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Risk and Foreign Direct Investment - Index of

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3<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Risk</strong>-generating Events<br />

There are never likely to be enough major capital investment<br />

decisions facing a company within a reasonable period <strong>of</strong> time<br />

for it to be proved statistically that decisions taken on the<br />

basis <strong>of</strong> an analysis <strong>of</strong> the risks are better than those taken<br />

without any such analysis.<br />

It should be recognised that the use <strong>of</strong> risk evaluation in<br />

business is in essence an ‘act <strong>of</strong> faith’.<br />

(Hull 1980: 135)<br />

This chapter starts by indicating how necessary it is to bring together the<br />

disparate approaches to risk in a genuinely integrated manner which<br />

assimilates all risk factors <strong>and</strong> the different disciplinary approaches to risk.<br />

It defines what risk is <strong>and</strong> shows the universality <strong>of</strong> that risk with careful<br />

distinctions made between incidence, impact <strong>and</strong> response. The analysis<br />

shows how such risk-generating events might be classified. One method <strong>of</strong><br />

classification is by the different levels at which risk arises <strong>and</strong> has to be<br />

controlled. The analysis then turns to the response to risk by considering<br />

the appetite for risk, or degree <strong>of</strong> risk aversion, <strong>of</strong> those confronting risk.<br />

Part <strong>of</strong> such an analysis is consideration <strong>of</strong> the nature <strong>of</strong> risk exposure for<br />

organisations <strong>and</strong> individuals, notably different stakeholder groups. In<br />

conclusion, the chapter analyses the connection between risk <strong>and</strong> return<br />

which is considered a positive one by financial theorists but paradoxically<br />

has appeared in the empirical data to be negative; successful organisations<br />

are able to increase returns <strong>and</strong> reduce risk simultaneously.<br />

There are six sections in the chapter:<br />

• The first section argues the need to take an integrated approach in<br />

dealing with the various risk factors.<br />

23

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