29.04.2013 Views

Risk and Foreign Direct Investment - Index of

Risk and Foreign Direct Investment - Index of

Risk and Foreign Direct Investment - Index of

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Part III<br />

The Different Types <strong>of</strong> <strong>Risk</strong><br />

Breaking the risk construct into distinct exposures to multiple<br />

environmental contingencies allows for more precise specification<br />

<strong>of</strong> the relations between risks <strong>and</strong> strategies.<br />

(Miller 1998: 510)<br />

There are a number <strong>of</strong> different types <strong>of</strong> risk relevant to an international<br />

investment project. The exposure to different risk types<br />

creates risk environments which differ according to the nature <strong>of</strong> the<br />

relevant risk events characterising them. In particular, these risk<br />

environments differ significantly by sector <strong>of</strong> the economy or industry,<br />

<strong>and</strong> by country location. This section seeks to find a schema for<br />

distinguishing such risk environments, which can serve as a template<br />

for the measurement <strong>of</strong> both generic <strong>and</strong> specific project risk.<br />

It is easier to measure a ‘systematic’ generic risk than it is to measure<br />

the specific risk <strong>of</strong> a single project. The section therefore moves from<br />

the generic to the specific, from global, industry <strong>and</strong> country risk to<br />

enterprise or project risk. The ultimate aim <strong>of</strong> the analysis, after the<br />

achievement <strong>of</strong> a clear identification <strong>and</strong> measurement <strong>of</strong> risk, is<br />

to see how that risk can be incorporated into the present value<br />

formula. In the process, the analysis moves to a point at which there<br />

are workable measures <strong>of</strong> risk which can be incorporated into an<br />

international investment appraisal. An initial aim is to remove any<br />

divergence in the use <strong>of</strong> the terminology used in identifying risk <strong>and</strong><br />

to establish a comprehensives <strong>and</strong> clear taxonomy, although it must<br />

be accepted that this terminology is relevant to the FDI decision <strong>and</strong><br />

not necessarily to other decisions, such as those relating to portfolio<br />

investment or to the making <strong>of</strong> loans.<br />

125

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!