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Will Pakistan Break Up? - Carnegie Endowment for International ...

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Remarks Not Checked Against Delivery<br />

I’m going to start with a citation from the Scripture. Scripture <strong>for</strong> me on the subject<br />

of <strong>Pakistan</strong> is an important book called The Shadow of the Great Game: The Untold Story of India’s<br />

Partition, by Narendra Singh Sarila, a retired Indian diplomat who was the ADC to<br />

Mountbatten. He got unprecedented access to the British archives. In his book he presents<br />

detailed, definitive evidence showing that as early as March, 1945, Winston Churchill and the<br />

British General Staff decided that Partition was necessary <strong>for</strong> strategic reasons. They<br />

deliberately set out to create <strong>Pakistan</strong> because Jinnah had promised to provide military<br />

facilities and Nehru refused to do so.<br />

This is the key to understanding why <strong>Pakistan</strong> is so dysfunctional. It’s an artificial<br />

political entity. The British put together five ethnic groups that had never be<strong>for</strong>e co-existed<br />

in the same body politic historically. The Bengalis were the biggest. They outnumbered all<br />

of the other four combined—the Punjabis, the Pashtuns, the Baluch and the Sindhis. Five<br />

became four of course when Bangladesh seceded.<br />

As it happened I was in Dacca during the Bangladesh crisis of 1971 when the Army<br />

moved in to crush the independence movement. I had a memorable conversation with<br />

Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto in which he said it would be best if the Bengalis did secede because<br />

<strong>Pakistan</strong> would be more manageable without them. What he meant was that he would have<br />

a better chance of running <strong>Pakistan</strong> in cooperation with the Punjabis if he could get rid of<br />

the Bengalis. And that’s what happened except that the Army, as you know, eventually<br />

executed him.<br />

The Army bequeathed by the British to <strong>Pakistan</strong> was overwhelmingly dominated by<br />

Punjabi officers and soldiers. So with the Bengalis gone the Baluch, Pashtuns and Sindhis<br />

have faced a cruel historical irony. For centuries they had resisted the incursions of the<br />

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