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<strong>Growth</strong> <strong>and</strong> regeneration<br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Thames <strong>Gateway</strong><br />
Interregional Plann<strong>in</strong>g Statement by <strong>the</strong><br />
Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> Regional Plann<strong>in</strong>g Bodies
<strong>Growth</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Regeneration</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong><br />
Interregional Plann<strong>in</strong>g Statement<br />
by <strong>the</strong> Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> Regional<br />
Plann<strong>in</strong>g Bodies
© Crown copyright 2004.<br />
Copyright <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> typographical arrangement <strong>and</strong> design rests with <strong>the</strong> Crown.<br />
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Photo credits<br />
Front cover: small pictures top to bottom, Susan Wilson of <strong>the</strong> Kent Institute of Art <strong>and</strong> Design, Aerial<br />
photography by Air Images, English Partnerships, Susan Wilson of <strong>the</strong> Kent Institute of Art <strong>and</strong> Design.<br />
Published by <strong>the</strong> Office of <strong>the</strong> Deputy Prime M<strong>in</strong>ister on behalf of East of Engl<strong>and</strong> Regional Assembly,<br />
Mayor of London <strong>and</strong> South East Engl<strong>and</strong> Regional Assembly. Pr<strong>in</strong>ted <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> UK, August 2004 on<br />
material conta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g 75% post-consumer waste <strong>and</strong> 25% ECF pulp.<br />
Product Code 04SCG02232
<strong>Growth</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Regeneration</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong><br />
Statement by <strong>the</strong> East of Engl<strong>and</strong> Regional<br />
Assembly, <strong>the</strong> Mayor of London <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
South East Engl<strong>and</strong> Regional Assembly on<br />
plann<strong>in</strong>g future growth <strong>and</strong> regeneration<br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Thames <strong>Gateway</strong><br />
This Statement provides an <strong>in</strong>ter-regional plann<strong>in</strong>g approach to <strong>the</strong><br />
Thames <strong>Gateway</strong>. While it is a non-statutory document, it provides<br />
<strong>the</strong> regional partners with an agreed strategy <strong>and</strong> assessment of<br />
potential development capacity. It gives a common basis for <strong>the</strong><br />
current statutory process of regional strategy mak<strong>in</strong>g that is <strong>the</strong><br />
responsibility of <strong>the</strong> three Regional Plann<strong>in</strong>g Bodies (RPBs), 1 whose<br />
regions <strong>in</strong>clude parts of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>. It will act as a collective<br />
framework until regional plans reach fruition. The Statement is<br />
supported by <strong>the</strong> Inter-regional Plann<strong>in</strong>g Forum, which is an advisory<br />
body of representatives from <strong>the</strong> three RPBs, through a process that<br />
has also <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>the</strong> Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> Strategic Executive, <strong>the</strong><br />
Government Offices <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> local plann<strong>in</strong>g authorities. The Forum<br />
recommends that this Statement provide <strong>the</strong> basis for <strong>the</strong> strategy<br />
<strong>and</strong> targets for <strong>the</strong> Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> <strong>in</strong> each of <strong>the</strong> three regions.<br />
The Statement is founded upon <strong>the</strong> strong statutory Plann<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Framework established by Regional Plann<strong>in</strong>g Guidance (RPG) 9a <strong>and</strong><br />
upon <strong>the</strong> Government’s Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities Plan. 2 Its policies<br />
will be taken forward through <strong>the</strong> Regional Spatial Strategy now<br />
be<strong>in</strong>g produced <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> South East of Engl<strong>and</strong>, Regional Plann<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Guidance <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> East of Engl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Spatial Development<br />
Strategy (“The London Plan”) <strong>in</strong> London. Although <strong>the</strong>re are<br />
differences between its various areas, <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> will only succeed<br />
as a priority location for growth <strong>and</strong> regeneration if <strong>the</strong> regions share<br />
a common, long-term vision of its future.<br />
1 The <strong>Greater</strong> London Authority is not strictly speak<strong>in</strong>g an RPB, but it is <strong>the</strong><br />
regional plann<strong>in</strong>g authority <strong>and</strong> is <strong>in</strong>cluded as an RPB for convenience <strong>in</strong> this<br />
statement.<br />
2 Creat<strong>in</strong>g Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities published by ODPM 2003.<br />
1
2<br />
1. The Context<br />
1.1 The Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> extends along both sides of <strong>the</strong> River from<br />
<strong>the</strong> London Dockl<strong>and</strong>s to Sou<strong>the</strong>nd <strong>and</strong> Sheerness. It forms a<br />
diverse sub-region runn<strong>in</strong>g through residential <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustrial<br />
areas of London <strong>and</strong> through two corridors of settlements of<br />
varied size <strong>and</strong> character <strong>in</strong> South Essex <strong>and</strong> North Kent. In<br />
2001, <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> conta<strong>in</strong>ed a population of 1,500,000 <strong>and</strong><br />
500,000 jobs3 . Map 1 shows <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>, toge<strong>the</strong>r with <strong>the</strong><br />
key zones of change which conta<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> major areas of<br />
brownfield l<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> development potential.<br />
1.2 The unrivalled development potential of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> lies <strong>in</strong> two<br />
related opportunities. First, it conta<strong>in</strong>s 3,000 hectares of<br />
brownfield l<strong>and</strong>, much of it former dock, warehous<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>in</strong>dustrial<br />
<strong>and</strong> quarry<strong>in</strong>g uses. Second, it is located next to <strong>the</strong> economic<br />
heart of London <strong>and</strong> on <strong>the</strong> route to <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly accessible<br />
markets of North West Europe. The Vision statement for North<br />
West Europe4 identifies <strong>the</strong> UK-cont<strong>in</strong>ent l<strong>in</strong>k, <strong>in</strong> which <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong> sits, as one of first importance for development of <strong>the</strong><br />
most dynamic transnational region <strong>in</strong> Europe.<br />
1.3 Its sheer scale <strong>and</strong> its locational advantages mean that <strong>the</strong><br />
Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> will offer a unique opportunity to achieve<br />
susta<strong>in</strong>able community development. It can accommodate major<br />
3 Source: Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> Strategic Executive.<br />
4 A Spatial Vision for North West Europe European Commission 2000.
hous<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> employment growth up to 2016, <strong>and</strong> has <strong>the</strong><br />
potential for substantial fur<strong>the</strong>r development <strong>the</strong>reafter, if <strong>the</strong><br />
right support<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>frastructure is put <strong>in</strong> place. It provides <strong>the</strong><br />
opportunity for exemplary practice <strong>in</strong> susta<strong>in</strong>able design <strong>and</strong><br />
construction, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g comb<strong>in</strong>ed heat <strong>and</strong> power <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> use<br />
of renewable energy sources. Its development is critical to <strong>the</strong><br />
Government’s desire to achieve major growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> east of <strong>the</strong><br />
wider South East.<br />
1.4 The <strong>Gateway</strong> was never developed <strong>in</strong> a co-ord<strong>in</strong>ated fashion <strong>and</strong><br />
this is reflected <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> relatively poor communications <strong>in</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />
between <strong>the</strong> settlements on each side of <strong>the</strong> River, which has<br />
itself tended to be a barrier between <strong>the</strong> north <strong>and</strong> south. This<br />
Statement promotes a vision of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> as a new<br />
susta<strong>in</strong>able sub-regional community. (see <strong>in</strong>dicative diagrams<br />
Maps 2 <strong>and</strong> 3). It will be a place with a clear identity, composed<br />
of susta<strong>in</strong>able urban communities that have been re-<strong>in</strong>vigorated<br />
by strategies for regeneration <strong>and</strong> growth. Each of <strong>the</strong>se<br />
communities will benefit from high quality <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>tensive<br />
development, predom<strong>in</strong>antly focused on brownfield<br />
opportunities, so that wasteful sprawl is avoided <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> green<br />
<strong>and</strong> rural areas around <strong>the</strong>m are protected <strong>and</strong> enhanced. The<br />
River will become <strong>the</strong> heart of this new sub-region. The <strong>Gateway</strong><br />
will achieve coherence through better communications <strong>and</strong> a<br />
strong collective purpose.<br />
1.5 The sub-region will develop a strong, polycentric spatial structure<br />
with strategic clusters of employment, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> Isle of Dogs,<br />
Stratford <strong>and</strong> Ebbsfleet, large urban centres at Medway <strong>and</strong><br />
Sou<strong>the</strong>nd, revitalized towns <strong>and</strong> communities throughout <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong> <strong>and</strong> high quality new residential areas.<br />
3
4<br />
1.6 The <strong>Gateway</strong> will be much more than <strong>the</strong> sum of its parts:<br />
◆ <strong>the</strong> cumulative scale of growth across <strong>the</strong> sub-region will<br />
make <strong>in</strong>vestment more attractive <strong>and</strong> cost-effective. The size<br />
<strong>and</strong> diversity of employment will <strong>in</strong>crease opportunities to<br />
work with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> for all its residents.<br />
◆ <strong>the</strong> promotion of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> as an entity will mean that<br />
every successive high quality new development <strong>and</strong> piece of<br />
additional <strong>in</strong>frastructure will raise <strong>the</strong> profile of <strong>the</strong> sub-region<br />
as a whole.<br />
◆ <strong>the</strong> “new geography” of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> will br<strong>in</strong>g a stronger<br />
sense of place to some disparate <strong>and</strong> ra<strong>the</strong>r isolated<br />
communities.<br />
1.7 The fulfillment of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>’s full potential will take more<br />
than a generation. This Statement uses 2016 as a convenient<br />
time frame with<strong>in</strong> which to set targets. However, <strong>the</strong> RPBs are<br />
look<strong>in</strong>g well beyond this date. They believe that <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong><br />
will have development potential for many years <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> future if<br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure that will help to drive that growth momentum<br />
can be put <strong>in</strong> place quickly <strong>and</strong> comprehensively.<br />
1.8 This will require public as well as private resources on a major<br />
scale. However <strong>the</strong> realisation of <strong>the</strong> capacity of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong><br />
will provide far more effective deployment of public <strong>and</strong> private<br />
expenditure to accommodate <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>evitable growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> wider<br />
South East than more dispersed <strong>and</strong> less co-ord<strong>in</strong>ated forms of<br />
development. The full use of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>’s capacity, both as a<br />
priority regeneration area <strong>and</strong> a <strong>Growth</strong> Area, will <strong>in</strong>crease<br />
opportunities <strong>in</strong> areas with high levels of social exclusion, raise
<strong>the</strong> quality of life <strong>and</strong> environment <strong>and</strong> maximise <strong>the</strong> fulfillment<br />
of currently under-used resources of people, l<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure.<br />
1.9 The Plann<strong>in</strong>g Framework for <strong>the</strong> Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> was<br />
established <strong>in</strong> RPG9a <strong>in</strong> 1995. Its ma<strong>in</strong> pr<strong>in</strong>ciples <strong>in</strong>clude:<br />
◆ mak<strong>in</strong>g best use of <strong>the</strong> area’s strengths <strong>and</strong> resources for<br />
growth <strong>and</strong> regeneration.<br />
◆ creat<strong>in</strong>g a vibrant, <strong>in</strong>clusive <strong>and</strong> susta<strong>in</strong>able pattern of<br />
communities.<br />
◆ mak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> most of transport facilities <strong>and</strong> especially<br />
public transport.<br />
◆ rais<strong>in</strong>g environmental st<strong>and</strong>ards <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> quality of<br />
development <strong>and</strong> br<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>g life to <strong>the</strong> river.<br />
◆ promot<strong>in</strong>g susta<strong>in</strong>able development <strong>in</strong> which employment,<br />
hous<strong>in</strong>g, transport <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r activities are planned <strong>in</strong> a mixed<br />
<strong>and</strong> co-ord<strong>in</strong>ated way.<br />
1.10The Plann<strong>in</strong>g Framework’s pr<strong>in</strong>ciples have proved durable <strong>and</strong><br />
are now embodied <strong>in</strong> development plans <strong>in</strong> all parts of <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong>. The <strong>Gateway</strong> was streng<strong>the</strong>ned, given status as a<br />
national priority area for regeneration <strong>and</strong> extended through<br />
South Essex <strong>in</strong> RPG9 <strong>in</strong> 2001. The most recent <strong>gov</strong>ernment<br />
policy statement is Creat<strong>in</strong>g Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities; Mak<strong>in</strong>g it<br />
Happen: Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Growth</strong> Areas published by<br />
<strong>the</strong> ODPM <strong>in</strong> July 2003. That document <strong>in</strong>corporates <strong>the</strong><br />
pr<strong>in</strong>ciples of RPG9a <strong>and</strong> updates <strong>the</strong> Government’s policy.<br />
It reflects:<br />
◆ <strong>the</strong> approach to plann<strong>in</strong>g set out <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Susta<strong>in</strong>able<br />
Communities Plan.<br />
◆ <strong>the</strong> Government’s decision “to commit support that would<br />
enable <strong>the</strong> development of at least 120,000 homes <strong>in</strong><br />
Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> by 2016”, add<strong>in</strong>g 40,000 homes to<br />
estimates derived from exist<strong>in</strong>g plans.<br />
◆ <strong>the</strong> availability of suitable <strong>in</strong>vestment programmes to support<br />
susta<strong>in</strong>able development.<br />
5
6<br />
1.11New forms of regional plann<strong>in</strong>g are be<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>troduced <strong>in</strong><br />
each region:<br />
◆ In London, <strong>the</strong> Mayor has already produced a Spatial<br />
Development Strategy called <strong>the</strong> London Plan. It was<br />
published <strong>in</strong> February 2004. It <strong>in</strong>cludes a commitment to<br />
produce a Sub-regional Development Framework (SRDF) for<br />
East London, which <strong>in</strong>cludes all of <strong>the</strong> London part of <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong>. This is to be completed <strong>in</strong> late 2004 <strong>and</strong> relevant<br />
elements will be <strong>in</strong>corporated <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> first review of <strong>the</strong><br />
London Plan, programmed to beg<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2005.<br />
◆ In <strong>the</strong> South East, <strong>the</strong> Regional Plann<strong>in</strong>g Assembly (SEERA)<br />
is produc<strong>in</strong>g a Regional Spatial Strategy (RSS) to 2026<br />
(“<strong>the</strong> South East Plan”): consultation on a draft Strategy<br />
is scheduled to beg<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> December 2004 <strong>and</strong> submission<br />
of <strong>the</strong> Strategy to <strong>the</strong> Government <strong>in</strong> summer 2005.<br />
◆ In <strong>the</strong> East of Engl<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Assembly (EERA) is produc<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Regional Plann<strong>in</strong>g Guidance (RPG) to 2021: draft guidance is<br />
scheduled for submission to <strong>the</strong> Government <strong>in</strong> 2004 with<br />
approval expected <strong>in</strong> 2006.<br />
1.12These regional strategies will provide a policy context for future<br />
statutory plans throughout <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> <strong>and</strong> for o<strong>the</strong>r activities<br />
such as community <strong>and</strong> regeneration strategies <strong>and</strong> master<br />
plans. The process of consultation <strong>and</strong> decision-mak<strong>in</strong>g on <strong>the</strong>se<br />
strategies will engage <strong>the</strong> local communities <strong>and</strong> plann<strong>in</strong>g<br />
authorities <strong>and</strong> give <strong>the</strong> opportunity to make <strong>the</strong> translation<br />
from regional to local policies <strong>and</strong> targets.<br />
1.13All three regions have <strong>in</strong>corporated <strong>the</strong> Thames <strong>Gateway</strong><br />
objectives <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong>ir emerg<strong>in</strong>g strategic th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g. The Mayor of<br />
London has made <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> <strong>and</strong> East London <strong>the</strong> priority<br />
area of <strong>the</strong> London Plan. The South East regional transport,<br />
economic development <strong>and</strong> hous<strong>in</strong>g strategies <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> options<br />
report lead<strong>in</strong>g to RPG14 <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> East of Engl<strong>and</strong> make <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong> a priority for development. The Kent <strong>and</strong> Medway <strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> Essex <strong>and</strong> Sou<strong>the</strong>nd on Sea Replacement Structure Plans also<br />
support its status as a priority area for growth <strong>and</strong> regeneration.
1.14There is <strong>the</strong>refore already a strong collective vision of <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong>. This allows <strong>the</strong> focus to be placed firmly upon<br />
achiev<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> full susta<strong>in</strong>able development capacity of <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong>. Susta<strong>in</strong>able development can only be achieved if<br />
hous<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> economic development is matched by community<br />
facilities, transport <strong>in</strong>frastructure <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />
improvement. The next sections look at <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> elements <strong>in</strong><br />
that development <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>n draw <strong>the</strong>m toge<strong>the</strong>r.<br />
2. Employment Capacity<br />
2.1 The Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> offers an essential contribution to growth<br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> wider South East, which underp<strong>in</strong>s <strong>the</strong> UK economy.<br />
Economic growth will generate <strong>the</strong> resources needed to susta<strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> expansion <strong>in</strong> jobs <strong>and</strong> homes <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> improvements <strong>in</strong><br />
quality of life that are central to <strong>the</strong> regeneration of <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong>. All three RPBs seek to maximise <strong>the</strong> economic<br />
potential of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>. All three wish to reduce <strong>the</strong> need to<br />
travel by offer<strong>in</strong>g resident workers a sufficient range <strong>and</strong> quality<br />
of accessible local employment opportunities.<br />
2.2 The different parts of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> have developed <strong>the</strong>ir own<br />
clusters of economic specialisation <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>se should be mutually<br />
respected <strong>and</strong> supported. Substantial economic development will<br />
take place <strong>in</strong> all parts of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> <strong>and</strong> offer a better balance<br />
between homes <strong>and</strong> work. The western parts of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong><br />
closest to central London support a grow<strong>in</strong>g part of its global city<br />
role: <strong>the</strong>re will be 66,000 jobs at Canary Wharf by <strong>the</strong> end of 2004<br />
(compared to 3,000 <strong>in</strong> 1991): much of this is <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ance <strong>and</strong><br />
bus<strong>in</strong>ess sector. About a third of all workers at Canary Wharf<br />
already live <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>. If resident workers <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> are<br />
to cont<strong>in</strong>ue to benefit fully, <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> transport <strong>and</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />
is needed to enable <strong>the</strong>m to do so. In particular, public transport<br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> can exploit its l<strong>in</strong>ear nature to facilitate access to<br />
<strong>the</strong> jobs <strong>in</strong> its western sector, but also to encourage journeys to<br />
new sources of employment <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> more eastern parts.<br />
2.3 There is a common desire to <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>and</strong> to spread economic<br />
growth more widely across <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>. Creat<strong>in</strong>g Susta<strong>in</strong>able<br />
Communities estimates that 120-180,000 new jobs could be<br />
created between 2001- 2016 on <strong>the</strong> basis of transport<br />
improvements set out <strong>in</strong> paragraph 3.3 below. These figures<br />
reflect an assessment of market dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> a realistic <strong>Gateway</strong><br />
share of growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> wider South East. The mid-po<strong>in</strong>t of <strong>the</strong><br />
range (150,000) would match <strong>the</strong> number of economically<br />
active people that would be generated by <strong>the</strong> figure of 120,000<br />
homes <strong>in</strong> Creat<strong>in</strong>g Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities.<br />
7
8<br />
2.4 The RPBs believe that <strong>the</strong>re is sufficient l<strong>and</strong> available to reach<br />
<strong>and</strong> exceed <strong>the</strong> upper end of this range. The significantly higher<br />
levels of job growth shown <strong>in</strong> Table 1 can be achieved if o<strong>the</strong>r<br />
key planned transport <strong>in</strong>frastructure can be implemented,<br />
<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g Crossrail <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> Bridge. Toge<strong>the</strong>r<br />
<strong>the</strong> RPBs aspire to create a net 232,000 new jobs <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong> over <strong>the</strong> period 2001-2016. This would represent a<br />
surplus of new jobs over new resident workers; however, <strong>the</strong>re<br />
is a current imbalance between resident workers <strong>and</strong> jobs <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> that this level of employment growth would help<br />
to address.<br />
Table 1 Potential for Net Job <strong>Growth</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> 2001-2016<br />
Potential net new jobs 2001-2016<br />
London 150,000<br />
North Kent 40,000<br />
South Essex 42,000*<br />
Total for <strong>Gateway</strong> 232,000<br />
*This figure is likely to <strong>in</strong>crease as a consequence of fur<strong>the</strong>r work to address <strong>the</strong><br />
jobs/dwell<strong>in</strong>gs relationship <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> East of Engl<strong>and</strong>.<br />
2.5 The full development of a few very large sites would make a big<br />
contribution. For example, five proposed developments <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong> have current private sector development <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>and</strong><br />
could create over 150,000 jobs between <strong>the</strong>m: Canary Wharf<br />
(Canary Wharf), Stratford City (Chelsfield <strong>and</strong> Stanhope),<br />
Greenwich Pen<strong>in</strong>sula (Meridian Delta), Ebbsfleet <strong>and</strong> Eastern<br />
Quarry (L<strong>and</strong> Securities) <strong>and</strong> Shell Haven (P&O).<br />
2.6 The large scale of projected population growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong><br />
will itself be a major source of employment as personal <strong>and</strong><br />
consumer services that support residential areas become an<br />
<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly significant generator of local jobs. Equally, <strong>the</strong> scale<br />
<strong>and</strong> variety of hous<strong>in</strong>g growth can help to provide <strong>the</strong> necessary<br />
size <strong>and</strong> mix of labour force, both to support economic growth<br />
<strong>and</strong> to address current problems of unemployment <strong>and</strong><br />
under-employment.<br />
2.7 The full realisation of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>’s economic capacity will require:<br />
◆ A very substantial <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> size, skills <strong>and</strong> mobility of<br />
<strong>the</strong> resident labour force. This will need major <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong><br />
education <strong>and</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g to raise skill levels that are currently<br />
below <strong>the</strong> average for <strong>the</strong> wider South East.
◆ Vigorous programs of environmental improvement to improve<br />
<strong>the</strong> image <strong>and</strong> marketability of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>.<br />
◆ Transport improvements to <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>the</strong> accessibility of<br />
workplaces <strong>and</strong> to open up unused <strong>and</strong> underused sites,<br />
<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g major employment generators.<br />
◆ Better social <strong>and</strong> community <strong>in</strong>frastructure to contribute to<br />
<strong>the</strong> area’s attractiveness to <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>and</strong> to stable,<br />
aspirational resident communities.<br />
2.8 All three regions want to see a diverse range of employment.<br />
They wish to consolidate <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>’s exist<strong>in</strong>g strengths <strong>in</strong><br />
areas such as f<strong>in</strong>ance <strong>and</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess services, transport <strong>and</strong><br />
logistics <strong>and</strong> pharmaceuticals <strong>in</strong> order to streng<strong>the</strong>n <strong>in</strong>novation<br />
capacity <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease jobs <strong>in</strong> growth sectors such as <strong>in</strong>novation<br />
<strong>and</strong> knowledge based <strong>in</strong>dustries, green <strong>in</strong>dustries <strong>and</strong> cultural<br />
<strong>and</strong> media <strong>in</strong>dustries. There is a risk, especially <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> western<br />
<strong>and</strong> mid parts of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>, that too much l<strong>and</strong> may be<br />
released to low density uses <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>reby obstruct <strong>the</strong> potential<br />
for uses generat<strong>in</strong>g more jobs <strong>and</strong> wider economic benefit or for<br />
release of that l<strong>and</strong> to residential use. Manufactur<strong>in</strong>g rema<strong>in</strong>s an<br />
important, but chang<strong>in</strong>g sector <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>. A clear strategy<br />
is needed to manage <strong>the</strong> release of l<strong>and</strong>, where this is<br />
appropriate; to exam<strong>in</strong>e potential for a greater mix of uses,<br />
<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g hous<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>in</strong> areas of lighter <strong>in</strong>dustry; <strong>and</strong> consolidate,<br />
improve <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>tensify solid <strong>in</strong>dustrial areas.<br />
3. Transport Capacity<br />
3.1 A transport system that is already liable to congestion <strong>and</strong> delay<br />
<strong>in</strong> several areas will need to accommodate major growth <strong>in</strong><br />
population <strong>and</strong> employment <strong>and</strong> to h<strong>and</strong>le <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g flows<br />
of people <strong>and</strong> goods mov<strong>in</strong>g through <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> between <strong>the</strong><br />
UK <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>ent. The cont<strong>in</strong>uous streng<strong>the</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g of<br />
transport <strong>in</strong>frastructure is critical to <strong>the</strong> success of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>,<br />
a key driver for change. Improved access will be an essential part<br />
of <strong>the</strong> public’s acceptance of growth on this scale <strong>and</strong><br />
will<strong>in</strong>gness to live <strong>the</strong>re. It will also be a pre-condition of private<br />
sector <strong>in</strong>vestment of <strong>the</strong> size needed. Improved connections<br />
across <strong>the</strong> river are needed to widen job opportunities <strong>and</strong> to<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>the</strong> coherence of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> as a sub-region.<br />
9
10<br />
KEY<br />
Crossrail<br />
Channel Tunnel Rail L<strong>in</strong>k<br />
Channel Tunnel Rail L<strong>in</strong>k Domestic<br />
East London L<strong>in</strong>e Extension<br />
DLR Extensions<br />
DLR under construction<br />
East London Transit Phase 1<br />
East London Transit Fur<strong>the</strong>r Phases<br />
Greenwich Waterfront Transit Phase 1<br />
Greenwich Waterfront Transit Fur<strong>the</strong>r Phases<br />
Fastrack<br />
Road Improvements<br />
Thamesl<strong>in</strong>k 2000<br />
Lower Thames Cross<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Swale Cross<strong>in</strong>g
3.2 Studies 5 have demonstrated that:<br />
◆ many movements, especially <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> outer <strong>Gateway</strong>, are by car<br />
<strong>and</strong> some road improvements will be needed, but generally<br />
new road capacity would be very quickly absorbed, so that<br />
public transport <strong>and</strong> a multi-modal approach offer <strong>the</strong> most<br />
effective means of <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g accessibility.<br />
◆ some major enhancement of strategic public transport<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure will be needed to release <strong>the</strong> full potential of<br />
sites <strong>and</strong> manage <strong>the</strong> movement of grow<strong>in</strong>g numbers of<br />
passengers.<br />
◆ susta<strong>in</strong>able development will only occur if local public<br />
transport is also enhanced so that homes <strong>and</strong> jobs can be<br />
effectively l<strong>in</strong>ked, more <strong>in</strong>tensive development can be<br />
achieved <strong>in</strong> locations with good accessibility <strong>and</strong> fullest benefit<br />
can be ga<strong>in</strong>ed from strategic public transport <strong>in</strong>vestment.<br />
◆ large volumes of freight are h<strong>and</strong>led <strong>in</strong> <strong>and</strong> pass through <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong>, which has a key role <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> UK’s <strong>in</strong>ternational trade.<br />
Freight movement, by-pass <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>terchange facilities will need<br />
major improvement to h<strong>and</strong>le growth <strong>and</strong> to prevent conflicts<br />
between passenger <strong>and</strong> freight movements.<br />
◆ transport improvements are critical to regeneration <strong>and</strong> are<br />
important <strong>in</strong> reduc<strong>in</strong>g risk for developers.<br />
◆ <strong>in</strong>vestment is needed to address exist<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>frastructure deficits<br />
<strong>and</strong> connectivity.<br />
5 In particular, Llewellyn-Davies Relationship between Transport <strong>and</strong><br />
Development <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> 2003.<br />
11
12<br />
3.3 The RPBs consider that <strong>the</strong> m<strong>in</strong>imum hous<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> employment<br />
figures for 2016 <strong>in</strong> Creat<strong>in</strong>g Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities could only<br />
be achieved if current transport <strong>in</strong>frastructure plann<strong>in</strong>g<br />
assumptions set out below are delivered as soon as possible<br />
with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> 2016 timeframe. The successful development of <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong> is cont<strong>in</strong>gent upon <strong>the</strong>m.<br />
◆ Channel Tunnel Rail L<strong>in</strong>k <strong>and</strong> CTRL domestic services:<br />
completion 2007<br />
◆ East London Transit phase 1: completion 2008<br />
◆ Greenwich Waterfront transit phase 1: completion 2008<br />
◆ Kent Fastrack: completion <strong>in</strong> phases<br />
◆ M25/A2/A13/A127: Improvements: various completion dates<br />
◆ A249 Swale cross<strong>in</strong>g: completion 2006<br />
◆ DLR extension to City Airport: completion 2005<br />
◆ DLR extension to Woolwich: completion 2008<br />
◆ DLR to Bark<strong>in</strong>g Reach: completion 2008<br />
◆ Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> Bridge: completion 2013<br />
◆ Mayor’s package of bus improvements <strong>in</strong> Transport Strategy<br />
3.4 O<strong>the</strong>r transport projects are needed to reduce <strong>the</strong> serious risk of<br />
under-achievement of <strong>the</strong>se figures <strong>and</strong> to provide <strong>the</strong> potential<br />
for higher figures <strong>and</strong> for substantial cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g growth. They<br />
<strong>in</strong>clude <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g schemes, which have partial approval, are<br />
<strong>in</strong> preparation or are subject to feasibility studies <strong>and</strong> have <strong>the</strong><br />
potential to be completed before 2016.<br />
◆ Crossrail: phase 1 completion by 2012 <strong>and</strong> development of<br />
phase 2<br />
◆ East London <strong>and</strong> Greenwich Waterfront Transits phase 2:<br />
completion 2010-2012<br />
◆ C2c l<strong>in</strong>e improvements <strong>and</strong> connections<br />
◆ “Transport for Medway”
◆ Road capacity expansion, especially <strong>in</strong> South Essex <strong>and</strong><br />
North Kent<br />
◆ East London L<strong>in</strong>e extensions: completion 2009<br />
◆ Thamesl<strong>in</strong>k 2000: phased with possible completion by 2011<br />
◆ Silvertown Cross<strong>in</strong>g<br />
3.5 Four strategic transport projects will make <strong>the</strong> biggest impact on<br />
capacity <strong>and</strong> are <strong>the</strong>refore critical to its success. They are at<br />
different stages of development:<br />
◆ The Channel Tunnel Rail L<strong>in</strong>k (CTRL) with stations at Ebbsfleet<br />
<strong>and</strong> Stratford <strong>and</strong> use of CTRL for domestic services.<br />
◆ The Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> Bridge, which would provide a key<br />
cross-river l<strong>in</strong>k <strong>in</strong> outer London <strong>and</strong> has an enhanced level<br />
of commitment.<br />
◆ Crossrail, which is a well advanced proposal, which would<br />
provide an enormous impetus to transport <strong>and</strong> regeneration,<br />
both because of its capacity <strong>and</strong> its ability to provide l<strong>in</strong>ks<br />
between many parts of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> <strong>and</strong> Central <strong>and</strong> West<br />
London, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g Heathrow. Its overall case rests on its<br />
performance for a wider area, but <strong>the</strong> RPBs place particular<br />
importance on its potential to <strong>in</strong>crease development capacity<br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>.<br />
◆ A Lower Thames Cross<strong>in</strong>g could provide a fur<strong>the</strong>r stimulus to<br />
development, <strong>in</strong>crease freight movement capacity <strong>and</strong><br />
streng<strong>the</strong>n cross-river l<strong>in</strong>ks between Essex <strong>and</strong> Kent, however<br />
its transport <strong>and</strong> environmental impacts rema<strong>in</strong> to be assessed.<br />
4. Hous<strong>in</strong>g Capacity<br />
4.1 Before <strong>the</strong> publication of Creat<strong>in</strong>g Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities,<br />
plann<strong>in</strong>g targets amounted to about 80,000 new homes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong> by 2016. Its revised figure of at least 120,000 reflects<br />
<strong>the</strong> Government’s belief that more capacity can be achieved<br />
through a variety of policy, fund<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> delivery changes. The<br />
RPBs agree that a step change <strong>in</strong> delivery, accompanied by<br />
accelerated market performance, can be made. They believe <strong>the</strong>re<br />
is capacity for growth of at least 128,500 homes by 2016 if <strong>the</strong><br />
necessary <strong>in</strong>frastructure is put <strong>in</strong> place. This will require a major<br />
gear<strong>in</strong>g up of <strong>the</strong> development effort <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>, supported<br />
by several factors that will comb<strong>in</strong>e to <strong>in</strong>crease capacity:<br />
13
14<br />
◆ The cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g impact of PPG3, which encourages higher<br />
density development, especially <strong>in</strong> areas with good access to<br />
transport: all plann<strong>in</strong>g authorities <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> should base<br />
<strong>the</strong>ir policies <strong>and</strong> decisions on PPG3. Evidence from ODPM<br />
suggests that this is now work<strong>in</strong>g through to plans <strong>and</strong><br />
decisions <strong>in</strong> local authorities. 6<br />
◆ The fund<strong>in</strong>g provided by <strong>the</strong> Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities Plan,<br />
which gives a valuable stimulus <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>centive: cont<strong>in</strong>ued<br />
support is central to meet<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment needs of<br />
<strong>the</strong> area.<br />
◆ A decade of development of policy <strong>and</strong> implementation<br />
<strong>in</strong>struments <strong>and</strong> focus on key sites <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>, which is<br />
<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly feed<strong>in</strong>g through, supported by new delivery<br />
structures.<br />
◆ Better access, which is be<strong>in</strong>g created by strategic <strong>and</strong> local<br />
transport schemes, ei<strong>the</strong>r under construction or with certa<strong>in</strong>ty<br />
of development <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> near future.<br />
◆ Streng<strong>the</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g market dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> grow<strong>in</strong>g “recognition” of<br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>.<br />
◆ The re-designation of former <strong>in</strong>dustrial l<strong>and</strong>, which is<br />
significantly <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g hous<strong>in</strong>g figures <strong>in</strong> several areas,<br />
especially <strong>in</strong> London.<br />
◆ Better co-ord<strong>in</strong>ation of <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> development areas,<br />
led by <strong>the</strong> RDAs, <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> key services such as education<br />
<strong>and</strong> health.<br />
4.2 Major improvements <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> quality of exist<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> new hous<strong>in</strong>g<br />
will be needed. Appropriate <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> density must be<br />
accompanied by high st<strong>and</strong>ards of design. The sheer scale of <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong> development provides <strong>the</strong> opportunity for exemplary<br />
practice <strong>in</strong> susta<strong>in</strong>able design <strong>and</strong> construction <strong>and</strong> for<br />
<strong>in</strong>novative approaches, for example to <strong>the</strong> management of<br />
car park<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
6 Deliver<strong>in</strong>g Plann<strong>in</strong>g Policy for Hous<strong>in</strong>g ODPM 2003.
4.3 Tables 2 <strong>and</strong> 3 show <strong>the</strong> capacity for new homes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong><br />
by 2016 that should be tested fur<strong>the</strong>r through hous<strong>in</strong>g capacity<br />
studies <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> regional plann<strong>in</strong>g process. The figures <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>se<br />
Tables assume that <strong>the</strong> necessary transport, education, health<br />
<strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>frastructure is put <strong>in</strong> place toge<strong>the</strong>r with vigorous<br />
promotion <strong>and</strong> implementation to support <strong>the</strong>se levels of<br />
growth. 7<br />
Table 2 New Homes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> 2001-2016<br />
Number of homes 2001- 2016<br />
London 59,000 (m<strong>in</strong>imum: see 4.4)<br />
North Kent 43,000<br />
South Essex 26,500<br />
Total for <strong>Gateway</strong> 128,500<br />
4.4 In London, <strong>the</strong>re is a strong aspiration to complete a<br />
substantially higher number of homes. The m<strong>in</strong>imum figure for<br />
all parts of <strong>the</strong> seven boroughs <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> is 86,000 <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
London Plan, of which about 46,000 is <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> areas of<br />
change – <strong>the</strong> Opportunity Areas <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Areas for<br />
Intensification. These are m<strong>in</strong>imum targets based on assessments<br />
of capacity carried out between 1999-2001. More detail on <strong>the</strong><br />
relationship with London Plan figures is conta<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> Annex 1.<br />
Creat<strong>in</strong>g Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities assumed a m<strong>in</strong>imum figure of<br />
59,000 homes would be delivered <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> London Thames<br />
<strong>Gateway</strong> by 2016. The LDA sites database, which <strong>in</strong>forms <strong>the</strong><br />
London Investment Model8 , developed by <strong>the</strong> LDA, supported by<br />
<strong>the</strong> GLA <strong>and</strong> TGLP, <strong>in</strong>dicates that <strong>the</strong> m<strong>in</strong>imum figure of 59,000<br />
homes could be achieved by 2012. Even if that earlier timetable<br />
were not to be achieved, <strong>the</strong> Mayor <strong>and</strong> boroughs would ensure<br />
that <strong>the</strong> lower figure is concentrated <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> most accessible sites<br />
to avoid unnecessary sterilisation of l<strong>and</strong>, build<strong>in</strong>g at<br />
unacceptably low densities <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> creation of unsusta<strong>in</strong>able<br />
communities. The LDA sites database also suggests that, with<br />
<strong>the</strong> achievement of higher densities, <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> town centre<br />
hous<strong>in</strong>g, changes of l<strong>and</strong> use to residential <strong>and</strong> improved access,<br />
7 There have been several studies of <strong>the</strong> potential hous<strong>in</strong>g capacity of <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>se <strong>in</strong>clude <strong>the</strong> Llewelyn- Davies Study of Hous<strong>in</strong>g Figures<br />
June 2003 <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> ZOC (2001) <strong>and</strong> ZAP (2003) exercises done by <strong>the</strong><br />
Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> Strategic Executive.<br />
8 See <strong>the</strong> LDA London Investment Model <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Development <strong>and</strong> Delivery<br />
Strategy produced <strong>in</strong> 2003 by <strong>the</strong> <strong>Greater</strong> London Authority (GLA), London<br />
Development Agency (LDA) <strong>and</strong> Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> London Partnership.<br />
15
16<br />
91,000 homes could be completed by 2016. This figure is based<br />
on <strong>the</strong> latest reasonable assessment of capacity <strong>in</strong> known sites <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> Zones of Change tak<strong>in</strong>g account of exist<strong>in</strong>g site constra<strong>in</strong>ts<br />
<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> assumption that <strong>the</strong> transport <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r community<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure proposed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> London Plan is delivered to<br />
timetable. The higher London figure will <strong>in</strong>form <strong>the</strong> new London<br />
Hous<strong>in</strong>g Capacity Study <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> East London SRDF, to be<br />
completed <strong>in</strong> 2004. The outputs from <strong>the</strong>se processes will<br />
<strong>in</strong>form revised Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> hous<strong>in</strong>g targets, to be tested<br />
through <strong>the</strong> review of <strong>the</strong> London Plan, due to take place<br />
<strong>in</strong> 2005/6.<br />
4.5 The figures <strong>in</strong> Table 2 are above <strong>the</strong> figure of “at least” 120,000<br />
<strong>in</strong> Creat<strong>in</strong>g Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities. The RPBs believe that <strong>the</strong><br />
cumulative impact of <strong>the</strong> factors listed <strong>in</strong> para 4.1 above will<br />
create <strong>the</strong> conditions for a ra<strong>the</strong>r higher level of delivery. The<br />
additional 8,500 homes above <strong>the</strong> 120,000 figure are spread<br />
across <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>, reflect<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> view of plann<strong>in</strong>g authorities<br />
that more capacity can be realized.<br />
4.6 Previous trends suggest that only about 20% of this total would<br />
be needed to meet <strong>in</strong>ternally generated hous<strong>in</strong>g needs up to<br />
20169 . This means that <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> must develop as a place<br />
where people from all sectors of society will want to come to<br />
live <strong>and</strong> where exist<strong>in</strong>g residents want to stay. That will require<br />
major improvements <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> quality of life <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> accessibility <strong>in</strong><br />
many parts of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>.<br />
4.7 New hous<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> period 1991-2001 was completed at well<br />
below <strong>the</strong> rate needed to achieve 120,000 m<strong>in</strong>imum by 2016 so<br />
<strong>the</strong>re will have to be a dramatic <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> throughput from<br />
<strong>the</strong> development, plann<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> construction <strong>in</strong>dustries. For<br />
example, completions <strong>in</strong> North Kent will have to be 75% higher<br />
than between 1991-2001 to achieve its figure for 2016; <strong>in</strong><br />
London a figure of 59,000 would require an <strong>in</strong>crease of roughly<br />
50%. The RPBs will work with <strong>the</strong> Hous<strong>in</strong>g Corporation, whose<br />
f<strong>in</strong>ancial support will be essential, English Partnership, RDAs <strong>and</strong><br />
with house-builders <strong>and</strong> developers to improve hous<strong>in</strong>g<br />
completion rates.<br />
9 Llewelyn-Davies: Relationship between Transport <strong>and</strong> Development <strong>in</strong><br />
Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> 2003.
Table 3 New Homes 2001-2016 by Local Areas<br />
RPB figures Higher<br />
*1 London figure *2<br />
Isle of Dogs 4,000 8,000<br />
Deptford/Lewisham 5,000 10,000<br />
Stratford/Leaside/Royals 20,000 33,000<br />
Greenwich Pen<strong>in</strong>sula 10,000 10,000<br />
London Riverside 13,000 21,000<br />
Woolwich/Thamesmead 7,000 9,000<br />
Thurrock *3 13,500 13,500<br />
Basildon 6,000 6,000<br />
Castle Po<strong>in</strong>t 2,500 2,500<br />
Sou<strong>the</strong>nd/Rochford 4,500 4,500<br />
Kent Thames-side 20,000 20,000<br />
Medway/Gra<strong>in</strong> 15,000 15,000<br />
Sitt<strong>in</strong>gbourne/Sheerness 8,000 8,000<br />
Total 128,500 160,500<br />
*These figures are rounded <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> Essex <strong>and</strong> Kent <strong>the</strong>y are for <strong>the</strong> parts of <strong>the</strong><br />
districts <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>.<br />
1 London figures based on <strong>the</strong> 59,000 figure, which is consistent with <strong>the</strong><br />
assumptions <strong>in</strong>‘Creat<strong>in</strong>g Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities’<br />
2 The London figures based on <strong>the</strong> 91,000 from <strong>the</strong> LDA Database<br />
3 Thurrock UDC will br<strong>in</strong>g forward its proposals later <strong>in</strong> 2004 which may <strong>in</strong>crease<br />
this figure<br />
4.8 Table 3 <strong>in</strong>dicates how much of this new hous<strong>in</strong>g each RPB<br />
believes could be accommodated <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> different parts of <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong>. The figures are largely based upon growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
Zones of Change that <strong>the</strong> Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> Strategic Partnership<br />
identified as <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> locations for development (Map 1),<br />
although <strong>the</strong>y also <strong>in</strong>clude new homes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> parts of <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong> outside <strong>the</strong> Zones. The second column of Table 3<br />
shows <strong>the</strong> impact of <strong>the</strong> high London figure of 91,000 by area<br />
(see Annex 1). The figures will be tested <strong>and</strong> formally agreed<br />
through <strong>the</strong> regional plann<strong>in</strong>g processes.<br />
4.9 Although <strong>the</strong> cumulative impact of smaller developments is very<br />
important, especially outside <strong>the</strong> ZOCs, <strong>the</strong>re will be benefit<br />
from a focus on some of <strong>the</strong> larger sites, some of which are<br />
identified <strong>in</strong> section 7.<br />
17
18<br />
4.10There is potential for fur<strong>the</strong>r homes for many years after 2016<br />
as implementation of major sites proceeds, some of <strong>the</strong> more<br />
difficult sites start to become available <strong>and</strong> new transport <strong>and</strong><br />
o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>frastructure opens up fur<strong>the</strong>r opportunities. This will<br />
depend upon <strong>the</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g delivery of <strong>the</strong> substantial<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure that will be essential to enable <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> to<br />
maximise its contribution to <strong>the</strong> huge hous<strong>in</strong>g needs of <strong>the</strong><br />
wider South East. The East of Engl<strong>and</strong> has a figure of 37,000<br />
new homes by 2021. The o<strong>the</strong>r two regions will produce<br />
equivalent figures as <strong>the</strong>ir plann<strong>in</strong>g processes progress.<br />
4.11The hous<strong>in</strong>g figures <strong>in</strong> Tables 2 <strong>and</strong> 3 reflect potential capacity.<br />
Demographic change <strong>and</strong> household size will be important<br />
<strong>in</strong>fluences <strong>in</strong> determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> number <strong>and</strong> types of homes that<br />
will be needed, but <strong>the</strong>re will <strong>in</strong>evitably be a cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g dem<strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> need for hous<strong>in</strong>g. Population would grow by at least<br />
275,000 if <strong>the</strong> RPBs’ figure of 128,500 homes were built to<br />
2016 <strong>and</strong> by about a fur<strong>the</strong>r 75,000 if <strong>the</strong> higher London<br />
figures were achieved.<br />
4.12Some profound demographic changes will cont<strong>in</strong>ue <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> wider<br />
South East <strong>and</strong> especially <strong>in</strong> London, with relatively high <strong>in</strong>migration<br />
<strong>and</strong> birth rates. The range of hous<strong>in</strong>g types will need<br />
to reflect this change. For example some of <strong>the</strong> large numbers<br />
of young <strong>in</strong>-migrants may want accommodation <strong>in</strong> smaller units<br />
that can be provided <strong>in</strong> higher density hous<strong>in</strong>g. However, <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong> must also provide for households at all stages of <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
development <strong>and</strong> for all age groups <strong>and</strong> family types,<br />
recognis<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> ethnic diversity of <strong>the</strong> population.<br />
4.13Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities must be attractive to <strong>the</strong> full range of<br />
<strong>in</strong>come groups. There has to be a range of hous<strong>in</strong>g types <strong>and</strong><br />
costs across <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g more homes for higher <strong>and</strong><br />
medium level <strong>in</strong>come groups. Some areas are dom<strong>in</strong>ated by<br />
particular forms of hous<strong>in</strong>g, such as large estates, <strong>and</strong> would<br />
benefit from greater variety. The contribution of affordable<br />
hous<strong>in</strong>g will be important throughout <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> to address<br />
social need <strong>and</strong> ensure that a workforce with a range of skills can<br />
be accommodated across <strong>the</strong> area. In <strong>the</strong> London Plan, <strong>the</strong> Mayor<br />
has set an overall target that 50% of all additional hous<strong>in</strong>g should<br />
be affordable. This target <strong>in</strong>cludes affordable hous<strong>in</strong>g from all<br />
sources <strong>and</strong> not just that secured through plann<strong>in</strong>g obligations.<br />
In <strong>the</strong> South East a proportion of affordable hous<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />
additional hous<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> order of 30% is anticipated. The target<br />
for South Essex will be determ<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> context of Regional<br />
Plann<strong>in</strong>g Guidance now <strong>in</strong> preparation. A comprehensive picture<br />
for <strong>the</strong> whole <strong>Gateway</strong> will <strong>the</strong>n be established.
5. Environmental, social, physical <strong>and</strong><br />
essential services <strong>and</strong> improvements<br />
5.1 Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities emphasised that <strong>the</strong> Government was<br />
not simply committed to <strong>the</strong> delivery of additional hous<strong>in</strong>g – it<br />
was committed to creat<strong>in</strong>g communities” 10 Population <strong>and</strong> job<br />
growth must be accompanied by timely provision of healthcare,<br />
education, public spaces, leisure <strong>and</strong> cultural services <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />
facilities that meet dem<strong>and</strong>s generated by growth, but that also<br />
tackle some exist<strong>in</strong>g problems, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g high levels of<br />
deprivation, low educational atta<strong>in</strong>ment <strong>and</strong> skill levels <strong>and</strong> poor<br />
environments. There is a clear commitment <strong>in</strong> Creat<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities that Government “will ensure that <strong>the</strong><br />
forward plans of relevant Departments <strong>and</strong> service providers fully<br />
reflect <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> growth strategy”.<br />
5.2 Regional plans <strong>and</strong> guidance must have regard to <strong>the</strong> resources.<br />
They will be assisted <strong>in</strong> this by <strong>the</strong> estimates of <strong>the</strong> need for<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> support of growth <strong>and</strong> regeneration that have<br />
been prepared for each region <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>. The Thames<br />
<strong>Gateway</strong> Kent Partnership has produced an Area Investment<br />
Framework that quantifies <strong>and</strong> costs <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure that will<br />
be needed <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> potential contribution that <strong>the</strong> public <strong>and</strong><br />
private sectors will have to make. 11 In London, <strong>the</strong> London<br />
Development Agency is prepar<strong>in</strong>g an Investment Model,<br />
supported by assessments of <strong>the</strong> programmes required <strong>in</strong> each<br />
sector. 12 In South Essex a Strategic Framework has been<br />
produced13 . In this way <strong>the</strong> regional plann<strong>in</strong>g bodies are<br />
draw<strong>in</strong>g toge<strong>the</strong>r implementation plans that will be essential to<br />
support <strong>the</strong> development process <strong>and</strong> to help all <strong>the</strong> key<br />
agencies to underst<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> level of resource needed <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
role <strong>the</strong>y will need to play.<br />
5.3 Meet<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> dem<strong>and</strong>s of both improvement <strong>in</strong> services <strong>and</strong> of<br />
growth will have major implications for healthcare. As an<br />
example of <strong>the</strong> necessary co-ord<strong>in</strong>ation of plann<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> service<br />
provision, <strong>the</strong> two Strategic Health Authorities <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> London<br />
part of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> have made a systematic assessment of<br />
healthcare needs up to 2016, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g capital <strong>and</strong> revenue<br />
costs. 14 Primary, secondary <strong>and</strong> adult education will have to<br />
10 Creat<strong>in</strong>g Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities: Mak<strong>in</strong>g it happen published by ODPM<br />
2003.<br />
11 Area Investment Framework Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> Kent Partnership.<br />
12 For example The London Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> Health Services Assessment<br />
produced by <strong>the</strong> Strategic health Authorities <strong>in</strong> October 2003.<br />
13 Strategic Framework Document Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> South Essex Partnership<br />
2003.<br />
14 London Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> Health Services Assessment NE <strong>and</strong> SE London<br />
Strategic health Authorities 2003.<br />
19
20<br />
exp<strong>and</strong> to meet growth as well as deal with relatively high<br />
current levels of educational under-atta<strong>in</strong>ment <strong>in</strong> parts of <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong>. There must be vigorous <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> skills’<br />
development. These <strong>in</strong>vestments will be essential for <strong>the</strong><br />
achievement of truly susta<strong>in</strong>able communities.<br />
5.4 Much of <strong>the</strong> cost of provid<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> necessary <strong>in</strong>frastructure will<br />
fall to <strong>the</strong> private sector, which will ga<strong>in</strong> from <strong>the</strong> enormous<br />
development value generated by <strong>the</strong> sheer scale of growth.<br />
However, some opportunities will be difficult to realize because<br />
of remediation <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r preparation costs <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> need for<br />
better access. Substantial public sector resources will <strong>the</strong>refore<br />
be needed to promote development <strong>in</strong> areas that will o<strong>the</strong>rwise<br />
be unattractive for <strong>in</strong>vestors or will be vulnerable to<br />
development at low-density <strong>and</strong> below <strong>the</strong> required quality.<br />
5.5 Environmental improvement is an essential part of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong><br />
strategy. There is a vast range of ecological <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />
assets of <strong>the</strong> highest importance, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g, of course, <strong>the</strong> River<br />
<strong>and</strong> its environs. Sites of high biodiversity value must be<br />
protected <strong>and</strong>, where appropriate, extended <strong>and</strong> mechanisms<br />
such as Bio-diversity Action Plans used to support this. Good<br />
practice on matters such as energy <strong>and</strong> waste management can<br />
create jobs as well as improve <strong>the</strong> environment. The <strong>gov</strong>ernment<br />
has identified <strong>the</strong> potential of <strong>the</strong> area <strong>in</strong> “Green<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong>” 15 . All <strong>the</strong> regional bodies are develop<strong>in</strong>g green grids<br />
to co-ord<strong>in</strong>ate <strong>and</strong> make best use of open spaces. The Green<br />
Belt should contribute to <strong>the</strong> meet<strong>in</strong>g of <strong>the</strong> needs of<br />
susta<strong>in</strong>able communities through its amenity value for leisure<br />
<strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r appropriate uses. The capacity of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> will<br />
only be fully realised if new <strong>in</strong>vestors <strong>and</strong> residents can be<br />
attracted to it <strong>in</strong> very large numbers. This will only happen if <strong>the</strong><br />
image of <strong>the</strong> area improves, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g under-ground<strong>in</strong>g of<br />
power l<strong>in</strong>es.<br />
5.6 All development will meet required st<strong>and</strong>ards of flood defence.<br />
In practice <strong>the</strong> major areas of development are already protected<br />
to <strong>the</strong> maximum 1:1000 year level. The Environment Agency is<br />
study<strong>in</strong>g flood<strong>in</strong>g issues <strong>in</strong> detail: <strong>the</strong> regional plann<strong>in</strong>g process<br />
will take <strong>in</strong>to account <strong>the</strong> results of this work. Regional plann<strong>in</strong>g<br />
will take <strong>in</strong>to account <strong>the</strong> implications of growth for water,<br />
energy, utilities <strong>and</strong> waste management.<br />
15 Green<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> ODPM.
5.7 As well as capital <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> services, robust arrangements<br />
must also be put <strong>in</strong> place for <strong>the</strong> revenue consequences <strong>and</strong> for<br />
effective management <strong>and</strong> ma<strong>in</strong>tenance of facilities. This has<br />
often been lack<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> past.<br />
6. Achiev<strong>in</strong>g Susta<strong>in</strong>able Development<br />
6.1 Development must be managed <strong>in</strong> a co-ord<strong>in</strong>ated way.<br />
The number of homes to be built must be compatible with<br />
employment opportunities. Balanced communities will only<br />
evolve if <strong>the</strong>y have <strong>the</strong> schools, health facilities, cultural <strong>and</strong><br />
leisure facilities <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r community services that toge<strong>the</strong>r offer<br />
a good quality of community life. These activities generate a<br />
need for transport that should support susta<strong>in</strong>able forms of<br />
development <strong>and</strong> movement.<br />
6.2 Clear phas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> prioritisation is needed to make <strong>the</strong> best fit<br />
between capacity <strong>and</strong> dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> to take advantage of <strong>the</strong> big<br />
opportunities as soon as possible. Development can be brought<br />
forward <strong>in</strong> overlapp<strong>in</strong>g phases that relate closely to <strong>the</strong><br />
improvement of transport <strong>in</strong>frastructure <strong>and</strong> help to manage<br />
market dem<strong>and</strong>:<br />
1. In <strong>the</strong> “early” phase (2004-8), development is most likely to<br />
be realised <strong>in</strong> sites <strong>and</strong> locations that are at an advanced<br />
stage of preparation <strong>and</strong> already have relatively good access –<br />
or can anticipate <strong>the</strong> early advent of transport improvements.<br />
This will mean that <strong>the</strong>y can support higher density<br />
development <strong>and</strong> ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> momentum of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>.<br />
These locations will <strong>in</strong>clude brownfield <strong>and</strong> town centre sites<br />
<strong>in</strong>side exist<strong>in</strong>g urban areas with potential for more <strong>in</strong>tensive<br />
development. They will also be places that will benefit from<br />
transport improvements already under way. This phase will<br />
<strong>in</strong>clude development at some of <strong>the</strong> major locations that will<br />
deliver a substantial part of overall capacity, such as <strong>the</strong> Isle of<br />
Dogs, Thurrock <strong>and</strong> Kent Thamesside. Realistically, a<br />
significant proportion of development <strong>in</strong> this phase will be <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> western part of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> because of its relatively<br />
better accessibility <strong>and</strong> its proximity to <strong>the</strong> dynamic of <strong>the</strong><br />
central London economy.<br />
2. In <strong>the</strong> medium term (2006-12), attention should shift to<br />
locations that will benefit from transport improvements <strong>and</strong><br />
master plann<strong>in</strong>g currently <strong>in</strong> preparation. A series of transport<br />
projects, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g CTRL, are due for completion <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> early<br />
stages of this phase so that areas such as Ebbsfleet <strong>and</strong><br />
Stratford will benefit.<br />
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22<br />
3. In <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g phase (2010-2016), more development can<br />
be anticipated <strong>in</strong> sites that have a long lead-<strong>in</strong> time because<br />
of ownership, remediation, access or o<strong>the</strong>r problems. The<br />
completion of Crossrail <strong>in</strong> this phase would open up some<br />
substantial opportunities that would cont<strong>in</strong>ue well beyond<br />
2016. Some longer-term prospects should start to become<br />
available <strong>in</strong> this phase, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g sites that will need<br />
substantial public sector preparation <strong>in</strong> order to make <strong>the</strong>m<br />
attractive to private sector <strong>in</strong>vestment.<br />
4. Beyond 2016 fur<strong>the</strong>r growth must be anticipated. Work is<br />
urgently needed to assess future levels of growth <strong>and</strong><br />
development opportunities so that <strong>the</strong> long lead-<strong>in</strong> times of<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure provision can be accommodated <strong>and</strong> to ensure<br />
that known sites are not under-developed.<br />
6.3 Maps 5a, b <strong>and</strong> c give a very <strong>in</strong>dicative picture of <strong>the</strong> phased<br />
pattern of strategic development that would result. It will require<br />
a discipl<strong>in</strong>ed approach <strong>in</strong> which plann<strong>in</strong>g authorities <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />
agencies avoid mak<strong>in</strong>g premature decisions on sites that have<br />
longer-term potential for <strong>in</strong>tensive development <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>reby<br />
allow proposals to go ahead that make <strong>in</strong>sufficient contribution<br />
<strong>in</strong> terms of quantity or quality. It will also mean that master<br />
plann<strong>in</strong>g should address future phases of development well <strong>in</strong><br />
advance. The new development plan system provides a good<br />
foundation for such an approach: priorities can be quickly<br />
established with Area Action Plans provid<strong>in</strong>g a vehicle for more<br />
focused attention on priority areas.
Map 5a Ma<strong>in</strong> Phases of Development<br />
Area where development activity will be<br />
focused 2003–2008<br />
Additional Transport Improvement by 2008:<br />
– East London Transit phase 1<br />
– Greenwich Waterfront Transit phase 1<br />
– DLR extension to City Airport<br />
– DLR extension to Bark<strong>in</strong>g Reach<br />
– DLR extension to Woolwich Arsenal<br />
– Channel Tunnel Rail L<strong>in</strong>k phase 2<br />
– Strategic Route management improvements<br />
– Fastrack Phase 1<br />
– A2/M2 Improvements<br />
– A249 Iwade to Queensborough Improvements<br />
– Sitt<strong>in</strong>gbourne Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Relief Rd<br />
– Domestic rail services on CTRL.<br />
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24<br />
Map 5b Ma<strong>in</strong> Phases of Development<br />
Areas where development activity will be<br />
focused 2006–2012<br />
Potential additional Transport Improvement<br />
by 2012:<br />
– Crossrail l<strong>in</strong>e 1<br />
– DLR Extension to Stratford International<br />
– East London Transit phase 2<br />
– Greenwich Waterfront Transit phase 2<br />
– Strategic Route Upgrades<br />
– Extension of Passenger Transport Corridor<br />
to Basildon<br />
– Strategic Interchange Improvements<br />
– Thamesl<strong>in</strong>k 2000
Map 5c Ma<strong>in</strong> Phases of Development<br />
Areas where development activity will be<br />
focused after 2010<br />
Potential Additional Transport Improvement<br />
after 2012:<br />
– Crossrail extension east of Stratford <strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> Isle of Dogs<br />
– Rail improvements <strong>and</strong> l<strong>in</strong>kages with<br />
CTRL <strong>and</strong> Crossrail<br />
– Lower Thames Cross<strong>in</strong>g<br />
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26<br />
7. The Pattern of Spatial Development<br />
7.1 Creat<strong>in</strong>g Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities identifies five “strategic<br />
development locations” (formed by one or more Zone of<br />
Change each) upon which it wishes to particularly focus<br />
development <strong>and</strong> take advantage of private sector <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />
<strong>in</strong>terest16 .<br />
East London <strong>Gateway</strong><br />
7.2 The Isle of Dogs, Stratford, Leaside <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Royals are likely to<br />
generate about half of all <strong>Gateway</strong> employment growth up to<br />
2016. Canary Wharf has developed rapidly as a Central Bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />
District (CBD) <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> London Plan supports its cont<strong>in</strong>ued<br />
expansion, which will give much of <strong>the</strong> employment impetus for<br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> early to middle phases. Crossrail <strong>and</strong><br />
enhancement of <strong>the</strong> Jubilee L<strong>in</strong>e would be needed if Canary<br />
Wharf <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Isle of Dogs are to achieve <strong>the</strong>ir fullest growth<br />
potential. Stratford <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Lower Lea offer key opportunities,<br />
which will be re-<strong>in</strong>forced by <strong>the</strong> Olympic bid. The London Plan<br />
envisages a Metropolitan Centre with high density mixed use<br />
development at Stratford City, exploit<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational rail<br />
station <strong>and</strong> becom<strong>in</strong>g a European bus<strong>in</strong>ess centre. It offers a key<br />
employment driver <strong>and</strong> a focus for hous<strong>in</strong>g development, ma<strong>in</strong>ly<br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> medium to long term.<br />
Greenwich Pen<strong>in</strong>sula/ Woolwich/ Thamesmead<br />
7.3 This area has <strong>the</strong> potential for 20,000 new homes. Many of<br />
<strong>the</strong>se will be built on <strong>the</strong> Pen<strong>in</strong>sula, follow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> success of <strong>the</strong><br />
Millenium Village, <strong>and</strong> at West Thamesmead, Woolwich town<br />
centre <strong>and</strong> Belvedere. There is substantial employment potential<br />
at Belvedere-Erith. The Greenwich Waterfront Transit would l<strong>in</strong>k<br />
<strong>the</strong> whole area, will open <strong>in</strong> 2008 <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> DLR extension to<br />
Woolwich is scheduled to open <strong>in</strong> 2007. These will assist<br />
development, ma<strong>in</strong>ly <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> medium to long term. Crossrail<br />
would greatly enhance <strong>the</strong> growth potential of <strong>the</strong> area <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> Bridge will provide a vital cross- river l<strong>in</strong>k<br />
between Bark<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> Thamesmead.<br />
16 The Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> Strategic Executive has produced Zonal Action Plans for<br />
each ZOC: <strong>the</strong>se will be taken <strong>in</strong>to account <strong>in</strong> formulat<strong>in</strong>g regional policy.
London Riverside<br />
7.4 The Bark<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> Haver<strong>in</strong>g Riverside (known as “London<br />
Riverside”) has considerable potential for hous<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong><br />
employment. Development of 10,000 homes at Bark<strong>in</strong>g Reach is<br />
be<strong>in</strong>g taken forward between English Partnerships <strong>and</strong> Bellway<br />
Homes, but will only be fully implemented at appropriate<br />
densities if access is improved. The East London Transit is due to<br />
open <strong>in</strong> 2006 <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>re are plans to extend it to Haver<strong>in</strong>g. A<br />
DLR extension through Bark<strong>in</strong>g Reach is proposed, which would<br />
help to l<strong>in</strong>k it to Crossrail <strong>and</strong> to <strong>the</strong> c2c l<strong>in</strong>e.<br />
Thurrock<br />
7.5 Thurrock can build upon strong recent employment growth<br />
<strong>and</strong> as a logistics hub <strong>and</strong> also has considerable hous<strong>in</strong>g<br />
development potential <strong>in</strong> a range of sizeable sites. An Urban<br />
Development Corporation will drive development forward.<br />
North Kent Thamesside<br />
7.6 Employment <strong>and</strong> hous<strong>in</strong>g growth is streng<strong>the</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> this area.<br />
After Canary Wharf <strong>and</strong> Stratford/Leaside/Royals it has <strong>the</strong><br />
largest job growth potential <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> up to 2016 as well<br />
as substantial hous<strong>in</strong>g capacity. Ebbsfleet can become a CBD<br />
around <strong>the</strong> new <strong>in</strong>ternational rail station <strong>and</strong> its potential could<br />
be enhanced by connection to London through Crossrail <strong>and</strong><br />
domestic services on CTRL. Major sites have a prospective<br />
capacity for 19,000 homes, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g 7,000 at Eastern Quarry.<br />
There is a str<strong>in</strong>g of development opportunities along <strong>the</strong><br />
Gravesend/Northfleet riverside. Fastrack will facilitate<br />
development, l<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g Ebbsfleet, Dartford <strong>and</strong> Gravesend.<br />
O<strong>the</strong>r Zones of Change<br />
7.7 Medway has a range of employment <strong>and</strong> hous<strong>in</strong>g opportunities<br />
on <strong>the</strong> river, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> exist<strong>in</strong>g centres of Chatham <strong>and</strong> Rochester<br />
<strong>and</strong> on <strong>the</strong> Isle of Gra<strong>in</strong>. These would be assisted by <strong>the</strong><br />
provision of CTRL domestic services to relieve <strong>the</strong> North Kent l<strong>in</strong>e<br />
<strong>and</strong> proposals that would <strong>in</strong>crease public transport capacity <strong>and</strong><br />
reduce congestion <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> urban area. A mixed new community is<br />
envisaged at Chattenden/Lodge Hill <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> medium to long term.<br />
Sou<strong>the</strong>nd, like Medway, can use growth to achieve <strong>the</strong> critical<br />
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mass of <strong>in</strong>vestment that attracts key elements of city life. This<br />
will <strong>in</strong>clude university expansion <strong>and</strong> a role as a cultural hub<br />
focused on <strong>the</strong> town centre <strong>and</strong> sea front. Assisted by road<br />
improvements, <strong>the</strong> MOD ranges <strong>and</strong> airport also provide<br />
important medium to long-term employment sites. Basildon has<br />
shown good economic growth potential <strong>and</strong> a mix of<br />
employment <strong>and</strong> hous<strong>in</strong>g development will streng<strong>the</strong>n its town<br />
centre <strong>and</strong> overall quality of life. Shell Haven could generate<br />
17,000 jobs <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> port <strong>and</strong> associated development <strong>and</strong> has <strong>the</strong><br />
potential to benefit Thurrock <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> wider area. Canvey Isl<strong>and</strong><br />
has significant potential to create employment opportunities,<br />
leisure facilities <strong>and</strong> new homes around <strong>the</strong> south of <strong>the</strong> isl<strong>and</strong>.<br />
Sitt<strong>in</strong>gbourne/Sheerness has potential for substantial hous<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>and</strong> employment growth, especially if access can be improved <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> around Sitt<strong>in</strong>gbourne, <strong>and</strong> at Sheerness, which will benefit<br />
from <strong>the</strong> second Swale cross<strong>in</strong>g. Deptford/<br />
Lewisham/Greenwich will accommodate significant hous<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>and</strong> employment growth, exploit<strong>in</strong>g potential <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> town<br />
centres, at Deptford Creek <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> parts of Convoys Wharf,<br />
especially <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> creative <strong>and</strong> leisure sectors.<br />
Outside <strong>the</strong> Zones of Change<br />
7.8 There are substantial communities <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> outside <strong>the</strong><br />
Zones of Change. In <strong>the</strong>se areas, opportunities will be smaller<br />
scale, but <strong>the</strong>re is significant potential to be exploited by<br />
sensitive <strong>in</strong>tensification <strong>and</strong> effective regeneration at a more<br />
local level.<br />
8. Implementation<br />
8.1 The emphasis must now be on delivery of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>’s full<br />
potential. There are well – established cross-sectoral partnerships<br />
for each of <strong>the</strong> three ma<strong>in</strong> areas: <strong>the</strong> Thames <strong>Gateway</strong><br />
London/Kent/ <strong>and</strong> South Essex Partnerships. The RPBs will work<br />
with <strong>the</strong>ir respective Partnerships <strong>and</strong> with <strong>the</strong> Government<br />
Offices <strong>and</strong> Regional Development Agencies to achieve <strong>the</strong><br />
targets set out <strong>in</strong> this Statement. They will collaborate with<br />
Regional Hous<strong>in</strong>g Boards <strong>and</strong> create a strong relationship<br />
between regional plann<strong>in</strong>g targets <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Regional Hous<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Strategies. They will encourage <strong>the</strong> Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> Strategic<br />
Partnership to give strong leadership <strong>and</strong> work with <strong>the</strong> new<br />
Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities Delivery Unit. They will also collaborate<br />
with bodies like <strong>the</strong> Hous<strong>in</strong>g Corporation, Environment Agency,<br />
English Partnerships, Strategic Rail Authority, Health, Education,<br />
Transport <strong>and</strong> Police Authorities <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r key stakeholders.
They will particularly work with <strong>the</strong> private sector to help<br />
manage dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> expectations <strong>and</strong> raise <strong>the</strong> attractiveness<br />
of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> for <strong>in</strong>vestment. This will have to be<br />
accompanied by a positive <strong>and</strong> co-ord<strong>in</strong>ated market<strong>in</strong>g strategy<br />
that conveys <strong>the</strong> new image of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>.<br />
8.2 Implementation must be <strong>in</strong>frastructure-led. In particular, <strong>the</strong><br />
speed <strong>and</strong> quality of delivery of transport improvements will be a<br />
“make or break” issue for <strong>the</strong> timely <strong>and</strong> full realisation of <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong>’s capacity to 2012.<br />
8.3 There is an evident need to focus <strong>the</strong> delivery effort <strong>in</strong>to areas<br />
where <strong>the</strong> most significant growth will be concentrated. Urban<br />
Development Corporations of <strong>the</strong> k<strong>in</strong>d be<strong>in</strong>g be<strong>in</strong>g created <strong>in</strong><br />
East London <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> Thurrock can help to sharpen up<br />
implementation. O<strong>the</strong>r local delivery agencies are be<strong>in</strong>g<br />
developed at Medway, Kent Thamesside, Swale, Basildon, Castle<br />
Po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>and</strong> Sou<strong>the</strong>nd. Delivery Boards offer ano<strong>the</strong>r potentially<br />
effective mechanism.<br />
8.4 The plann<strong>in</strong>g system must be focused on deliver<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong>’s strategy. The spatial development approach of <strong>the</strong><br />
RSSs <strong>and</strong> London Plan provides <strong>the</strong> opportunity to co-ord<strong>in</strong>ate<br />
plans more effectively across sectors <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> new local plann<strong>in</strong>g<br />
system allows a speedier approach. Plan-mak<strong>in</strong>g, masterplann<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>and</strong> development control throughout <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong><br />
must support high quality <strong>and</strong> more <strong>in</strong>tensive susta<strong>in</strong>able<br />
development <strong>and</strong> resist sub-st<strong>and</strong>ard applications. There has to<br />
be a strategic <strong>and</strong> positive plann<strong>in</strong>g approach commensurate<br />
with <strong>the</strong> scale of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>’s opportunity.<br />
8.5 The Inter-regional Forum will take responsibility for<br />
co-ord<strong>in</strong>ation across <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> between <strong>the</strong> three RPBs.<br />
It will streng<strong>the</strong>n <strong>in</strong>ter-regional <strong>in</strong>formation <strong>and</strong> monitor<strong>in</strong>g<br />
systems <strong>and</strong> provide an “alarm system” where progress is fail<strong>in</strong>g<br />
to meet targets.<br />
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9. Conclusion<br />
9.1 Development of <strong>the</strong> Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> will be an immensely<br />
complex, dem<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> difficult task. The rewards of success<br />
will be great. The <strong>Gateway</strong> offers an extraord<strong>in</strong>ary opportunity.<br />
It can accommodate a substantial share of <strong>the</strong> hous<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong><br />
employment growth that will <strong>in</strong>evitably take place <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> wider<br />
South East. The figures <strong>in</strong> this Statement show that <strong>the</strong>re is <strong>the</strong><br />
potential for susta<strong>in</strong>ed development significantly above <strong>the</strong><br />
targets <strong>in</strong> Creat<strong>in</strong>g Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities to 2016 <strong>and</strong><br />
cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g growth <strong>the</strong>reafter, if <strong>the</strong> right support<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure is put <strong>in</strong> place <strong>and</strong> if strong implementation<br />
mechanisms can <strong>in</strong>crease rates of completion. This will require<br />
public as well as private resources on a major scale to fund <strong>the</strong><br />
transport <strong>and</strong> community <strong>in</strong>frastructure essential for <strong>the</strong><br />
necessary step change to achieve high quality growth <strong>and</strong><br />
environmental improvement. The scale <strong>and</strong> location of <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Gateway</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> potential to ga<strong>in</strong> substantial value from<br />
currently under-used assets make it a unique opportunity to<br />
comb<strong>in</strong>e susta<strong>in</strong>able community plann<strong>in</strong>g with strong economic<br />
development. This will require a collaborative <strong>and</strong> committed<br />
approach. The <strong>Gateway</strong> is an opportunity that all three regional<br />
plann<strong>in</strong>g authorities <strong>in</strong>tend to seize.
Annex 1: How London hous<strong>in</strong>g<br />
figures relate to those <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
London Plan<br />
This Annex expla<strong>in</strong>s how <strong>the</strong> hous<strong>in</strong>g figures <strong>in</strong> this statement relate<br />
to those <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> London Plan, published on 10 February 2004.<br />
Paragraph 4.4 gives two London Plan hous<strong>in</strong>g figures: 86,000 for <strong>the</strong><br />
whole of <strong>the</strong> seven boroughs <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Thames <strong>Gateway</strong>, <strong>and</strong> 46,000 for<br />
<strong>the</strong> Opportunity Areas <strong>and</strong> Areas for Intensification <strong>in</strong> Thames<br />
<strong>Gateway</strong>. The first of <strong>the</strong>se figures is derived from table 3A.1 <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
London Plan, which sets out annual monitor<strong>in</strong>g targets for all London<br />
boroughs. Tak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>se annual figures for <strong>the</strong> seven boroughs of<br />
Bark<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> Dagenham, Bexley, Greenwich, Haver<strong>in</strong>g, Lewisham,<br />
Newham <strong>and</strong> Tower Hamlets, gives 5,770, <strong>and</strong> multiply<strong>in</strong>g by 15 for<br />
<strong>the</strong> period 2001-2016 gives 86,550.<br />
Opportunity Areas <strong>and</strong> Areas for Intensification <strong>in</strong> East London are<br />
set out <strong>in</strong> table 5C.1 <strong>and</strong> 5C.2 of <strong>the</strong> London Plan. The areas <strong>in</strong><br />
Thames <strong>Gateway</strong> are:<br />
Opportunity New homes Correspond<strong>in</strong>g London Plan RPB figure Higher<br />
Area or Area for to 2016 <strong>in</strong> Zones of total for <strong>the</strong> from Table 3 London<br />
Intensification London Plan Change Zones of of this figure<br />
Change document<br />
Isle of Dogs 3,500 Isle of Dogs 3,500 4,000 8,000<br />
Stratford 4,500 Stratford/<br />
Leaside/ Royals 16,500 20,000 33,000<br />
Lower Lea Valley 6,000<br />
Royal Docks 5,500<br />
Beckton 500<br />
Bark<strong>in</strong>g Reach 10,000 London<br />
Riverside 13,000 13,000 21,000<br />
London Riverside 3,000<br />
Deptford Creek/ 1,000 Deptford/ 1,000 5,000 10,000<br />
Greenwich<br />
Riverside<br />
Lewisham<br />
Greenwich 7,500 Greenwich 7,500 10,000 10,000<br />
Pen<strong>in</strong>sula Pen<strong>in</strong>sula<br />
Belvedere/Erith 1,400 Woolwich/<br />
Thamesmead<br />
4,400 7,000 9,000<br />
Thamesmead 3,000<br />
Total 45,900 45,900 59,000 91,000<br />
Most of <strong>the</strong> RPB figures are higher than those <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> London Plan: <strong>in</strong><br />
some cases <strong>the</strong> London Plan took smaller areas than <strong>the</strong> full Zones of<br />
Change, <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> o<strong>the</strong>rs <strong>the</strong> change reflects fur<strong>the</strong>r work on <strong>the</strong><br />
potential of <strong>the</strong> areas s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> London Plan was prepared.<br />
31