Net Assessment and Planning for National Security - George Mason ...

Spring Break (Mar 10)
8. Mid-Term Examination (Mar 17)
PART II: HISTORICAL CASE STUDIES
9. The Military Balance: France 1940 (Mar 24)
Eliot A. Cohen and John Gooch. Military Misfortunes (New York: Free Press,
1990), Chapter 8.
Philip A. Karber, et al. Assessing the Balance of Forces: France 1940. (McLean,
VA: BDM Corporation, June 18, 1979).
Ernest R. May. Strange Victory (New York: Hill and Wang, 2000), pp. 448-64.
Williamson Murray. The Change in the European Balance of Power, 1938-
39. (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1984), Chapters X and XI.
10. The NATO-Warsaw Pact Military Balance (Mar 31)
Eliot A. Cohen. “Toward Better Net Assessment,” IS (Summer 1988).
John J. Mearsheimer. “Numbers, Strategy, and the European Balance,” IS
(Spring 1988).
Joshua M. Epstein. “Dynamic Analysis and the Conventional Balance in
Europe,” IS (Spring 1988).
Barry R. Posen. “Is NATO Decisively Outnumbered?” IS (Spring 1988).
11. The Anglo-German Dreadnought Race (Apr 7)
Aaron L. Friedberg. The Weary Titan: Britain and the Experience of Relative
Decline (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1988), Chapter 4.
Nicholas A. Lambert. “Admiral John Fisher and the Concept of Flotilla Defence,
1904-1909,” The Journal of Military History (October 1995).
Nicholas A. Lambert. “British Naval Policy, 1913-1914: Financial Limitation
and Strategic Revolution,” The Journal of Modern History (September 1995).
John Tetsuro Sumida, “Sir John Fisher and the Dreadnought: The Sources of
Naval Mythology,” The Journal of Modern History (October 1995).
12. The U.S.-Soviet Strategic-Nuclear Balance (Apr 14)
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