Dr. Rodrigo Caballero

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The Challenge, part II • Elevated CO 2 levels may lead to dangerous climate change • But we need to continue emitting CO 2 while we develop and adopt new technologies • So how much CO 2 can we emit without running significant risks?
Avoiding dangerous climate change • This is a problem in risk assessment • Need a tool that accurately determines the climate impact of a given CO 2 level • The only available tool are climate models • But these remain a somewhat blunt tool, subject to important uncertainties (P. Raskin et al., Great Transition, 2002)
Page 1 and 2: Pushing the envelope: Extreme weath
Page 3 and 4: The world is getting richer, faster
Page 5 and 6: 9 World Population (billion) The
Page 7: The Challenge, part I • Target fu
Page 11 and 12: What is a climate model? Need to so
Page 13 and 14: Models reproduce recent climate cha
Page 15 and 16: The Eocene The Eocene (50 million y
Page 17 and 18: Northern Canada 50 million years ag
Page 19 and 20: The ‘low-gradient paradox’ A ma
Page 21 and 22: What is wrong? No-one really knows,
Page 23: Extreme storms
Page 28 and 29: How will extremes change in future?
Page 30 and 31: Extreme computing
Page 32 and 33: The computational challenge • By
Page 34: What role for Ireland? • Seizing

Dr. Rodrigo Caballero

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