Balance Sheet Strength Provides Opportunities to ... - Origin Energy
Balance Sheet Strength Provides Opportunities to ... - Origin Energy
Balance Sheet Strength Provides Opportunities to ... - Origin Energy
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<strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong> <strong>Strength</strong> <strong>Provides</strong><br />
<strong>Opportunities</strong> <strong>to</strong> Grow & Develop<br />
Citi’s Australian & New Zealand<br />
6 th Annual Investment Conference London<br />
9 March 2009
2<br />
Important Notice<br />
This presentation does not constitute investment advice, or an inducement or recommendation <strong>to</strong> acquire or dispose of any<br />
securities in <strong>Origin</strong>, in any jurisdiction (including the USA). This presentation is for information purposes only, is in a<br />
summary form, and does not purport <strong>to</strong> be complete. This presentation does not take in<strong>to</strong> account the investment<br />
objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any inves<strong>to</strong>r, potential inves<strong>to</strong>r or any other person. No investment<br />
decision should be made in reliance on this presentation. Independent financial and taxation advice should be sought before<br />
making any investment decision.<br />
Certain statements in this presentation are in the nature of forward looking statements, including statements of current<br />
intention, statements of opinion and predictions as <strong>to</strong> possible future events. Such statements are not statements of fact<br />
and there can be no certainty of outcome in relation <strong>to</strong> the matters <strong>to</strong> which the statements relate. These forward looking<br />
statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other important fac<strong>to</strong>rs that could cause the<br />
actual outcomes <strong>to</strong> be materially different from the events or results expressed or implied by such statements. Those risks,<br />
uncertainties, assumptions and other important fac<strong>to</strong>rs are not all within the control of <strong>Origin</strong> and cannot be predicted by<br />
<strong>Origin</strong> and include changes in circumstances or events that may cause objectives <strong>to</strong> change as well as risks, circumstances<br />
and events specific <strong>to</strong> the industry, countries and markets in which <strong>Origin</strong> and its related bodies corporate, joint ventures<br />
and associated undertakings operate. They also include general economic conditions, exchange rates, interest rates, the<br />
regula<strong>to</strong>ry environment, competitive pressures, selling price, market demand and conditions in the financial markets which<br />
may cause objectives <strong>to</strong> change or may cause outcomes not <strong>to</strong> be realised. None of <strong>Origin</strong> or any of its respective<br />
subsidiaries, affiliates and associated companies (or any of their respective officers, employees or agents) (the "Relevant<br />
Persons") makes any representation, assurance or guarantee as <strong>to</strong> the accuracy or likelihood of fulfilment of any forward<br />
looking statement or any outcomes expressed or implied in any forward looking statements. In addition, statements about<br />
past performance are not necessarily indicative of future performance. The forward looking statements in this presentation<br />
reflect views held only at the date of this presentation. Subject <strong>to</strong> any continuing obligations under law or the ASX Listing<br />
Rules, <strong>Origin</strong> and the Relevant Persons disclaim any obligation or undertaking <strong>to</strong> disseminate after the date of this<br />
presentation any updates or revisions <strong>to</strong> any forward looking statements <strong>to</strong> reflect any change in expectations in relation <strong>to</strong><br />
any forward looking statements or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which such statements are based.<br />
No representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be made in relation <strong>to</strong> the accuracy or completeness of the<br />
information in this presentation and no responsibility or liability is or will be accepted by <strong>Origin</strong> or any of the Relevant<br />
Persons in relation <strong>to</strong> it. In particular, <strong>Origin</strong> does not endorse, and is not responsible for, the accuracy or reliability of any<br />
information in this presentation relating <strong>to</strong> a third party.<br />
All references <strong>to</strong> "$" are references <strong>to</strong> Australian dollars unless otherwise specified.<br />
A reference <strong>to</strong> Contact is a reference <strong>to</strong> Contact <strong>Energy</strong> of New Zealand, a 51.3% subsidiary of <strong>Origin</strong>.
Outline<br />
• Company Strategy<br />
• Strategy Implementation<br />
• Appendix<br />
3
Company Strategy
<strong>Origin</strong> operates in the domestic energy markets in Australia and<br />
New Zealand. Growth in demand in these markets for<br />
electricity, natural gas and LPG has averaged around 4% per<br />
annum since the 1980s even through times of recession<br />
5<br />
Source: ABARE, Access Economics<br />
<strong>Origin</strong>’s share of Eastern Australian end use energy<br />
markets has grown from 10% in 2000 <strong>to</strong> around 15% and<br />
the Company is well placed <strong>to</strong> continue <strong>to</strong> increase its<br />
market share in a steadily growing market
<strong>Origin</strong>’s strategy of being a fuel integrated genera<strong>to</strong>r retailer<br />
is designed <strong>to</strong>…<br />
Fuel Genera<strong>to</strong>r Retailer<br />
A leading producer of gas in<br />
Eastern Australia involved in the<br />
development of Australia’s<br />
largest CSG <strong>to</strong> LNG project<br />
Extensive portfolio of both CSG<br />
and conventional gas & oil<br />
Largest owner and developer of<br />
gas fired electricity generation<br />
in Australia<br />
Investing over $1.5 billion in<br />
generation, doubling capacity <strong>to</strong><br />
2,800MW by 2010<br />
A leading wholesaler and<br />
retailer of energy & Australia’s<br />
largest green energy retailer<br />
Around 3 million cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />
across Australia and Pacific<br />
<strong>Origin</strong>’s 2P Reserves <strong>Origin</strong>’s Generation Capacity <strong>Origin</strong>’s <strong>Energy</strong> Sales<br />
Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />
6<br />
… better manage risk and access more<br />
opportunities for growth
Effective implementation of this strategy has delivered a<br />
consistent record of underlying earnings and dividend growth<br />
9,000<br />
7,500<br />
Revenue<br />
Compound annual growth rate: 26%<br />
1,500<br />
1,200<br />
EBITDAF<br />
Compound annual growth rate: 23%<br />
$millions<br />
6,000<br />
4,500<br />
3,000<br />
1,500<br />
$millions<br />
900<br />
600<br />
300<br />
0<br />
50<br />
40<br />
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />
Underlying earnings per share<br />
Compound annual growth rate: 17%<br />
0<br />
50<br />
40<br />
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />
Dividends per share<br />
Compound annual growth rate: 43%<br />
cents<br />
30<br />
cents<br />
30<br />
20<br />
20<br />
10<br />
10<br />
0<br />
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />
0<br />
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />
Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />
7
<strong>Origin</strong>’s his<strong>to</strong>ry of profit growth continues with<br />
Underlying Profit for the first half up 38% <strong>to</strong> $277 million<br />
Financial Highlights – HY2009<br />
Revenue<br />
$4,216 m up 10%<br />
EBITDAF<br />
$686 m up 12%<br />
Statu<strong>to</strong>ry Profit<br />
$6,663 m up 1891%<br />
Underlying Profit<br />
$277 m up 38%<br />
EPS – Statu<strong>to</strong>ry<br />
761.0 cps up 1887%<br />
EPS – Underlying<br />
31.6 cps up 38%<br />
OCAT<br />
$363 m down 6%<br />
<strong>Origin</strong> undrawn debt facilities (2) $2,313 m<br />
Free cash flow per share<br />
25 cps down 17%<br />
Interim dividend fully franked<br />
25 cps up 108%<br />
<strong>Origin</strong> cash on deposit (1) $4,073 m<br />
• The interim dividend<br />
increased by 108% <strong>to</strong> 25<br />
cps, consistent with<br />
<strong>Origin</strong>’s intention <strong>to</strong><br />
rebase annual dividends<br />
<strong>to</strong> 50 cps and target an<br />
increased dividend payout<br />
ratio of at least 60% of<br />
underlying earnings<br />
• <strong>Origin</strong> has now elected <strong>to</strong><br />
terminate the on-market<br />
buyback of shares <strong>to</strong><br />
preserve its financial<br />
capacity in the current<br />
economic environment<br />
8<br />
Based on current market conditions, <strong>Origin</strong> expects<br />
underlying earnings for the current financial year <strong>to</strong><br />
be approximately 20–25% higher than the prior year<br />
(1) Excluding Contact<br />
(2) Excluding Contact and bank guarantees
As the operating and economic environment for businesses<br />
becomes more challenging, <strong>Origin</strong> has been able <strong>to</strong> continue <strong>to</strong><br />
grow its existing business…<br />
• Full half year contribution from Otway Gas Project<br />
• Continued development of New Zealand upstream business with full half year<br />
contribution from Taranaki Basin and progress on Ahuroa Gas S<strong>to</strong>rage project<br />
• Acquired the 640 MW Uranquinty Power Station and committed <strong>to</strong> the 550 MW Mortlake<br />
Power Station<br />
• Secured long-term electricity hedge purchase and gas supply agreement with 450 MW<br />
Braemar 2 Power Station in Queensland<br />
• Entered long-term wind power purchase agreement with ACCIONA <strong>Energy</strong> for 192 MW<br />
• Appraisal activities significantly increased 2P reserves by over 750 PJ and 3P reserves by<br />
almost 1,000 PJ in the APLNG joint venture<br />
• Selected Wipro Technologies as partner in the transformation of <strong>Origin</strong>’s Retail systems<br />
• Completed Uranquinty Power Station (640 MW), which is now fully operational and<br />
commenced commissioning of the Quarantine Power Station expansion (120 MW)<br />
… through the completion of current projects, acquisitions<br />
and commitment <strong>to</strong> new development projects<br />
9
In addition <strong>to</strong> the ongoing growth in earnings, the highlight of the<br />
current financial year has been the CSG transaction with<br />
ConocoPhillips…<br />
Assets<br />
Consideration<br />
Joint Venture<br />
Timetable<br />
ConocoPhillips has subscribed for a 50% interest in Australia Pacific LNG<br />
Australia Pacific LNG includes all of <strong>Origin</strong>’s CSG interests, related production<br />
facilities and existing CSG sales contracts<br />
ConocoPhillips <strong>to</strong> initially invest A$8 billion for a 50% share of a CSG <strong>to</strong> LNG Joint<br />
Venture comprising:<br />
• An up-front cash payment of A$6.9 billion (US$5 billion)<br />
• Additional fixed contribution of A$1.15 billion <strong>to</strong> carry <strong>Origin</strong>’s share of costs<br />
<strong>to</strong> Final Investment Decision, expected at end 2010 for Train 1<br />
A further US$2 billion will be invested as payments of US$500 million at the time<br />
that each of the 4 LNG trains is approved, <strong>to</strong> partly carry <strong>Origin</strong>’s share of costs<br />
Fully aligned 4 Train CSG <strong>to</strong> LNG Project using 24 TCF over 30 years (1)<br />
<strong>Origin</strong> is the upstream CSG opera<strong>to</strong>r and domestic gas marketer<br />
ConocoPhillips <strong>to</strong> be the downstream LNG opera<strong>to</strong>r<br />
Joint Venture <strong>to</strong> market LNG led by ConocoPhillips personnel<br />
Train 1 FID expected late 2010 and Train 2 FID expected late 2010/11<br />
Train 1 first LNG expected in 2014<br />
10<br />
… which confirmed the value and quality of <strong>Origin</strong>’s CSG<br />
assets and will establish a new export channel <strong>to</strong> market<br />
(1) Excluding ramp and tail gas
As a result of this transaction, <strong>Origin</strong> is now in an unparalleled<br />
position with $6.4 billion of cash on deposit and undrawn<br />
committed debt facilities…<br />
As at 31 December 2008<br />
(1) (2)<br />
(1)<br />
Adjusted<br />
Gross Debt<br />
Cash<br />
Undrawn<br />
Committed<br />
Debt Facilities<br />
Available<br />
Funding<br />
Capacity<br />
11<br />
Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />
… at a time when we expect increased opportunities <strong>to</strong> grow<br />
and develop the business<br />
(1) Net Cash/(Debt) excluding mark <strong>to</strong> market adjustments on debt<br />
(2) Uranquinty acquisition includes debt assumed on acquisition<br />
Note: All amounts exclude Contact
The consistent pursuit of <strong>Origin</strong>’s strategy and the APLNG<br />
transaction have resulted in significant increases in value for<br />
shareholders<br />
<strong>Origin</strong>’s Compound TSR Compound Annual Growth Annual Rate: Growth 30% Rate: 30%<br />
Source: Guerdon Associates, Bloomberg<br />
• Market capitalisation and liquidity have increased significantly over time<br />
with <strong>Origin</strong> now in the S&P/ASX20<br />
12
Strategy Implementation
Exploration & Production
Developing gas reserves close <strong>to</strong> markets has been a key component<br />
of <strong>Origin</strong>’s strategy…<br />
<strong>Origin</strong>’s 2P Reserves (1) 3,693 PJe<br />
Annual Production<br />
2P Reserves (2)<br />
101 PJe<br />
• Extensive portfolio of gas and oil exploration<br />
and production interests near key markets in<br />
Australia and New Zealand<br />
• Leading opera<strong>to</strong>r and largest producer of CSG in<br />
Australia as part of APLNG joint venture<br />
• Seeking <strong>to</strong> develop Australia’s largest CSG <strong>to</strong><br />
LNG project through APLNG joint venture with<br />
ConocoPhillips<br />
• Portfolio includes mature assets, such as Cooper<br />
and Perth basins, along with major new gas<br />
projects including the producing BassGas and<br />
Otway Projects and the Kupe Gas Project that is<br />
currently under development<br />
• Extensive exploration program in highly<br />
prospective areas<br />
15<br />
… and has supported the Generation and Retail positions by<br />
providing fuel at competitive prices<br />
(1) Decrease in CSG reserves position in 2009 attributable <strong>to</strong> 50% reduction in <strong>Origin</strong>’s interest following completion of APLNG transaction.<br />
(2) <strong>Origin</strong> undertakes a comprehensive review of its reserves position at the end of each financial year. This interim estimate of reserves<br />
represents the published 2P reserves position as at 30 June 2008, adjusted for the APLNG transaction, the CSG reserves upgrade as at 31<br />
December 2008 and production for the first half of the current financial year.
Investments in new production areas over the last decade have more<br />
than offset the anticipated decline of maturing assets…<br />
• Underlying CSG production continued<br />
<strong>to</strong> grow, although <strong>Origin</strong> interests in<br />
CSG and Denison Trough diluted by 50%<br />
from November 2008 due <strong>to</strong> APLNG<br />
transaction<br />
• Otway Gas Project is operating reliably<br />
at or around peak design rates during<br />
high winter seasonal demand<br />
• Bass Basin production lower due <strong>to</strong><br />
well constraint – operations now back<br />
<strong>to</strong> normal levels<br />
• Taranaki assets provided first full half<br />
production, although at constrained<br />
rates due <strong>to</strong> conservation of pad gas<br />
for Ahuroa gas s<strong>to</strong>rage project<br />
• Cooper Basin is in decline as contract<br />
volumes begin <strong>to</strong> ramp down<br />
Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />
16<br />
… with further CSG expansion, potentially through export<br />
channels providing opportunities for significant growth
Liquids production from the mature Cooper and Perth basins<br />
continues <strong>to</strong> decline…<br />
• Whilst the Cooper basin is in decline, the<br />
Cooper Oil Program has delivered<br />
incremental growth <strong>to</strong> oil production<br />
• Perth Basin production continues <strong>to</strong><br />
decline<br />
• Otway Gas Project and Taranki have<br />
added <strong>to</strong> liquids production<br />
• BassGas liquids production has been<br />
lower due <strong>to</strong> a well constraints and plant<br />
shutdowns although it is now operating at<br />
normal levels<br />
• Kupe project is expected <strong>to</strong> commence<br />
commercial operations in the September<br />
Quarter of 2009<br />
• Liquids production is increasingly<br />
weighted <strong>to</strong>wards condensate with oil<br />
declining from nearly two thirds of liquids<br />
production in FY 06 <strong>to</strong> just over one third<br />
in the Dec half<br />
Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />
… although the Otway and Bass basins provide increased<br />
contributions, and will be supplemented by the liquids rich<br />
Kupe project later this year<br />
17
APLNG is progressing well<br />
APLNG Established<br />
• <strong>Origin</strong> & ConocoPhillips senior executives appointed <strong>to</strong> APLNG Board<br />
• Board has appointed Project Direc<strong>to</strong>r, Chief Financial Officer,<br />
Commercial Manager and LNG Marketing Manager<br />
• Initial Advice Statement seeking significant project status submitted<br />
<strong>Origin</strong> as Upstream Opera<strong>to</strong>r continues <strong>to</strong> deliver reserves and<br />
production growth<br />
• $2.3 billion upstream work program <strong>to</strong> FID agreed and underway<br />
• CSG reserves increased by net 731 PJ 2P and 972 PJ 3P<br />
• 300 people working in the Upstream operations<br />
ConocoPhillips as Downstream Opera<strong>to</strong>r is effectively progressing the<br />
LNG development<br />
• Discussions well progressed with Dept of Infrastructure for LNG site<br />
• Technology selection process complete – ConocoPhillips’ proprietary<br />
Optimized Cascade SM process<br />
• Shipping studies and marketing plans underway<br />
Upcoming Miles<strong>to</strong>nes<br />
• Announcement of site selection<br />
• Further CSG reserves upgrade<br />
• Final Investment Decision<br />
18<br />
Pictures (from <strong>to</strong>p <strong>to</strong> bot<strong>to</strong>m): An operating APLNG CSG well, APLNG’s Taloona gas plant, APLNG’s Initial Advice Statement
APLNG continues strong growth in CSG production and reserves…<br />
19<br />
APLNG’s CSG Interests (1) (PJ)<br />
1P Reserves<br />
2P Reserves<br />
3P Reserves<br />
Contingent Resource (2C)<br />
30 Jun 2008<br />
1,375<br />
4,751<br />
10,138<br />
15,869<br />
31 Dec 2008<br />
1,527<br />
5,482<br />
11,110<br />
14,964<br />
(1) <strong>Origin</strong> has a 50% interest in APLNG<br />
(2) Reserves as at 31 December 2008 are shown net of CSG production for H1 FY 2009<br />
Change (2)<br />
+ 152<br />
+ 731<br />
+ 972<br />
- 905<br />
Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />
Increase<br />
+ 11%<br />
+ 15%<br />
+ 10%<br />
-6%<br />
… with a significant increase in proved and probable reserves<br />
and contingent resources being converted as expected
APLNG has the leading CSG reserves position…<br />
Eastern Australia 2P CSG Reserves by Company<br />
Eastern Australia 3P CSG Reserves by Company<br />
Source: RLMS Eastern Australia CSG Reserves 27 February 2009<br />
… both on a 2P and 3P basis<br />
20
With the next phase of APLNG’s CSG development <strong>to</strong> be funded by<br />
ConocoPhillips, and a number of development projects nearing<br />
completion…<br />
Kupe Gas Project<br />
• Offshore operations were successfully completed early in<br />
the half year<br />
• Project is 90% complete with commercial operations<br />
expected <strong>to</strong> commence in the September Quarter 2009<br />
• Construction progress of the on-shore production station<br />
and tank farm is over 70% complete and progressing well<br />
Kupe Gas Project<br />
• <strong>Origin</strong> is the Project Opera<strong>to</strong>r and has a 50% interest<br />
• Gross annual production expected <strong>to</strong> be around 20 PJ of<br />
sales gas <strong>to</strong>gether with over 2 million barrels of<br />
condensate and LPG<br />
Ahuroa Gas S<strong>to</strong>rage Update<br />
• Construction of gas injection facilities completed with<br />
initial injection undertaken in December 2008<br />
• Design of full injection and withdrawal facilities has been<br />
completed<br />
• Project expected <strong>to</strong> be operational in 2010<br />
• Funded by Contact <strong>Energy</strong><br />
21<br />
… a period of major upstream capex is<br />
coming <strong>to</strong> an end
<strong>Origin</strong> has reviewed its exploration program and reduced exposure by<br />
surrendering areas assessed <strong>to</strong> have low prospectivity…<br />
Surrendered Acreage<br />
Owing <strong>to</strong> lack of remaining prospectivity <strong>Origin</strong><br />
surrendered interests in EP 413 (Perth Basin), VIC<br />
P37(V) (Otway Basin) excluding Halladale/Black<br />
Watch, PEP 381201, PEP 38495 (Taranaki Basin<br />
ex Swift), Block L9 (Lamu Basin, Kenya)<br />
22<br />
Kenya<br />
<strong>Origin</strong> surrendered one permit and<br />
renegotiated work program on Block<br />
L8 <strong>to</strong> acquire 300 sq km of 3D seismic<br />
instead of a drilling a well. Farminees<br />
will be sought <strong>to</strong> fund this seismic.<br />
Offshore Canterbury Basin, PEP<br />
38262<br />
<strong>Origin</strong> renegotiated commitments for<br />
PEP 38262 <strong>to</strong> acquire 3D seismic,<br />
instead of drilling a well in this deep<br />
water permit. Acquisition of the 1,145<br />
sq km Waka 3D Seismic Survey over<br />
the Carrack-Caravel prospect has<br />
commenced.<br />
Additional ~$30m will be expensed in the second<br />
half following an opportunity <strong>to</strong> utilise available<br />
seismic capacity in the Canterbury Basin in place<br />
of a well commitment<br />
… and exchanged expensive future drilling commitments for<br />
less costly seismic expenditure in highly prospective areas
Notwithstanding the review of exploration opportunities and<br />
expenditure…<br />
Piwakawaka 2D SS<br />
Waka 3D SS<br />
Carrack/Caravel Leads<br />
Punt 2D SS<br />
An active seismic exploration<br />
program is being undertaken<br />
in New Zealand, including 2D<br />
surveys in the Northland and<br />
Canterbury basins, and a<br />
large 3D survey over the<br />
prospective Carrack and<br />
Caravel prospects and is close<br />
<strong>to</strong> completion<br />
Offshore drilling will<br />
commence in mid 2009, with<br />
two wells in the Bass Basin<br />
(Trefoil appraisal and<br />
Rockhopper exploration) and<br />
will be followed by a further<br />
two wells in the Northland<br />
Basin in New Zealand<br />
23<br />
… <strong>Origin</strong> has a number of significant exploration<br />
opportunities which will be drilled over the coming year
HY2009: Record Production, Sales and Revenue reflect contributions<br />
from new assets…<br />
Total Revenue & EBITDAF ($m)<br />
400<br />
350<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
Dec-08<br />
Dec-07<br />
400<br />
350<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
CAPEX ($m)<br />
• EBITDAF of $175m up 32% with increased<br />
production from Otway Gas Project, Taranaki<br />
assets and CSG partially offset by lower<br />
production from BassGas and dilution of CSG<br />
interests from the APLNG transaction<br />
• Falling oil prices and increased spreads on<br />
condensate relative <strong>to</strong> oil impacted liquids<br />
revenues<br />
• APLNG transaction completed establishing 50:50<br />
CSG <strong>to</strong> LNG joint venture with ConocoPhillips<br />
• APLNG appraisal activities increased CSG reserves<br />
by over 750 PJ 2P and almost 1,000 PJ 3P (1)<br />
• Kupe Gas Project on schedule <strong>to</strong> commence<br />
commercial operations in Sept Quarter 2009<br />
0<br />
Revenue EBITDAF Capex *<br />
* Does not include acquisitions<br />
0<br />
• Exploration commitments reviewed increasing<br />
short term 3D seismic commitments <strong>to</strong> replace<br />
more onerous long-term well commitments<br />
24<br />
… which more than offset the impact of maturing assets<br />
and the impact of the APLNG transaction on CSG interests<br />
(1) Against APLNG’s last published CSG reserves position as at 30 June 2008. <strong>Origin</strong> has a 50% interest in APLNG
Generation
Major developments and acquisitions are significantly increasing<br />
<strong>Origin</strong>’s generation capacity…<br />
<strong>Origin</strong>’s Generation Capacity<br />
Operating Capacity 1,464 MW<br />
Under Construction 1,336 MW<br />
• Largest owner and developer of gas fired<br />
electricity generation in Australia<br />
• Investing over $1.5 billion in generation,<br />
doubling capacity <strong>to</strong> 2,800MW by 2010, at a<br />
time of increasing price volatility and rising<br />
forward prices<br />
• Fleet of gas-fired power stations represents<br />
a flexible portfolio with a lower emissions<br />
intensity than the NEM, that is well placed<br />
<strong>to</strong> benefit in a carbon constrained<br />
environment<br />
• Renewable energy options across wind,<br />
geothermal and solar are also being<br />
developed in response <strong>to</strong> the demand for<br />
lower carbon intensity generation and<br />
growing mandated renewable energy targets<br />
26<br />
… and providing greater support <strong>to</strong> the Retail business as<br />
price volatility increases and forward prices continue <strong>to</strong> rise
<strong>Origin</strong>’s Electricity Generation Portfolio<br />
<strong>Origin</strong>’s Generation Plants<br />
State<br />
Capacity<br />
(MW)<br />
Operation<br />
Status<br />
Externally Contracted*<br />
Worsley<br />
WA<br />
60<br />
Cogen<br />
Operational<br />
Bulwer Island<br />
QLD<br />
16<br />
Cogen<br />
Operational<br />
Osborne<br />
SA<br />
90<br />
Cogen<br />
Operational<br />
Internally Contracted<br />
Quarantine<br />
SA<br />
216<br />
Peak<br />
Operational<br />
Ladbroke Grove<br />
SA<br />
80<br />
Base/Peak<br />
Operational<br />
Mount Stuart<br />
QLD<br />
288<br />
Peak<br />
Operational<br />
Roma<br />
QLD<br />
74<br />
Peak<br />
Operational<br />
Uranquinty<br />
NSW<br />
640<br />
Peak<br />
Operational<br />
Mount Stuart Expansion<br />
QLD<br />
126<br />
Peak<br />
Under Construction – due 2009<br />
Cullerin Range<br />
NSW<br />
30<br />
Wind<br />
Under Construction – due 2009<br />
Darling Downs<br />
QLD<br />
630<br />
Base<br />
Under Construction – due 2010<br />
Mortlake<br />
VIC<br />
550<br />
Peak<br />
Project Underway – due 2010<br />
Total<br />
2,800<br />
* Capacity represents <strong>Origin</strong>’s 50% equity share<br />
27
<strong>Origin</strong>’s fleet of gas-fired power stations is well placed <strong>to</strong> benefit<br />
in a carbon-constrained environment…<br />
• Addition of Uranquinty and Quarantine expansion<br />
has more than doubled <strong>Origin</strong>’s generation equity<br />
interests <strong>to</strong> 1,465 MW<br />
• <strong>Origin</strong> has committed <strong>to</strong> build an additional 1,340<br />
MW of power generation, further doubling capacity<br />
by the end of 2010<br />
• Low carbon intensity portfolio developed based on<br />
robust economics in the current market<br />
environment<br />
• Opportunity for significant benefits in a carbonconstrained<br />
future and well-placed <strong>to</strong> benefit even<br />
under a low carbon price scenario<br />
• Mt Stuart expansion is on track and due for<br />
completion in late 2009<br />
• Development costs for Spring Gully site have been<br />
written off but development permits retained<br />
• <strong>Origin</strong> will own or have capacity rights by the end<br />
of 2010 <strong>to</strong> almost 3,500 MW, which represents<br />
around 50% of <strong>Origin</strong>’s current peak retail demand<br />
28<br />
Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />
… comprising a flexible portfolio with a lower emissions<br />
intensity than the NEM
<strong>Origin</strong> is doubling the capacity of its generation fleet at a time<br />
when electricity price volatility is increasing…<br />
29<br />
… and higher forward prices provide significant<br />
opportunities<br />
Source: NEMMCO, ICAP & <strong>Origin</strong>
Uranquinty Power Station is now completed and fully operational…<br />
30<br />
All 4 completed Uranquinty PS turbines<br />
Uranquinty Power Station<br />
• 640 MW Peaking Plant (4 x 160 MW OCGT)<br />
• Located near Wagga Wagga, New South Wales<br />
• Completed and fully operational<br />
• Access <strong>to</strong> gas from across the East Coast<br />
• Peaking plant that can be run at higher load<br />
fac<strong>to</strong>rs if required<br />
New unit at Quarantine PS<br />
Quarantine Power Station Expansion<br />
• 120 MW expansion (1 x 120 MW OCGT)<br />
• More than doubles existing capacity of plant <strong>to</strong><br />
216 MW<br />
• Located on Torrens Island, South Australia<br />
• Peaking plant that can be run at higher load<br />
fac<strong>to</strong>rs if required<br />
• Commissioning underway, <strong>to</strong> be<br />
completed in early March 2009<br />
… and the Quarantine Power Station expansion is being<br />
commissioned
Darling Downs Power Station is progressing well…<br />
Darling Downs PS Turbine Building steel erection<br />
Darling Downs Power Station<br />
• 630 MW Base Load plant<br />
• Largest CCGT plant in Australia<br />
• All gas turbines installed<br />
• Commissioning <strong>to</strong> commence in early 2010<br />
• Progressing on time and on budget<br />
Impression of Mortlake PS once constructed<br />
Mortlake Power Station<br />
• 550 MW Peaking plant<br />
• Expected <strong>to</strong> be completed in late 2010<br />
• Designed for conversion <strong>to</strong> CCGT at a later stage<br />
if required<br />
31<br />
… and the development of the Mortlake project has<br />
commenced
<strong>Origin</strong> also continues <strong>to</strong> develop a number of<br />
renewable energy options…<br />
Wind turbine blades being delivered <strong>to</strong> Cullerin Range<br />
Wind<br />
• Construction of the 30 MW wind farm at<br />
Cullerin Range is well progressed with<br />
commissioning expected in mid-2009<br />
• <strong>Origin</strong> has development sites for<br />
another 58 MW and an option over up <strong>to</strong><br />
500 MW of wind farm development sites<br />
from Epuron<br />
Drilling floor of Geodynamics’ Rig 100 pre-spud<br />
Source: Geodynamics<br />
Geothermal<br />
• Geodynamics’ Proof of Concept closed loop testing is<br />
underway with commissioning of the 1 MW pilot plant<br />
expected in March 2009<br />
Solar<br />
• SLIVER pho<strong>to</strong>voltaic development provides long-term<br />
solar opportunity and work <strong>to</strong> commercialise<br />
technology continues<br />
32<br />
… in response <strong>to</strong> the demand for lower carbon intensity<br />
generation and growing mandated renewable energy targets
HY2009: EBITDAF was lower primarily due <strong>to</strong> the Worsley plant<br />
outage…<br />
Total Revenue & EBITDAF ($m)<br />
50<br />
45<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
Dec-08<br />
Dec-07<br />
Revenue EBITDAF Capex *<br />
600<br />
540<br />
480<br />
420<br />
360<br />
300<br />
240<br />
180<br />
120<br />
60<br />
0<br />
CAPEX ($m)<br />
• EBITDAF was $21 million, $11 million lower<br />
than the prior half year<br />
• The Worsley cogeneration plant in WA had<br />
an extended outage after a power turbine<br />
failure in mid August. Insurance claims will<br />
be pursued in relation <strong>to</strong> this outage<br />
• Significant progress made on ongoing<br />
developments – Uranquinty completed and<br />
online and Quarantine expansion being<br />
commissioned, while Mt Stuart expansion,<br />
Darling Downs CCGT, Cullerin Range wind<br />
farm and Mortlake projects all progressed <strong>to</strong><br />
schedule<br />
• Commitment <strong>to</strong> Mortlake OCGT announced in<br />
July and development of project has<br />
commenced<br />
* Does not include acquisitions<br />
33<br />
… while the acquisition of Uranquinty and ongoing major<br />
generation developments are significantly increasing<br />
<strong>Origin</strong>’s generation capacity <strong>to</strong> support the retail business
Retail
<strong>Origin</strong> is a leading wholesaler and retailer of energy in Australia<br />
with around 3 million cus<strong>to</strong>mers providing significant scale and<br />
geographic diversity…<br />
<strong>Origin</strong>’s <strong>Energy</strong> Sales<br />
Electricity Cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />
Gas Cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />
LPG Cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />
Sales Volume<br />
1.74 m<br />
0.88 m<br />
0.34 m<br />
350 PJe<br />
• Around 3 million cus<strong>to</strong>mers across Australia<br />
• Margins maintained despite high levels of<br />
churn and increasing wholesale electricity<br />
prices<br />
• Integrated risk management strategy <strong>to</strong><br />
manage energy price volatility<br />
• Clear market leader in green energy products<br />
with 35% share of national GreenPower TM<br />
cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />
• Systems transformation <strong>to</strong> improve<br />
competitiveness and improve service <strong>to</strong><br />
cus<strong>to</strong>mers is underway<br />
35<br />
… and a channel <strong>to</strong> market for its Generation and<br />
Exploration & Production businesses
<strong>Origin</strong> has been able <strong>to</strong> increase its energy retailing margins<br />
through building scale and effectively managing tariffs, churn,<br />
cost <strong>to</strong> serve and risk…<br />
• With around 3 million cus<strong>to</strong>mers,<br />
<strong>Origin</strong> is able <strong>to</strong> achieve significant<br />
scale advantages<br />
• <strong>Origin</strong> has worked with governments<br />
on tariff regulation and managed the<br />
implementation of tariff paths in<br />
each of its key markets<br />
• Vic<strong>to</strong>ria no longer has a maximum<br />
tariff regime and other states are<br />
expected <strong>to</strong> follow its lead in the<br />
future<br />
• Integrated strategy and risk<br />
management processes have<br />
effectively managed the company’s<br />
exposure <strong>to</strong> the volatile wholesale gas<br />
and electricity markets<br />
36<br />
Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />
Note: From 2006 onwards figures exclude changes in fair value of financial<br />
instruments and Sun Retail one-off integration costs.<br />
… with Retail margins for the full financial year <strong>to</strong> June 09<br />
expected <strong>to</strong> be in line with last year
Even after higher wholesale prices moderated churn rates from<br />
their peaks in 2007, churn still remains high in most segments…<br />
December 2008 <strong>Origin</strong> Cus<strong>to</strong>mer Numbers (1)<br />
(000’s)<br />
Natural<br />
Gas<br />
Electricity<br />
Total<br />
Jun 2008<br />
880<br />
1,729<br />
2,609<br />
Change<br />
-2<br />
+7<br />
+4<br />
Dec 2008<br />
878<br />
1,735<br />
2,613<br />
Source: Various websites including VENCorp,<br />
NEMMCO, Gasmarketco & Company Information<br />
… with <strong>Origin</strong> acquiring over 238,000 cus<strong>to</strong>mers <strong>to</strong><br />
maintain current levels over the last 6 months<br />
37<br />
(1) Based on the adjusted cus<strong>to</strong>mer number opening balance. Refer<br />
<strong>to</strong> Half-Year Results announcement for further details.
Electricity markets continue <strong>to</strong> be volatile, whilst the forward<br />
curve continues <strong>to</strong> signal increasing wholesale prices<br />
Source: NEMMCO, ICAP & <strong>Origin</strong><br />
38
HY2009: EBITDAF grew by $99 million <strong>to</strong> $300 million. Higher gas<br />
and electricity revenues were realised following tariff increases in<br />
the prior period leading <strong>to</strong> a very strong first half…<br />
Total Revenue ($m)<br />
3,500<br />
3,000<br />
2,500<br />
2,000<br />
1,500<br />
1,000<br />
Dec-08<br />
Dec-07<br />
350<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
EBITDAF & CAPEX ($m)<br />
• EBITDAF grew by $99 million or 49% from $201<br />
million <strong>to</strong> $300 million<br />
• Cost <strong>to</strong> serve increased on higher corporate<br />
allocations, higher costs in dealing with<br />
cus<strong>to</strong>mers experiencing payment difficulties,<br />
and systems upgrade and implementation<br />
costs<br />
• Churn remained high in Vic<strong>to</strong>ria and<br />
decreased in most other markets. Cus<strong>to</strong>mer<br />
accounts (after adjustments) remained stable<br />
and <strong>Origin</strong> retained clear market leadership in<br />
Green <strong>Energy</strong> products<br />
500<br />
0<br />
Revenue EBITDAF Capex*<br />
50<br />
0<br />
• Systems and process transformation and backoffice<br />
outsourcing projects were initiated -<br />
with Wipro selected as <strong>Origin</strong>’s key<br />
transformation partner<br />
* Does not include acquisitions<br />
39<br />
… while the second half will see lower contributions due <strong>to</strong><br />
higher expected wholesale energy costs
Contact <strong>Energy</strong>
Contact is New Zealand’s leading fuel integrated energy company…<br />
• 650,000 gas, electricity and LPG cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />
• 28% of New Zealand’s generation capacity<br />
• Mix of renewable and lower emissions<br />
generation – 15% geothermal, 35% hydro and<br />
50% natural gas<br />
• 27% share of retail electricity market<br />
• 36% share of gas retail market<br />
• 50% share of LPG market<br />
… and has world-class renewable energy generation experience<br />
41
Contact has a number of projects committed for development with<br />
substantial additional opportunities, particularly in geothermal generation<br />
• Gas-fired peaking plant<br />
Construction of 200 MW of peaking capacity at<br />
Stratford, Taranaki well advanced. Operational in<br />
2010<br />
• Gas s<strong>to</strong>rage<br />
First stage under way, injection of gas commenced<br />
in late December 2008<br />
Key injection and deliverability parameters defined:<br />
detailed design under way<br />
S<strong>to</strong>rage facility expected <strong>to</strong> be in operation in 2010<br />
• Geothermal: 500 MW of new geothermal generation<br />
in various stages of development<br />
Phase 1 of the Tauhara project (23 MW) -<br />
construction progressing well<br />
220 MW Te Mihi project – FEED complete.<br />
Negotiations with contrac<strong>to</strong>rs well advanced<br />
Consent for Phase 2 of the Tauhara project (240<br />
MW) expected <strong>to</strong> be lodged during FY09<br />
• Wind: 540 MW located on the Waika<strong>to</strong> coastline<br />
Consent hearing during FY09<br />
Longer term development option<br />
42
Contact has implemented a number of capital raising initiatives <strong>to</strong><br />
fund these opportunities and maintain a strong financial position<br />
• Net debt as at 31 December 2008 was $1,031m<br />
NZD equivalent of borrowings, net of FX hedging and short-term deposits<br />
26% higher than as at 31 December 2007 ($821m)<br />
Net debt <strong>to</strong> net debt plus equity was 26%<br />
• Extending and adding <strong>to</strong> bank credit facilities<br />
As at 31 December 2008 Contact’s evergreen committed credit facilities <strong>to</strong>talled $585m<br />
With available capacity of ~$300m<br />
Currently executing extensions <strong>to</strong> existing credit facilities<br />
And adding new facilities<br />
• Retail bond issuance<br />
First time <strong>to</strong> NZ market<br />
Opportunity <strong>to</strong> increase funding diversity<br />
• Implementing a Profit Distribution Plan<br />
Shareholders receive distributions in the form of non-taxable bonus share issues<br />
Option <strong>to</strong> have those shares bought back by Contact for cash<br />
Allows shareholders wishing <strong>to</strong> receive cash the ability <strong>to</strong> do so<br />
Retains cash <strong>to</strong> support strategic initiatives<br />
43
Total Revenue ($m)<br />
HY2009: While earnings were significantly reduced due <strong>to</strong> the<br />
combined impact of weather conditions and transmission constraints…<br />
44<br />
3000<br />
2500<br />
2000<br />
1500<br />
1000<br />
500<br />
0<br />
Revenue EBITDAF<br />
* Does not include acquisitions<br />
Dec-08<br />
Dec-07<br />
Capex*<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
EBITDAF & CAPEX ($m)<br />
• EBITDAF was $190m, 24% lower than the prior half<br />
year primarily due <strong>to</strong> an unusual combination of<br />
weather events and transmission constraints<br />
between the North and South Islands which<br />
adversely impacted wholesale costs and generation<br />
revenue<br />
• While this particular combination of conditions is<br />
unlikely <strong>to</strong> be repeated in the short term, and some<br />
elements of the transmission constraints will most<br />
likely be resolved in the September Quarter 2009,<br />
the reduction in inter-island transmission capacity<br />
adds new risk exposures <strong>to</strong> Contact’s earnings<br />
• Contact has implemented a series of strategies <strong>to</strong><br />
help mitigate future transmission risks<br />
September 2008 South Island tariff adjustments<br />
Deconstraining transmission out of the lower<br />
South Island<br />
Procurement advisory group for HVDC pole 3,<br />
which is expected <strong>to</strong> be in operation in 2012<br />
… Contact has put in place a number of mitigating measures<br />
and the outlook for growth of generation remains strong
Outlook
46<br />
The second half of the financial year is expected <strong>to</strong> be more<br />
challenging than the first half<br />
• Lower margins in the Retail business due <strong>to</strong> higher wholesale<br />
electricity costs, although margins for the full year are expected <strong>to</strong> be<br />
consistent with the prior year<br />
• Future well commitments replaced by less expensive seismic<br />
exploration, which will be expensed in the second half<br />
• Lower average prices for oil and condensate<br />
Compared <strong>to</strong> the prior year<br />
• Adverse hydrology conditions and transmission constraints in New<br />
Zealand have reduced Contact’s earnings<br />
Compared <strong>to</strong> prior expectations<br />
• Lower interest rates will reduce the earnings uplift of the substantial<br />
cash that <strong>Origin</strong> has on deposit<br />
Based on these fac<strong>to</strong>rs and current market conditions<br />
Underlying Profit for the full year is expected <strong>to</strong> be up<br />
20% <strong>to</strong> 25% compared with the prior year
47<br />
<strong>Origin</strong> will continue <strong>to</strong> progress the development of several<br />
major projects which are expected <strong>to</strong> make contributions<br />
following the end of the current financial year…<br />
• Construction of the 30 MW Cullerin Range wind farm in New South Wales which is due for<br />
completion in mid 2009<br />
• The Kupe Gas Project in New Zealand which is targeting <strong>to</strong> commence commercial<br />
operations in the September Quarter 2009<br />
• The 126 MW expansion of the Mt Stuart power station in Queensland which is due for<br />
completion in late 2009<br />
• Completion of the 630 MW combined cycle base load gas fired Darling Downs power station<br />
in Queensland which is expected <strong>to</strong> commence commissioning in early 2010<br />
• Development of the 550 MW gas fired peaking power station at Mortlake in Vic<strong>to</strong>ria due for<br />
completion in late 2010<br />
• Continued development of CSG operations with current production expected <strong>to</strong> more than<br />
double and reach over 100 PJ per annum by 2011<br />
• Projects under development by Contact include the 200 MW Stratford peaking power<br />
station, the Ahuroa gas s<strong>to</strong>rage facility and a number of geothermal projects<br />
• Full year effect of substantial cash balance<br />
… which will drive near term growth in earnings
<strong>Origin</strong>’s strategy as a fuel-integrated genera<strong>to</strong>r retailer will<br />
continue <strong>to</strong> create opportunities for the existing business and<br />
APLNG creates a major opportunity for growth by establishing a<br />
new export channel <strong>to</strong> market<br />
48<br />
Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />
Note: Excluding Contact<br />
Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />
With access <strong>to</strong> $6.4 billion of cash and undrawn debt<br />
facilities, <strong>Origin</strong> is well placed <strong>to</strong> fund these and other<br />
opportunities <strong>to</strong> grow and develop the business
<strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong> <strong>Strength</strong> <strong>Provides</strong><br />
<strong>Opportunities</strong> <strong>to</strong> Grow & Develop<br />
Citi’s Australian & New Zealand<br />
6 th Annual Investment Conference London<br />
9 March 2009
Further Information<br />
Inves<strong>to</strong>rs<br />
Angus Guthrie<br />
Manager, Inves<strong>to</strong>r Relations<br />
Email: angus.guthrie@originenergy.com.au<br />
Office: +61-2-8345 5558<br />
Mobile: +61-4-1786 4255<br />
Website<br />
www.originenergy.com.au<br />
Other recent presentations include:<br />
• Half Year Results<br />
http://www.originenergy.com.au/files/PresentationAnalysts.pdf<br />
• ConocoPhillips Transaction<br />
http://www.originenergy.com.au/files/<strong>Origin</strong>_ConocoPhillips_Presentation.pdf<br />
50
Appendix
Profit & Loss - Statu<strong>to</strong>ry<br />
($ million)<br />
Dec 08 Dec 07 Change<br />
Revenue<br />
4,216 3,817 10%<br />
EBITDAF (1) 686 614 12%<br />
EBIT<br />
7,590 634 1098%<br />
Net financing costs (2) (95) (104) (9)%<br />
Tax expense<br />
(676) (146) 363%<br />
Minority Interests<br />
(16) (49) (68)%<br />
NPAT – Statu<strong>to</strong>ry<br />
6,663 335 1891%<br />
EPS – Statu<strong>to</strong>ry<br />
761.0 cps 38.3 cps 1887%<br />
Free cash flow per share (3) 24.7 cps 29.6 cps (17)%<br />
• Statu<strong>to</strong>ry Profit dominated by the gain arising from the APLNG transaction<br />
52<br />
(1) Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation, financial instruments and significant items. Includes 50% EBITDAF<br />
contribution of APLNG from 29 Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008. EBITDAF for 2007 is revised <strong>to</strong> only recognise EBITDAF contribution from equity<br />
accounted investees<br />
(2) Excluding capitalised interest<br />
(3) Free cash flow is defined here as cash available <strong>to</strong> fund distributions <strong>to</strong> shareholders and growth capital expenditure. It<br />
includes deductions for stay-in-business capital expenditure, interest and tax
Profit & Loss - Underlying<br />
($ million)<br />
Dec 08<br />
Dec 07<br />
Change<br />
Statu<strong>to</strong>ry NPAT<br />
6,663<br />
335<br />
1891%<br />
Significant items<br />
Changes in fair value of financial instruments<br />
(102)<br />
Impairment of assets<br />
(217)<br />
Net Impact of APLNG Transaction<br />
6,706<br />
Total significant items<br />
6,386<br />
(134)<br />
Underlying NPAT<br />
277<br />
200<br />
38%<br />
Underlying EPS (cents)<br />
31.6<br />
22.9<br />
38%<br />
• Underlying NPAT and EPS are both up by 38%<br />
53
Movements in fair value of financial instruments<br />
Reconciliation of <strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong> and Income Statement items associated<br />
with financial instruments movements<br />
($ million)<br />
Change in net assets<br />
Recognised in the <strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong><br />
Recognised in the Equity Hedge Reserve (post tax)<br />
Recognised in Deferred Tax Liability<br />
Recognised in the Income Statement<br />
(165)<br />
(77)<br />
Dec 08<br />
• The fair value of financial instruments has declined over the period by $420 million.<br />
This has been driven by a decrease in forward electricity prices, the sharp decline<br />
in interest yield curves and the depreciation of the AUD and NZD against the USD<br />
• The expense recognised in the Income Statement reflects electricity price caps and<br />
certain interest rate swaps that, whilst they are valid economic hedges, do not<br />
qualify for hedge accounting<br />
• The $178 million (Contact $65 million) recognised before tax in the Income<br />
Statement amounts <strong>to</strong> $102 million after tax and elimination of minority interests<br />
(420)<br />
(242)<br />
(178)<br />
54
A review of the carrying value of assets has led <strong>to</strong> asset impairments<br />
including producing assets impacted by the decline in oil price…<br />
Assets<br />
Cooper Basin Assets<br />
BassGas Assets<br />
Perth Basin Assets<br />
Heytesbury Gas S<strong>to</strong>rage<br />
Existing Retail Systems<br />
SLIVER Solar technology assets<br />
Spring Gully Power Plant<br />
Total<br />
Impairment ($ million)<br />
Pre-tax Post-tax<br />
71<br />
50<br />
66<br />
46<br />
16<br />
11<br />
20<br />
14<br />
78<br />
55<br />
53<br />
37<br />
7<br />
5<br />
310<br />
217<br />
… retail systems <strong>to</strong> be retired following selection of Wipro <strong>to</strong><br />
lead the Retail systems transformation process, and his<strong>to</strong>rical<br />
R&D investments in SLIVER technology<br />
55
<strong>Origin</strong> will use the equity accounting method for its<br />
investment in APLNG<br />
The equity accounting treatment <strong>to</strong> be used on the Income Statement in relation <strong>to</strong><br />
APLNG will include:<br />
• The EBITDAF contribution of 50% interest in APLNG recorded at the EBITDAF line<br />
on consolidation within the Exploration and Production segment<br />
• Depreciation, amortisation, interest, tax and changes in fair value of financial<br />
instruments recorded as a single line item called “Share of interest, tax,<br />
depreciation, amortisation and financial instruments of equity accounted<br />
investees” between EBITDAF and EBIT<br />
• <strong>Origin</strong>’s share of NPAT from APLNG therefore recognised at the EBIT line<br />
• <strong>Origin</strong>’s 50% interest in the net assets of the APLNG joint venture is equity<br />
accounted on <strong>Origin</strong>’s consolidated balance sheet<br />
For consistency <strong>Origin</strong> has adopted this treatment for all its equity accounted<br />
investments<br />
56
APLNG <strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong><br />
($ billion) Dec 08<br />
Receivables from Shareholders<br />
Other current assets<br />
Current Assets 1.0<br />
Receivables from Shareholders<br />
7.9<br />
Property, plant & equipment (1) 1.0<br />
Other non-current assets<br />
Non-Current Assets<br />
Total Assets<br />
Total Liabilities<br />
Net Assets<br />
<strong>Origin</strong>’s 50% Share of Net Assets<br />
(1) Including exploration and development expenditure<br />
0.8<br />
0.2<br />
0.2<br />
9.1<br />
10.2<br />
(0.2)<br />
10.0<br />
5.0<br />
• APLNG’s <strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong> primarily comprises receivables from its shareholders<br />
• PP&E is carried at his<strong>to</strong>rical cost<br />
• Receivables from shareholders represent interest free payable from <strong>Origin</strong> and future<br />
funding and cash calls from ConocoPhillips by way of calls on partly paid shares<br />
• <strong>Origin</strong> has recorded a one line asset on its <strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong> “Investments accounted for<br />
using the equity method” of $5.0 billion at 31 December 2008 <strong>to</strong> account for <strong>Origin</strong>’s<br />
50% interest in the net assets of APLNG<br />
57
Gain on APLNG transaction<br />
($billion)<br />
Dec 08<br />
Pre-Completion<br />
Increase in cash<br />
6.9<br />
-<br />
50% equity accounted investment in APLNG<br />
5.0<br />
-<br />
Discounted payable <strong>to</strong> APLNG<br />
(3.3)<br />
1.7<br />
-<br />
Consolidation of APLNG (formerly known as OECSG)<br />
-<br />
1.0<br />
Tax payable on transaction<br />
(0.8)<br />
Total<br />
7.8<br />
1.0<br />
Movement in <strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong><br />
6.8<br />
Transaction Costs<br />
(0.1)<br />
Gain on APLNG Transaction<br />
6.7<br />
• <strong>Origin</strong> received $6.9 billion in cash from APLNG by way of capital return ($2.8<br />
billion), repayment of intercompany loan ($0.5 billion) and payable associated<br />
with future expected APLNG cash calls ($3.6 billion)<br />
• <strong>Origin</strong>’s investment in APLNG ($5.0 billion), offset by its payable <strong>to</strong> APLNG ($3.3<br />
billion) is $1.7 billion. This equates <strong>to</strong> 50% of APLNG’s PP&E, reflected at his<strong>to</strong>rical<br />
cost of $0.5 billion, and the benefit of the carry <strong>to</strong> FID of $1.15 billion<br />
• ConocoPhillips will also invest a further US$500 million at the point that each of<br />
the 4 LNG trains is approved <strong>to</strong> partly carry <strong>Origin</strong>’s share of costs, which is not<br />
58<br />
included in the above calculation
APLNG transaction has transformed <strong>Origin</strong>’s <strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong><br />
($ billion)<br />
Cash<br />
Other Current Assets<br />
Total Current Assets<br />
Investment in Equity Accounted Investees<br />
Other Non-Current Assets<br />
Total Non-Current Assets<br />
Tax Payable<br />
Other Current Liabilities<br />
Total Current Liabilities<br />
Payable <strong>to</strong> APLNG<br />
Other Non-Current Liabilities<br />
Total Non-Current Liabilities<br />
Net Assets<br />
Dec 08<br />
4.1<br />
2.1<br />
6.2<br />
5.0<br />
10.8<br />
15.8<br />
(0.9)<br />
(1.7)<br />
(2.6)<br />
(3.3)<br />
(4.8)<br />
(8.1)<br />
11.3<br />
Jun 08<br />
0.1<br />
2.4<br />
2.5<br />
-<br />
10.0<br />
10.0<br />
(0.1)<br />
(2.3)<br />
(2.4)<br />
-<br />
(5.0)<br />
(5.0)<br />
5.2<br />
• Net asset movement from June 08 primarily relates <strong>to</strong> statu<strong>to</strong>ry profit for<br />
the period (+$6.7b), dividends paid (-$0.4b) and share buyback (-$0.2b)<br />
59
APLNG transaction has provided <strong>Origin</strong> with<br />
substantial funding capacity…<br />
As at 31 December 2008<br />
(1) (2)<br />
(1)<br />
Adjusted<br />
Gross Debt<br />
Cash<br />
Undrawn<br />
Committed<br />
Debt Facilities<br />
Available<br />
Funding<br />
Capacity<br />
60<br />
Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />
… with cash and undrawn committed debt facilities of $6.4 billion<br />
(1) Net Cash/(Debt) excluding mark <strong>to</strong> market adjustments on debt<br />
(2) Uranquinty acquisition includes debt assumed on acquisition<br />
Note: All amounts exclude Contact <strong>Energy</strong>
EBITDAF of $686m is up 12% primarily due <strong>to</strong> growth in the<br />
Retail and Exploration & Production segments<br />
Segments ($ million)<br />
Dec 08<br />
Dec 07<br />
Change<br />
Exploration & Production<br />
175<br />
133<br />
32%<br />
Generation<br />
21<br />
33<br />
(34)%<br />
Retail<br />
300<br />
201<br />
49%<br />
Contact<br />
190<br />
248<br />
(24)%<br />
Total<br />
686<br />
614<br />
12%<br />
Note: Corporate costs of $51m have been allocated <strong>to</strong> the Australian segments ($30m December 2007)<br />
• EBITDAF: now includes the EBITDAF contribution from equity accounted investees. The<br />
segments results for the Dec 07 half have been restated on this basis<br />
• E&P: Increased production and higher oil prices, lower average unit operating costs<br />
• Generation: Mainly relates <strong>to</strong> Worsley plant outage in Western Australia<br />
• Retail: Tariff increases for electricity and gas cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />
• Contact: Hydrology impacts and transmission constraints<br />
61
Depreciation & Amortisation<br />
($ million)<br />
Dec 08<br />
Generation property, plant and equipment<br />
59 65<br />
Non-generation property, plant and equipment<br />
79 62<br />
Amortisation in producing areas (1) 50 42<br />
Other<br />
1 2<br />
Total<br />
• Higher depreciation and amortisation resulting from:<br />
Otway Gas Project included in current half<br />
Increased Cooper production<br />
Dec 07<br />
189 171<br />
62<br />
(1) Amortisation of exploration and evaluation costs in producing areas
63<br />
Interest<br />
($ million) Dec 08 Dec 07<br />
Interest revenue<br />
55 6<br />
Net Financing costs 95 104<br />
Unwinding of discount on provisions (13) (7)<br />
Unwinding of discounted liability payable <strong>to</strong> APLNG (35)<br />
-<br />
Net interest cover (Underlying EBIT) (2) 5x 4x<br />
Net interest expense 48 97<br />
Capitalised interest 60 24<br />
Net interest expense + capitalised interest 108 121<br />
Net interest cover (EBIT) (1) 71x 5x<br />
Weighted average interest rate on borrowings 7.5% 7.8%<br />
• <strong>Origin</strong>’s average interest rate on drawn debt as at December includes Contact’s debt<br />
and comprises an average of Australian dollar, NZ dollar and US dollar debt<br />
• Approximately 60% of <strong>Origin</strong>’s and Contact’s debt obligations are hedged over the six<br />
months <strong>to</strong> June 2009 at an average rate of 6.8% including funding margin. These hedging<br />
arrangements roll off over the next 5 years<br />
• <strong>Origin</strong>’s cash balance has been invested with the major domestic banks<br />
(1) Including capitalised interest and excluding unwinding of discount on provisions and liability<br />
payable and fair value of interest related financial instruments<br />
(2) As above based on EBIT excluding Significant Items
Tax Reconciliation<br />
($ million)<br />
Profit before tax<br />
Prima facie tax<br />
less non-assessable gain on APLNG transaction<br />
less recognition of change in net loss position<br />
less share of net profit after tax of associates<br />
less other<br />
equals Tax expense<br />
Statu<strong>to</strong>ry effective tax rate<br />
Tax paid<br />
Dec 08<br />
7,355<br />
2,207<br />
(1,501)<br />
(14)<br />
(14)<br />
(2)<br />
676<br />
9.2%<br />
138<br />
Dec 07<br />
530<br />
163<br />
-<br />
(2)<br />
(1)<br />
(14)<br />
146<br />
27.5%<br />
83<br />
• The underlying effective tax rate is 25.9% (compared <strong>to</strong> 24.9% in 2007)<br />
• The accounting gain from the recognition of <strong>Origin</strong>’s share of the increased net<br />
assets of APLNG as a result of the investment by ConocoPhillips in APLNG is not<br />
subject <strong>to</strong> tax<br />
64
Capital Expenditure<br />
($ million)<br />
Stay-in-business<br />
Growth<br />
Exploration & Production<br />
Retail<br />
Generation<br />
Contact<br />
Total capital expenditure<br />
Acquisitions (net of cash)<br />
Capex including acquisitions<br />
Dec 08<br />
115<br />
286<br />
59<br />
556<br />
129<br />
1,144<br />
131<br />
1,275<br />
Dec 07<br />
70<br />
305<br />
38<br />
240<br />
56<br />
708<br />
6<br />
714<br />
• Growth capex has risen with the spend on several Generation projects, CSG (precompletion<br />
of the APLNG transaction), Kupe and power station and geothermal<br />
spending by Contact<br />
• Acquisitions predominantly reflects the net consideration for Uranquinty which<br />
was acquired in July 2008 for a fully constructed enterprise value of $700 million<br />
(net $126 million cash paid on acquisition, future capital expenditure, of which<br />
$123 million was spent this half, and assumption of existing debt facilities and<br />
obligations)<br />
65
Operating Cash Flow<br />
($ million)<br />
EBITDAF<br />
Equity Accounted Investees (EBITDAF less dividends)<br />
Exploration Write-Off<br />
Change in working capital<br />
Stay-in-business capex (1)<br />
Other<br />
Tax paid<br />
OCAT<br />
Net interest paid<br />
Free cash flow<br />
Funds Employed (excluding CAPWIP) (2) - Calendar Year<br />
OCAT Ratio (excluding CAPWIP) (3) – Calendar Year<br />
Dec 08<br />
686<br />
(14)<br />
4<br />
(51)<br />
(115)<br />
(29)<br />
(117)<br />
363<br />
(147)<br />
216<br />
6,675<br />
11.8%<br />
Dec 07<br />
614<br />
(9)<br />
16<br />
(61)<br />
(70)<br />
(23)<br />
(83)<br />
385<br />
(126)<br />
259<br />
6,473<br />
11.8%<br />
66<br />
(1) Net of book value of assets sold<br />
(2) Funds employed are averaged over the calendar year and excludes CAPWIP. APLNG is not included in this calculation<br />
(3) OCAT Ratio = (OCAT – interest tax shield) / average funds employed excluding CAPWIP. APLNG is not included in this calculation
Segment Cash Flow & Cash Flow Returns<br />
Operating Av. Funds OCFR (%) (2)<br />
Cash flow (2) Employed (3)<br />
($m) ($m)<br />
Dec 08 Dec 07<br />
Exploration & Production (1) 305 1,267 24.0 22.9<br />
Generation<br />
37<br />
294 12.7 30.3<br />
Retail<br />
369 2,402 15.4 9.2<br />
Contact <strong>Energy</strong><br />
319 3,444 9.3 11.2<br />
• E&P: Increased operating cash flows following record production and sales<br />
• Generation: Reduced operating cash flow, primarily due <strong>to</strong> Worsley plant outage<br />
• Retail: Higher operating cash flows and margins, primarily due <strong>to</strong> tariff<br />
increases for electricity and gas cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />
• Contact: Reduced operating cash flow primarily due <strong>to</strong> the impact of hydrology<br />
conditions in the South Island combined with transmission constraints between<br />
the North and South Islands<br />
67<br />
(1) Segment calculations for E&P do not include APLNG<br />
(2) Calculated on a calendar year basis<br />
(3) Excluding CAPWIP