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Be Ready for that Surveillance Call - PMA - Illinois Valley ...

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<strong>Illinois</strong> Community College Chief<br />

Financial Officers<br />

2012 Fall Conference<br />

<strong>Be</strong> <strong>Ready</strong> <strong>for</strong> That <strong>Surveillance</strong> <strong>Call</strong><br />

Tammie <strong>Be</strong>ckwith Schallmo<br />

Managing Director, Vice President<br />

Greg Kubitz<br />

Senior Financial Advisor<br />

October 11, 2012<br />

FOR INSTITUTIONAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY.


ICCCFO | What is a <strong>Surveillance</strong> <strong>Call</strong>?<br />

• Provides a rating agency with an opportunity to make<br />

sure your College’s credit rating is not “stale”<br />

– Accountability to the investor community<br />

• Frequency may vary, but they are happening much more<br />

frequently than ever be<strong>for</strong>e<br />

• The College will be provided with a list of questions<br />

– It’s important to be responsive<br />

– You are typically given a couple weeks to prepare <strong>for</strong> the call<br />

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ICCCFO | <strong>Surveillance</strong> <strong>Call</strong> Considerations<br />

• Has the College done everything it said it would<br />

the last time it spoke to the rating agency?<br />

– Review the College’s most recent rating report<br />

• What circumstances have changed since the<br />

College last spoke to the rating agency?<br />

• Has anything made it difficult <strong>for</strong> the College to<br />

achieve what was anticipated during the last<br />

rating call?<br />

3


ICCCFO | <strong>Surveillance</strong> <strong>Call</strong>s <strong>for</strong> Community Colleges<br />

• Key Discussion Topics<br />

– Economy<br />

– Enrollment<br />

– Finances<br />

– Facilities<br />

– Contractual Obligations<br />

– Pension Obligations<br />

• State legislation<br />

• OPEB<br />

– Financial Management Assessment (S&P Only)<br />

4


ICCCFO | Finances<br />

• Finances<br />

– Past operating results<br />

– Projected results <strong>for</strong> current fiscal year – budget vs.<br />

actual<br />

– Use of working cash<br />

– Long-range projections<br />

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ICCCFO | Long-term Financial Planning<br />

• Financial Projections<br />

– Typically Looking at Operating Funds<br />

• Education and Operations & Maintenance (separately and<br />

combined)<br />

• Working Cash<br />

– Major Assumptions<br />

– State Aid History and Projections<br />

– Projected Enrollment/Credit Hours<br />

– Tuition Rate (Changes)<br />

– Potential Pension Shifts<br />

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ICCCFO | Long-term Financial Planning<br />

REVENUE<br />

Aggregate - Historical Summary<br />

ACTUAL REVENUE / EXPENDITURES<br />

BUDGET<br />

FY 2008 % chg FY 2009 % chg FY 2010 % chg FY 2011 % chg FY 2012 % chg<br />

Local $42,283,577 $44,233,329 4.61% $47,637,415 7.70% $49,825,297 4.59% $50,435,273 1.22%<br />

State $8,221,040 $8,171,133 -0.61% $7,187,128 -12.04% $6,887,420 -4.17% $6,719,554 -2.44%<br />

Federal $22,758 $32,596 43.23% $265,408 714.23% $32,754 -87.66% $23,000 -29.78%<br />

Tuition & Fees $37,970,853 $41,567,869 9.47% $45,095,700 8.49% $48,881,773 8.40% $50,834,180 3.99%<br />

Other $2,636,218 $1,317,821 -50.01% $587,451 -55.42% $336,863 -42.66% $955,000 183.50%<br />

TOTAL REVENUE $91,134,446 $95,322,748 4.60% $100,773,102 5.72% $105,964,107 5.15% $108,967,007 2.83%<br />

EXPENDITURES<br />

Salary and <strong>Be</strong>nefit Costs $62,783,508 $64,840,940 3.28% $68,776,316 6.07% $72,508,962 5.43% $77,721,337 7.19%<br />

Other $33,119,137 $21,986,170 -33.61% $23,189,935 5.48% $21,472,413 -7.41% $26,765,228 24.65%<br />

TOTAL EXPENDITURES $95,902,645 $86,827,110 -9.46% $91,966,251 5.92% $93,981,375 2.19% $104,486,565 11.18%<br />

SURPLUS / DEFICIT ($4,768,199) $8,495,638 $8,806,851 $11,982,732 $4,480,442<br />

INTERFUND TRANSFERS (NET) ($2,678,565) $3,884,174 ($6,610,967) ($9,936,936) ($3,193,085)<br />

SURPLUS / DEFICIT INCL. INTERFUND TRANSFERS ($7,446,764) $12,379,812 $2,195,884 $2,045,796 $1,287,357<br />

BEGINNING FUND BALANCE $0 $49,078,001 $61,457,813 $63,653,697 $65,699,493<br />

YEAR-END FUND BALANCE $49,078,001 $61,457,813 $63,653,697 $65,699,493 $66,986,850<br />

FUND BALANCE AS % OF EXPENDITURES 51.17% 70.78% 69.21% 69.91% 64.11%<br />

FUND BALANCE AS # OF MONTHS OF EXPEND. 6.14 8.49 8.31 8.39 7.69<br />

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REVENUE<br />

BUDGET<br />

Aggregate - Projection Summary<br />

ICCCFO | Long-term Financial Planning<br />

REVENUE / EXPENDITURE PROJECTIONS<br />

FY 2012 FY 2013 % chg FY 2014 % chg FY 2015 % chg FY 2016 % chg FY 2017 % chg<br />

Local $50,435,273 $53,362,690 5.80% $54,355,444 1.86% $55,461,258 2.03% $57,118,376 2.99% $57,518,292 0.70%<br />

State $6,719,554 $6,719,554 0.00% $6,719,554 0.00% $6,719,554 0.00% $6,719,554 0.00% $6,719,554 0.00%<br />

Federal $23,000 $23,690 3.00% $24,045 1.50% $24,430 1.60% $24,821 1.60% $25,218 1.60%<br />

Tuition & Fees $50,834,180 $50,347,900 -0.96% $52,054,194 3.39% $53,805,601 3.36% $55,166,233 2.53% $56,548,698 2.51%<br />

Other $955,000 $841,283 -11.91% $1,016,683 20.85% $1,025,902 0.91% $1,032,309 0.62% $1,031,919 -0.04%<br />

TOTAL REVENUE $108,967,007 $111,295,118 2.14% $114,169,920 2.58% $117,036,745 2.51% $120,061,293 2.58% $121,843,681 1.48%<br />

EXPENDITURES<br />

Salary and <strong>Be</strong>nefit Costs $77,721,337 $80,005,827 2.94% $82,588,089 3.23% $85,324,816 3.31% $87,687,247 2.77% $90,199,305 2.86%<br />

Other $26,765,228 $27,017,030 0.94% $25,788,661 -4.55% $26,311,742 2.03% $26,847,740 2.04% $27,397,041 2.05%<br />

TOTAL EXPENDITURES $104,486,565 $107,022,857 2.43% $108,376,750 1.27% $111,636,559 3.01% $114,534,987 2.60% $117,596,347 2.67%<br />

SURPLUS / DEFICIT $4,480,442 $4,272,261 $5,793,169 $5,400,187 $5,526,306 $4,247,334<br />

INTERFUND TRANSFERS (NET) ($3,193,085) ($4,523,718) ($4,638,077) ($4,792,248) ($4,865,523) ($4,924,127)<br />

SURPLUS / DEFICIT INCL. INTERFUND TRANSFERS $1,287,357 ($251,457) $1,155,092 $607,939 $660,783 ($676,793)<br />

BEGINNING FUND BALANCE $65,699,493 $66,986,850 $66,735,393 $67,890,485 $68,498,424 $69,159,207<br />

PROJECTED YEAR END BALANCE $66,986,850 $66,735,393 $67,890,485 $68,498,424 $69,159,207 $68,482,414<br />

FUND BALANCE AS % OF EXPENDITURES 64.11% 62.36% 62.64% 61.36% 60.38% 58.24%<br />

FUND BALANCE AS # OF MONTHS OF EXPEND. 7.69 7.48 7.52 7.36 7.25 6.99<br />

Additional Tuition Increase Needed to Balance Budget* $0.64 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.63<br />

*Amount is the "In-District" per Credit Hour increase. All other tuition rates are assumed to be adjusted at the same % change.<br />

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ICCCFO | Long-term Financial Planning<br />

9


ICCCFO | Long-term Financial Planning<br />

10


ICCCFO | Long-term Financial Planning<br />

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ICCCFO | Long-term Financial Planning<br />

Scenario: Employer SURS Contribution increase of 2% per Year<br />

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ICCCFO | <strong>Surveillance</strong> <strong>Call</strong> <strong>Be</strong>st Practices<br />

• Treat the surveillance call like a rating<br />

presentation <strong>for</strong> a bond sale<br />

• Take time to prepare detailed responses to each<br />

question<br />

• Talk the analyst through your written responses<br />

• Consult with your financial advisor as soon as<br />

you receive the email or phone call requesting the<br />

surveillance call<br />

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Disclaimer<br />

The in<strong>for</strong>mation contained herein is solely intended to suggest/discuss potentially applicable financing applications and is not intended to be a specific<br />

buy/sell recommendation, nor is it an official confirmation of terms. Any terms discussed herein are preliminary until confirmed in a definitive written<br />

agreement.<br />

The analysis or in<strong>for</strong>mation presented herein is based upon hypothetical projections and/or past per<strong>for</strong>mance <strong>that</strong> have certain limitations. No representation<br />

is made <strong>that</strong> it is accurate or complete or <strong>that</strong> any results indicated will be achieved. In no way is past per<strong>for</strong>mance indicative of future results. Changes to<br />

any prices, levels, or assumptions contained herein may have a material impact on results. Any estimates or assumptions contained herein represent our<br />

best judgment as of the date indicated and are subject to change without notice. Examples are merely representative and are not meant to be all-inclusive.<br />

The in<strong>for</strong>mation set <strong>for</strong>th herein was gathered from sources which we believe, but do not guarantee, to be accurate. Neither the in<strong>for</strong>mation, nor any options<br />

expressed, constitute a solicitation by us <strong>for</strong> purposes of sale or purchase of any securities or commodities. Investment/financing decisions by market<br />

participants should not be based on this in<strong>for</strong>mation.<br />

You should consider certain economic risks (and other legal, tax, and accounting consequences) prior to entering into any type of transaction with <strong>PMA</strong><br />

Securities, Inc. or <strong>PMA</strong> Financial Network, Inc. It is imperative <strong>that</strong> any prospective client per<strong>for</strong>m its own research and due diligence, independent of us or<br />

our affiliates, to determine suitability of the proposed transaction with respect to the a<strong>for</strong>ementioned potential economic risks and legal, tax, and accounting<br />

consequences. Our analyses are not and do not purport to be appraisals of the assets, or business of the District or any other entity. <strong>PMA</strong> makes no<br />

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and does not constitute a solicitation to purchase or sell securities, which may be done only after client suitability is reviewed and determined. All investments<br />

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For institutional use only.<br />

© 2012 <strong>PMA</strong> Securities, Inc.<br />

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