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I. Introduction<br />

In his January 2010 State of the Union address, President Obama set the<br />

goal of doubling U.S. exports within five years (by the end of 2014). From<br />

the president on down, much is being said about efforts to promote U.S.<br />

exports, especially of manufactured goods, in order to increase U.S.<br />

employment. 1 Boosting exports is a worthy goal because exports foster<br />

economic growth and support jobs. Also, this goal focuses attention of the<br />

federal government on the important task of eliminating barriers that too<br />

often shut U.S. exports out of overseas markets.<br />

However, the narrow focus of policy makers on U.S. exports, coupled with<br />

their silence on imports, has led the American public and many policy<br />

makers to believe that “exports are good,” and “imports are bad.” 2<br />

Consequently, when U.S. lawmakers vote on trade agreements intended<br />

to strengthen the U.S. economy and competitiveness, they worry they will<br />

face opposition from an American public protesting expected job losses<br />

resulting from a flood of imports.<br />

To a very large extent, the bias against imports in the view of policy<br />

makers, and in the news media, is due to a longstanding failure by those<br />

who benefit from imports to present the full picture of their impacts on the<br />

1<br />

See U.S. Department of Commerce, International Trade Administration, “National Export Initiative,”<br />

http://trade.gov/nei/.<br />

2<br />

Another important contribution to this notion that “imports are bad” is due to simple math.<br />

Economists calculate U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) with a simple equation learned by every beginning<br />

economics student: Y = C + I + G + (X – M), where M stands for imports. To calculate GDP (Y), imports are<br />

subtracted from consumer spending (C), U.S. investment (I) government spending (G), and exports (X) to<br />

calculate U.S. output (GDP). They are subtracted because there is import value included in C, I, G and X,<br />

and to ensure that the value of GDP measures only U.S. output, the value of imports must be subtracted.<br />

(See Daniel J. Ikenson, “Made in America: Increasing Jobs through Exports and Trade,” testimony before<br />

the Subcommittee on Commerce, Manufacturing, and Trade, Committee on Energy and Commerce, U.S.<br />

House of Representatives, March 16, 2011.) But that need to avoid including foreign value in the calculation<br />

of U.S. output is not widely known. What is widely known and reported is that the value of imports is<br />

subtracted to calculate the value of the U.S. economy and U.S. economic growth. Hence the popular<br />

perception: if imports are subtracted, they must be a “negative” for the economy.

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