Linear Time Series Models for Stationary data - Feweb
Linear Time Series Models for Stationary data - Feweb
Linear Time Series Models for Stationary data - Feweb
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<strong>Linear</strong> Stochastic processes, Wold representation<br />
An other important theoretical motivation <strong>for</strong> ARIMA modelling is the<br />
Wold representation theorem (proof omitted):<br />
The stochastic part of any zero-mean weakly stationary process yt<br />
can be represented as an (MA(∞)) process:<br />
yt =<br />
∞<br />
j=0<br />
ψjεt−j,<br />
with εt WN, where ψ0, ψ1, ψ2, . . . are parameters <strong>for</strong> which<br />
∞<br />
j=0<br />
ψ 2 j < ∞, or<br />
∞<br />
|ψj| < ∞,<br />
so that we obtain a finite variance and finite covariances indeed:<br />
γk = E[ytyt−k] = E[<br />
∞<br />
j=0<br />
ψjεt−j<br />
∞<br />
h=0<br />
j=0<br />
ψhεt−h−k] = σ 2 ε<br />
∞<br />
h=0<br />
ψk+hψh<br />
Chapter 7.1 Heij et al, TI Econometrics II 2006/2007 – p. 23/24