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POLICY: CHINESE HEALTHCARE TRENDS<br />

The dual burdens of developing countries have fallen<br />

hard on the population giant China: the fastest rate of<br />

population ageing in the world accompanied by a<br />

dramatic yet inequitable rise of st<strong>and</strong>ards of living has led<br />

one-fifth of the world’s total population towards a<br />

diversifying portfolio of chronic diseases. The needs of this<br />

population, marked with the rise of a young urban middle<br />

class, are currently unmet by the Chinese public hospital<br />

system through the lack of access to care <strong>and</strong> dissatisfaction<br />

with service.<br />

Growing middle class<br />

China’s economic transition from a comm<strong>and</strong> to market<br />

economy in the past quarter of a century has led to<br />

significant improvements in living st<strong>and</strong>ards 1 . Today, the<br />

average annual disposable income 2 of China’s urban<br />

households is 31,500 RMB (US$4,500) with the upper<br />

middle class around 41,600 RMB (US$6,000) 3 . Adjusted for<br />

purchasing-power parity, the urbanaffluent<br />

of China’s population,<br />

mostly concentrated in the “first<br />

China” cities of Beijing, Shanghai<br />

<strong>and</strong> Guangzhou, has a spending<br />

power nearing global affluence.<br />

These steady increases have fueled<br />

consumer spending, increased<br />

savings, <strong>and</strong> are projected to<br />

continue throughout the rest of the<br />

21st century.<br />

However, the true size <strong>and</strong><br />

spending power lies within the<br />

emerging young, massive urban<br />

middle class. Making up more than<br />

half of the urban population, this middle class is young<br />

(compared to that of most developed markets), well<br />

educated (majority college graduates) <strong>and</strong> is projected by the<br />

Figure 1: Lifestyle of average Chinese urban household<br />

1.<br />

Blumenthal, D., Hsiao, W. “Privatization <strong>and</strong> its<br />

discontents: the evolving Chinese health care system.”<br />

N Engl J Med. 2005 Sep 15;353(11):1165-70.<br />

2.<br />

Disposable income = after-tax income.<br />

3.<br />

National Bureau of Statistics of China. 2007. China<br />

Statistical Yearbook 2007. Beijing: China Statistics<br />

Press; 2007 Sept.<br />

Figure 2: Factors influencing hospital of choice (multiple choices, %)<br />

Disposable<br />

Income<br />

Total<br />

Exp end iture<br />

Food Clothing Medical<br />

Transport ation/<br />

Commu nicat ion<br />

Utilities<br />

Beijing<br />

Average 2,854 2,118 30.8% 9.7% 8.9% 14.6 % 8.2%<br />

Middle<br />

High 20% 3,299 2,350 30.2% 10.2% 8.3 % 14.7 % 8.6%<br />

Top20% 5,231 3,3 60 24. 6% 10.2% 7.4% 19.4 % 9.1%<br />

Shanghai<br />

Chengdu<br />

Average 2,953 2,109 35.6% 7.0% 5.2% 15.8% 9.7%<br />

Middle<br />

High 20% 3,285 2,259 36.1% 7.3 % 5.6% 13.9 % 10.0%<br />

Top20% 6,126 3,761 27.7% 7.7% 5.1% 22.6% 9.3%<br />

Average 50 8 1,37 8 35.3% 8.4 % 6.2% 19.4 % 9.7%<br />

Middle<br />

High 20% 1,868 1,652 31.1% 9.0% 6.2% 17.1% 11.6%<br />

Top20% 2,613 2,613 26.3% 8.7% 6.4% 27.8% 7.4%<br />

Sources: Beijing Municipal Bureau of Statistics. 2007. Beijing Statistical Yearbook 2007. Beijing: China Statistics Press; 2007 June.<br />

Shanghai Municipal Statistics Bureau. 2007. Shanghai Statistical Yearbook 2007. Shanghai: NBS Survey Office; 2007 July.<br />

Chengdu Statistic Bureau. 2006. 2006 Statistical Yearbook of Chengdu. Beijing: China Statistics Press; 2007 July<br />

Table 1: Annual per capita basic condition of urban household (2006)<br />

12 | <strong>World</strong> <strong><strong>Hospital</strong>s</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Services</strong> | Vol. 44 No. 4

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