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Management The reverse brain drain<br />

Human capital<br />

on the move<br />

The magnetic pull of skilled professionals and students from developing<br />

to developed markets is giving way to a more multipolar world, where countries<br />

increasingly compete for talent.<br />

Summary<br />

For the past century,<br />

the flow of talent has<br />

been largely from<br />

emerging to developed<br />

markets. But a more<br />

multipolar world is<br />

triggering new flows<br />

of skilled workers.<br />

This is sparking global<br />

competition for talent.<br />

• By Gerri Chanel<br />

People have been moving in search of better<br />

opportunities since the dawn of humanity.<br />

Back then, hunters migrated to stalk<br />

bigger herds. Today, it is intellectual capital on<br />

the move. Just a few years ago, talented<br />

engineers or scientists from such countries as<br />

India or China would make their way to countries<br />

such as the UK or the US. Today, those<br />

individuals are increasingly returning to their<br />

country of origin after obtaining education and<br />

experience – a phenomenon sometimes called<br />

“reverse brain drain.” Of course, one country’s<br />

brain drain is another’s gain, presenting<br />

challenges and opportunities for the countries<br />

– and companies – on both shores.<br />

China, India – and beyond<br />

Hai gui is the Mandarin term for sea turtle, a<br />

creature that is born on land, but grows up in the<br />

ocean before returning. It is also the informal<br />

term for the ever-growing number of Chinese<br />

graduates and professionals abroad who are<br />

increasingly returning home. China is not alone<br />

in this phenomenon: according to a 2011 study<br />

by recruitment consulting firm Kelly Services, an<br />

estimated 300,000 Indian professionals now<br />

working overseas are expected to return to India<br />

by 2015. Elsewhere, skilled expat workers from<br />

African countries such as Nigeria, Kenya, Ghana<br />

and Angola are also returning in notable<br />

numbers to their countries of origin, not<br />

least due to a slowdown in many richer<br />

economies.<br />

Joseph Pagop Noupoue, <strong>Ernst</strong> & <strong>Young</strong>’s<br />

Managing Partner for Cameroon, is one example.<br />

He recently relocated back to Africa after being<br />

educated and working in France for 23 years,<br />

and is far from alone. “We are receiving<br />

applications from so many young and talented<br />

Africans who are ready to make the trip back and<br />

bring their contribution to the development of<br />

the continent,” he says.<br />

Another notable trend is the movement<br />

of skilled workers within Europe due to varying<br />

economic conditions, says Michael Liley of<br />

<strong>Ernst</strong> & <strong>Young</strong>’s Human Capital practice<br />

in London and former Global HR Director of<br />

<strong>Ernst</strong> & <strong>Young</strong>. As a result, Spain, Italy and<br />

Greece now host a generation of highly-educated<br />

people in their mid-20s to mid-30s who cannot<br />

find good work. “So EU countries that are doing<br />

better economically, like Germany, have had<br />

quite a significant intake of qualified talent from<br />

those other countries,” he says.<br />

These trends are quite different to the<br />

established ones, which are characterized by the<br />

movement of talented workers from less<br />

developed to more developed countries. But a<br />

striking reversal may be looming, with various<br />

talent consultancies arguing that within several<br />

decades, many vacancies for senior roles in<br />

countries such as India will be filled not only by<br />

returning Indians, but also by Americans and<br />

Europeans seeking better prospects.<br />

Push and pull<br />

“The labor market is a major driver of talent<br />

migration,” says David Rooney, Executive<br />

Director of Global Mobility in <strong>Ernst</strong> & <strong>Young</strong>’s<br />

Human Capital practice, but he notes that it is<br />

only one of many factors, often categorized as<br />

either “push” or “pull.” Push factors might<br />

include lack of career or salary growth, or<br />

immigration policies that discourage permanent<br />

residence after training. “Pull factors,” he says,<br />

“may include higher wages or opportunity for<br />

career advancement, but there are others.<br />

Cultural affinity and family ties can also pull<br />

people back home, as well as pride around<br />

supporting growth in the home country, and<br />

sometimes simply quality of life.”<br />

According to a 2011 study sponsored by the<br />

Kaufmann Foundation in the US, which<br />

interviewed Indian and Chinese professionals<br />

who had been educated in America about their<br />

reasons for returning home, the top three<br />

34 T <strong>Magazine</strong> Issue 07 <strong>Ernst</strong> & <strong>Young</strong>

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