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IHS iSuppli Automotive MEMS Market Tracker

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ABSTRACT – <strong>MEMS</strong> & Sensors<br />

<strong>IHS</strong> <strong>iSuppli</strong><br />

<strong>Automotive</strong> <strong>MEMS</strong> <strong>Market</strong> <strong>Tracker</strong><br />

Richard Dixon – Principal Analyst, <strong>MEMS</strong> & Sensors 2012<br />

2011 was the second consecutive “bumper year” for automotive <strong>MEMS</strong> sensors and<br />

actuators. Polls of the major sensor companies indicated that the market grew by 14.2% in<br />

2011 reaching $2.24 billion. While remarkable by itself, this result builds on the 27.3%<br />

revenue growth in the previous year when the auto industry climbed out of the deep valley<br />

of the recession. By 2016, the market will approach $3.25 billion, up from $2.24 billion in<br />

2011, a CAGR of 7.7%. The market will exceed $3 billion for the first time in 2015.<br />

Compared to 2011, the market in 2012 will stabilize to some extent, and grow by 7.2%.<br />

From 2012 onwards to 2014, the market grows more rapidly in what can be described as the<br />

“fat” years” as vehicle manufacturers hasten to comply with safety legislation for ESC in the<br />

U.S., Europe, Australia, Korea, and Japan; and TPMS in the U.S., Europe, Korea, and<br />

China. In 2013, the sensor market will grow by 9.7% and by 2014 by 13.6% when essentially<br />

all new vehicles will be subject to the mandates needed to comply with regulations.<br />

In 2015 and 2016 the growth rates drop markedly to 4.9% and 3.6%, respectively. The yearon-year<br />

growth rates represent a cause for concern, as they are below those of the average in<br />

the five years prior to the 2008/2009 recession where sensors sales are estimated to have<br />

been running at about 5% to 7%—unless new legislation or applications emerge to bolster<br />

the market. The report thus speculates on some of the applications that could stimulate the<br />

market beyond 2016, e.g. filters for GDI and accelerometers for E-call.<br />

Forecast<br />

Frequency, Time Period<br />

• 5-year annual forecast to 2016<br />

• 4-year historical, back to 2008<br />

Measures<br />

• Revenue for 1st level packaged<br />

components<br />

• ASPs<br />

• Shipments<br />

<strong>Market</strong> by Region (units, revenues)<br />

• N. America, Europe, Japan, China,<br />

ROW<br />

<strong>Market</strong> by Segment<br />

• Luxury, Mid-range and Low-end<br />

<strong>Market</strong> shares<br />

Revenues of top 10 automotive <strong>MEMS</strong><br />

suppliers<br />

• 2008 to 2011 inclusive<br />

US$, millions<br />

3500<br />

3000<br />

2500<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

<strong>Market</strong> for <strong>Automotive</strong> <strong>MEMS</strong> sensors<br />

by Region* (<strong>IHS</strong> <strong>iSuppli</strong>)<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016<br />

Europe North America China Rest of World Japan<br />

<strong>Market</strong> shares by <strong>MEMS</strong> product<br />

• 2008 to 2011 inclusive<br />

• For low g accelerometers, high g<br />

accelerometers, gyroscopes, pressure<br />

sensors, flow sensors, thermopiles,<br />

microbolometers and emerging<br />

sensors<br />

Tier 1 suppliers for ESC, TPMS<br />

<strong>Market</strong> share by applications<br />

• Accelerometers in ESC<br />

• Accelerometers in ECU airbags<br />

• Accelerometers in satellite airbags<br />

• Gyroscopes in ESC<br />

• Gyroscopes in In-Dash navigation<br />

• Pressure sensors in side airbags<br />

• Pressure sensors in ESC<br />

• Pressure sensors in TPMS<br />

Key Issues Addressed<br />

• With 2010 and 2011 counting as record<br />

years, what is the implication for 2012?<br />

• How did sensor manufacturers fare?<br />

Which companies did better and why?<br />

• Asian mandates: new markets insights<br />

on ESC and TPMS from China, Korea<br />

and Japan.<br />

• How important is China as a market for<br />

sensor suppliers? What are the<br />

opportunities?<br />

Applicable To<br />

• <strong>MEMS</strong> Component Manufacturers<br />

- <strong>Market</strong>ing, Executive<br />

• <strong>MEMS</strong> Foundries<br />

- <strong>Market</strong>ing<br />

• Equipment for <strong>MEMS</strong>, ASIC and<br />

Semiconductor Manufacturers,<br />

Packaging and Testing<br />

- Sales & <strong>Market</strong>ing<br />

• OEM procurement managers<br />

• Tier 1 procurement managers<br />

Tier 1 – tier 2 relationships for major<br />

applications<br />

• Inertial sensors in ESC<br />

• Pressure TPMS<br />

Technologies Covered<br />

• <strong>MEMS</strong> sensors such as<br />

accelerometers, gyroscopes, pressure<br />

and flow sensors<br />

• Silicon <strong>MEMS</strong>, Quartz <strong>MEMS</strong> and<br />

Piezo-ceramic <strong>MEMS</strong><br />

www.isuppli.com<br />

© 2012 <strong>iSuppli</strong> Corporation, a Company Which was Acquired by <strong>IHS</strong> Inc<br />

+1 310 524 4007 | www.isuppli.com


<strong>Automotive</strong> <strong>MEMS</strong> <strong>Market</strong> <strong>Tracker</strong><br />

Sensors Covered<br />

• Accelerometer (e.g. ESC, roll<br />

detection)<br />

• Microbolometers (night vision systems)<br />

• Thermopiles (cabin temperature)<br />

• Micro-scanning mirror (HUD)<br />

• Gas sensor (air cabin quality)<br />

• Pressure (MAP, BAP, EGR, TPMS,<br />

HVAC)<br />

• Gyroscope (ESC, navigation, roll<br />

detection)<br />

• Flow (MAF, HVAC)<br />

• Sound sensor (crash sensing)<br />

• Micro-valve (emerging HVAC)<br />

• Oscillators (rear view cameras)<br />

Applications Covered<br />

• Active suspension<br />

• Barometric air pressure (BAP)<br />

• Built-in navigation<br />

• Cabin air flow (HVAC)<br />

• Continuous Variable Transmission<br />

• Diesel particle filter<br />

• Electronic Parking Brake (EPB)<br />

• Fuel tank vapour pressure<br />

• Manifold air pressure (MAP)<br />

• Mass Air Flow (MAF)<br />

• Roll detection<br />

• Satellite crash sensor (airbag)<br />

• TPMS<br />

• Vacuum boost (stop-start system)<br />

• Vehicle Anti-Theft<br />

• Brake system pressure (ESC)<br />

• Passenger Occupation Detection<br />

• Common fuel rail / direct injection<br />

• Exhaust gas recirculation<br />

• Oil pressure<br />

• ESC gyroscope (inertial cluster / as<br />

part of "combination" sensor)<br />

• ESC accelerometer (single axis, part<br />

of inertial cluster)<br />

• ESC accelerometer (dual axis, part of<br />

inertial cluster / combination sensor)<br />

• ECU airbag<br />

• Satellite airbag<br />

• Cabin control, air quality, anti-fogging,<br />

ice detection<br />

• Night vision systems<br />

• Head-up display, rear view camera<br />

• Crash sensing (sound sensor)<br />

• Air quality and HVAC (pressure)<br />

• E-call and accident sensors<br />

• In cylinder pressure<br />

Sample Table of Contents<br />

Introduction<br />

Executive Summary<br />

Findings and Implications<br />

<strong>Market</strong> Update and Outlook<br />

• 2011 – Earthquake and 2010 excesses will<br />

lead to a subdued year<br />

• 2012 and beyond: stable times ahead<br />

• <strong>Market</strong> by Device<br />

• <strong>Market</strong> by Application<br />

• <strong>Market</strong> by Region<br />

• A Close Up of What’s New in H2<br />

• Overview of Notable Changes to the<br />

Current <strong>Tracker</strong><br />

Appendix A: Definitions (Products, Applications,<br />

Regions)<br />

Appendix B: Research Methodology<br />

Figures<br />

Impact of Passenger Car Production and<br />

Inventory on Sensor Shipments, 2010-2015<br />

Shipments of <strong>Automotive</strong> <strong>MEMS</strong> Sensors by<br />

Device, 2006-2015<br />

Revenues of <strong>Automotive</strong> <strong>MEMS</strong> Sensors by<br />

Device, 2006-2015<br />

Production of Passenger Cars Under 5 Tons<br />

Worldwide, 2006-2015<br />

Growth rates (CAGR) for <strong>MEMS</strong> sensors, 2009-<br />

2015<br />

Revenues of <strong>Automotive</strong> <strong>MEMS</strong> Sensors by<br />

Application, 2006-2015*<br />

Revenues of <strong>Automotive</strong> <strong>MEMS</strong> Sensors by<br />

Application, 2006-2015*<br />

Electronic Parking Brake<br />

Sensor Revenues by Region, 2006-2015<br />

Revenues for Japanese and Korean <strong>Automotive</strong><br />

<strong>MEMS</strong> Sensors<br />

Due to Mandates, 2006-2015<br />

TPMS Shipments by Region, 2006-2015<br />

Pressure Sensors Located in the Front Bumper<br />

Impact Absorption Filling<br />

Detect Impact with a Pedestrian and Activate<br />

Safety Systems<br />

Tables<br />

Summary of changes to the H1 2011<br />

<strong>Automotive</strong> <strong>MEMS</strong> <strong>Tracker</strong><br />

Lead Analyst<br />

Dr Richard Dixon, Senior Analyst<br />

Richard Dixon is senior analyst for<br />

<strong>MEMS</strong> and the author of over 50<br />

<strong>MEMS</strong> related consulting and market<br />

research studies.<br />

Richard graduated from North Kent<br />

University with a degree in Materials<br />

Science and earned a doctorate from<br />

Surrey University on semiconductor<br />

characterization.<br />

He served as a technology transfer<br />

engineer for RTI International for 5<br />

years before serving as an analyst<br />

for WTC for consumer and<br />

automotive <strong>MEMS</strong>.<br />

Richard speaks English and German.<br />

www.isuppli.com +1 310 524 4007<br />

© 2012 <strong>iSuppli</strong> Corporation, a Company Which was Acquired by <strong>IHS</strong> Inc

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