Stability Across Cohorts in Divorce Risk Factors - Bishop Ireton High ...

348 Demography, Volume 39-Number 2, May 2002
Appendix Table A2. Estimates of Model Fit for Models Including and Then Excluding Cohabitation
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Including Premarital Cohabitation Excluding Premarital Cohabitation
Model χ2 / df BIC Model χ2 / df BIC
Model Model χ2 df Difference BIC Difference Model χ2 df Difference BIC Difference
A: Baseline Additive Model 869.36 20 –709.19 –– 824.55 19 –672.39 ––
B: A + Age at Marriage × Year
Married 869.86 21 0.50/1 –701.69 7.50 824.84 20 0.29/1 –664.67 7.72
C: A + Husband’s Age at Marriage
× Year Married 872.56 21 3.20/1 –704.38 4.81 827.48 20 2.93/1 –667.31 4.99
D: A + Premarital Birth × Year
Married 869.60 21 0.24/1 –701.42 7.77 824.95 20 0.40/1 –664.78 7.52
E: A + Premarital Conception
× Year Married 870.87 21 1.27/1 –702.70 6.49 826.24 20 1.69/1 –666.07 6.23
F: A + Wife Older × Year Married 869.40 21 0.04/1 –701.22 7.97 824.58 20 0.03/1 –664.41 7.89
G: A + Wife Has More Education
× Year Married 869.36 21 0.00/1 –701.18 8.01 824.55 20 0.00/1 –664.38 8.01
H: A + Husband Older × Year
Married 869.64 21 0.28/1 –701.46 7.73 824.76 20 0.21/1 –664.59 7.71
I: A + Wife’s Education × Year Married 870.42 21 1.05/1 –702.25 6.94 825.62 20 1.07/1 –665.45 6.85
J: A + Husband’s Education × Year
Married 875.93 22 6.57/2 –699.75 9.44 831.21 21 6.66/2 –663.04 9.26
L: A + Catholic × Year Married 870.71 21 1.35/1 –702.54 6.65 826.05 20 1.50/1 –665.88 6.42
M: A + Wife’s Parents Divorced
× Year Married 869.43 21 0.07/1 –701.25 7.94 824.78 20 0.23/1 –664.61 7.69
N: A + Premarital Cohabitation
× Year Married 871.94 21 2.58/1 –703.77 5.42 –– –– –– –– ––
O: A + Black × Year Married 870.67 21 1.31/1 –702.50 6.69 826.33 20 1.78/1 –666.16 6.14
Notes: All models include a control for survey round. N for estimating BIC is 3,006. Values in italic type are statistically significant at p < .05.