Executive Summary, Transport2025 - PDF only - london.gov.uk

Executive summary
Transport2025
Transport vision for a growing world city
MAYOR OF LONDON Transport for London

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Executive summary
This document describes a 20-year transport
vision for London to address the significant
transport challenges arising from the major
population and employment growth facing
London. The document is supported by
extensive modelling, analysis and appraisal,
and reflects where possible the comments
made by stakeholders in response to the
June Transport 2025 document 'Transport
2025 – Transport Challenges for a Growing
City'. It recommends the transport policies
and investments needed to support the
growth and development of London as
envisaged in the Mayor's London Plan to
support its economic, social and
environmental objectives.
Transport challenges
and vision
London has a unique role to play in the
UK economy. It is the country's financial
powerhouse and generates a disproportionate
share of economic growth which benefits the
country as a whole. The city is set to grow
and prosper in future, with over 800,000
extra people and around 900,000 extra jobs
forecast over the next 20 years.
To support this economic development there
are two inter-related transport challenges. The
first challenge is to improve London's public
transport system to accommodate the growth
of employment. This has two components,
namely getting people to work on reliable
Transport 2025 Executive summary - Transport vision for a growing world city
radial links within acceptable levels of
crowding; and accommodating the more
dispersed growth of housing, employment and
leisure trips in outer London and the suburbs,
ensuring that as many trips as possible use
public transport, walking and cycling. The
second challenge is to effectively manage the
road network, reduce traffic congestion and
reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions.
Total travel is projected to increase by four
million journeys every day by 2025. When
the mode shift from car travel is taken into
account, an additional five million daily
journeys will need to be supported by public
transport, walking and cycling.
‘Transport 2025 - Transport Vision for a
Growing World City’ (T2025) identifies three
transport objectives, consistent with the
Mayor's vision for London. These are:
• Supporting economic development –
by improving public transport and
managing the road network to reduce
traffic congestion
• Tackling climate change and enhancing the
environment – by reducing CO2 emissions,
improving air quality, reducing noise, and
improving the urban environment
• Improving social inclusion – by making
transport more accessible and secure
for users.

The T2025 vision is to create:
A world class transport system that delivers
the safe, reliable and efficient movement of
people and goods that enhances London's
economy, environment and social inclusion.
The 2025 Reference Case
Current plans and policies will fall well
short of meeting the challenges. The historical
gap between demand and supply would not just
continue, but widen. The additional transport
capacity provided in Transport for London's (TfL's)
current investment programme would not be
capable of supporting the underlying public
transport demand increase of 40 per cent arising
from London's growth. This would constrain the
potential for London's job growth, particularly in
the central area. Road congestion would increase
by more than one third and CO2 emissions would
decrease by only six per cent on 1990 levels, far
short of the 30 per cent target. Limited progress
would be made towards improving social
inclusion.
Transport strategies
Six transport strategies have been identified to
achieve the T2025 objectives and overcome the
limitations of the reference case. They are
as follows:
• Renewing existing infrastructure – bringing
assets up to a state of good repair and
maintaining them in that condition
• Ensuring the existing system is efficient and
safe – improved road network management,
better ticketing and information, extra security
• Reducing the need to travel – using land
use planning to reduce travel demand
and car use
• Influencing travel behaviour – providing travel
information and incentives to encourage
people to walk, cycle and
use public transport
• Reducing congestion and emissions – a
package of measures to encourage mode
shift from car travel, and reduce traffic
congestion and CO2 emissions
• Providing new capacity – a major programme
of investment in public transport.
Policies that get the best performance from existing
infrastructure and manage demand to make better
use of available capacity will be exhausted first.
However, these measures will not provide much
additional capacity and will not impact on traffic
congestion network-wide.
In terms of the new capacity needed, the first
priority is to rebuild the Tube by completing the
full Public Private Partnership (PPP). This will
renew the assets, improve reliability and deliver an
additional 25 per cent capacity. The next priority is
to deliver the capacity needed to support job
growth in central London and the Isle of Dogs and
serve the east-west core jobs corridor. Crossrai
is the essential mass transit link to achieve
these outcomes.
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Building on the first four strategies to make
best use of the existing transport system,
T2025 has defined a package of measures to
reduce congestion and emissions. The package
includes enhanced public transport capacity;
action to change transport behaviour through
smart transport measures – such as workplace
and school travel plans; targeted measures to
cut CO2 emissions through the Greater
London Authority's (GLA's) forthcoming
Climate Change Action Plan; technological
improvements in the vehicle fleet; and takes
into account the implementation of a national
road user charging scheme in London.
Expansion of the bus network will be critical to
support London's growth, achieve mode shift
from car travel in outer London and should be
able to complement the introduction of road
user charging.
The T2025 programme also includes a package
of enhancements to the existing Tube and
national rail network (Rail 2025); Docklands
Light Railway capacity enhancement and
extensions; light transit schemes; Londonwide
improvements to walking and cycling and
enhancements to the urban realm.
Benefits
Comprehensive appraisal work was
undertaken to quantify the benefits of the
T2025 programme, which include:
• Nine per cent mode shift from car to
public transport, walking and cycling
• Crowding and congestion reduced below
today's levels
• Business journey time savings and
increases in productivity resulting in
£180bn extra to UK GDP over 60 years
• CO2 emissions reduced by 22 per cent,
making a major contribution to meeting
the Mayor's emissions reduction target
• Nine per cent reduction in travel time from
the 10 per cent most deprived areas in
London to town centres and the central
business district
Delivering the vision
The costs of the T2025 programme
are significant, but should be seen in the
context of London's contribution to the UK
economy. It is estimated that the investment
will help generate an additional £180bn in
GDP and agglomeration benefits. The T2025
programme would also deliver increased
income from fares as London's population
grows and more people choose to use public
transport. Successful implementation of
the T2025 programme relies on all key
stakeholders working in partnership.
Conclusion
The T2025 vision identifies the comprehensive
package of transport investments and policies
needed to ensure that London thrives and
prospers in future, and that the benefits of
such growth are more widely felt. Without
sustained transport investment, the
limitations of the current transport network
will increasingly become a constraint on
London's economic development and the
contribution it makes to the UK economy.
In addition, little progress will be achieved in
tackling the transport related causes of social
exclusion, nor in addressing the global threat
posed by climate change.
The Government's 2007 Comprehensive
Spending Review (CSR2007) is a crucial
opportunity to secure the additional
investment needed to begin to deliver the
T2025 vision. TfL will look to T2025 as a basis
for discussions with Government on CSR2007
about how London's transport needs can be
met. T2025 will also form the foundation for a
revision of the Mayor's Transport Strategy, and
will be regularly reviewed.
A full copy of the report is available to
download from tfl.gov.uk
Transport for London
42-50 Victoria Street
London SW1H 0TL
Website: tfl.gov.uk
Email: enquire@tfl.gov.uk
Telephone: 020 7222 5600
November 2006