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Cervical Cancer Screening and Human Papillomavirus (HPV ... - KCE

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12 <strong>Cervical</strong> cancer screening <strong>and</strong> <strong>HPV</strong> <strong>KCE</strong> reports vol.38<br />

Table 4. Meta-analysis of test sensitivity <strong>and</strong> specificity of cervical cytology at<br />

2 test thresholds (LSIL+ <strong>and</strong> HSIL+) for colposcopically or histologically<br />

confirmed presence of CIN2+ or CIN1+pooled from studies with complete<br />

<strong>and</strong> incomplete gold st<strong>and</strong>ard verification (adapted from 18, 19 .<br />

A. Outcome presence of CIN2+<br />

All studies<br />

Test threshold Sensitivity (95% CI) # studies Range Specificity (95% CI) # studies<br />

LSIL+ 0.83 (0.80-0.86) 46 0.22-1.00 0.61 (0.55-0.67) 46<br />

HSIL+ 0.58 ( 0.49-0.66) 45 0.89 (0.87-0.90) 45<br />

Only studies without verification bias<br />

Test threshold Sensitivity (95% CI) # studies Specificity (95% CI) # studies<br />

LSIL+ 0.77 (0.58-0.97) 6 0.92 (0.89-0.95) 6<br />

HSIL+ 0.87 ( 0.78-0.96) 1 1.00 (0.99-1.00) 1<br />

B. Outcome presence of CIN1+<br />

All studies<br />

Test threshold Sensitivity (95% CI) # studies Range Specificity (95% CI) # studies<br />

LSIL+ 0.67 (0.63-0.71) 72 0.73 ( 0.71-0.76) 72<br />

HSIL+ - - 0 - - 0<br />

Only studies without verification bias<br />

Test threshold Sensitivity (95% CI) # studies Specificity (95% CI) # studies<br />

LSIL+ 0.52 (0.38-0.66) 9 0.96 (0.94-0.98) 9<br />

HSIL+ - - 0 - - 0<br />

The test sensitivity of cytology for CIN (without precision of test <strong>and</strong> outcome<br />

thresholds), estimated by modelling from the historical British Columbia cohort was<br />

80% 33, 6 . It concerned here sensitivity evaluated in an organised screening setting with<br />

good quality control.<br />

2.3.3 Conclusions<br />

To conclude, it can be stated that the test sensitivity <strong>and</strong> specificity of the conventional<br />

Pap smear are not known precisely. The sensitivity for CIN2+ at low cytological<br />

thresholds is, on average, relatively high (often in the range 70-80%), but it also can be<br />

low in certain situations. The estimation of the accuracy varies by population<br />

characteristics (age, screening history, screening or follow-up situation) <strong>and</strong> study design<br />

properties (selection bias, definition of cut-offs, method of gold st<strong>and</strong>ard assessment<br />

(colposcopy oriented biopsies completed or not with r<strong>and</strong>om biopsies; punch versus<br />

excision biopsies), verification bias, masked or unmasked gold st<strong>and</strong>ard assessment). 30

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