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Proceedings of DETC’97:<br />

1997 ASME Design Engineering Technical Conferences<br />

September 14 - 17, 1997 - Sacramento, California<br />

DETC97/DFM-4376<br />

AN ACTIVITY-BASED LIFE-CYCLE ASSESSMENT METHOD<br />

Jan Emblemsvåg<br />

Graduate Research Assistant,<br />

Norwegian Research Council and<br />

Fulbright Fellow<br />

ABSTRACT<br />

In this paper, a new activity-based method for <strong>the</strong> concurrent<br />

assessment and tracing of costs, energy consumption and waste<br />

generation for usage in <strong>Life</strong>-<strong>Cycle</strong> Design is presented. The<br />

method is based on <strong>Activity</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> Costing (ABC). By<br />

utilizing ABC we are able to assess and trace accurately<br />

overhead - and direct costs, energy and waste generation.. The<br />

inherent uncertainty is modeled in terms of fuzzy numbers, but<br />

solved numerically using <strong>the</strong> Monte Carlo simulation<br />

technique, which allows us to perform a sensitivity analysis.<br />

This enables us to not only estimate <strong>the</strong> costs, energy<br />

consumption and waste generation, but also trace <strong>the</strong> largest<br />

contributors. The capability to trace <strong>the</strong> contributors is perhaps<br />

<strong>the</strong> most significant feature - especially when <strong>the</strong> method is<br />

employed for design. To illustrate <strong>the</strong> usage of this method, a<br />

simple case study is provided in which we explore <strong>the</strong> life-span<br />

costs, energy consumption and waste generation of a oil/gas<br />

exploration platofrm supply vessel operating in <strong>the</strong> North Sea.<br />

KEYWORDS: <strong>Activity</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> Costing, <strong>Life</strong>-<strong>Cycle</strong> Design,<br />

Uncertainty, Monte Carlo Simulation and Sensitivity <strong>An</strong>alysis.<br />

NOMENCLATURE<br />

<strong>Activity</strong> driver: A measure of <strong>the</strong> consumption of an<br />

activity by <strong>the</strong> assessment objects.<br />

<strong>Assessment</strong> object: <strong>An</strong>y customer, service, project or<br />

product (design) for which separate cost and revenue and/or<br />

energy consumption and/or waste generation assessments are<br />

needed.<br />

Cost consumption intensity: Unit-price of a cost driver<br />

(Cooper 1990). E.g. USD per direct labor hour.<br />

Cost driver: <strong>An</strong>y factor that causes a change in <strong>the</strong> cost of<br />

an activity (Brinker 1997). Direct labor is an example of a cost<br />

driver. In conventional costing systems, only unit-level ‘cost<br />

drivers’ are found and <strong>the</strong>se are called allocation bases. We<br />

use cost drivers as a collective term.<br />

Cost element: Amount paid for a resource consumed by an<br />

activity; it is included in a cost pool (Brinker 1997).<br />

Cost pool: A specified grouping of cost elements. For<br />

example, in (Brinker 1997) an activity cost pool is defined as a<br />

grouping of all cost elements associated with an activity.<br />

Energy consumption intensity: Unit-energy<br />

consumption of an energy driver. For example Joule per<br />

machine hour.<br />

Bert Bras<br />

Assistant Professor<br />

<strong>Systems</strong> Realization Laboratory<br />

The George W. Woodruff School of Mechanical Engineering<br />

Georgia Institute of Technology<br />

Atlanta, GA, 30332<br />

USA<br />

Energy driver: <strong>An</strong>y factor that causes a change in <strong>the</strong> energy<br />

consumption of an activity.<br />

Resource element: <strong>An</strong> economic, energy related or waste<br />

related element that is used in <strong>the</strong> performance of activities.<br />

Resource driver: A measure of <strong>the</strong> quantity of resources<br />

consumed by an activity, e.g. <strong>the</strong> percentage of total square feet<br />

of space occupied by an activity (Brinker 1997).<br />

Resource pool: A specified grouping of resource elements.<br />

For example, an activity resource pool is defined as a grouping<br />

of all resource elements associated with an activity.<br />

Waste generation intensity: Unit-waste generation of a<br />

waste driver (an extension of cost consumption intensity into<br />

waste generation). For example Waste Units per welding hour.<br />

Waste driver: <strong>An</strong>y factor that causes a change in <strong>the</strong> waste<br />

generation of an activity (see Waste element).<br />

Waste element: <strong>An</strong> element of waste generated in <strong>the</strong><br />

consumption of activities, e.g., fuel consumption is a waste<br />

driver and CO 2, CO, SO 2 and NO X are <strong>the</strong> waste elements.<br />

Waste pool: A specified grouping of waste elements. For<br />

example, an activity cost pool is defined as a grouping of all<br />

waste elements associated with an activity.<br />

1 . 0 OUR FRAME OF REFERENCE<br />

1 . 1 Motivation<br />

It is generally agreed that environmental considerations<br />

must cover a product’s entire life-cycle and that a holistic,<br />

systems-based view provides <strong>the</strong> largest capability for reducing<br />

environmental impact of both products and associated processes.<br />

The environmental aspect of product life-cycles has become<br />

more and more important in recent years as our environment is<br />

deteriorating. To turn around this negative development, we<br />

must produce goods and services in a sustainable fashion.<br />

Already, in <strong>the</strong> U.S., a lot of attention is being given to<br />

Pollution Prevention and minimization of waste.<br />

Managing energy consumption, however, is just as<br />

important for good pollution (waste) control as managing<br />

pollutants (waste). Energy is one of <strong>the</strong> driving forces in socioeconomic<br />

development (Olsson 1994) and on a worldwide basis,<br />

1 Copyright © 1997 by ASME


energy constitutes 57% 1 of all CO 2 emissions into <strong>the</strong><br />

atmosphere (Fowler 1990).<br />

The most comprehensive tools to be used to analyze <strong>the</strong><br />

environmental impact of products are <strong>the</strong> so-called eco-balances<br />

and life cycle analyses/assessments (LCA). LCA is a method in<br />

which energy and raw material consumption, different types of<br />

emissions and o<strong>the</strong>r important factors related to a specific<br />

product are measured, analyzed and summoned over <strong>the</strong> entire<br />

life-cycle from an environmental point of view. The strength of<br />

LCA is <strong>the</strong> (potential) broadness of scope and depth of<br />

evaluation. However, designers find it almost impossible to<br />

practically work with LCAs, because <strong>the</strong> tools have a tendency<br />

to be as complex as <strong>the</strong> issue under investigation. Also, <strong>the</strong><br />

LCA methods have not (yet) been fully standardized and a<br />

number of different weighting and assessment schemes exist<br />

which may cause ambiguity. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, LCAs do not<br />

capture <strong>the</strong> traditional way of management using economic<br />

indicators.<br />

1 . 2 Our Combined Environmental and<br />

Economical <strong>Assessment</strong> <strong>Method</strong> <strong>Based</strong> on ABC<br />

In our opinion, a life-cycle assessment method should<br />

capture both <strong>the</strong> environmental and economic impact of a<br />

product to provide <strong>the</strong> most useful feedback to designers,<br />

engineers, and managers. In order to achieve such an integrated<br />

economical and ecological assessment approach, we believe that<br />

<strong>the</strong> use of an <strong>Activity</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> Costing approach may overcomes<br />

some of <strong>the</strong> difficulties associated with conventional LCA<br />

tools, e.g., <strong>the</strong> cumbersome amount of work involved, <strong>the</strong><br />

usage of non-comparable units and <strong>the</strong> lack of common<br />

standards. Our goal is to model all <strong>the</strong> aspects of product<br />

realization along with <strong>the</strong> associated economical transactions for<br />

<strong>the</strong> entire life-cycle. The foundation for this work has been<br />

presented in e.g. (Bras and Emblemsvåg 1996). In this paper,<br />

we build upon <strong>the</strong> previous work and show specifically <strong>the</strong><br />

following:<br />

• How our new ABC based method can be used not only for<br />

life-cycle costing (as it was intended/invented for), but also<br />

for life-cycle assessments (LCAs) of environmental impact<br />

in terms of<br />

1. waste generation and<br />

2. energy consumption.<br />

• <strong>An</strong> example of how <strong>the</strong> method can be implemented using<br />

an UT 705 Platform Supply Vessel (PSV) is presented.<br />

This specific type of PSVs was designed by Ulstein<br />

International AS in Norway. The vessel is capable of:<br />

1. Transporting pipes, cement, equipment and goods to<br />

and from pipeline barges, oil rigs and ships.<br />

2. Loading and laying beside a pipeline barge under<br />

North Sea conditions with approximately 4.6 meter<br />

high waves and a tidal current of roughly 3.5 knots.<br />

As mentioned earlier, we assume three aspects of product<br />

realization in this paper; 1) costs and revenues, 2) energy<br />

consumption, and 3) waste generation. In <strong>the</strong> following three<br />

sections we will discuss <strong>the</strong>se three aspects.<br />

2 . 0 ACTIVITY-BASED COSTING<br />

2 . 1 Motivation for <strong>Activity</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> Costing<br />

The strength of <strong>Activity</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> Costing with Uncertainty<br />

(referred to as ACU) described in (Emblemsvåg and Bras 1994;<br />

1 This number was calculated by <strong>the</strong> U.S. Environmental Protection Agency<br />

and applies to <strong>the</strong> USA. The actual figure may vary from country to country<br />

depending on its energy mix.<br />

Bras and Emblemsvåg 1996) is <strong>the</strong> combination of <strong>Activity</strong>-<br />

<strong>Based</strong> Costing (ABC) and <strong>the</strong> modeling of uncertainty as<br />

continuous and discrete probability distribution. The usage of<br />

ABC is gaining more and more ground on conventional costing<br />

systems (Cooper 1990; Keoleian and Menerey 1994) - initially<br />

due to more correct cost assessments but more lately due to <strong>the</strong><br />

improved capability of tracing <strong>the</strong> costs. This tracing capability<br />

is enhanced in our method by <strong>the</strong> usage of uncertainty and<br />

sensitivity analysis. The two key differences between ABC and<br />

conventional costing systems are as follows:<br />

• In an ABC system it is assumed that a cost object consumes<br />

activities, while in a conventional system it is assumed that<br />

a cost object consumes resources.<br />

• <strong>An</strong> ABC system utilizes cost drivers at several levels (unit-,<br />

batch-, product- and factory level), while a conventional<br />

system uses only unit level characterizations, called<br />

allocation bases. <strong>An</strong> allocation base corresponds to a unitlevel<br />

cost driver.<br />

Because of <strong>the</strong>se differences, ABC can handle overhead costs far<br />

better than conventional costing systems, and since <strong>the</strong> portion<br />

of overhead costs is increasing in most industries - <strong>the</strong> focus on<br />

overhead costs is also increasing. For in-depth discussions of<br />

ABC see (Cooper 1990; O'Guin 1990; Raffish and Turney<br />

1991; Turney 1991) A motivating example for use in an<br />

environmental context is found in (Brooks, Davidson et al.<br />

1993). For <strong>the</strong> same reasons that an activity-based costing<br />

method is preferred to a conventional costing method, activitybased<br />

methods for handling energy consumption and waste<br />

generation are, in our opinion, also better than more<br />

conventional methods.<br />

2 . 2 Inclusion of Uncertainty<br />

One of <strong>the</strong> challenges of design is <strong>the</strong> ‘inherent<br />

uncertainty’. There are simply no ways of discarding <strong>the</strong><br />

uncertainty in design; we must <strong>the</strong>refore include it. In our<br />

method, <strong>the</strong> uncertainty is handled by modeling <strong>the</strong> uncertainty<br />

as fuzzy numbers which has two advantages:<br />

• Fuzzy numbers can be used with or without hard data.<br />

Ordinary statistics, however, needs quite a large sample of<br />

hard data. It goes without saying that <strong>the</strong> more relevant hard<br />

data, <strong>the</strong> better.<br />

• The usage of fuzzy numbers allows us to customize<br />

uncertainty distributions ( e.g. you can cut off a normal<br />

distribution anywhere you like). This is not possible in<br />

ordinary statistics.<br />

The Monte Carlo simulation technique is employed to solve <strong>the</strong><br />

model and to find numerically how <strong>the</strong> assumption cells (where<br />

<strong>the</strong> fuzzy numbers are modeled) affect <strong>the</strong> forecast cells. This<br />

simulation is performed by <strong>the</strong> Crystal Ball ® software, which is<br />

an extension on top of Microsoft Excel ® software. For more<br />

information regarding how to include uncertainty see<br />

(Emblemsvåg and Bras 1994; Bras and Emblemsvåg 1996).<br />

3 . 0 ACTIVITY-BASED ENERGY<br />

CONSUMPTION ASSESSMENTS<br />

It is very simple to modify <strong>the</strong> ACU method and create an<br />

<strong>Activity</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> Energy Consumption method. Ra<strong>the</strong>r than<br />

speaking about cost drivers and cost consumption intensities,<br />

we can introduce energy drivers (see Nomenclature) and<br />

associated energy consumption intensities to perform energy<br />

assessments. The use of energy drivers is identical to <strong>the</strong> use of<br />

cost drivers. The reason we can do this is that a) energy can be<br />

measured in terms of Joules [J] just as costs can be measured in<br />

terms of [$] and b) energy - like costs - is incurred as a result of<br />

2 Copyright © 1997 by ASME


an assessment object’s consumption of activities. The<br />

uncertainty is handled identically as for <strong>the</strong> costing model.<br />

4 . 0 ACTIVITY-BASED WASTE GENERATION<br />

ASSESSMENTS<br />

<strong>An</strong>alogous to cost and energy drivers, we can define a waste<br />

driver (see Nomenclature). However, <strong>the</strong>re is no obvious single<br />

value or clear unit as for energy (Joules) or cost (dollars) that<br />

can be used as a waste generation intensity (see Nomenclature)<br />

associated with a waste driver because <strong>the</strong>re are many different<br />

materials, and <strong>the</strong>re are many different ways <strong>the</strong>se materials<br />

affect <strong>the</strong> environment. Hence, a single valued index for<br />

assessing <strong>the</strong> “cost” or impact of various materials needs to be<br />

defined to make our method capable of an activity-based waste<br />

assessment. Once a waste driver and <strong>the</strong> associated waste<br />

generation intensity - represented by <strong>the</strong> single valued waste<br />

index - are established, <strong>the</strong> very same activity-based approach<br />

can be applied. However, what is an appropriate index? In <strong>the</strong><br />

following sections, we present a short discussion on existing<br />

indices (Section 4.1) and we present a recently developed index<br />

(section 4.2).<br />

4 . 1 Short Discussion on Indicators<br />

In <strong>the</strong> literature <strong>the</strong>re are many different indices and<br />

indicators presented, but as thoroughly discussed in (Ayres<br />

1995) <strong>the</strong>y suffer from two serious problems:<br />

1) Data deficiency, i.e. as a lot of data is missing, because it is<br />

a new field, This is a problem for all analyses that deal with<br />

energy and waste assessments. Our new index (see Section<br />

4.2) has <strong>the</strong> same problem, which will be evident from <strong>the</strong><br />

example presented in this paper. However, this problem<br />

will generally disappear as more case studies and data<br />

become available. Already we see more case study material<br />

from LCAs become publicly available, increasing <strong>the</strong><br />

amount of data one can draw upon.<br />

2) The usage of non-comparable units of measurement makes it<br />

impossible to compare <strong>the</strong> results from one analysis to <strong>the</strong><br />

results from ano<strong>the</strong>r analysis. <strong>An</strong> example of this is <strong>the</strong><br />

Eco-Indicator used in <strong>the</strong> SimaPro software from Pré<br />

Consultants. The problem is that <strong>the</strong> weights and criteria<br />

used are questionable, thus leaving a lot of unanswered<br />

questions and political debate.<br />

Especially <strong>the</strong> (political) issue of weighting <strong>the</strong> different noncomparable<br />

units has led us to develop a new index that uses<br />

comparable units of measurement. It should be noted that our<br />

activity-based approach works with any single-numbered index<br />

or indicator.<br />

4 . 2 A New Waste Index<br />

In developing our new Waste Index, we used <strong>the</strong> following<br />

basic assumption:<br />

<strong>An</strong>y substance in a sufficient amount beyond its natural<br />

amount in a specified control volume (environment)<br />

can be considered waste (pollution).<br />

With ‘Waste’ and ‘Control Volume’ we mean <strong>the</strong> following:<br />

• ‘Waste’ is all unwanted material created by <strong>the</strong> consumption<br />

of an activity. The material may be any of <strong>the</strong> following<br />

types (radioactive or not): biological entities or tissue,<br />

solids, liquids and/or gases.<br />

• The ‘Control Volume’ is <strong>the</strong> geographical area of <strong>the</strong><br />

environment affected ei<strong>the</strong>r by <strong>the</strong> generated waste directly or<br />

by <strong>the</strong> substances <strong>the</strong> generated waste is decomposing into.<br />

We define our Waste Index (WI) as follows:<br />

WI CV ⎛ Waste R⋅T ⎞ ⎛<br />

N R⋅T ⎞<br />

= ⋅⎜<br />

⎟= C⋅⎜ ⎟<br />

CV ⎝ A ⎠ ⎝ A ⎠<br />

System<br />

N<br />

The parameters that determine <strong>the</strong> Waste Index (WI) are:<br />

1. Natural amount A N [kg] of <strong>the</strong> generated waste or<br />

substances into which <strong>the</strong> generated waste would<br />

decompose in <strong>the</strong> specified control volume. Important<br />

tools in this context are chemical mass balance equations<br />

and <strong>the</strong>rmodynamics, as pointed out in (Ayres 1995) as<br />

well. If <strong>the</strong> generated waste (or <strong>the</strong> substances <strong>the</strong> generated<br />

waste will decompose into) does not occur naturally in <strong>the</strong><br />

control volume, <strong>the</strong>n AN is set to one (1).<br />

2. Released amount of <strong>the</strong> generated waste - R [kg/h]. If <strong>the</strong><br />

released amount is of no or negligible importance <strong>the</strong> value<br />

is set to one (1), e.g. in <strong>the</strong> case of corrosion of iron where<br />

<strong>the</strong> amount of iron is almost irrelevant.<br />

3. Estimated time <strong>the</strong> release will af fect <strong>the</strong> control volume -<br />

T N [h]. This time is measured from <strong>the</strong> very first emission<br />

to <strong>the</strong> time when <strong>the</strong> effect of <strong>the</strong> emissions is gone - that<br />

is, <strong>the</strong> time <strong>the</strong> control volume needs to achieve balance<br />

again. In cases where <strong>the</strong> generated waste is not degradable<br />

<strong>the</strong> TN is set to one (1). This special case is rare.<br />

4. Control volume ratio - C [-]. Obviously, <strong>the</strong> different<br />

parameters must be estimated in <strong>the</strong> same control volume.<br />

Thus, for a complex system <strong>the</strong> largest control volume<br />

encountered will be <strong>the</strong> determining control volume. We<br />

<strong>the</strong>refore scale <strong>the</strong> different control volumes by dividing <strong>the</strong><br />

volume of <strong>the</strong> largest control volume for <strong>the</strong> generated<br />

waste element ( CVWaste ) by <strong>the</strong> volume for <strong>the</strong> control<br />

volume for <strong>the</strong> entire system ( CVSystem ) (see equation 1).<br />

The notion of control volumes is extremely important<br />

because it allows us to quantify continuously <strong>the</strong><br />

importance of <strong>the</strong> geographical areas of impact. In many<br />

LCAs <strong>the</strong> only distinction is between ‘local’, ‘regional’ and<br />

‘global’ impact areas. This discrete qualitative method is<br />

too crude and ambiguous, and it increases <strong>the</strong> problem of<br />

non-comparable studies, in our opinion.<br />

Ideally, <strong>the</strong> Waste Index (WI) should approach zero and <strong>the</strong><br />

larger <strong>the</strong> index, <strong>the</strong> more out of balance <strong>the</strong> control volume is<br />

brought by <strong>the</strong> product . Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, one unit of <strong>the</strong> Waste<br />

Index is for simplicity denoted Waste Unit (WU) because <strong>the</strong><br />

waste index is dimensionless.<br />

The reason for choosing one (1) as default values for AN, R<br />

and TN is to remove <strong>the</strong> effect of <strong>the</strong> parameter from <strong>the</strong> index.<br />

This is an important feature of <strong>the</strong> index because it allows us to<br />

handle special cases as well as <strong>the</strong> more common situations<br />

where all parameters are used. E.g., if we release iron to a river,<br />

we can assume that <strong>the</strong> degradation process for <strong>the</strong> iron will be<br />

corrosion. Due to <strong>the</strong> fact that <strong>the</strong> corrosion speed of iron is<br />

almost independent of <strong>the</strong> quantity we set R to 1 kg/h. The<br />

value of <strong>the</strong> index will <strong>the</strong>refore only depend of <strong>the</strong> geographical<br />

area (control volume), <strong>the</strong> corrosion speed and <strong>the</strong> natural<br />

amount of iron in <strong>the</strong> riverbed.<br />

If one wants to estimate <strong>the</strong> waste index for an activity, <strong>the</strong><br />

following procedure applies:<br />

1. Measure all waste elements [kg/year] and compute <strong>the</strong><br />

Waste Index for each element using equation (1).<br />

3 Copyright © 1997 by ASME<br />

N<br />

N<br />

(1)


2. Sum up <strong>the</strong> WIs for all <strong>the</strong> waste elements that belong to a<br />

waste driver. This value is <strong>the</strong> Waste Index of <strong>the</strong> waste<br />

driver. I.e., <strong>the</strong> waste index is <strong>the</strong> generation intensity of<br />

<strong>the</strong> waste driver. <strong>An</strong> example is given in Table 3.<br />

3. Sum up <strong>the</strong> WIs for all <strong>the</strong> waste drivers that belong to an<br />

activity. This value is <strong>the</strong> desired activity Waste Index.<br />

4. Sum up <strong>the</strong> WIs for all activities belonging to a product<br />

and/or (life-cycle) process in order to identify <strong>the</strong> totak<br />

Waste Index for <strong>the</strong> product and/or process under<br />

investigation, i.e., <strong>the</strong> assessment object.<br />

The Waste Index is a simple relative index. Some unresolved<br />

issues, however, are as follows:<br />

• The index can not handle biological releases (bacteria etc.),<br />

because this is a very complicated issue due to reproduction<br />

and so forth. However, for most products in mechanical<br />

engineering this is of no concern.<br />

• The index is not capable of detecting special health risks for<br />

humans. E.g., dust in <strong>the</strong> air may have a very severe local<br />

health risk to humans, but <strong>the</strong> index will not be large<br />

compared to <strong>the</strong> index of CO2 releases. The reason is that<br />

<strong>the</strong> dust effect is so local compared to <strong>the</strong> global CO2 effects. In o<strong>the</strong>r words, at this stage, <strong>the</strong> index is not<br />

handling physical (e.g. dust) releases well. We will<br />

<strong>the</strong>refore only use this index for tracking chemical (e.g.<br />

CO2) releases and <strong>the</strong>ir relative impact on <strong>the</strong> environment.<br />

More case studies need to be undertaken to see how well<br />

special cases are handled.<br />

• The Waste Index does not tell anything about how <strong>the</strong><br />

emissions will affect <strong>the</strong> environment, but in our opinion<br />

this is more an advantage than a draw back because it will<br />

eliminate <strong>the</strong> political issues related to environmental<br />

indices. The problem with many indices is that <strong>the</strong>y try to<br />

assess how <strong>the</strong> emissions affect <strong>the</strong> green house effect,<br />

ozone depletion and so forth, but <strong>the</strong>se systems are very<br />

complex and many doubt <strong>the</strong>se indices, claiming that more<br />

evidence is needed. Our index simply states that <strong>the</strong>re will<br />

be an impact, and its relative severeness.<br />

We believe that our new waste index represent an improvement<br />

compared to <strong>the</strong> indices we are aware of despite <strong>the</strong> preceding<br />

issues. The main positive aspects of our index are as follows:<br />

• Our waste index (WI) is a) consistent in use of units and b)<br />

comparable from product to product - system to system.<br />

This is a major problem for all <strong>the</strong> current LCA techniques<br />

according to (Ayres 1995).<br />

• Our Waste Index also blends easily into an <strong>Activity</strong>-<strong>Based</strong><br />

<strong>Life</strong>-<strong>Cycle</strong> <strong>Assessment</strong> as mentioned earlier. We can<br />

<strong>the</strong>refore have a single activity-based method that covers:<br />

1. Economic issues,<br />

2. Energy issues and<br />

3. Pollution (material) issues.<br />

According to <strong>the</strong> EPA, this is all that is needed to<br />

completely describe a process, for example a manufacturing<br />

process. Thus, we have one method that handles all <strong>the</strong><br />

process related issues in product realization. This is a great<br />

advantage because it is unlikely that most companies will<br />

have <strong>the</strong> resources to learn three different methods; it is far<br />

more likely that <strong>the</strong>y will prefer to learn only one method.<br />

• It also meets <strong>the</strong> four socio-ecological principles of The<br />

Natural Step (Det Naturliga Steget) organization (founded<br />

by <strong>the</strong> Swedish oncologist Dr. Karl-Henrik Robert in 1989)<br />

that must be fulfilled to create a sustainable society:<br />

1) Substances from <strong>the</strong> lithosphere (earth’s crust and<br />

mantle) must not systematically accumulate in <strong>the</strong><br />

ecosphere. This is taken care of by <strong>the</strong> waste index as<br />

<strong>the</strong> T N will become large as <strong>the</strong> capability of <strong>the</strong><br />

ecosystem to handle <strong>the</strong> releases deteriorates.<br />

2) Society-produced substances must not systematically<br />

accumulate in <strong>the</strong> ecosphere. Here <strong>the</strong> T N again will<br />

become larger and larger.<br />

3) The physical conditions for production and diversity<br />

within <strong>the</strong> ecosphere must not systematically be<br />

deteriorated. Again, <strong>the</strong> T N will capture this, because <strong>the</strong><br />

T N should be calculated using <strong>the</strong>rmodynamic and<br />

chemical models.<br />

4) The use of resources must be effective and just with<br />

respect to meeting human needs. This will be ensured as<br />

<strong>the</strong> waste drivers are traced effectively and <strong>the</strong>reby<br />

allowing proper usage of resources. Whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> usage<br />

of resources is just or not is more a political and ethical<br />

issue and <strong>the</strong>refore cannot be captured by <strong>the</strong> index.<br />

Because <strong>the</strong> our assessment method is activity-based we can also<br />

handle ‘overhead waste’ that is pollution that is not directly<br />

related to <strong>the</strong> product realization process, but related to, say,<br />

running <strong>the</strong> corporate head office, and we can also find out<br />

which products trigger most waste. The same <strong>the</strong>ory is valid<br />

for <strong>the</strong> energy related issues. To our knowledge - this is a<br />

completely new approach.<br />

Uncertainty is handled identically as explained earlier. We<br />

can <strong>the</strong>refore present <strong>the</strong> new activity-based method for<br />

assessing costs and revenues, energy consumption and waste<br />

generation.<br />

5 . 0 <strong>Activity</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> <strong>Life</strong>-<strong>Cycle</strong> <strong>Assessment</strong><br />

<strong>Method</strong><br />

In Figure 1, <strong>the</strong> new <strong>Activity</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> <strong>Life</strong>-<strong>Cycle</strong> <strong>Assessment</strong><br />

method (<strong>Activity</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> LCA) is presented. The new method is<br />

based on <strong>the</strong> ACU method found in (Emblemsvåg and Bras<br />

1994; Bras and Emblemsvåg 1996). Compared to <strong>the</strong> original<br />

method, changes have been made to capture energy and waste<br />

related issues. The method has also been changed to facilitate<br />

<strong>the</strong> design of models in a more systematic fashion. The most<br />

important changes are:<br />

1. Step 2 has been added to make <strong>the</strong> modeling easier. There are<br />

in general three fundamental types of resources: economical<br />

-, energy related - and waste related resources. Some<br />

resources can be combinations of at least two of <strong>the</strong>se<br />

fundamental resources, like ‘material’ which is a) associated<br />

with costs of purchase (economical), b) it consumes energy<br />

when it is produced (energy related) and c) it generates waste<br />

when it is used (waste related).<br />

2. Step 3 has been generalized. Now we are not merely using<br />

<strong>the</strong> phrase ‘Cost Drivers’ but <strong>the</strong> phrase ‘Drivers’ which<br />

refers to cost- and/or energy- and/or waste drivers. We have<br />

also introduced <strong>the</strong> terms resource- and activity drivers (see<br />

Nomenclature). In Figure 2, a schematic illustration is<br />

given; <strong>the</strong> assessment object consumes activities (measured<br />

by activity drivers) which in turn triggers <strong>the</strong> usage of<br />

resources (measured by resource activities). By making<br />

<strong>the</strong>se distinctions <strong>the</strong> modeling becomes far easier and<br />

changes can be made more easily later on if desired. With<br />

respct to consumption intensities, we distinguish between<br />

two types of consumption intensities; fixed and variable. A<br />

fixed consumption intensity is a consumption intensity that<br />

is fixed no matter what <strong>the</strong> magnitude of <strong>the</strong> drivers are (e.g.<br />

fuel price for Marine Gas Oil (MGO)), while a variable<br />

consumption intensity varies as <strong>the</strong> magnitude of <strong>the</strong> drivers<br />

vary (e.g. <strong>the</strong> machine hour price).<br />

3. Step 5 (Step 4 in <strong>the</strong> original ACU method) has undergone a<br />

similar generalization<br />

4 Copyright © 1997 by ASME


Step 7 - Iterate Steps 1 - 6<br />

No<br />

No<br />

Step 1 - Create an <strong>Activity</strong> Hierarchy and<br />

<strong>Activity</strong> Network<br />

Step 2 - Identify <strong>the</strong> Resources<br />

Step 3 - Identify and Order <strong>the</strong> Resource<br />

Drivers and <strong>Activity</strong> Drivers and<br />

Find <strong>the</strong> Consumption Intensities<br />

Step 4 - Identify <strong>the</strong> Relationships between<br />

<strong>Activity</strong> Drivers and Design Changes<br />

Step 5 - Find/Compute <strong>the</strong> Cost, <strong>the</strong> energy<br />

consumption and waste generation<br />

of <strong>the</strong> Consumption of Activities<br />

Step 6 - Is <strong>the</strong> Model satisfactory?<br />

Yes<br />

Step 8 - Is <strong>the</strong> Design satisfactory?<br />

Yes<br />

Distinguish:<br />

- Design Dependent <strong>Activity</strong> Drivers<br />

- Design Independent <strong>Activity</strong> Drivers<br />

Distinguish:<br />

- Select best design; no<br />

explicit relationships needed<br />

- Modify design, use:<br />

* Ma<strong>the</strong>matical functions, or<br />

* Action charts<br />

Use commercially available<br />

MS Excel and Crystal Ball<br />

software<br />

Use profitability distributions,<br />

sensitivity analyses and<br />

trend charts<br />

Use profitability distributions,<br />

sensitivity analyses and<br />

trend charts<br />

Figure 1 - The <strong>Activity</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> <strong>Assessment</strong> <strong>Method</strong> for Usage in <strong>Life</strong>-<strong>Cycle</strong> Design.<br />

Resources<br />

Resource<br />

drivers<br />

Resource<br />

assignment<br />

Activities<br />

<strong>Activity</strong><br />

drivers<br />

<strong>Activity</strong><br />

assignment<br />

<strong>Assessment</strong><br />

objects<br />

Figure 2 - The Usage of <strong>Activity</strong> - and Resource Drivers. <strong>Based</strong> on (Turney 1991).<br />

We have moved from just looking at profitability<br />

maximization to profitability maximization and/or<br />

minimization of energy and/or waste generation.<br />

4. Step 6 and 8 was one single step (i.e., Step 5) in <strong>the</strong><br />

original ACU method. Checking <strong>the</strong> model is tedious and<br />

may include a total rework of <strong>the</strong> model, and <strong>the</strong> check<br />

should always be performed before using <strong>the</strong> model.<br />

Therefore, we have introduced two separate steps.<br />

6 . 0 Illustrative Example - Cost, Energy and<br />

Waste <strong>Assessment</strong>s for an UT 705 Platform<br />

Supply Vessel<br />

In this section, we provide an example of how to apply our<br />

<strong>Activity</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> LCA method using an UT 705 Platform Supply<br />

Vessel (PSV) as a case study. This specific type of PSVs is<br />

designed by Ulstein International AS in Ulsteinvik, Norway.<br />

6 . 1 Supply Vessel Terminology<br />

In general, operating a platform supply vessel is not an<br />

easy task, because <strong>the</strong>re are many shipping companies<br />

competing for <strong>the</strong> same contracts and <strong>the</strong>re are many things that<br />

can go wrong. The longer <strong>the</strong> time-charter contract is, <strong>the</strong><br />

harder <strong>the</strong> competition, because <strong>the</strong> spot-market contracts are on<br />

a short time basis and <strong>the</strong> revenues will <strong>the</strong>refore be associated<br />

with large uncertainties. Even though <strong>the</strong> revenues are stable<br />

on a time-charter contract, <strong>the</strong>re are still problems to overcome,<br />

which are mostly related to <strong>the</strong> maintenance-, service- and repair<br />

activities, which are defined as follows:<br />

5 Copyright © 1997 by ASME


• Maintenance refers to all maintenance activities that can be<br />

done while <strong>the</strong> vessel is in service.<br />

• Repair is unplanned service.<br />

• Service is planned maintenance activities that require <strong>the</strong><br />

vessel being out of service. This happens every time <strong>the</strong><br />

vessel is docking. How often <strong>the</strong> vessel docks depends on<br />

<strong>the</strong> policy of <strong>the</strong> ship owner, but <strong>the</strong> vessel has to be<br />

docked every five years due to class specifications given by<br />

Det Norske Veritas (DNV).<br />

Two more important definitions are needed for this example:<br />

• Lay day: <strong>An</strong> amount of days - specified in <strong>the</strong> contract<br />

between ship owners and charterer - when necessary repair,<br />

service and maintenance can be done.<br />

• Off-hire: The vessel is not capable of fulfilling <strong>the</strong> contract<br />

- planned or not. In <strong>the</strong> contract between <strong>the</strong> ship owners<br />

and <strong>the</strong> charterer this is specified in detail. In this paper,<br />

planned services on dock (kept within <strong>the</strong> lay days) are not<br />

considered off-hire.<br />

<strong>An</strong>d in this context, <strong>the</strong>re are two key questions :<br />

1. How can we reduce <strong>the</strong> amount of off-hire?<br />

2. How can we reduce <strong>the</strong> <strong>Life</strong>-Span Costs, -Energy<br />

Consumption and -Waste Generation?<br />

Depending on <strong>the</strong> contract, off-hire will come into effect in<br />

different situations. For FAR Scandia which is owned by<br />

Farstad Shipping ASA <strong>the</strong> contract is specified as follows:<br />

• Planned service on dock is not considered off-hire.<br />

• Unplanned repairs are considered off-hire.<br />

• The ship owners are given one lay day per month, but <strong>the</strong><br />

maximum annual aggregated number of lay days is 6 lay<br />

days per year. Hence, if <strong>the</strong> time for annual service exceeds<br />

6 days, <strong>the</strong> additional time is considered off-hire.<br />

6 . 1 Creating <strong>the</strong> Model<br />

We will now go through our <strong>Activity</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> LCA method<br />

step by step and illustrate how this example can be solved.<br />

Step 1 - Create an <strong>Activity</strong> Hierarchy and Network<br />

. We start with forming an activity hierarchy followed by an<br />

activity network. In Table 1, <strong>the</strong> activity hierarchy for <strong>the</strong><br />

model is presented. This is not <strong>the</strong> only way of breaking down<br />

<strong>the</strong> life-span, but it is convenient for this model. Always<br />

choose activities about which good information can be found,<br />

provided that <strong>the</strong> chosen activities do capture <strong>the</strong> costs, energy<br />

consumption and waste generation well.<br />

Table 1 - <strong>Life</strong>-Span <strong>Activity</strong> Hierarchy for <strong>the</strong> UT<br />

705 Platform Supply Vessel.<br />

Level 1 Level 2<br />

Use Vessel A1 Load Vessel A11<br />

Be in Service A12<br />

Stand By A13<br />

Service Platform A14<br />

Be out of ServiceA15<br />

Certify Class A2<br />

Service Vessel A3 Maintain Vessel A31<br />

Service Vessel on Dock A32<br />

Repair Vessel A33<br />

As depicted in Table 1, two different levels of activities are<br />

present. For example, activity A3 (‘Service Vessel’) consists of<br />

three level 2 activities - ‘Maintain Vessel’, ‘Service Vessel on<br />

Dock’ and ‘Repair Vessel’. In <strong>the</strong> activity network (see Figure<br />

2), we use <strong>the</strong> lowest level activities from <strong>the</strong> activity hierarchy<br />

(<strong>the</strong> shaded cells in Table 1). There are no design decisions to<br />

be made in this (simple) model.<br />

A11 A12 A13 A14 A15<br />

A2 A31 A32 A33<br />

Figure 3 - <strong>Activity</strong> Network (Icons as in (Greenwood<br />

and Reeve 1992).<br />

Step 2 - Identify <strong>the</strong> Resources. We have four resource<br />

elements (see Nomenclature):<br />

1) Fuel - <strong>the</strong> platform supply vessel we studied consumed<br />

Marine Gas Oil (MGO).<br />

2) Overhead costs - <strong>the</strong> costs related to running <strong>the</strong> ship<br />

owner’s organization.<br />

3) Labor - <strong>the</strong> labor performed in <strong>the</strong> shipyard when <strong>the</strong> supply<br />

vessel is being serviced, maintained and repaired.<br />

4) Spare parts - <strong>the</strong> spare parts <strong>the</strong> supply vessel requires during<br />

service, maintenance and repair.<br />

Step 3 - Identify and Order all Necessary <strong>Activity</strong><br />

and Resource Drivers and Find <strong>the</strong> Consumption<br />

Intensities.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> UT 705 model we utilize <strong>the</strong> following resource drivers:<br />

• Running Hours; This is a cost driver used to determine <strong>the</strong><br />

use pattern of <strong>the</strong> vessel, and it plays a key role in<br />

determining when <strong>the</strong> vessel is off-hire. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore,<br />

‘running hours’ is <strong>the</strong> cost driver by which <strong>the</strong> overhead is<br />

distributed.<br />

• Fuel Consumption; This is a cost-, energy- and waste driver<br />

that simply keeps track of <strong>the</strong> fuel costs, <strong>the</strong> energy<br />

consumption, and <strong>the</strong> waste generation for <strong>the</strong> vessel.<br />

• Labor Hours; This is a cost- and energy driver that keeps<br />

track of <strong>the</strong> labor costs and <strong>the</strong> energy consumption<br />

associated with servicing <strong>the</strong> vessel.<br />

• Number of Parts; This is a cost- and energy driver that<br />

keeps track of <strong>the</strong> parts costs, <strong>the</strong> energy consumption<br />

associated with consuming spare parts in <strong>the</strong> service<br />

activities.<br />

There is no need for activity drivers in this example because we<br />

are only studying a single product. To find <strong>the</strong> quantity of cost,<br />

energy and waste drivers, as well as <strong>the</strong>ir consumption<br />

intensities, historical data has been obtained by<br />

1. Asking <strong>the</strong> crew on FAR Scandia, Jan H. Farstad, Bjarne<br />

Nygaaren (Farstad Shipping ASA, Ålesund, Norway) and<br />

Jim Watt (Farstad Shipping Ltd., Aberdeen, Scotland) to<br />

fill out forms.<br />

2. Using invoices up to four years old from different<br />

shipyards.<br />

In Table 2, <strong>the</strong> historical data obtained from FAR Scandia is<br />

presented and <strong>the</strong> fuel consumption resource driver is quantified.<br />

However, in order to quantify <strong>the</strong> impact and cost over a full<br />

year, we need to scale <strong>the</strong> fuel consumption for a typical<br />

mission (which lasts 48,2 hours) up to a full year, which is set<br />

to be roughly 6500 running hours per year.<br />

In Table 3, <strong>the</strong> assumed chemical releases related to <strong>the</strong> fuel<br />

consumption driver and o<strong>the</strong>r relevant information needed to<br />

compute <strong>the</strong> Waste Index are presented. Most of <strong>the</strong> releases are<br />

due to <strong>the</strong> emissions from <strong>the</strong> machinery, except Tributyltin.<br />

Tributyltin is released as <strong>the</strong> self-polishing paint is worn off<br />

when <strong>the</strong> vessel is moving<br />

6 Copyright © 1997 by ASME


Table 2 - Typical Mission in 1995 - using FAR Scandia as Basis.<br />

<strong>Activity</strong> Mode of Usage<br />

Waste Elements<br />

Running<br />

hours<br />

Speed<br />

[nm/h]<br />

Fuel Consumption<br />

[1000 kg/day]<br />

A11 In port 9.3 0.0 1.0<br />

A13 Stand By 0.0 0.0 4.0<br />

A12 Economic Speed 2.1 10.0 14.3<br />

A12 Full Speed 15.3 14.0 21.4<br />

A14 Service Platform 21.5 0.0 4.8<br />

Table 3 - Input Information to <strong>the</strong> Fuel Consumption Waste Driver.<br />

Natural Amount<br />

[tonn]<br />

Release per Unit<br />

Waste Driver<br />

[tonn/year]<br />

Balance Time<br />

[year/tonn]<br />

C Waste Index<br />

[WU/tonn]<br />

Resource related:<br />

Fuel Waste Content 1.0 * 10 2<br />

<strong>Activity</strong> related:<br />

To atmosphere:<br />

CO 7.5 * 10 10<br />

7.7 2.0 * 10 -2<br />

95.2 % 2.0 * 10 -9<br />

CO2 6.0 * 10 11<br />

3.1 * 10 3<br />

1.5 * 10 2<br />

95.2 % 7.4 * 10 -4<br />

SO2 5.5 * 10 10<br />

9.6 5.0 * 10 -3<br />

95.2 % 8.3 * 10 -10<br />

To ocean:<br />

Tributyltin 5.0 * 10 5<br />

5.4 * 10 -4<br />

1.0 4.8 % 4.8 * 10 -8<br />

Fuel 3.1 * 10 3<br />

1.0 * 10 2<br />

Table 4 - UT 705 PSV Resource Drivers and Consumption Intensities.<br />

<strong>Activity</strong> Resource Drivers Cost C.I. Energy C.I. Waste Index<br />

A11 Fuel Consumption 113 tonn/year 190 $/tonn 4.65 MJ/tonn 100 WU/tonn<br />

Running Hours 2,705 hours/year 241 $/hour 0.00 MJ/hour<br />

A12 Fuel Consumption 2,292 tonn/year 190 $/tonn 4.65 MJ/tonn 100 WU/tonn<br />

Running Hours 2,678 hours/year 241 $/hour 0.00 MJ/hour<br />

A13 Fuel Consumption 0 tonn/year 190 $/tonn 4.65 MJ/tonn 100 WU/tonn<br />

Running Hours 0 hours/year 241 $/hour 0.00 MJ/hour<br />

A14 Fuel Consumption 662 tonn/year 190 $/tonn 4.65 MJ/tonn 100 WU/tonn<br />

Running Hours 3,309 hours/year 241 $/hour 0.00 MJ/hour<br />

A15 Off-hire Hours 8 hours/year 658 $/hour 0.00 MJ/hour<br />

A2 EO Class (<strong>An</strong>nual) 1.0 1,581 $<br />

EO Class 0.2 6,303 $<br />

IOPP Cert. (<strong>An</strong>nual) 1.0 682 $<br />

IOPP Cert. (Interm.) 0.2 758 $<br />

IOPP Certificate 0.2 985 $<br />

A31 Labor Hours 3,500 hours/year 50 $/hour 0.01 MJ/hour<br />

Number of Parts 20 parts/year 1,000 $/part 10 MJ/part<br />

A32 Labor Hours 3,500 hours/year 50 $/hour 0.01 MJ/hour<br />

Number of Parts 15 parts/year 2,000 $/part 5 MJ/part<br />

A33 Labor Hours 16 hours/year 50 $/hour 0.01 MJ/hour<br />

Number of Parts 1 parts/year 100,000 $/part 1 MJ/part<br />

. Not all data was available and we have highlighted in bold<br />

those numbers which we had to guess. Waste elements have<br />

been split into resources and activities related waste elements.<br />

Resource related waste elements are wastes created when <strong>the</strong><br />

resource (fuel in this case) is produced. For <strong>the</strong> fuel, <strong>the</strong><br />

resource-related waste generation is all <strong>the</strong> waste per tonn fuel<br />

created from extraction through <strong>the</strong> oil refinery and sale. This<br />

number is not available so we simply guessed. Since <strong>the</strong><br />

purpose of this example is to illustrate our method we deemed<br />

this acceptable. <strong>Activity</strong> related waste elements are created as <strong>the</strong><br />

vessel is consuming <strong>the</strong> fuel. This is <strong>the</strong> waste most people<br />

will call pollution due to <strong>the</strong> use of <strong>the</strong> vessel. In Table 4, we<br />

have summarized all resource drivers, and cost, energy and waste<br />

consumption intensities (Cost C.I., Energy C.I. and Waste<br />

Index, respectively) for <strong>the</strong> UT 705 PSV example.<br />

Step 4 - Identify <strong>the</strong> Relationships between Cost<br />

Drivers and Design Changes. Because no design effort is<br />

defined, this step is not applicable for this model.<br />

Step 5 - Find and Minimize <strong>the</strong> Cost o f<br />

Consumption of Activities. For determining <strong>the</strong> cost,<br />

energy and waste of an activity, multiply each resource driver in<br />

<strong>the</strong> activity by its respective consumption intensity and sum <strong>the</strong><br />

totals for <strong>the</strong> activity. For example, for calculating <strong>the</strong> cost of<br />

activity A11, multiply 113 tonn/year times 190 $/tonn,<br />

7 Copyright © 1997 by ASME


multiply 2,702 hours/year times 241 $/hour, <strong>the</strong>n sum <strong>the</strong><br />

resulting two numbers (21,470 $/year and 651,182 $/year,<br />

respectively), which results in a cost of 672,652 $/year. The<br />

energy consumption and waste generation are calculated in <strong>the</strong><br />

same way. The same procedure is followed for each activity,<br />

and <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> costs, energy consumption and waste generation are<br />

summed for all activities to get <strong>the</strong> total UT 705 supply vessel<br />

cost, energy consumption and waste generation for one year (see<br />

Sections 6.3.1, 6.3.2 and 6.3.3).<br />

To facilitate <strong>the</strong> calculations, we implemented <strong>the</strong> model<br />

using commercially software - MS Excel ® and Crystal Ball ® .<br />

The Crystal Ball ® software is employed to handle <strong>the</strong><br />

uncertainty in <strong>the</strong> model. Detailed descriptions can be found in<br />

(Bras and Emblemsvåg 1996). The Crystal Ball® software<br />

allows user defined uncertainty distributions (in assumption<br />

cells) and finds <strong>the</strong> resulting uncertainty distributions (in user<br />

defined forecast cells) numerically by using a Monte Carlo<br />

simulation. There are two types of assumptions - user defined<br />

and user predefined. The user defined assumptions are modeled<br />

in <strong>the</strong> assumption cells (as in Figure 4), and <strong>the</strong>se can be<br />

changed whenever <strong>the</strong> user desires. In <strong>the</strong> complete model <strong>the</strong>re<br />

are many user defined assumptions. For reasons of brevity, we<br />

will not present <strong>the</strong>se<br />

A11 Fuel Consumption [tonn/year]<br />

102 107 113 119 124<br />

Figure 4 - Modeling an User Defined<br />

Assumption Cell.<br />

The user predefined assumptions are assumptions that are<br />

made by <strong>the</strong> designer/assessor in order to simplify <strong>the</strong> modeling<br />

based on <strong>the</strong> user (customer) preferences and (modeling) budget.<br />

These assumptions are embodied in <strong>the</strong> model framework and<br />

consequently much harder to change. In this model, <strong>the</strong><br />

following predefined assumptions are made:<br />

• The historical data is used as a good guideline for <strong>the</strong> future<br />

development.<br />

• The revenues and costs will follow regular inflation; thus,<br />

<strong>the</strong> real revenues and costs are assumed constant.<br />

With <strong>the</strong>se assumptions embodied in <strong>the</strong> model, Monte Carlo<br />

simulations are made. A high number (10,000) of trials is used<br />

in <strong>the</strong> simulations to obtain a low mean standard error. To<br />

facilitate sensitivity analysis, we chose all uncertainty<br />

distributions to be triangular with ± 10% (as in Figure 4). The<br />

sensitivity analysis is performed by measuring how <strong>the</strong><br />

variances of <strong>the</strong> different assumption cells affect <strong>the</strong> variances of<br />

<strong>the</strong> forecast cells.<br />

Step 6 - Is <strong>the</strong> Model Satisfactory? The model includes<br />

some numbers that had to be guessed, thus <strong>the</strong> model is not<br />

satisfactory when it comes to <strong>the</strong> credibility of <strong>the</strong> results.<br />

However, credibility in <strong>the</strong> results is not <strong>the</strong> purpose of this<br />

example - <strong>the</strong> focus is to illustrate <strong>the</strong> use of our method, and<br />

for this purpose <strong>the</strong> model is satisfactory.<br />

Step 7 - Iterate Steps 1 - 6. This is not necessary for <strong>the</strong><br />

illustration of <strong>the</strong> method.<br />

Step 8 - Is <strong>the</strong> Design Satisfactory? As explained<br />

earlier in this paper, <strong>the</strong> focus is on <strong>the</strong> method and not <strong>the</strong><br />

results. However, in a project with ‘Møre forsking’ in Ålesund,<br />

Norway, <strong>the</strong> complete costing model is presented for this<br />

supply vessel (Fet, Emblemsvåg et al. 1996). It includes 501<br />

assumption cells and 65 forecast cells and is roughly 800 kB in<br />

size compared to <strong>the</strong> simplified model presented here which is<br />

only 41 kB in size and has 56 assumption cells and three<br />

forecast cells. The ‘complete’ model, however, does not include<br />

<strong>the</strong> energy and waste generation assessments.<br />

6.3 Results<br />

In this section, we present <strong>the</strong> results as follows; a) cost<br />

and revenue, b) energy consumption, and c) waste generation.<br />

6.3.1 Cost and Revenue Related Results<br />

In Figure 5, <strong>the</strong> frequency chart for <strong>the</strong> <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-Span<br />

Costs is presented. The frequency chart is a numerical<br />

approximation to <strong>the</strong> exact probability distribution, and in<br />

Figure 5 we see that <strong>the</strong> mean expected <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-Span Cost<br />

10 000 Trials<br />

Forecast: <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-Span Costs<br />

Frequency Chart<br />

63 Outliers<br />

.022<br />

.017<br />

.011<br />

.006<br />

.000<br />

3 075 000 3 143 750 3 212 500<br />

[$/year]<br />

3 281 250 3 350 000<br />

Figure 5 - The <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-Span Costs for an UT<br />

705 Platform Supply Vessel.<br />

Finance Costs [$/year] .56<br />

Fuel Consumption Intensity [$/tonn] .45<br />

Crew Costs [$/year] .37<br />

A12 Fuel Consumption [tonn/year] .35<br />

A33 Number of Parts [-/year] .20<br />

A31 Labor Consumption Intensity [$/h] .15<br />

A32/A33 Labor Consumption Intensit... .14<br />

A32 Labor Hours [h/year] .13<br />

A31 Labor Hours [h/year] .12<br />

A14 Fuel Consumption [tonn/year] .10<br />

A33 Part Consumption Intensity [$/P... .07<br />

A32 Number of Parts [-/year] .07<br />

Insurance Costs [$/year] .06<br />

A31 Number of Parts [-/year] .05<br />

A32 Part Consumption Intensity [$/P... .03<br />

Sensitivity Chart<br />

Target Forecast: <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-Span Costs<br />

8 Copyright © 1997 by ASME<br />

223<br />

167<br />

111<br />

55.7<br />

-1 -0.5 0 0.5 1<br />

Measured by Rank Correlation<br />

Figure 6 - Sensitivity Chart for <strong>the</strong> <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-<br />

Span Costs.<br />

0


is 3,212,500 $/year, and that it can range between 3,075,000 to<br />

3,350,000 $/year. The chart in Figure 5 can be used by <strong>the</strong><br />

ship owner when he/she is negotiating with <strong>the</strong> charterers.<br />

The sensitivity chart in Figure 6 can be used by a ship<br />

owner to identify where and how he/she can reduce <strong>the</strong><br />

operational costs caused by <strong>the</strong> daily work. In Figure 6, we see<br />

that reducing <strong>the</strong> fuel consumption is one effective way to<br />

reduce <strong>the</strong> operational costs. This can be done by tuning <strong>the</strong><br />

machinery better, using different machinery and/or ano<strong>the</strong>r fuel.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> project between ‘Møre forsking’ and Farstad Shipping<br />

different fuel options were investigated, but it it was found that<br />

<strong>the</strong> current fuel provides greater savings for <strong>the</strong> ship owners<br />

than <strong>the</strong> competing IF 40 heavy fuel oil. Interestingly, <strong>the</strong><br />

most important cost contributor was found to be <strong>the</strong> finance<br />

costs and in 1995 Farstad Shipping undertook a refinancing of<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir entire fleet to reduce <strong>the</strong>se costs.<br />

6.3.2 Energy Related Results<br />

10 000 Trials 6 Outliers<br />

Frequency Chart<br />

.024<br />

.018<br />

.012<br />

.006<br />

.000<br />

Forecast: <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-Span Energy Consumption<br />

12 500 13 625 14 750 15 875 17 000<br />

[MJ/year]<br />

Figure 7 - The <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-Span Energy<br />

Consumption for an UT 705 PSV.<br />

The energy part can be treated in a similar fashion as <strong>the</strong> cost<br />

part. In Figure 7, <strong>the</strong> frequency chart for <strong>the</strong> energy<br />

consumption is presented. The estimated mean is 14,750<br />

MJ/year. Unfortunately, this number does not tell us much on<br />

its own because we have no good frame of reference. However<br />

as more vessels are studied <strong>the</strong>se numbers will be just as<br />

meaningful as <strong>the</strong> cost estimates.<br />

Just as <strong>the</strong> sensitivity chart in Figure 6 can be used to trace<br />

cost drivers, <strong>the</strong> sensitivity charts in Figure 8 and 9 can be used<br />

to trace energy drivers. From Figure 8, we learn that <strong>the</strong>re are<br />

three large energy drivers:<br />

1. Fuel Energy Content - <strong>the</strong> energy spent in making <strong>the</strong> fuel<br />

from extraction through oil refining and sale.<br />

2. The usage of <strong>the</strong> vessel to and from <strong>the</strong> platform (activity<br />

A12) is <strong>the</strong> single most energy demanding activity.<br />

3. The usage of <strong>the</strong> vessel at <strong>the</strong> platform (activity A14).<br />

There are o<strong>the</strong>r energy drivers, but <strong>the</strong>se are so small in<br />

comparison that we have to run <strong>the</strong> model without <strong>the</strong> three<br />

previously mentioned energy drivers to detect <strong>the</strong>m. The<br />

sensitivity chart for this run is presented in Figure 9. As we<br />

can see in Figure 9, <strong>the</strong> energy drivers related to <strong>the</strong> usage of<br />

spare parts are (after <strong>the</strong> fuel related energy drivers) <strong>the</strong> next<br />

important area of energy consumption to focus on.<br />

Unfortunately, Farstad Shipping ASA cannot affect this energy<br />

consumption at all, because <strong>the</strong>y have no information on which<br />

manufacturer uses <strong>the</strong> least amount of energy in production of<br />

spare parts. Because energy is such an important asset, future<br />

product data sheets should give information on <strong>the</strong> energy<br />

content, in our opinion.<br />

244<br />

183<br />

122<br />

61<br />

0<br />

Sensitivity Chart<br />

Target Forecast: <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-Span Energy Consumption<br />

Fuel Energy Content [MJ/tonn] .77<br />

A12 Fuel Consumption [tonn/year] .58<br />

A14 Fuel Consumption [tonn/year] .16<br />

A31 Number of Parts [-/year] .03<br />

-1 -0.5 0 0.5 1<br />

Measured by Rank Correlation<br />

Figure 8 - Sensitivity Chart for <strong>the</strong> <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-<br />

Span Energy Consumption.<br />

Target Forecast: <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-Span Energy Consumption<br />

A31 Number of Parts [-/year] .84<br />

A31 Parts Energy Content [MJ/Parts] .33<br />

A32 Number of Parts [-/year] .31<br />

A32 Parts Energy Content [MJ/Parts] .12<br />

Energy Content Labor [MJ/h] .12<br />

A31 Labor Hours [h/year] .07<br />

A32 Labor Hours [h/year] .06<br />

Sensitivity Chart<br />

-1 -0.5 0 0.5 1<br />

Measured by Rank Correlation<br />

Figure 9 - Sensitivity Chart for <strong>the</strong> <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-<br />

Span Energy Consumption.<br />

6.3.3 Waste Related Results<br />

Because of <strong>the</strong> partial lack of data <strong>the</strong> waste generation aspect of<br />

<strong>the</strong> model is <strong>the</strong> most unreliable, but we believe that we are<br />

able to illustrate <strong>the</strong> usage of <strong>the</strong> method. In Figure 10, we see<br />

that <strong>the</strong> mean expected waste creation is roughly 305,000<br />

WU/year. Because we used an entirely new way of assessing<br />

<strong>the</strong> creation of waste (namely, using a new Waste Index) this<br />

number currently does not tell much, but will become more<br />

meaningfull as waste generations for o<strong>the</strong>r products are<br />

estimated using <strong>the</strong> same approach. By comparing <strong>the</strong> waste<br />

generation estimate in Figure 10 to <strong>the</strong> waste generation<br />

estimate of ano<strong>the</strong>r vessel, we could identify which vessel was<br />

more environmentally friendly and by how much. In this<br />

manner this simple index can serve well in design (except for<br />

designs where <strong>the</strong> given biological and health and safety<br />

restrictions mentioned earlier apply).<br />

Forecast: <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-Span Waste Creation<br />

10 000 Trials Frequency Chart 32 Outliers<br />

.023<br />

.017<br />

.012<br />

.006<br />

.000<br />

260 000 282 500 305 000<br />

[WU/year]<br />

327 500 350 000<br />

Figure 10 - The <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-Span Waste<br />

Creation for an UT 705 Platform Supply Vessel.<br />

In Figure 11, <strong>the</strong> sensitivity chart for <strong>the</strong> waste generation is<br />

presented. The consumption of fuel is <strong>the</strong> most important<br />

9 Copyright © 1997 by ASME<br />

233<br />

174<br />

116<br />

58.2<br />

0


waste driver. As noted in Section 6.2, it is also <strong>the</strong> most<br />

significant energy driver. This means that by reducing <strong>the</strong> fuel<br />

consumption <strong>the</strong> overall environmental impact of <strong>the</strong> vessel can<br />

be reduced.<br />

Sensitivity Chart<br />

Target Forecast: <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-Span Waste Creation<br />

Fuel Waste Content [WU/tonn] .78<br />

A12 Fuel Consumption [tonn/year] .58<br />

A14 Fuel Consumption [tonn/year] .18<br />

-1 -0.5 0 0.5 1<br />

Measured by Rank Correlation<br />

Figure 11 - Sensitivity Chart for <strong>the</strong> <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-<br />

Span Waste Creation.<br />

Because <strong>the</strong> waste drivers in Figure 11 were so dominant,<br />

<strong>the</strong> model was run once more to find out which waste drivers<br />

were next important. The results are given in Figure 12 and we<br />

see that <strong>the</strong> CO2 releases are much more environmentally<br />

unfriendly than <strong>the</strong> releases of CO, SO2 and Tributyltin. In<br />

fact, <strong>the</strong> releases of CO, SO2 and Tributyltin did not pass <strong>the</strong><br />

3% cut-off limit of <strong>the</strong> sensitivity chart. Is this a reasonable<br />

result? From a long run point of view it is clear that <strong>the</strong><br />

increasing amount of CO2 in <strong>the</strong> atmosphere is probably more<br />

dangerous than <strong>the</strong> release of, say, Tributyltin. Tributyltin has<br />

negative effects for at least some biological entities; some<br />

spices of sea snails change sex as a result of too high<br />

Tributyltin concentration in <strong>the</strong>ir habitat. How this will affect<br />

<strong>the</strong> global environment we can only speculate. We see that our<br />

Waste Index is captures <strong>the</strong> general effect of <strong>the</strong> releases on our<br />

environment.<br />

Target Forecast: <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-Span Waste Creation<br />

CO2 Released Amount [tonn/year] 1.00<br />

Sensitivity Chart<br />

-1 -0.5 0 0.5 1<br />

Measured by Rank Correlation<br />

Figure 12 - Sensitivity Chart for <strong>the</strong> <strong>An</strong>nual <strong>Life</strong>-<br />

Span Waste Creation.<br />

How about local effects? We see from <strong>the</strong> preceding that <strong>the</strong><br />

global CO2 effect is considered to be much more dangerous than<br />

<strong>the</strong> effect of Tributyltin. However, we know that Tributyltin<br />

has a local effect on <strong>the</strong> environment. The Waste Index can also<br />

be used to compare <strong>the</strong> effects on local regions - it all depends<br />

on how we define <strong>the</strong> control volumes. For example, if we<br />

narrow <strong>the</strong> assessment to <strong>the</strong> North Sea Basin, <strong>the</strong> control<br />

volumes have been reduced dramatically compared to <strong>the</strong> entire<br />

earth. However, <strong>the</strong> release of Tributyltin is <strong>the</strong> same, thus <strong>the</strong><br />

index will increase, thus pointing out <strong>the</strong> fact that Tributyltin<br />

can have local effects.<br />

We can also use <strong>the</strong> Waste Index to answer <strong>the</strong> question at<br />

what point becomes <strong>the</strong> release of Tributyltin unacceptable, that<br />

is, when does <strong>the</strong> concentration in <strong>the</strong> control volume reach <strong>the</strong><br />

safety limits? If we use <strong>the</strong> safety limits in <strong>the</strong> San Francisco<br />

Bay area, which is 5.0 ppt (parts per trillion) in shallow water<br />

(Department of Pesticide Regulations 1996) and <strong>the</strong> released<br />

amount of Tributyltin from Table 3, <strong>the</strong>n we find that we need a<br />

control volume of at least 1.08*1011 m3 per vessel to stay on<br />

<strong>the</strong> recommended side. Farstad Shipping ASA operates about<br />

20 vessels in <strong>the</strong> North Sea and is considered to be one of <strong>the</strong><br />

largest companies in <strong>the</strong> business. Since <strong>the</strong> average depth of<br />

<strong>the</strong> North Sea Basin is roughly 50 meters, Farstad Shipping<br />

ASA alone needs to operate in an area greater than 43,200 km 2<br />

area to avoid causing a Tributyltin concentration higher than 5<br />

ppt. Since <strong>the</strong> area of <strong>the</strong> North Sea Basin is in <strong>the</strong> magnitude<br />

of 500,000 to 1,000,000 km 2 <strong>the</strong>re should be no problems for<br />

Farstad Shipping ASA for its North Sea operations. However,<br />

if we fur<strong>the</strong>r narrow down <strong>the</strong> control volume to some of <strong>the</strong><br />

busy harbors in <strong>the</strong> world, we would exceed this 5.0 ppt limit.<br />

As demonstrated by <strong>the</strong> preceding, we can use <strong>the</strong> Waste<br />

Index for any geographical area. The index provides a<br />

comparison between different products and different releases<br />

caused by <strong>the</strong> different products. It is of course impossible to<br />

verify <strong>the</strong> index by this simple example alone, but we believe<br />

that this index is an improvement compared to many indices and<br />

indicators mainly because it takes into account what <strong>the</strong> natural<br />

system can handle (balance time) and how <strong>the</strong> natural system<br />

has set <strong>the</strong> ‘default’ ratios between <strong>the</strong> different substances (<strong>the</strong><br />

ratio between released amount and natural amount). In o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

words, we simply accept that ‘nature knows best’, and our index<br />

estimates how far we are off ‘nature’s advice’.<br />

As an aside, it should be noted that we can draw some<br />

interesting analogies between economics and waste generation.<br />

Consider <strong>the</strong> following. Our monetary system is a relative<br />

system where <strong>the</strong> national banks (e.g. Bank of America)<br />

determine how many (e.g.) dollar bills are available and <strong>the</strong><br />

market determines <strong>the</strong> exchange rate between <strong>the</strong>se paper notes<br />

and real values (e.g. food, houses and cars etc.) based on <strong>the</strong><br />

total number of available dollar bills and <strong>the</strong> demand for <strong>the</strong> real<br />

values. Our waste system could work in a similar manner. The<br />

society determines how much waste is generated (similar to <strong>the</strong><br />

national banks) and an international database (similar to <strong>the</strong><br />

market) is used to calculate <strong>the</strong> associated Waste Indices, based<br />

on scientific models (similar role as <strong>the</strong> exchange rate) of <strong>the</strong><br />

environment. Just as our monetary system does not reflect true<br />

costs and revenues, such a waste system does not necessarily<br />

reflect true environmental impact. The reason is that <strong>the</strong><br />

exchange rates will never be absolutely ‘correct’, but that does<br />

not matter as long as <strong>the</strong> framework in which <strong>the</strong> exchange rates<br />

are being set are somewhat stable over time. Similar to <strong>the</strong><br />

health of a country’s economy, we can define <strong>the</strong> health of its<br />

(environmental) control volume. A strong economic country<br />

will have a relatively strong currency compared to o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

countries, while a clean control volume will have a low Waste<br />

Index compared to unhealthy control volumes. Thus, <strong>the</strong> goal<br />

is a low Waste Index and a high monetary value.<br />

7.0 SUMMARY AND FUTURE WORK<br />

In this paper, we have presented and illustrated <strong>the</strong> use of a<br />

comprehensive new method for cost -, energy - and waste<br />

assessments and tracing for use in <strong>Life</strong>-<strong>Cycle</strong> Design. The<br />

method is based on our previous <strong>Activity</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> Costing with<br />

uncertainty method. The incorporation of energy - and waste<br />

assessments is quite straightforward as we have energy- and<br />

waste drivers to capture energy- and waste related issues,<br />

respectively, just like we have cost drivers for <strong>the</strong> costing part<br />

of <strong>the</strong> method. The major challenge is to identify a single unit<br />

index/indicator for <strong>the</strong> waste part of <strong>the</strong> method and we have<br />

defined a new Waste Index for this purpose.<br />

We stress that <strong>the</strong> Waste Index presented in this paper is just<br />

a prototype and we have to carry out many case studies to<br />

investigate its behavior and identify improvements. We know<br />

some of its weaknesses and advantages. Its weaknesses are:<br />

• It cannot handle products which are associated with<br />

biological processes or have biological components. This is<br />

10 Copyright © 1997 by ASME


evident from <strong>the</strong> fact that biological entities reproduce and<br />

change.<br />

• The index is not capable of tracking health risks like<br />

mustard gas which are very lethal to humans do not affect<br />

<strong>the</strong> environment much in <strong>the</strong> long run. We <strong>the</strong>refore need to<br />

adjust <strong>the</strong> index to incorporate safety regulations. <strong>An</strong><br />

associated issue to be resolved is <strong>the</strong> handling of highly<br />

concentrated physical releases (e.g., dust).<br />

• The different parameters currently work as step functions,<br />

but in <strong>the</strong> real life decay happens gradually. The most<br />

common model is <strong>the</strong> first order decay model which we are<br />

currently investigating. The advantage of using step<br />

functions is <strong>the</strong>ir simplicity and conservative behavior. The<br />

disadvantage is that different decay rates/processes (e.g., first<br />

order exponential) are treated equally.<br />

Its advantages, however, are:<br />

• It allows <strong>the</strong> usage of one single index number that blends<br />

easily into <strong>the</strong> activity-based method. In fact any<br />

index/indicator can be used, but <strong>the</strong> existing indices and<br />

indicators have major shortcomings by not considering <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>rmodynamic and chemical relations.<br />

• It incorporates <strong>the</strong>rmodynamic and chemical reactions and<br />

how fast <strong>the</strong>se reactions occur. As said, this is missing in<br />

most indices and indicators.<br />

• It can be used at any scale of implementation from local to<br />

global by adjusting <strong>the</strong> control volumes.<br />

• It is not political - taking away or at least reducing <strong>the</strong><br />

potential for discussions whe<strong>the</strong>r a specific release affects,<br />

say <strong>the</strong> green house effect, in this or that manner.<br />

To improve <strong>the</strong> Waste Index we are considering <strong>the</strong> usage of<br />

threshold values for sustaining <strong>the</strong> biological diversity in <strong>the</strong><br />

control volume because preserving <strong>the</strong> biological diversity is<br />

important for humans both directly and indirectly via <strong>the</strong> usage<br />

of biological entities. In a similar fashion, <strong>the</strong> threshold for<br />

human health risks will be incorporated. The question now is,<br />

how do we manipulate <strong>the</strong>se three ratios into one single waste<br />

index? The answer is unclear at <strong>the</strong> present, but we believe that<br />

we are on <strong>the</strong> right track with <strong>the</strong> posed Waste Index.<br />

No matter what index we use, <strong>the</strong>re are several advantages<br />

to using an activity-based method along <strong>the</strong> lines of <strong>the</strong><br />

presented method:<br />

• All <strong>the</strong> different contributors of costs, revenues, energy and<br />

waste are traced in one single method. A designer,<br />

company, etc. has to learn only one method and not three<br />

different methods (one method for each of <strong>the</strong> three areas).<br />

• Costs and revenues, energy consumption, and waste<br />

creation per unit product are assessed in an accurate manner.<br />

• It allows <strong>the</strong> modeling and handling of uncertainty.<br />

• Overhead energy consumption and overhead waste creation<br />

can be handled. Such overheads may contribute significant<br />

amounts to <strong>the</strong> overall energy consumption and waste<br />

creation.<br />

Although we used a relatively simple supply vessel example,<br />

<strong>the</strong> method provided insight in <strong>the</strong> mean life-cycle cost/revenue,<br />

energy consumption, and waste generation, as well as <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

range. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> sensitivity analyses provided insight<br />

identifying areas for improvement. In <strong>the</strong> example, <strong>the</strong><br />

reduction of fuel consumption clearly results in win-win<br />

situations from a cost, energy, and waste point of view, as<br />

pointed out by <strong>the</strong> results. In our opinion, <strong>the</strong> capability of<br />

identifying such win-win situations is one of <strong>the</strong> most<br />

significant advantages of our integrated <strong>Activity</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> <strong>Life</strong>-<br />

<strong>Cycle</strong> <strong>Assessment</strong> approach.<br />

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS<br />

The example is supported by Farstad Shipping ASA and Møre<br />

Research in Ålesund, Norway. We gratefully acknowledge <strong>the</strong><br />

support of NSF Grant DMI-9624787, <strong>the</strong> Norwegian Research<br />

Council and U.S.-Norway Fulbright Foundation for Educational<br />

Exchange.<br />

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Ayres, R. U. (1995). “<strong>Life</strong> cycle analysis: A critique.”<br />

Resources, conservation and recycling (14): 199 - 223.<br />

Bras, B. and J. Emblemsvåg (1996). Designing For The<br />

<strong>Life</strong>-<strong>Cycle</strong>: <strong>Activity</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> Costing and Uncertainty. Design for<br />

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Brinker, B. J. (1997). Handbook of Cost Management .<br />

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Brooks, P. L., L. J. Davidson, et al. (1993).<br />

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<strong>the</strong> Manufacturing Industry 5(No. 3 Fall).<br />

Turney, P. B. B. (1991). Common Cents: The ABC<br />

Performance Breakthrough - How To Succeed With <strong>Activity</strong>-<br />

<strong>Based</strong> Costing . Hillboro, Or., Cost Technology.<br />

Turney, P. B. B. (1991). “How <strong>Activity</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> Costing<br />

Helps Reduce Cost.” Journal of Cost Management for <strong>the</strong><br />

Manufacturing Industry 4(No. 4 Winter): 29-35.<br />

11 Copyright © 1997 by ASME

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