OSINT Nuggets Newsletter Vol 1 Issue 5 - Allsource Global ...
OSINT Nuggets Newsletter Vol 1 Issue 5 - Allsource Global ...
OSINT Nuggets Newsletter Vol 1 Issue 5 - Allsource Global ...
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INSIDE THIS ISSUE:<br />
The End of Privacy 1<br />
Border Patrol 3<br />
IEDs/EFPs 4<br />
Arizona/Southwest Border 5<br />
Northern Border 12<br />
Drones 13<br />
<strong>OSINT</strong><br />
Syria 16<br />
Kurdistan 17<br />
Mongolia 17<br />
Drug Smuggling 20<br />
Money Laundering 22<br />
Terrorism 26<br />
The Stans 28<br />
Russia 29<br />
Exploiting Open Source 31<br />
News For Parents 31<br />
Open Source Intelligence<br />
(<strong>OSINT</strong>): Open source<br />
intelligence refers to intelligence<br />
based on information gathered<br />
from open sources, i.e.<br />
information available to the<br />
general public. This includes<br />
newspapers, the internet, books,<br />
phone books, scientific journals,<br />
radio broadcasts, television, and<br />
others. Collection of information<br />
in <strong>OSINT</strong> format is a very<br />
different process in comparison<br />
to the collection of other<br />
intelligence disciplines because,<br />
by definition, the information<br />
sources are publicly available<br />
versus covertly collected.<br />
So what’s the beef?<br />
Americans have always been<br />
under constant surveillance.<br />
Whether as motorists or<br />
pedestrians; as visitors to<br />
convenience stores, banks,<br />
ATM machines or the post<br />
office; as shoppers with credit<br />
cards or telephone users;<br />
even at leisure, in parks,<br />
playgrounds and golf<br />
courses, we're constantly on<br />
candid camera. 1 We can also<br />
look back to the time of<br />
McCarthy and the 1 st and 2 nd<br />
Red Scares of 1917-1920<br />
and 1950-1954 respectively,<br />
and the time of J. Edgar<br />
Hoover in the 50s and 60s.<br />
So why is it now that it<br />
infuriates us when it comes to<br />
surveillance? Back then it<br />
was not about peeking into<br />
our bedrooms, and if I wasn’t<br />
a communist why should I<br />
mind the surveillance. The<br />
real issue now is the stealthy<br />
high tech that goes with the<br />
surveillance. Drones the size<br />
of insects can very easily fly<br />
into our homes, land on the<br />
wall, and collect all sorts of<br />
information. They are<br />
capable of IMINT, SIGINT,<br />
and I would venture to say<br />
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
<strong>Vol</strong>ume 1, <strong>Issue</strong> 5 Tuesday, September 4, 2012<br />
The End of Privacy: Americans Under Surveillance<br />
quite possibly MASINT.<br />
Then there are the drones<br />
at great heights that we<br />
cannot observe, peeking<br />
into our backyards, and I<br />
can say with certain<br />
accuracy there is room for<br />
abuse. We are repulsed<br />
because of the sneakiness<br />
behind it all in the name of<br />
countering terrorism or<br />
some other somethingism.<br />
Let’s face it that full-time<br />
surveillance is to be the<br />
reality of modern life and if<br />
improperly used that<br />
equipment can easily see<br />
into our homes and offices.<br />
Our expectations of privacy<br />
are dependent of where we<br />
are in public, on our own<br />
property or someone else's.<br />
Large portions of our lives<br />
can easily be reconstructed<br />
just by using cameras and<br />
other equipment at banks<br />
and office buildings, on<br />
street corners and<br />
highways, in parking<br />
garages, subways and<br />
buses. 2 Those are the<br />
systems we know about<br />
and are used to but it is the<br />
unknowns that concern us<br />
about our privacy.<br />
Publisher & Layout Design: Mr. E. Ben Benavides, bbenavides@agmaz.com<br />
Chief Editor: Mr. Brad Branderhorst, bbranderhorst@agmaz.com<br />
The NYPD just recently<br />
unveiled what they refer to<br />
as the “Domain Awareness<br />
System” capable of going<br />
backwards in time to track<br />
where a person has been<br />
in the past few days, weeks<br />
or months.<br />
The Martians, if they do<br />
exist, aren’t too happy<br />
either I suppose. They are<br />
34 million miles away at<br />
their closest point to Earth<br />
and we are spying on them<br />
with curiosity/Curiosity.<br />
Sorry, I just had to throw<br />
that one in there.<br />
…and just when we think<br />
our privacy is somewhat<br />
secure when we’re out in<br />
public, someone decides<br />
they would like to know just<br />
a little bit more about us as<br />
this video shows.<br />
http://www.cnn.com/video/?<br />
hpt=hp_c2#/video/us/2012/<br />
08/08/man-takes-photo-upwomans-skirt.kprc<br />
If someone is brave<br />
enough as to be so blatant<br />
in public think of what they<br />
will do when they know no<br />
one is watching them with<br />
their sophisticated and<br />
stealthy systems.<br />
The views expressed in this <strong>Newsletter</strong> are those of the authors and do not reflect policy or<br />
position of AllSource <strong>Global</strong> Management.<br />
All input is based on open source harvesting and should not be considered open source<br />
intelligence, but more specifically should not be considered as actionable intelligence.<br />
Anyone wishing to contribute an item for publication is highly encouraged and should contact Mr.<br />
Benavides at the above email.
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 2 of 33<br />
November 20, 2002, Pentagon's "Total Information Awareness" database is step toward police state, Libertarians say.<br />
WASHINGTON, DC -- A massive public surveillance system under development by the Pentagon - called "Total<br />
Information Awareness" - could help lay the framework for a police state in America and should be halted immediately,<br />
Libertarians say.<br />
"This is Big Brother on steroids," said George Getz, Libertarian Party communications director. "The government of<br />
a free country shouldn't want surveillance powers like these. And the fact that the government wants them is proof that it<br />
shouldn't have them."<br />
The goal of the program, funded by the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), is to construct a<br />
"virtual, centralized, grand database" containing every Americans' electronic transactions, such as credit card purchases,<br />
bank and medical records, travel data, e-mails and phone calls. That information is to be linked with biometric data such as<br />
face recognition technology and digital fingerprints, and provided instantly to law enforcement to detect patterns of terrorist<br />
activity, the government says.<br />
Spearheading the initiative is former Navy Rear Adm. John Poindexter, a Reagan administration official who was<br />
implicated in the illegal sale of arms to the Nicaraguan Contras.<br />
As the anti-privacy aspects of the project have become clear, civil liberties groups and editorial pages around the<br />
USA have urged Congress to torpedo the program.<br />
"This project sends a message that every American should find repugnant," Getz said. "Namely, that politicians and<br />
bureaucrats view America as a sea of criminal suspects whose private behavior must be tracked, catalogued and analyzed,<br />
just in case they commit a crime.<br />
"So much for the presumption of innocence and the right to privacy. Just as in totalitarian states, your rights<br />
disappear at the whim of a shadowy government employee intent on spawning another database.<br />
"Unless this Orwellian project is dismantled, innocent Americans will suffer under the kind of high-tech, 24-hour<br />
surveillance that the Stasi and the KGB would have envied."<br />
Like most counterterrorism measures, Total Information Awareness is based on a myth, Libertarians say - the myth<br />
that the only way to prevent terrorism is to erode Americans' freedom.<br />
"But there's already an effective, constitutional way to gather evidence against any criminal suspect: Go to court and<br />
get a warrant," Getz said. "Call it Total Constitutional Awareness.<br />
"The fact that terrorists destroyed thousands of lives on September 11 doesn't give politicians the right to destroy<br />
the privacy of millions of other innocent individuals. It's time to tell the government: We are citizens, not criminal suspects.<br />
Pull the plug on this un-American spy scheme."<br />
Comment/Analysis: The only reason I posted the above article is to show how far back the thinking goes on this type of<br />
surveillance system. It appears to have matured from Total Information Awareness to Domain Awareness System. The time<br />
lag between the two is 10 years, so one can only imagine how sophisticated it could actually be. However, I do have a<br />
question. Are we becoming what we used to abhor about the Soviet Union and how it treated its citizens during the Cold<br />
War? That is a hard question to answer since there is a bit of merit to some type of surveillance. Would a countless number<br />
of missing persons have benefited from something like this? Think of all the missing persons that were actually abducted<br />
and not just simply decided to run away from home and are safe.<br />
August 6, 2012, License-plate scanners let gov't track your travels. When you drive the<br />
highways of Southern Arizona, the government may be taking a picture of your license plate,<br />
recording where you were and when.<br />
The U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration has installed automatic license-plate<br />
readers along Interstate 19 and uses them along other highways, like Arizona 86. Some<br />
local agencies in Arizona, such as Tucson police, also sometimes use readers in patrol cars.<br />
The agencies using the devices say they are largely for detecting stolen cars and<br />
drug loads, and that information on innocent vehicles goes nowhere. But some people worry<br />
that the readers are ripe for abuse.<br />
"They take pictures of everyone who goes past the camera," said Anjali Abraham, public policy director for the<br />
American Civil Liberties Union in Arizona "Everybody's sharing in this pool of information about us, about how we move<br />
around in our day. It's being accessed at all levels of government, perhaps quite easily."<br />
For residents of the border area, the readers are just the latest element of surveillance added to daily life, along with<br />
checkpoints on the highways, sensors in the ground and drones in the air.
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 3 of 33<br />
Last week, the ACLU filed public-records requests in 38 states seeking<br />
detailed information about how law enforcement agencies are using the<br />
license-plate readers and the data they collect. In Arizona, the group filed<br />
requests with the Tucson, Chandler and Phoenix police departments, as well<br />
as the Pinal County Sheriff's Office and the Arizona Department of Public<br />
Safety.<br />
However, the DEA may be the most visible user of the readers. The<br />
agency has installed one set of equipment along southbound Interstate 19,<br />
just south of the Border Patrol's checkpoint at kilometer 40. It's a set of a<br />
dozen devices that look like cameras and lights on stands, powered by a<br />
generator attached to a trailer.<br />
"We cannot provide specific locations of the scanners, only that they<br />
are located in the Southwest border states including Arizona; doing so can potentially<br />
compromise ongoing investigations and threaten the safety of our agents and the<br />
public," a DEA spokeswoman, Special Agent Ramona Sanchez, said in an email.<br />
License-plate readers "are used to monitor and target vehicles commonly used to transport bulk cash and illegal<br />
contraband along U.S. interstates," she wrote. "They promote information sharing and coordination" through a mechanism<br />
that notifies authorities when common links between investigations are identified.<br />
The DEA has also used clusters of readers along Arizona 86 and other highways on the Tohono O'odham Nation,<br />
an area frequented by smugglers.<br />
Last year, Tohono O'odham Police Chief Joseph Delgado told The Runner newspaper that the devices also were<br />
being used in two places along Federal Route 15 and along Federal Route 42 in the northern part of the reservation.<br />
A Tohono O'odham spokesman did not return emails seeking comment.<br />
The DEA has reduced the length of time that it keeps the information collected from two years to 180 days, an<br />
agency spokesman told the California Watch news agency last month.<br />
Tucson police don't retain any of the information collected by the readers they use, said Sgt. Maria Hawke. They<br />
use readers as part of an auto-theft task force operated by Arizona DPS, often by driving through apartment-complex<br />
parking lots and checking for stolen cars.<br />
"What essentially happens is the reader is a mechanism used to do those queries. The reader doesn't retain the<br />
information," she said.<br />
Members of a group that raised concerns about the Border Patrol's checkpoint on I-19 were not especially worried<br />
about the privacy considerations involved in license-plate checks, said Rich Bohman, president of the Santa Cruz Valley<br />
Citizens Council. They were more concerned about the lights used with the scanners at night, because they can distract<br />
drivers, especially elderly ones, Bohman said.<br />
"From my own personal standpoint, if this is effective in helping stop money and guns from traveling into Mexico, I<br />
think our citizens would support it," he said.<br />
There is some public resistance to license-plate readers. In June, public protests forced the DEA to drop a proposal<br />
to install readers along Interstate 15 in southwestern Utah.<br />
But things like this are just the way of the future, said David Shirk, director of the Trans-Border Institute at the<br />
University of San Diego.<br />
"Governments and law enforcement have so much capacity today, thanks to technology, to monitor our every day<br />
movement," Shirk said. "To me, license plate readers on freeways is the least of our problems.<br />
http://azstarnet.com/news/local/border/license-plate-scanners-let-gov-t-track-your-travels/article_a3ee4b9c-a154-5da1-9a5fe9f0ef490b32.html<br />
Border Patrol News<br />
August 11, 2012, 2 former Border Patrol agents convicted of human smuggling. SAN DIEGO — Two<br />
former U.S. Border Patrol agents who fled to Mexico while under investigation for smuggling hundreds<br />
of illegal immigrants into the country were found guilty Friday of multiple counts of conspiracy, bribery<br />
and human smuggling.
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 4 of 33<br />
The conviction ends a long-running case that became an example of the pernicious reach of corruption into Border<br />
Patrol ranks. Raul Villarreal, 42, was once the face of the agency in the San Diego area, making frequent appearances on<br />
Spanish-language television newscasts as a media liaison.<br />
He once played the role of a cold-hearted Mexican smuggler in a public service announcement meant to discourage<br />
immigrants from making dangerous border crossings.<br />
In the field, Raul and his brother, Fidel Villarreal, 44, partnered with Mexican smugglers who guided immigrants on<br />
foot across the border in the rugged backcountry east of San Diego. The brothers picked up the immigrants and transported<br />
them farther into the country in their official government vehicles, according to prosecutors.<br />
Two smugglers who partnered with the brothers were also convicted of taking part in the scheme, which ran from<br />
2005 to 2006. Over the two-year period, dozens of smuggling runs brought about 500 immigrants into the country,<br />
generating up to $4 million in profits, according to investigators from Immigration and Customs Enforcement.<br />
Some of the immigrants were drug traffickers and other criminals, investigators said. More than a dozen witnesses<br />
during the one-month trial were immigrants helped into the country by the brothers.<br />
The federal investigation took an embarrassing turn in 2006 when Raul and Fidel fled from their home in a San<br />
Diego suburb after being tipped off to the probe. Two years later, Mexican federal agents arrested the Villarreals in a gated<br />
apartment complex near the U.S. Consulate in Tijuana. One of the brothers tried to run away but was captured.<br />
The conviction highlights a surge of corruption cases along the Southwest border as U.S. Customs and Border<br />
Protection expands its ranks. Since October 2004, at least 134 Border Patrol agents and Customs officers have been<br />
indicted or convicted on corruption-related charges.<br />
Each brother faces a maximum of 50 years in prison at a sentencing hearing in November.<br />
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-border-corrupt-20120811,0,6028209.story<br />
Related links:<br />
Border Patrol Smuggling Case: Federal Jury Finds Raul And Fidel Villarreal Guilty In High-Profile Corruption Case.<br />
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/08/10/border-patrol-smuggling-guilty_n_1766512.html<br />
Comment/Analysis: The numbers speak for themselves. The lure of high-paying easy money is just too great to pass up<br />
even for those trusted in law enforcement. I suppose what really bothers me is that they were involved in human smuggling<br />
which is the same as human trafficking, a multibillion dollar a year dealing. I was going to refer to it as a business but the<br />
truth is it is not a business, it is a sin (see article on human trafficking in this issue). Those are the ones who were caught<br />
and no telling how many are active while they are on duty.<br />
IEDs/EFPs<br />
What is an Improvised Explosive Device (IED)? An IED is an improvised system to deliver an explosive charge. It includes<br />
nearly any common object from a pipe to a vehicle, an empty coke can or light bulb. The types of IEDs are only limited by<br />
the imagination of the bomber.<br />
August 1, 2012, Pentagon to recruit bomb-sniffing rats. A pet rat that can sniff out explosives could become standard gear<br />
for future American soldiers. The Pentagon is conducting research into teaching rats to detect mines and explosives, in<br />
hopes of saving lives and reducing military expenditures.<br />
Scientists at the US Army Research Laboratory, supported by the U.S. Military Academy at West Point and<br />
engineers at the Counter Explosive Hazards Center busy studying rat psychology, reported army.mil, the US Army’s official<br />
website.<br />
These researchers are working with Barron Associates, Inc., a defense contractor that has won a bid to produce a<br />
cheap and reliable training program for rats that can detect explosives in hostile environment.<br />
The Rugged Automated Training System’s (RATS) chief aims are low cost and ease of production. The program,<br />
managed by the Life Sciences Division of the Army Research Office, is expected to “solve an immediate Army need for<br />
safer and lower-cost mine removal," said William Gressick, senior research engineer at Barron.<br />
Despite being at least as intelligent and scent-savvy as bomb-sniffing dogs, rats are also much more mobile, easier<br />
to transport and consume much less food. They can also infiltrate hard-to-reach openings.
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 5 of 33<br />
Animals remain the most reliable explosives detection system, capable of identifying bombs at much higher rates<br />
than mechanical systems. RATS could also be used for non-military purposes. In the future, rats might be deployed by<br />
emergency teams on search-and-rescue operations.<br />
The program “would also create new opportunities for using animals to detect anything from mines to humans<br />
buried in earthquake rubble," said Micheline Strand, chief of Army Research’s Life Sciences Division.<br />
"Training dogs is very expensive. If we can significantly reduce the cost of a trained animal, then we could provide<br />
more animals to protect soldiers," Strand said.<br />
The US is not the first country to consider using rodents to sniff out explosives. Several media outlets reported last<br />
year that Israel was training mice to detect bombs and drugs at airports. A report was released earlier this year detailing<br />
how Colombian police are training lab rats to detect hidden explosives.<br />
Between 15,000 and 20,000 people die annually worldwide because of landmines, which sometimes stay active for<br />
decades. Rats could become an indispensable tool for clearing minefields, making them safe for civilian use.<br />
https://rt.com/usa/news/rat-de-miner-us-army-588/<br />
Comment/Analysis: As you can see by the following article, this has actually been going on for a while.<br />
November 10, 2010, These Rats Are The World’s Cutest Bomb Squad.<br />
This is a baby rat in a minuscule harness somewhere in Tanzania. He’s got his<br />
nose in the air, but he’s not looking for cheese. He’s actually sniffing out deadly<br />
landmines.<br />
It takes a pair of trained humans a full day to clear a 186sqm square foot<br />
minefield. But if they work with a pair of rats, they can do it in just two hours. That’s<br />
why APOPO, a Dutch organisation working in Tanzania, is training baby rats to<br />
become mine-sniffers that are as effective as they are adorable. They’re more efficient<br />
to train than dogs, and they’ve already proven their stuff in neighbouring Mozambique,<br />
where they’ve successfully cleared patches of land.<br />
The rats start their training when they’re just four weeks old, early enough for them to overcome their natural fear of<br />
humans. They’re conditioned to associate a clicking sound with a food treat, and then trained to distinguish the scent of<br />
TNT. When they correctly identify explosives in tests, the click is sounded and they’re rewarded with a bit of banana. After<br />
some nine months of rigorous daily training, the sniffer rats are ready for work in the field.<br />
The rodents are also being used to help screen samples for tuberculosis in Tanzanian hospitals, where lab tests are<br />
often only 60 percent accurate. In the future, members of APOPO explain, rats could be used to sniff out narcotics or locate<br />
people trapped after catastrophes. It’s just like that old book If You Give a Mouse a Cookie: If you train a mouse save lives<br />
by sniffing out mines, he’ll want to learn how to save lives in a whole bunch of other really impressive and adorable ways<br />
too. http://www.gizmodo.com.au/2010/11/these-rats-are-the-worlds-cutest-bomb-squad/<br />
<strong>Global</strong>IncidentMap.Com Open Source IED Report. IED Explosions, Bomb Threats, Scares, Hoaxes, Thefts Of Explosives,<br />
And Other Explosive Plots 07-21-2012 – 08-03-2012. (Now sorted by Country And Date by popular request)<br />
http://stapleton-group.com/pdf/GIMIEDREPORT08032012.pdf<br />
Arizona, The Southwest Border and Beyond<br />
August 12, 2012, The Pentagon Mission: to Catch El Chapo. . . . or to Kill Him. Military sources<br />
in Mexico and the United States confirmed the existence of a plan to catch "Or Kill" El Chapo Guzman,<br />
prepared by the Pentagon and the Mexican government, proposed and accepted in principle by<br />
President Calderon. Virtually the same plan that led to the killing of Osama Bin Laden in Pakistan, the<br />
plan would be carried out exclusively by members of the United States Navy, with no intervention of the<br />
Mexican military or Mexican police. Only outright rejection from the high command of the Mexican<br />
military has denied the operation....But the Pentagon remains hopeful that the next administration will<br />
be open to accept it.<br />
Given how difficult it's been to catch Joaquin 'El Chapo' Guzman, the U.S. government has prepared a plan to<br />
capture the drug kingpin, in an operation similar to that held in Pakistan last year in the assassination of Osama Bin Laden.
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 6 of 33<br />
Military sources in Mexico and the U.S. confirm the existence of the plan, which was developed by the Pentagon<br />
several months ago and now is being held back because it is an operation that was designed with only Americans in mind,<br />
an idea that is not viewed with pleasure by their Mexican counterparts.<br />
The plan was introduced to Felipe Calderon who promoted it among the armed forces. And although there was a<br />
sharp rejection by the Mexican Army and Navy, Washington has not thrown away the plan and propose to show it to the<br />
next Mexican president, Enrique Pena.<br />
The plan exists upon an order from the Department of Defense and the U.S. Northern Command who have it<br />
considered as a priority mission, said a senior Mexican Army source, who by agreement is kept anonymous.<br />
The Pentagon is frustrated that the Mexican government has not been able to recapture Guzman Loera since his<br />
escape from the maximum security prison Puente Grande, in Jalisco, on January 2001 during the presidency of Vicente<br />
Fox. El Chapo has escaped at least six times from being captured, military sources have confirmed.<br />
The most recent occurred last February in a seaside mansion in Los Cabos, Baja California Sur, one day after U.S.<br />
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was on an official visit to Mexico. The information needed to capture<br />
the drug lord has been provided by U.S. agencies, primarily the DEA, so Mexico's "failed attempt" at<br />
capturing El Chapo has angered Washington.<br />
For Mexico, the eventual U.S. military intervention of detaining El Chapo on Mexican land is<br />
"Very Risky," because in addition to a clear violation of Mexico's Constitution could also lead to all sorts<br />
of problems, said the military official. The proposed operation is in accordance with Mexico and was<br />
designed by military strategists of the special forces of the Department of Defense of the United States<br />
(the Pentagon).<br />
The execution of the operation would be run by the Navy SEALs, a specially trained group<br />
consisting of navy commandos trained for covert actions in enemy territory by sea, air or land. The<br />
operation would be similar to the one accomplished in Pakistan (Capture or kill) Bin Laden, who was killed in his hideout in<br />
May 2011.<br />
Special Forces helicopters reached the Muslim leader's bunker on the outskirts of Islamabad, near the Pakistani<br />
military academy. From the success of the Bin Laden operation, Calderon explained that the plan to stop El Chapo would be<br />
"simple, quick and precise".<br />
In the mountains of Sinaloa, where Guzman Loera is known to go in and out at will, the plan states that capturing<br />
him would require a special SEAL team with the support of three digital high-tech drones operated by remote control and<br />
armed with missiles. Special Forces would move in from Sinaloa and Durango in armed helicopters. On reaching the target,<br />
two of the teams would remain with one on the ground and another in the air, backed by drones, to prevent any retaliation<br />
from Chapo's soldiers.<br />
In 10 or 15 minutes both teams would catch the target and complete the objective, according to the proposed<br />
operation. The Special Forces would eliminate any of Chapo's security on the spot (shoot to kill) as they did with the 'Bin<br />
Laden' operation and in case El Chapo were killed, the SEALs team would have to recover the body.<br />
The operation against El Chapo would be observed and addressed in "Real Time" from the headquarters of the<br />
Pentagon's Northern Command, and also from the offices of the National Security Council of the White House.<br />
In the operation against bin Laden, President Barack Obama followed step by step from the White House (the work<br />
of the Navy SEALs), but in the Mexican operation, the Pentagon commanders would be responsible for monitoring the<br />
operation.<br />
The plan does not include the Mexican military, Army or Navy. Mexican soldiers will enter only to present the results<br />
of the operation.<br />
According to the military commander who consulted with PROCESO, it is clear that the U.S. has the capacity to<br />
capture Chapo in Mexico, but in order to do it, the U.S. soldiers would have to disguise themselves by wearing the uniforms<br />
of some kind of Mexican Law Enforcement, for example, the Mexican Federal Police.<br />
The U.S. Northern Command was created in 2002 by the Pentagon after the attacks of Al Qaeda in order to perform<br />
"delicate" missions and to protect the security of Canada, the U.S. and Mexico," so capturing El Chapo is considered as a<br />
mission.<br />
Washington equates the Mexican drug cartels with terrorists and therefore are considered a threat to national<br />
security. Consequently, the Northern Command takes an obligation to act against drug traffickers, the military chief added.<br />
http://www.borderlandbeat.com/2012/08/the-pentagon-mission-to-catch-el-chapo.html<br />
Comment/Analysis: I’m wondering if POTUS isn’t trying for another Osama Bin Laden adventure in a political year.<br />
A coup against Chapo Guzman would definitely ensure another four years. So what brings up this drug cartel threat to<br />
national security stuff? Well that gives us a solid excuse to go after Guzman. But wait! Was it not in 1984 that President
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 7 of 33<br />
Reagan declared that illicit drugs were a threat to national security? We can go back even further to 1971 when President<br />
Richard Nixon declared a war on drugs strategy. Nixon told Congress that drug addiction had assumed the dimensions of a<br />
national emergency and it is assumed because of the addiction among soldiers fighting in Vietnam. In my view national<br />
emergency is the same as threat to national security. Look at it this way, soldiers protect our country and if they are not<br />
capable of doing that because of drug use then our security is at risk so in reality drugs are a threat to national security.<br />
Only problem back then was that no one cartel really had the market on drugs as it happens to be now next door to the<br />
USA; back then it was waaaaay south in South America. So now we decide that Mexican drug cartels are a threat to<br />
national security. Besides, according to the article further down in this section, in 2011 Ecuador’s military warned that drug<br />
trafficking posed a threat to national security, pointing out that Mexico’s Sinaloa cartel and other transnational criminal<br />
groups operate in Ecuador because of its proximity to Colombia and other coca-producing countries. Ecuador is also<br />
considered a good location from which to ship large loads of drugs north toward Mexico and the United States, or northeast<br />
toward Europe. Good enough, let’s go after Chapo! I believe that Ecuador and the USA will form an alliance strictly to go<br />
after Chapo.<br />
U.S. special operations forces are engaged in "more than 100 countries world-wide, said Adm. William H. McRaven,<br />
commander of U.S. Special Operations Command (SOCOM), in testimony before the Senate Armed Services Committee<br />
yesterday. In the past, Special Forces have been involved in counter narcotics operations in the Andean Ridge countries of<br />
Venezuela, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, and Bolivia. The goal was not just to stop the flow of drugs into the United States, but<br />
to stem the violence that resulted from the drug trade in those countries.<br />
Sources: https://www.fas.org/irp/congress/2012_hr/030612mcraven.pdf and<br />
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/7th_Special_Forces_Group_%28United_States%29<br />
August 7, 2012, DEA Reports Zetas in Northern and Southern Sinaloa. The presence<br />
of Los Zetas Cartel in northern Sinaloa is so obvious that the DEA points to a map on how the<br />
organization has expanded not only throughout Mexico but also in Sinaloa state where they have<br />
succeeded with the help of Beltran Leyva cartel, former members of the group led by Chapo<br />
Guzman and Ismael Zambada.<br />
That coalition has caused an unprecedented war in the municipalities of Sinaloa de Leyva, El<br />
Fuerte, Choix, Salvador Alvarado and Guasave, where clashes have occurred not only between government and cartel<br />
hitmen from these allies, but between those criminal organizations that are fighting for the territories, the report reveals Drug<br />
trafficking organizations in Mexico, sources and trends that increase violence.<br />
"There are routes that go through that part of Sinaloa and Sonora extend to, and are<br />
fought by both organizations and subcartels, and endless violence seems to exist", reports the<br />
study conducted by The Congressional Research Service, as released last month.<br />
An example of the above statement can be seen in early May this year, when there was<br />
a clash between gunmen and elements of the Mexican army in the mountainous area of the<br />
municipality of Sinaloa and Guasave, leaving dozens dead, including three soldiers.<br />
The research also reports that violence is on the rise since the beginning of the<br />
administration of President Felipe Calderon, from 2010 to date the trend is lower but then<br />
returns with force. It also states that from 2010 onwards there are targets that were previously<br />
almost untouchable, such as politicians, journalists, Americans and Central American migrants<br />
who cross Mexican territory illegally.<br />
"Violence is not only associated with disputes over territory or to maintain discipline<br />
within an organization. But it seems that in every place where the Zetas advance, they do not<br />
discriminate when targeting their violence, including applying it to media workers, or even the<br />
Government " observes the paper.<br />
The map of death<br />
According to the draft prepared by the Federal Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA),<br />
the Zetas have gained control of nearly half the nations territory. Everything that drains into the<br />
Gulf of Mexico, including states such as Chiapas, Zacatecas, Aguascalientes, and parts of<br />
Durango and Guanajuato.<br />
According to Jim Creechan, a Canadian academic who has researched drug<br />
trafficking for several decades, the opening of the new bridge on the Durango-Mazatlán highway can benefit the Zetas,<br />
allowing them easy access to build up forces in Sinaloa.<br />
"If they are there or not, that ability to get to Mazatlan can be crucial in the short and medium term, everything<br />
depends on how the Army monitors the area," noted Creechan by telephone.
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The DEA map ranks the Sinaloa cartel as the second most powerful cartel, which controls the entire Pacific area,<br />
except for the area of Michoacan and Guerrero, which is controlled by the Knights Templar, and the Beltran Leyva cartel.<br />
Precisely the latter cartel, which is led by Hector Beltran Leyva, is present in several areas controlled by Joaquin<br />
Guzman and Ismael Zambada, and these areas pass through Sinaloa and Sonora, and extend to the border with the USA.<br />
The remainder of the map depicts the state of Chihuahua, mainly dominated by the Juarez cartel, and to a lesser<br />
extent by the Sinaloa cartel. while the Gulf cartel has presence in the area of Reynosa and Tampico, Tamaulipas.<br />
Noted is the presence of different groups in cities like Mexico City, Mazatlan, Culiacan, where the DEA also<br />
identifies the presence of groups operating in the area such as Beltran Leyva.<br />
According to the DEA, the map was completed in January this year and took six months to produce.<br />
Windfall<br />
According to Michele Leonhart, DEA policy expert, in 2011 drug trafficking<br />
organizations throughout the world had earnings of between 200 and 400 billion dollars, with<br />
profits coming from producing, transporting and selling drugs.<br />
"We're talking about an extremely profitable business, superior to human trafficking,<br />
arms trafficking and smuggling of diamonds, together," Leonhart explained in a statement<br />
sent to Ríodoce.<br />
The DEA administrator added, "what we are doing now is damage to criminal<br />
organizations in their financial systems as a way to deny resources to keep producing,<br />
acquiring, transporting and distributing such substances.".<br />
DEA's strategy includes impairing money laundering, and therefore have redoubled<br />
their efforts with the Department of the Treasury for the implementation of<br />
the Kingpin Act, and the projection is that the effort has produced favorable<br />
results.<br />
In this respect, a recent case is that of Juan Jose Esparragoza<br />
Moreno, Blu, including a portion of his family. They are included in the list of<br />
people persecuted by the U.S. Government Treasury.<br />
"There are organisms that suggest that legalization or regulating<br />
drugs will alleviate the problem, but common sense and history has taught<br />
us that this does not happen because then the criminals would focus its efforts and migrate to<br />
other equally illegal activity", stated Leonhart.<br />
Kingpin Act; zero results<br />
However, the U.S. government claims that freezing the assets of drug barons in the<br />
US and his citizens avoid establishing business relations with people identified as drug dealers is part of the solution to the<br />
problem, some feel otherwise.<br />
June S. Beittel, international affairs analyst at the Congressional Research Service, and author of the report on<br />
criminal organizations in Mexico, mentioned in her report that this law, is more than ten years subsequent to<br />
implementation, at this time has not yet yielded results.<br />
"That strategy worked very well to dismantle the cartels of Cali and Medellin in the nineties, but clearly has not been<br />
as successful here in Mexico," said Beittel.<br />
Other analysts agree that the strategy has created more Kingpin violence in the country, and that has caused the<br />
fragmentation of several organizations, and therefore the violence has spread.<br />
"When Calderon came to power there were four key cartels: the Tijuana, Sinaloa, Juarez and the Gulf. Now we see<br />
the Zetas, the Beltran Leyva, the Knights Templar, and it has influenced the strategy Kingpin, but the results are obvious,<br />
"said Beittel.<br />
The DEA maintains a close relationship with Mexican authorities in their fight to eradicate drug trafficking networks<br />
that exist in Sinaloa and the remainder of the country.<br />
The collaboration continues, not only as far as arrests are concerned, as we have collaborated in the arrest of<br />
several leaders of various organizations, but, for once have extradited several in our territory to be<br />
prosecuted to the full weight of the law, "said Leonhart.<br />
However the sentences of Benjamin Arellano Felix and Osiel Cardenas Guillen, far from<br />
signifying "the full weight of the law." Both were seized with a combined $ 150 million, and both were<br />
sentenced to 25 years in prison with the possibility of leaving in twelve years.<br />
"The United States, with the help of Mexico will succeed in its fight against drugs," he said<br />
Leonhart, but not dwell in the sentences above lords.<br />
According to Justice Department data, between 2010 and 2011, Mexico extradited 187 drug traffickers, including<br />
high-profile drug lords. http://www.borderlandbeat.com/2012/08/dea-reports-zetas-in-northern-and.html
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Comment/Analysis: One thing I have to bring up are the numerous books that have been written about the drug<br />
cartels in the last few months that become obsolete almost as soon as you get through reading them, except for the history<br />
about the cartels and how they got started. If you are interested in the history and the leadership as it was in the beginning<br />
then the books are fine because they do go into nice detail, however, if you want to keep track of the ever changing<br />
landscape because of the fluidity of the drug cartels you would be wise to save your money and rely on reports such as this<br />
from the DEA and others. Don’t forget though that at times these books do provide information that is used by DEA and<br />
others in their reporting, and don’t get me wrong, I am not knocking the books because they do bring information together<br />
into a neat little package and saves a lot of research hours.<br />
July 30, 2012, Ecuador Seizes Submarine, Speedboat, Airplane Belonging to ‘El Chapo’. The transnational criminal<br />
organization led by Joaquín “El Chapo” Guzmán has suffered a series of losses in Ecuador in recent months.<br />
In June, Ecuadorean authorities seized a submarine that was under construction, a light airplane, a speedboat and<br />
two tons of cocaine. The sea vessels, the airplane and the drugs probably belonged to El Chapo, said local security analyst<br />
Ricardo Camacho Zeas, who noted that El Chapo has been operating in Ecuador for years.<br />
“There is no doubt” the vessels were used in drug trafficking, he said, and that they “would be directly related to a<br />
Mexican drug cartel which would operate with Ecuadorean and Mexican nationals,” he noted — since it’s El Chapo’s pattern<br />
to form alliances with organized crime in whatever country outside Mexico he’s operating in.<br />
For example, in April, Ecuador’s National Police arrested El Chapo’s primary enforcer in the<br />
country, César Demar Vernaza Quiñonez, known as “The Entrepreneur.” He led a gang of criminal<br />
operatives known as “The Courageous.” The gang transported and guarded drug shipments for El<br />
Chapo that went through Ecuador, authorities said.<br />
El Chapo’s long list of activities<br />
The recent seizures of vessels, aircraft and cocaine all appear to be connected to El Chapo:<br />
• On June 24, Ecuador’s Coast Guard discovered a submarine hidden beneath mud and shrubs on an islet between<br />
the Verdes and Escalante islands, in the Gulf of Guayaquil. The sub was 15 meters long and four meters wide, with the<br />
capacity to haul up to 15 tons of drugs. The sub was under construction and was 70 percent complete, authorities said.<br />
• On June 23, the Ecuadorian Navy intercepted a speedboat 12 miles from the coast of Canoa, in Manabí province.<br />
The boat was powered by three outboard engines of 350-horsepower each and carried 2,000 gallons of fuel. The vessel,<br />
which left Chiapas on June 7, was equipped with modern communications equipment, a high-frequency transmitter and food<br />
for several days. Three Mexican nationals were detained.<br />
• On June 22, the Ecuadorian Navy found a ton of cocaine the rocks at San Clemente Beach, a few miles from<br />
where the speedboat was captured. The cocaine was probably supposed to be picked up by the men on the captured<br />
speedboat, authorities said.<br />
• On June 5, police found a light aircraft with a Mexican license plate abandoned inside a hangar in San Pablo, in<br />
the coastal province of Santa Elena. The aircraft was probably used for drug trafficking, authorities said.<br />
There have been other indications El Chapo is operating extensively in Ecuador. On May 13, a light plane crashed<br />
in Manabí. Authorities found $1.4 million in cash on the plane, which was from Mexico. The pilot and co-pilot, who both died<br />
in the crash, were from El Chapo’s stronghold of Sinaloa.<br />
Drug vessels popping up everywhere. In recent years, Ecuadorian<br />
authorities have discovered several seafaring vessels that were used for<br />
drug trafficking. In June 2010, authorities captured a speedboat in El<br />
Guabo, in the province of El Oro. The boat was going to be used to<br />
transport four tons of cocaine to Mexico. The following month, soldiers<br />
found a submarine in San Lorenzo, in Esmeraldas province, near the<br />
Colombian border. The fiberglass vessel was empty but operational.<br />
And in January 2012, a submarine was spotted in the Gulf of<br />
Guayaquil. It was sunk by its crew before Coast Guard boats could arrive to<br />
seize it; the Coast Guard helped rescue its crewmen.<br />
In 2011, Ecuador’s military warned that drug trafficking posed a threat to national security, pointing<br />
out that Mexico’s Sinaloa cartel and other transnational criminal groups operate in Ecuador because of its<br />
proximity to Colombia and other coca-producing countries. Ecuador is also considered a good location from<br />
which to ship large loads of drugs north toward Mexico and the United States, or northeast toward Europe.<br />
Both Mexico and the United States are cooperating in the battle against organized crime groups. The<br />
two countries share information about the operations of El Chapo and other violent cartels, such as Los
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Zetas, which is led by Heriberto Lazcano Lazcano, known as “The Executioner,” and the Gulf cartel, led by Jorge Eduardo<br />
Castillo Sanchez, known as “El Coss.”<br />
That kind of alliance is also crucial in the fight against organized crime groups in Ecuador and throughout Latin<br />
America, a security analyst said.<br />
“Regional cooperation can always be broadened so organized crime can be faced in a more efficient manner,” said<br />
Sonja Wolf of the National Autonomous University of Mexico. “Since it is a transnational threat, it is obvious that (nations)<br />
have to cooperate.” http://www.dialogo-americas.com/en_GB/articles/rmisa/features/regional_news/2012/07/30/ecuadorsubmarine<br />
Comment/Analysis: Chapo appears to be deeply drug-entrenched in Ecuador and this may be the right country to conduct<br />
an operation to capture him without embarrassing Mexico if in fact his presence is in Ecuador. There is also the possibility<br />
the U.S. may provide intelligence and other non direct support to help Ecuador with the capture but not take any credit for it<br />
as was the case with Pablo Escobar.<br />
July 31, 2012, The Routes and Methods of Peru's Cocaine Traffickers. In the fourth part of its series on drug<br />
trafficking in Peru, IDL-Reporteros looks at the methods used to move some 200 tons of cocaine a year out of the VRAE<br />
region, and maps out the routes employed by traffickers.<br />
The Apurimac and Ene River Valley (VRAE) is Peru's biggest drug-producing region -- about a third of the country's<br />
coca is cultivated there -- and much of its output is transported to Bolivia as less refined cocaine paste for processing. The<br />
Shining Path guerrilla group are active there, though the extent of their involvement with the cocaine trade is unclear. This<br />
report shows that although they play an important role, they are not the only players in the valley's cocaine business.<br />
Instead, the group is employed to protect cocaine shipments on the routes it controls. The trafficking clans of the<br />
VRAE hide their shipments in the bodies of trucks, some of which are chosen to blend in with the vehicles of the local<br />
mining and construction companies.<br />
The following is InSight Crime's translation of extracts from the fourth installment in IDL-Reporteros' series on<br />
Peru's drug trade, "The Cocaine Clans":<br />
A caravan of seven four-door pickup trucks leaves Kimbiri, in Cusco, headed for Desaguadero, in Puno. Hidden in<br />
the bodies of the vehicles is about half a ton of washed cocaine paste, which in the valley is worth about $400,000.<br />
Some of the drug is hidden in stashes inside the beds of the trucks, and some in the gas tanks, in plastic bottles.<br />
Each truck can carry a hidden load of up to 150 kilograms of drugs: 100 in the bed and 50 in the tank.<br />
Five of the seven trucks entered Cielo Punku in the morning, after passing through Lobo. Soon after, the drivers<br />
had to stop short in a blocked section of the road.<br />
Nine anti-drug agents, who were hiding behind a bush, surrounded the trucks and captured the drivers. While they<br />
searched the trucks, the two remaining vehicles that had been delayed got past the roadblock before they could be stopped.<br />
They were heading to Cusco.<br />
The agents followed the vehicles and stopped them in Cusco. It was April of 2010, and the Anti-Drug Squad<br />
(Dirandro) seized about half a ton of drugs in this operation.<br />
As sources familiar with the issue confirmed to IDL-Reporteros, more than 80 percent of the drugsthat leave the<br />
VRAE through Cusco go in pickup trucks, cargo trucks and transport vehicles. Double-cab pickup trucks, especially Toyota<br />
Hiluxes, make a good disguise because this is the type of vehicle used by mining and construction companies.<br />
Heavy cargo trucks are also in high demand. They transport an average of half a ton of drugs, hidden in stashes in<br />
the bed, in sacks or cases of fruits and vegetables, and groceries.<br />
Union Mantaro, Llochegua. A group of 20 backpackers or<br />
"cargachos" prepare their backpacks and supplies. Between them they<br />
will carry around 200 kilograms of washed cocaine paste.<br />
The "cargachos" had been recruited in Puerto Cocos and<br />
Puerto Ene, where drug trafficking trade fairs are held on weekends. In<br />
greatest supply are precursor chemicals, washed and simple cocaine<br />
paste, gasoline, and (one has to eat) groceries.<br />
The backpackers are used in the "ant trafficking" method, which<br />
is one of the most common and secure forms of taking drugs out of the<br />
valley. If the "cargachos" are ambushed or captured by the police, the<br />
loss is not great.<br />
But if an important shipment of drugs is going to be transported,<br />
more than a half a ton, some traffickers contract the services of the
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Shining Path's VRAE faction so they can take charge of the transport, using routes they control.<br />
As we also saw in the first installment: "The Shining Path<br />
and Drug Trafficking in the VRAE," the Quispe Palomino brothers<br />
charge between $50 and $60 per kilo, whether it is cocaine paste or<br />
hydrochloride.<br />
At four in the morning, while the "cargachos" were sleeping<br />
in two large rooms in a house in the center of Union Mantaro, a<br />
group of 30 police officers entered in silence and suprised them<br />
before they could wake up. They were caught in their underwear,<br />
with backpacks of cocaine close at hand.<br />
As often happens, the people of Union Mantaro tried to stop<br />
the arrest, but ultimately they could not do so.<br />
Since the operation, in 2008, there has not been any other<br />
such large capture of backpackers. The fact that a detention of such<br />
magnitude has not been repeated indicates the limitations of interdiction operations in the VRAE.<br />
But the methods are changing. According to well-placed sources, the shipment of drugs by cargachos has been<br />
reduced significantly, while the smuggling of drugs hidden in vehicles has increased in the valley.<br />
Through these routes -- in backpacks and stashes in the bodies of vehicles -- around 200 tons of cocaine is<br />
exported from the VRAE each year, the majority washed cocaine paste, and a smaller proportion cocaine hydrochloride.<br />
[See IDL-Reporteros' maps of the land and river routes for trafficking drugs out of the VRAE, below.]<br />
When it starts its journey to the consumer markets, cocaine in the VRAE (using quantities and prices from 2010) is<br />
worth about $200 million.<br />
This is a small sum compared to what the same amount of drugs, partially adulterated, would cost at its destination.<br />
But it is sufficient to mobilize the energies and the cunning of thousands of people who work in the drug trafficking chain in<br />
the VRAE, and to disrupt lives and corrupt people and institutions in the valley. http://www.insightcrime.org/insight-latestnews/item/2968-the-routes-and-methods-of-perus-cocaine-traffickers<br />
August 10, 2012, Mexico's Sinaloa Cartel Planned Expansion To Spain, Police Say. MADRID — Spanish police<br />
working with the FBI have halted an attempt by a major Mexican drug smuggling and distribution ring to establish a<br />
European operation, authorities said Friday. Four suspected Sinaloa cartel members, including an alleged cousin of the<br />
group's notorious leader, have been arrested in Madrid.<br />
The Interior Ministry said the cartel wanted to make Spain a gateway for operations in Europe, even carrying out<br />
test runs using shipping containers without drugs. But investigators managed to monitor many of the group's activities and<br />
intercepted a container carrying 373 kilos (822 pounds) of cocaine in late July before moving in to make the arrests.<br />
The ministry statement said Jesus Gutierrez Guzman, Rafael<br />
Humberto Celaya Valenzuela, Samuel Zazueta Valenzuela and Jesus<br />
Gonzalo Palazuelos Soto were arrested near their hotels in the Spanish<br />
capital. The statement did not say precisely when the arrests were made,<br />
and ministry officials reached by phone could not immediately give exact<br />
details of the dates.<br />
The investigation was initiated by the Boston unit of the FBI's Organized Crime Drug Enforcement Task Force in<br />
2009, said Greg Comcowich, a spokesman for the Boston FBI. Comcowich said the FBI later worked with the Spanish<br />
national police.<br />
Jesus Gutierrez Guzman is alleged to be the cousin of Joaquin Guzman, known as "El Chapo," the leader of the<br />
cartel and among the world's most wanted fugitives. Since escaping prison in 2001, Joaquin Guzman has run the Sinaloa<br />
cartel, one of Mexico's two most powerful drug-organizations, from a series of hideouts and safe houses across Mexico.<br />
Law-enforcement officials say he has earned billions of dollars moving tons of cocaine and other drugs north to the<br />
United States. In recent months, the Sinaloa cartel and its allies have been waging a brutal war against the paramilitary<br />
Zetas cartel across Mexico, often carrying out mass killings that have left hundreds of dismembered bodies dumped in<br />
public places.<br />
Along with the alleged link to the cartel leader, the arrests in Spain have attracted a great deal of media interest in<br />
Mexico because a Facebook page in Celaya Valenzuela's name appears to show a photograph of him alongside Enrique<br />
Pena Nieto, the man who won the July 1 presidential elections. The photo was posted on Feb. 11.<br />
Pena Nieto's Institutional Revolutionary Party, the PRI, appeared to acknowledge he was a member, as Celaya<br />
Valenzuela claimed, but said he had not participated in Pena Nieto's campaign.
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The PRI noted in a statement that "during his presidential campaign, Enrique Pena Nieto took hundreds of<br />
thousands of photos with party members and sympathizers, without that implying any commitment or close relationship."<br />
In early 2012, Celaya Valenzuela applied to be the party's candidate for a congressional seat in northern Sonora<br />
state. The PRI refused to allow his candidacy, arguing he did not have enough support among party members, according to<br />
court documents of an appeal he filed against that decision.<br />
The issue is a sensitive one, given that President Felipe Calderon has accused some members of the PRI of<br />
wanting to make deals with drug cartels in exchange for peace. Pena Nieto has hotly denied he will make any deals with the<br />
gangs.<br />
The operation against the Sinaloa cartel was made possible thanks to agents using "the most modern research<br />
techniques," which had at all times been supervised by judges and prosecutors, the Interior Ministry statement said. It noted<br />
that "the bulk" of the investigation was carried out in the United States.<br />
U.S. agents had learned that cartel members were planning to travel to Spain and were later able to confirm the trip,<br />
which took place in March 2011, the statement said. Thanks to the information provided by the FBI's Boston division,<br />
Spanish police located the suspects and monitored them closely "to ensure their full identification," the statement said.<br />
The statement said FBI investigators had determined that the gang intended to begin large cocaine shipments by<br />
sea with the drugs concealed in cargo containers. The cartel used stringent security measures to try to ensure the success<br />
of the operation and did several test runs, initially shipping containers without any drugs in them.<br />
When they sent a first drugs shipment to Spain on board a ship from Brazil in late July, officers intercepted it, the<br />
statement said.<br />
Comcowich declined to say how the investigation began or whether anyone from the area was involved in the<br />
cartel. The Boston division of the FBI covers Massachusetts, Maine, New Hampshire, Rhode Island and Vermont.<br />
"There was investigative activity in the United States, but at this time the details of that activity and how it was<br />
related to the Spanish arrests are not being released," Comcowich said.<br />
The arrest of Guzman's alleged cousin could potentially lead to information about the whereabouts of the fugitive<br />
Mexican drug lord. Investigators working to bust Sinaloa's operations thought in June that they had nabbed a son of Joaquin<br />
Guzman, but it turned out they got the wrong man. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/08/10/mexico-sinaloaspain_n_1765136.html<br />
Comment/Analysis: While the most modern research techniques are<br />
not being made known, one can assume that open source harvesting played a<br />
role in this operation because of the mentioned supervision by the judges and<br />
prosecutors. It appears the intention was to make sure no laws were being<br />
violated that would have the case thrown out of court. I’m wondering what type<br />
of open source tradecraft was employed in the operation.<br />
It was back in June when it was discovered that the drug cartels (no<br />
specific group) were joining forces with the Italian Mafia to supply cocaine to<br />
Europe (http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/news/2012/06/21/mexico-drug-cartelssupply-italian-mafia-with-cocaine-for-europe/<br />
). Assuming the Italian connection<br />
would meet the same fate as the Spanish connection then other areas the cartels could consider are the west-coast<br />
countries bordering the Adriatic Sea. These areas are known to be hubs for weapons, drugs and human trafficking.<br />
The Northern Border and Beyond<br />
January 20, 2012, A Strategy to Reduce Drug Trafficking along our Northern Border. Ecstasy and marijuana are<br />
common drug threats to the United States from Canada, and the United States remains the<br />
primary transit country for cocaine from South America entering into Canada. The National<br />
Northern Border Counternarcotics Strategy provides an overview of current counterdrug efforts<br />
and identifies supporting actions aimed at disrupting this two-way flow of illegal drugs.<br />
http://www.whitehouse.gov/blog/2012/01/20/strategy-reduce-drug-trafficking-along-ournorthern-border
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July 31, 2012, Drug Ring Moved Cocaine, Ecstasy Across Northern Border. U.S. and Canadian authorities said<br />
Monday that a smuggling ring used the remote northern border to move more than 1,000 kilograms of cocaine into Canada<br />
and 1.3 million tablets of the designer drug Ecstasy into the United States over more than two years.<br />
http://www.flatheadbeacon.com/articles/article/drug_ring_moved_cocaine_ecstasy_across_northern_border/29006<br />
Mexican Drug Cartel Investigations (Canadian Emphasis).<br />
Mexican Drug Trafficking Organizations are impacting every state in America. Recent intelligence has revealed that<br />
the Cartels trafficking large quantities of llegal narcotics into Canadian Provinces. This problem can no longer be viewed as<br />
a "U.S./Mexican Border <strong>Issue</strong>." The majority of the drugs distributed and consumed in North America originate in Mexico.<br />
The Cartel leaders have strategically formed relationships with Hispanic Street Gangs to distribute narcotics all over the<br />
world.<br />
The smuggling routes utilized by the Cartels do not stop once the drugs make it across the U.S./Mexican Border.<br />
That is simply the first step. It is important for Canadian law enforcement officers to understand that large shipments of<br />
narcotics entering the U.S. from Mexico are destined for Canada. Once the narcotics are distributed in Canada, currency is<br />
then smuggled across the U.S./Canadian Border headed for Mexico. The United States Border Patrol has reported record<br />
seizures of currency crossing the U.S./Canadian border in recent years. This is a direct result of the Mexican Drug Cartels<br />
strong presence in Canada. It is paramount that Canadian law enforcement officers need to learn to identify the methods<br />
used by the cartels to distribute drugs in their Provinces.<br />
In an effort to aggressively target drug trafficking organizations, Canadian law enforcement officers need to gain a<br />
better understanding of the true structure and operational components of the Cartels and how the Mexican Drug War<br />
impacts narcotic distribution across the world.<br />
The violence perpetrated by the Cartels has reached an unprecedented level in the United States. Kidnappings,<br />
home invasions, murders, and attacks on local law enforcement officers are occurring on a daily basis. The level of violence<br />
perpetrated by Mexican Drug Cartels was unheard of a few years ago. It's inevitable that this violence will continue to flow<br />
north into Canada in due time. Aggressive tactics will be presented to help to combat this violence.<br />
This course does not focus on statistical data or other information easily obtained through online searches<br />
regarding Mexican Drug Cartels. The information presented is based on the instructor's unique experience in conducting<br />
long-term undercover operations, wire tap intercepts, and debriefings of suspects directly linked to various Mexican Drug<br />
Cartels.<br />
This training course will teach Canadian law enforcement officers how to identify, target, infiltrate, and prosecute<br />
Mexican Drug Trafficking Organizations operating in their Provinces. All levels of Canadian Law Enforcement Officers will<br />
benefit from this training. Gaining a true understanding of the Mexican Drug Cartel Operations will lead to more arrests as<br />
well as larger seizures of drugs, currency, and assets. http://www.pletraining.com/courses/mexican-drug-cartelinvestigations-1/<br />
Comment/Analysis: This should be an indicator of how concerned Canadian law enforcement is about the drug<br />
cartels establishing a foothold north of the U.S/Canadian border.<br />
Could That Musca Domestica Be A Drone?<br />
July 13, 2012, Tiny 2-Foot Bomb Could Be ‘Months’ Away From Drone War. The drone war could be shrinking<br />
faster than anyone expected. Raytheon’s teeny, tiny drone bomb might be ready to arm a small drone within months, the<br />
defense giant says.<br />
Since 2009, Raytheon has been experimenting with what it understatedly calls a Small Tactical Munition. It’s a<br />
laser-guided bomb less than two feet long and barely a 10th the weight of the Hellfire missiles that the iconic Predators and<br />
Reapers pack. And the wait for it may be almost over: “We’re just tweaking the software and running some environmental<br />
tests,” a business manager for Raytheon’s missile division told AIN Online.<br />
That would open new worlds of possibility for the U.S. drone arsenal. There are a lot more small drones than there<br />
are Preds and Reapers. The small-fry robots are used as flying spies, since they’re too lightweight to arm — until now. The<br />
Small Tactical Munition is supposed to arm the Shadow, a drone that’s only 12 feet long. The U.S. fleet of killer drones
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Page 14 of 33<br />
would significantly increase. Alternatively, the existing, large killer drone fleet could carry far more weapons than they<br />
currently do.<br />
There are two ways to look at that development. The straightforward way is to consider it a kind of deadly Moore’s<br />
Law. That’s certainly commensurate with the miniaturization of killer drones, like the kamikaze mash-up of missile and robot<br />
called the Switchblade.<br />
A less intuitive interpretation, not mutually exclusive with the other one, is that a smaller drone war might not be a<br />
deadlier one. A smaller munition, with a smaller warhead, kills fewer people than a larger munition. That’s certainly how<br />
Raytheon sees it: “This is relevant to the strict rules of engagement,” said J.R. Smith from its missile shop.<br />
That’s probably cold comfort if the armed robot fleet expands from hundreds to thousands before a single new ‘bot is<br />
purchased. But not all drones are equal: The Shadow has a loiter time of about four hours aloft before it runs out of gas; a<br />
Predator can hover for the better part of a day. But having an armed Shadow to launch would be a big asset to a commando<br />
team in, say, East Africa. Smaller also means cheaper, and easier to deploy.<br />
Update, 7:10 a.m.: There’s some confusion about the Small Tactical Munition; Raytheon has alternatively characterized it as<br />
a missile and a bomb. But spokesman Dave Desilets sets the record straight: it’s a bomb. We’ve changed this post<br />
accordingly. http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2012/07/small-drone-missile-soon/<br />
Comment/Analysis: But wait a minute, why stop at this stage. Let’s go into further miniaturization to make it less<br />
messy and cut down on collateral damage when all we’re after is one individual. Go back to 1978 when Writer Georgi<br />
Markov became the most famous victim of the Cold War when he was assassinated on the Waterloo Bridge with an<br />
umbrella. The tip of the umbrella had been modified to hold a small 1.52mm platinum pellet with two small holes drilled<br />
through it. Inside the pellet was the poison ricin which is extracted from the castor bean. Do you see where I’m headed with<br />
this? http://www.murdermap.co.uk/pages/cases/case.asp?CID=490612156&VID=391&Case=Cold-War-Assassination:-The-<br />
Umbrella-Murder-of-Georgi-Markov Technology in the mini-UAV arena is moving at light speed and if I can think of<br />
something this sinister so can our leadership. Strict rules of engagement? Come on, now, who you kidding?<br />
August 2, 2012, Drone warfare: a new generation of deadly unmanned weapons. The electronic cavern is dark,<br />
save for the glow of consoles, and Lt Col Mike Weaver surveys his apprentice warriors with satisfaction as they project<br />
American might halfway around the world. One crew – two young men in flight suits seated before half a dozen screens –<br />
prepares to fire missiles from a remotely piloted aircraft (RPA) at a boatload of suspected insurgents in Afghanistan.<br />
Another crew circles a suspicious bulge by a roadside in Iraq and feeds co-ordinates to ground troops. Another tracks what<br />
appears to be a vehicle in Yemen.<br />
"There's not a lot of time for emotion here. There's a war going on and we have a job to do," says Weaver, a<br />
veteran F15 fighter pilot.<br />
The only sound is the whirr from multiple computers, their entrails exposed, and the occasional murmur from a pilot<br />
into an earpiece.<br />
"I've flown manned aircraft and believe me this, in terms of combat, is more up close and personal."<br />
Weaver is speaking from Holloman air force base in New Mexico, about 8,000 miles from the scenes depicted on<br />
the screens, but he and the crews embody not only the "war on terror" but the future of US military force.<br />
The missions, in fact, are simulations. The crews are students yet to earn their wings. But this vast base, covering<br />
24,000 hectares of scorched desert, is fast becoming a type of Top Gun academy for a new generation of airmen and<br />
women who operate not from cockpits but trailers wedged in the sand.<br />
A fleet of F-22 Raptors, state-of-the-art, manned fighter jets, are to be moved to another base to let Holloman focus<br />
on training crews for unmanned MQ-1 Predators and MQ-9 Reapers – drones, in common parlance.<br />
The base has rapidly expanded and accelerated training to meet booming Pentagon demand. This year it will<br />
graduate 360 crews, products of a new, drone-specialised syllabus that has halved the year-long period to train<br />
conventional fighter pilots. A crew comprises a pilot, a sensory operator and, in some cases, a mission co-ordinator. Around<br />
95% stay in the US.<br />
"We're getting the best and brightest," says Major Jason, 35, an instructor pilot who, like several colleagues,<br />
withheld his surname for security reasons. "There's a bright future for RPAs so we're getting motivated, sharp guys."<br />
Also known as unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), not so long ago they were scorned by many in the military. "It<br />
wasn't the sexy thing to be seated in a ground control station. But we're changing a lot of minds," says Captain Chad, 29,<br />
another instructor. "People are seeing our capabilities and what we're doing."<br />
What the burgeoning RPA fleet is doing, above all, is enabling the Obama administration's tracking and lethal<br />
targeting of Islamist radicals in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Somalia and Yemen, a campaign estimated to have killed at least<br />
2,000 people.
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Page 15 of 33<br />
To critics including the former president Jimmy Carter, legal scholars and human rights groups, the strikes are<br />
extrajudicial executions that violate nations' sovereignty, stain US moral standing and fuel extremism.<br />
Such critics may consider it apt that Holloman straddles the Jornada del Muerto – Journey of the Dead Man – the<br />
macabre Spanish name for the perilous, water-less shortcut through the wilderness once used by Billy the Kid. Situated on<br />
a high desert plain, the base bakes by day, shivers by night and witnesses spectacular lightning storms. It has evocative<br />
neighbours. To the east, Roswell, which the conspiratorially minded already associate with human-less aircraft; to the west,<br />
Truth or Consequences, a town named after a 1950s radio quiz show.<br />
At a time of cutbacks, Barack Obama has set aside around $5bn for Predators and Reapers, signalling their<br />
growing importance and ubiquity as a policy instrument. The air force has struggled to supply enough crews for the<br />
multiplying hardware.<br />
Hence Holloman's transition to running a dedicated RPA-only training programme that supplements military<br />
instructors with civilian contractors such as Keith Vraa, a retired air force lieutenant colonel, nicknamed Hoo, who runs<br />
simulations at the 16th training squadron.<br />
"So many pilots are on operations there aren't always enough left to instruct. We're here to fill the gap."<br />
The course strips away the need for mastering cockpits and G-forces. Instead, trainees, after basic flight training,<br />
plunge straight into nuances such as multi-spectral targeting systems that integrate infrared sensors, enhanced TV cameras<br />
and laser designators and illuminators into single packages.<br />
They learn that a Predator's relatively slow cruising speed – 84mph – is an advantage while "loitering" over targets.<br />
And that the much faster and larger Reaper, armed with Paveway II and GBU-38 joint direct attack munitions in addition to<br />
Hellfire missiles, "provides a unique capability to autonomously execute the kill chain against high-value, fleeting, and timesensitive<br />
targets".<br />
They train in simulators inside windowless, one-storey buildings as well as ground control stations, camouflagepainted<br />
trailers from which they control real RPAs over New Mexico's skies.<br />
An increasing number of students are teenagers straight from high school. Others are veteran flyers of fighters,<br />
bombers and cargo planes who have been reassigned or are here by choice because of the dwindling number of available<br />
cockpits. "F16 pilots used to say they were coming from a Ferrari to a Ford Festiva but you hear less of that now," says<br />
Chris, a sensory operator instructor.<br />
"A lot of the higher-up ranks are here because they know this is the future. And who wouldn't want to be at the<br />
forefront of that?" He indicated a Predator on a runway.<br />
Instructors are keen to correct two misconceptions. They are not all good at video games. And it is incorrect to call<br />
the aircraft drones – the word makes teeth grind – because they are at all times controlled by humans. Crews prefer the<br />
term RPA to UAV because "unmanned" diminishes their input.<br />
All agree that RPAs are vital to protecting the US. Many say their primary task is protecting comrades by sharing<br />
real-time information about boobytraps or hidden gunmen, or preventing attacks by disrupting terror networks.<br />
Doing so can require greater skill than being in a cockpit, they say, because they must multitask and hold multiple<br />
conversations through different media, in some cases while senior officers, intelligence analysts and military lawyers peer<br />
over their shoulders. They must stay focused for long stretches of surveillance, when not much happens, and be ready for<br />
sudden engagements.<br />
"It's real. Sometimes you can hear gunfire and stress in the voice of the guys on the ground. There's no video game<br />
in the world that makes the difference between life and death," says Chad, the pilot, who used to fly missions from Creech<br />
air force base outside Las Vegas.<br />
"On the drive home I would decompress. Listen to music, take a deep breath, compartmentalise so I could make the<br />
transition to husband, father, family man."<br />
A certain defensiveness mingles with the pride. Asked about accusations that<br />
drone strikes are extrajudicial executions, or assassinations, Weaver stiffens.<br />
"That's for the politicians to consider. We follow the orders of our civilian leaders."<br />
All bristle at any suggestion that waging war by remote control requires<br />
less bravery than traditional combat.<br />
"There are different types of courage," says Jon, a lieutenant colonel,<br />
standing in an officers' bar adorned with a replica medieval suit of armour, a framed<br />
tomahawk and oil paintings of John Wayne and Clint Eastwood. "Ours requires moral<br />
courage. We take moral and legal risks. If I pull the trigger and I'm wrong I have to live with the<br />
consequences." http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/aug/02/drone-warfare-unmanned-weapons
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Page 16 of 33<br />
August 16, 2012, Police chiefs adopt drone code of conduct. The nation’s police chiefs have adopted a code of<br />
conduct for their use of drones, including letting any images captured by unmanned aerial vehicles, or UAVs, be open to<br />
inspection by the public, and that the images not be stored unless they are evidence of a crime or part of an ongoing<br />
investigation.<br />
The chiefs also said that if they plan to fly drones over an area where they are likely to spot criminal activity and<br />
where they would be intruding on someone’s “reasonable expectations of privacy,” they should seek to get a search warrant<br />
first.<br />
In their three-page document, the chiefs said they are aware of privacy issues that have arisen with the prospect of<br />
an explosion in both governmental and private use of drone technology.<br />
“Privacy concerns are an issue that must be dealt with effectively if a law enforcement agency expects the public to<br />
support the use of UAV by their police,” the chiefs said.<br />
The Association for Unmanned Vehicle Systems International, the industry trade group, applauded the new rules,<br />
saying they struck a good balance.<br />
Here are the eight operational rules the chiefs recommended:<br />
1. UAV operations require a Certificate of Authorization (CAO) from the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). A<br />
law enforcement agency contemplating the use of UAV should contact the FAA early in the planning process to determine<br />
the requirements for obtaining a COA.<br />
2. UAVs will only be operated by personnel, both pilots and crew members, who have been trained and certified in<br />
the operation of the system. All agency personnel with UAV responsibilities, including command officers, will be provided<br />
training in the policies and procedures governing their use.<br />
3. All flights will be approved by a supervisor and must be for a legitimate public safety mission, training, or<br />
demonstration purposes.<br />
4. All flights will be documented on a form designed for that purpose and all flight time shall be accounted for on the<br />
form. The reason for the flight and name of the supervisor approving will also be documented.<br />
5. An authorized supervisor/administrator will audit flight documentation at regular intervals. The results of the audit<br />
will be documented. Any changes to the flight time counter will be documented.<br />
6. Unauthorized use of a UAV will result in strict accountability.<br />
7. Except for those instances where officer safety could be jeopardized, the agency should consider using a<br />
“Reverse 911” telephone system to alert those living and working in the vicinity of aircraft operations (if such a system is<br />
available). If such a system is not available, the use of patrol car public address systems should be considered. This will not<br />
only provide a level of safety should the aircraft make an uncontrolled landing, but citizens may also be able to assist with<br />
the incident.<br />
8. Where there are specific and articulable grounds to believe that the UA will collect evidence of criminal<br />
wrongdoing and if the UAV will intrude upon reasonable expectations of privacy, the agency will secure a search warrant<br />
prior to conducting the flight.<br />
<strong>OSINT</strong> Syria<br />
The Director of National Intelligence’s Open Source Center produced a report in June 2012 to help representatives<br />
of the U.S. government communicate with the Syrian people more effectively and better analyze<br />
their motivations. The report, part of the Master Narratives series produced in conjunction with a<br />
private consulting firm called Monitor 360 and other “partners across the U.S. government”, is<br />
focused on “surfacing and articulating master narratives across a range of important geographies.<br />
These insights can be used to better understand critical audience segments and key influencers,<br />
build analytic capabilities, and develop actionable messaging and counter-messaging strategies.”<br />
https://publicintelligence.net/u-s-governments-guide-to-the-syrian-people/<br />
Related links:<br />
https://publicintelligence.net/syrian-rebelfree-syrian-army-photos/<br />
https://publicintelligence.net/osc-syrian-uprising-may-2012/<br />
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/sy.html<br />
Understanding the Situation in Syria<br />
http://www.meforum.org/3288/syria-minorities<br />
Syrian Armed Forces<br />
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Syrian_Armed_Forces
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 17 of 33<br />
Equipment of the Syrian Army<br />
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Equipment_of_the_Syrian_Army<br />
Syria Military Strength<br />
http://www.globalfirepower.com/country-military-strength-detail.asp?country_id=Syria<br />
Comparison of Syria and USA<br />
http://www.globalfirepower.com/countries-comparison-detail.asp<br />
Comment/Analysis: With so much going on in Syria perhaps a background is in order. To download a copy of the<br />
country report on Syria click on the image or follow the first active link above. Reports like this play a very active role in open<br />
source intelligence. A simple comment or photo may trigger a thought in some analyst’s mind that can lead to a safe<br />
operation like humanitarian assistance, noncombatant evacuations, or even military involvement.<br />
The photos in the related links above show the type of weapons that are being employed which is good intelligence<br />
for our military in case of involvement. The more we know about the weapon systems the more effectively we can engage<br />
the enemy. If the effective range of a particular weapon, as an example, is 2000 meters we certainly wouldn’t want to get<br />
into that range. We would use a weapon with a range greater than 2000 meters to negate the opposition. In my way of<br />
thinking wars/fights were never meant to be fought fair. If he pulls a knife then you pull a gun; if he pulls a gun then you pull<br />
a howitzer; and if he pulls a tank then you pull an A-10. Problem solved! I remember a fight I had in junior high because of<br />
bullying. I was getting beaten up pretty bad until I pulled a Mike Tyson. Problem solved!<br />
There are also several rumors, I repeat rumors, about SOF teams from the US, UK, France, Jordan, and Turkey<br />
already on the ground focused on reconnaissance missions and training opposition forces. They have supposedly been<br />
there since December 2011. Source: http://www.military.com/news/article/leaked-memo-says-us-sof-in-syria.html<br />
<strong>OSINT</strong> Kurdistan<br />
Kurdistan: The Next Flashpoint Between Turkey, Iraq, and the Syrian Revolt. In the<br />
wake of the steady disintegration of the Assad regime, Syrian opposition activists reported<br />
that several towns, such as Amouda and Qabani in Syria’s Kurdish northeast, had passed in<br />
mid-July 2012 without a fight into the local hands of a group called the Free Kurdish Army.<br />
Thus emerged for the first time in modern Kurdish history the nucleus of an<br />
exclusively Kurdish-controlled enclave bordering the predominantly Kurdish<br />
areas of Turkey. After largely sitting on the sidelines of the Syrian revolution,<br />
political groups from Syria’s Kurdish minority in the northeastern region appear<br />
to have moved decisively to claim control of the Kurdish-populated towns. http://jcpa.org/article/the-future-of-kurdistanbetween-turkey-the-iraq-war-and-the-syrian-revolt/<br />
http://jcpa.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/Kurdistan-Neriah.pdf<br />
Related links:<br />
The Kurds (Iraqi Kurdistan)<br />
http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/subjects/k/kurds/index.html<br />
Who Are the Kurds?<br />
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/inatl/daily/feb99/kurdprofile.htm<br />
<strong>OSINT</strong> Mongolia<br />
DefenseNews. August 6, 2012, West Eyes Strengthened Ties with Mongolia.<br />
Mongolia continues its rapid ascent in the strategic playbook of the United States.
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 18 of 33<br />
In July, during a visit to Mongolia, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton praised Ulan Bator as a model democracy<br />
in a region flush with kleptocratic regimes. Clinton lauded Mongolia’s development, noting that the Central Asian country’s<br />
progress bolsters the case to “dispel the myth that democracy is a Westernvalue.”<br />
Clinton also used pointed language aimed at China, claiming that prosperity was interlinked with a free democratic<br />
system and the promotion of human rights.<br />
Mongolia presents the U.S. with a unique geopolitical opportunity to manage the renaissance of Chinese primacy in<br />
Central Asia. Mongolia’s history and geography bind it to China and Russia, and this makes it an essential strategic partner<br />
for those wanting to hedge against the influence of either or both.<br />
Mongolia’s eastern border with China is less than 1,000 kilometers from North Korea, which makes it an intriguing<br />
partner on security and defense issues with the U.S., Japan and South Korea.<br />
According to Jane’s Information Group, Mongolia has no aspiration — or capacity — to develop a strategic weapon<br />
system, but this cannot be entirely dismissed if developments surrounding North Korea’s latent nuclear weapon program<br />
take a drastic turn.<br />
Ulan Bator has long been part of Washington’s strategic calculus in Central Asia and its importance has been<br />
magnified by the war in Afghanistan. More than 100 members of the Mongolian Armed Forces are serving in Afghanistan as<br />
part of the International Security Assistance Force. Mongolian troops have helped to train the Afghan National Army in<br />
mobile field artillery techniques and continue to provide security at Kabul International airport.<br />
Mongolia also committed troops to the NATO mission in Kosovo from 2005 to 2007 and contributed peacekeepers<br />
to South Sudan last year. NATO has commended Mongolia’s enhanced role overseas and indicated that it shows<br />
“Mongolia’s intent and capability to contribute to international security.”<br />
These deployments also built on the U.S. goodwill Mongolia secured through its troop contributions to the Iraq War,<br />
which prompted visits by then-U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and then-President George W. Bush, the first<br />
sitting U.S. president to visit the nation. With this bolstered strategic relationship, Mongolia hopes to improve its<br />
interoperability with Western militaries and enhance its capacity in counterterrorism, cybersecurity and peacekeeping.<br />
Ulan Bator’s cooperation with NATO was formalized this year when it signed an Individual Partnership and<br />
Cooperation Programme, which is expected to focus on building up Mongolia’s military capacity, as well as improving<br />
interoperability with NATO troops.<br />
In a statement, NATO applauded the announcement and said it “attaches great importance to [its] partnership with<br />
Mongolia.” The program is symbolically important because it is the first official partnership approved since NATO amended<br />
its policies on external partnerships in 2011.<br />
But it’s not just the United States that has been paying attention to Mongolia. Shortly after the first Khaan Quest<br />
exercise in 2004, senior party officials in China began pushing for increased engagement with their northern neighbor on<br />
security and defense issues. The two countries meet annually for China-Mongolia Defence Consultations, aimed at<br />
promoting regional defense and bilateral defense cooperation.<br />
In June, the leaders of Mongolia and China met in Beijing on the sidelines of the 12th Heads of State summit for the<br />
Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO). Chinese President Hu Jintao stressed the relationship, noting, “Mongolia and<br />
China should continue deepening mutual trust and grasp the overall direction of the ties from a strategic height and a longterm<br />
angle.”<br />
Mongolia has observer status in the SCO, which continues to provide Ulan Bator with a convenient avenue to<br />
pursue its short- and medium-term strategic goals in the region — improving its market share and attracting foreign<br />
investment.<br />
Mongolia also plays host to an annual gathering of militaries for Khaan Quest, which is broad in scope (China and<br />
India are invited) but narrow in intent (essentially another mechanism for military cooperation with the U.S.).<br />
What is the end game? The U.S. views Mongolia through an integrated lens balancing its economic interests with<br />
strategic concerns. As the world’s fastest-growing economy (GDP growth at 17.3 percent in 2011), Mongolia is an appealing<br />
target for foreign investors in sectors such as mining, nuclear power and technology. For Washington, though, security still<br />
trumps in Mongolia. The U.S. continues to view Mongolia as a credible partner in an uncertain area filled with truculent<br />
neighbors.<br />
With the wide array of defense concerns around the Asia-Pacific region, it will be important for the U.S. to maintain<br />
attention to its bilateral relationship with Mongolia. The Pentagon should continue supporting Khaan Quest and enhance<br />
country-to-country military exercises and training.<br />
Furthermore, Washington should take advantage of Mongolia’s unprecedented partnership with NATO to further<br />
integrate Ulan Bator into its security architecture in Central Asia. The time for Mongolia is now.<br />
http://www.defensenews.com/article/20120805/DEFFEAT05/308050003/West-Eyes-Strengthened-Ties-<br />
Mongolia?odyssey=nav|head
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 19 of 33<br />
Comment/Analysis: Another reason for the interest in Mongolia may be the rare earth metals. Today, almost 97%<br />
of the world’s rare earth supply comes from China, and China in 2011 introduced export quotas causing prices to soar<br />
almost sevenfold. Japan has already reached out to Mongolia for their supply and the U.S. will more than likely do so if in<br />
fact it already hasn’t. China will soon realize that the rare earth minerals are not so rare after all; there are 4 large deposits<br />
of rare earth elements in Mongolia known to date. The largest of these is the Mushgia Khudag deposit, located in the<br />
Umnugobi province. It is estimated to hold around 200 million tons of rare earth oxide ore with an average grade of 1.5%,<br />
which is comparable in size to the Bayan-Obo deposit in Inner Mongolia (source:<br />
http://english.esdalanzurgaa.mn/2011/07/29/rare-earth-elements-not-so-rare-especially-in-mongolia/ ).<br />
May 21, 2012<br />
Mongolia, the land of Genghis Khan and nomadic herders, is in the midst of a remarkable transition. Rich in coal,<br />
gold and copper, this country of fewer than 3 million people in Central Asia is riding a mineral boom that is expected to more<br />
than double its GDP within a decade. The rapid changes simultaneously excite and unnerve many Mongolians, who hope<br />
mining can help pull many out of poverty, but worry it will ravage the environment and further erode the nation's distinctive,<br />
nomadic identity.<br />
What country had the world's fastest-growing economy last year?<br />
If you guessed China or India, you'd be wrong.<br />
In fact, it's Mongolia: Its economy grew at more than 17 percent in 2011, according to estimates. That's nearly twice<br />
as fast as China's.<br />
The reason — in a word — is mining.<br />
Mongolia is rich in copper, coal and gold, and it's in the midst of a mineral boom. This marks a profound change for<br />
a country where two out of every five people make their living herding livestock. Extractive industry has become so<br />
pervasive, some Mongolians now refer to their homeland as "Minegolia."<br />
For the poor, landlocked nation of fewer than 3 million people, mining represents a remarkable opportunity, but one<br />
that's also loaded with risks.<br />
Doubling GDP In A Decade<br />
Much of the focus these days is on Oyu Tolgoi, a mega-mine in Mongolia's South Gobi province, about 50 miles<br />
north of the Chinese border.<br />
The mine — owned by international mining giant Rio Tinto, Canada's Ivanhoe Mines and the Mongolian government<br />
— is scheduled to produce its first copper ore in June and grow dramatically over the next five years.<br />
Cameron McCrae, Oyu Tolgoi's Australian chief executive, estimates that the mine will be the world's third-largest<br />
copper and gold mine.<br />
The mine is playing a substantial economic role even before it is operational, McCrae notes.<br />
"At the moment, during construction, we probably make up 30 percent of the GDP of the country," he says.<br />
Tuvshintugs Batdelger, who runs an economic think tank at the National University of Mongolia, says mining is<br />
helping to drive the economy of this Central Asian nation at an incredible pace.<br />
"In the coming 10 years, average GDP growth will be 12 percent," he says. Even when you factor in inflation, "GDP<br />
in real terms more than doubles in 10 years' time."<br />
Opportunity In The Gobi<br />
Mining's impacts are visible throughout much of Mongolia, which is wedged between China and Russia and is<br />
nearly the size of Alaska. Hummers roll past the Louis Vuitton store and columned Soviet facades in Ulan Bator, the capital.<br />
Thousands of young Mongolians have moved to the middle of the Gobi to work at Oyu Tolgoi, which means "Turquoise Hill"<br />
in Mongolian, a name that's derived from the color copper turns when exposed to oxygen.<br />
The mining camp, a mix of prefab housing and gers, or yurts, feels like a cross between a boomtown and a college<br />
fraternity.<br />
The Mongolian workers are mostly in their 20s. At a recent birthday celebration, they sing Mongolian pop songs at<br />
the camp bar.<br />
Solongo Namjil is a self-described country girl from the Mongolian steppe. The 22-year-old came to Oyu Tolgoi six<br />
months ago to work as a clerk and sees the mine as a crucial opportunity for her country.<br />
"Every Mongolian here is doing their best for this project, which is enormous to Mongolia's future," she says<br />
between sips of beer. "We all understand the significance of the project. We do hope that every Mongolian can benefit."<br />
But Solongo — Mongolians go by their first names — worries about mining's broader impact, particularly in South<br />
Gobi province, and on the thousands of herders who live there. Many are struggling with water-supply issues, and the mines<br />
need huge amounts to operate.<br />
"I'm really concerned about that," she says, "that there won't be enough water for our children and children's<br />
children."
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Avoiding 'Dutch Disease'<br />
Building an economy on minerals presents other problems as well. For one thing, the economy becomes dependent<br />
on commodity prices that fluctuate. When the price of copper crashed in late 2008 during the global financial crisis,<br />
Mongolia's government had to call in the International Monetary Fund for help.<br />
When prices for natural resources are high, they can cause other problems and strangle important domestic<br />
industries. Heavy demand drives up the value of a country's currency, which makes its exports more expensive and harder<br />
to sell.<br />
Rogier van den Brink of the World Bank says that's what happened after the Netherlands discovered huge natural<br />
gas reserves in late 1959. The syndrome became known as "Dutch Disease." Van den Brink, who is Dutch himself,<br />
remembers the damage.<br />
"As a boy growing up in Holland, the impact of this was very stark to me," he says. "Sectors of the economy that we<br />
long had pride in, like the shipbuilding industry, we had to close them down."<br />
Today, van den Brink is the World Bank's lead economist in the East Asia and Pacific region. He has worked closely<br />
with the Mongolian government to enact a law to enforce government savings and control spending and borrowing so it<br />
might avoid what happened in the Netherlands.<br />
Threat To Traditional Industry<br />
Landlocked Mongolia doesn't build ships, but it has other businesses that the mining boom could hurt. The Gobi<br />
cashmere company in Ulan Bator is already feeling the side effects. The firm turns raw cashmere from Mongolian goats into<br />
sweaters, jackets and shawls, and exports them to more than 40 countries.<br />
Mongolia's new mineral wealth drove inflation to more than 12 percent last year, forcing Gobi to raise workers'<br />
wages by one-third. Naranbaatar Davva, the company's 30-year-old chief operating officer, says raw material prices are up,<br />
too.<br />
"Three years ago, we used to buy 3 kilograms of raw cashmere for $20," he says. "Today, this figure is $60."<br />
Higher prices are good for Mongolian herders, but they cut into Gobi's profits. Naranbaatar says a special<br />
government policy is also undermining herders' incentive to work. This year — an election year — the government is giving<br />
citizens up to $770 each in one-time cash payments. It's essentially a mining dividend and, for many Mongolians, a lot of<br />
money.<br />
"Livestock herding is almost a 16-hour-a-day job. It's a hard job, so you don't see many young herders anymore," he<br />
says. "Plus, the government gives out free cash."<br />
Naranbaatar says mining brings many benefits to Mongolia. He just hopes people don't lose sight of an old, reliable<br />
industry like his.<br />
"Mining resources are not renewable. Depending on the reserves, it may last 20, 50 or 100 years," he says. "If we<br />
use the right policies and preserve our nomadic herding traditions, many people will be employed in the Mongolian<br />
cashmere industry for hundreds and thousands of years."<br />
Question Of Distributing The Wealth<br />
Back at the bar at Oyu Tolgoi, it's closing time. Workers pour outside and continue to drink beneath street lights.<br />
Many Mongolians worry that mineral companies and politicians will be the greatest beneficiaries of the mining<br />
boom. Solongo, the clerk, hopes some of her nation's new riches are used to improve the hard lives many Mongolians face.<br />
"There is lots of poverty in Mongolia, almost 40 percent, which is unbelievable with this natural resource," she says.<br />
"We should find the right way to distribute the benefit of this resource to everyone. They deserve it."<br />
https://www.npr.org/2012/05/21/152683549/mineral-rich-mongolia-rapidly-becoming-minegolia<br />
Comment/Analysis: Think the Chinese are concerned about all the activity, especially with the U.S. reaching out<br />
cultivating an economic friendship. The Russians must be going nuts.<br />
Drug Smuggling Methods<br />
July 31, 2012, Advanced drug smuggling methods. It’s not a problem to make a jacket or a suit out of cocaine with<br />
the development of the chemical industry and the fantasy of drug barons who, according to Interpol, are getting more and<br />
more profits. It seems that the transportation of heavy drugs in briquettes from Latin America is an outdated technology.
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A new technology makes it possible to make a product from cocaine for any department of a supermarket, including<br />
paper, clothes or plastic. The culprits have learned to process cocaine powder so that it cannot be detected and hide it in<br />
the most secret corners of a postal parcel and large consignments of food.<br />
The development of technology has presented new possibilities. Consequently, at present, cocaine can be turned<br />
into any product, say paper, oil, adhesive, sealants, alcohol or plastic. These products are transported in large<br />
consignments or in parcels by mail to leading companies which are simply unable to check each and every parcel to find<br />
whether it contains drugs or not. The more successful the efforts made by anti-drug services, the better the fantasy of the<br />
adventurous culprits, says fellow at the Institute of World Economics and International Relations, Igor Khokhlov in an<br />
interview with the Voice of Russia.<br />
“The paradox in the fight against drug trafficking and drug sale is that the more effective the fight against drug<br />
trafficking by special services, the more advantageous becomes this business. Russian special service is one of the most<br />
effective, if not the most effective service in fighting drug trafficking. This is the real situation. It’s very difficult to buy drugs in<br />
rich and big cities in Russia. It is very dangerous, and it’s difficult to find suppliers because police regularly arrest them. In<br />
these circumstances, the price of drugs is consistently growing. As a result, the conclusion is that the more effective the<br />
fight against drug business by law enforcement agencies, the more the income of the drug business,” Igor Khokhlov said.<br />
Drug barons invest some of their income from the illegal business in storing and transporting drugs. This money is<br />
sufficient to buy, for example, submarines to store a consignment of cocaine, Igor Khokhlov said.<br />
“Several years ago, two submarines that were used to transport cocaine to the U.S. were discovered in Colombia.<br />
In short, drug curtails in Latin America have large sums of money. Their task is to promote drugs on the new markets such<br />
as South-East Asia, China, Russia and European countries. In short, they are targeting countries with large populations,<br />
where there is a potential market of rich young people. In these circumstances, the invention of new and unusual methods<br />
of transportation of cocaine is natural,” Igor Khokhlov added.<br />
Cocaine is the oldest and the most dangerous drug. In the middle of the 19th century, physicians and public figures<br />
actively advertised it and even included in courses of treatments and popular soft drinks. Mankind understood the<br />
destructive effect of coca leaves in the early 20th century. Afterwards, the drug was officially banned. Cocaine addicts<br />
belong to the medium or high class because it is an expensive drug and every next dose should be increased. Experts<br />
agree that fighting against drugs should be started from the other end of the link by treating drug addicted people and by<br />
intercepting their interest in drugs before its possible appearance. This should be carried out while fighting against drug<br />
business, of course. In fact, no matter that drug barons use advanced technology for their revival, law is one for all, and they<br />
are severely punished for violating it. In short, the Nobel Prize will not be awarded for inventing a cocaine suit, but jail terms<br />
including life sentence are guaranteed. http://english.ruvr.ru/2012_07_31/Advanced-drug-smuggling-methods/<br />
August 1, 2012, Surge in Cocaine Mail Trafficking Triggers Concerns. Growing online trade has encouraged drug<br />
traffickers to increasingly use mail services to deliver cocaine to their customers, a top Russian police official in charge of<br />
fighting drug trafficking said.<br />
“According to the latest information from Interpol, there is a trend towards a stable growth in cocaine deliveries<br />
using mail services,” Sergei Tikhonenko told RIA Novosti in an interview.<br />
The number of such cases has increased “hundredfold, if not thousandfold" over the past few years, and drug<br />
traffickers have benefitted from the fact that it is impossible to check each package or letter, he said.<br />
In particular, dealers have been actively using international mailing services such as DHL, FedEX, TNT Express<br />
and UPS to deliver drugs to their customers.<br />
“This is an enormous headache for the entire world,” Tikhonenko said.<br />
Russian drug control officials have actively cooperated with their foreign colleagues in fighting the growing trend, he<br />
said.<br />
“There are several centers of international mail exchange where correspondence is accumulated before being sent<br />
to its intended country,” he said, adding that all correspondence sent to Russia from Latin America and Asia first goes to<br />
Frankfurt, Germany, where it undergoes checks.<br />
“The Germans work very systematically not only with correspondence intended for their domestic market, but also<br />
with all mail that is transited through Germany,” Tikhonenko said. “They often discover cocaine in dispatches with doses<br />
sometimes up to a dozen kilograms.”<br />
Drug dealers have also been increasingly making use of modern chemical technologies to increase the safety of<br />
cocaine deliveries, the official said.<br />
“Progress achieved in the chemical industry allows making anything you want from cocaine: paper, clothes, plastic,<br />
and even imitation leather fabrics… you can also dilute cocaine with any liquid: oil, glue, caulk, or alcoholic drinks,” he said.
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There was a case when drug dealers diluted a kilogram of cocaine with a bottle of whisky - "its weight changed, but<br />
the volume [of liquid] remained the same," he added.<br />
Delivering Latin American cocaine to Russia in bricks is already considered “primitive,” Tikhonenko said.<br />
“There were cases when drug dealers hid large doses of cocaine in ore cargoes, in frozen fish, fruit puree and<br />
concentrates…[they used] huge 200-liter barrels full of vacuum packs which cannot be inspected using the equipment that<br />
we possess,” he added.<br />
Some 2.5 million Russians are addicted to drugs, according to government statistics, and 90 percent of them use<br />
heroin, which is trafficked from Afghanistan via former Soviet Central Asian republics. Russians consume some 70 tons of<br />
Afghan heroin annually.<br />
Cocaine is less widespread in Russia, with three to five tons of the drug originating from South America being<br />
consumed in the country every year, according to the Russian Federal Drug Control Service.<br />
About 30,000-40,000 Russians die annually from drug-related instances, compared to some 200,000 such deaths<br />
worldwide, according to UN estimates. http://en.rian.ru/crime/20120730/174855647.html<br />
How Is Drug Money Laundered?<br />
March 15, 2012, How does money laundering work, and what is being done about it?<br />
Drug funds have allegedly financed hotels, car dealerships, bus companies, airlines,<br />
casinos, beauty salons, skyscrapers and restaurants, as well as the lavish lifestyles of<br />
individual cartel members who acquire gold jewelry, expensive cars, vehicles, yachts and<br />
planes.<br />
“Trade-based laundering” is on the rise. Drug cartels are reported to be<br />
increasingly using regular cross-border trade to launder their ill-gotten gains. Profits from the<br />
sale of drugs in the USA and elsewhere are used to purchase truckloads of goods such as fruit, toys and fabric, which are<br />
then sent south to Mexico to be sold for pesos. This cross-border trade effectively changes US dollars into pesos with few<br />
questions being asked.<br />
In a variation on the theme, the dollars are used to buy things such as toys or fabric from a third country such as<br />
China. The goods are then exported to Mexico and resold. The net effect is the same: dollars become pesos, ready to help<br />
pay for the next shipments of drugs. Trade-based laundering is hidden in the massive regular trade-flows between Mexico<br />
and the USA which total almost 400 billion dollars a year. Authorities always seem to be one step behind the cartels, partly<br />
because, as this LA Times article points out, cartel bosses are “among the world’s most expert transnational<br />
entrepreneurs”. Indeed, the sheer scale of the drug money flows threatens to overwhelm Mexico’s police and security<br />
forces.<br />
Drug money is being transferred via a variety of means, from cash transfers (formal or informal) and deposits in<br />
bank accounts to the purchase of goods and services (including pirated merchandise).<br />
How can money laundering be reduced?<br />
In recent years, Mexican authorities have focused more attention on chasing the money involved in the drugs<br />
trade. Government officials claim that more than $50 billion in drugs money is laundered each year, more than the value of<br />
Mexico’s oil exports and equivalent to 3% of GDP. Mexico’s laws are barely keeping up with the ingenuity of money<br />
launderers, and convictions for money-laundering are rare.<br />
What has Mexico done to try and prevent money laundering? There are now strict limits on the use of US dollars in<br />
Mexico, and on cash deposits into bank accounts. The latest tightening of the rules extends the reporting of higher value US<br />
dollar transactions to all real estate offices, car dealerships, betting parlors, art galleries and public notaries. Any purchases<br />
using cash for items such as vehicles costing over about $14,000, and for real estate over about $70,000 are now<br />
automatically reported to federal authorities.<br />
As Mexico tightens its accountancy rules, drug gangs may have to keep more of their funds in the USA or go<br />
elsewhere. Mexico is becoming a much less friendly place for the drug cartels’ informal<br />
“retirement funds”. http://geo-mexico.com/?p=6009<br />
How Money Laundering Works. In October 2005, U.S. congressman Tom<br />
DeLay was indicted on money laundering charges, forcing him to step down as House<br />
Majority Leader. Money laundering is a serious charge -- in 2001, U.S. prosecutors
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obtained almost 900 money-laundering convictions with an average prison sentence of six years. The rise of global financial<br />
markets makes money laundering easier than ever -- countries with bank-secrecy laws are directly connected to countries<br />
with bank-reporting laws, making it possible to anonymously deposit "dirty" money in one country and then have it<br />
transferred to any other country for use.<br />
Money laundering happens in almost every country in the world, and a single scheme typically involves transferring<br />
money through several countries in order to obscure its origins. In this article, we'll learn exactly what money laundering is<br />
and why it's necessary, who launders money and how they do it and what steps the authorities are taking to try to foil<br />
money-laundering operations.<br />
Money laundering, at its simplest, is the act of making money that comes from Source A look like it comes from<br />
Source B. In practice, criminals are trying to disguise the origins of money obtained through illegal activities so it looks like it<br />
was obtained from legal sources. Otherwise, they can't use the money because it would connect them to the criminal<br />
activity, and law-enforcement officials would seize it.<br />
The most common types of criminals who need to launder money are drug traffickers, embezzlers, corrupt<br />
politicians and public officials, mobsters, terrorists and con artists. Drug traffickers are in serious need of good laundering<br />
systems because they deal almost exclusively in cash, which causes all sorts of logistics problems. Not only does cash<br />
draw the attention of law-enforcement officials, but it's also really heavy. Cocaine that's worth $1 million on the street weighs<br />
about 44 pounds (20 kg), while a stash of U.S. dollars worth $1 million weighs about 256 pounds (116 kg).<br />
The basic money laundering process has three steps:<br />
Placement - At this stage, the launderer inserts the dirty money into a legitimate financial institution. This is often in<br />
the form of cash bank deposits. This is the riskiest stage of the laundering process because large amounts of cash are<br />
pretty conspicuous, and banks are required to report high-value transactions.<br />
Layering - Layering involves sending the money through various financial transactions to change its form and make<br />
it difficult to follow. Layering may consist of several bank-to-bank transfers, wire transfers between different accounts in<br />
different names in different countries, making deposits and withdrawals to continually vary the amount of money in the<br />
accounts, changing the money's currency, and purchasing high-value items (boats, houses, cars, diamonds) to change the<br />
form of the money. This is the most complex step in any laundering scheme, and it's all about making the original dirty<br />
money as hard to trace as possible.<br />
Integration - At the integration stage, the money re-enters the mainstream economy in legitimate-looking form -- it<br />
appears to come from a legal transaction. This may involve a final bank transfer into the account of a local business in<br />
which the launderer is "investing" in exchange for a cut of the profits, the sale of a yacht bought during the layering stage or<br />
the purchase of a $10 million screwdriver from a company owned by the launderer. At this point, the criminal can use the<br />
money without getting caught. It's very difficult to catch a launderer during the integration stage if there is no documentation<br />
during the previous stages.<br />
Money laundering is a crucial step in the success of drug trafficking and terrorist activities, not to mention white<br />
collar crime, and there are countless organizations trying to get a handle on the problem. In the United States, the<br />
Department of Justice, the State Department, the Federal Bureau of Investigation, the Internal Revenue Service and the<br />
Drug Enforcement Agency all have divisions investigating money laundering and the underlying financial structures that<br />
make it work. State and local police also investigate cases that fall under their jurisdiction. Because global financial systems<br />
play a major role in most high-level laundering schemes, the international community is fighting money laundering through<br />
various means, including the Financial Action Task Force on Money Laundering (FATF), which as of 2005 has 33 member<br />
states and organizations. The United Nations, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund also have anti-moneylaundering<br />
divisions.<br />
Money-laundering Methods. In 1996, Harvard-educated economist Franklin Jurado went to prison for cleaning $36<br />
million for Colombian drug lord Jose Santacruz-Londono. People with a whole lot of dirty money typically hire financial<br />
experts to handle the laundering process. It's complex by necessity: The whole idea is to make it impossible for authorities<br />
to trace the dirty money while it's cleaned.<br />
There are lots of money-laundering techniques that authorities know about and probably countless others that have<br />
yet to be uncovered. Here are some of the more popular ones:<br />
Black Market Colombian Peso Exchange This system, which the DEA calls the "largest drug money-laundering<br />
mechanism in the Western Hemisphere" [ref], came to light in the 1990s. A Colombian official sat down with people in the<br />
U.S. Treasury Department to discuss the problem of U.S. goods being illegally imported into Colombia using the black<br />
market. When they considered the issue alongside the drug-money-laundering problem, U.S. and Columbian officials put<br />
two and two together and discovered that the same mechanism was achieving both ends. This complex setup relies on the<br />
fact that there are businesspeople in Colombia -- typically importers of international goods -- who need U.S. dollars in order<br />
to conduct business. To avoid the Colombian government's taxes on the money exchange from pesos to dollars and the<br />
tariffs on imported goods, these businessmen can go to black market "peso brokers" who charge a lower fee to conduct the
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transaction outside of government intervention. That's the illegal importing side of the scheme. The money-laundering side<br />
goes like this: A drug trafficker turns over dirty U.S. dollars to a peso broker in Colombia. The peso broker then uses those<br />
drug dollars to purchase goods in the United States for Colombian importers. When the importers receive those goods<br />
(below government radar) and sell them for pesos in Colombia, they pay back the peso broker from the proceeds. The peso<br />
broker then gives the drug trafficker the equivalent in pesos (minus a commission) of the original, dirty U.S. dollars that<br />
began the process.<br />
Structuring deposits Also known as smurfing, this method entails breaking up large amounts of money into smaller,<br />
less-suspicious amounts. In the United States, this smaller amount has to be below $10,000 -- the dollar amount at which<br />
U.S. banks have to report the transaction to the government. The money is then deposited into one or more bank accounts<br />
either by multiple people (smurfs) or by a single person over an extended period of time.<br />
Overseas banks Money launderers often send money through various "offshore accounts" in countries that have<br />
bank secrecy laws, meaning that for all intents and purposes, these countries allow anonymous banking. A complex<br />
scheme can involve hundreds of bank transfers to and from offshore banks. According to the International Monetary Fund,<br />
"major offshore centers" include the Bahamas, Bahrain, the Cayman Islands, Hong Kong, Antilles, Panama and Singapore.<br />
Underground/alternative banking Some countries in Asia have well-established, legal alternative banking systems<br />
that allow for undocumented deposits, withdrawals and transfers. These are trust-based systems, often with ancient roots,<br />
that leave no paper trail and operate outside of government control. This includes the hawala system in Pakistan and India<br />
and the fie chen system in China.<br />
Shell companies These are fake companies that exist for no other reason than to launder money. They take in dirty<br />
money as "payment" for supposed goods or services but actually provide no goods or services; they simply create the<br />
appearance of legitimate transactions through fake invoices and balance sheets.<br />
Investing in legitimate businesses Launderers sometimes place dirty money in otherwise legitimate businesses to<br />
clean it. They may use large businesses like brokerage firms or casinos that deal in so much money it's easy for the dirty<br />
stuff to blend in, or they may use small, cash-intensive businesses like bars, car washes, strip clubs or check-cashing<br />
stores. These businesses may be "front companies" that actually do provide a good or service but whose real purpose is to<br />
clean the launderer's money. This method typically works in one of two ways: The launderer can combine his dirty money<br />
with the company's clean revenues -- in this case, the company reports higher revenues from its legitimate business than<br />
it's really earning; or the launderer can simply hide his dirty money in the company's legitimate bank accounts in the hopes<br />
that authorities won't compare the bank balance to the company's financial statements.<br />
Most money-laundering schemes involve some combination of these methods, although the Black Market Peso<br />
Exchange is pretty much a one-stop-shopping system once someone smuggles the cash to the peso broker. The variety of<br />
tools available to launderers makes this a difficult crime to stop, but authorities do catch the bad guys every now and then.<br />
In the next section, we'll take a look at two busted money-laundering operations.<br />
White-collar laundering: Eddie Antar. In the 1980s, Eddie Antar, the owner of Crazy Eddie's Electronics, skimmed<br />
millions of dollars from the company to hide it from the IRS. That was the original plan, anyway, but he and his coconspirators<br />
eventually decided they could make better use of the money if they sent it back to the company disguised as<br />
revenue. This would inflate the company's reported assets in preparation for its IPO. In a series of trips to Israel, Antar<br />
carried millions of dollars strapped to his body and in his suitcase. Here's a basic recounting of how the scheme worked:<br />
Placement: Antar made a series of separate deposits to a bank in Israel. On one trip, he made 12 deposits in a<br />
single day. Layering: Before U.S. or Israeli authorities had a chance to notice the suddenly huge balance in the account,<br />
Antar had the Israeli bank wire transfer everything to Panama, where bank secrecy laws are in effect. From that account,<br />
Antar could make anonymous transfers to various offshore accounts. Integration: Antar then slowly wired the money from<br />
those accounts to the legitimate Crazy Eddie's Electronics bank account, where the money got mixed in with legitimate<br />
dollars and documented as revenue.<br />
Overall, Crazy Eddie laundered more than $8 million. His scheme boosted the initial offering stock price so that the<br />
company ended up worth $40 million more than it would have been without the added revenue. Antar sold his stock and left<br />
with $30 million in profit. Authorities found him in Israel in 1992, and Israel extradited him to the United States to stand trial.<br />
He received an eight-year prison sentence.<br />
Drug-money laundering: Franklin Jurado<br />
In the late 1980s and early '90s, Harvard-educated economist Franklin Jurado ran an operation to launder money<br />
for Colombian drug lord Jose Santacruz-Londono. His was a very complex scheme. In its simplest form, the operation went<br />
something like this:<br />
Placement: Jurado deposited cash from U.S. drug sales in Panama bank accounts. Layering: He then transferred<br />
the money from Panama to more than 100 bank accounts in 68 banks in nine countries in Europe, always in transactions<br />
under $10,000 to avoid suspicion. The bank accounts were in made-up names and names of Santacruz-Londono's<br />
mistresses and family members. Jurado then set up shell companies in Europe in order to document the money as
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legitimate income. Integration: The plan was to send the money to Colombia, where Santacruz-Londono would use it to fund<br />
his numerous legitimate business there. But Jurado got caught.<br />
In total, Jurado funneled $36 million in drug money through legitimate financial institutions. Jurado's scheme came<br />
to light when a Monaco bank collapsed, and a subsequent audit revealed numerous accounts that could be traced back to<br />
Jurado. At the same time, Jurado's neighbor in Luxembourg filed a noise complaint because Jurado had a money-counting<br />
machine running all night. Local authorities investigated, and a Luxembourg court ultimately found him guilty of money<br />
laundering. When he'd finished serving his time in Luxembourg, a U.S. court found him guilty, too, and sentenced him to<br />
seven-and-a-half years in prison.<br />
When authorities are able to interrupt a laundering scheme, it can pay off tremendously, leading to arrests, dirty<br />
money and property seizures and sometimes the dismantling of a criminal operation. However, most money-laundering<br />
schemes go unnoticed, and large operations have serious effects on social and economic health.<br />
The Effects of Money Laundering. Depending on which international agency you ask, criminals launder anywhere<br />
between $500 billion and $1 trillion worldwide every year. The global effect is staggering in social, economic and security<br />
terms.<br />
On the socio-cultural end of the spectrum, successfully laundering money means that criminal activity actually does<br />
pay off. This success encourages criminals to continue their illicit schemes because they get to spend the profit with no<br />
repercussions. This means more fraud, more corporate embezzling (which means more workers losing their pensions when<br />
the corporation collapses), more drugs on the streets, more drug-related crime, law-enforcement resources stretched<br />
beyond their means and a general loss of morale on the part of legitimate business people who don't break the law and<br />
don't make nearly the profits that the criminals do.<br />
The economic effects are on a broader scale. Developing countries often bear the brunt of modern money<br />
laundering because the governments are still in the process of establishing regulations for their newly privatized financial<br />
sectors. This makes them a prime target. In the 1990s, numerous banks in the developing Baltic states ended up with huge,<br />
widely rumored deposits of dirty money. Bank patrons proceeded to withdraw their own clean money for fear of losing it if<br />
the banks came under investigation and lost their insurance. The banks collapsed as a result. Other major issues facing the<br />
world's economies include errors in economic policy resulting from artificially inflated financial sectors. Massive influxes of<br />
dirty cash into particular areas of the economy that are desirable to money launderers create false demand, and officials act<br />
on this new demand by adjusting economic policy. When the laundering process reaches a certain point or if lawenforcement<br />
officials start to show interest, all of that money that will suddenly disappear without any predictable economic<br />
cause, and that financial sector falls apart.<br />
Some problems on a more local scale relate to taxation and small-business competition. Laundered money is<br />
usually untaxed, meaning the rest of us ultimately have to make up the loss in tax revenue. Also, legitimate small<br />
businesses can't compete with money-laundering front businesses that can afford to sell a product for cheaper because<br />
their primary purpose is to clean money, not turn a profit. They have so much cash coming in that they might even sell a<br />
product or service below cost.<br />
The majority of global investigations focus on two prime money-laundering industries: Drug trafficking and terrorist<br />
organizations. The effect of successfully cleaning drug money is clear: More drugs, more crime, more violence. The<br />
connection between money laundering and terrorism may be a bit more complex, but it plays a crucial role in the<br />
sustainability of terrorist organizations. Most people who financially support terrorist organizations do not simply write a<br />
personal check and hand it over to a member of the terrorist group. They send the money in roundabout ways that allow<br />
them to fund terrorism while maintaining anonymity. And on the other end, terrorists do not use credit cards and checks to<br />
purchase the weapons, plane tickets and civilian assistance they need to carry out a plot. They launder the money so<br />
authorities can't trace it back to them and foil their planned attack. Interrupting the laundering process can cut off funding<br />
and resources to terrorist groups.<br />
So the next question is: What are authorities doing to prevent money laundering?<br />
Fighting Money Laundering<br />
It's a daunting task to trace the origins of any deposit when there are about 700,000 global wire transfers occurring<br />
every day [ref]. Which is the dirty money and which is the clean stuff? Within the United States, there are two primary<br />
methods employed by the government to detect and combat money laundering: legislation and law enforcement.<br />
The United States addresses the crime of money laundering in countless legislative acts. Here are just a few of<br />
them:<br />
The Bank Secrecy Act (1970) basically eliminates all anonymous banking in the United States. It gives the Treasury<br />
Department the ability to force banks to keep records that make it easier to spot a laundering operation. This includes<br />
reporting all single transactions above $10,000 and multiple transactions totaling more than $10,000 to or from a single<br />
account in one day. A banker who consistently violates this rule can serve up to 10 years in prison.
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The 1986 Money Laundering Control Act makes money laundering a crime in itself instead of just an element of<br />
another crime, and the 1994 Money Laundering Suppression Act orders banks to establish their own money-laundering task<br />
forces to weed out suspicious activity in their institutions. The 2001 U.S. Patriot Act sets up mandatory identity checks for<br />
U.S. bank patrons and provides resources toward tracking transactions in the underground/alternative banking systems<br />
frequented by terrorist money handlers. For a more complete list of U.S. anti-money-laundering legislation, see FDIC: Bank<br />
Secrecy Act and Anti-Money Laundering.<br />
In addition to legislation intended to detect a money-laundering operation, undercover stings are also a component<br />
of the fight. The DEA's Operation Juno, which ended in 1999, is a prime example. The DEA out of Atlanta conducted a sting<br />
operation that involved providing resources to drug traffickers to launder money. The undercover DEA agents made deals<br />
with the traffickers to turn drug money from dollars to pesos using the Colombian Black Market Peso Exchange. The<br />
operation ended with 40 arrests and the seizure of $10 million in drug proceeds and 3,600 kilograms of cocaine.<br />
Despite these victories, the truth is that no individual nation has the power to stop money laundering -- if one<br />
country is hostile to laundering, criminals simply look elsewhere for a place to clean their money. <strong>Global</strong> cooperation is<br />
essential. The most prominent international organization in this respect is probably the Financial Action Task Force (FATF),<br />
which has 33 member states and international organizations on its roster list as of 2005. The FATF issued the "40<br />
Recommendations" for banks (there are actually 49 now, but the moniker hasn't changed) that have become the antimoney-laundering<br />
standard. These recommendations include:<br />
Identify and do background checks on depositors.<br />
Report all suspicious activity. (For example, if a background check revealed that depositor A works in a steel<br />
factory, and he typically deposits $2,000 every two weeks, a series of 10 $9,000 deposits over the course of two weeks<br />
should raise a red flag.)<br />
Build an internal taskforce to identify laundering clues.<br />
The "recommendations" are really more like rules than friendly tips. The FATF keeps a list of "uncooperative<br />
countries" -- those who have not enacted the recommendations. The FATF encourages its member states not to deal with<br />
those countries in financial matters.<br />
Other global organizations fighting money laundering include the United Nations, the International Monetary Fund,<br />
the World Bank, and smaller groups like the Caribbean FATF and the Asia/Pacific Group on Money Laundering.<br />
While increased worldwide efforts are making a small dent in the money-laundering industry, the problem is huge,<br />
and the money launderers are winning overall. Countries with bank-secrecy rules, which arguably have legitimate benefits<br />
to the honest depositor, make it extremely hard to track money once it's transferred overseas. Still, the FATF's<br />
uncooperative list has gone from 15 countries in 2000 to two countries (Myanmar and Nigeria) in 2005. By most accounts,<br />
this is a significant sign of progress. Only increased global awareness and cooperation can curb the success of the moneylaundering<br />
industry. http://money.howstuffworks.com/money-laundering.htm/printable<br />
Comment/Analysis: This article is very lengthy but it does explain in great detail how money laundering takes place. It has<br />
also been around a while but it still has utility. My interest in it grew from the fact that drug trafficking brings in enormous<br />
amounts of cash and I knew that you just don’t simply walk across the border (although some do try it) with pockets full of<br />
money. For more information, yes, there’s more, see https://www.unodc.org/unodc/en/moneylaundering/index.html?ref=menuside<br />
(UNODC on money-laundering and countering the financing of terrorism)<br />
Terrorism<br />
August 1, 2012, The ‘lone wolf’ terrorist. A mounting global threat is of terrorists who act as “lone<br />
wolves”. Locating and preventing such terrorist activity is more complicated than organizational terror<br />
threats. A new study conducted by Prof. Gabriel Weimann of the University of Haifa, reveals that<br />
these “lone wolves” are not in fact so isolated and belong to virtual terrorist communities on the<br />
Internet. “We may be able to better prevent ‘lone wolf’ terrorist attacks by following the radicalization<br />
of opinions being expressed online and by tracking the enlistment and training processes that are<br />
happening in that sphere,” noted Prof. Weimann.In recent years the number of “lone wolf” terrorists has<br />
been on the rise. They act alone, influenced by radical ideologies, and are not members of any organization or<br />
subjects of any organizational hierarchy, making it particularly difficult and almost impossible to locate them before they
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carry out attacks. Making it even more difficult to locate such individuals is the fact that they do not belong to any specific<br />
sector of the population and could in fact be “the guy next door”. According to Prof. Weimann, intelligence organizations are<br />
aware that much of the terrorist activity is shifting from the known terrorist organizations to “lone wolf” activity, and even<br />
President of the United States Barack Obama commented in 2011 that this type of attack has become the most likely to<br />
cause harm in the Western world.<br />
In his new study, Prof. Weimann shows that these wolves are probably not so ‘lonely’. As part of a long-term study<br />
that he launched over ten years ago, Prof. Weimann has been surveying encoded and public international terror<br />
organization websites, as well as sites supporting these organizations, forums, video clips, and whatever information there<br />
is on the net relating to global terrorism. According to Prof. Weimann, most of the “lonely wolves” make contact, share<br />
information, and acquire training through the Internet, whether from sites that are linked with terror organizations, from<br />
forums supporting such organizations, or from other platforms. In addition to this sort of “regular” activity on the web, social<br />
networks provide these individuals with their virtual wolfpack: a virtual community of people who think like them, who share<br />
their ideals, and with whom they can consult and share advice. “The virtual community gives the ‘lone wolf’ social<br />
environment, support, and moral encouragement,” Prof. Weimann notes.<br />
The researcher presents a number of examples of such terrorists who supposedly acted alone. It was revealed that<br />
American officer Nidal Hasan, who shot and killed thirteen American soldiers, had communicated with a known terrorist<br />
through the Internet. Arif Uka, a young Bosnian who shot and killed American soldiers in Frankfurt, was a Facebook friend<br />
of various known Islamist radicals.<br />
Another known example is the Internet activity that followed Mohamed Merah’s attack killing four Jews in Toulouse a<br />
number of months ago. Monitoring the web, Prof. Weimann has observed that immediately after Merah was killed in a police<br />
siege, members of Jihadist online forums began praising Merah’s act and encouraged additional acts like it. A Facebook<br />
page praising the killings was promptly created and by the time it was closed down with the involvement of the French<br />
government, 500 Facebook users had joined it. According to Prof. Weimann, it is these types of forums and activity that<br />
must be monitored to locate and identify the next “lone wolf”.<br />
“Enlistment, confidence building, explanations as well as social support for the ‘lone wolves’ are all becoming<br />
available on the Internet. These sites can be monitored. Depending on how deeply the law will get involved in this sort of<br />
Internet activity is what will determine the time it takes to sound the alarm on an individualist’s intended act of terror. Clearly,<br />
undercover agents will be able to penetrate the terrorists’ social networks by becoming more familiar with this sort of<br />
activity,” concludes Prof. Weimann. http://newmedia-eng.haifa.ac.il/?p=5941<br />
Comment/Analysis: According to the FBI there are thousands of lone wolves across America. They almost always<br />
leave behind signals about what they intend to do but spotting a lone wolf before they strike is highly unlikely. Their<br />
clandestine activities are difficult to detect, increasing the challenge for law enforcement interdiction efforts. One other<br />
problem that has to be addressed is that of our returning Soldiers/Marines/Sailors/Airmen from war zones. Like it or not we<br />
have to face the fact that some of them may not be in the best of mental health upon their return and we have to be there to<br />
help them adjust. Our health providers/counselors need to identify those individuals that may be prone to hurting<br />
themselves or others. As much as I hate to say it, there may be a lone wolf in the group. Let’s help them before they do<br />
harm.<br />
Country Reports on Terrorism 2011.U.S. law requires the Secretary of State to provide<br />
Congress, by April 30 of each year, a full and complete report on terrorism with regard to those<br />
countries and groups meeting criteria set forth in the legislation. This annual report is entitled Country<br />
Reports on Terrorism. Beginning with the report for 2004, it replaced the previously published<br />
Patterns of <strong>Global</strong> Terrorism. http://www.state.gov/j/ct/rls/crt/2011/index.htm<br />
Periodic Table of Terrorist Organizations [infographic] using groups designated by the United States Department of<br />
State. Drawing on other data we have added several associated characteristics, including geographic location, approximate<br />
level of attacks (total), approximate size of organization by members, status of activity, and the age of the group.<br />
Printable.pdf version at http://navantigroup.com/sites/navantigroup.com/files/resources/2012-<br />
03/NAVANTI_INFOGRAPHIC_1-3_0.pdf
The Stans<br />
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August 1, 2012, Uzbekistan Refrains from Joining Military Blocs – Foreign Policy Strategy. Uzbekistan’s lower<br />
house of Parliament on Wednesday passed President Islam Karimov's new foreign policy strategy, which rules out<br />
Tashkent’s membership in any military alliances and bans foreign military bases on Uzbek territory, Central Asian Fergana<br />
News Agency reported.<br />
Uzbekistan, which didn’t have a specific foreign policy document until recently, rejects any membership in military<br />
alliances and “reserves its right to quit an interstate coalition if it turns into a military alliance,” Fergana quoted the foreign<br />
policy strategy as saying.<br />
According to the document, Uzbekistan would not host foreign military bases on its territory, a fact that would<br />
alleviate the concerns Russia has had over Tashkent’s possible cooperation with NATO ever since Uzbekistan suspended<br />
membership in the Russia-led Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) in late June.<br />
On June 29, Tashkent announced it would suspend its membership in the CSTO, a move Moscow perceived as an<br />
attempt to clear the way for military cooperation with the United States.<br />
The Uzbek foreign policy strategy also states that the country will not participate in any military campaigns abroad,<br />
according to Fergana news.<br />
The document will be sent to the country’s upper house of Parliament, the Senate, where it is expected to be<br />
reviewed by the end of August. http://en.ria.ru/world/20120801/174905989.html<br />
Comment/Analysis: In my last newsletter I mentioned that any U.S. basing in Uzbekistan was sure to inflame President<br />
Putin, not to mention China. My guess is that Putin paid a visit to President Karimov.
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Russia<br />
August 14, 2012, Silent Running. Russian attack submarine sailed in Gulf of Mexico<br />
undetected for weeks, U.S. officials say.<br />
A Russian nuclear-powered attack submarine armed with long-range cruise<br />
missiles operated undetected in the Gulf of Mexico for several weeks and its travel in<br />
strategic U.S. waters was only confirmed after it left the region, the Washington Free<br />
Beacon has learned.<br />
It is only the second time since 2009 that a Russian attack submarine has patrolled<br />
so close to U.S. shores.<br />
The stealth underwater incursion in the Gulf took place at the same time Russian strategic bombers made<br />
incursions into restricted U.S. airspace near Alaska and California in June and July, and highlights a growing military<br />
assertiveness by Moscow.<br />
The submarine patrol also exposed what U.S. officials said were deficiencies in U.S. anti-submarine warfare<br />
capabilities—forces that are facing cuts under the Obama administration’s plan to reduce defense spending by $487 billion<br />
over the next 10 years.<br />
The Navy is in charge of detecting submarines, especially those that sail near U.S. nuclear missile submarines, and<br />
uses undersea sensors and satellites to locate and track them.<br />
The fact that the Akula was not detected in the Gulf is cause for concern, U.S. officials said.<br />
The officials who are familiar with reports of the submarine patrol in the Gulf of Mexico said the vessel was a<br />
nuclear-powered Akula-class attack submarine, one of Russia’s quietest submarines.<br />
A Navy spokeswoman declined to comment.<br />
One official said the Akula operated without being detected for a month.<br />
“The Akula was built for one reason and one reason only: To kill U.S. Navy ballistic missile submarines and their<br />
crews,” said a second U.S. official.<br />
“It’s a very stealthy boat so it can sneak around and avoid detection and hope to get past any protective screen a<br />
boomer might have in place,” the official said, referring to the Navy nickname for strategic missile submarines.<br />
The U.S. Navy operates a strategic nuclear submarine base at Kings Bay, Georgia. The base is homeport to eight<br />
missile-firing submarines, six of them equipped with nuclear-tipped missiles, and two armed with conventional warhead<br />
missiles.<br />
“Sending a nuclear-propelled submarine into the Gulf of Mexico-Caribbean region is another manifestation of<br />
President Putin demonstrating that Russia is still a player on the world’s political-military stage,” said naval analyst and<br />
submarine warfare specialist Norman Polmar.<br />
“Like the recent deployment of a task force led by a nuclear cruiser into the Caribbean, the Russian Navy provides<br />
him with a means of ‘showing the flag’ that is not possible with Russian air and ground forces,” Polmar said in an email.<br />
The last time an Akula submarine was known to be close to U.S. shores was 2009, when two Akulas were spotted<br />
patrolling off the east coast of the United States.<br />
Those submarine patrols raised concerns at the time about a new Russian military assertiveness toward the United<br />
States, according to the New York Times, which first reported the 2009 Akula submarine activity.<br />
The latest submarine incursion in the Gulf further highlights the failure of the Obama administration’s “reset” policy<br />
of conciliatory actions designed to develop closer ties with Moscow.<br />
Instead of closer ties, Russia under President Vladimir Putin, an ex-KGB intelligence officer who has said he wants<br />
to restore elements of Russia’s Soviet communist past, has adopted growing hardline policies against the United States.<br />
Of the submarine activity, Sen. John Cornyn (R., Texas), member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, said,<br />
“It’s a confounding situation arising from a lack of leadership in our dealings with Moscow. While the president is touting our<br />
supposed ‘reset’ in relations with Russia, Vladimir Putin is actively working against American interests, whether it’s in Syria<br />
or here in our own backyard.”<br />
The Navy is facing sharp cuts in forces needed to detect and counter such submarine activity.<br />
The Obama administration’s defense budget proposal in February cut $1.3 billion from Navy shipbuilding projects,<br />
which will result in scrapping plans to build 16 new warships through 2017.<br />
The budget also called for cutting plans to buy 10 advanced P-8 anti-submarine warfare jets needed for submarine<br />
detection.
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In June, Russian strategic nuclear bombers and support aircraft conducted a large-scale nuclear bomber exercise<br />
in the arctic. The exercise included simulated strikes on “enemy” strategic sites that defense officials say likely included<br />
notional attacks on U.S. missile defenses in Alaska.<br />
Under the terms of the 2010 New START arms accord, such exercises require 14-day advanced notice of strategic<br />
bomber drills, and notification after the drills end. No such notification was given.<br />
A second, alarming air incursion took place July 4 on the West Coast when a Bear H strategic bomber flew into U.S.<br />
airspace near California and was met by U.S. interceptor jets.<br />
That incursion was said to have been a bomber incursion that has not been seen since before the Soviet Union<br />
collapsed in 1991.<br />
It could not be learned whether the submarine in the Gulf of Mexico was an Akula 1 type submarine or a more<br />
advanced Akula 2.<br />
It is also not known why the submarine conducted the operation. Theories among U.S. analysts include the notion<br />
that submarine incursion was designed to further signal Russian displeasure at U.S. and NATO plans to deploy missile<br />
defenses in Europe.<br />
Russia’s chief of the general staff, Gen. Nikolai Makarov, said in May that Russian forces would consider<br />
preemptive attacks on U.S. and allied missile defenses in Europe, and claimed the defenses are destabilizing in a crisis.<br />
Makarov met with Army Gen. Martin Dempsey, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, in July. Dempsey questioned<br />
him about the Russian strategic bomber flights near U.S. territory.<br />
The voyage of the submarine also could be part of Russian efforts to export the Akula.<br />
Russia delivered one of its Akula-2 submarines to India in 2009. The submarine is distinctive for its large tail fin.<br />
Brazil’s O Estado de Sao Paoli reported Aug. 2 that Russia plans to sell Venezuela up to 11 new submarines,<br />
including one Akula.<br />
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said Moscow’s military is working to set up naval replenishment facilities in<br />
Vietnam and Cuba, but denied there were plans to base naval forces in those states.<br />
Asked if Russia planned a naval base in Cuba, Lavrov said July 28: “We are not speaking of any bases. The<br />
Russian navy ships serve exercise cruises and training in the same regions. To harbor, resupply, and enable the crew to<br />
rest are absolutely natural needs. We have spoken of such opportunities with our Cuban friends.” The comment was posted<br />
in the Russian Foreign Ministry website.<br />
Russian warships and support vessels were sent to Venezuela in 2008 to take part in naval exercises in a show of<br />
Russian support for the leftist regime of Hugo Chavez. The ships also stopped in Cuba.<br />
Russian Deputy Premier Dmitri Rogozin announced in February that Russia was<br />
working on a plan to build 10 new attack submarines and 10 new missile submarines through<br />
2030, along with new aircraft carriers.<br />
Submarine warfare specialists say the Akula remains the core of the Russian attack<br />
submarine force.<br />
The submarines can fire both cruise missiles and torpedoes, and are equipped with<br />
the SSN-21 and SSN-27 submarine-launched cruise missiles, as well as SSN-15 antisubmarine-warfare<br />
missiles. The submarines also can lay mines.<br />
The SSN-21 has a range of up to 1,860 miles. http://freebeacon.com/silent-running/<br />
Comment/Analysis: The bear continues to display its teeth. This took place at the same time Russian strategic<br />
bombers made incursions into restricted U.S. airspace near Alaska and California in June and July, and highlights a growing<br />
military assertiveness by Moscow (see issue 4 of <strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong>). Soon after taking office President Putin took in the<br />
Victory Day parade where he showcased Russia’s military strength (see next posting under <strong>OSINT</strong>).<br />
Now let me insert a bit of analysis to this being the suspicious analyst that I am. First of all I am very surprised the<br />
sub was able to operate for that length of time and not be detected by our sophisticated Navy. Could it be that our navy did<br />
know and was able to track the sub but kept it quiet for two reasons (I have several but<br />
will only point out two). First off, the Navy has been cut big time dollars which included<br />
anti-submarine projects. Maybe, just maybe, the Senate Armed Services Committee<br />
will now have a good excuse to fight and get those dollars back. We can’t have those<br />
pesky Russians playing in our swimming hole. Remember President Reagan and his<br />
Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI) of 1984 when congress was somewhat misled after a<br />
supposedly successful SDI test involving two missiles over the Pacific? Congress<br />
poured money into the SDI program. Second reason could be a disinformation<br />
campaign targeted at the Russians. Again, the Navy was able to track the sub but did<br />
not fess up to it in an attempt to get the Russians to think they have a superb and
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stealthy sub. Let me throw in something else. The strategic bomber incursion could have been a ploy to divert attention from<br />
the submarine as it operated to get into the gulf. However, if in fact the Russians are able to operate without being detected<br />
you can bet the Chinese will be after the technology. Think about it, they were in the Gulf of Mexico?<br />
Exploiting Open Source<br />
May 9, 2012, Russia’s might up close: Victory parade arms galore (FULL VIDEO, PHOTOS). RT takes a closer look<br />
at the Victory Day military parade in Moscow. It involved some 14 thousand troops as well as the best hardware the Russian<br />
defense ministry has to offer.<br />
Celebrating Victory Day with a military parade on Red Square is a long standing tradition. The first such event was<br />
held in 1945 on June 24, more than a month after the defeat of Nazi Germany. Troops who had just returned from the front<br />
took part in the mass celebration.<br />
The initial plan included an aircraft fly-over and military columns with civilians following in tow.<br />
But as the day started with heavy rain, organizers were forced to make last-minute changes. One of the key parts of<br />
the parade was the demonstration of the Nazi banners captured by the Soviets. A documentary of the event was one of the<br />
first Russian movies made in color.<br />
Soon thereafter, parades were held on May 9 to mark jubilee years of the victory – in 1965, 1985, 1990 and 1995.<br />
The consequent events were annual, although not every occasion was used to show off the country’s military hardware. The<br />
jubilee 2005 parade included an aerial component, but no ground military vehicles. Tanks and missiles became a part of<br />
every Victory Day parade after 2008.<br />
The most massive parade in Moscow was in 2010 during the 65 year anniversary celebration of the war’s end. It<br />
included 161 vehicles and 127 aircraft, as well as 11,135 troops. It was also the first parade to have foreign troops march<br />
alongside Russians soldiers.<br />
This year’s hardware demonstration included T-90 tanks, BTR 80 armored personnel carriers, Tigr armored<br />
reconnaissance vehicles, Buk-2M2 air defense missile systems, Topol-M ballistic missile launchers, S-PU 400 long-range<br />
air defense missile systems, Iskander tactical missile launchers and MSTA-S self-propelled howitzers. Mi-8 helicopters flew<br />
over Red Square carrying military flags. https://rt.com/news/victory-parade-photos-moscow-822/<br />
Comment/Analysis: This is open source information, not yet open source intelligence, at its finest. The equipment<br />
is impressive, but that’s what a parade is all about, isn’t it. Either way you can bet our intelligence analysts may still be<br />
analyzing this parade. Everything from President Putin’s speech, to the equipment and interview of Russian soldiers is full of<br />
information that can be exploited for our military’s benefit. I found interesting one interview of a Russian soldier who was<br />
asked what he thought about a specific piece of equipment. His answer was that it was very uncomfortable with little room<br />
inside. Simple answers like those are of great interest to our intelligence community.<br />
News for Parents: Protecting Our Children<br />
DRUG GUIDE FOR PARENTS: LEARN THE FACTS TO KEEP YOUR TEEN SAFE.<br />
http://www.drugfree.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/drug_chart_10.25.10_opt.pdf<br />
Note: The following article on human trafficking I felt belongs under the “news<br />
for parents” title. Our kids are sometimes the first indicators of what’s taking place in<br />
our community. They see and hear things but may not know, or may be afraid, of how<br />
to discuss a particular subject.
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July 19, 2012, Human trafficking: organized crime and the multibillion dollar sale of<br />
people. The exploitation of human beings is a highly lucrative business for organized criminal<br />
groups. As a new UNODC campaign launched this week highlights, it is an illicit market which<br />
affects millions of victims worldwide every year. With traffickers making an estimated $32 billion<br />
annually, human trafficking is one of the world's most shameful crimes and one which robs<br />
people of their dignity and basic rights.<br />
Developed to raise awareness around transnational organized crime, the campaign<br />
highlights some of the key threats being faced today - with human trafficking one of the leading<br />
concerns. The campaign, which can be seen on www.unodc.org/toc, includes a new video which<br />
is being rolled out online ( www.youtube.com/unodc) and through international broadcasters and<br />
illustrates the key financial and social costs of this international issue.<br />
While the best-known form of human trafficking is for the purpose of sexual exploitation, hundreds of thousands of<br />
victims are also trafficked for forced labour, domestic servitude, child begging or the removal of their organs. The many<br />
different types of human trafficking means that there is no single, typical victim profile. Cases are<br />
seen in all parts of the world and victims are targeted irrespective of gender, age or background.<br />
Children, for example, might be trafficked from Eastern to Western Europe for the purpose of<br />
begging or as pickpockets; while young girls from Africa could be deceived with promises of<br />
modelling or au pair jobs only to find themselves trapped in a world of sexual and pornographic<br />
exploitation.<br />
A central component of the campaign is driving action against transnational organized<br />
crime. It calls not just on Government authorities to act, but also highlights the role of communities and individuals.<br />
Some of the steps that the campaign suggests in tackling human trafficking include:<br />
• Being alert: if you see anything that you think might be related to trafficking, tell the police or telephone your local<br />
anti-trafficking helpline, if one is available.<br />
• Being involved: find out what is being done to prevent human trafficking in your community, see what you can do<br />
and encourage your friends, family and neighbours to be more aware about human trafficking.<br />
• Being aware: join the UNODC-led Blue Heart Campaign against human trafficking by visiting<br />
www.unodc.org/blueheart. Help spread the word through your social media networks or make a donation to the UN<br />
Trust Fund for Victims of Human Trafficking.<br />
• Being responsible: make sure that your consumer choices and actions are ethical ones, e.g. choose not to<br />
purchase goods and services that could be linked directly or indirectly with sexual exploitation, forced labour or<br />
other forms of forced subjugation.<br />
As the guardian of the United Nations Convention on Transnational Organized Crime and the Protocol to Prevent,<br />
Suppress and Punish Trafficking in Persons, Especially Women and Children, supplementing Convention, UNODC has<br />
been at the forefront in tackling human trafficking. UNODC offers practical help to Member States, not only by helping to<br />
draft laws and create comprehensive national anti-trafficking strategies but also assisting with resources to implement them.<br />
At the national level, countries continue to implement the Protocol and work towards integrating anti-human trafficking<br />
legislation into their domestic laws.<br />
Towards the end of 2012, UNODC will be publishing a new global report on trafficking in persons. Based on data<br />
collected from Member States, the report will provide a basis for evaluating how trends have changed since the last global<br />
UNODC data collection exercise in 2009 and will provide guidance as to what remains to be done.<br />
UNODC also manages the United Nations <strong>Vol</strong>untary Trust Fund for Victims of Human Trafficking (especially women<br />
and children). Officially launched in 2010 by Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, the Trust Fund supports the provision of onthe-ground<br />
humanitarian, legal and financial aid to victims of trafficking and provides members of the public an avenue<br />
through which they can donate to this important cause.<br />
Comment/Analysis: Human trafficking comes in all colors and is not relegated to undeveloped or developing countries.<br />
It’s happening all around the globe and sometimes right under our noses. The shameful part is that it is also taking place in<br />
the most developed country on earth – the United States, and the sad thing is that even when it is recognized we choose to<br />
turn the other way and make believe it isn’t happening. Look at the pictures above of those kids. How do you feel now?
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 33 of 33<br />
Related links:<br />
Department of Homeland Security Human Trafficking Report<br />
http://bhtc.us/resources.html<br />
Transnational Organized Crime Campaign website<br />
Transnational Organized Crime Video<br />
UNODC and human trafficking<br />
Blue Heart Campaign against Human Trafficking<br />
UN <strong>Vol</strong>untary Trust Fund for Victims of Human Trafficking<br />
http://human.globalincidentmap.com/<br />
1. Americans Under Surveillance - Almost Constantly<br />
http://web.archive.org/web/20110627224937/http://nucnews.net/nucnews/2000nn/0011nn/001130nn.htm#30\<br />
2. Americans Unknowingly Under Almost Constant Surveillance<br />
http://web.archive.org/web/20110728154544/http://www.jvim.com/ib/2001/01/beast.html<br />
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