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Government Comments on the Final Draft of the SPM IPCC Working ...

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<str<strong>on</strong>g>Government</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Comments</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Final</strong> <strong>Draft</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>SPM</strong><br />

<strong>IPCC</strong> <strong>Working</strong> Group I Fourth Assessment Report<br />

Batch<br />

Page:line<br />

No.<br />

From To Comment<br />

figure <strong>SPM</strong>-4 is effectively representative <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> regi<strong>on</strong>al averaged temperature changes.<br />

[Govt. <strong>of</strong> Argentina (Reviewer’s comment ID #: 2024-6)]<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-497 A 8:12 10:22 Secti<strong>on</strong>: Understanding and attributing change<br />

- Suggest including Figure TS-23<br />

[Govt. <strong>of</strong> United Kingdom (Reviewer’s comment ID #: 2022-13)]<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-498 A 8:12 10:22 Understanding and attributing climate change. What about <strong>the</strong> growing body <strong>of</strong> work <strong>on</strong> detecti<strong>on</strong> and attributi<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> climate<br />

change in rainfall and river flow records?<br />

[Govt. <strong>of</strong> United Kingdom (Reviewer’s comment ID #: 2022-26)]<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-499 A 8:12 14:18 Some climate projecti<strong>on</strong>s are given with no specificati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir likelihood (es: c<strong>on</strong>tracti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> snow cover extent <strong>SPM</strong>-12,<br />

line 16 to 17). This happens several times in <strong>the</strong> text. Maybe a sentence should be added in Note 5 <strong>SPM</strong>-1 saying that in some<br />

cases results are certain, and in this case no likelihood is specified for <strong>the</strong> result, or likelihood should be added in all cases.<br />

[Govt. <strong>of</strong> Italy (Reviewer’s comment ID #: 2012-21)]<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-500 A 8:14 8:15 The first sentence c<strong>on</strong>cerning detecti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> climate change, (which is repeated at TS page 33, lines 3-4) does not clearly match<br />

<strong>the</strong> glossary definiti<strong>on</strong> and may be c<strong>on</strong>fusing for policy readers. Suggest that <strong>the</strong> glossary definiti<strong>on</strong> is repeated: "Detecti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />

climate change is <strong>the</strong> process <strong>of</strong> dem<strong>on</strong>strating that climate has changed in some defined statistical sense, without providing a<br />

reas<strong>on</strong> for that change".<br />

[Govt. <strong>of</strong> Australia (Reviewer’s comment ID #: 2002-82)]<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-501 A 8:14 8:15 "Natural variability" needs to be clearly defined somewhere in <strong>the</strong> text (as in footnotes <strong>on</strong> p.1). Policy-makers will generally<br />

assume that natural variability is a functi<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> n<strong>on</strong>-anthropogenic drivers - ra<strong>the</strong>r than <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>cept <strong>of</strong> "unforced variability"<br />

introduced later in secti<strong>on</strong> (<strong>SPM</strong>10 line 19).<br />

[Govt. <strong>of</strong> Canada (Reviewer’s comment ID #: 2004-35)]<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-502 A 8:14 8:34 The term 'unforced variability' line 34 and in some o<strong>the</strong>r places is not clear. It seems to mean here 'n<strong>on</strong> anthropogenic' while<br />

<strong>the</strong> same term page 10 line 19 used for <strong>the</strong> past 700 years means 'internal variability' (i.e., without volcanic and solar<br />

forcings). Thus <strong>the</strong>re is some incoherence.Please define clearly 'natural variability' and 'unforced variability' . For <strong>the</strong><br />

definiti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> detecti<strong>on</strong>, "natural variability" should be replaced by "internal variability" in c<strong>on</strong>sistency with Chapter 9<br />

definiti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> detecti<strong>on</strong> (see in particular page 5, lines 54-56). Volcanic erupti<strong>on</strong>s are said to have c<strong>on</strong>tributed to <strong>the</strong> observed<br />

past variability. Is this c<strong>on</strong>sidered forced variability ?<br />

[Govt. <strong>of</strong> France (Reviewer’s comment ID #: 2010-28)]<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-503 A 8:14 8:15 This definiti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> climate change is not in agreement with Note 1 <strong>on</strong> Page 1, that defines climate change in <strong>IPCC</strong> usage<br />

[Govt. <strong>of</strong> Italy (Reviewer’s comment ID #: 2012-4)]<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-504 A 8:14 8:15 This sentence does not appear to be fully c<strong>on</strong>sistent with <strong>the</strong> definiti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> "Climate Change in <strong>IPCC</strong> usage" as provided in<br />

footnote 1 <strong>on</strong> page <strong>SPM</strong>-1. Its c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> may be rechecked and modified appropriately, if deemed desirable.<br />

[Govt. <strong>of</strong> Pakistan (Reviewer’s comment ID #: 2017-4)]<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-505 A 8:14 8:15 The statement «Climate change is said to be detected when <strong>the</strong>re is <strong>on</strong>ly a small likelihood that observed changes might have<br />

occurred solely due to natural variability» is to be excluded or adjusted according to <strong>the</strong> basic c<strong>on</strong>cept: “Climate change in<br />

<strong>IPCC</strong> usage refers to any change in climate over time, whe<strong>the</strong>r due to natural variability or as a result <strong>of</strong> human activity" (see<br />

Page 54 <strong>of</strong> 99

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