crushing <strong>the</strong> crescent did: from foreign elements that introduced radical ideas in<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> liberal Islam practiced by most Uzbeks. After <strong>the</strong> initial terrorist incident, repressive government responses have likely exacerbated this new threat. Although <strong>the</strong> Soviets pursued <strong>the</strong> same types <strong>of</strong> policies, Islam had not globalized and produced radical sects that advocate violence <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> extent that it has <strong>to</strong>day; <strong>the</strong>refore, past repression did not produce <strong>the</strong> same increased security problems that <strong>the</strong> Uzbek repression likely does now. Despite <strong>the</strong> limiting fac<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>of</strong> analyzing cause and effect, in <strong>to</strong>tal it could be said that Karimov’s policies decreased domestic stability in <strong>the</strong> immediate short run, increased stability in <strong>the</strong> medium term, and likely will have <strong>the</strong> effect <strong>of</strong> decreasing stability in <strong>the</strong> long run. Looking at specific acts <strong>of</strong> repression and <strong>the</strong> terrorist incidents that followed, <strong>the</strong> shortterm effects are <strong>the</strong> most easily measured. As <strong>the</strong> public grew accus<strong>to</strong>med <strong>to</strong> increased affronts on <strong>the</strong>ir freedoms in <strong>the</strong> medium term, <strong>the</strong>re was a lull in violence from 2001 <strong>to</strong> 2003, which is also true <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> period directly following Andijan from 2005 <strong>to</strong> 2009. In <strong>the</strong> future, more analysis needs <strong>to</strong> be conducted <strong>to</strong> determine <strong>the</strong> long-term effects <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> government response at Andijan, <strong>the</strong> biggest test <strong>of</strong> whe<strong>the</strong>r repression will yield fur<strong>the</strong>r violence. Since <strong>the</strong>n no major terrorist attacks have been reported, but <strong>the</strong> domestic security situation in Uzbekistan should be closely moni<strong>to</strong>red. It is likely that violence will rise again after dissenters have had time <strong>to</strong> regroup. Fur<strong>the</strong>r analysis is also necessary <strong>to</strong> examine <strong>the</strong> actions <strong>of</strong> Uzbek nationals in o<strong>the</strong>r countries, who may be increasing transnational operations as an indirect result <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> government restrictions in <strong>the</strong>ir own country. Terrorism did not begin with government repression in Uzbekistan but it continues with it, and <strong>the</strong> cycle <strong>of</strong> violence will not cease until <strong>the</strong> government ei<strong>the</strong>r adopts a wholly draconian mindset that prohibits independent thought or ceases entirely <strong>to</strong> restrict independent belief. Works Cited Bakker, Edwin. “Repression, political violence, and terrorism: <strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> Uzbekistan.” Helsinki moni<strong>to</strong>r, Apr 2006, Vol. 17 Issue 2, pp. 108-118 Blagov, Sergei, “Terrorism’s eastward expansion,” Asia Times, March 31, 2004. http://www.atimes.com/atimes/ Central_Asia/FC31Ag01.html (accessed April 2, 2009) Blank, Stephen, “The Future <strong>of</strong> Uzbekistan after Andijan,” Terrorism Moni<strong>to</strong>r, Volume 3, Issue 11. May 2005 http://www.james<strong>to</strong>wn.org/ single/?no_cache=1&tx_ttnews%5Btt_ news%5D=495 (accessed April 5, 2009) B Raman. “Islamic Blame Game.” Asia Times. May 17, 2005. www.atimes.com/atimes/Central_ Asia?GE17Ag03.html “Creating Enemies <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> State,” Human Rights Watch, March 29, 2004. http://www.hrw.org/en/reports/2004/03/29/creating-enemiesstate (accessed March 24, 2009) Crews, Robert. “For Prophet and Tsar: Islam & Empire in Russia and Central Asia.” Harvard College, 2006 Deweese, Devin. “Islam and <strong>the</strong> Legacy <strong>of</strong> Sovie<strong>to</strong>logy: A Review Essay on Yaacov’s Ro’i’s Islam in <strong>the</strong> Soviet Union.” Journal <strong>of</strong> Islamic Studies, Sept. 2002, 13:3, pp. 298-330 Forum 18. “Uzbekistan: State still s<strong>to</strong>ps Muslims making hajj pilgrimage.” www. forum18.org/Archive.php?article_ id=1226 Forum 18. “Uzbekistan: Muslims and Christians latest victims <strong>of</strong> religious literature crackdown.” 17 February 2009. www.forum18.org/Archive. php?article_id=1256 (accessed April 2, 2009) Fox, Jonathan. “Variations on a Theme: State Policy <strong>to</strong>ward Radical Islam in Four Post-Soviet Sunni Muslim States.” <strong>International</strong> Studies Association. Illinois, 2007 Gunn, T. Jeremy, “Shaping an Islamic Identity: Religion, Islamism, and <strong>the</strong> State in Central Asia.” Sociology <strong>of</strong> Religion, 2003, 64:3, pp. 389-410 Hea<strong>the</strong>rshaw, John. “Worlds Apart: <strong>the</strong> making and remaking <strong>of</strong> geopolitical space in <strong>the</strong> U.S.-Uzbekistani strategic partnership,” Central Asian Survey, Vol. 26, Issue 1 Horseman, Stuart. “Official Discourses on Terrorism in Central Asia.” Third World Quarterly, Vol. 26, No. 1, 2005, pp. 199-213 Howell, Jude, “The Backlash against civil society in <strong>the</strong> wake <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> long war on terror,” Journal <strong>of</strong> Muslim Minority Affairs, Vol. 26, No. 1, April 2006 “Human Rights in <strong>the</strong> Republic <strong>of</strong> Uzbekistan.” Amnesty <strong>International</strong>, 2008 http://www.amnesty.org/en/region/ uzbekistan <strong>International</strong> Crisis Group, “Uzbekistan: The Andijon Uprising, 25 May 2005, ”http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/ index.cfm?id=3469 (accessed March 28, 2009) Kendzior, Sarah. “Inventing Akromiya: The Role <strong>of</strong> Uzbek Propagandists in <strong>the</strong> Andijon Massacre,” Demokraizatsiya; Fall 2006, Vol. 14, Issue 4, pp. 545-562 Khalid, Adeeb. A secular Islam: Nation, State, and Religion in Uzbekistan. <strong>International</strong> Journal <strong>of</strong> Middle Eastern Studies, 2003. 35:4, pp. 573-598 Khalid, Adeeb. “Islam after Communism: Religion and Politics in Central Asia.” University <strong>of</strong> California Press, 2007 Kucera, Josh. “One year after Andijan: US lawmakers take action <strong>to</strong> punish Uzbekistan.” EurasiaNet, 11 May 2006 http://www.unhcr.org/refworld/country ,EURASIANET,,USA,4562d94e2,46c 58ee728,0.html (accessed March 28, 2009) Megoran, Nick. “Framing Andijon, Narrating <strong>the</strong> Nation: Islam Karimov’s Account <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Events <strong>of</strong> 13 May 2005.” Central Asian Survey, Volume 27, Issue 1, March 2008, pp. 15-31 Rotar, Igor. “Return <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Jihad,” Transitions Online. September 3, 2007, pp. 1-4 Timeline Uzbekistan. Algis.com 05/2003 http://timelines.ws/countries/UZBEKI- STAN.HTML (accessed April 2, 2009) “Uzbek security forces fire on crowd in Uzbekistan,” EurasiaNet, April 20, 2009. http://www.eurasianet.org/ departments/insight/articles/pp051305. shtml (accessed April 2, 2009) Zanca, Russell. “Believing in God at your own risk: Religion and Terrorisms in Uzbekistan.” Religion, State, and Society; March 2005, Vol. 33, Issue 1, pp. 71-82 The author retains <strong>the</strong> copyright for this article and should be contacted directly for permission <strong>to</strong> reproduce. The author can be reached at katebwilkinson@gmail.com 20 | spring 2011 | Journal <strong>of</strong> <strong>International</strong> Policy Solutions
argentina’s foreign policy paradox ✼ ✼ ✼ argentina’s foreign policy paradox: Lessons Learned? Claudia V. Espinosa cespinosa@ucsd.edu Greg Lestikow glestikow@ucsd.edu University <strong>of</strong> California San Diego <strong>School</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>International</strong> Relations and Pacific Studies Edited by Stephen Bower ✼ ✼ ✼ Journal <strong>of</strong> <strong>International</strong> Policy Solutions | spring 2011 | 21