View Carlson-Titman-Tiu Paper - The Paul Merage School of Business
View Carlson-Titman-Tiu Paper - The Paul Merage School of Business
View Carlson-Titman-Tiu Paper - The Paul Merage School of Business
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Appendix 1: Pro<strong>of</strong>s<br />
Pro<strong>of</strong> <strong>of</strong> the Equilibrium characterization theorem<br />
First, we note that since the supply <strong>of</strong> private real estate is perfectly elastic, the discount rate<br />
for private real estate is always r ∗ and in turn, the price <strong>of</strong> private real estate is always:<br />
V P ∞<br />
(r, L) = E e<br />
0<br />
−r∗ <br />
t<br />
Ltdt|L0 = l, r0 = r = L/(r ∗ − µL). (23)<br />
We can now turn to the REITs price V R (r, L). By Bellman’s optimality principle, for any<br />
(small) θ > 0 we have:<br />
⎡<br />
V R (r, L) = sup E ⎣<br />
θ<br />
Now, by Ito’s lemma,<br />
0<br />
e − t<br />
0 Rs(Is)ds Ltdt − <br />
τn≤θ<br />
e − τn<br />
0 Rs(Is)ds ckn−1, kn Lτn + e − θ<br />
19<br />
⎤<br />
0 Rs(Is)ds V Iθ (rθ, Lθ) ⎦ .<br />
(24)<br />
V Iθ (rθ, Lθ) = V Iθ<br />
θ<br />
+ LV<br />
0<br />
Iθ<br />
θ<br />
dt + ▽V<br />
0<br />
IθΣdWt, (25)<br />
where Σ is the volatility process for (rt, Lt) jointly, W = (W r , W L ) ′ is the Brownian motion driving<br />
(rt, Lt) and the differential operator L is:<br />
Lf(r, L) = (1/2)σ 2 rfrr + ρσrσLfrL + (1/2)σ 2 LfLL + µrrf + µLfL.<br />
Since the expectation <strong>of</strong> the Brownian integral is zero, the Bellman’s optimality principle becomes:<br />
inf E V R (r, L) −e− θ<br />
0 RsdsV Iθ(r, L) − e− θ<br />
0 Rsds θ<br />
0 LV Iθdt<br />
− θ<br />
0 e− t<br />
0 RsdsLtdt + <br />
τn≤θ e− τn<br />
0 Rs(Is)dsckn−1, knLτn <br />
= 0.<br />
We now distinguish three possibilities. In the first, it is optimal to switch from REITs to private<br />
real estate at the current time. If this is the case, then as we push θ → 0,<br />
(26)<br />
V R (r, L) = V P (r, L) − cRP L. (27)<br />
In the second, we just switched from the private state and thus: