SrK I]lGJl;"8L4 E]H - Kachchh University

First Year B.A. Semester-II (Allied Course)
Statistical Methods
Objective: CODE : AC ST 02
The course aims to provide an understanding of application of statistics to business and
industries while focusing to develop effective business communication skills among the students.
Key features:
To make them aware about Statistical Methods application in the real life.
Course duration: 45 Sessions, 3 sessions a week.
Topic
No.
1 POPULATION CENCUS:
131
Topic
Method of conducting population census and its usefulness. Detailed Study of last
population census of India. Limitations of Indian census data and suggestions to improve
them.
2 VITAL STATISTICS:
Meaning and scope of demography crude, standard and Age specific rates Mortality
rates pertaining to (i) CDR (ii) SDR (iii) IMR
Birth rates pertaining to (i) CDR (ii) SDR (iii) Age specific Birth rates. Fertility rates
pertaining to (i) GFR (ii) ASFR (iii)TFR. Simple illustrative examples.
3 TIME SERIES:
Definition and Meaning of time series. Components of time series. Trend, Seasonal,
Cyclic and Random components, Elimination of trend by the method of Moving
average, method of curve fitting, using or ordinary least squares principle only, curve
fitting for numerical data for linear and quadratic case only.
4 BUSINESS FORECASTING METHODS:
Forecasting concept, types and importance-General approach to forecasting, Methods of
forecasting. Forecasting demand, Industry verses company sales. Forecasting affecting
company sales-Graphical method-Linear and parabolic trends-Exponential smoothing
method.