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Aggregate versus Disaggregate Data in Measuring School Quality

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However, the school effects <strong>in</strong> (4) are heteroskedastic, while the true school effects are<br />

not. Thus, to correct for heteroskedasticity, we divide the estimator by its standard deviation<br />

obta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the standardized estimator of school effect:<br />

( 1<br />

(5) u ( ( ˆ<br />

j =<br />

Y.<br />

j − Xβ<br />

) . j )<br />

2 2<br />

σ + σ / n<br />

u<br />

e<br />

j<br />

Thus, the set of u j<br />

( ’s may also be used to rank schools. Similarly, the multilevel estimator <strong>in</strong> (2)<br />

can also be standardized to obta<strong>in</strong>:<br />

)<br />

2 2<br />

n j<br />

(2.a) u j = ( 1/( σ u + σ e / n j ))( ∑ yˆ<br />

i ij ) / n<br />

= 1 j<br />

1.2. Confidence Intervals for the Estimates of <strong>School</strong> <strong>Quality</strong><br />

A confidence <strong>in</strong>terval for school effects is: uˆ j ± t1<br />

/ 2σ<br />

u|<br />

uˆ<br />

. Thus, it is necessary to obta<strong>in</strong><br />

the conditional variance of the random effect given its estimator; that is, Cov ( u | uˆ<br />

) .<br />

For both, disaggregate and aggregate estimators, the covariance matrix is derived<br />

similarly. First it is necessary to obta<strong>in</strong> the jo<strong>in</strong>t distribution of the vector of school effects u and<br />

its estimator. For this, notice that <strong>in</strong> both cases, the estimator is a l<strong>in</strong>ear comb<strong>in</strong>ation of the vector<br />

of dependent variables, test scores <strong>in</strong> our case. Thus the jo<strong>in</strong>t distribution can be derived from the<br />

jo<strong>in</strong>t of u and Y. Then, us<strong>in</strong>g a theorem from Moser (theorem. 2.2.1, page 29), the conditional<br />

covariance matrix of school effects is obta<strong>in</strong>ed. A derivation of this covariance matrix is given <strong>in</strong><br />

the appendix.<br />

The conditional covariance matrix based on the disaggregate estimator is:<br />

2 4 −1<br />

−1<br />

(6) Cov u | uˆ<br />

) = I −σ<br />

Ζ'<br />

V V − X ( X'V<br />

X )<br />

9<br />

−α<br />

−1<br />

−1<br />

( X')<br />

V Ζ<br />

( σ u u<br />

,<br />

The conditional covariance matrix based on the aggregate estimator is:

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