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PCE Deflator, (Personal Consumption Expenditure ... - Morningbull

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Because income is either spent or saved, <strong>Personal</strong> Spending (when reported as a percent of<br />

income rather than the headline percent change) has an inverse relationship to personal saving.<br />

Economists watch the growth of <strong>Personal</strong> Spending in relation to income and saving to determine<br />

if consumers are living beyond their means, which would influence levels of borrowing and future<br />

consumption.<br />

The <strong>PCE</strong> figure is released in headlines as a percent change from the previous month.<br />

Core <strong>Personal</strong> <strong>Consumption</strong> <strong>Expenditure</strong><br />

Volatile items like food and energy can fluctuate widely due to seasonal and non-systemic factors.<br />

In order to provide a less erratic picture of <strong>Personal</strong> <strong>Consumption</strong>, food and energy items are<br />

excluded in the <strong>PCE</strong> core report.<br />

The headline figure of <strong>PCE</strong> is expressed in percentage change in spending for the quarter.<br />

Note: The <strong>Personal</strong> <strong>Consumption</strong> <strong>Expenditure</strong> figure is reported with the <strong>Personal</strong> Income and<br />

Outlays figure.<br />

Relevance: Moderate market impact<br />

Release schedule : 12:30 (GMT); monthly, four to five weeks after the reporting month<br />

Revisions schedule : Moderate revisions in the months following the report as more complete<br />

data is available, plus annual revision in July or August.<br />

Source of report : Bureau of Economic Analysis, Department of Commerce (U.S.)<br />

Web Address : http://www.bea.gov/<br />

Address of release : http://www.bea.gov/bea/newsrel/pinewsrelease.htm<br />

AKA : <strong>PCE</strong>, <strong>Personal</strong> Spending, <strong>Personal</strong> <strong>Consumption</strong><br />

GDP Price Index - United States<br />

Measures changes in the prices of goods and services that are included in US GDP. The GDP<br />

Price Index is an indicator for inflation calculated by comparing the current GDP to GDP in the<br />

reference year. A high or rising GDP Price Index, like other indicators of inflation, puts pressure<br />

on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.<br />

The GDP price index differs from other more popular inflation measures like CPI, in that it<br />

includes all products accounted for by GDP and does not include the affects of changes in import<br />

prices. Furthermore, the report is only released quarterly and commands little market attention<br />

because of it lack of timeliness.

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