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EUCLIPSE First Period Report

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Figure 18 : time series of<br />

incoming short-wave flux at the<br />

surface in 2006 at selected point<br />

along the West African<br />

climatological gradient, from a<br />

wet Soudanian site (Djougou,<br />

bottom) to the Southern<br />

(Niamey, middle) and Northern<br />

Sahel (Bamba, top). A 15-day<br />

running mean has been applied.<br />

Note that the cloud radiative<br />

impact increases and extends in<br />

time from the northern to<br />

southern locations and is the<br />

largest during the monsoon<br />

period, from June to September.<br />

Figure 18. shows a comparison of the annual cycle of the incoming solar radiation in models<br />

and observations at selected locations. It illustrates the structure of the observed meridional<br />

gradient of the cloud radiative impact (reaching more than 50 W/m2 within 7° of latitude<br />

during the monsoon). This feature is at best qualitatively captured by NWPs, indeed, the<br />

gradient is largely underestimated by the ECMWF models and much too strong in ARPEGE.<br />

<strong>First</strong> examination of ARPEGE results show that these biases involve a too approximate<br />

modelling of different cloud types, and notably mid-level clouds in the Sahel. These<br />

clouds develop within an atmosphere characterized by a relatively weak stability up to<br />

4 km (above the top of the boundary layer) – Fig.19 (left). The significance of such a<br />

thermodynamic-cloud coupling was pointed out by Johnson (JAS 1999) albeit in the<br />

very distinct moister climate of the Pacific warm pool and involved congestus clouds.<br />

As illustrated in Fig. 19 (left), the model reproduces reasonably well the low-level<br />

atmospheric structures, including the diurnal cycle of the boundary layer which is only<br />

somewhat too cold. However, it fails to capture the weak stability layer above.<br />

Similarly, it is able to capture the seasonal changes of the cloud cover vertical<br />

structure, with an increase of the low cloud cover during the monsoon (Fig. 19 right).<br />

Simulated mid-level clouds remains too few though.<br />

37

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