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ealistic shaking scenarios for regional demonstration projects<br />

with physics-based simulations of damage and improved<br />

earthquake hazard and loss assessment. The development of<br />

such new insights is accelerated dramatically by earthquakes<br />

or eruptions of particular significance, but the timing of these<br />

events cannot be anticipated. Thus, we must be ready by operating<br />

a fiducial network of seismic observatories, maintaining<br />

state-of-the-art portable instruments that can be deployed<br />

rapidly when important earthquake and volcanic eruption<br />

sequences occur, and developing capabilities for rapid<br />

warning of earthquake shaking.<br />

Change and Interactions Among Climate,<br />

Hydrology, Surface Processes, and Tectonics<br />

How do Earth dynamics and structure relate to the distribution<br />

of freshwater and energy resources? How do the coupled systems<br />

respond to natural and anthropogenic forcing?<br />

Seismology has an overwhelmingly important role to play in<br />

the development of energy options for the 21 st century, and<br />

is an important complement to other geophysical techniques<br />

in managing water resources. PASSCAL and FA deployments<br />

increasingly facilitate 3D seismic imaging at the reservoir<br />

and basin scales that are of central importance to oil and gas<br />

exploration and to optimal management of existing fields.<br />

Induced earthquakes monitored by networked instruments<br />

have had impacts on geothermal energy, where they have led<br />

to operations being shut down. Induced earthquakes have<br />

also had an impact on shale gas development where they have<br />

been implicated in operations to re-inject flowback water. If<br />

CO 2 sequestration is to happen at a scale to mitigate climate<br />

change, induced earthquakes are likely to place important<br />

constraints on that activity as well. The future of nuclear<br />

power plant construction and high-level radioactive waste<br />

disposal is critically dependent on developing a predictive<br />

understanding of earthquake behavior, particularly in areas<br />

of low seismic hazard.<br />

A new generation of integrated power and data acquisition<br />

systems developed by experienced PASSCAL and<br />

UNAVCO engineers has facilitated growth and success of the<br />

Polar Earth Observing Network (POLENET)—a project to<br />

collect seismic and geodetic data from autonomous systems<br />

deployed at remote sites spanning much of the Antarctic ice<br />

sheet to answer critical questions about their behavior in a<br />

warming world. Combining these POLENET measurements<br />

with ground-based measurements of gravity, sea level, and the<br />

atmosphere and with satellite measurements will lead to better<br />

ice sheet budgets, link ice sheet change to the global Earth<br />

system, and provide a deeper understanding of how polar ice<br />

sheets contribute to changing sea levels around the world.<br />

<strong>IRIS</strong>’s role in the Greenland Ice Sheet Monitoring Network<br />

(GLISN) has established a real-time array of seismic stations<br />

Glacial and Iceberg “Earthquakes”<br />

Recent deployments of broadband seismometers on ice sheets<br />

and icebergs have recorded breakup in the Ross Sea near<br />

Antarctica, calving of ice off the end of glaciers, and iceberg<br />

fracturing. The records are yielding new insights into these<br />

processes, which may be accelerating due to climate change.<br />

Glacial earthquakes were discovered recently as low-frequency<br />

signals in seismograms from the GSN. Many of the events that<br />

occur during the late summer along the coasts of Greenland<br />

are clustered near large outlet glaciers. The rate of glacialearthquake<br />

occurrence varies from year to year, increasing<br />

quickly between 2000 and 2005 but continuing at a steady<br />

rate more recently. Variations in glacier-terminus position and<br />

retreat rate between seasons and between years account in<br />

general for variation in the rate of occurrence of glacial earthquakes.<br />

Seismological measurement of glacier and iceberg<br />

dynamics adds a new tool both for monitoring and for retrospective<br />

studies of 20 th century activity, but on-site investigations<br />

to discover the mechanisms by which glacial phenomena<br />

generate seismic signals are needed to maximize returns from<br />

multidisciplinary data analysis.<br />

66.60<br />

66.55<br />

66.50<br />

66.45<br />

66.40<br />

66.35<br />

66.30<br />

GPS/NRS<br />

GPS/Gonz<br />

Camera<br />

Helheim Network 2009<br />

Seismometer<br />

AWS<br />

Tide gauge<br />

–38.7 –38.6 –38.5 –38.4 –38.3 –38.2 –38.1 –38.0<br />

“Studies of Earthquakes and Rapid Motions of Ice” used PASSCAL and<br />

other instruments to focus on East Greenland’s two largest outlet glaciers,<br />

Helheim glacier and Kangerdlugssuaq glacier. This map shows<br />

seismological, geodetic, photographic, and other systems used for local<br />

monitoring of Helheim glacier during the summer of 2009, collected<br />

in the field and via remote sensing, to build an understanding of flow<br />

dynamics and short-timescale glacier behavior. The data demonstrated<br />

that the times of glacial earthquakes are strongly correlated with large<br />

calving events, which result in rapid changes in glacier speed. The seismic<br />

signals were generated by impacts on the face of the glacier and the<br />

underlying solid Earth when cubic-kilometer-scale icebergs capsized.<br />

(Nettles and Ekström, 2010)<br />

I-12 VOLUME 1 | Section I | Scientific Justification

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