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Government Comments on the Final Draft of the SPM IPCC Working ...

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<str<strong>on</strong>g>Government</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Comments</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Final</strong> <strong>Draft</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>SPM</strong><br />

<strong>IPCC</strong> <strong>Working</strong> Group I Fourth Assessment Report<br />

Batch<br />

Page:line<br />

No.<br />

From To Comment<br />

[Govt. <strong>of</strong> Australia (Reviewer’s comment ID #: 2002-127)]<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-840 A 13:30 13:32 The first sentence places <strong>the</strong> dominant emphasis <strong>on</strong> 'uncertainty' and not <strong>on</strong> what is known. TS page 45 lines 50-55<br />

characterise a more definite and clear presentati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> issue, which should be reflected here.<br />

[Govt. <strong>of</strong> Australia (Reviewer’s comment ID #: 2002-128)]<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-841 A 13:30 13:35 A large number <strong>of</strong> studies and scientific literature indicate that if average global surface temperature rises by more than 2°C<br />

above its pre-industriel level, <strong>the</strong> risks to ecosystems and human societies increase sharply. Reducing this risk would require<br />

that <strong>the</strong> CO2 c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong> be stabilized below 400-450 parts per milli<strong>on</strong>. This is notably <strong>the</strong> basis for <strong>the</strong> European Uni<strong>on</strong><br />

positi<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> l<strong>on</strong>g term reducti<strong>on</strong> targets. It would be very helpful that <strong>the</strong> <strong>SPM</strong> addresses this questi<strong>on</strong> and also clarifies by<br />

when such a 2°C increase would be reached under various scenarios . This is all <strong>the</strong> more important since this is a crosscutting<br />

<strong>the</strong>mes <strong>of</strong> AR4.<br />

[Govt. <strong>of</strong> Belgium (Reviewer’s comment ID #: 2003-60)]<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-842 A 13:30 13:35 This bullet is very complex and needs to be simplified, particularly <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>on</strong>d sentence. For example, suggest, at line 32,<br />

saying "...require additi<strong>on</strong>al reducti<strong>on</strong>s…" and <strong>the</strong>n also changing line 34 to read "…feedback, <strong>of</strong> 105 to 300 GtC and <strong>of</strong> 165<br />

to 510 GtC..."<br />

[Govt. <strong>of</strong> Canada (Reviewer’s comment ID #: 2004-57)]<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-843 A 13:30 13:35 Awkwardly written paragraph. Also, it does not address <strong>the</strong> subject in <strong>the</strong> bolded heading so it is not clear to <strong>the</strong> reader why<br />

this paragraph is here. IF used, suggest rewording as follows: The magnitude <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> positive feedback between climate change<br />

and <strong>the</strong> carb<strong>on</strong> cycle is uncertain. This leads to uncertainty about how to achieve any particular atmospheric CO2 stabilizati<strong>on</strong><br />

level.<br />

[Govt. <strong>of</strong> Canada (Reviewer’s comment ID #: 2004-58)]<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-844 A 13:30 13:35 Feedbacks with Climate. This is a very important and critical analysis that should be expanded. Increase risk <strong>of</strong> positive feedback<br />

should be described in terms <strong>of</strong> ocean vs land feed backs and within <strong>the</strong> comp<strong>on</strong>ent (oceand/land) an assessment <strong>of</strong><br />

potential risks <strong>of</strong> positive (or negative) feed backs should be highlighted. For example in <strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> land <strong>the</strong> role <strong>of</strong><br />

permafrost melting and increase <strong>of</strong> soil organic carb<strong>on</strong> oxydati<strong>on</strong> or increase <strong>of</strong> fires should be syn<strong>the</strong>tized at least with <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

uncertainties.<br />

[Govt. <strong>of</strong> Italy (Reviewer’s comment ID #: 2012-24)]<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-845 A 13:30 13:35 Line 34 states ”450 and 1000ppm”, however, a state <strong>of</strong> “ppm” is not clear to indicate if it is <strong>of</strong> a unit <strong>of</strong> CO2 c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong> or<br />

<strong>of</strong> a <strong>on</strong>e <strong>of</strong> GHG c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong> in CO2 equivalent. It may c<strong>on</strong>fuse policy makers.<br />

In order to avoid c<strong>on</strong>fusi<strong>on</strong>, please clearly state <strong>the</strong> unit for instance, ppm(CO2) or ppm(GHG) throughout <strong>SPM</strong>.<br />

[Govt. <strong>of</strong> Japan (Reviewer’s comment ID #: 2013-20)]<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-846 A 13:30 13:35 This paragraph covers some complex c<strong>on</strong>cepts. It would be more useful to policy makers if <strong>the</strong> meaning <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> paragraph was<br />

clarified. Our suggesti<strong>on</strong> is: "The magnitude <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> positive feedback between climate change and <strong>the</strong> carb<strong>on</strong> cycle is<br />

uncertain. This leads in turn to uncertainty over <strong>the</strong> atmospheric c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong>s that will result from particular emissi<strong>on</strong>s<br />

scenarios. A number <strong>of</strong> models suggest that cummulative emissi<strong>on</strong>s in <strong>the</strong> 21st century require to be 105 to 300 Gt lower<br />

because <strong>of</strong> this positive feedback, than without this feedback, to stabilise at 450 ppm. To stabilise at 1000 ppm emissi<strong>on</strong>s<br />

require to be 165 to 510 Gt lower."<br />

[Govt. <strong>of</strong> New Zealand (Reviewer’s comment ID #: 2015-9)]<br />

Page 92 <strong>of</strong> 99

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