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Teacher's booklet - the Generation ?uro Students' Award

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The objective<br />

of price stability<br />

The objective of price stability refers to <strong>the</strong> general level of<br />

prices in <strong>the</strong> economy and implies avoiding prolonged<br />

periods of both inflation and deflation.<br />

The ECB defines its price stability objective as “a year-on-year<br />

increase in <strong>the</strong> Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP)<br />

for <strong>the</strong> e<strong>uro</strong> area of below, but close to, 2% over <strong>the</strong> medium<br />

term”.<br />

Price stability contributes to achieving high levels of<br />

economic activity and employment by:<br />

■■<br />

improving <strong>the</strong> transparency of <strong>the</strong> price mechanism. In<br />

an environment of stable prices, it is easier for people to<br />

recognise changes in relative prices (i.e. prices between<br />

different goods), instead of being confused by<br />

widespread changes in <strong>the</strong> general price level when<br />

inflation is high. Consequently, <strong>the</strong>y are able to make<br />

well-informed consumption and investment decisions<br />

and to allocate resources, i.e. <strong>the</strong>ir money, more<br />

efficiently;<br />

■■<br />

reducing inflation risk premia in interest rates (i.e. <strong>the</strong><br />

“compensation” that investors demand for any<br />

unexpected rise in inflation during <strong>the</strong> period of <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

investment). This reduces real interest rates and boosts<br />

incentives to invest;<br />

■■<br />

rendering unnecessary unproductive activities aimed<br />

at hedging against <strong>the</strong> negative impact of inflation or<br />

deflation, e.g. holding on to goods in <strong>the</strong> expectation<br />

that <strong>the</strong>ir price may increase;<br />

■■<br />

reducing distortions of inflation or deflation, which can<br />

exacerbate <strong>the</strong> distortionary impact on <strong>the</strong> economic<br />

behaviour of tax and social security systems;<br />

■■<br />

preventing an arbitrary redistribution of wealth and<br />

income as a result of unexpected periods of inflation or<br />

deflation.<br />

The role of <strong>the</strong> E<strong>uro</strong>system’s<br />

monetary policy strategy<br />

A monetary policy strategy is a coherent and structured<br />

description of how monetary policy decisions are made in<br />

order to achieve <strong>the</strong> objective of a central bank. The monetary<br />

policy strategy for <strong>the</strong> e<strong>uro</strong> area has two important tasks to<br />

fulfil. First, by imposing a clear structure on <strong>the</strong> policy-making<br />

process itself, it ensures that <strong>the</strong> ECB’s Governing Council has<br />

at its disposal <strong>the</strong> necessary information and analyses<br />

required to take monetary policy decisions. Second, it is a<br />

vehicle for explaining such decisions to <strong>the</strong> public. By<br />

contributing to <strong>the</strong> effectiveness of monetary policy, and by<br />

signalling <strong>the</strong> E<strong>uro</strong>system’s commitment to price stability,<br />

<strong>the</strong> strategy contributes to <strong>the</strong> credibility of <strong>the</strong> E<strong>uro</strong>system<br />

in <strong>the</strong> financial markets.<br />

By setting short-term interest rates, <strong>the</strong> monetary policy<br />

decisions of <strong>the</strong> ECB’s Governing Council have an influence<br />

on <strong>the</strong> economy and ultimately <strong>the</strong> price level.<br />

Two-pillar approach<br />

Basis for <strong>the</strong> interest rate decision<br />

The ECB’s Governing Council has a specific approach to<br />

determining <strong>the</strong> nature and extent of <strong>the</strong> risks to price<br />

stability in <strong>the</strong> e<strong>uro</strong> area over <strong>the</strong> medium term. This<br />

approach to organising, evaluating and cross-checking <strong>the</strong><br />

information relevant for assessing <strong>the</strong> risks to price stability<br />

is based on two complementary analytical perspectives,<br />

referred to as <strong>the</strong> two “pillars”:<br />

■■<br />

<strong>the</strong> economic analysis,<br />

■■<br />

<strong>the</strong> monetary analysis.<br />

The economic analysis is an assessment of <strong>the</strong> short to<br />

medium-term influences on price developments, with a<br />

focus on real activity (i.e. <strong>the</strong> production of goods and<br />

services) and financial conditions in <strong>the</strong> economy.<br />

It takes account of <strong>the</strong> fact that price developments over<br />

those horizons are influenced largely by <strong>the</strong> interplay of<br />

supply and demand in <strong>the</strong> goods, services and factor markets<br />

(e.g. factors of production such as labour, capital and land).<br />

The monetary analysis focuses on <strong>the</strong> longer term, and draws<br />

on <strong>the</strong> long-run link between money and prices. It serves<br />

mainly as a means of cross-checking, from a medium to<br />

long-term perspective, <strong>the</strong> short to medium-term indications<br />

for monetary policy stemming from <strong>the</strong> economic analysis.<br />

The two-pillar approach is designed to ensure that no<br />

relevant information is overlooked in <strong>the</strong> assessment of risks<br />

to price stability and that sufficient attention is paid to<br />

different perspectives and <strong>the</strong> cross-checking of information<br />

in order to come to an overall judgement on <strong>the</strong> risks to price<br />

stability. It represents a diversified analysis and ensures robust<br />

decision-making.<br />

Monetary policy instruments<br />

Monetary policy operates by steering short-term interest<br />

rates, <strong>the</strong>reby influencing economic developments in <strong>the</strong><br />

best possible way. The steering of short-term interest rates<br />

is carried out through <strong>the</strong> operational implementation of<br />

monetary policy. To this end, <strong>the</strong> E<strong>uro</strong>system has at its<br />

disposal a set of monetary policy instruments, namely open<br />

market operations, standing facilities and minimum reserves.<br />

A: Open market operations<br />

The most important monetary policy instrument is <strong>the</strong> open<br />

market operation, which serves to:<br />

■■<br />

steer interest rates;<br />

■■<br />

manage <strong>the</strong> liquidity situation in <strong>the</strong> money market;<br />

■■<br />

signal <strong>the</strong> monetary policy stance.<br />

Open market operations can be divided into <strong>the</strong> following<br />

four categories:<br />

■■<br />

main refinancing operations, which are regular liquidityproviding<br />

reverse transactions with a weekly frequency<br />

and a maturity of one week;<br />

■■<br />

longer-term refinancing operations, which are liquidityproviding<br />

reverse transactions with a monthly frequency<br />

and a maturity of three months;<br />

■■<br />

fine-tuning operations, which are executed on an ad hoc<br />

basis and are aimed at managing <strong>the</strong> liquidity situation<br />

in <strong>the</strong> market and steering interest rates, in particular<br />

to smooth <strong>the</strong> effects on interest rates of unexpected<br />

fluctuations in market liquidity;<br />

■■<br />

structural operations, which are carried out through <strong>the</strong><br />

issuance of debt certificates, reverse transactions and<br />

outright transactions.<br />

B: Standing facilities<br />

The E<strong>uro</strong>system also offers standing facilities, which aim<br />

to provide and absorb overnight liquidity and set <strong>the</strong><br />

boundaries for overnight market interest rates:<br />

The two standing facilities are:<br />

■■<br />

<strong>the</strong> marginal lending facility, which allows counterparties<br />

(i.e. financial institutions such as banks) to obtain<br />

overnight liquidity from <strong>the</strong> e<strong>uro</strong> area national central<br />

banks against eligible assets;<br />

■■<br />

<strong>the</strong> deposit facility, which can be used by counterparties<br />

to make overnight deposits with <strong>the</strong> e<strong>uro</strong> area national<br />

central banks.<br />

C: Minimum reserves<br />

Finally, <strong>the</strong> E<strong>uro</strong>system requires credit institutions to hold<br />

minimum reserves on accounts with <strong>the</strong> e<strong>uro</strong> area national<br />

central banks. The purpose of <strong>the</strong> minimum reserve system<br />

is to stabilise money market interest rates and to create or<br />

enlarge a structural liquidity shortage.<br />

10<br />

11

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