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Statement of Receipts and Payments of the Consolidated Fund and ...

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TABLE A,2<br />

BALANCING THE CONSOLIDATED FUND, 1991-92<br />

Recurrent <strong>Receipts</strong> excluding Current Account Advances<br />

Works <strong>and</strong> Services <strong>Receipts</strong> excluding Borrowings<br />

Total <strong>Receipts</strong><br />

Total <strong>Payments</strong><br />

Shortfall <strong>of</strong> <strong>Receipts</strong><br />

<strong>Fund</strong>ed by —<br />

Global Borrowings<br />

Borrowing in respect <strong>of</strong> temporary funding arrangements<br />

- Maturing Bonds, Act No. 90 <strong>of</strong> 1990, Sec. 20(6)<br />

State Development Account<br />

Cash Management Account<br />

Capital Works Authority<br />

i^w-Repayment <strong>of</strong> Prior Year Cash Management Account Advances<br />

3.1 RECURRENT RECEIPTS<br />

$m<br />

11 847.9<br />

890.9<br />

12 738.8<br />

14 908.2<br />

2 169.4<br />

993.8<br />

194.9<br />

100.0<br />

94.6<br />

1 267.2<br />

2 650.5<br />

481.1<br />

2 169.4<br />

In <strong>the</strong> 1991-92 Budget, total Recurrent receipts were esdmated to be $12 019.2 million. Actual<br />

receipts during <strong>the</strong> year were $11 847.9 million, $171.3 million below <strong>the</strong> Budget estimate before<br />

taking account <strong>of</strong> advances <strong>of</strong> $1 361.8 million from Current Account Advances.<br />

The most significant cause <strong>of</strong> variation across <strong>the</strong> broad range <strong>of</strong> Recurrent receipts was<br />

due to a combination <strong>of</strong> economic activity being lower than forecast, which adversely affected<br />

receipts, <strong>and</strong> wage <strong>and</strong> price inflation being lower than forecast, which adversely affected both<br />

receipts <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> those Commonwealth grants which are indexed to <strong>the</strong> Consumer Price<br />

Index.<br />

Table A.3 shows <strong>the</strong> difference between <strong>the</strong> (preliminary) actual outcome <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> forecasts<br />

at <strong>the</strong> time <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Budget <strong>of</strong> economic activity on which most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> forecast receipts were based.<br />

TABLE A.3<br />

ECONOMIC FORECASTS AND OUTCOMES FOR VICTORIA 1991-92<br />

(percentage change over 1990-91)<br />

Budget Preliminary<br />

Forecast Actual<br />

Gross Domestic Product<br />

Domestic Dem<strong>and</strong><br />

Consumer Price Index<br />

Average Weekly Earnings<br />

Employment<br />

Unemployment Rate<br />

XV<br />

0.0<br />

-1.9<br />

4.0<br />

4.0<br />

-3.7<br />

11.0<br />

-1.5<br />

-0.4<br />

2.2<br />

3.6<br />

-3.4<br />

11.0

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