getting to pluralism: political actors in the arab world - Carnegie ...
getting to pluralism: political actors in the arab world - Carnegie ...
getting to pluralism: political actors in the arab world - Carnegie ...
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Transcript Not Checked Aga<strong>in</strong>st Delivery<br />
And so I th<strong>in</strong>k what’s go<strong>in</strong>g on <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> West Bank – we’re so used <strong>to</strong>, at least I was before<br />
this summer when I went <strong>the</strong>re – <strong>to</strong> just th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g it’s all over, it’s a disaster, noth<strong>in</strong>g can happen.<br />
But I th<strong>in</strong>k people are miss<strong>in</strong>g this new cycle, which is more Palest<strong>in</strong>ian security is lead<strong>in</strong>g <strong>to</strong> more<br />
Israeli pullback <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Palest<strong>in</strong>ian areas – I’m not talk<strong>in</strong>g about settlements at all – and that’s<br />
<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g Palest<strong>in</strong>ian economic activity and prosperity. World Bank says <strong>the</strong> West Bank could grow<br />
as much as 7 percent this year; real estate prices <strong>in</strong> Ramallah have tripled.<br />
And so we have just an open<strong>in</strong>g. I wouldn’t it exaggerate it and I’m perfectly aware men and<br />
women do not live by shoe sales alone. Until and unless this is quickly translated <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> a politics of<br />
control, and not just economic growth, it will ultimately go nowhere. But I would watch <strong>the</strong> Fayyad<br />
experiment because he is a modernizer who does not have <strong>the</strong> option of au<strong>to</strong>cracy.<br />
MS. OTTAWAY: I’ll try <strong>to</strong> address <strong>the</strong> issue raised both by Howard Wiarda and Steve Cole<br />
because <strong>in</strong> many ways <strong>the</strong>y are related, which really goes <strong>to</strong> how do you change <strong>the</strong> systems of<br />
values; how do you <strong>in</strong>tegrate <strong>the</strong>se system values and so on?<br />
And I’m not <strong>to</strong>o sure that <strong>the</strong> <strong>political</strong> culture of Arab countries is so clearly dist<strong>in</strong>ct from<br />
some o<strong>the</strong>r regions of <strong>the</strong> <strong>world</strong>. Yes, <strong>the</strong>re have been elements of corporatism <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g of –<br />
I mean, <strong>the</strong>re has been a lot of writ<strong>in</strong>g about this and so on. There were very strong elements of<br />
corporatism <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> politics of countries that <strong>to</strong>day we consider <strong>to</strong> be among <strong>the</strong> most democratic <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>world</strong>. That is, <strong>the</strong> Scand<strong>in</strong>avian countries for example.<br />
In o<strong>the</strong>r words, <strong>the</strong> systems of values do evolve. One of <strong>the</strong> problems that you have <strong>in</strong><br />
Arab countries right now is that governments, because <strong>the</strong>y tend <strong>to</strong> be so repressive, are stunt<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />
evolution. We have seen a lot of chang<strong>in</strong>g tak<strong>in</strong>g place <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g of <strong>the</strong> Islamist movement.<br />
It’s pretty difficult <strong>to</strong> ask Islamist movements <strong>to</strong> more <strong>to</strong>wards a more liberal <strong>in</strong>terpretation<br />
essentially, which <strong>the</strong>y have been do<strong>in</strong>g. There have been tremendous discussions with<strong>in</strong> this<br />
movement, while at <strong>the</strong> same time you put <strong>in</strong> jail – not only you put <strong>in</strong> jail <strong>the</strong>ir members but you<br />
target, <strong>in</strong> particular, <strong>the</strong> reformers <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>re because you seem <strong>the</strong>m as <strong>the</strong> most dangerous ones<br />
because <strong>the</strong>y are <strong>the</strong> ones that are mak<strong>in</strong>g Islamists less threaten<strong>in</strong>g. So that essentially, <strong>the</strong>re is a<br />
very serious problem because we expect <strong>the</strong> opposition <strong>to</strong> be pluralistic but at <strong>the</strong> same time, <strong>the</strong><br />
government is not respect<strong>in</strong>g <strong>pluralism</strong>. And that hampers this process of evolution.<br />
Aga<strong>in</strong>, Japan certa<strong>in</strong>ly has moved <strong>to</strong>wards democracy. Don’t tell me that <strong>the</strong>re was no<br />
strong corporate element <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> culture of Japan <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> group vot<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> early period after World<br />
War II. So I don’t th<strong>in</strong>k <strong>the</strong>re is someth<strong>in</strong>g so peculiar <strong>to</strong> Arab countries. I th<strong>in</strong>k it’s more of a<br />
vicious circle that we are see<strong>in</strong>g where <strong>the</strong>re is really noth<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>political</strong> situation <strong>to</strong> encourage<br />
this transformation.<br />
Concern<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> – Tom, very good question – about what happened <strong>to</strong> this liberalism <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
country. I am not a his<strong>to</strong>rian, but I repeat what I said before: It’s very important <strong>to</strong> remember that<br />
<strong>the</strong> period when those liberal ideas were <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> ascendance was also a period of <strong>in</strong>tense nationalism.<br />
And essentially, liberalism did ride on <strong>the</strong> back of nationalism.<br />
That is what clearly l<strong>in</strong>ked those people who truly believed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> liberal ideas, which after<br />
all, tend <strong>to</strong> be ideas of <strong>in</strong>tellectuals, <strong>the</strong> liberal ideas, as <strong>the</strong>y are set forth. And you need someth<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>to</strong> l<strong>in</strong>k <strong>the</strong>m and make <strong>the</strong>m acceptable <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> rest of <strong>the</strong> population. Nationalism played that role