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<strong>Research</strong> <strong>Highlights</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>The</strong> <strong>L<strong>and</strong></strong><br />

<strong>Environment</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Atmospheric</strong><br />

Dynamics (LEAD) Group<br />

1 faculty (Liang Yang)<br />

1 <strong>Research</strong> scientist<br />

2 Postdocs<br />

4 PhD students<br />

http://www.geo.utexas.edu<br />

http:// www.geo.utexas.edu/climate /climate<br />

Prepared for the UCAR PACUR Meet<strong>in</strong>g, 15 April, 2008


<strong>Research</strong> Interests<br />

• <strong>L<strong>and</strong></strong> Surface Model<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Model Development: A Tale of Two Models<br />

Satellite Data Assimilation<br />

Parameter Estimation <strong>and</strong> Robustness Evaluation<br />

• Biogenic Emissions <strong>and</strong> Air Quality<br />

Emission Capacities <strong>in</strong> LSMs<br />

Interactive Canopy <strong>and</strong> Interannual Variability<br />

Secondary Organic Aerosols<br />

• Flood Model<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> Coastal <strong>Environment</strong><br />

Cont<strong>in</strong>ental Water Dynamics<br />

Petascale Comput<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• Regional Climate Model<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Dynamic Downscal<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Seasonal Precipitation Prediction<br />

Biosphere-Atmosphere Biosphere Atmosphere Coupl<strong>in</strong>g Through Biogenic Pathways


<strong>Research</strong> Interests<br />

• <strong>L<strong>and</strong></strong> Surface Model<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Model Development: A Tale of Two Models<br />

Satellite Data Assimilation<br />

Parameter Estimation <strong>and</strong> Robustness Evaluation<br />

• Biogenic Emissions <strong>and</strong> Air Quality<br />

Emission Capacities <strong>in</strong> LSMs<br />

Interactive Canopy <strong>and</strong> Interannual Variability<br />

Secondary Organic Aerosols<br />

• Flood Model<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> Coastal <strong>Environment</strong><br />

Cont<strong>in</strong>ental Water Dynamics<br />

Petascale Comput<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• Regional Climate Model<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Dynamic Downscal<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Seasonal Precipitation Prediction<br />

Biosphere-Atmosphere Biosphere Atmosphere Coupl<strong>in</strong>g Through Biogenic Pathways


Biogeophysics<br />

Hydrology<br />

Niu & Yang, 2003, 2006<br />

Yang et al., 1997, 1999<br />

A Tale of Two Models:<br />

Community <strong>L<strong>and</strong></strong> Model<br />

Niu, Yang, et al., 2005<br />

Niu, Yang, et al., 2007<br />

Yang & Niu, 2003<br />

Biogeochemistry<br />

Ecosystem<br />

Dynamics<br />

Collaborators: NCAR (Gordon Bonan, Keith Oleson, Dave Lawrence)


A Tale of Two Models: <strong>The</strong> Noah LSM<br />

Collaborators: NCAR (Fei Chen, Dave Gochis); NCEP (Ken Mitchell); CRWR (David<br />

Maidment)<br />

1-D D ‘Noah Noah’ Community<br />

<strong>L<strong>and</strong></strong> Surface Model<br />

Dynamical Rout<strong>in</strong>g Methodologies<br />

Explicit saturated<br />

subsurface flow<br />

Explicit diffusive wave overl<strong>and</strong> flow<br />

Groundwater discharge,<br />

reservoir rout<strong>in</strong>g &<br />

Explicit channel rout<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• fully distributed flow/head<br />

• reservoir levels<br />

• distributed soil moisture<br />

• distributed l<strong>and</strong>/atmo fluxes<br />

• distributed snow depth/SWE


<strong>Research</strong> Interests<br />

• <strong>L<strong>and</strong></strong> Surface Model<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Model Development: A Tale of Two Models<br />

Satellite Data Assimilation<br />

Parameter Estimation <strong>and</strong> Robustness Evaluation<br />

• Biogenic Emissions <strong>and</strong> Air Quality<br />

Emission Capacities <strong>in</strong> LSMs<br />

Interactive Canopy <strong>and</strong> Interannual Variability<br />

Secondary Organic Aerosols<br />

• Flood Model<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> Coastal <strong>Environment</strong><br />

Cont<strong>in</strong>ental Water Dynamics<br />

Petascale Comput<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• Regional Climate Model<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Dynamic Downscal<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Seasonal Precipitation Prediction<br />

Biosphere-Atmosphere Biosphere Atmosphere Coupl<strong>in</strong>g Through Biogenic Pathways


Precipitation Variability Drives Year-to Year to-year year Changes <strong>in</strong><br />

Leaf Biomass <strong>and</strong> Biogenic Emissions (movie)<br />

Leaf area <strong>in</strong>dex <strong>in</strong> Texas Biogenic emissions <strong>in</strong> Texas<br />

Gulden, L. E., Z.-L. Yang <strong>and</strong> G.-N. Niu, 2007, J. Geophys. Res., 112<br />

(D14), D14103, 10.1029/2006JD008231. Gulden, L.E. <strong>and</strong> Z.-L.<br />

Yang, 2006, <strong>Atmospheric</strong> <strong>Environment</strong>, 40(8), 1464-1479.


Model<strong>in</strong>g Air Quality <strong>in</strong> Texas<br />

BEIS3<br />

(4‐km)<br />

Anthropogenic<br />

emissions<br />

(4‐km)<br />

CCSM output<br />

(T85 ~ 1.41 ̊)<br />

WRF-CHEM with<br />

Urban Canopy Model<br />

(4-km)<br />

WRF<br />

(12‐km)<br />

2000 MODIS l<strong>and</strong><br />

cover +NLCD l<strong>and</strong> use<br />

(30” ~ 1‐km)<br />

Future l<strong>and</strong> use<br />

(300‐m)<br />

Collaborators: NCAR (Christ<strong>in</strong>e Wied<strong>in</strong>myer, Fei Chen, Alex Guenther), CEER (Dave Allen)


Ozone<br />

WRF-CHEM WRF CHEM Simulated <strong>and</strong> Observed<br />

August Mean Diurnal Cycle <strong>in</strong> Houston<br />

(2001–2003)<br />

(2001 2003)<br />

Simulated<br />

Observed<br />

2-m Air Temperature<br />

Simulated<br />

Observed<br />

Jiang, X.-Y., C. Wied<strong>in</strong>myer, Fei Chen, Z.-L. Yang, <strong>and</strong> J.C.F. Lo, 2007, JGR<br />

(<strong>in</strong> review).


<strong>Research</strong> Interests<br />

• <strong>L<strong>and</strong></strong> Surface Model<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Model Development: A Tale of Two Models<br />

Satellite Data Assimilation<br />

Parameter Estimation <strong>and</strong> Robustness Evaluation<br />

• Biogenic Emissions <strong>and</strong> Air Quality<br />

Emission Capacities <strong>in</strong> LSMs<br />

Interactive Canopy <strong>and</strong> Interannual Variability<br />

Secondary Organic Aerosols<br />

• Flood Model<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> Coastal <strong>Environment</strong><br />

Cont<strong>in</strong>ental Water Dynamics<br />

Petascale Comput<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• Regional Climate Model<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Dynamic Downscal<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Seasonal Precipitation Prediction<br />

Biosphere-Atmosphere Biosphere Atmosphere Coupl<strong>in</strong>g Through Biogenic Pathways


From a NEXRAD Map to a Floodpla<strong>in</strong> Map<br />

Component 1: Import<strong>in</strong>g NEXRAD data <strong>in</strong>to<br />

Geodatabase <strong>and</strong> Mapp<strong>in</strong>g to Watersheds<br />

NEXRAD Data<br />

Component 1<br />

Source:<br />

O. Robayo, CRWR<br />

NEXRAD Ra<strong>in</strong>fall<br />

Component 2<br />

Watersheds<br />

Component 2: Geodatabase to HEC-DSS to Geodatabase<br />

Time Series <strong>in</strong> Geodatabase<br />

Component 3: Hydrologic & Hydraulic Integration based on<br />

common geographic framework<br />

Component 3<br />

Component 2<br />

Time Series <strong>in</strong> HEC-DSS<br />

HEC Data Storage System for Time Series<br />

Hydrologic Model Hydraulic Model<br />

Geographic Integration<br />

Component 2<br />

Component 4: Floodmapp<strong>in</strong>g from HEC-RAS GIS SDF File<br />

Component 4<br />

DEM XS with WS Elevations WS Raster Flood Polygon<br />

ArcGIS: Relational database for<br />

geospatial datasets<br />

Hydrologic Eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g Center<br />

(HEC) models:<br />

FEMA accreditation for flood<br />

model<strong>in</strong>g<br />

widely used both <strong>in</strong> research<br />

<strong>and</strong> operations<br />

ability to utilize gridded<br />

precipitation<br />

GIS compatible<br />

Hydrologic Model<strong>in</strong>g System<br />

(HEC-HMS)<br />

Surface water model used for<br />

calculat<strong>in</strong>g volume of flow with<br />

time.<br />

River Analysis System<br />

(HEC-RAS)<br />

Describes flow movement<br />

through river channels to the<br />

outlet.<br />

One-dimensional flow equations<br />

Knebl, Yang et al. 2005<br />

Knebl <strong>and</strong> Yang, 2008<br />

FLOODPLAIN MAP


Cont<strong>in</strong>ental Water Dynamics <strong>and</strong> Petascale<br />

Comput<strong>in</strong>g<br />

CONUS, High-resolution (30m – 1km) coupled atmospheric, hydrologic,<br />

<strong>and</strong> hydraulic model<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> data assimilation system<br />

• How much fresh water is<br />

available?<br />

• How fast does it move?<br />

• What is its sensitivity to<br />

future climate change<br />

<strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong> use/l<strong>and</strong><br />

cover change?<br />

• Can we reliably monitor<br />

floods <strong>and</strong> droughts?<br />

Texas<br />

Advanced<br />

Computer<br />

Center<br />

Yang, Maidment, Gochis, et al.


<strong>Research</strong> Interests<br />

• <strong>L<strong>and</strong></strong> Surface Model<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Model Development: A Tale of Two Models<br />

Satellite Data Assimilation<br />

Parameter Estimation <strong>and</strong> Robustness Evaluation<br />

• Biogenic Emissions <strong>and</strong> Air Quality<br />

Emission Capacities <strong>in</strong> LSMs<br />

Interactive Canopy <strong>and</strong> Interannual Variability<br />

Secondary Organic Aerosols<br />

• Flood Model<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> Coastal <strong>Environment</strong><br />

Cont<strong>in</strong>ental Water Dynamics<br />

Petascale Comput<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• Regional Climate Model<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Dynamic Downscal<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Seasonal Precipitation Prediction<br />

Biosphere-Atmosphere Biosphere Atmosphere Coupl<strong>in</strong>g Through Biogenic Pathways


Dynamical Downscal<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Methodologies<br />

• Cont<strong>in</strong>uous <strong>in</strong>tegration (Climate prediction mode)<br />

o One s<strong>in</strong>gle <strong>in</strong>itialization of large scale fields <strong>and</strong> frequent<br />

updates of LBCs from GCMs<br />

• Re-<strong>in</strong>itialization Re <strong>in</strong>itialization <strong>in</strong>tegrations (Weather forecast<br />

mode)<br />

o Subdivid<strong>in</strong>g the long-term long term cont<strong>in</strong>uous <strong>in</strong>tegration <strong>in</strong>to<br />

short ones. Each re-<strong>in</strong>itialization re <strong>in</strong>itialization is a cont<strong>in</strong>uous<br />

<strong>in</strong>tegration plus sp<strong>in</strong>up considerations<br />

• Nudg<strong>in</strong>g (Diagnostic study mode)<br />

o Use nudg<strong>in</strong>g or relaxation of large-scale large scale atmospheric<br />

circulations with<strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>terior of the computational<br />

doma<strong>in</strong> of the RCM


Correlation between time series of 24-h-accumulated precipitation<br />

WRFS<br />

WRFS-FDDA-ALL<br />

WRFS-FDDA-NOPBL<br />

Lo et al. (2008) JGR<br />

Realistic precip is a must for water resources applications.<br />

WRFS-FDDA-NOPBL-SLAB


Improv<strong>in</strong>g Seasonal Precipitation Prediction<br />

Through A Coupled Groundwater-<br />

Groundwater<br />

Vegetation-Atmosphere Vegetation Atmosphere System<br />

Niu, G.-Y., Z.-L. Yang, R.E. Dick<strong>in</strong>son, L.E. Gulden, <strong>and</strong> H. Su, 2007, JGR<br />

Jiang, X.Y., G.Y. Niu, <strong>and</strong> Z.-L. Yang, 2008: JGR


WRF Simulated & Observed Monthly <strong>and</strong> Seasonal<br />

Mean Precipitation <strong>in</strong> Central Great Pla<strong>in</strong>s<br />

3<br />

2.5<br />

2<br />

1.5<br />

1<br />

0.5<br />

0<br />

Monthly precipitation (mm/day)<br />

JJA June July August<br />

Obs Default DV DVGW Jiang et al. (2008)


<strong>Research</strong> Interests<br />

• <strong>L<strong>and</strong></strong> Surface Model<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Model Development: A Tale of Two Models<br />

Satellite Data Assimilation<br />

Parameter Estimation <strong>and</strong> Robustness Evaluation<br />

• Biogenic Emissions <strong>and</strong> Air Quality<br />

Emission Capacities <strong>in</strong> LSMs<br />

Interactive Canopy <strong>and</strong> Interannual Variability<br />

Secondary Organic Aerosols<br />

• Flood Model<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> Coastal <strong>Environment</strong><br />

Cont<strong>in</strong>ental Water Dynamics<br />

Petascale Comput<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• Regional Climate Model<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Dynamic Downscal<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Seasonal Precipitation Prediction<br />

Biosphere-Atmosphere Biosphere Atmosphere Coupl<strong>in</strong>g Through Biogenic Pathways


Climate Change <strong>and</strong> Variability<br />

In Situ Data<br />

An Integrated Model of Models<br />

Coupled<br />

Ocean-Atmosphere<br />

Models<br />

For Regional Decision Mak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Mesoscale<br />

Models<br />

I g<br />

P<br />

Δ S s<br />

Δ S g<br />

Water Resources<br />

Applications<br />

Soil-Vegetation-Atmosphere<br />

Transfer<br />

Water Quality<br />

<strong>and</strong> Quantity<br />

E<br />

Q s<br />

Q g<br />

Remote Sens<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong><br />

GIS<br />

Air Quality<br />

Air Quality Models<br />

Hydrologic/Rout<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Models<br />

Policy


Thank you!<br />

L<strong>in</strong>dsey Gulden<br />

Xiaoyan Jiang<br />

Dr. Guo-Yue Niu<br />

Enrique Rosero<br />

Hua Su<br />

Dr. Jessica Rasmussen<br />

Dr. Yongsheng Xu<br />

Am<strong>and</strong>a Hollock, Marla Knebl, Qianru Zeng, Dr. Jeff Lo<br />

Profs. Dave Allen, Jay Banner, Bob Dick<strong>in</strong>son, David Maidment, Roger Pielke<br />

Sr., Bridget Scanlon, Clark Wilson<br />

Drs. Gordon Bonan, Fei Chen, Alex Guenther, Dave Gochis, Dave Lawrence,<br />

Ken Mitchell, Keith Oleson, Roy Rasmussen, Christ<strong>in</strong>e Wied<strong>in</strong>myer<br />

OGC<br />

TACC<br />

EPA<br />

DHS<br />

NASA<br />

NOAA<br />

NSF<br />

http://www.geo.utexas.edu<br />

http:// www.geo.utexas.edu/climate /climate

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