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<strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong> <strong>Strength</strong> <strong>Provides</strong><br />

<strong>Opportunities</strong> <strong>to</strong> Grow & Develop<br />

Citi’s Australian & New Zealand<br />

6 th Annual Investment Conference London<br />

9 March 2009


2<br />

Important Notice<br />

This presentation does not constitute investment advice, or an inducement or recommendation <strong>to</strong> acquire or dispose of any<br />

securities in <strong>Origin</strong>, in any jurisdiction (including the USA). This presentation is for information purposes only, is in a<br />

summary form, and does not purport <strong>to</strong> be complete. This presentation does not take in<strong>to</strong> account the investment<br />

objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any inves<strong>to</strong>r, potential inves<strong>to</strong>r or any other person. No investment<br />

decision should be made in reliance on this presentation. Independent financial and taxation advice should be sought before<br />

making any investment decision.<br />

Certain statements in this presentation are in the nature of forward looking statements, including statements of current<br />

intention, statements of opinion and predictions as <strong>to</strong> possible future events. Such statements are not statements of fact<br />

and there can be no certainty of outcome in relation <strong>to</strong> the matters <strong>to</strong> which the statements relate. These forward looking<br />

statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other important fac<strong>to</strong>rs that could cause the<br />

actual outcomes <strong>to</strong> be materially different from the events or results expressed or implied by such statements. Those risks,<br />

uncertainties, assumptions and other important fac<strong>to</strong>rs are not all within the control of <strong>Origin</strong> and cannot be predicted by<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> and include changes in circumstances or events that may cause objectives <strong>to</strong> change as well as risks, circumstances<br />

and events specific <strong>to</strong> the industry, countries and markets in which <strong>Origin</strong> and its related bodies corporate, joint ventures<br />

and associated undertakings operate. They also include general economic conditions, exchange rates, interest rates, the<br />

regula<strong>to</strong>ry environment, competitive pressures, selling price, market demand and conditions in the financial markets which<br />

may cause objectives <strong>to</strong> change or may cause outcomes not <strong>to</strong> be realised. None of <strong>Origin</strong> or any of its respective<br />

subsidiaries, affiliates and associated companies (or any of their respective officers, employees or agents) (the "Relevant<br />

Persons") makes any representation, assurance or guarantee as <strong>to</strong> the accuracy or likelihood of fulfilment of any forward<br />

looking statement or any outcomes expressed or implied in any forward looking statements. In addition, statements about<br />

past performance are not necessarily indicative of future performance. The forward looking statements in this presentation<br />

reflect views held only at the date of this presentation. Subject <strong>to</strong> any continuing obligations under law or the ASX Listing<br />

Rules, <strong>Origin</strong> and the Relevant Persons disclaim any obligation or undertaking <strong>to</strong> disseminate after the date of this<br />

presentation any updates or revisions <strong>to</strong> any forward looking statements <strong>to</strong> reflect any change in expectations in relation <strong>to</strong><br />

any forward looking statements or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which such statements are based.<br />

No representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be made in relation <strong>to</strong> the accuracy or completeness of the<br />

information in this presentation and no responsibility or liability is or will be accepted by <strong>Origin</strong> or any of the Relevant<br />

Persons in relation <strong>to</strong> it. In particular, <strong>Origin</strong> does not endorse, and is not responsible for, the accuracy or reliability of any<br />

information in this presentation relating <strong>to</strong> a third party.<br />

All references <strong>to</strong> "$" are references <strong>to</strong> Australian dollars unless otherwise specified.<br />

A reference <strong>to</strong> Contact is a reference <strong>to</strong> Contact <strong>Energy</strong> of New Zealand, a 51.3% subsidiary of <strong>Origin</strong>.


Outline<br />

• Company Strategy<br />

• Strategy Implementation<br />

• Appendix<br />

3


Company Strategy


<strong>Origin</strong> operates in the domestic energy markets in Australia and<br />

New Zealand. Growth in demand in these markets for<br />

electricity, natural gas and LPG has averaged around 4% per<br />

annum since the 1980s even through times of recession<br />

5<br />

Source: ABARE, Access Economics<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>’s share of Eastern Australian end use energy<br />

markets has grown from 10% in 2000 <strong>to</strong> around 15% and<br />

the Company is well placed <strong>to</strong> continue <strong>to</strong> increase its<br />

market share in a steadily growing market


<strong>Origin</strong>’s strategy of being a fuel integrated genera<strong>to</strong>r retailer<br />

is designed <strong>to</strong>…<br />

Fuel Genera<strong>to</strong>r Retailer<br />

A leading producer of gas in<br />

Eastern Australia involved in the<br />

development of Australia’s<br />

largest CSG <strong>to</strong> LNG project<br />

Extensive portfolio of both CSG<br />

and conventional gas & oil<br />

Largest owner and developer of<br />

gas fired electricity generation<br />

in Australia<br />

Investing over $1.5 billion in<br />

generation, doubling capacity <strong>to</strong><br />

2,800MW by 2010<br />

A leading wholesaler and<br />

retailer of energy & Australia’s<br />

largest green energy retailer<br />

Around 3 million cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />

across Australia and Pacific<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>’s 2P Reserves <strong>Origin</strong>’s Generation Capacity <strong>Origin</strong>’s <strong>Energy</strong> Sales<br />

Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />

6<br />

… better manage risk and access more<br />

opportunities for growth


Effective implementation of this strategy has delivered a<br />

consistent record of underlying earnings and dividend growth<br />

9,000<br />

7,500<br />

Revenue<br />

Compound annual growth rate: 26%<br />

1,500<br />

1,200<br />

EBITDAF<br />

Compound annual growth rate: 23%<br />

$millions<br />

6,000<br />

4,500<br />

3,000<br />

1,500<br />

$millions<br />

900<br />

600<br />

300<br />

0<br />

50<br />

40<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

Underlying earnings per share<br />

Compound annual growth rate: 17%<br />

0<br />

50<br />

40<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

Dividends per share<br />

Compound annual growth rate: 43%<br />

cents<br />

30<br />

cents<br />

30<br />

20<br />

20<br />

10<br />

10<br />

0<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

0<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />

7


<strong>Origin</strong>’s his<strong>to</strong>ry of profit growth continues with<br />

Underlying Profit for the first half up 38% <strong>to</strong> $277 million<br />

Financial Highlights – HY2009<br />

Revenue<br />

$4,216 m up 10%<br />

EBITDAF<br />

$686 m up 12%<br />

Statu<strong>to</strong>ry Profit<br />

$6,663 m up 1891%<br />

Underlying Profit<br />

$277 m up 38%<br />

EPS – Statu<strong>to</strong>ry<br />

761.0 cps up 1887%<br />

EPS – Underlying<br />

31.6 cps up 38%<br />

OCAT<br />

$363 m down 6%<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> undrawn debt facilities (2) $2,313 m<br />

Free cash flow per share<br />

25 cps down 17%<br />

Interim dividend fully franked<br />

25 cps up 108%<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> cash on deposit (1) $4,073 m<br />

• The interim dividend<br />

increased by 108% <strong>to</strong> 25<br />

cps, consistent with<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>’s intention <strong>to</strong><br />

rebase annual dividends<br />

<strong>to</strong> 50 cps and target an<br />

increased dividend payout<br />

ratio of at least 60% of<br />

underlying earnings<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong> has now elected <strong>to</strong><br />

terminate the on-market<br />

buyback of shares <strong>to</strong><br />

preserve its financial<br />

capacity in the current<br />

economic environment<br />

8<br />

Based on current market conditions, <strong>Origin</strong> expects<br />

underlying earnings for the current financial year <strong>to</strong><br />

be approximately 20–25% higher than the prior year<br />

(1) Excluding Contact<br />

(2) Excluding Contact and bank guarantees


As the operating and economic environment for businesses<br />

becomes more challenging, <strong>Origin</strong> has been able <strong>to</strong> continue <strong>to</strong><br />

grow its existing business…<br />

• Full half year contribution from Otway Gas Project<br />

• Continued development of New Zealand upstream business with full half year<br />

contribution from Taranaki Basin and progress on Ahuroa Gas S<strong>to</strong>rage project<br />

• Acquired the 640 MW Uranquinty Power Station and committed <strong>to</strong> the 550 MW Mortlake<br />

Power Station<br />

• Secured long-term electricity hedge purchase and gas supply agreement with 450 MW<br />

Braemar 2 Power Station in Queensland<br />

• Entered long-term wind power purchase agreement with ACCIONA <strong>Energy</strong> for 192 MW<br />

• Appraisal activities significantly increased 2P reserves by over 750 PJ and 3P reserves by<br />

almost 1,000 PJ in the APLNG joint venture<br />

• Selected Wipro Technologies as partner in the transformation of <strong>Origin</strong>’s Retail systems<br />

• Completed Uranquinty Power Station (640 MW), which is now fully operational and<br />

commenced commissioning of the Quarantine Power Station expansion (120 MW)<br />

… through the completion of current projects, acquisitions<br />

and commitment <strong>to</strong> new development projects<br />

9


In addition <strong>to</strong> the ongoing growth in earnings, the highlight of the<br />

current financial year has been the CSG transaction with<br />

ConocoPhillips…<br />

Assets<br />

Consideration<br />

Joint Venture<br />

Timetable<br />

ConocoPhillips has subscribed for a 50% interest in Australia Pacific LNG<br />

Australia Pacific LNG includes all of <strong>Origin</strong>’s CSG interests, related production<br />

facilities and existing CSG sales contracts<br />

ConocoPhillips <strong>to</strong> initially invest A$8 billion for a 50% share of a CSG <strong>to</strong> LNG Joint<br />

Venture comprising:<br />

• An up-front cash payment of A$6.9 billion (US$5 billion)<br />

• Additional fixed contribution of A$1.15 billion <strong>to</strong> carry <strong>Origin</strong>’s share of costs<br />

<strong>to</strong> Final Investment Decision, expected at end 2010 for Train 1<br />

A further US$2 billion will be invested as payments of US$500 million at the time<br />

that each of the 4 LNG trains is approved, <strong>to</strong> partly carry <strong>Origin</strong>’s share of costs<br />

Fully aligned 4 Train CSG <strong>to</strong> LNG Project using 24 TCF over 30 years (1)<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> is the upstream CSG opera<strong>to</strong>r and domestic gas marketer<br />

ConocoPhillips <strong>to</strong> be the downstream LNG opera<strong>to</strong>r<br />

Joint Venture <strong>to</strong> market LNG led by ConocoPhillips personnel<br />

Train 1 FID expected late 2010 and Train 2 FID expected late 2010/11<br />

Train 1 first LNG expected in 2014<br />

10<br />

… which confirmed the value and quality of <strong>Origin</strong>’s CSG<br />

assets and will establish a new export channel <strong>to</strong> market<br />

(1) Excluding ramp and tail gas


As a result of this transaction, <strong>Origin</strong> is now in an unparalleled<br />

position with $6.4 billion of cash on deposit and undrawn<br />

committed debt facilities…<br />

As at 31 December 2008<br />

(1) (2)<br />

(1)<br />

Adjusted<br />

Gross Debt<br />

Cash<br />

Undrawn<br />

Committed<br />

Debt Facilities<br />

Available<br />

Funding<br />

Capacity<br />

11<br />

Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />

… at a time when we expect increased opportunities <strong>to</strong> grow<br />

and develop the business<br />

(1) Net Cash/(Debt) excluding mark <strong>to</strong> market adjustments on debt<br />

(2) Uranquinty acquisition includes debt assumed on acquisition<br />

Note: All amounts exclude Contact


The consistent pursuit of <strong>Origin</strong>’s strategy and the APLNG<br />

transaction have resulted in significant increases in value for<br />

shareholders<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>’s Compound TSR Compound Annual Growth Annual Rate: Growth 30% Rate: 30%<br />

Source: Guerdon Associates, Bloomberg<br />

• Market capitalisation and liquidity have increased significantly over time<br />

with <strong>Origin</strong> now in the S&P/ASX20<br />

12


Strategy Implementation


Exploration & Production


Developing gas reserves close <strong>to</strong> markets has been a key component<br />

of <strong>Origin</strong>’s strategy…<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>’s 2P Reserves (1) 3,693 PJe<br />

Annual Production<br />

2P Reserves (2)<br />

101 PJe<br />

• Extensive portfolio of gas and oil exploration<br />

and production interests near key markets in<br />

Australia and New Zealand<br />

• Leading opera<strong>to</strong>r and largest producer of CSG in<br />

Australia as part of APLNG joint venture<br />

• Seeking <strong>to</strong> develop Australia’s largest CSG <strong>to</strong><br />

LNG project through APLNG joint venture with<br />

ConocoPhillips<br />

• Portfolio includes mature assets, such as Cooper<br />

and Perth basins, along with major new gas<br />

projects including the producing BassGas and<br />

Otway Projects and the Kupe Gas Project that is<br />

currently under development<br />

• Extensive exploration program in highly<br />

prospective areas<br />

15<br />

… and has supported the Generation and Retail positions by<br />

providing fuel at competitive prices<br />

(1) Decrease in CSG reserves position in 2009 attributable <strong>to</strong> 50% reduction in <strong>Origin</strong>’s interest following completion of APLNG transaction.<br />

(2) <strong>Origin</strong> undertakes a comprehensive review of its reserves position at the end of each financial year. This interim estimate of reserves<br />

represents the published 2P reserves position as at 30 June 2008, adjusted for the APLNG transaction, the CSG reserves upgrade as at 31<br />

December 2008 and production for the first half of the current financial year.


Investments in new production areas over the last decade have more<br />

than offset the anticipated decline of maturing assets…<br />

• Underlying CSG production continued<br />

<strong>to</strong> grow, although <strong>Origin</strong> interests in<br />

CSG and Denison Trough diluted by 50%<br />

from November 2008 due <strong>to</strong> APLNG<br />

transaction<br />

• Otway Gas Project is operating reliably<br />

at or around peak design rates during<br />

high winter seasonal demand<br />

• Bass Basin production lower due <strong>to</strong><br />

well constraint – operations now back<br />

<strong>to</strong> normal levels<br />

• Taranaki assets provided first full half<br />

production, although at constrained<br />

rates due <strong>to</strong> conservation of pad gas<br />

for Ahuroa gas s<strong>to</strong>rage project<br />

• Cooper Basin is in decline as contract<br />

volumes begin <strong>to</strong> ramp down<br />

Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />

16<br />

… with further CSG expansion, potentially through export<br />

channels providing opportunities for significant growth


Liquids production from the mature Cooper and Perth basins<br />

continues <strong>to</strong> decline…<br />

• Whilst the Cooper basin is in decline, the<br />

Cooper Oil Program has delivered<br />

incremental growth <strong>to</strong> oil production<br />

• Perth Basin production continues <strong>to</strong><br />

decline<br />

• Otway Gas Project and Taranki have<br />

added <strong>to</strong> liquids production<br />

• BassGas liquids production has been<br />

lower due <strong>to</strong> a well constraints and plant<br />

shutdowns although it is now operating at<br />

normal levels<br />

• Kupe project is expected <strong>to</strong> commence<br />

commercial operations in the September<br />

Quarter of 2009<br />

• Liquids production is increasingly<br />

weighted <strong>to</strong>wards condensate with oil<br />

declining from nearly two thirds of liquids<br />

production in FY 06 <strong>to</strong> just over one third<br />

in the Dec half<br />

Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />

… although the Otway and Bass basins provide increased<br />

contributions, and will be supplemented by the liquids rich<br />

Kupe project later this year<br />

17


APLNG is progressing well<br />

APLNG Established<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong> & ConocoPhillips senior executives appointed <strong>to</strong> APLNG Board<br />

• Board has appointed Project Direc<strong>to</strong>r, Chief Financial Officer,<br />

Commercial Manager and LNG Marketing Manager<br />

• Initial Advice Statement seeking significant project status submitted<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> as Upstream Opera<strong>to</strong>r continues <strong>to</strong> deliver reserves and<br />

production growth<br />

• $2.3 billion upstream work program <strong>to</strong> FID agreed and underway<br />

• CSG reserves increased by net 731 PJ 2P and 972 PJ 3P<br />

• 300 people working in the Upstream operations<br />

ConocoPhillips as Downstream Opera<strong>to</strong>r is effectively progressing the<br />

LNG development<br />

• Discussions well progressed with Dept of Infrastructure for LNG site<br />

• Technology selection process complete – ConocoPhillips’ proprietary<br />

Optimized Cascade SM process<br />

• Shipping studies and marketing plans underway<br />

Upcoming Miles<strong>to</strong>nes<br />

• Announcement of site selection<br />

• Further CSG reserves upgrade<br />

• Final Investment Decision<br />

18<br />

Pictures (from <strong>to</strong>p <strong>to</strong> bot<strong>to</strong>m): An operating APLNG CSG well, APLNG’s Taloona gas plant, APLNG’s Initial Advice Statement


APLNG continues strong growth in CSG production and reserves…<br />

19<br />

APLNG’s CSG Interests (1) (PJ)<br />

1P Reserves<br />

2P Reserves<br />

3P Reserves<br />

Contingent Resource (2C)<br />

30 Jun 2008<br />

1,375<br />

4,751<br />

10,138<br />

15,869<br />

31 Dec 2008<br />

1,527<br />

5,482<br />

11,110<br />

14,964<br />

(1) <strong>Origin</strong> has a 50% interest in APLNG<br />

(2) Reserves as at 31 December 2008 are shown net of CSG production for H1 FY 2009<br />

Change (2)<br />

+ 152<br />

+ 731<br />

+ 972<br />

- 905<br />

Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />

Increase<br />

+ 11%<br />

+ 15%<br />

+ 10%<br />

-6%<br />

… with a significant increase in proved and probable reserves<br />

and contingent resources being converted as expected


APLNG has the leading CSG reserves position…<br />

Eastern Australia 2P CSG Reserves by Company<br />

Eastern Australia 3P CSG Reserves by Company<br />

Source: RLMS Eastern Australia CSG Reserves 27 February 2009<br />

… both on a 2P and 3P basis<br />

20


With the next phase of APLNG’s CSG development <strong>to</strong> be funded by<br />

ConocoPhillips, and a number of development projects nearing<br />

completion…<br />

Kupe Gas Project<br />

• Offshore operations were successfully completed early in<br />

the half year<br />

• Project is 90% complete with commercial operations<br />

expected <strong>to</strong> commence in the September Quarter 2009<br />

• Construction progress of the on-shore production station<br />

and tank farm is over 70% complete and progressing well<br />

Kupe Gas Project<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong> is the Project Opera<strong>to</strong>r and has a 50% interest<br />

• Gross annual production expected <strong>to</strong> be around 20 PJ of<br />

sales gas <strong>to</strong>gether with over 2 million barrels of<br />

condensate and LPG<br />

Ahuroa Gas S<strong>to</strong>rage Update<br />

• Construction of gas injection facilities completed with<br />

initial injection undertaken in December 2008<br />

• Design of full injection and withdrawal facilities has been<br />

completed<br />

• Project expected <strong>to</strong> be operational in 2010<br />

• Funded by Contact <strong>Energy</strong><br />

21<br />

… a period of major upstream capex is<br />

coming <strong>to</strong> an end


<strong>Origin</strong> has reviewed its exploration program and reduced exposure by<br />

surrendering areas assessed <strong>to</strong> have low prospectivity…<br />

Surrendered Acreage<br />

Owing <strong>to</strong> lack of remaining prospectivity <strong>Origin</strong><br />

surrendered interests in EP 413 (Perth Basin), VIC<br />

P37(V) (Otway Basin) excluding Halladale/Black<br />

Watch, PEP 381201, PEP 38495 (Taranaki Basin<br />

ex Swift), Block L9 (Lamu Basin, Kenya)<br />

22<br />

Kenya<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> surrendered one permit and<br />

renegotiated work program on Block<br />

L8 <strong>to</strong> acquire 300 sq km of 3D seismic<br />

instead of a drilling a well. Farminees<br />

will be sought <strong>to</strong> fund this seismic.<br />

Offshore Canterbury Basin, PEP<br />

38262<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> renegotiated commitments for<br />

PEP 38262 <strong>to</strong> acquire 3D seismic,<br />

instead of drilling a well in this deep<br />

water permit. Acquisition of the 1,145<br />

sq km Waka 3D Seismic Survey over<br />

the Carrack-Caravel prospect has<br />

commenced.<br />

Additional ~$30m will be expensed in the second<br />

half following an opportunity <strong>to</strong> utilise available<br />

seismic capacity in the Canterbury Basin in place<br />

of a well commitment<br />

… and exchanged expensive future drilling commitments for<br />

less costly seismic expenditure in highly prospective areas


Notwithstanding the review of exploration opportunities and<br />

expenditure…<br />

Piwakawaka 2D SS<br />

Waka 3D SS<br />

Carrack/Caravel Leads<br />

Punt 2D SS<br />

An active seismic exploration<br />

program is being undertaken<br />

in New Zealand, including 2D<br />

surveys in the Northland and<br />

Canterbury basins, and a<br />

large 3D survey over the<br />

prospective Carrack and<br />

Caravel prospects and is close<br />

<strong>to</strong> completion<br />

Offshore drilling will<br />

commence in mid 2009, with<br />

two wells in the Bass Basin<br />

(Trefoil appraisal and<br />

Rockhopper exploration) and<br />

will be followed by a further<br />

two wells in the Northland<br />

Basin in New Zealand<br />

23<br />

… <strong>Origin</strong> has a number of significant exploration<br />

opportunities which will be drilled over the coming year


HY2009: Record Production, Sales and Revenue reflect contributions<br />

from new assets…<br />

Total Revenue & EBITDAF ($m)<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

Dec-08<br />

Dec-07<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

CAPEX ($m)<br />

• EBITDAF of $175m up 32% with increased<br />

production from Otway Gas Project, Taranaki<br />

assets and CSG partially offset by lower<br />

production from BassGas and dilution of CSG<br />

interests from the APLNG transaction<br />

• Falling oil prices and increased spreads on<br />

condensate relative <strong>to</strong> oil impacted liquids<br />

revenues<br />

• APLNG transaction completed establishing 50:50<br />

CSG <strong>to</strong> LNG joint venture with ConocoPhillips<br />

• APLNG appraisal activities increased CSG reserves<br />

by over 750 PJ 2P and almost 1,000 PJ 3P (1)<br />

• Kupe Gas Project on schedule <strong>to</strong> commence<br />

commercial operations in Sept Quarter 2009<br />

0<br />

Revenue EBITDAF Capex *<br />

* Does not include acquisitions<br />

0<br />

• Exploration commitments reviewed increasing<br />

short term 3D seismic commitments <strong>to</strong> replace<br />

more onerous long-term well commitments<br />

24<br />

… which more than offset the impact of maturing assets<br />

and the impact of the APLNG transaction on CSG interests<br />

(1) Against APLNG’s last published CSG reserves position as at 30 June 2008. <strong>Origin</strong> has a 50% interest in APLNG


Generation


Major developments and acquisitions are significantly increasing<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>’s generation capacity…<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>’s Generation Capacity<br />

Operating Capacity 1,464 MW<br />

Under Construction 1,336 MW<br />

• Largest owner and developer of gas fired<br />

electricity generation in Australia<br />

• Investing over $1.5 billion in generation,<br />

doubling capacity <strong>to</strong> 2,800MW by 2010, at a<br />

time of increasing price volatility and rising<br />

forward prices<br />

• Fleet of gas-fired power stations represents<br />

a flexible portfolio with a lower emissions<br />

intensity than the NEM, that is well placed<br />

<strong>to</strong> benefit in a carbon constrained<br />

environment<br />

• Renewable energy options across wind,<br />

geothermal and solar are also being<br />

developed in response <strong>to</strong> the demand for<br />

lower carbon intensity generation and<br />

growing mandated renewable energy targets<br />

26<br />

… and providing greater support <strong>to</strong> the Retail business as<br />

price volatility increases and forward prices continue <strong>to</strong> rise


<strong>Origin</strong>’s Electricity Generation Portfolio<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>’s Generation Plants<br />

State<br />

Capacity<br />

(MW)<br />

Operation<br />

Status<br />

Externally Contracted*<br />

Worsley<br />

WA<br />

60<br />

Cogen<br />

Operational<br />

Bulwer Island<br />

QLD<br />

16<br />

Cogen<br />

Operational<br />

Osborne<br />

SA<br />

90<br />

Cogen<br />

Operational<br />

Internally Contracted<br />

Quarantine<br />

SA<br />

216<br />

Peak<br />

Operational<br />

Ladbroke Grove<br />

SA<br />

80<br />

Base/Peak<br />

Operational<br />

Mount Stuart<br />

QLD<br />

288<br />

Peak<br />

Operational<br />

Roma<br />

QLD<br />

74<br />

Peak<br />

Operational<br />

Uranquinty<br />

NSW<br />

640<br />

Peak<br />

Operational<br />

Mount Stuart Expansion<br />

QLD<br />

126<br />

Peak<br />

Under Construction – due 2009<br />

Cullerin Range<br />

NSW<br />

30<br />

Wind<br />

Under Construction – due 2009<br />

Darling Downs<br />

QLD<br />

630<br />

Base<br />

Under Construction – due 2010<br />

Mortlake<br />

VIC<br />

550<br />

Peak<br />

Project Underway – due 2010<br />

Total<br />

2,800<br />

* Capacity represents <strong>Origin</strong>’s 50% equity share<br />

27


<strong>Origin</strong>’s fleet of gas-fired power stations is well placed <strong>to</strong> benefit<br />

in a carbon-constrained environment…<br />

• Addition of Uranquinty and Quarantine expansion<br />

has more than doubled <strong>Origin</strong>’s generation equity<br />

interests <strong>to</strong> 1,465 MW<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong> has committed <strong>to</strong> build an additional 1,340<br />

MW of power generation, further doubling capacity<br />

by the end of 2010<br />

• Low carbon intensity portfolio developed based on<br />

robust economics in the current market<br />

environment<br />

• Opportunity for significant benefits in a carbonconstrained<br />

future and well-placed <strong>to</strong> benefit even<br />

under a low carbon price scenario<br />

• Mt Stuart expansion is on track and due for<br />

completion in late 2009<br />

• Development costs for Spring Gully site have been<br />

written off but development permits retained<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong> will own or have capacity rights by the end<br />

of 2010 <strong>to</strong> almost 3,500 MW, which represents<br />

around 50% of <strong>Origin</strong>’s current peak retail demand<br />

28<br />

Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />

… comprising a flexible portfolio with a lower emissions<br />

intensity than the NEM


<strong>Origin</strong> is doubling the capacity of its generation fleet at a time<br />

when electricity price volatility is increasing…<br />

29<br />

… and higher forward prices provide significant<br />

opportunities<br />

Source: NEMMCO, ICAP & <strong>Origin</strong>


Uranquinty Power Station is now completed and fully operational…<br />

30<br />

All 4 completed Uranquinty PS turbines<br />

Uranquinty Power Station<br />

• 640 MW Peaking Plant (4 x 160 MW OCGT)<br />

• Located near Wagga Wagga, New South Wales<br />

• Completed and fully operational<br />

• Access <strong>to</strong> gas from across the East Coast<br />

• Peaking plant that can be run at higher load<br />

fac<strong>to</strong>rs if required<br />

New unit at Quarantine PS<br />

Quarantine Power Station Expansion<br />

• 120 MW expansion (1 x 120 MW OCGT)<br />

• More than doubles existing capacity of plant <strong>to</strong><br />

216 MW<br />

• Located on Torrens Island, South Australia<br />

• Peaking plant that can be run at higher load<br />

fac<strong>to</strong>rs if required<br />

• Commissioning underway, <strong>to</strong> be<br />

completed in early March 2009<br />

… and the Quarantine Power Station expansion is being<br />

commissioned


Darling Downs Power Station is progressing well…<br />

Darling Downs PS Turbine Building steel erection<br />

Darling Downs Power Station<br />

• 630 MW Base Load plant<br />

• Largest CCGT plant in Australia<br />

• All gas turbines installed<br />

• Commissioning <strong>to</strong> commence in early 2010<br />

• Progressing on time and on budget<br />

Impression of Mortlake PS once constructed<br />

Mortlake Power Station<br />

• 550 MW Peaking plant<br />

• Expected <strong>to</strong> be completed in late 2010<br />

• Designed for conversion <strong>to</strong> CCGT at a later stage<br />

if required<br />

31<br />

… and the development of the Mortlake project has<br />

commenced


<strong>Origin</strong> also continues <strong>to</strong> develop a number of<br />

renewable energy options…<br />

Wind turbine blades being delivered <strong>to</strong> Cullerin Range<br />

Wind<br />

• Construction of the 30 MW wind farm at<br />

Cullerin Range is well progressed with<br />

commissioning expected in mid-2009<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong> has development sites for<br />

another 58 MW and an option over up <strong>to</strong><br />

500 MW of wind farm development sites<br />

from Epuron<br />

Drilling floor of Geodynamics’ Rig 100 pre-spud<br />

Source: Geodynamics<br />

Geothermal<br />

• Geodynamics’ Proof of Concept closed loop testing is<br />

underway with commissioning of the 1 MW pilot plant<br />

expected in March 2009<br />

Solar<br />

• SLIVER pho<strong>to</strong>voltaic development provides long-term<br />

solar opportunity and work <strong>to</strong> commercialise<br />

technology continues<br />

32<br />

… in response <strong>to</strong> the demand for lower carbon intensity<br />

generation and growing mandated renewable energy targets


HY2009: EBITDAF was lower primarily due <strong>to</strong> the Worsley plant<br />

outage…<br />

Total Revenue & EBITDAF ($m)<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

Dec-08<br />

Dec-07<br />

Revenue EBITDAF Capex *<br />

600<br />

540<br />

480<br />

420<br />

360<br />

300<br />

240<br />

180<br />

120<br />

60<br />

0<br />

CAPEX ($m)<br />

• EBITDAF was $21 million, $11 million lower<br />

than the prior half year<br />

• The Worsley cogeneration plant in WA had<br />

an extended outage after a power turbine<br />

failure in mid August. Insurance claims will<br />

be pursued in relation <strong>to</strong> this outage<br />

• Significant progress made on ongoing<br />

developments – Uranquinty completed and<br />

online and Quarantine expansion being<br />

commissioned, while Mt Stuart expansion,<br />

Darling Downs CCGT, Cullerin Range wind<br />

farm and Mortlake projects all progressed <strong>to</strong><br />

schedule<br />

• Commitment <strong>to</strong> Mortlake OCGT announced in<br />

July and development of project has<br />

commenced<br />

* Does not include acquisitions<br />

33<br />

… while the acquisition of Uranquinty and ongoing major<br />

generation developments are significantly increasing<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>’s generation capacity <strong>to</strong> support the retail business


Retail


<strong>Origin</strong> is a leading wholesaler and retailer of energy in Australia<br />

with around 3 million cus<strong>to</strong>mers providing significant scale and<br />

geographic diversity…<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>’s <strong>Energy</strong> Sales<br />

Electricity Cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />

Gas Cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />

LPG Cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />

Sales Volume<br />

1.74 m<br />

0.88 m<br />

0.34 m<br />

350 PJe<br />

• Around 3 million cus<strong>to</strong>mers across Australia<br />

• Margins maintained despite high levels of<br />

churn and increasing wholesale electricity<br />

prices<br />

• Integrated risk management strategy <strong>to</strong><br />

manage energy price volatility<br />

• Clear market leader in green energy products<br />

with 35% share of national GreenPower TM<br />

cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />

• Systems transformation <strong>to</strong> improve<br />

competitiveness and improve service <strong>to</strong><br />

cus<strong>to</strong>mers is underway<br />

35<br />

… and a channel <strong>to</strong> market for its Generation and<br />

Exploration & Production businesses


<strong>Origin</strong> has been able <strong>to</strong> increase its energy retailing margins<br />

through building scale and effectively managing tariffs, churn,<br />

cost <strong>to</strong> serve and risk…<br />

• With around 3 million cus<strong>to</strong>mers,<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> is able <strong>to</strong> achieve significant<br />

scale advantages<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong> has worked with governments<br />

on tariff regulation and managed the<br />

implementation of tariff paths in<br />

each of its key markets<br />

• Vic<strong>to</strong>ria no longer has a maximum<br />

tariff regime and other states are<br />

expected <strong>to</strong> follow its lead in the<br />

future<br />

• Integrated strategy and risk<br />

management processes have<br />

effectively managed the company’s<br />

exposure <strong>to</strong> the volatile wholesale gas<br />

and electricity markets<br />

36<br />

Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />

Note: From 2006 onwards figures exclude changes in fair value of financial<br />

instruments and Sun Retail one-off integration costs.<br />

… with Retail margins for the full financial year <strong>to</strong> June 09<br />

expected <strong>to</strong> be in line with last year


Even after higher wholesale prices moderated churn rates from<br />

their peaks in 2007, churn still remains high in most segments…<br />

December 2008 <strong>Origin</strong> Cus<strong>to</strong>mer Numbers (1)<br />

(000’s)<br />

Natural<br />

Gas<br />

Electricity<br />

Total<br />

Jun 2008<br />

880<br />

1,729<br />

2,609<br />

Change<br />

-2<br />

+7<br />

+4<br />

Dec 2008<br />

878<br />

1,735<br />

2,613<br />

Source: Various websites including VENCorp,<br />

NEMMCO, Gasmarketco & Company Information<br />

… with <strong>Origin</strong> acquiring over 238,000 cus<strong>to</strong>mers <strong>to</strong><br />

maintain current levels over the last 6 months<br />

37<br />

(1) Based on the adjusted cus<strong>to</strong>mer number opening balance. Refer<br />

<strong>to</strong> Half-Year Results announcement for further details.


Electricity markets continue <strong>to</strong> be volatile, whilst the forward<br />

curve continues <strong>to</strong> signal increasing wholesale prices<br />

Source: NEMMCO, ICAP & <strong>Origin</strong><br />

38


HY2009: EBITDAF grew by $99 million <strong>to</strong> $300 million. Higher gas<br />

and electricity revenues were realised following tariff increases in<br />

the prior period leading <strong>to</strong> a very strong first half…<br />

Total Revenue ($m)<br />

3,500<br />

3,000<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

Dec-08<br />

Dec-07<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

EBITDAF & CAPEX ($m)<br />

• EBITDAF grew by $99 million or 49% from $201<br />

million <strong>to</strong> $300 million<br />

• Cost <strong>to</strong> serve increased on higher corporate<br />

allocations, higher costs in dealing with<br />

cus<strong>to</strong>mers experiencing payment difficulties,<br />

and systems upgrade and implementation<br />

costs<br />

• Churn remained high in Vic<strong>to</strong>ria and<br />

decreased in most other markets. Cus<strong>to</strong>mer<br />

accounts (after adjustments) remained stable<br />

and <strong>Origin</strong> retained clear market leadership in<br />

Green <strong>Energy</strong> products<br />

500<br />

0<br />

Revenue EBITDAF Capex*<br />

50<br />

0<br />

• Systems and process transformation and backoffice<br />

outsourcing projects were initiated -<br />

with Wipro selected as <strong>Origin</strong>’s key<br />

transformation partner<br />

* Does not include acquisitions<br />

39<br />

… while the second half will see lower contributions due <strong>to</strong><br />

higher expected wholesale energy costs


Contact <strong>Energy</strong>


Contact is New Zealand’s leading fuel integrated energy company…<br />

• 650,000 gas, electricity and LPG cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />

• 28% of New Zealand’s generation capacity<br />

• Mix of renewable and lower emissions<br />

generation – 15% geothermal, 35% hydro and<br />

50% natural gas<br />

• 27% share of retail electricity market<br />

• 36% share of gas retail market<br />

• 50% share of LPG market<br />

… and has world-class renewable energy generation experience<br />

41


Contact has a number of projects committed for development with<br />

substantial additional opportunities, particularly in geothermal generation<br />

• Gas-fired peaking plant<br />

­ Construction of 200 MW of peaking capacity at<br />

Stratford, Taranaki well advanced. Operational in<br />

2010<br />

• Gas s<strong>to</strong>rage<br />

­ First stage under way, injection of gas commenced<br />

in late December 2008<br />

­ Key injection and deliverability parameters defined:<br />

detailed design under way<br />

­ S<strong>to</strong>rage facility expected <strong>to</strong> be in operation in 2010<br />

• Geothermal: 500 MW of new geothermal generation<br />

in various stages of development<br />

­ Phase 1 of the Tauhara project (23 MW) -<br />

construction progressing well<br />

­ 220 MW Te Mihi project – FEED complete.<br />

Negotiations with contrac<strong>to</strong>rs well advanced<br />

­ Consent for Phase 2 of the Tauhara project (240<br />

MW) expected <strong>to</strong> be lodged during FY09<br />

• Wind: 540 MW located on the Waika<strong>to</strong> coastline<br />

­ Consent hearing during FY09<br />

­ Longer term development option<br />

42


Contact has implemented a number of capital raising initiatives <strong>to</strong><br />

fund these opportunities and maintain a strong financial position<br />

• Net debt as at 31 December 2008 was $1,031m<br />

­ NZD equivalent of borrowings, net of FX hedging and short-term deposits<br />

­ 26% higher than as at 31 December 2007 ($821m)<br />

­ Net debt <strong>to</strong> net debt plus equity was 26%<br />

• Extending and adding <strong>to</strong> bank credit facilities<br />

­ As at 31 December 2008 Contact’s evergreen committed credit facilities <strong>to</strong>talled $585m<br />

­ With available capacity of ~$300m<br />

­ Currently executing extensions <strong>to</strong> existing credit facilities<br />

­ And adding new facilities<br />

• Retail bond issuance<br />

­ First time <strong>to</strong> NZ market<br />

­ Opportunity <strong>to</strong> increase funding diversity<br />

• Implementing a Profit Distribution Plan<br />

­ Shareholders receive distributions in the form of non-taxable bonus share issues<br />

­ Option <strong>to</strong> have those shares bought back by Contact for cash<br />

­ Allows shareholders wishing <strong>to</strong> receive cash the ability <strong>to</strong> do so<br />

­ Retains cash <strong>to</strong> support strategic initiatives<br />

43


Total Revenue ($m)<br />

HY2009: While earnings were significantly reduced due <strong>to</strong> the<br />

combined impact of weather conditions and transmission constraints…<br />

44<br />

3000<br />

2500<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

Revenue EBITDAF<br />

* Does not include acquisitions<br />

Dec-08<br />

Dec-07<br />

Capex*<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

EBITDAF & CAPEX ($m)<br />

• EBITDAF was $190m, 24% lower than the prior half<br />

year primarily due <strong>to</strong> an unusual combination of<br />

weather events and transmission constraints<br />

between the North and South Islands which<br />

adversely impacted wholesale costs and generation<br />

revenue<br />

• While this particular combination of conditions is<br />

unlikely <strong>to</strong> be repeated in the short term, and some<br />

elements of the transmission constraints will most<br />

likely be resolved in the September Quarter 2009,<br />

the reduction in inter-island transmission capacity<br />

adds new risk exposures <strong>to</strong> Contact’s earnings<br />

• Contact has implemented a series of strategies <strong>to</strong><br />

help mitigate future transmission risks<br />

­ September 2008 South Island tariff adjustments<br />

­ Deconstraining transmission out of the lower<br />

South Island<br />

­ Procurement advisory group for HVDC pole 3,<br />

which is expected <strong>to</strong> be in operation in 2012<br />

… Contact has put in place a number of mitigating measures<br />

and the outlook for growth of generation remains strong


Outlook


46<br />

The second half of the financial year is expected <strong>to</strong> be more<br />

challenging than the first half<br />

• Lower margins in the Retail business due <strong>to</strong> higher wholesale<br />

electricity costs, although margins for the full year are expected <strong>to</strong> be<br />

consistent with the prior year<br />

• Future well commitments replaced by less expensive seismic<br />

exploration, which will be expensed in the second half<br />

• Lower average prices for oil and condensate<br />

Compared <strong>to</strong> the prior year<br />

• Adverse hydrology conditions and transmission constraints in New<br />

Zealand have reduced Contact’s earnings<br />

Compared <strong>to</strong> prior expectations<br />

• Lower interest rates will reduce the earnings uplift of the substantial<br />

cash that <strong>Origin</strong> has on deposit<br />

Based on these fac<strong>to</strong>rs and current market conditions<br />

Underlying Profit for the full year is expected <strong>to</strong> be up<br />

20% <strong>to</strong> 25% compared with the prior year


47<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> will continue <strong>to</strong> progress the development of several<br />

major projects which are expected <strong>to</strong> make contributions<br />

following the end of the current financial year…<br />

• Construction of the 30 MW Cullerin Range wind farm in New South Wales which is due for<br />

completion in mid 2009<br />

• The Kupe Gas Project in New Zealand which is targeting <strong>to</strong> commence commercial<br />

operations in the September Quarter 2009<br />

• The 126 MW expansion of the Mt Stuart power station in Queensland which is due for<br />

completion in late 2009<br />

• Completion of the 630 MW combined cycle base load gas fired Darling Downs power station<br />

in Queensland which is expected <strong>to</strong> commence commissioning in early 2010<br />

• Development of the 550 MW gas fired peaking power station at Mortlake in Vic<strong>to</strong>ria due for<br />

completion in late 2010<br />

• Continued development of CSG operations with current production expected <strong>to</strong> more than<br />

double and reach over 100 PJ per annum by 2011<br />

• Projects under development by Contact include the 200 MW Stratford peaking power<br />

station, the Ahuroa gas s<strong>to</strong>rage facility and a number of geothermal projects<br />

• Full year effect of substantial cash balance<br />

… which will drive near term growth in earnings


<strong>Origin</strong>’s strategy as a fuel-integrated genera<strong>to</strong>r retailer will<br />

continue <strong>to</strong> create opportunities for the existing business and<br />

APLNG creates a major opportunity for growth by establishing a<br />

new export channel <strong>to</strong> market<br />

48<br />

Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />

Note: Excluding Contact<br />

Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />

With access <strong>to</strong> $6.4 billion of cash and undrawn debt<br />

facilities, <strong>Origin</strong> is well placed <strong>to</strong> fund these and other<br />

opportunities <strong>to</strong> grow and develop the business


<strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong> <strong>Strength</strong> <strong>Provides</strong><br />

<strong>Opportunities</strong> <strong>to</strong> Grow & Develop<br />

Citi’s Australian & New Zealand<br />

6 th Annual Investment Conference London<br />

9 March 2009


Further Information<br />

Inves<strong>to</strong>rs<br />

Angus Guthrie<br />

Manager, Inves<strong>to</strong>r Relations<br />

Email: angus.guthrie@originenergy.com.au<br />

Office: +61-2-8345 5558<br />

Mobile: +61-4-1786 4255<br />

Website<br />

www.originenergy.com.au<br />

Other recent presentations include:<br />

• Half Year Results<br />

http://www.originenergy.com.au/files/PresentationAnalysts.pdf<br />

• ConocoPhillips Transaction<br />

http://www.originenergy.com.au/files/<strong>Origin</strong>_ConocoPhillips_Presentation.pdf<br />

50


Appendix


Profit & Loss - Statu<strong>to</strong>ry<br />

($ million)<br />

Dec 08 Dec 07 Change<br />

Revenue<br />

4,216 3,817 10%<br />

EBITDAF (1) 686 614 12%<br />

EBIT<br />

7,590 634 1098%<br />

Net financing costs (2) (95) (104) (9)%<br />

Tax expense<br />

(676) (146) 363%<br />

Minority Interests<br />

(16) (49) (68)%<br />

NPAT – Statu<strong>to</strong>ry<br />

6,663 335 1891%<br />

EPS – Statu<strong>to</strong>ry<br />

761.0 cps 38.3 cps 1887%<br />

Free cash flow per share (3) 24.7 cps 29.6 cps (17)%<br />

• Statu<strong>to</strong>ry Profit dominated by the gain arising from the APLNG transaction<br />

52<br />

(1) Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation, financial instruments and significant items. Includes 50% EBITDAF<br />

contribution of APLNG from 29 Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008. EBITDAF for 2007 is revised <strong>to</strong> only recognise EBITDAF contribution from equity<br />

accounted investees<br />

(2) Excluding capitalised interest<br />

(3) Free cash flow is defined here as cash available <strong>to</strong> fund distributions <strong>to</strong> shareholders and growth capital expenditure. It<br />

includes deductions for stay-in-business capital expenditure, interest and tax


Profit & Loss - Underlying<br />

($ million)<br />

Dec 08<br />

Dec 07<br />

Change<br />

Statu<strong>to</strong>ry NPAT<br />

6,663<br />

335<br />

1891%<br />

Significant items<br />

Changes in fair value of financial instruments<br />

(102)<br />

Impairment of assets<br />

(217)<br />

Net Impact of APLNG Transaction<br />

6,706<br />

Total significant items<br />

6,386<br />

(134)<br />

Underlying NPAT<br />

277<br />

200<br />

38%<br />

Underlying EPS (cents)<br />

31.6<br />

22.9<br />

38%<br />

• Underlying NPAT and EPS are both up by 38%<br />

53


Movements in fair value of financial instruments<br />

Reconciliation of <strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong> and Income Statement items associated<br />

with financial instruments movements<br />

($ million)<br />

Change in net assets<br />

Recognised in the <strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong><br />

Recognised in the Equity Hedge Reserve (post tax)<br />

Recognised in Deferred Tax Liability<br />

Recognised in the Income Statement<br />

(165)<br />

(77)<br />

Dec 08<br />

• The fair value of financial instruments has declined over the period by $420 million.<br />

This has been driven by a decrease in forward electricity prices, the sharp decline<br />

in interest yield curves and the depreciation of the AUD and NZD against the USD<br />

• The expense recognised in the Income Statement reflects electricity price caps and<br />

certain interest rate swaps that, whilst they are valid economic hedges, do not<br />

qualify for hedge accounting<br />

• The $178 million (Contact $65 million) recognised before tax in the Income<br />

Statement amounts <strong>to</strong> $102 million after tax and elimination of minority interests<br />

(420)<br />

(242)<br />

(178)<br />

54


A review of the carrying value of assets has led <strong>to</strong> asset impairments<br />

including producing assets impacted by the decline in oil price…<br />

Assets<br />

Cooper Basin Assets<br />

BassGas Assets<br />

Perth Basin Assets<br />

Heytesbury Gas S<strong>to</strong>rage<br />

Existing Retail Systems<br />

SLIVER Solar technology assets<br />

Spring Gully Power Plant<br />

Total<br />

Impairment ($ million)<br />

Pre-tax Post-tax<br />

71<br />

50<br />

66<br />

46<br />

16<br />

11<br />

20<br />

14<br />

78<br />

55<br />

53<br />

37<br />

7<br />

5<br />

310<br />

217<br />

… retail systems <strong>to</strong> be retired following selection of Wipro <strong>to</strong><br />

lead the Retail systems transformation process, and his<strong>to</strong>rical<br />

R&D investments in SLIVER technology<br />

55


<strong>Origin</strong> will use the equity accounting method for its<br />

investment in APLNG<br />

The equity accounting treatment <strong>to</strong> be used on the Income Statement in relation <strong>to</strong><br />

APLNG will include:<br />

• The EBITDAF contribution of 50% interest in APLNG recorded at the EBITDAF line<br />

on consolidation within the Exploration and Production segment<br />

• Depreciation, amortisation, interest, tax and changes in fair value of financial<br />

instruments recorded as a single line item called “Share of interest, tax,<br />

depreciation, amortisation and financial instruments of equity accounted<br />

investees” between EBITDAF and EBIT<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong>’s share of NPAT from APLNG therefore recognised at the EBIT line<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong>’s 50% interest in the net assets of the APLNG joint venture is equity<br />

accounted on <strong>Origin</strong>’s consolidated balance sheet<br />

For consistency <strong>Origin</strong> has adopted this treatment for all its equity accounted<br />

investments<br />

56


APLNG <strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong><br />

($ billion) Dec 08<br />

Receivables from Shareholders<br />

Other current assets<br />

Current Assets 1.0<br />

Receivables from Shareholders<br />

7.9<br />

Property, plant & equipment (1) 1.0<br />

Other non-current assets<br />

Non-Current Assets<br />

Total Assets<br />

Total Liabilities<br />

Net Assets<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>’s 50% Share of Net Assets<br />

(1) Including exploration and development expenditure<br />

0.8<br />

0.2<br />

0.2<br />

9.1<br />

10.2<br />

(0.2)<br />

10.0<br />

5.0<br />

• APLNG’s <strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong> primarily comprises receivables from its shareholders<br />

• PP&E is carried at his<strong>to</strong>rical cost<br />

• Receivables from shareholders represent interest free payable from <strong>Origin</strong> and future<br />

funding and cash calls from ConocoPhillips by way of calls on partly paid shares<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong> has recorded a one line asset on its <strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong> “Investments accounted for<br />

using the equity method” of $5.0 billion at 31 December 2008 <strong>to</strong> account for <strong>Origin</strong>’s<br />

50% interest in the net assets of APLNG<br />

57


Gain on APLNG transaction<br />

($billion)<br />

Dec 08<br />

Pre-Completion<br />

Increase in cash<br />

6.9<br />

-<br />

50% equity accounted investment in APLNG<br />

5.0<br />

-<br />

Discounted payable <strong>to</strong> APLNG<br />

(3.3)<br />

1.7<br />

-<br />

Consolidation of APLNG (formerly known as OECSG)<br />

-<br />

1.0<br />

Tax payable on transaction<br />

(0.8)<br />

Total<br />

7.8<br />

1.0<br />

Movement in <strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong><br />

6.8<br />

Transaction Costs<br />

(0.1)<br />

Gain on APLNG Transaction<br />

6.7<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong> received $6.9 billion in cash from APLNG by way of capital return ($2.8<br />

billion), repayment of intercompany loan ($0.5 billion) and payable associated<br />

with future expected APLNG cash calls ($3.6 billion)<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong>’s investment in APLNG ($5.0 billion), offset by its payable <strong>to</strong> APLNG ($3.3<br />

billion) is $1.7 billion. This equates <strong>to</strong> 50% of APLNG’s PP&E, reflected at his<strong>to</strong>rical<br />

cost of $0.5 billion, and the benefit of the carry <strong>to</strong> FID of $1.15 billion<br />

• ConocoPhillips will also invest a further US$500 million at the point that each of<br />

the 4 LNG trains is approved <strong>to</strong> partly carry <strong>Origin</strong>’s share of costs, which is not<br />

58<br />

included in the above calculation


APLNG transaction has transformed <strong>Origin</strong>’s <strong>Balance</strong> <strong>Sheet</strong><br />

($ billion)<br />

Cash<br />

Other Current Assets<br />

Total Current Assets<br />

Investment in Equity Accounted Investees<br />

Other Non-Current Assets<br />

Total Non-Current Assets<br />

Tax Payable<br />

Other Current Liabilities<br />

Total Current Liabilities<br />

Payable <strong>to</strong> APLNG<br />

Other Non-Current Liabilities<br />

Total Non-Current Liabilities<br />

Net Assets<br />

Dec 08<br />

4.1<br />

2.1<br />

6.2<br />

5.0<br />

10.8<br />

15.8<br />

(0.9)<br />

(1.7)<br />

(2.6)<br />

(3.3)<br />

(4.8)<br />

(8.1)<br />

11.3<br />

Jun 08<br />

0.1<br />

2.4<br />

2.5<br />

-<br />

10.0<br />

10.0<br />

(0.1)<br />

(2.3)<br />

(2.4)<br />

-<br />

(5.0)<br />

(5.0)<br />

5.2<br />

• Net asset movement from June 08 primarily relates <strong>to</strong> statu<strong>to</strong>ry profit for<br />

the period (+$6.7b), dividends paid (-$0.4b) and share buyback (-$0.2b)<br />

59


APLNG transaction has provided <strong>Origin</strong> with<br />

substantial funding capacity…<br />

As at 31 December 2008<br />

(1) (2)<br />

(1)<br />

Adjusted<br />

Gross Debt<br />

Cash<br />

Undrawn<br />

Committed<br />

Debt Facilities<br />

Available<br />

Funding<br />

Capacity<br />

60<br />

Source: <strong>Origin</strong><br />

… with cash and undrawn committed debt facilities of $6.4 billion<br />

(1) Net Cash/(Debt) excluding mark <strong>to</strong> market adjustments on debt<br />

(2) Uranquinty acquisition includes debt assumed on acquisition<br />

Note: All amounts exclude Contact <strong>Energy</strong>


EBITDAF of $686m is up 12% primarily due <strong>to</strong> growth in the<br />

Retail and Exploration & Production segments<br />

Segments ($ million)<br />

Dec 08<br />

Dec 07<br />

Change<br />

Exploration & Production<br />

175<br />

133<br />

32%<br />

Generation<br />

21<br />

33<br />

(34)%<br />

Retail<br />

300<br />

201<br />

49%<br />

Contact<br />

190<br />

248<br />

(24)%<br />

Total<br />

686<br />

614<br />

12%<br />

Note: Corporate costs of $51m have been allocated <strong>to</strong> the Australian segments ($30m December 2007)<br />

• EBITDAF: now includes the EBITDAF contribution from equity accounted investees. The<br />

segments results for the Dec 07 half have been restated on this basis<br />

• E&P: Increased production and higher oil prices, lower average unit operating costs<br />

• Generation: Mainly relates <strong>to</strong> Worsley plant outage in Western Australia<br />

• Retail: Tariff increases for electricity and gas cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />

• Contact: Hydrology impacts and transmission constraints<br />

61


Depreciation & Amortisation<br />

($ million)<br />

Dec 08<br />

Generation property, plant and equipment<br />

59 65<br />

Non-generation property, plant and equipment<br />

79 62<br />

Amortisation in producing areas (1) 50 42<br />

Other<br />

1 2<br />

Total<br />

• Higher depreciation and amortisation resulting from:<br />

­ Otway Gas Project included in current half<br />

­ Increased Cooper production<br />

Dec 07<br />

189 171<br />

62<br />

(1) Amortisation of exploration and evaluation costs in producing areas


63<br />

Interest<br />

($ million) Dec 08 Dec 07<br />

Interest revenue<br />

55 6<br />

Net Financing costs 95 104<br />

Unwinding of discount on provisions (13) (7)<br />

Unwinding of discounted liability payable <strong>to</strong> APLNG (35)<br />

-<br />

Net interest cover (Underlying EBIT) (2) 5x 4x<br />

Net interest expense 48 97<br />

Capitalised interest 60 24<br />

Net interest expense + capitalised interest 108 121<br />

Net interest cover (EBIT) (1) 71x 5x<br />

Weighted average interest rate on borrowings 7.5% 7.8%<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong>’s average interest rate on drawn debt as at December includes Contact’s debt<br />

and comprises an average of Australian dollar, NZ dollar and US dollar debt<br />

• Approximately 60% of <strong>Origin</strong>’s and Contact’s debt obligations are hedged over the six<br />

months <strong>to</strong> June 2009 at an average rate of 6.8% including funding margin. These hedging<br />

arrangements roll off over the next 5 years<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong>’s cash balance has been invested with the major domestic banks<br />

(1) Including capitalised interest and excluding unwinding of discount on provisions and liability<br />

payable and fair value of interest related financial instruments<br />

(2) As above based on EBIT excluding Significant Items


Tax Reconciliation<br />

($ million)<br />

Profit before tax<br />

Prima facie tax<br />

less non-assessable gain on APLNG transaction<br />

less recognition of change in net loss position<br />

less share of net profit after tax of associates<br />

less other<br />

equals Tax expense<br />

Statu<strong>to</strong>ry effective tax rate<br />

Tax paid<br />

Dec 08<br />

7,355<br />

2,207<br />

(1,501)<br />

(14)<br />

(14)<br />

(2)<br />

676<br />

9.2%<br />

138<br />

Dec 07<br />

530<br />

163<br />

-<br />

(2)<br />

(1)<br />

(14)<br />

146<br />

27.5%<br />

83<br />

• The underlying effective tax rate is 25.9% (compared <strong>to</strong> 24.9% in 2007)<br />

• The accounting gain from the recognition of <strong>Origin</strong>’s share of the increased net<br />

assets of APLNG as a result of the investment by ConocoPhillips in APLNG is not<br />

subject <strong>to</strong> tax<br />

64


Capital Expenditure<br />

($ million)<br />

Stay-in-business<br />

Growth<br />

Exploration & Production<br />

Retail<br />

Generation<br />

Contact<br />

Total capital expenditure<br />

Acquisitions (net of cash)<br />

Capex including acquisitions<br />

Dec 08<br />

115<br />

286<br />

59<br />

556<br />

129<br />

1,144<br />

131<br />

1,275<br />

Dec 07<br />

70<br />

305<br />

38<br />

240<br />

56<br />

708<br />

6<br />

714<br />

• Growth capex has risen with the spend on several Generation projects, CSG (precompletion<br />

of the APLNG transaction), Kupe and power station and geothermal<br />

spending by Contact<br />

• Acquisitions predominantly reflects the net consideration for Uranquinty which<br />

was acquired in July 2008 for a fully constructed enterprise value of $700 million<br />

(net $126 million cash paid on acquisition, future capital expenditure, of which<br />

$123 million was spent this half, and assumption of existing debt facilities and<br />

obligations)<br />

65


Operating Cash Flow<br />

($ million)<br />

EBITDAF<br />

Equity Accounted Investees (EBITDAF less dividends)<br />

Exploration Write-Off<br />

Change in working capital<br />

Stay-in-business capex (1)<br />

Other<br />

Tax paid<br />

OCAT<br />

Net interest paid<br />

Free cash flow<br />

Funds Employed (excluding CAPWIP) (2) - Calendar Year<br />

OCAT Ratio (excluding CAPWIP) (3) – Calendar Year<br />

Dec 08<br />

686<br />

(14)<br />

4<br />

(51)<br />

(115)<br />

(29)<br />

(117)<br />

363<br />

(147)<br />

216<br />

6,675<br />

11.8%<br />

Dec 07<br />

614<br />

(9)<br />

16<br />

(61)<br />

(70)<br />

(23)<br />

(83)<br />

385<br />

(126)<br />

259<br />

6,473<br />

11.8%<br />

66<br />

(1) Net of book value of assets sold<br />

(2) Funds employed are averaged over the calendar year and excludes CAPWIP. APLNG is not included in this calculation<br />

(3) OCAT Ratio = (OCAT – interest tax shield) / average funds employed excluding CAPWIP. APLNG is not included in this calculation


Segment Cash Flow & Cash Flow Returns<br />

Operating Av. Funds OCFR (%) (2)<br />

Cash flow (2) Employed (3)<br />

($m) ($m)<br />

Dec 08 Dec 07<br />

Exploration & Production (1) 305 1,267 24.0 22.9<br />

Generation<br />

37<br />

294 12.7 30.3<br />

Retail<br />

369 2,402 15.4 9.2<br />

Contact <strong>Energy</strong><br />

319 3,444 9.3 11.2<br />

• E&P: Increased operating cash flows following record production and sales<br />

• Generation: Reduced operating cash flow, primarily due <strong>to</strong> Worsley plant outage<br />

• Retail: Higher operating cash flows and margins, primarily due <strong>to</strong> tariff<br />

increases for electricity and gas cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />

• Contact: Reduced operating cash flow primarily due <strong>to</strong> the impact of hydrology<br />

conditions in the South Island combined with transmission constraints between<br />

the North and South Islands<br />

67<br />

(1) Segment calculations for E&P do not include APLNG<br />

(2) Calculated on a calendar year basis<br />

(3) Excluding CAPWIP

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