OSINT Nuggets - Allsource Global Management
OSINT Nuggets - Allsource Global Management
OSINT Nuggets - Allsource Global Management
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INSIDE THIS ISSUE:<br />
Punching and Counterpunching 1<br />
Arizona/Southwest Border 2<br />
<strong>OSINT</strong> Russia 7<br />
<strong>OSINT</strong> Mali 12<br />
<strong>OSINT</strong> China 16<br />
<strong>OSINT</strong> USA 19<br />
Gang Facts 20<br />
Drug Smuggling 22<br />
Drone News 23<br />
Recommended Sites 24<br />
DEA Alert 25<br />
Open Source Intelligence<br />
(<strong>OSINT</strong>): Open source<br />
intelligence refers to intelligence<br />
based on information gathered<br />
from open sources, i.e.<br />
information available to the<br />
general public. This includes<br />
newspapers, the internet, books,<br />
phone books, scientific journals,<br />
radio broadcasts, television, and<br />
others. Collection of information<br />
in <strong>OSINT</strong> format is a very<br />
different process in comparison<br />
to the collection of other<br />
intelligence disciplines because,<br />
by definition, the information<br />
sources are publicly available<br />
versus covertly collected.<br />
Although there is some<br />
debate as to the usefulness<br />
of the longbow against armor<br />
at the battles of Crecy,<br />
Poitiers, and Battle of<br />
Agincourt during the Hundred<br />
Years War, I am going to<br />
start out with this as an<br />
introduction to the punch<br />
(measures) and<br />
counterpunching<br />
(countermeasures) title. Bear<br />
with me as my only intention<br />
is to make a point and not<br />
start a debate on the<br />
longbow’s efficiency or when<br />
it was first used.<br />
Infantry against infantry<br />
was the norm for warfare, but<br />
oh my, how boring. Armies<br />
beat each other senseless<br />
until there were only a few<br />
survivors, but what was the<br />
point? The winner now has a<br />
few more acres of land, but<br />
not enough people to till the<br />
soil; a waste of men and real<br />
estate. So along comes the<br />
knight in shining armor, and<br />
could very well be considered<br />
the first tank on the<br />
battlefield.<br />
Regular infantry with their<br />
weapons were useless<br />
against the knight on<br />
horseback. They had to get<br />
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Volume 2, Issue 2 Monday, December 3, 2012<br />
Punching and Counterpunching<br />
up close and personal,<br />
which is not a good tactic,<br />
to engage the knight, but<br />
still their weapons of<br />
crossbows, hammers,<br />
lances, and other types had<br />
little effect against the<br />
armor. (I must also add that<br />
war is not about fighting<br />
fair; it is about<br />
overwhelming your<br />
opponent to end the conflict<br />
as soon as possible)<br />
A company commander<br />
does not engage another<br />
company; he engages a<br />
platoon. A battalion<br />
commander does not<br />
engage a battalion; he<br />
engages a company or<br />
less. The same goes for<br />
brigades and higher. The<br />
idea is to try and maintain<br />
at least a 3 to 1 advantage.<br />
Now you know why the<br />
United States has so many<br />
weapons in comparison to<br />
other countries?<br />
Enter the longbow; a<br />
counterpunch to the knight<br />
in armor. With the longbow<br />
it was possible to engage<br />
the knight from long<br />
distances without having to<br />
get too close. The arrows<br />
had good penetration<br />
Publisher & Layout Design: Mr. E. Ben Benavides, bbenavides@agmaz.com<br />
Chief Editor: Mr. Brad Branderhorst, bbranderhorst@agmaz.com<br />
against the iron armor and<br />
also against the horses that<br />
would stumble and fall<br />
throwing off their riders who<br />
now became easy prey,<br />
because of their heavy<br />
armor, for the ground<br />
infantry.<br />
The solution was to add<br />
armor mesh underneath<br />
steel armor (steel was<br />
better suited against the<br />
longbow), and provide<br />
additional padding for the<br />
horses. (The additional<br />
padding can be compared<br />
to the reactive armor that is<br />
added to modern tanks to<br />
protect against antitank<br />
weapons.) The problem<br />
was that the suspension<br />
system, the horse in this<br />
case, could not support the<br />
additional weight for long<br />
distances and so became<br />
even more vulnerable in<br />
close combat.<br />
The longbow faced its own<br />
counterpunch with the<br />
introduction of gunpowder,<br />
muskets and artillery, which<br />
were able to engage the<br />
archers from even greater<br />
distances and inflicting<br />
greater damage. So, as<br />
The views expressed in this Newsletter are those of the authors and do not reflect policy or<br />
position of AllSource <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Management</strong>.<br />
All input is based on open source harvesting and should not be considered open source<br />
intelligence, but more specifically should not be considered as actionable intelligence.<br />
Anyone wishing to contribute an item for publication is highly encouraged and should contact Mr.<br />
Benavides at the above email.
you can see, for every punch there<br />
is a counterpunch which leads to a<br />
counter counterpunch which leads<br />
to a counter counter counterpunch,<br />
which, well, you get the idea.<br />
That’s exactly what is happening<br />
now every time a new weapon<br />
system is developed or improved,<br />
and the same goes for tactical<br />
warfare. We just have to develop a<br />
better system! In other words, my<br />
gun just has to be bigger than<br />
yours.<br />
Sad to say it is not going to stop.<br />
The United States, as every country<br />
is aware of, leads the world in<br />
technology which ultimately finds its<br />
way into better weapons. This of<br />
course worries other countries like<br />
China, Russia, Pakistan, India, Iran,<br />
and even Israel and others, who in<br />
turn want to develop their own<br />
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
systems to counter the cowboy with<br />
the big iron on his hip. You may ask<br />
why I did not list North Korea, but<br />
the fact remains that North Korea<br />
could never respond with anything<br />
of substance other than a nuclear<br />
weapon which would mean the end<br />
of their way of life with a massive<br />
retaliatory strike. China and Russia,<br />
particularly China, have put the<br />
U.S. on notice, not necessarily<br />
verbally but in other ways, they are<br />
not about to be outgunned and so<br />
continue with their own groundbreaking<br />
hi-tech weapon<br />
developments which in turn forces<br />
the U.S. to respond by ratcheting<br />
up the ante.<br />
These are the big players and we<br />
tend to ignore the smaller ones like<br />
Turkey, South Africa, Egypt<br />
(perhaps), and South Korea (with<br />
Arizona, The Southwest Border and Beyond<br />
Page 2 of 25<br />
U.S. blessing), and let’s not ignore<br />
France, Germany, and the United<br />
Kingdom with their own advanced<br />
systems.<br />
The days of the Cold War ended<br />
when the Former Soviet Union<br />
imploded economically because<br />
they could not keep up with U.S.<br />
spending in practically every<br />
category. If need be current<br />
countries will act like North Korea<br />
and deprive their citizens, albeit not<br />
by starving, in order to keep a<br />
strong military with the latest<br />
weaponry.<br />
Beginning with the January<br />
newsletter I intend to have a<br />
section devoted to the latest<br />
weaponry developed or in<br />
development around the globe.<br />
The following article I have placed under this title because of the vicinity of Arizona to Colorado at the four corners<br />
region. Just a hop and a skip for some wacky tabacky.<br />
November 8, 2012, Marijuana legalization votes this week in Colorado and Washington State don't just set<br />
up an epic state-federal showdown on drug law for residents. The measures also open the door for marijuana tourism.<br />
Both marijuana measures make marijuana possession in small amounts OK for all adults over 21 — not just state<br />
residents but visitors, too. Tourists may not be able to pack their bowls along with their bags, but as long as out-of-state<br />
tourists purchase and use the drug while in Colorado or Washington, they wouldn't violate the marijuana measures.<br />
Of course, that's assuming the recreational marijuana measures take effect at all. That was very much in doubt<br />
Friday as the states awaited word on possible lawsuits from the U.S. Department of Justice asserting federal supremacy<br />
over drug law.<br />
So the future of marijuana tourism in Colorado and Washington is hazy. But that hasn't stopped rampant<br />
speculation, especially in Colorado, where tourism is the No. 2 industry thanks to the Rocky Mountains and a vibrant ski<br />
industry.<br />
The day after Colorado approved recreational marijuana by a wide margin, the headline in the Aspen Times asked,<br />
"Aspendam?" referring to Amsterdam's marijuana cafes.<br />
Colorado's tourism director, Al White, tried to downplay the prospect of a new marijuana tourism boom.<br />
"It won't be as big a deal as either side hopes or fears," White said.<br />
Maybe not. But many are asking about marijuana tourism.<br />
Ski resorts are "certainly watching it closely," said Jennifer Rudolph of Colorado Ski Country USA, a trade<br />
association that represents 21 Colorado resorts.<br />
Any plans for an adults-only après lounge where skiers could get more than an Irish coffee to numb their aches?<br />
"There's a lot that remains to be seen," Rudolph said with a chuckle. "I guess you could say we're waiting for the<br />
smoke to clear."<br />
The Colorado counties where big ski resorts are located seem to have made up their minds. The marijuana<br />
measure passed by overwhelming margins, with more support than in less visited areas.<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 3 of 25<br />
The home county of Aspen approved the marijuana measure more than 3-to-1. More than two-thirds approved<br />
marijuana in the home county of Colorado's largest ski resort, Vail. The home county of Telluride ski resort gave marijuana<br />
legalization its most lopsided victory, nearly 8 in 10 favoring the measure.<br />
"Some folks might come to Colorado to enjoy some marijuana as will be their right. So what?" said Betty Aldworth,<br />
advocacy director for the Colorado marijuana campaign.<br />
Washington state already sees a version of marijuana tourism.<br />
Every summer on the shores of the Puget Sound, Seattle is host to "Hempfest," which according to organizers<br />
attracted around 250,000 people over three days this year. For those three days, people are largely left alone to smoke<br />
publically at a local park, even as police stand by.<br />
"People travel to Seattle from other states and countries to attend Seattle Hempfest every year to experience the<br />
limited freedom that happens at the event," said executive director Vivian McPeak. "It's reasonable to assume that people<br />
will travel to Washington assuming that the federal government doesn't interfere."<br />
McPeak draw parallels to Amsterdam where an annual "Cannabis Cup" attracts tourists from all over the world and<br />
Vancouver, British Columbia, which has lax marijuana rules that have borne marijuana cafes drawing travelers.<br />
Amsterdam's marijuana tourism is in a hazy spot these days, though. The incoming Dutch government suggested a<br />
national "weed pass" that would have been available only to residents and that would have effectively banned tourists from<br />
Amsterdam's marijuana cafes. The "weed pass" idea was scrapped, but under a provisional governing pact unveiled last<br />
week, Dutch cities can bar foreigners from weed shops if they choose.<br />
In Denver, some feared that the Colorado marijuana vote could deter tourists, not to mention business visitors.<br />
"Colorado's brand will be damaged, and we may attract fewer conventions and see a decline in leisure travel," Visit<br />
Denver CEO Richard Scharf said in a statement before the vote.<br />
Colorado's governor opposed the measure but said after its passage that he didn't envision marijuana tourism<br />
materializing.<br />
"I don't think that's going to happen," Democratic Gov. John Hickenlooper said. "They're going to flock here to buy<br />
marijuana as if they're going to take it back? On an airplane? That seems unlikely to me."<br />
Colorado's measure specifically bans public use of the drug. But guidelines for commercial sales are still to be<br />
worked out. The state's 536 medical marijuana dispensaries are banned from allowing on-site consumption, but lawmakers<br />
could set different rules for recreational marijuana shops.<br />
Marijuana backers downplayed the impact on tourism. Aldworth pointed out that pot-smoking tourists wouldn't<br />
exactly be new. Colorado ski slopes already are dotted with "smoke shacks," old mining cabins that have been illicitly<br />
repurposed as places to smoke pot out of the cold. And the ski resort town of Breckenridge dropped criminal penalties for<br />
marijuana use two years ago.<br />
"Some folks come to Colorado and enjoy some marijuana while they are here today," Aldworth said.<br />
The sheriff of the county including Aspen was sanguine about the prospects of pot-smoking visitors.<br />
"For me, it's going to be live and let live. If people want to come to Colorado because pot is legal — and that's the<br />
sole reason — it's up to them," Pitkin County Sheriff Joe DiSalvo told The Aspen Times. "I am not the lifestyle police."<br />
http://news.yahoo.com/pot-votes-co-wa-raise-specter-weed-tourism-100015982.html<br />
Related Site:<br />
Mexico Study: US Legalization Cuts Cartel Profits http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/mexico-study-uslegalization-cuts-cartel-profits-17612383<br />
Comment/Analysis: There’s a new song being sung in Colorado and Washington, and<br />
it goes something like this. “I grow pot in my backyard, Heeeeeey marijuana, heeeeey<br />
marijuana”.<br />
Perhaps the legalization of marijuana in Colorado and Washington will turn out to be a<br />
good thing, and perhaps not. This depends on how the drug cartels are going to react to the<br />
new legislation.<br />
For the past several years the DEA and other agencies have been finding marijuana<br />
growing in California, Colorado and Idaho national parks with 14,500 plants found in 2009 at<br />
one Colorado national park alone and with suspected links to the Mexican drug cartels. The<br />
cartels are sure to be happy now since an increase in border security dating back to 2009, and the difficulty of smuggling<br />
marijuana into the USA, growing marijuana on public lands in the United States is even more appealing and less risky now.<br />
Can we expect for the cartels to increase their activity in states with legal marijuana I ask rhetorically? Don’t answer<br />
that. Can we expect the movement of drugs across the borders? Can we expect an increase of tourists specifically for drug<br />
use? Yes, yes, yes!<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 4 of 25<br />
What does it do for parents that up until now have steered their children away from drugs and are now getting<br />
stoned with the help of older friends. Those states have made a terrible mistake in my humble opinion. One can only hope<br />
the legislation is struck down.<br />
Something else to puff on. South of the border a farmer would rather grow marijuana instead of corn, beans or<br />
whatever because the profits are greater and he has a family to feed. That marijuana will eventually make its way into the<br />
U.S. with help from the cartels. If that farmer gets caught growing marijuana he ends up in jail for something that is now<br />
legal in some American states. Something is wrong with this picture.<br />
Oct. 25, 2012, Mexico’s Drug Lords Ramp Up Their Arsenals with RPGs. When a Mexican SWAT team stopped<br />
a stolen Cadillac van in the border city of Piedras Negras, it was not a surprise when they were greeted by a tirade of bullets<br />
as the criminals blasted and ran. But after they kicked open the trunk, the officers realized they could have been victims of<br />
more catastrophic firepower. The gunmen had been in possession of an arsenal of weapons that included three Sovietmade<br />
antitank rockets complete with an RPG-7 shoulder-fired launcher. If the criminals had got a rocket off, they could<br />
easily have blown the SWAT vehicle to pieces. RPG-7s can also take out helicopters and were used in the Black Hawk<br />
Down episode in Somalia in 1993.<br />
The rockets, found on Saturday, are part of an increasingly destructive array of weaponry wielded by Mexican drug<br />
cartels, like the feared Zetas, in reaction to attacks on them by police and soldiers. While security forces have taken down<br />
several key cartel bosses this year, gunmen have struck back, setting off five car bombs, hundreds of fragmentation<br />
grenades and several shoulder-fired rockets. Soldiers even seized one homemade three-ton tank with a revolving gun<br />
turret. When Mexican marines on Oct. 7 claimed to have killed Zetas leader Heriberto Lazcano, he was also alleged to be<br />
found with an RPG-7. (Lazcano’s corpse was stolen from the morgue, and the Zetas are now believed to be led by his No.<br />
2, Miguel Treviño.)<br />
The shoulder-fired rockets cause particular worry because of their range and explosive power. Mexican dignitaries<br />
often move in helicopters with the army flying Black Hawks supplied by the U.S. under the Mérida Initiative. “The RPG-7 is a<br />
weapon that causes incredible devastation from Iraq to Afghanistan,” says Rachel Stohl, an expert on arms proliferation at<br />
the Stimson Center in Washington. “When they fall into the hands of criminal groups, it changes the dynamics and escalates<br />
the conflict. Instead of just a gunfight on a street, you have military firepower.”<br />
Combatants normally use RPG-7 rockets to target nearby vehicles, but they can reach up to 3,000 ft. (900 m) and<br />
are sometimes wielded as a form of artillery, scattering shrapnel at anyone close by. Those fearing spillover were quick to<br />
note that gunmen in Piedras Negras could potentially fire a rocket over the Rio Grande into the neighboring U.S. city of<br />
Eagle Pass. There have been sporadic gunfights across the river over the years, with gunmen recently firing at U.S. Border<br />
Patrol agents near the Texas town of Los Ebanos. (More often, Mexicans have been the victims, like when Border Patrol<br />
agents shot dead a 16-year-old boy in Sonora state this month.)<br />
The gun trade has been a long-running bone of contention over the Rio Grande, with Mexico complaining that most<br />
of the firearms used by cartel assassins are purchased from U.S. stores. Of almost 100,000 guns seized at Mexican crime<br />
scenes since 2007, 68% have been traced to the U.S. The U.S. gun lobby argues that heavier weapons such as the Soviet<br />
rockets and fragmentation grenades come from the other direction, smuggled from Central America. Thousands of RPG-7s<br />
were used by all sides in the region’s Cold War conflicts in the 1980s. Since then, gangs have stolen many from lingering<br />
stockpiles in Nicaragua, El Salvador and Honduras to sell them on the black market. The Honduran government reports that<br />
it lost 22 RPG-7s and several rockets in a single 2010 theft. On a visit to Honduras earlier this year, a senior police officer<br />
said he had intelligence of Zeta operatives going to the capital, Tegucigalpa, to buy hardware.<br />
When groups like the Zetas wield rockets and tanks, some pundits question whether they should continue to be<br />
labeled as drug traffickers — or need a more martial description. The cartel was founded in 1998 by 14 Mexican army<br />
defectors, and they carried their battle tactics into the crime world. “The Zetas are a criminal paramilitary organization that is<br />
spreading through Mexico and Central America like the bubonic plague,” says Mike Vigil, former head of international<br />
operations for the Drug Enforcement Administration.<br />
The Zetas have used their firepower to make their stronghold in northeast Mexico, by the Rio Grande Valley, the<br />
country’s most violent corner. While other regions, like the area around Ciudad Juárez, have seen significant decreases in<br />
murders since 2010, Coahuila state, home to Piedras Negras, has witnessed its bloodiest year on record, with more than<br />
640 gangland killings; neighboring Nuevo León has recorded over 1,000 such deaths since January. In total, almost 60,000<br />
people have fallen in drug-related violence since President Felipe Calderón took power in 2006 and declared a military<br />
offensive on cartels. In the same period, 25 of Mexico’s 37 most wanted cartel bosses have been killed or arrested.<br />
The buildup of cartel weaponry could also be a problem for incoming President Enrique Peña Nieto when he takes<br />
office in December. Peña Nieto, who returns the Institutional Revolutionary Party, or PRI, to power after 12 years in the<br />
wilderness, has promised to halve the number of homicides in Mexico in his first year. While all applaud the target, Peña<br />
Nieto has given little concrete information about how he will achieve the goal. When Zeta squads roam the countryside with<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 5 of 25<br />
RPG-7s, some say Peña Nieto could be forced to continue a military line similar to Calderón’s. “There will probably be a<br />
change in rhetoric,” says political analyst Jorge Chabat, “but there is a little room for maneuver in tactics.”<br />
http://world.time.com/2012/10/25/mexicos-drug-lords-ramp-up-their-arsenals-with-rpgs/<br />
This article from “How Stuff Works” is probably the best<br />
way of explaining the basics of a rocket propelled grenade and<br />
what makes them so lethal with their anti-tank capabilities.<br />
The RPG-7 anti-tank grenade launcher is robust, simple<br />
and lethal. It is also extremely popular. As it exists today, the<br />
RPG-7 is the result of many years of<br />
revisions and modifications. The<br />
"original" RPG -- based on the German<br />
Panzerfaust anti-tank weapon - was<br />
eventually followed by the RPG-2, the<br />
RPG-3 and so on. In fact, although the RPG-4 had passed field<br />
trials in 1961, test findings of a newer model, the RPG-7, were<br />
released that same year, but with much improved firing range<br />
and armor piercing capabilities. So in 1961 it was the RPG-7, not<br />
the RPG-4, which the Soviet Armed forces adopted for actual<br />
use. Today, the RPG-7 is used by the armies of over forty different countries and is also used, reportedly, by a range of<br />
terrorist organizations in the Middle East and Latin Americas.<br />
Firing an RPG-7<br />
The RPG operator or an artillery assistant takes a propelling charge (booster, in image above) and screws it onto<br />
the end of a warhead. Basically, this is a stabilizing pipe that has four stabilizing fins that are folded around it with two<br />
additional fins at its rear end. A cardboard container encases the back end of the stabilizing pipe. Inside the cardboard<br />
container, a squib of nitroglycerin powder is wrapped around the stabilizing pipe and a primer or charge of gunpowder is<br />
stuffed into the end of the stabilizing pipe.<br />
The RPG operator or artillery person then takes this assembled artillery and loads it into the front end of the RPG<br />
launcher so that it lines up with the trigger mechanism.<br />
After the RPG operator pulls the trigger, this is what happens:<br />
1) The force of the built-up gases throws the grenade out of the tube at approximately 384 feet per second (117<br />
meters per second). The abrupt acceleration of the grenade leaving the launcher triggers a piezoelectric<br />
fuze that ignites the primer (pyro-retarding gunpowder mixture). This then ignites the squib of nitro, thereby<br />
activating the rocket propulsion system (sustainer motor) to carry the grenade the rest of its trajectory.<br />
2) A socket in the breach block alleviates recoil during firing. The exhaust gases exit to the rear of the launcher<br />
unit and the operator is free to immediately reload the weapon. In practice, however, no RPG operator would<br />
ever remain stationary and spend the time to reload; the launching flash and whitish blue-gray smoke provides<br />
a clear indication to the enemy of the RPG launcher's location. An effective, surviving RPG operator is one who<br />
quickly changes position and gets under cover.<br />
There are several types of grenades that can be used in the RPG-7. Some have a point initiating, base-detonating<br />
(PIBD) piezoelectric fuze: meaning that they are impact grenades. And, many others have back-up time delay systems, so<br />
that if they have not reached a target in a certain amount of time (something like four and a half seconds) the grenade will<br />
self destruct. The most commonly launched grenades are a High Explosive (HE) or High Explosive Anti Tank (HEAT)<br />
rounds.<br />
Impact grenades must be unarmed until they are actually fired because any accidental contact might set them off.<br />
Since they are usually shot from a launcher, they must have an automatic arming system. In some designs, like the one we<br />
describe above, the arming system is triggered by the propellant explosion that drives the grenade out of the launcher. In<br />
other designs, the grenade's acceleration or rotation during its flight arms the detonator.<br />
As for the back-up timed delay, the same fuze mechanism that sets off the the rocket would set this off. The spark<br />
ignites a slow-burning material in the fuze. In about four seconds, the delay material burns all the way through. The end of<br />
the delay element is connected to the detonator. The burning material at the end of the delay ignites the material in the<br />
detonator, thereby exploding the warhead.<br />
Comment/Analysis: Let’s not act surprised at what is being discovered in the hands<br />
of the cartels as far as weapons are concerned. I am certain Fast and Furious is still fresh in our<br />
minds. [This arsenal uncovered by police in Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, in April turned out to<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 6 of 25<br />
include weapons from the ATF's ill-fated Fast and Furious operation.] Blow up the photograph and study the weapons<br />
pictured. Plenty of AK-47s for sure, an anti-aircraft machine gun, sniper rifles and grenade launchers to name a few, and of<br />
course a picture of Tony Montana (Al Pacino) from the film “Scarface”.<br />
The sniper rifle has a maximum range of 7,450 yards and a maximum effective range<br />
of 2,000 yards.<br />
With a .50-caliber rifle in the foreground, the U.S. House National Security and<br />
Foreign Affairs subcommittee holds a hearing on U.S.-Mexico border violence, Thursday,<br />
March 12, 2009, on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C.. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)<br />
It is known that the Sinaloa has already attempted to purchase a Stinger surface-toair-missile;<br />
a Dragon fire anti-tank weapon; a Law Rocket anti-tank weapon; and two AT-4<br />
recoilless anti-tank guns.<br />
https://sites.google.com/site/reynosalightning/Downhome/Narco-Breaking-<br />
News/sinaloadrugcartelmembertriedtobuystingermissilecnnreports<br />
http://borderreporter.com/2011/03/3-accused-of-trying-to-buy-stinger-missiles-anti-tank-weapons-for-sinaloa-cartel/<br />
Related Sites:<br />
World Guns http://world.guns.ru/grenade/rus/rpg-7-e.html<br />
How Rocket-Propelled Grenades Work http://science.howstuffworks.com/rpg.htm<br />
Oct 31, 2012, Smugglers' SUV gets stuck atop Calif. border fence. Suspected<br />
smugglers who tried to use ramps to drive an SUV over a 14-foot-tall border fence had to abandon<br />
their plan when the Jeep became stuck on top of the barrier, authorities said Wednesday.<br />
Agents patrolling the U.S.-Mexico border near the Imperial Sand Dunes in California's<br />
southeast corner spotted the Jeep Cherokee teetering atop the fence early Tuesday, Border Patrol<br />
spokesman Spencer Tippets said. The vehicle was perched about five miles west of the Colorado<br />
River and the Arizona state line.<br />
Two smugglers on the Mexican side of the border were trying to free the Jeep when the agents approached,<br />
Tippets said. They ran further into Mexico and escaped.<br />
The Jeep was empty, but agents said it was probably filled with contraband like bales of marijuana before it got<br />
high-centered atop the fence.<br />
The smugglers had built ramps to drive up and over the fence, something that has been tried at least once before.<br />
In April 2011, agents found a truck that had ramps built onto it and had driven up to the border fence. A pickup had driven<br />
up and over the fence, but it was spotted and its occupants were captured, Tippets said.<br />
The agency's Yuma sector has seen a 95 percent reduction in human smuggling in recent<br />
years, freeing up agents to focus on drug smugglers.<br />
"Because of how successful we are we don't have all the clutter like we had in years past,"<br />
Tippets said. "Now that all the clutter is gone, we're able to focus on things that are bigger threats."<br />
The terrain in western Arizona and eastern California has little vegetation and is much less<br />
rugged than the land in southeastern Arizona, so smugglers have a harder time making it into the U.S.<br />
without being spotted.<br />
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_BORDER_SMUGGLING_RAMP?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DE<br />
FAULT&CTIME=2012-10-31-19-05-18<br />
Comment/Analysis: Perhaps a car catapult would have worked out better. Leave the motor running and hit the<br />
ground speeding north.<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 7 of 25<br />
Related Posts:<br />
Pot-firing catapult found at Arizona-Mexico border<br />
http://www.komonews.com/news/national/114698289.html?tab=video&c=y<br />
November 3, 2012, A few miles west of downtown, past a terra-cotta-tiled gateway<br />
emblazoned with “Bienvenidos,” the smells and sights of Mexico spill onto 26th Street.<br />
The Mexican tricolor waves from brick storefronts. Vendors offer authentic churros,<br />
chorizo and tamales.<br />
Chicago’s Little Village neighborhood is home to more than 500,000 residents<br />
of Mexican descent and is known for its Cinco de Mayo festival and bustling Mexican<br />
Independence Day parade. But federal authorities say that Little Village is also home to<br />
something else: an American branch of the Mexican Sinaloa drug cartel.<br />
Members of Mexico’s most powerful cartel are selling a record amount of heroin and<br />
methamphetamine from Little Village, according to the Drug Enforcement Administration. From there, the drugs are moving<br />
onto the streets of south and west Chicago, where they are sold in assembly-line fashion in mostly African American<br />
neighborhoods.<br />
“Chicago, with 100,000 gang members to put the dope on the street, is a logistical winner for the Sinaloa cartel,”<br />
Jack Riley, the DEA’s special agent in charge of the Chicago field division, said after a tour through Little Village. “We have<br />
to operate now as if we’re on the Mexican border.”<br />
It’s not just Chicago. Increasingly, as drug cartels have amassed more control and influence in Mexico, they have<br />
extended their reach deeper into the United States, establishing inroads across the Midwest and Southeast, according to<br />
American counternarcotics officials. An extensive distribution network supplies regions across the country, relying largely on<br />
regional hubs like this city, with ready markets off busy interstate highways.<br />
One result: Seizures of heroin and methamphetamine have soared in recent years, according to federal statistics.<br />
The U.S. government has provided Mexico with surveillance equipment, communication gear and other assistance<br />
under the $1.9 billion Merida Initiative, the anti-drug effort launched more than four years ago. But critics say that north of<br />
the border, the federal government has barely put a dent into a sophisticated infrastructure that supports more than<br />
$20 billion a year in drug cash flowing back to Mexico.<br />
The success of the Mexican cartels in building their massive drug distribution and marketing networks across the<br />
county is a reflection of the U.S. government’s intelligence and operational failure in the war on drugs, said Fulton T.<br />
Armstrong, a former national intelligence officer for Latin America and ex-CIA officer.<br />
“We pretend that the cartels don’t have an infrastructure in the U.S.,” said Armstrong, also a former staff member of<br />
the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and now a senior fellow at American University’s Center for Latin American and<br />
Latino Studies. “But you don’t do a $20 billion a year business . . . with ad-hoc, part-time volunteers. You use an established<br />
infrastructure to support the markets. How come we’re not attacking that infrastructure?”<br />
A reported 8.9 percent of Americans age 12 or older — 22.6 million people — are current users of illegal<br />
drugs, according to the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration, part of the U.S. Department of Health<br />
and Human Services — up from 6.2 percent in 1998. Demand for and the availability of illegal drugs is rising.<br />
Charles Bowden, who has written several books about Mexico and drug trafficking, said policy failures have<br />
exacerbated the problems. “The war on drugs is over,” he said. “There are more drugs in the U.S. of higher quality and at a<br />
lower price.”<br />
A national network<br />
Of the seven Mexican organized crime groups that traffic drugs across the United States, the Sinaloa cartel<br />
dominates the business, selling most of the heroin, marijuana, methamphetamine and cocaine. One Mexican nationalsecurity<br />
expert estimated that the cartel moves a kilo of cocaine over the U.S. border about every 10 minutes.<br />
The Sinaloa, named after a Mexican Pacific coast state, is headed by Joaquin “El Chapo” Guzman, one of the<br />
world’s most brutal and sought-after drug lords.<br />
Officials say the Sinaloa cartel typically sends its drugs across the border to distribution cells in cities such as Los<br />
Angeles. From there, dozens of operators — including truck drivers who conceal the packages amid shipments of fruits,<br />
vegetables and other consumer goods — bring the drugs east and north, unloading them at nondescript warehouses,<br />
condominiums and duplexes managed by the cartel.<br />
The DEA has estimated that Mexican drug trafficking organizations now operate in 1,286 American cities. That<br />
number, however, includes both major regional hubs such as Chicago, with direct links to large Mexican cartels, and scores<br />
of communities where smaller trafficking groups happen to be led by Mexican citizens who may have no operational<br />
connections. The DEA said it was not able to provide a full list of the 1,286 cities.<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 8 of 25<br />
Besides Los Angeles and Chicago, Atlanta has emerged as a major distribution hub. The access to interstate<br />
highways and a growing Hispanic population allow cartel members to travel freely and blend into the general population,<br />
leading the organizations to bulk up operations.<br />
In Atlanta, officials said, four rival cartels are battling for control: the Beltran Leyva; remnants of La Familia<br />
Michoacana; the Knights Templar, a splinter group of La Familia; and the Sinaloa.<br />
Seizures of heroin in the city have increased 70 percent in the past two years and traffickers are selling a better<br />
quality of “Mexican Brown” heroin to many who are already addicted to pharmaceutical painkillers, said Harry S. Sommers,<br />
the DEA’s special agent in charge of the Atlanta field division. The drug is now mostly being smoked or snorted, not injected<br />
by needle.<br />
“There’s not a significant difference between Oxycontin and heroin,” Sommers said.<br />
“Sometimes they give the heroin away at first and get people hooked on it.”<br />
The increasing amount of heroin agents are seeing in Chicago and Atlanta is reflected<br />
nationwide, a ccording to the DEA. In the first nine months of this fiscal year, 1,394 kilograms<br />
of heroin were seized, compared with 487 kilos of heroin seized at the southwest border in<br />
fiscal year 2008 and 773 kilos in 2009. Heroin arrests nationwide are up, too. In the first nine<br />
months of this fiscal year, 3,350 people were arrested on heroin charges, compared with 2,510 in<br />
2008.<br />
Mexican meth<br />
Officials say the cartels’ ability to infiltrate U.S. cities reflects calculated business decisions.<br />
In recent years, U.S. officials have cracked down on American-made methamphetamine by passing federal and<br />
state laws to restrict the sale of the precursor chemicals used to manufacture it, particularly pseudoephedrine, a common<br />
over-the-counter decongestant for allergies and colds.<br />
The cartels have filled the void. Mexican-produced meth now accounts for 80 to 90 percent of the product sold in<br />
the United States, and it is swiftly moving into major urban hubs including Phoenix, Denver, St. Louis, Chicago and Atlanta,<br />
according to the DEA.<br />
Federal agents have seized 7,574 kilos of methamphetamine at the southwest border in the first nine months of this<br />
fiscal year, compared with 2,237 kilos in 2008 and 3,064 in 2009.<br />
“We’ve seen a sudden increase of meth in Chicago in just the last several months,” said Riley, the special agent in<br />
charge there. “Until now, meth has been mostly a rural phenomenon. We haven’t seen this on the streets in large cities. It’s<br />
an indication of the cartels seizing the market.”<br />
The Sinaloa cartel has both slashed the price and produced a purer form of meth that gives users a faster and<br />
longer-lasting high, Riley said. To get the methamphetamine on the streets, the cartel is using its existing distribution<br />
networks.<br />
Experts say Mexican cartels have also been calculating in their use of violence. In Mexico, more than 60,000 people<br />
have been killed in the past six years in mass murders, beheadings and mutilations as the cartels have fought for control.<br />
Bowden, who spent years in Mexico writing about the violence, said it’s no accident U.S. cities haven’t seen the<br />
same levels of brutality. “In the U.S., murder is bad for their drug business,” he said. “In Mexico, it is business.”<br />
A tenacious foe<br />
Each time the federal government succeeds in prosecuting cartel members, the groups deploy new lieutenants to<br />
keep the drugs flowing north and the cash and U.S. guns going south into Mexico.<br />
The DEA and other federal agencies say that they are making strides in combatting organized crime with new<br />
“strike forces,” composed of federal, state and local law enforcement agencies. In Chicago, for example, the DEA-led strike<br />
force has worked with the FBI; Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives; Chicago police; Immigration Customs<br />
and Enforcement; and other state and federal agencies to bring down traffickers.<br />
Officials also said large drug busts across the country have netted scores of dealers, thousands<br />
of kilos of drugs and tens of millions of dollars in cash.<br />
The Justice Department, in the meantime, is extraditing an increasing number of high-ranking<br />
cartel members to the United States for prosecution, including Jesús Vicente Zambada-Niebla, the son<br />
of Guzman’s top partner in the Sinaloa cartel and a trafficker who officials say is the biggest Mexican<br />
drug kingpin to be prosecuted in a U.S. courtroom.<br />
Despite major drug seizures, Armstrong, the former national intelligence officer, said officials have<br />
not scored lasting gains.<br />
“It’s because the U.S. government hasn’t broken the system,” Armstrong said. “They’ve arrested dealers. But the<br />
distribution system and its network are alive and well.” http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/us-citiesbecome-hubs-of-mexican-drug-cartels/2012/11/03/989e21e8-1e2b-11e2-9cd5-b55c38388962_story.html<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 9 of 25<br />
Comment/Analysis: I would not expect any significant progress against the cartels and the most one could expect<br />
is to bust low level individuals with little or no knowledge of the inner moving parts of the organization. The one issue I see is<br />
that too many agencies are involved and little has changed in the past 20 years when it comes to sharing information – they<br />
just don’t want to share.<br />
I had the opportunity to converse with a high ranking law enforcement individual in a major U.S. city about how<br />
information was being shared. I should have kept my mouth shut! I couldn’t shut him up after that question, not about<br />
sharing but rather how it was not being shared. To put it mildly, he was pissed. According to him, there are approximately 40<br />
state and federal agencies in his area with close to a thousand foot soldiers on the ground conducting counterdrug<br />
operations and they just seem to be stepping on each other’s toes and sharing very little. I do not name the individual or the<br />
city for obvious reasons.<br />
The cartels have too much invested (drugs) in the major cities to let any disruption in their operations take place.<br />
Just like a terrorist organization (which, in effect, is what they are) the pecking order is hard to crack and pinpoint the actual<br />
leadership which is like a starfish where if an arm is cut off it will regenerate (regrow) another.<br />
As long as there is an American appetite for drugs do not expect any real progress.<br />
Related Posts:<br />
16 Maps Of Drug Flow Into The United States. Despite growing momentum for drug policy reform in Latin America,<br />
continual carnage in Mexico and a U.S. government-sponsored study that rips U.S. drug policy, America's 40-year war on<br />
drugs is still raging. http://www.businessinsider.com/16-maps-of-drug-flow-into-the-united-states-2012-7?op=1<br />
<strong>OSINT</strong> Russia<br />
November 5, 2012, Russian Sub Skirts Coast. A Russian nuclear-powered attack submarine cruised within 200<br />
miles of the East Coast recently in the latest sign Russia is continuing to flex its naval and aerial power against the United<br />
States, defense officials said.<br />
The submarine was identified by its NATO designation as a Russian Seirra-2 class submarine believed to be based<br />
with Russia’s Northern Fleet. It was the first time that class of Russian submarine had been detected near a U.S. coast, said<br />
officials who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitive nature of anti-submarine warfare efforts.<br />
One defense official said the submarine was believed to have been conducting anti-submarine warfare efforts<br />
against U.S. ballistic and cruise missile submarines based at Kings Bay, Georgia.<br />
A second official said the submarine did not sail close to Kings Bay and also did not threaten a U.S. aircraft carrier<br />
strike group that was conducting exercises in the eastern Atlantic.<br />
Kings Bay Naval Submarine Base, north of Jacksonville, Fla., is homeport for two guided missile submarines and<br />
six nuclear missile submarines. The submarines are known to be a target of Russian attack submarines.<br />
Meanwhile, the officials also said that a Russian electronic intelligence-gathering vessel was granted safe harbor in<br />
the commercial port of Jacksonville, Fla., within listening range of Kings Bay.<br />
The Russian AGI ship, or Auxiliary-General Intelligence, was allowed to stay in the port to avoid the superstorm that<br />
battered the U.S. East Coast last week. A Jacksonville Port Authority spokeswoman had no immediate<br />
comment on the Russian AGI at the port. (Note: For more information on Auxiliary-General<br />
Intelligence see http://www.fas.org/irp/world/russia/fapsi/shcherbakov.htm and<br />
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Auxiliary_General_Intelligence .<br />
“A Russian AGI and an SSN in the same geographic area as one of the largest U.S. ballistic<br />
missile submarine bases—Kings Bay—is reminiscent of Cold War activities of the Soviet navy tracking<br />
the movements of our SSBN’s,” said a third U.S. official, referring to the designation for ballistic missile submarines, SSBN.<br />
“While I can’t talk about how we detected it, I can tell you that things worked the way they were supposed to,” the<br />
second official said, stating that the Russian submarine “poses no threat whatsoever.”<br />
According to naval analysts, the Russian attack submarine is outfitted with SS-N-21 anti-submarine warfare<br />
missiles, as well as SS-N-16 anti-submarine warfare missiles. It also is equipped with torpedoes.<br />
The U.S. Navy deploys a series of underwater sonar sensors set up at strategic locations near the United States<br />
that detected the submarine sometime late last month.<br />
The submarine is currently believed to be in international waters several hundred miles from the United States.<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 10 of 25<br />
The official said the deployment appeared to be part of efforts by the Russian navy to re-establish its blue-water<br />
naval power projection capabilities.<br />
Naval analyst Miles Yu, writing in the newsletter Geostrategy Direct, stated that Russia announced in February it is<br />
stepping up submarine patrols in strategic waters around the world in a throwback to the Soviet<br />
period.<br />
“On June 1 or a bit later we will resume constant patrolling of the world’s oceans by<br />
strategic nuclear submarines,” Russian Navy Commander Adm. Vladimir Vysotsky was quoted as<br />
saying Feb. 3.<br />
During the Cold War, Moscow’s submarine forces carried out hundreds of submarine patrols annually to maintain its<br />
first- and second-strike nuclear capabilities. By 1984, the Soviet Union was declining but its naval forces conducted 230<br />
submarine patrols. Today the number is fewer than 10 patrols.<br />
Richard Fisher, a military analyst with the International Assessment and Strategy Center, said Russian submarine<br />
patrols in the Atlantic have been reduced but remain “regular.”<br />
“As was their primary mission during the Cold War, Russian SSNs [nuclear attack submarines] would likely be trying<br />
to track U.S. nuclear missile submarines deploying from Kings Bay, Ga., and to monitor U.S. naval deployments from<br />
Norfolk, Va.,” Fisher said in an email.<br />
While the Sierra-2 is comparable to the U.S. Los Angeles-class attack submarine, Russia is building a new class of<br />
attack submarines that are said to be comparable to the latest U.S. Virginia-class submarines, Fisher said.<br />
The submarine deployment followed stepped-up Russian nuclear bomber activity near<br />
U.S. borders last summer, including the transit of two Bear-H strategic bombers near the Alaska<br />
air defense zone during Russian strategic bomber war games in arctic in late June.<br />
Then on July 4, in an apparent Fourth of July political message, a Russian Bear-H flew<br />
the closest to the U.S. West Coast that a Russian strategic bomber had flown since the Cold<br />
War when such flights were routine.<br />
In both incidents, U.S. military spokesmen sought to downplay the threat posed by the air incursions, apparently in<br />
response to the Obama administration’s conciliatory “reset” policy of seeking closer ties with Moscow.<br />
U.S. and Canadian interceptor jets were scrambled to meet the Russian bombers during the flights last summer.<br />
The officials did not provide the name of the Russian submarine. However, the sole Sierra-2 submarine still<br />
deployed with Russia’s Northern Fleet is the nuclear powered attack submarine Pskov that was first deployed in 1993.<br />
Confirmation of the recent Sierra-2 submarine deployment followed a report from U.S. national security officials who<br />
said a more advanced and harder-to-detect Russian Akula-class attack submarine had sailed undetected in the Gulf of<br />
Mexico in August.<br />
Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Jonathan W. Greenert, in response to thereport first published in the Free<br />
Beacon, stated in a letter to Sen. John Cornyn (R., Texas) that “based on all of the source information available to us, a<br />
Russian submarine did not enter the Gulf of Mexico.”<br />
Navy spokesmen did not say whether an Akula had been detected elsewhere in the Atlantic around that time<br />
period.<br />
A Navy spokesman said later that the last time an Akula was confirmed as present near the United States was<br />
2009.<br />
The U.S. is not the only country responding to increased Russian strategic bomber activity.<br />
Norway’s military has detected an increase in Russian strategic bomber flights near its territory, the most recent<br />
being the flight of a Bear H bomber on Sept. 11 and 12 that was shadowed by NATO jet fighters.<br />
Norwegian Lt. Col. John Espen Lien told the Free Beacon in an email that the number of Russian bomber flights this<br />
year was more than in the past, with 55 bombers detected.<br />
According to Norwegian military data, Russian aircraft flights near Norwegian coasts began increasing in July 2007<br />
and increased from 14 flights in 2006 to 88 in 2007. There were 87 in 2008 and 77 in 2009 and a decline to 37 in 2010 and<br />
48 in 2011.<br />
“Most of these strategic flights are … Tupolev TU-95 Bear [bombers],” he<br />
stated. “In 2007 (and partly 2008) we also identified some TU-160 Blackjack.<br />
Lately we have also identified some TU-22 Backfire.”<br />
http://freebeacon.com/russian-subs-skirt-coast/<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Russian Seirra-2<br />
Page 11 of 25<br />
Entered service 1992<br />
Crew 61 men<br />
Diving depth (operational) ?<br />
Diving depth (maximum) 750 m<br />
Sea endurance ?<br />
Dimensions and displacement<br />
Length ~ 111 m<br />
Beam ~ 11.5 m<br />
Draught 9.4 m<br />
Surfaced displacement 7 600 tons<br />
Submerged displacement 9 100 tons<br />
Propulsion and speed<br />
Surfaced speed 10 knots<br />
Submerged speed 32 knots<br />
Propulsion<br />
One pressurized water reactor, rated at<br />
190MW delivering power to one shaft, 2<br />
x 1002 hp emergency motors<br />
Missiles<br />
Armament<br />
SS-N-15 Starfish or SS-N-16 Stallion<br />
anti-submarine missiles; SS-N-21<br />
Samson cruise missiles<br />
Torpedoes<br />
Other<br />
4 x 650-mm and 4 x 533-mm torpedo<br />
tubes<br />
42 mines in place of torpedoes<br />
Russian Akula-class Attack Submarine:<br />
Entered service 1986<br />
Crew 62 men<br />
Diving depth (maximum) 450 m<br />
Dimensions and displacement<br />
Length 111.7 m<br />
Beam 13.5 m<br />
Draught 9.6 m<br />
Surfaced displacement 7 500 tons<br />
Submerged displacement 9 100 tons<br />
Propulsion and speed<br />
Surfaced speed 20 knots<br />
Submerged speed 35 knots<br />
Nuclear reactors 1 x 190 MW<br />
Steam turbines 1 x 32 MW<br />
Armament<br />
Torpedoes and missiles<br />
4 x 650 mm and 4 x 533-mm torpedo<br />
tubes for up to 40 torpedoes or missiles<br />
Other up to 42 mines in place of torpedoes<br />
The Project 945A Kondor class (NATO<br />
designation Sierra II) is a follow-on to the Sierra I<br />
class. It has a considerably larger sail than the<br />
Sierra I class. Masts are offset on the starboard<br />
side to make way for two escape pods in the sail.<br />
A prominent, much larger, pod on the after fin<br />
houses the Skat 3 passive, very low frequency<br />
towed array.<br />
Soviet titanium technology was far in advance of the West, requiring<br />
fewer passes to achieve a successful weld. However the cost of the hulls limited<br />
the numbers built, despite advantages in depth and underwater speed.<br />
One notable feature of the Sierra II class is the large space between<br />
the two hulls, which has obvious advantages for radiated noise reduction and<br />
damage resistance.<br />
Two Pskov (ex-Zubatka) and Nizhny Novgorod(ex-Okun) remain<br />
operational at Russia's Northern Fleet. A third of class, Mars, was laid down in<br />
1990. However it was scrapped before completion in 1992. This boat was built by<br />
improved Project 945B (NATO designation Sierra III class).<br />
The Sierra II class was succeeded by the Akula class SSNs.<br />
The steel-hulled submarines of<br />
the Project 971 Schuka-B, designated<br />
by NATO as Akula class were easier<br />
and cheaper to built than the Sierras,<br />
and are essentially successors to the<br />
prolific Victor class. Today, they make up about half of Russia's dwindling fleet of<br />
nuclear-powered attack submarines.<br />
The first seven boats (designated in the West as the Akula I class)<br />
were constructed between 1982-90, and are<br />
the Puma, Delfin, Kashalot, Bars, Kit, Pantera and Narval. Five more<br />
(the Volk, Morzh, Leopard, Tigr and Drakon built between 1986-95) are classified<br />
as the Project 971 U or Improved Akula class, while a 13th boat, the Vepr of the<br />
Project 971M or Akula II class, was launched in 1995 but was still incomplete at<br />
the end of 2002. Three additional boats<br />
the Belgograd, Kuguar and Nerpa launched between 1998-2000 as Akula II<br />
boats, are also incomplete. At least two more were projected but were not<br />
built. Nepra began sea trials in 2008 and is expected to commission with the<br />
Indian Navy as INS Chakra in 2009.<br />
The design was approved in the early 1970s but modified in 1978-80<br />
to carry the Granat (SS-N-21 Sampson) land attack cruise missiles. The Akula<br />
marked a significant improvement in Soviet submarine design as it is far quieter<br />
than the Victor and earlier SSNs. Furthermore it was far quitter than Western<br />
countries expected. The use of commercially available Western technology to<br />
reduce noise levels played an important role in this eroding a long-held NATO<br />
advantage in the underwater Cold War. Sensors were also much improved, the<br />
use of digital technology enabling them to detect targets at three times the range possible in a Victor.<br />
The Akulas sport a massive tear-drop shaped pod on the after fin: this houses the Skat-3 VLF passive towed array. There is an escape pod built into the<br />
fin. The Improved Akula and Akula II boats are fitted with six additional 533-mm (21-in) external torpedo tubes: as these cannot be reloaded from within the pressure<br />
hull, it is considered likely they are fitted with the Tsakra (SS-N-15 Starfish) anti-submarine missile. Additionally, the Akula II boats are credited with an increased<br />
operational diving depth.<br />
Four Akula I boats were paid off in the late 1990s and are unlikely to return, and they surviving boats are divided between the Northern and Pacific Fleets.<br />
In the future the older Akula class boats will be replaced by the new Graney class nuclear-powered attack submarines.<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
Graney Class Nuclear-powered Attack Submarine:<br />
Entered service<br />
Crew<br />
Diving depth (operational)<br />
expected in 2012<br />
50 ~ 90 men<br />
?<br />
Diving depth (maximum) 600 m<br />
Sea endurance 100 days<br />
Dimensions and displacement<br />
Length 111 ~ 119 m<br />
Beam 12 ~ 13.5 m<br />
Draught 8.4 ~ 9.4 m<br />
Surfaced displacement ~ 8 600 tons<br />
Submerged displacement ~ 13 800 tons<br />
Propulsion and speed<br />
Surfaced speed ~ 20 knots<br />
Submerged speed 31 ~ 35 knots<br />
Nuclear reactors ?<br />
Steam turbines ?<br />
Electric motors ?<br />
Armament<br />
Missiles 24 cruise missiles<br />
Torpedoes<br />
Other<br />
8 x 650-mm torpedo tubes for anti-ship<br />
missiles and torpedoes<br />
Mines in place of torpedoes<br />
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 12 of 25<br />
The Project 885 Yasen (NATO<br />
designation Graney class) is a new Russian<br />
nuclear-powered attack submarine. It will<br />
become a successor to the older Akula<br />
class submarines. The lead<br />
boat, Severodvinsk, was laid down in<br />
1993, however project was stopped in<br />
1996 due to funding problems. In 2003 the<br />
project received additional funding and work continued. It is<br />
expected to be commissioned with the Russian Navy in 2011.<br />
The second submarine of this class, the Kazan, was laid down in 2009.<br />
It is an improved project Yasen-M boat, fitted with improved electronic systems.<br />
Considerable changes were made to it's design, as this boat has been laid down<br />
16 years later than the Severodvinsk.<br />
Sources from the Russian MoD claim that at least four more<br />
submarines of this class are planned. All submarines will be built at Sevmash<br />
naval yard in Severodvinsk.<br />
The Graney class is larger than the previous Akula class. Armament of<br />
this submarine includes 24 vertical launch tubes for various cruise missiles and<br />
eight 650-mm torpedo tubes for torpedoes and anti-ship missiles. Some sources<br />
claim, that a total of 30 torpedoes and anti-ship missiles are carried. It is worth<br />
mentioning, that torpedo tubes are fitted behind the compartment of the central<br />
station. Cruise missiles include the P-800 Oniks (SS-N-26), which has a range of<br />
about 300 km. This multi-purpose submarine will be capable of striking costal<br />
targets.<br />
Hull of this submarine is made of low magnetic steel, with a spherical<br />
bow sonar. It is considered that the Graney class will be only slightly quieter than<br />
the improved Akula class.<br />
It is reported that this submarine will have a crew of 50, suggesting a<br />
high degree of automation. However other sources claim, that these boats have a<br />
crew of 90 submariners, including 32 officers.<br />
The Graney class submarine will have a single pressurized water reactor. This reactor has a service life of about 25 - 30 years and does not have to be<br />
refueled. Sea endurance of these boats will be limited only by food supplies.<br />
Related Posts:<br />
August 27, 2010, Russian subs stalk Trident in echo of Cold War. A specially upgraded Russian Akula class<br />
submarine has been caught trying to record the acoustic signature made by the Vanguard submarines that carry Trident<br />
nuclear missiles, according to senior Navy officers. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/defence/7969017/Russiansubs-stalk-Trident-in-echo-of-Cold-War.html<br />
Comment/Analysis: Whether or not a submarine entered the Gulf of Mexico (see volume 1, issue 5 of <strong>OSINT</strong><br />
<strong>Nuggets</strong>) and operated without being detected is still enough for a closer look at funding the Navy anti-submarine projects<br />
that had been cut. Now with the Russians operating close to the East Coast, the Navy may just be able to wrestle those<br />
dollars back. A big thank you to the Russians.<br />
<strong>OSINT</strong> Mali<br />
Mali is suffering from the chaotic geopolitical scene. What seems most probable<br />
is that there will be no military intervention. Whether the local populations in northern Mali,<br />
accustomed to a very tolerant "Sufi" version of Islam and most unhappy now, will rise up<br />
against the "Salafists" remains to be seen, argues Immanuel Wallerstein<br />
Up to very recently, very, very few persons, outside of its immediate neighbors<br />
and its former colonial power (France) had even heard of Mali, much less knew anything<br />
about its history and its politics. Today, northern Mali has been taken over militarily by<br />
"Salafist" groups sharing the outlook of al-Qaeda and practicing the harshest version of<br />
sharia -- with lapidation (punishment inflicted by throwing stones at the victim, even unto<br />
death) and amputation as punishments.<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 13 of 25<br />
This takeover has been condemned by a unanimous vote of the UN Security Council, which<br />
deemed it "a threat to international peace and security." The resolution cited "the rapidly<br />
deteriorating humanitarian situation" and "the increasing entrenchment of terrorist elements"<br />
and the potential "consequences for the countries of the Sahel and beyond." The UN declared<br />
it was ready to consider the constitution of an "international military force [to recover] the<br />
occupied regions in the north of Mali."<br />
The resolution was unanimous but toothless. In fact, Mali today represents the<br />
clearest possible case of geopolitical paralysis. All the major and minor powers in the region<br />
and beyond the region are genuinely concerned, and yet no one seems willing or able to do<br />
anything for fear that doing anything would result in what is being called the "Afghanistanization"<br />
of Mali. Furthermore, there are at least a dozen different actors involved, and almost all of them are<br />
deeply divided among themselves.<br />
How did this all start? The country called Mali (what was called the French Sudan during colonial rule beginning in<br />
1892) has been an independent state since 1960. It initially had a secular single-party government, which was socialist and<br />
nationalist. It was overturned by a military coup in 1968. The coup leaders in turn created another one-party regime, but one<br />
that was more market-oriented. It was in turn overthrown by another military coup in 1991, which adopted a constitution that<br />
permitted multiple parties. One party nonetheless dominated the political situation again. But because of the multi-party<br />
electoral processes, the Malian regime was now hailed in the West as "democratic" and exemplary.<br />
Throughout this time, the politicians and senior civil servants in the successive governments all mainly came from<br />
the ethnic groups in the southern 40% of the country. The more sparsely settled northern 60% was peopled by Tuareg<br />
groups who were marginalized and resented it. They periodically rebelled and talked of wanting an independent state.<br />
Many Tuareg fled to Libya (and Algeria) whose southern regions were also peopled by Tuareg. Some Tuareg found<br />
employment in the Libyan military. The confusion following the fall of Muammar Qaddafi allowed Tuareg soldiers to obtain<br />
weapons and return to Mali to take up the struggle for Azawad, the name they gave to an independent Tuareg state. They<br />
were organized as the Mouvement National pour la Libération de l'Azawad (MNLA).<br />
On March 22, a group of junior officers led by Amadou Haya Sanogo announced a third post-independence coup.<br />
They specifically alleged that the major reason for the coup was the inefficacity of the Malian army to deal with the<br />
secessionist pretentions of the MNLA. France, the United States, and most other West African states, declared strong<br />
opposition to the coup and demanded the restoration of the ousted government.<br />
An uneasy compromise was achieved between the Sanogo forces and the previous regime, in which a new<br />
president was installed ad interim. He chose a prime minister with family links to the leader of the 1968 coup. To this day, it<br />
is not sure who controls what in southern Mali. But the army is ill-trained and incapable of engaging in serious military action<br />
in the north of the country.<br />
Meanwhile in the north, the relatively secularist Moslems involved in the MNLA sought alliances with more<br />
fundamentalist groups. Almost immediately, the latter ousted the MNLA and took over control of all the major cities in<br />
northern Mali. However, these more fundamentalist elements were in fact three different groups: the Ansar Eddine who<br />
were local Tuareg; Al-Qaeda in the Maghreb (AQIM), composed mostly of non-Malians; and the Mouvement pour le Tawhid<br />
et du Jihad en Afrique de l'Ouest (MUJAO), a breakaway from AQIM. MUJAO had broken with AQIM because it deemed<br />
AQIM too exclusively interested in North Africa, and it wanted to spread its doctrine to West African countries. These groups<br />
control different areas and it is unclear how united they are, either tactically or in objectives.<br />
The next series of actors are the neighbors, all of whom are unhappy that the "Salafist" groups have taken effective<br />
control of such a large region, groups that are quite open about their desire to spread their doctrines to these neighbors.<br />
The neighbors however are equally divided about what to do. One group is the Economic Community of West African States<br />
(ECOWAS), which consists of 15 states -- all the former colonies of Great Britain, France, and Portugal plus Liberia -- with<br />
the sole exception of Mauritania.<br />
ECOWAS has wanted to help resolve the differences in the Malian government. They have suggested that they<br />
might be willing to send in some troops to regain control of northern Mali. The problem is twofold. The groups contesting in<br />
southern Mali are afraid of a semi-permanent intervention of ECOWAS, especially the Sanogo faction. And the only country<br />
that really has troops to offer is Nigeria, which is very reluctant to envisage this possibility because they need these troops<br />
to deal with their internal "Salafist" problem, the Boko Harem.<br />
Mauritania, which has been more successful than other West African governments in containing "Salafist" groups, is<br />
very fearful of a spread of these forces into Mauritania, especially should they agree to fight them militarily in Mali. Libya,<br />
aside from the fact that it faces enormous internal turmoil among its many armed groups, is especially afraid that the Tuareg<br />
populations in southern Libya would join in an expanded Azawad.<br />
Both France and the United States feel it is urgent to oust the "Salafists" from northern Mali. But the United States,<br />
overextended militarily as it is, does not want to send in any troops. France, or rather President Hollande, is taking the most<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 14 of 25<br />
forceful stand. They seem to be ready to send in troops. But France is the former colonial power, and French troops in Mali<br />
could arouse a very strong nationalist response.<br />
So what France and the United States are trying to do is to convince Algeria, which borders Mali on the north, and<br />
has a powerful army, to be the lead force in a military operation. The Algerians are hyper-dubious about the idea. For one<br />
thing, southern Algeria is Tuareg country. For another thing, the Algerian government feels it has contained the "Salafist"<br />
danger so far and is deeply afraid that a military intervention in Mali would undo this containment.<br />
So, everyone wants the "Salafist" groups to go away somehow, provided that someone else does the dirty work.<br />
And large groups in all these countries are opposed to any action whatsoever on the grounds that it would "Afghanistanize"<br />
the situation. That is, they fear that military action against the "Salafists" would strengthen, not weaken, them by attracting<br />
an influx of al-Qaeda-oriented individuals and groups to northern Mali. Afghanistan has become the symbol of what not to<br />
do. But doing nothing is otherwise called geopolitical paralysis.<br />
The bottom line is that Mali is suffering from the chaotic geopolitical scene. What seems most probable is that there<br />
will be no military intervention. Whether the local populations in northern Mali, accustomed to a very tolerant "Sufi" version<br />
of Islam and most unhappy now, will rise up against the "Salafists" remains to be seen. http://www.middle-eastonline.com/english/?id=55236<br />
Al-Qaeda in the Maghreb (AQIM): Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) is a Salafi-jihadist militant group and<br />
U.S.-designated Foreign Terrorist Organization operating in North Africa's Sahara and Sahel. The group can trace its<br />
provenance back to Algeria's civil war, and has since become an al-Qaeda affiliate with broader regional and international<br />
ambitions. While many experts suggest AQIM is the primary transnational terror threat in North Africa, the risk it poses to<br />
Europe and the United States remains unclear.<br />
AQIM's activities have garnered heightened scrutiny in recent months, particularly after the group, along with other<br />
radical Islamist factions, expanded its foothold in Mali's vast ungoverned north earlier this year, and, in September 2012,<br />
after an initial investigation into a deadly assault on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi, Libya, implicated several AQIM<br />
members. In the wake of these developments, the United States and other international actors are weighing policy<br />
alternatives, including armed military intervention and increased counterterrorism operations in the region.<br />
What are the origins of AQIM?<br />
AQIM's lineage extends back to a guerilla Islamist movement, known as the Armed Islamic Group (GIA), which<br />
violently opposed the secular leadership in Algiers in the 1990s. The insurrection began after Algeria's military regime<br />
canceled a second round of parliamentary elections in 1992, fearing an Islamist coalition might win power. In 1998, several<br />
GIA commanders became concerned the group's brutal tactics (e.g. beheadings) were alienating local inhabitants and broke<br />
away to found the Group Salafist pour la Predication et le Combat.<br />
GSPC initially drew its support from the Algerian population by vowing to continue the rebellion while avoiding the<br />
indiscriminate killing of civilians, but an effective government amnesty program and counterterrorism campaign drove the<br />
group into disarray in the early 2000s. Experts say GSPC's choice to align with al-Qaeda was a change of strategy aimed at<br />
retaining the group's relevance, and improving recruitment and fundraising. "In order to ensure its survival, the GSPC had<br />
no choice but to find a new mission that would re-energize its followers," writes Lianne Kennedy Boudali of the Countering<br />
Terrorism Center (CTC) at the U.S. Military Academy.<br />
While GSPC leaders pledged allegiance to al-Qaeda multiple times in the early 2000s, the linkage was not<br />
publically acknowledged until 2006 by Ayman al-Zawahiri—al-Qaeda's then-second in command. Analysts say the merger,<br />
and the new moniker underscoring the "Islamic Maghreb," symbolized the group's efforts to move beyond the Algerian<br />
conflict and focus on jihadist aspirations in the broader region.<br />
What are AQIM's objectives?<br />
According to West Point's center on terrorism, "a rough sketch" of AQIM's principle objectives includes ridding North<br />
Africa of western influence, overthrowing apostate "unbeliever" governments (including Algeria, Libya, Mali, Mauritania,<br />
Morocco, and Tunisia), and installing fundamentalist regimes based on Islamic law or Sharia. Experts say AQIM's narrative<br />
blends Salafi-jihadi ideology with North African nuances, including references to the early Islamic conquest of the Maghreb<br />
and the Iberian Peninsula. A component of the Salafi-jihadi philosophy is waging war against the "far enemy," which, in the<br />
case of AQIM, is primarily Spain and France. The group has referred to Spain as "our country" and called for its reconquest;<br />
likewise, AQIM has declared war on France, which reciprocated the gesture in 2010.<br />
In late 2012, some U.S. officials expressed concern that AQIM, which has made territorial gains in northern Mali,<br />
may target the United States, much like al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula—an al-Qaeda affiliate linked to several U.S.<br />
terror plots. Others say such claims over overblown, noting that AQIM has been known for years as "the most<br />
underperforming affiliate of al-Qaeda." However, official assessments may change with reports of potential AQIM links to the<br />
deadly attack on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi in September 2012.<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 15 of 25<br />
Where does AQIM operate?<br />
A successful counterterrorism campaign forced AQIM from its base of operations along Algeria's Mediterranean<br />
coast to the Sahel region that includes Niger, Mauritania, and Mali, where the group has established significant footholds in<br />
major cities. AQIM volunteers were also very active in Iraq during the 2003-2011 war with the United States, often<br />
performing suicide bombings.<br />
Unlike other al-Qaeda affiliates, AQIM has not yet been able to execute attacks on Europe or domestic U.S. targets.<br />
However, arrests of suspected terrorists with ties to AQIM have been made throughout Europe in the United Kingdom,<br />
Germany, Italy, Portugal, and the Netherlands. Some analysts point to thwarted attacks and arrests of AQIM-linked<br />
terrorists as evidence the group is capable of attacks in Western Europe.<br />
In 2012, the U.S. State Department expressed concerns that AQIM was networking (BBC) with other prominent<br />
terrorist groups in the region, including Nigeria's Boko Haram, Somalia's al-Shabaab, and Yemen's AQAP. The September<br />
2012 assault on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi has also raised concerns about AQIM's presence in Libya.<br />
What are the group's numbers and leadership?<br />
AQIM is estimated to have several hundred members, but precise data is unavailable. Most of AQIM's major<br />
leaders are believed to have trained in Afghanistan during the 1979-1989 war against the Soviets as part of a group of North<br />
African volunteers known as "Afghan Arabs" that returned to the region and radicalized Islamist movements in the years that<br />
followed. The group is divided into "katibas" or brigades, which are clustered into different and often independent cells.<br />
AQIM's top commanders, which are all Algerian, "may be rivals as much as comrades or they may operate relatively<br />
autonomously," according to the non-partisan Congressional Research Service.<br />
The group's top leader, or emir, since 2004 has been Abdelmalek Droukdel, also known as Abou Mossab<br />
Abdelwadoud, a trained engineer and explosives expert who has fought in Afghanistan and has roots with the GIA in<br />
Algeria. It is under Droukdel's leadership that AQIM declared France as its main target.One of the "most violent and radical"<br />
AQIM leaders is Abdelhamid Abou Zeid, according to counterterrorism experts. Abou Zied is linked to several kidnappings<br />
and executions of Europeans in the region.<br />
Mokhtar Belmokhtar, a founding member of AQIM and the powerful leader of Mali's northeastern Gao region, was<br />
reportedly killed in battles with Tuareg-led rebels in June 2012, but his death is unconfirmed.<br />
What are AQIM's tactics?<br />
AQIM employs many conventional terrorist tactics, including guerilla-style raids, assassinations, and suicide<br />
bombings of military, government, and civilian targets—but has historically avoided "force-on-force" encounters with military.<br />
Perhaps the group's most brazen attack was the December 2007 bombing of UN offices in Algiers, which killed dozens. The<br />
kidnapping—and sometimes execution—of aid workers, tourists, diplomats, and employees of multinational corporations is<br />
increasingly a prominent tactic. Indeed, AQIM has "largely been relegated to lower-level activities in the Sahel" in recent<br />
years, according to the Center for Strategic and International Studies.<br />
The group raises money through an array of criminal activity including kidnapping for ransom (KFR) and the<br />
trafficking of arms, vehicles, cigarettes, and persons, according to the U.S. State Department. Kidnappings not only raise<br />
funds, but also support prisoner exchanges and discourage foreign enterprise in the region. In October 2012, David Cohen,<br />
Under Secretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence at the U.S. Treasury Department, cited KFR as "the most<br />
significant terrorist financing threat today," and noted that AQIM "has likely profited most" from the activity.<br />
Analysts also say that AQIM is heavily involved in the smuggling of narcotics, providing a vital Sahel way-station<br />
between suppliers in Latin America and the European market. In July 2012, the head of U.S. Africa Command, Gen. Carter<br />
Ham, described AQIM as al-Qaeda's "wealthiest affiliate" (Reuters).<br />
What's AQIM doing in Mali?<br />
AQIM and other Islamist groups, like Ansar al-Din, initially aided the semi-nomadic Tuaregs—a historically<br />
disenfranchised minority ethnic group—that launched a rebellion in early 2012 against Mali's government forces and<br />
captured control of the country's sparsely populated north. But they have since marginalized Tuareg forces and begun<br />
implementing a severe brand of sharia law in the breakaway northern territory. According to the UN, the jihadist influx has<br />
been particularly brutal for women, many of whom have been raped or forced into marriage and prostitution.<br />
Mali, a predominantly Muslim, landlocked West African nation that straddles the arid latitudes of the sub-Saharan<br />
Sahel, achieved its independence from France in 1960, and had been celebrated by western-aid donors as a modest<br />
democratic success story over the past decade. However, the future political stability of the country is in doubt given the<br />
success of the insurgency and the power vacuum created by a subsequent military coup deposing President Amadou<br />
Toumani Touré in March.<br />
Though there is a transitional civilian government that assumed power with the military's consent in early April,<br />
AQIM and affiliated groups may leverage the political uncertainty to plot attacks on western targets in the region and<br />
abroad, some analysts fear. The conflict has generated a humanitarian crisis, displacing over 1.5 million people and<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 16 of 25<br />
exacerbating an already daunting regional food emergency. The region faces its most significant security challenge since<br />
the Algerian civil war, writes Derek Henry Flood for CTC, noting that "the Sahel has transformed from a rear logistical base<br />
to the locus of jihadist activity in North and West Africa."<br />
What are the policy options?<br />
Prior to the March 2012 coup, the U.S. State Department described Mali as "a leading regional partner in U.S.<br />
efforts against terrorism," and continues to stress that "the best strategy for dealing with AQIM remains working with<br />
regional governments to increase their capability, foster regional cooperation, and counter violent extremism."<br />
The primary vehicle for these efforts has been the Trans-Sahara Counterterrorism Partnership, an interagency<br />
(civilian and military) program established in 2005 that partners with over a half dozen countries in the Maghreb and Sahel.<br />
According to the U.S. Government Accountability Office, the Partnership has faced challenges from the outset, including the<br />
lack of a comprehensive strategic design that goes beyond traditional bilateral aid. Mali is the third partner country, after<br />
Mauritania and Niger, to experience a military coup since 2008.<br />
The United States and other international actors are weighing several policy alternatives following the degeneration<br />
of the Malian security situation and the expansion of AQIM and other jihadist groups in the country's north. In September<br />
2012, Gen. Carter Ham, the top U.S. commander for Africa, said there "are no plans for U.S. direct military intervention" in<br />
Mali, but added that logistical and intelligence support may be provided. Some counterterrorism officials say the use of<br />
drone strikes and commando raids in the region are under consideration. Targeted killings have been an essential U.S.<br />
strategy in the fight against al-Qaeda in Yemen, Pakistan, and Somalia. As of July 2012, the Pentagon has fewer than 5,000<br />
personnel, including civilians, on the entire African continent.<br />
In October 2012, the UN Security Council unanimously backed a resolution calling for the Economic Community of<br />
West African States (ECOWAS), the African Union, and Mali's transitional government to develop military intervention plans<br />
in order to retake the country's north from AQIM and its affiliates. France, which sponsored the resolution, stressed that any<br />
military operations be executed only by Africans.<br />
"One of the biggest questions with regard to Mali's northern rebels and now entrenched jihadists has been the<br />
potential role or lack thereof of Algeria," says Flood. Algeria and Mauritania, both of which share huge borders with Mali,<br />
have ruled out contributing forces to any intervention and stress the need for dialogue and a political solution to Mali's crisis.<br />
http://www.cfr.org/north-africa/al-qaeda-islamic-maghreb-aqim/p12717<br />
Related Documents:<br />
Congressional Research Service - Crisis In Mali. The West African country of Mali is mired in overlapping crises.<br />
A military coup overthrew Mali’s democratically elected government in March 2012 and insurgent groups seized its vast and<br />
sparsely populated northern territory. With regard to the crises, Congress may consider issues related to US and<br />
international aid to Mali, support for ECOWAS, and humanitarian assistance in response to evolving conditions in the Sahel.<br />
Congress may also consider the possible implications of the situation in Mali for the design, emphasis, and evaluation of US<br />
counter-terrorism and good governance efforts in Africa. http://www.isn.ethz.ch/isn/Digital-<br />
Library/Publications/Detail/?id=153702&lng=en<br />
Addressing an Imploding Mali. A separatist and Islamist insurgency in the north, weak democratic governance<br />
and drought are pushing Mali to the brink of collapse. The way forward, argues the author, involves seeking a political<br />
settlement with secessionists and external intervention to avert a humanitarian disaster. http://www.isn.ethz.ch/isn/Digital-<br />
Library/Publications/Detail/?id=152580&lng=en<br />
Mysterious fatal crash offers rare look at U.S. commando presence in Mali. In pre-dawn darkness, a Toyota<br />
Land Cruiser skidded off a bridge in North Africa in the spring, plunging into the Niger River. When rescuers arrived, they<br />
found the bodies of three U.S. Army commandos — alongside three dead women.<br />
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/mysterious-fatal-crash-provides-rare-glimpse-of-us-commandos-inmali/2012/07/08/gJQAGO71WW_story.html<br />
Comment/Analysis: With the situation being so fluid it is really difficult to predict what will actually take place but it<br />
appears that France and the U.S. are willing to provide logistical and intelligence support. If this is the case then it is<br />
probably a sure thing that the African Union will commit to military operations in the north with the blessing of the UN<br />
Security Council.<br />
My suspicion is, based on the mysterious crash article above, that we have active SOF already operating in Mali to<br />
gather intelligence for the deploying units since the U.S. commitment is for intelligence support.<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 17 of 25<br />
November 9, 2012, The Warhead Gap - China’s tactical and theater nuclear force levels revealed by Russian<br />
general<br />
China has nearly 750 theater and tactical nuclear warheads in addition to more than 200 strategic missile<br />
warheads, a stockpile far larger than U.S. estimates, according to a retired Russian general who once led Moscow’s<br />
strategic forces.<br />
New details of China’s strategic and tactical nuclear warheads levels were disclosed by retired Col. Gen. Viktor<br />
Yesin, former commander of Russia’s Strategic Rocket Forces, during a conference several months ago. A copy of Yesin’s<br />
paper was translated last month by the Georgetown University Asian Arms Control Project and obtained by<br />
the Washington Free Beacon.<br />
Yesin for the first time disclosed details on China’s theater and tactical nuclear warheads showing a total of 719 to<br />
749 warheads used on bombers, short- and medium-range missiles, and a new land-attack cruise missile, in a recent paper<br />
published in the book titled Prospects for China’s Participation in Nuclear Arms Limitation.<br />
Yesin concludes that China’s nuclear arsenal is “appreciably higher than many experts think.”<br />
“In all likelihood, the [People’s Republic of China] is already the third nuclear power today, after the U.S. and<br />
Russia, and it undoubtedly has technical and economic capabilities that will permit it to rapidly increase its nuclear might if<br />
necessary,” he said.<br />
Yesin first revealed higher estimates of the Chinese warhead stockpile last spring that he says contain as many as<br />
1,800 warheads, including up to 900 warheads deployed and ready for use. That estimate is based on China’s stockpile of<br />
more than 50 tons of weapons-grade uranium and plutonium and contradicts lower warhead estimates done by U.S.<br />
intelligence agencies and private arms control groups.<br />
U.S. intelligence agencies have asserted in classified studies that China’s total nuclear force includes about 300<br />
nuclear warheads. Two liberal arms control groups, the Federation of American Scientists and the Natural Resources<br />
Defense Council several years ago accused the Pentagon of exaggerating China’s nuclear forces. They asserted China’s<br />
total nuclear warhead force is about 200 warheads, with no tactical warheads.<br />
A forthcoming annual report by the congressional United States-China Economic and Security Review Commission<br />
states that China’s nuclear arsenal includes between 100 and 500 weapons, with a general consensus that Beijing has<br />
around 240 nuclear weapons.<br />
The draft annual report also said China is moving ahead with deployment of nuclear missile submarines.<br />
“China has had a symbolic ballistic missile submarine capability for decades but is only now on the cusp of<br />
establishing its first credible, ‘near-continuous at-sea strategic deterrent,’” states the report obtained by the Free Beacon.<br />
The report warns Congress to “treat with caution any proposal to unilaterally, or in the context of a bilateral<br />
agreement with Russia, reduce the U.S.’s operational nuclear forces absent clearer information being made available to the<br />
public about China’s nuclear stockpile and force posture.”<br />
According to Yesin, China’s bombs and warheads include B-4 and B-5 aerial bombs, 2-megaton missile warheads,<br />
and 500- and 300-kiloton strategic missile warhead. A megaton is the nuclear equivalent to a million tons of TNT; a kiloton<br />
equals a thousand tons of TNT.<br />
For its tactical and theater warhead<br />
arsenal, the Chinese also have a 350-kiloton<br />
warhead for medium range DF-21 missiles and<br />
five to 20 kiloton warheads for DF-15 and DF-11<br />
short-range missiles that are mainly targeted on Taiwan. The 350-kiloton<br />
warhead can also be deployed on China’s new DH-10 land-attack cruise<br />
missiles, Yesin said.<br />
For submarine-launched JL-2 missiles, China has a 500-kiloton<br />
warhead.<br />
According to the Russian general, China<br />
also is building multiple-warhead missiles that will<br />
require large increases in the number of warheads.<br />
<strong>OSINT</strong> China<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 18 of 25<br />
“An advanced development is the multiple independently targeted reentry vehicle (MIRV),” he said, for DF-5A and<br />
DF-31A ICBMs, and the JL-2.<br />
Experimental MIRV prototypes may have been fabricated and used in flight tests in 2011, he said.<br />
The Free Beacon first disclosed that China conducted the flight test of a new long-range missile called the DF-41<br />
that U.S. intelligence agencies assess will be outfitted with multiple warheads.<br />
China’s aerial bomb arsenal for its Hong-6 bombers includes 440 B-5 and B-4 bombs, Yesin said.<br />
For missiles, the retired general said that “all told, 207 missile launchers are deployed within the Strategic Missile<br />
Forces—48 with ICBMs, 99 with [medium-range ballistic missiles] MRBMs, and 60 with [short-range] SRMs.”<br />
Total strategic warheads—those capable of reaching the United States—include 208 nuclear warheads, Yesin said.<br />
The figures presented by the former Russian general are renewing debate about the threat posed by Chinese<br />
strategic and tactical nuclear forces and whether U.S. intelligence agencies have accurately assessed the threat.<br />
The Yesin report was produced as part of a series of papers that examined the prospect of trilateral strategic arms<br />
talks between the United States, Russia, and China. It concludes that<br />
China’s communist government see little interest in joining such talks<br />
unless it can use them to force concessions from the United States to<br />
reduce its nuclear weapons stocks.<br />
Phillip Karber, a Georgetown University professor who<br />
sparked the debate through a university project that exposed China’s<br />
3,000-mile long underground nuclear complex, said the Russian<br />
debate on China’s nuclear forces shows its strategic analysts are<br />
“thinking about the instability and dangers of a potential ‘tripolar’<br />
nuclear balance” that has received scant attention from U.S. military or<br />
arms control advocates.<br />
“The Russian report raises important questions about their and<br />
our ability to stay in existing arms control treaties and implement deep<br />
nuclear cuts when the Chinese are not constrained and have<br />
tactical/theater missile dominance as well as an emerging breakout<br />
potential over the next decade with unverified numbers of mobile<br />
MIRVed ICBMs hidden in a extensive underground infrastructure,”<br />
Karber said.<br />
Karber said the Russian specialists quoted in the report have credibility because of Moscow’s past and current role<br />
in China’s nuclear program. Russia’s Strategic Rocket Forces also has good intelligence on China’s nuclear arsenal<br />
because it targeted China for three decades.<br />
“This close proximity and long track record means that Russian ‘realism’ about Chinese nuclear force potential<br />
cannot be blithely ignored or discounted as ‘paranoia,’” Karber said. “Their warning against American ‘idealism’ [on China’s<br />
nuclear arms] needs to be taken seriously.”<br />
Richard Fisher, a China military specialist with the International Assessment and Strategy Center, also said the<br />
latest Yesin report is a wake-up call for U.S. analysts.<br />
“If Yesin’s numbers for Chinese theater nuclear weapons approaches reality, then the Obama administration’s 2010<br />
reduction in U.S. theater weapons via the retirement of the Navy’s TLAM-N nuclear cruise missiles amounted to an act of<br />
unilateral disarmament that may prove destabilizing if it tempts China to consider military action,” Fisher said.<br />
Fisher also said the estimates presented by Yesin may differ from western estimates but “we cannot forget that<br />
Yesin once was in command of Russia’s strategic missile forces, so it would have been his business to know about China’s<br />
nuclear forces.”<br />
Fisher said Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan currently are developing long-range offensive missiles or already have<br />
advanced space launchers that could be converted to intermediate-range missiles.<br />
“If Washington does not take steps to strengthen non-nuclear deterrence in Asia, apparently our allies are not going<br />
to simply accept China’s nuclear missile hegemony,” he said.<br />
The Navy is developing a new long-range submarine-launched ballistic missile to bolster aircraft carrier strike<br />
groups.<br />
“New long range non-nuclear armed missiles combined with new very long-range radar in Japan and the Philippines<br />
could become a new reconnaissance-strike-complex that could balance China’s emerging similar missile strike forces,”<br />
Fisher said.<br />
The new missiles could check China’s missiles for at least the next decade, Fisher said, and “until the U.S. moves<br />
in this direction, there is probably no chance that China would consider entering into any formal missile limitation<br />
agreements.”<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 19 of 25<br />
The sponsor was the Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences.<br />
“There are serious fears concerning the fact that the nuclear potential of the PRC is appreciably higher than had<br />
been previously thought,” an introduction to the book states. “It is entirely likely that, even as we speak, the PRC is the third<br />
nuclear power after the US and Russia, and that it undoubtedly has the technical and economic capabilities needed in order<br />
to quickly increase its nuclear firepower if necessary.”<br />
“The most important takeaway from this collection, though, is not any particular fact or proposition,” said Jonathan<br />
Askonas, the Georgetown student director of the Asian Arms Control Project. ”It is a new strategic reality. China is<br />
modernizing its military in a way that challenges the security interests of other great powers interested in Asian stability.”<br />
http://freebeacon.com/the-warhead-gap/<br />
Related Links:<br />
China’s Underground “Great Wall”: A Success for Nuclear Primacy. http://csis.org/blog/chinas-underground-greatwall-success-nuclear-primacy<br />
What’s Down There? China’s Tunnels and Nuclear Capabilities. http://blog.heritage.org/2011/10/26/whats-downthere-chinas-tunnels-and-nuclear-capabilities/<br />
<strong>OSINT</strong> USA<br />
November 19, 2012, U.S Intensifies Military Encirclement of China. With the emergence of China as the world’s<br />
second-largest economy and its concomitant renewal of (comparatively minor) territorial claims in the East China Sea and<br />
South China Sea, the stage is set for a U.S.-Chinese confrontation of a nature and on a scale not seen since before the<br />
Sino-Soviet split of 1960.<br />
Following the expansion of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization throughout Europe over the past thirteen years –<br />
every European nation is now a full member of or involved in one or more partnership arrangements with the U.S.-led<br />
military bloc except for Cyrus, which is under intensified pressure to join the Partnership for Peace program – which has<br />
enforced a cordon sanitaire on Russia’s western and much of its southern frontier, it was inevitable that the U.S. and its<br />
allies would next move to encircle, quarantine and ultimately confront China.<br />
In the past decade the Pentagon has begun conducting annual multinational military exercises in nations bordering<br />
China (Khaan Quest in Mongolia, Steppe Eagle in Kazakhstan) and near it (Angkor Sentinel in Cambodia), has with its<br />
NATO allies waged war and moved into bases in nations bordering China – Afghanistan, Kyrgyzstan, Pakistan and<br />
Tajikistan – as well as nearby Uzbekistan, and, even before the official announcement of the strategic shift to the Asia-<br />
Pacific region, acquired the use of new military facilities in Afghanistan, Kyrgyzstan, Pakistan, Australia, Singapore and the<br />
Philippines.<br />
President Obama’s current visit to Cambodia, Myanmar and Thailand and Defense Secretary Leon Panetta’s<br />
simultaneous trip to Australia, Cambodia and Thailand are exemplary of this trend.<br />
Early this year NATO announced the launching of its latest, and first non-geographically specific, partnership<br />
program, Partners Across the Globe, which began with the incorporation of eight Asia-Pacific nations: Afghanistan,<br />
Australia, Iraq, Japan, Mongolia, New Zealand, Pakistan and South Korea.<br />
Since the summer of 2010 the U.S. has been courting the ten members of the Association of Southeast Asian<br />
Nations (Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam),<br />
several of whom are embroiled in island disputes with China, for inclusion into a rapidly evolving Asian analogue of NATO<br />
which includes the eight above-mentioned new NATO partners and is intended to be a super-Cold War era-like bloc<br />
subsuming the former members of the Central Treaty Organization (CENTO), Southeast Asia Treaty Organization (SEATO)<br />
and Australia, New Zealand, United States Security Treaty (ANZUS) into a systematic initiative aimed against China.<br />
The so-called Asia-Pacific pivot also entails the deployment of 60 percent of total American naval assets –<br />
quantitatively the largest and qualitatively the most technologically advanced and lethal in the world – to the Asia-Pacific<br />
region. Even before that U.S. Pacific Command’s area of responsibility has included over 50 percent of the world’s surface,<br />
more than 100 million square miles, with U.S. Central Command bordering China and India in the other direction. The U.S.<br />
Seventh Fleet, tasked to patrol the waters of the Asia-Pacific, is the largest overseas naval force in the world and will be<br />
further enhanced by the U.S. Navy’s intensified deployment to the region. The U.S. has eleven of the world’s twelve nuclear<br />
aircraft carriers and all eleven supercarriers.<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 20 of 25<br />
Washington is also incorporating several Asia-Pacific nations into its global interceptor missile grid, in its initial<br />
avatar launched in conjunction with NATO and the so-called European Phased Adaptive Approach which will station<br />
increasingly longer-range land-based missiles in Romania and Poland and Aegis class cruisers and destroyers equipped<br />
with Standard Missile-3 interceptors in the Mediterranean and likely later in the Baltic, Norwegian, Black and even Barents<br />
Seas.<br />
The Pentagon’s partners in the Asia-Pacific wing of the international missile system, which targets China as the<br />
European version does Russia, include to date Japan, South Korea, Australia and Taiwan, with the Philippines reported to<br />
be the future host of two Forward-Based X-Band Radar-Transportable interceptor sites of the sort deployed to Turkey at the<br />
beginning of this year and to Israel in 2008.<br />
China is a critically important component of the two groups representing the greatest potential for a multi-polar<br />
world, BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Russia, its partner in<br />
both, confronting the same threats from the West, must, in its own interest as well as those of world peace and equilibrium,<br />
support China against American brinkmanship and gunboat diplomacy. http://www.boilingfrogspost.com/2012/11/19/u-sintensifies-military-encirclement-of-china/<br />
Comments/Analysis: In comparison to other countries, the U.S. is more open when it comes to publishing<br />
information which makes it easier to harvest open source information.<br />
Gang Facts<br />
If You Don't Know About Gangs - You Should:<br />
Part I http://www.corrections.com/news/article/30918-if-you-don-t-know-about-gangs-you-should-part-i<br />
Part 2 http://www.corrections.com/news/article/30919-if-you-don-t-know-about-gangs-you-should-part-ii<br />
Part 3 will be published next month.<br />
The above was in the October newsletter and I had promised to include Part 3 in the November issue, however, it<br />
has not been published as of today.<br />
October 28, 2012, A to Z: Deadly slang by gangs of New York. The crab got a biscuit and is drinking the bumble<br />
bee’s milk.Translation: a Crip gang member has a gun and is looking to kill a Latin King rival.New York gangs aren’t just a<br />
frightening menace driving up crime in the city. They operate in a shadowy underworld with their own signs, signals and<br />
terminology.But a forthcoming book by gang expert Lou Savelli pulls back the veil, revealing thousands of insider terms for<br />
everything that makes up gangster life: guns, drugs, money and murder.<br />
“Gangs have their own language to represent who they are and to show their camaraderie,” says Savelli, a leading<br />
consultant who founded the NYPD’s gang unit and is now deputy director of the nonprofit East Coast Gang Investigators<br />
Association.<br />
“The slang they develop helps protect them from law enforcement. They also don’t want other criminals ripping<br />
them off.”Savelli says the emergence of small youth crews and the rising power of outlaw motorcycle gangs (OMGs) pose<br />
significant threats.<br />
“There’s more sex-trafficking and prostitution from last year,” he said.<br />
He noted that a federal gang-intelligence report on Oct. 12 noted that 48 percent of the crime nationwide is<br />
committed by gangs.<br />
No wonder Police Commissioner Ray Kelly recently called for doubling the size of the NYPD’s gang unit.<br />
Some of the 5,000-plus words and phrases in Savelli’s book, “Gang Related: Signs, Signals and Slang of Modern<br />
Gangs and Organized Crime” — a work in progress intended both for cops and general readers — have already made it<br />
into everyday use: bling, chilling and po-po, for example.<br />
Others, like bumble bee, a name the Latin Kings got in the 1990s when they wore puffy goose-down jackets in black<br />
and gold, are limited to the criminal community.<br />
Here, an A to Z guide of some of the terms Savelli highlights:<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 21 of 25<br />
Adidas: “All Day I Destroy a Slob.” This from the Crips, a gang of about 3,200 in New York who have taken to<br />
wearing T-shirts from the sports apparel company instead of identifying themselves with their signature blue hats and<br />
bandanas. The phrase is a boast aimed at their main rivals, the Bloods, a gang of 7,000 whom they derisively call “slobs.”<br />
Biscuit: A gun. “Ya gotta biscuit?” is used by street and motorcycle gangs. Other terms for gun: gat, nine (for the 9mm<br />
handgun), puppy (among Jamaicans) and pump (for shotgun).<br />
Crab: The Bloods’ term for Crips. “It’s a way to disrespect them,” says Savelli. Crab is the sexually transmitted<br />
variety.<br />
Drinking milk: A Crip term for targeting or killing a rival, stolen from the Bloods in the 1990s, when jailed Blood<br />
members devised a way to disrespect others in prison -- by stealing food off their tray or drinking their milk. It’s now used<br />
widely by various gangs.<br />
Elbow: Used by drug dealers to describe a pound (that is, “lb.”) of drugs.<br />
Fat Boris: A term among Russians organized-crime members for a scammer who will pose as an attractive woman<br />
online, seducing his target into accepting delivery on jewelry or other luxury good and sending the item to Europe. This<br />
allows the thief to hide his involvement in buying expensive merchandise with a stolen credit card.<br />
Ghetto star: A top street drug dealer, usually in a housing project. Term likely started with Harlem drug lord Nicky<br />
Barnes. “Fifty Cent was also a ghetto star,” notes Savelli.<br />
Hotel: Used as a dismissive term for jail by the Israeli Mafia, whose ultra tough, heroin-dealing members have been<br />
locked up in many prisons across the globe. “It’s just a place where they’re going to stay for a while,” Savelli says.<br />
Inca: a top leader in the Latin Kings, who have about 3,000 members in New York, predominantly Puerto Ricans<br />
concentrated in Brooklyn and The Bronx. There are believed to be five Incas in the city.<br />
Jumped in: An initiation beating. Beatings have fallen out of favor with some gangs but are still used by Bloods,<br />
Crips and Mexican crews. “You can cover up but you can’t fight back,” Savelli says. Survive it and you’re in.<br />
Kite: A jailhouse letter in the shape of a miniature kite. “They actually can ‘fly’ from cell to cell,” explains Savelli.<br />
“They look like kites on strings. It’s amazing. And the note is written in such small letters that they can write volumes. It’s a<br />
way to place your order for drugs or to get someone shanked.”<br />
Lampin’: A term for hanging out under a street-light, usually where drugs are sold. “That’s what kids do — that’s<br />
their turf, their territory,” says Savelli. Dates back to the 1960s.<br />
Mug: An Albanian gangster. Originated with Jimmy Cagney films, which referred to prison photos as mug shots.<br />
Overseas gangsters get many terms from Hollywood. “Jamaicans call themselves posses because of the spaghetti<br />
westerns of the 1970s,” says Savelli.<br />
Nickel: Five years in prison, a badge of honor and commonly used among gangs. “Average drug dealers do six<br />
months to two years, so if you’re in for five, there’s a chance you did a murder or a major drug case,” says Savelli.<br />
On point: Getting ready to fight. It’s a generic term but used most commonly by Bloods and Crips. “They’ll say, ‘Be<br />
on point,’ Savelli notes. “It also means to get your gun ready.”<br />
Picasso: Both a noun and a verb, it refers to the slicing up of one’s face in prison. “You’ll hear people say, ‘He’s so<br />
good with a knife, he’ll do a Picasso on you,’ ” says Savelli. The mark of a serious slashing is also called a “buck fifty.” That<br />
means at least 150 stitches.<br />
Queen: a female member of the Latin Kings.<br />
Rack: To steal. “Rack up” means to shoplift.<br />
Stack: Refers to both gang hand signals and speaking only by using them. “Some of these gangs can do the whole<br />
alphabet in their own signs or using American sign language,” says Savelli. “They could have a whole conversation without<br />
saying a word.”<br />
Terror Dome: Attica prison. A gathering place for hard-core killers,<br />
murderers, rapists and major drug dealers. Name comes from its violence and<br />
history of riots in 1960s and ’70s.<br />
Uryt: To kill or bury in Russian. “It actually means to bury a body —<br />
‘Bury this guy,’ ” says Savelli. Russian gangsters, notoriously ruthless, do fewer<br />
murders today than in the past as they concentrate on ID theft and financial<br />
scams.<br />
Ventana: A lookout among Mexican and Latin King gangs. It’s the<br />
Spanish word for window.<br />
Wanksta: A wannabe gangster, a pretender. Word is a cross between wanker and gangster.<br />
Xap Sam: A type of poker favored by Chinese gangsters. Played in the back of crime-controlled nail salons and<br />
massage parlors in Chinatown and Sunset Park, centers for prostitution and illegal gambling.<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 22 of 25<br />
Yubitsume: Punishment in the Yakuza Japanese mob in which a pinkie is chopped off. The Yakuza in New York<br />
maintain a low profile but are actively engaged in extortion and prostitution. It’s one of the biggest gangs worldwide, with<br />
some 200,000 members.<br />
Zoomer: A street gang term for someone who sells fake drugs to unsuspecting druggies. Gang members don’t like<br />
zoomers because they are bad for business and bring unwanted heat from law-enforcement.<br />
http://www.nypost.com/p/news/local/gangs_of_new_york_from_to_OUO9fsgBi75VcDQkYY5SuO/1<br />
Drug Smuggling Methods<br />
October 30, 2012, CBP U. S. Border Patrol Agents Seize Over $1M Worth of<br />
Marijuana Concealed in Coax Cable. Agents working roving patrol duties in the Zapata County<br />
area noticed a suspicious white 2001 Ford F-250 truck pulling a 16 foot trailer loaded with 12<br />
spools of coax cable near San Ygnacio, Texas. The agents approached the trailer and noticed<br />
that it was swaying from the northbound lane to the shoulder and back. As they drove even<br />
closer, the driver appeared surprised when he saw the marked Border Patrol Unit and tapped on<br />
his brakes, jerking his steering wheel towards the shoulder of the road. Agents also noticed the<br />
tail gate of the truck had F-150 model decals and the side panels had F-250 decals. Border<br />
Patrol agents then conducted a vehicle stop on the truck in order to conduct an immigration<br />
inspection. Due to several discrepancies in this situation, a service canine was dispatched to<br />
perform a cursory inspection of the vehicle which resulted in an alert.<br />
The driver, identified as a 30-year old male U.S. Citizen from Laredo, Texas, was<br />
transported to the Zapata station for further questioning. The agents conducted an intensive<br />
inspection of the truck and trailer with the use of the x-ray which revealed anomalies within<br />
the spools of coax cables that were on the trailer. The substance inside the spools tested<br />
positive for marijuana.<br />
A total of 287 bundles of marijuana were extracted, with a total weight of 1,380.5<br />
pounds, with an estimated value of $1,104,400.00 USD.<br />
http://www.cbp.gov/xp/cgov/newsroom/news_releases/local/10302012_3.xml<br />
Comment/Analysis: Last month it was tire rims. The drugs were hidden inside metal collars which were attached<br />
to the rims of the tires of a vehicle that entered the port from Mexico. Two women from Albuquerque, New Mexico, were<br />
arrested.<br />
“Smugglers went to considerable length and expense to create these compartments,” said acting CBP Presidio Port<br />
Director Alex Leos. “These metal collars were cut and welded specifically to fit the rims of the vehicle being used in this<br />
failed smuggling attempt. This shows that smugglers are only limited by their imagination.”<br />
Related Posts:<br />
July 31, 2012, Advanced drug smuggling methods. A new technology makes it possible to make a product from<br />
cocaine for any department of a supermarket, including paper, clothes or plastic. The culprits have learned to process<br />
cocaine powder so that it cannot be detected and hide it in the most secret corners of a postal parcel and large<br />
consignments of food. http://english.ruvr.ru/2012_07_31/Advanced-drug-smuggling-methods/<br />
January 29, 2011, Drug Smuggling Schemes Around The World. Earlier this month, Colombia<br />
police captured a carrier pigeon trying to fly into a jail with marijuana and cocaine paste strapped to its<br />
back, while last December, a German man reportedly disguised his marijuana plant with festive ornaments<br />
and twinkling lights. Dogs, snakes and even sharks are just a few of the animals also found to have acted<br />
as drug mules. Take a look at some wacky drug-smuggling methods around the world here:<br />
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/01/29/pot-catapult-creative-way_n_815069.html#s231312<br />
January 6, 2011, In pictures: Unusual drug smuggling methods. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-12126390<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 23 of 25<br />
Could That Musca Domestica Be A Drone?<br />
November 25, 2012, Obama 'drone-warfare rulebook' condemned by human rights groups. New York Times reports<br />
administration attempting to set out circumstances in which targeted assassination is justified.<br />
President Barack Obama's administration is in the process of drawing up a formal rulebook that will set out the<br />
circumstances in which targeted assassination by unmanned drones is justified, according to reports.<br />
The New York Times, citing two unnamed sources, said explicit guidelines were being drawn up amid disagreement<br />
between the CIA and the departments of defense, justice and state over when lethal action is acceptable.<br />
Human-rights groups and peace groups opposed to the CIA-operated targeted-killing programme, which remains<br />
officially classified, said the administration had already rejected international law in pursuing its drone operations.<br />
"To say they are rewriting the rulebook implies that there is already a rulebook" said Jameel Jaffer, the director of<br />
the American Civil Liberties Union's Center for Democracy. "But what they are already doing is rejecting a rulebook – of<br />
international law – that has been in place since [the second world war]."<br />
He said the news was "frustrating", because it relied on "self-serving sources". The New York Times piece was<br />
written by one of the journalists who first exposed the existence of a White House "kill list", in May.<br />
ACLU is currently involved in a legal battle with the US government over the legal memo underlying the<br />
controversial targeted killing programme, the basis for drone strikes that have killed American citizens and the process by<br />
which individuals are placed on the kill list.<br />
Jaffer said it was impossible to make a judgement about whether the "rulebook" being discussed, according to the<br />
Times, was legal or illegal.<br />
"It is frustrating how we are reliant on self-serving leaks" said Jaffir. "We are left with interpreting shadows cast on<br />
the wall. The terms that are being used by these officials are undefined, malleable and without definition. It is impossible to<br />
know whether they are talking about something lawful or unlawful.<br />
"We are litigating for the release of legal memos. We don't think the public should have to reply on self-serving<br />
leaking by unnamed administrative officials."<br />
The New York Times said that, facing the possibility that the president might not be re-elected, work began in the<br />
weeks running up to the 6 November election to "develop explicit rules for the targeted killing of terrorists by unmanned<br />
drones, so that a new president would inherit clear standards and procedures, according to two administration officials".<br />
It went on to say that Obama and his advisers were still debating whether remote-controlled killing should be a<br />
measure of last resort against imminent threats to the US, or whether it should be more widely used, in order to "help allied<br />
governments attack their enemies or to prevent militants from controlling territories".<br />
Jaffer said he was sceptical about the significance of the debate outlined in the piece. He said: "The suggestion is<br />
that there is a significant debate going on within the administration about the scope of the government's authority to carry<br />
out targeted killings. I would question the significance of the debate. If imminent is defined as broadly as some say it is<br />
within the administration then the gap between the sides is narrow.<br />
"It matters how you define 'imminent'. The Bush administration was able to say it didn't condone torture because of<br />
the definition of torture. You might think that if someone says, 'I believe we should only use targeted killings only when<br />
there's an imminent threat,' you might think that sounds OK. But without terms like 'imminent' being defined it is impossible<br />
to evaluate the arguments."<br />
Medea Benjamin, the co-founder of Code Pink, an anti-war group, said the news that formal rules were being<br />
written for targeted killing was "disgusting".<br />
"That they are trying to write the rules for something that is illegal is disgusting" said Benjamin. "They are saying,<br />
'The levers might be in the wrong hands.' What about the way they are using them right now? There is nothing about taking<br />
drones out of the hands of the CIA – which is not a military organisation – or getting rid of signature strikes, where there is<br />
no evidence that people are involved in terrorist activities."<br />
In Pakistan and Yemen, the CIA and the military have carried out "signature strikes" against groups of suspected<br />
and unnamed militants, as well as strikes against named terrorists.<br />
Benjamin said she had just come back from Pakistan, where the "intensity of the backlash will take generations to<br />
overcome".<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 24 of 25<br />
The New York Times quotes an official who, speaking on condition of anonymity, said there was "concern that the<br />
levers might no longer be in our hands" after the election.<br />
In October, Obama referred to efforts to codify the controversial drone programme. In an interview with Jon Stewart<br />
on The Daily Show on 18 October, the president said: "One of the things we've got to do is put legal architecture in place<br />
and we need congressional help in order to do that, to make sure that not only am I reined in but any president is reined in,<br />
in terms of some of the decisions we're making".<br />
While Obama and administration officials have commented publicly on the legal basis for targeted killings, the<br />
program is officially secret. In court, government lawyers fighting lawsuits by ACLU continue to claim that no official has<br />
ever formally acknowledged the drones, and that there might not even be a drone programme.<br />
Two lawsuits – one by the ACLU and the other by the ACLU and the NYT – seeking information on the legal basis<br />
on targeted killing, are still pending. http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/nov/25/obama-drone-warfare-rulebook#start-ofcomments<br />
Comment/Analysis: See the November newsletter, Vol.2, Issue1, concerning the comment I made reference “The<br />
Law of Drone Warfare” rules. Not rocket scientist analysis, just plain common sense.<br />
Recommended Sites<br />
Open source information useful sites for researchers and analysts interested in global affairs.<br />
http://rieas.gr/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=633&Itemid=41<br />
International Relations and Security Network (www.isn.ethz.ch)<br />
Based at the Center for Security Studies at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH Zurich), the ISN collects and<br />
manages resources from hundreds of different think-tanks, research institutes, international organizations, and government<br />
agencies in its digital library. It also publishes a daily news analysis service, Security Watch, and indexes the content of<br />
thousands of IR- and security-relevant websites.<br />
Newstin (www.newstin.com)<br />
An innovative news aggregation service that pulls content from thousands of different media sources from across the globe.<br />
Newstin’s language translation features also allow visitors to read information published by foreign news and information<br />
sources at the click of a button.<br />
Oxford Analytica (www.oxan.com)<br />
A premium rate strategic analysis and consulting service drawing on a network of university researchers and faculty<br />
members at Oxford and other major universities around the world.<br />
Online Research Tools http://whitepapers.virtualprivatelibrary.net/Online%20Research%20Tools.pdf<br />
Competitive Intelligence - A Selective Resource Guide - Completely Updated - July 2012<br />
http://www.llrx.com/features/ciguide.htm<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
<strong>OSINT</strong> <strong>Nuggets</strong><br />
Page 25 of 25<br />
DEA SCAM ALERT -- EXTORTION SCHEME<br />
The Drug Enforcement Administration continues to warn the public about criminals posing as DEA special agents or<br />
other law enforcement personnel. This criminal activity continues to occur, despite significant public attention to the illicit<br />
scheme. DEA offices nationwide regularly receive telephone calls from concerned citizens who are the victims of this<br />
extortion effort.<br />
The criminals call the victims (who in most cases previously purchased drugs over the internet or by telephone) and<br />
identify themselves as DEA agents or law enforcement officials from other agencies. The impersonators inform their victims<br />
that purchasing drugs over the internet or by telephone is illegal, and that enforcement action will be taken against them<br />
unless they pay a fine. In most cases, the impersonators instruct their victims to pay the "fine" via wire transfer to a<br />
designated location, usually overseas. If victims refuse to send money, the impersonators often threaten to arrest them or<br />
search their property. Some victims who purchased their drugs using a credit card also reported fraudulent use of their<br />
credit cards.<br />
Impersonating a federal agent is a violation of federal law. The public should be aware that no DEA agent will ever<br />
contact members of the public by telephone to demand money or any other form of payment.<br />
The DEA reminds the public to use caution when purchasing controlled substance pharmaceuticals by telephone or<br />
through the internet. It is illegal to purchase controlled substance pharmaceuticals online or by telephone unless very<br />
stringent requirements are met. All pharmacies that dispense controlled substance pharmaceuticals by means of the<br />
internet must be registered with DEA. By ordering any pharmaceutical medications online or by telephone from unknown<br />
entities, members of the public risk receiving unsafe, counterfeit, and/or ineffective drugs from criminals who operate<br />
outside the law. In addition, personal and financial information could be compromised.<br />
Anyone receiving a telephone call from a person purporting to be a DEA special agent or other law enforcement<br />
official seeking money should refuse the demand and report the threat.<br />
Report Extortion Scam: 1-877-792-2873<br />
Fair Use Notice<br />
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available for purposes of research, informational, and educational purposes for readers of the newsletter. This constitutes a "fair use" of such copyrighted<br />
material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law.<br />
In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. Section 107, the material used in this newsletter is made available without profit to those readers who have<br />
expressed an interest in receiving the information for personal use, research and educational endeavors. Users of this newsletter who wish to use<br />
copyrighted material from these entries for purposes that go beyond fair use must obtain permission from the copyright owner. Additional guidance can be<br />
found at http://www.copyright.gov/fls/fl102.html<br />
Ninety percent of intelligence comes from open sources. The other ten percent, the clandestine work, is just the more dramatic. The real intelligence hero<br />
is Sherlock Holmes, not James Bond. Lieutenant General Sam Wilson, USA Ret. former Director, Defense Intelligence Agency