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View Carlson-Titman-Tiu Paper - The Paul Merage School of Business

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Appendix 1: Pro<strong>of</strong>s<br />

Pro<strong>of</strong> <strong>of</strong> the Equilibrium characterization theorem<br />

First, we note that since the supply <strong>of</strong> private real estate is perfectly elastic, the discount rate<br />

for private real estate is always r ∗ and in turn, the price <strong>of</strong> private real estate is always:<br />

V P ∞<br />

(r, L) = E e<br />

0<br />

−r∗ <br />

t<br />

Ltdt|L0 = l, r0 = r = L/(r ∗ − µL). (23)<br />

We can now turn to the REITs price V R (r, L). By Bellman’s optimality principle, for any<br />

(small) θ > 0 we have:<br />

⎡<br />

V R (r, L) = sup E ⎣<br />

θ<br />

Now, by Ito’s lemma,<br />

0<br />

e − t<br />

0 Rs(Is)ds Ltdt − <br />

τn≤θ<br />

e − τn<br />

0 Rs(Is)ds ckn−1, kn Lτn + e − θ<br />

19<br />

⎤<br />

0 Rs(Is)ds V Iθ (rθ, Lθ) ⎦ .<br />

(24)<br />

V Iθ (rθ, Lθ) = V Iθ<br />

θ<br />

+ LV<br />

0<br />

Iθ<br />

θ<br />

dt + ▽V<br />

0<br />

IθΣdWt, (25)<br />

where Σ is the volatility process for (rt, Lt) jointly, W = (W r , W L ) ′ is the Brownian motion driving<br />

(rt, Lt) and the differential operator L is:<br />

Lf(r, L) = (1/2)σ 2 rfrr + ρσrσLfrL + (1/2)σ 2 LfLL + µrrf + µLfL.<br />

Since the expectation <strong>of</strong> the Brownian integral is zero, the Bellman’s optimality principle becomes:<br />

inf E V R (r, L) −e− θ<br />

0 RsdsV Iθ(r, L) − e− θ<br />

0 Rsds θ<br />

0 LV Iθdt<br />

− θ<br />

0 e− t<br />

0 RsdsLtdt + <br />

τn≤θ e− τn<br />

0 Rs(Is)dsckn−1, knLτn <br />

= 0.<br />

We now distinguish three possibilities. In the first, it is optimal to switch from REITs to private<br />

real estate at the current time. If this is the case, then as we push θ → 0,<br />

(26)<br />

V R (r, L) = V P (r, L) − cRP L. (27)<br />

In the second, we just switched from the private state and thus:

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