A fermented meat sausage. Can be made with beef or chicken.<br />

Sujuk. A form <strong>of</strong> raw sausage made with beef and a range <strong>of</strong> spices such as<br />

garlic.<br />

Sumac. A fruit uses as a condiment.<br />

Süzme yogurt. Yoghurt curd stra<strong>in</strong>ed from <strong>the</strong> whey.<br />

Tah<strong>in</strong>. Sesame paste.<br />

Talas böregi. Phyllo dough (wheat flour) filled with vegetables and diced meat.<br />

Tandir bread. Bread (wheat flour) baked on <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ner walls <strong>of</strong> a round oven called<br />

tandir.<br />

Tokat kebab. Made up <strong>of</strong> skewers <strong>of</strong> lamb and sliced eggplant. They are baked <strong>in</strong><br />

wood-fired ovens. As <strong>the</strong> lamb cooks, it leaves juices that baste <strong>the</strong><br />

eggplant. They are served with baked tomatoes and roasted garlic.<br />

Tulum. A sheep’s cheese preserved <strong>in</strong> an animal sk<strong>in</strong> bag.<br />

Türlü. A stew <strong>of</strong> vegetables and meat cooked <strong>in</strong> a casserole.<br />

Tursu. Br<strong>in</strong>e, garlic, vegetables, cucumbers, courgette.<br />

Vegetables. Sp<strong>in</strong>ach, leeks, cauliflowers, artichokes, cabbage, celery,<br />

eggplant, green and red bell peppers, str<strong>in</strong>g beans, jerusalem<br />

artichokes, onions, carrots, tomatoes.<br />

Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turkish_cuis<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

Note: Items <strong>in</strong> bold can be supplied by Canada.<br />

ENDNOTES<br />

98


1. Part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Agricultural Policy Framework. For more <strong>in</strong>formation see<br />

http://www.agr.gc.ca/cb/apf/<strong>in</strong>dex_e.php.<br />

2. Much <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g is based on <strong>in</strong>formation from Wikipedia.<br />

3. Much <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g is based on <strong>in</strong>formation from Wikipedia.<br />

4. Numbers associated with product groups are <strong>the</strong> International Harmonised System <strong>of</strong> codes<br />

used to classify traded products (HS codes).<br />

5. See website:<br />

http://www.real<strong>in</strong>stitutoelcano.org/wps/portal/rielcano_eng/Content?WCM_GLOBAL_CON<br />

TEXT=/elcano/elcano_<strong>in</strong>/zonas_<strong>in</strong>/<strong>in</strong>ternational+terrorism/ari26-2009 .<br />

6. The AON risk level is based on a six level risk rat<strong>in</strong>g - low, medium-low, medium, mediumhigh,<br />

high and very high. Canada is a low risk and Zimbabwe is a very high risk.<br />

7. All rates <strong>of</strong> change <strong>of</strong> imports refer to annual compound rates <strong>of</strong> a trend l<strong>in</strong>e fitted to <strong>the</strong><br />

data.<br />

99

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