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Ulla<br />

Mörtberg<br />

<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong> <strong>Process</strong>: A<br />

Study on Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong><br />

Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh<br />

Province, Pakistan<br />

Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui<br />

February 2013<br />

TRITA-LWR Degree Project 13-05<br />

ISSN 1651-064X<br />

LWR-EX-13-05


Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

© Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui 2013<br />

Degree Project for the masters program in Water Systems Technology<br />

Department of L<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Water Resources Engineering<br />

Royal Institute of Technology (KTH)<br />

SE-100 44 STOCKHOLM, Sweden<br />

Reference should be written as: Afridi, M.A., Siddiqui, M.A (2013) “<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: A Study of Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on<br />

Sindh Province, Pakistan” TRITA-LWR Degree Project 13:05, 37p<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

SUMMARY<br />

Flooding is one of the most common natural disasters not only for Pakistan but to the<br />

whole world. The reasons behind flooding could be due to occurrence of abnormal<br />

rainfall, melting of snow or failure of hydraulic structures. Its extent of damage does<br />

not stick only to losses of lives but in fact infrastructure, cultivated l<strong>and</strong>, water bodies<br />

<strong>and</strong> livestock are the sectors which become useless for the whole society. Flooding as<br />

it disrupts the whole society needs rehabilitation as well after the flood event, which is<br />

the most challenging one for developing country. The study is focused to review the<br />

flooding history of Pakistan, conduct field survey in flood relief camps in three<br />

districts of Sindh Province to raise the problems of rehabilitation process, highlight<br />

the drawbacks in the flood mitigation measure of the water managers of Pakistan.<br />

Pakistan has faced more than 24 times flooding since its independence. The flooding<br />

in 2010 was the most drastic in the history of Pakistan. These flooding resulted in<br />

29547 USD million estimated financial loss <strong>and</strong> 12452 human’s loss. Apart of this, the<br />

floods affected an area of 59576 sq. miles. Southern province of Pakistan, Sindh, is<br />

most prone province to flooding as the Indus River is passing through the middle of<br />

the Province. The main causes of flooding in Pakistan are the monsoon rainfall, which<br />

result flash flooding in the northern part of Pakistan <strong>and</strong> riverine flooding in the<br />

southern part i.e. mainly Sindh Province. The southern part is lower than the river bed<br />

which make the situation critical in the Sindh Province in case of any flooding. The<br />

damage is also increases as people have encroached to the flood plain in the Sindh<br />

Province. For flood mitigation, Pakistan have spent billions of USD but such<br />

investment is mainly in the construction of hydraulic structures <strong>and</strong> little improvement<br />

in the flood forecasting after 1992 flooding but have missed to educate people about<br />

flooding, creating of authentic flood hazard maps, study of Indus River morphology<br />

<strong>and</strong> enhancing the capacity of the disaster management agencies. The survey findings<br />

reveal the mismanagement in the distribution of early compensation money to the<br />

flood victims, such money has been distributing through a relief card which called<br />

Watan card. Though 1.6 million of Watan cards have been distributed but still people<br />

are waiting for such compensation. People those who got this card think that PKR<br />

100000 or USD 1100 is not enough. Flood victims have serious reservation on<br />

political leaders being involved in the corruption of cards distribution. Flood victims<br />

are still in need of relief goods. Flood victims have also pointed out that some feudals<br />

or political leaders have deliberately diverted the flood water, towards villages, for<br />

their vested interest. The survey also raised the poor communication between the<br />

disaster management agencies <strong>and</strong> people as some people were unaware of flooding<br />

even till the last stage. NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies need security <strong>and</strong> logistic support so<br />

that they could carry out the relief works in better way to speed up the rehabilitation<br />

process. The government is supposed to take immediate action in improvement in the<br />

flood forecasting technology, enhance the flood benefits, educate people about flood<br />

hazard, execute study of river morphology <strong>and</strong> make authentic flood hazard maps. All<br />

such actions must be economical, feasible <strong>and</strong> meet the Indus basin management plan.<br />

For relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process, the government needs to keep the political<br />

leaders away from any kind of involvement in the whole process to make the relief<br />

<strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process smooth <strong>and</strong> free from any sort of corruption.<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

SUMMARY IN SWEDISH<br />

Översvämningar är en av de vanligaste naturkatastroferna inte bara för Pakistan utan<br />

för hela världen. Orsakerna översvämning kan bero på är förekomst av onormala regn<br />

nivåer, smält<strong>and</strong>e snö eller fel av hydrauliska strukturer. Skadans omfattning<br />

inbegriper inte bara förluster liv utan infrastruktur, odlad mark, vattendrag,<br />

djurenheter är de sektorer som blir värdelösa för samhället. Översvämningar som stör<br />

hela rehabiliteringen samhället behöver efter översvämning, som är den mest<br />

utman<strong>and</strong>e för utvecklingsländer. Studien är fokuserad att granska översvämningarnas<br />

historia, Pakistan uppförde fältundersöknings läger om översvämningar i tre distrikt i<br />

Sindh-provinsen för att påvisa problemen med rehabilitering, markera nackdelarna i<br />

att begränsa översvämningarnas mått i Pakistan. Pakistan har haft mer än 24<br />

översvämningar sedan dess självständighet. Översvämningarna under 2010 var den<br />

mest drastiska i historien om Pakistan. Dessa översvämningar resulterade i 29.547 M<br />

USD beräknad ekonomisk förlust <strong>och</strong> 12.452 populations förlust. Bortsett från detta,<br />

påverkade översvämningarna ett område av 59.576 kvm miles. Södra provinsen av<br />

Pakistan, Sindh, är den mest benägna provins till översvämningar då floden Indus<br />

passerar genom mitten av provinsen. De främsta orsakerna till översvämningar i<br />

Pakistan är monsun regn, vilket resulterat i plötsliga översvämningar i norra delen av<br />

Pakistan <strong>och</strong> flodens översvämningar i södra delen, dvs huvudsakligen Sindhprovinsen.<br />

Den södra delen är lägre än flodbädden som gör situationen kritisk i Sindhprovinsen<br />

i händelse av översvämning. Skadan ökar också eftersom människor har<br />

inkräktat på flodslätten i Sindh-provinsen. För att begränsa översvämningar har<br />

Pakistan spenderat miljarder dollar, men en sådan investering är främst i bygg<strong>and</strong>et av<br />

hydrauliska strukturer <strong>och</strong> liten förbättring i översvämningsprognoser efter 1992 års<br />

översvämningar, men man har missat att utbilda människor om översvämningar,<br />

skapa autentiska kartor över översvämningshotade områden, studie av Indus flodens<br />

morfologi <strong>och</strong> öka kapaciteten av katastrofhantering. Undersökningens resultat visar<br />

en misskötsel i fördelningen av tidig kompensation till offren för översvämningarna,<br />

dessa pengar har distribueras genom en lättnads kort som kallas Watan kort. Även 1,6<br />

miljoner av Watan kort har delats ut, men fortfar<strong>and</strong>e finns människor som väntar på<br />

sådan ersättning. Människor som fick detta kort tror att PKR 100.000 eller 1100 dollar<br />

är inte tillräckligt. Översvämningsoffer har allvarliga reservationer på politiska ledare<br />

som är involverade i korruption av kortets distribution. Översvämningsdrabbade är<br />

fortfar<strong>and</strong>e i behov av lättnads varor. Översvämningsoffer har också påpekat att vissa<br />

läns eller politiska ledare avsiktligt har avlett flodens vatten, mot byar, för deras<br />

egenintresse. Undersökningen tog också den dåliga kommunikationen mellan<br />

myndigheternas katastrofhantering <strong>och</strong> människor, då vissa människor var omedvetna<br />

om översvämningar ända till det sista steget. Frivilligorganisationer <strong>och</strong> biståndsorgan<br />

behöver trygghet <strong>och</strong> logistiskt stöd så att de kunde genomföra lättnad på ett bättre<br />

sätt <strong>och</strong> påskynda rehabiliteringsprocessen. Regeringen ska vidta omedelbara åtgärder<br />

gäll<strong>and</strong>e förbättring tekniken runt översvämningsprognoser, öka översvämningens<br />

fördelar, utbilda människor om översvämningshoten, köra studie av flodens morfologi<br />

<strong>och</strong> göra autentiska kartor över översvämningshotade områden. Alla sådana åtgärder<br />

måste vara ekonomiska, genomförbara <strong>och</strong> träffa Indus förvaltningsplan. För lindring<br />

<strong>och</strong> rehabilitering, måste regeringen hålla de politiska ledarna från alla former av<br />

inbl<strong>and</strong>ning i hela processen för att göra lättnad <strong>och</strong> rehabilitering jämn <strong>och</strong> fri från<br />

någon form av korruption.<br />

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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS<br />

First of all, we are thankful to all teachers, teacher’s assistants <strong>and</strong> friends for their<br />

support in any respect at different stages of this master program in Water Systems<br />

Technology at The Royal Institute of Technology (KTH), Sweden.<br />

We would like to express our deepest gratitude to the degree project advisor, Prof.<br />

Prosun Bhattacharya, whose availability, fruitful discussions, insightful advices <strong>and</strong><br />

guidance enabled us to complete this degree project.<br />

We offer great regards to all those who helped us in the field visits to the flood relief<br />

camps in the study area, Sindh Province, Pakistan. The survey would not have been<br />

executed without their support.<br />

Finally, we would like to thank our families for their infinite love, encouragement <strong>and</strong><br />

support in every form for so long. Without their kindness <strong>and</strong> prayers, the master<br />

program studies would not have been possible.<br />

Muhammad Amjad Afridi<br />

Muhammad Alam Siddiqui<br />

Stockholm, February, 2013<br />

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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

TABLE OF CONTENTS<br />

Summary<br />

iii<br />

Summary in Swedish<br />

v<br />

Acknowledgements<br />

vii<br />

Table of Contents<br />

ix<br />

Abbreviations<br />

xi<br />

Abstract 1<br />

Introduction 1<br />

Aim of the Study 2<br />

Material 2<br />

Location <strong>and</strong> area of study 2<br />

Sindh Province 2<br />

Literature Review of Flooding in Pakistan 4<br />

History of Pakistan Flood 6<br />

Indus Basin Water System 7<br />

Irrigation System 10<br />

Causes of Flood 10<br />

Flood Mitigation Measures 15<br />

PMD, Flood Forecasting <strong>and</strong> Warning Systems 17<br />

Flood Damages in Sindh 18<br />

Impacts on Housing 18<br />

Impacts on Basic public services <strong>and</strong> Infrastructure 18<br />

Impacts on Agriculture <strong>and</strong> Livestock 18<br />

Impacts on Socio-Economic <strong>and</strong> Health Units 18<br />

Impacts on Indus River Morphology 19<br />

Relief <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong> <strong>Process</strong> 20<br />

National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) 20<br />

Provincial Disaster Management Authorities (PDMA) 21<br />

Emergency Relief Cell (ERC) 21<br />

Pak Army Relief Wing 21<br />

Watan Card Scheme 21<br />

Methods 22<br />

Results <strong>and</strong> Discussions 25<br />

Analysis of the responses of flood affected people in the field survey 25<br />

Analysis of the responses of NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies 30<br />

Analysis of the responses of Policy makers 31<br />

Analysis of flood mitigation measures 31<br />

Conclusion <strong>and</strong> Recommendations 33<br />

Conclusion 33<br />

Recommendations 34<br />

Technical <strong>and</strong> Management Issues 34<br />

Awareness Programs 34<br />

Relief <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>s 35<br />

References 36<br />

Other references 36<br />

Appendices<br />

I<br />

A. Flood affected people in study area of Sindh province, assessment of basic<br />

demographic information<br />

I<br />

B. Questionnaire response from the flood victims II<br />

C. Questionnaire response from the aid agencies personals III<br />

D. Questionnaire response from the NGOs III<br />

E. Questionnaire response from Policy makers IV<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

ABBREVIATIONS<br />

ADB<br />

DDMA<br />

ERC<br />

FEWS<br />

FFC<br />

FFD<br />

FPSP<br />

ICID<br />

IFFS<br />

NDMA<br />

NFPP<br />

NGOs<br />

PDMA<br />

PKR<br />

PMD<br />

RMP<br />

SEK<br />

UNO<br />

USD<br />

WAPDA<br />

WFD<br />

WMO<br />

Pakistan <strong>and</strong> Asian Development Bank<br />

District Disaster Management Authority<br />

Emergency Relief Cell<br />

Flood Early Warning System<br />

Federal Flood Commission<br />

Flood Forecasting Division<br />

First Flood Protection Sector Project<br />

International Commission on Irrigation <strong>and</strong> Drainage<br />

Indus Flood Forecasting System<br />

National disaster Management Authority<br />

National Flood Protection Plan<br />

Non-Governmental Organizations<br />

Provincial Disaster Management Authority<br />

Pakistani Rupees<br />

Pakistan Meteorological Department<br />

River Management Program<br />

Swedish Krona<br />

United Nation Organization<br />

United States Dollar<br />

Water <strong>and</strong> Power Development Authority<br />

World Food Programme<br />

World Meteorological Organization<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

ABSTRACT<br />

Flooding is a common natural disaster to Pakistan <strong>and</strong> to its Sindh Province. Flooding<br />

brings a challenging task for the disaster management agencies to bring back the<br />

whole infrastructure to pre-flood situation through proper rehabilitation process. The<br />

study is focused to review the flooding history of Pakistan, conduct survey in flood<br />

relief camps of Sindh Province to raise the problems of rehabilitation process,<br />

highlight the drawbacks in the flood mitigation measures of Pakistan. The 2010 flood<br />

was the most devastating in the history of Pakistan, which resulted in an estimated<br />

financial loss of more than USD 10000 million. The principal causes of floods in<br />

Pakistan are the monsoon heavy rainfall <strong>and</strong> the topography of the Indus River, which<br />

produce flash flooding in the northern <strong>and</strong> riverine flooding in the south-eastern part<br />

of Pakistan i.e.Sindh Province. PMD is lacking of modern technology to forecast the<br />

flash flooding <strong>and</strong> there is a lack of coordination between disaster management<br />

agencies. The field survey raises the mismanagement in the distribution of the relief<br />

goods, slow process of rehabilitations <strong>and</strong> low confidence of the flood victims on the<br />

political leaders. Similarly, NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies need security <strong>and</strong> logistic support<br />

to help the government in a much better way to speed up the rehabilitation process.<br />

Pakistani water policy makers have to educate the people as well about flooding to<br />

reduce the flood damages. Flood impact in Pakistan can also be reduced by paying<br />

attention to study of river morphology, construction of water reservoirs <strong>and</strong><br />

improvement of disaster management capacity, but all such measures must be<br />

integrated to the current Indus basin management plan.<br />

Key words: Flooding, Indus River, <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>, Watan card, Pakistan<br />

INTRODUCTION<br />

Flooding is a natural disaster which causes the loss of lives of people <strong>and</strong><br />

property in the flooded area. Though flooding is universally known as<br />

natural disaster but meeting to such event is still unfolded. No doubt<br />

such natural events cannot be stopped even after all preparations but it<br />

does not mean to let such events to befall <strong>and</strong> to disrupt the whole<br />

society. Though technologically such challenge could be partially mitigate<br />

it, by floodplain management, integrated flood management, developing<br />

of an excellent flood warning system, etc, but even by developing of<br />

such advanced <strong>and</strong> integrated systems to safeguard the lives <strong>and</strong> capital,<br />

the risk <strong>and</strong> vulnerability of flooding is still alive even for the developed<br />

countries. The main difficulty in dealing with flooding, as compared to<br />

other natural disasters, is its chain effect, as it hits the houses, public<br />

buildings, infrastructure services, livestock hydraulic structures <strong>and</strong><br />

definitely the socio-economy of the area. However, quantifying of these<br />

damages could be easily done but the real challenge is to carry out the<br />

relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process right after the flooding.<br />

Relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process is not just a one day job but in fact a<br />

complex transitional process, which requires an efficient flood crisis<br />

management approach. The process becomes more complex when the<br />

affected territory is lacking of resources to bring back the whole society<br />

to their pre-flooding situation.<br />

South Asian countries have been facing high frequency <strong>and</strong> magnitude of<br />

flooding for the last 3 to 4 decades even after investing millions of<br />

dollars to reduce the risk of flooding by the resourceful countries<br />

(Ahmad et al., 2011). Among the South Asian countries, Pakistan <strong>and</strong><br />

Bangladesh are the most prone countries to flooding due to lack of<br />

resources, inefficient flood control system <strong>and</strong> water management<br />

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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

MATERIAL<br />

approach <strong>and</strong> definitely the monsoon season. It is observed that the uneven<br />

rainfall, generally trigger the flooding in the monsoon season.<br />

Sindh, which is located in south-eastern part of Pakistan, economically<br />

depended on its agriculture sector. Water is the main source of income<br />

of the people in Sindh Province. The Province is at the risk of flooding<br />

as the main source of water of the country, Indus River, passes in the<br />

middle of the Province. Sindh generally faces riverine flooding in the<br />

monsoon season <strong>and</strong> every flood hit the province severely due to its<br />

dependency on agricultural sector. People of the rural area are most<br />

vulnerable to flood as they encroached to the floodplain area. Due to<br />

this, relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process has been a big issue for the local<br />

flood management authorities after every flood event.<br />

The recurrence of flood with high frequency <strong>and</strong> magnitude even after<br />

enough preparations then the question pop-up in minds that whether the<br />

flooding in Pakistan occurs due to climate change ? Or is it a man-made<br />

disaster due to lack of proper water management or deliberately breaches<br />

of leaves for vested interest. This is a debatable issue which will be tried<br />

to address in this study as well, to some extent.<br />

Aim of the Study<br />

The aim of the study is to analyze the scenario of the devastating flood<br />

<strong>and</strong> its rehabilitation process in the province of Sindh in southern part of<br />

Pakistan. The specific objectives of the study included:<br />

Review of the major events of flooding in Pakistan since its<br />

independence till 2011.<br />

Study the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process in the camps of the flood<br />

victims in the worst affected districts of Kotri, Thatta <strong>and</strong> Larkana in<br />

Sindh Province through field based questionnaire survey.<br />

Highlight the drawbacks in the flood mitigation measures, relief to<br />

flood victims <strong>and</strong> the rehabilitation process <strong>and</strong> provide<br />

recommendations to improve the flood management process.<br />

Location <strong>and</strong> area of study<br />

Pakistan is located in the middle of the South Asian region <strong>and</strong><br />

surrounded by neighboring countries of Afghanistan, China, India <strong>and</strong><br />

Iran with a coast of Arabian Sea (Fig.1). It is located in the temperate lies<br />

wholly in the temperate zone between latitudes 24ᵒ <strong>and</strong> 37ᵒ North <strong>and</strong><br />

longitudes 61ᵒ <strong>and</strong> 75ᵒ East. It composed of four provinces i.e.<br />

Bal<strong>och</strong>istan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Punjab <strong>and</strong> Sindh. It covers 796,095<br />

sq.km areas with estimated population of 180 millions. The water<br />

availability is around 2.7% of the country’s area (Pakistan’s Ministry of<br />

information <strong>and</strong> broadcasting, 2011). Physiographically Pakistan can be<br />

divided into three regions (Fig. 2) (ICID, 2011).<br />

Alluvial plain of the Indus River <strong>and</strong> its tributaries (i.e. 319,605 sq.km)<br />

Plateau of Bal<strong>och</strong>istan (i.e. 242,683 sq.km)<br />

North <strong>and</strong> north-west mountainous (i.e. 241,647 sq.km)<br />

Sindh Province<br />

Sindh Province (Fig. 3), named after the River Sindh (Indus), is the<br />

south-eastern part of Pakistan (located between Lat 23ᵒ-35ᵒ <strong>and</strong> Lat 28ᵒ-<br />

30ᵒ N). It covers 140,914 Sq. km i.e.18% of the total area of Pakistan.<br />

Estimated population of the province is 35 millions. The boundaries of<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

Figure 1: Map of Pakistan showing different provinces <strong>and</strong><br />

territories<br />

Sindh is meeting with Punjab Province in the north; Baluchistan Province<br />

in the west, India is in the east <strong>and</strong> Arabian Sea in the south of Sindh.<br />

About 60% percent of the area of Sindh is cultivating i.e. 8 million<br />

hectares out total geographical area i.e. 14 million hectares. Climatically<br />

around 60% of the area is arid. Annual average precipitation of the<br />

province is13 mm. Indus River along with 4 other tributaries flow in the<br />

middle of the province. It is mainly uses for agriculture <strong>and</strong> fishing<br />

purpose by the local people. Though Indus River brings amenity to the<br />

province but it is also result in the devastating flood in the monsoon<br />

season due to excessive rainfall. The Indus River discharges to Arabian<br />

Sea after passing through the Kotri district (FFC, 2010).<br />

According to 1998 national census, Sindh is administratively composed<br />

of 66923 human settlements which are divided in 23 districts, 119<br />

Tehsils, 1100 Union Councils. The livelihood of the people of Sindh is<br />

based on agricultural <strong>and</strong> pastoral activities. Karachi, which is a mega<br />

city, is the capital of Sindh <strong>and</strong> exhibit two sea ports, namely, Bin Qasim<br />

<strong>and</strong> Karachi port which meet all the st<strong>and</strong>ards which a high level port<br />

does. These ports are useful not even for the whole country but also for<br />

l<strong>and</strong>locked country Afghanistan (PDMA Sindh, 2011).<br />

The economy of Sindh Province is predominantly agricultural <strong>and</strong><br />

depends entirely on irrigation. Indus River water is mainly uses for<br />

irrigation purpose in the whole province, while the municipality of the<br />

Karachi gets the drinking water from Indus River after certain treatment.<br />

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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

Figure 2: Physiographic map of Pakistan (Hussain <strong>and</strong> Lee, 2009)<br />

There are three barrages on the Indus River in Sindh Province i.e.<br />

Guddu, Lloyd <strong>and</strong> Kotri. Guddo is constructed nearby the Punjab<br />

border, Lloyd is located in Sukkur <strong>and</strong> Kotri barrage is located in Kotri<br />

district near to Arabian Sea (PDMA Sindh, 2011).<br />

Sindh plays an important role in the country’s agriculture Gross<br />

Domestic Product (GDP) as the agricultural productions reach to 25<br />

percent of the total GDP (Sindh Agriculture Department, 2005). Major<br />

crop productions include wheat, rice, cotton, oilseeds, sugarcane,<br />

vegetables. The province is divided into urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas. Apart<br />

from agriculture sector, people of rural area use fishing, animals (e.g.<br />

cattle, Sheep, camels etc) <strong>and</strong> poultry as a source of income. While<br />

Urban Sindh areas, namely, Karachi, Hyderabad, Nooriabad, Kotri <strong>and</strong><br />

Sukkur are the base of manufacturing industries which also include the<br />

only State’s run steel mill, located in Karachi. These industries produce<br />

textiles, electronic, chemicals, automobile, railway tracks, steel <strong>and</strong> other<br />

metal products (PDMA Sindh, 2011).<br />

Literature Review of Flooding in Pakistan<br />

Pakistan has been severely affected by both flash <strong>and</strong> fluvial/riverine<br />

flooding. The damages of flood vary with respect to the type of flood,<br />

however it also depend on the flood management approach, topography<br />

<strong>and</strong> climate of the area. It is worth to underst<strong>and</strong> the difference between<br />

the flash <strong>and</strong> riverine flooding before to review the flooding history of<br />

Pakistan <strong>and</strong> its related mitigation measures.<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

Figure 3: Map of Study area i.e. Sindh province (PDMA Sindh,<br />

2011)<br />

Flash flood generally occurs nearby the mountainous areas, where slope of<br />

the terrain play major role in converting the intense rainfall to flood. As<br />

the rainfall water flow downstream from the slopes, the flowing water<br />

gets the acceleration <strong>and</strong> in a very short time it raises the flow level in the<br />

river. As the water level raises very quickly in river, the flood forecasting<br />

<strong>and</strong> warning authority does not get enough time to respond in the same<br />

manner to evacuate the nearby area of the river before the river water<br />

spills outside (US NOAA, 1992; UNHABITAT, 2010). Following are the<br />

type of damages that could Flash flood triggers (UNHABITAT, 2010).<br />

Foundation’s undermining of both hydraulic <strong>and</strong> non-hydraulic<br />

structures.<br />

Erosion at the base walls <strong>and</strong> corners of the structures.<br />

Wiping out of infrastructures.<br />

Flow of debris along its way resulting in deposition of debris in house<br />

<strong>and</strong> damages to infrastructures.<br />

Riverine flood is generally caused by heavy rainfall or splitting of glaciers<br />

resulting in high level of flow in the river or stream (UNHABITAT,<br />

2010). The river gets the water from the large area, due to this the speed<br />

of the flowing water is comparatively slow <strong>and</strong> it takes much time to<br />

reach river. The water level in the river rises slowly; as a result the<br />

authorities have generally enough time to respond <strong>and</strong> to issue the flood<br />

warning before the water flow level reach to the food level. When the<br />

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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

water level exceeds the flood level, it burst the river banks <strong>and</strong> inundates<br />

the floodplain. In case of any deep water ponding due to riverine<br />

flooding, it becomes difficult to the authorities to drain out the water<br />

from the flooded area due to poor drainage system. Riverine flooding<br />

could severely damage the whole infrastructure (e.g. telecommunications<br />

network, sewerage systems, road network etc) <strong>and</strong> could disintegrate the<br />

flooded area from the rest of the country.<br />

History of Pakistan Flood<br />

Since independence, i.e. 14 th August 1947, Pakistan has been vulnerable<br />

to flooding which could either be due to lack of water management or<br />

lack of resources to construct efficient drainage system. The alarming<br />

point is that, the recurrence of flooding is very regular as Pakistan has<br />

faced flood events more than 20 times. The country hit by the first<br />

flooding in 1950 <strong>and</strong> the country is still prone to severe flooding. The<br />

magnitude <strong>and</strong> intensity of the flood has been varied <strong>and</strong> resulted in<br />

losses of many people, socio- economic problems (Table 1 <strong>and</strong> Fig. 4 to<br />

7), water borne diseases <strong>and</strong> affected the irrigations system of the<br />

country, which is in fact one of the world largest irrigation system. The<br />

economic losses have been more than 12 USD billion (FFC, 2010). It is<br />

worth to discuss the flood management system of the country before<br />

finding out the possible causes of the flood in Pakistan.<br />

Table 1: Historical Flood Damages in Pakistan (FFC, 2010; PDMA<br />

Sindh*, 2011; UN**, 2011)<br />

Flood<br />

Year<br />

Flooded<br />

Area<br />

(Sq mile)<br />

Human<br />

Losses<br />

(No)<br />

Villages<br />

Affected<br />

(No)<br />

1950 3861 2190 10000 488<br />

1955 2681 679 6945 378<br />

1956 4482 160 11609 318<br />

1957 1737 83 4498 301<br />

1959 1507 88 3902 234<br />

1973 3752 474 9719 5134<br />

1975 3331 126 8628 684<br />

1976 31630 425 18390 3485<br />

1977 847 848 2185 338<br />

1978 3552 393 9199 2237<br />

1981 800 82 2071 298<br />

1983 248 39 643 135<br />

1984 97 42 251 75<br />

1988 37 508 100 857<br />

1992 5066 1008 13208 3010<br />

1994 626 431 1622 843<br />

1995 2646 591 6852 376<br />

Estimated<br />

Economic Losses<br />

(USD Millions)<br />

2003 Not known 484 4376 Not known<br />

2005 Not known 59 1931 Not known<br />

2006 Not known 541 2477 Not known<br />

2007 Not known 586 6498 Not known<br />

2008 Not known 157 800 Not known<br />

2010 61777 1985 17553 10000<br />

2011 10429* 497* 38347* 356**<br />

Total 59576 12452 181804 29547<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

Figure 4: Ariel extent of flooding at national level (FFC, 2010;<br />

PDMA Sindh, 2011)<br />

Figure 5: Historical Human losses due to flooding at national level<br />

(FFC, 2010; PDMA Sindh, 2011)<br />

Figure 6: Historical Villages losses due to flooding at national level<br />

(FFC, 2010; PDMA Sindh, 2011)<br />

Indus Basin Water System<br />

Indus Basin has an estimated area of one million sq km which is<br />

considered one of the largest river basins in Asia. Geographically, it<br />

crosses the boundaries of four South Asian countries, namely,<br />

Afghanistan, China, India <strong>and</strong> Pakistan. The majority of basin plain<br />

extends to Provinces Punjab, Sindh <strong>and</strong> Khyber Pakhtunkhwa in<br />

Pakistan with 56% of the total basin area <strong>and</strong> covers about 70% area of<br />

the country. According to estimates of 1991, the basin has a population<br />

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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

of 196 million (Fahlbusch et al., 2004; Rehman <strong>and</strong> Kamal, 2010). Indus<br />

basin consists of five rivers, namely, Indus, Chenab, Jhelum, Sutlej <strong>and</strong><br />

Ravi (Fig. 8 <strong>and</strong> 9). These rivers are considered as the main tributaries of<br />

the Indus basin (Rehman <strong>and</strong> Kamal, 2010). However there are number<br />

of minor tributary rivers <strong>and</strong> streams as well (FFC, 2010; Ahmad et al.,<br />

2011).<br />

Figure 7: Estimated economic losses due to flooding at national<br />

level (FFC, 2010 <strong>and</strong> UN, 2011)<br />

Table 2: Salient features of rivers in flowing in Pakistan (NDMA-<br />

UNDP, 2010; Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen, 2011)<br />

Name of Rivier Sutlej Ravi Chenab Jhelum Indus<br />

Origin<br />

Discharge to<br />

Length(km)<br />

Basin area(km 2 )<br />

Average annual flow<br />

(km 3 /yr)<br />

No dams in India<br />

No of dams in<br />

Pakistan<br />

No. of barrages in<br />

India<br />

No of barrages in<br />

Pakistan<br />

China India India India China<br />

Chenab Chenab Indus Chenab Arabian Sea<br />

1500 900 1240 820 3200<br />

122,000 40,000 67,500 63,500 727,000<br />

3.05 4.46 25.17 24.33 83.15<br />

4 1 2 – –<br />

– – – 1 1<br />

3 2 5 1 6<br />

2 2 5 1 5<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

Figure 8: Flood routing model in Indus Basin (PMD, 2011)<br />

The Indus basin starts form the Hindukush-Himalyan region gets the<br />

water from the melting of the snow <strong>and</strong> from monsoon precipitations.<br />

The basin furnish water to four countries, but Pakistan has been the<br />

most vulnerable to flooding throughout its history of flooding even<br />

though all the major tributaries of the basin are either start or pass from<br />

the territory of India (Rehman <strong>and</strong> Kamal, 2010).<br />

Due to this unique geographical location of the Indus basin Pakistan <strong>and</strong><br />

India has signed a Treaty in 1960 with the help of World Bank to share<br />

the water of the Indus basin (Table 2). As per the geographical location,<br />

India is on the upstream while Pakistan is on the downstream side.<br />

The mean annual inflow to Pakistan through rivers is 181.37 km 3 . The<br />

major inflow is through western rivers (Indus, Jhelum, Chenab <strong>and</strong><br />

including Kabul river) which is 170.27 km 3 while from the eastern rivers<br />

(Ravi <strong>and</strong> Sutlej) is only 11.1 km 3 . The eastern rivers including River<br />

Beas are in the full control of India under Indus Treaty 1960. Pakistan is<br />

getting 85% of the water inflow from the Himalayan region in summer<br />

<strong>and</strong> around 15% in winter season (Panikkar, 2008). The treaty is still<br />

withst<strong>and</strong>ing even the two parties of the treaty, Pakistan <strong>and</strong> India, has<br />

had disputes over the distribution of water even after signing the treaty.<br />

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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

Pakistan has raised many times reservation over the construction of<br />

dams or barrages by India, whenever the hydraulic structures were not<br />

fulfilling the conditions of the treaty. World Bank generally resolves the<br />

water issues between these two countries as per the Indus water treaty.<br />

Irrigation System<br />

Pakistan has one of the largest integrated irrigation systems in the world<br />

which covers the whole country. In 1995, the total area of the Indus<br />

irrigation system was estimated about 13,972,500 hectares(Panikkar,<br />

2008). It consists of small <strong>and</strong> large storages reservoirs, barrages, link <strong>and</strong><br />

main irrigation canals (Table 3).<br />

Causes of Flood<br />

Flood in Pakistan has generally been caused by the heavy concentrated<br />

raining in the monsoon season, which contributes to high flow level in<br />

the Jhelum <strong>and</strong> Chenab Rivers. Unfortunately, India has an edge on the<br />

water distribution in the Indus basin as Pakistan does not have any<br />

control on the River Chenab, Sutlej <strong>and</strong> Ravi due to Indus water Treaty.<br />

However, construction of new reservoirs or improvement of existing<br />

hydraulic structures is inevitable, so that to meet the high flood level<br />

situation. In 2010, monsoon resulted persistent rainfall even in those<br />

country’s regions which were not even vulnerable to heavy rainfall.<br />

Figure 9: Flowing path of the Indus River throughout Pakistan<br />

(Gaurav et al., 2011)<br />

Table 3: Hydraulic infrastructure on the Indus irrigation system<br />

(FFC, 2010; Ahmad et al., 2011; ICID, 2011)<br />

Hydraulic Structures<br />

Main Storage reservoirs ( approximately 12 MAF) 3<br />

Barrages 19<br />

Link Canals( Inter-River) 12<br />

Main irrigation Canals (Independent) 45<br />

No<br />

Dams with height 15 m or above (approximately 3 MAF) 143<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

Monsoon is the shift in wind direction <strong>and</strong> is considered the main driver<br />

of heavy raining throughout the world. In monsoon season wind blows<br />

from ocean to l<strong>and</strong> however in non-monsoon season it becomes in<br />

opposite direction. When this non-monsoon seasonal wind shift from<br />

ocean to l<strong>and</strong> then it become moist <strong>and</strong> is called the monsoon wind.<br />

This moist air results in excessive rainfall in Pakistan, North <strong>and</strong> South<br />

America <strong>and</strong> Africa. In Pakistan, monsoon season starts from June <strong>and</strong><br />

remain active till September. The monsoon winds generate from the Bay<br />

of Bengal <strong>and</strong> enter the Sindh Province from Indian boarder (Impact<br />

Forecasting, 2010).<br />

The monsoon season from July 2010 to August 2010 was unprecedented<br />

due to its intensity <strong>and</strong> time duration. In meteorological terminology, a<br />

ridge of high pressure was developed in the beginning of July 2010, near<br />

the Ural Mountains (Russia), which became stationary for two months.<br />

With passage of time, this stationary high pressure established a blocking<br />

pattern called Omega block (Fig. 10). Due to such persistent blockage,<br />

severe weather pattern were developed in the 2010 as it resulted in the<br />

extreme heat <strong>and</strong> wildfire in Russia, devastating flooding in China <strong>and</strong> in<br />

Pakistan (Impact forecasting, 2010). Monsoon winds patterns (Fig. 11 to<br />

15) since 1950 resulted in many floods <strong>and</strong> the 2010 flood was the<br />

severe. The rainfall was extremely intensive, which flooded an area of<br />

6777 sq miles (FFC, 2010). Akhtar (2011), states that the rainfall was the<br />

most abnormal weather event in the history of Pakistan, which resulted<br />

in a very high river inflow (Fig. 16).<br />

Figure 10: Omega block is clearly visible in the “upper level<br />

atmospheric map” (July – August 2010) over western Russia<br />

(Impact forecasting, 2010)<br />

Figure 11: Monsoon Tracks 1950-1976(PMD, 2010)<br />

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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

Figure 12: Monsoon tracks 1978 - 1995(PMD, 2010)<br />

Figure 13: Monsoon tracks 2003-2007 (PMD, 2010)<br />

The catchment area <strong>and</strong> river training facilities installed are the major<br />

factors which affect the flow pattern of flooding in the rivers. Rivers at<br />

the low altitude do not face snow melting <strong>and</strong> monsoon rainfall at the<br />

same time, however high altitude rivers, Indus <strong>and</strong> Jhelum, is facing both<br />

these natural phenomena at the same time which significantly play in<br />

flooding (Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen, 2011). According to Rehman <strong>and</strong><br />

Kamal (2010), that river Indus River itself does not play any role in<br />

flooding but its Jhelum <strong>and</strong> Chenab Rivers which cause flooding. Tariq<br />

<strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen (2011) stated that River Chenab has contributed to<br />

most of the floods in the Pakistan’s history (Fig.17).<br />

Topography of the Indus River also play a vital role in resulting of flooding<br />

as Indus River flows both in northern <strong>and</strong> south-eastern part of the<br />

country. In the northern part, the surrounding area is at higher altitude<br />

than the river bed while in the southern side the river bed is at higher<br />

level. In northern part, when the Indus River overflow to the<br />

surrounding area, the water flow back to river as soon the water level get<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

lower in the river. However, this phenomenon does not occur in the<br />

south-eastern Pakistan as the bed of the Indus River is at higher level<br />

than the surrounding area. Sindh province, which is located in southeastern<br />

part of the country, faces severe damages in the flooding due to<br />

this topographical reason. To overcome this problem, construction of<br />

flood protection embankments/levees has been made throughout the<br />

Indus River in this Sindh Province but this mitigation measure is not<br />

enough to reduce the flood damages. The damages become more drastic<br />

when the flood water causes breaches in flood protection embankments,<br />

particularly in areas where people have encroached to the floodplain<br />

(Ahmad et al., 2011). In Sindh province there are number of districts<br />

which are vulnerable to different type of flooding in monsoon season<br />

(Table 4).<br />

Figure 14: Monsoon track 2009 (PMD, 2010)<br />

Figure 15: Monsoon tracks 2010 (PMD, 2010)<br />

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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

Hydraulic structures like Tarbela <strong>and</strong> Mangla are multipurpose dams but<br />

were purely constructed for the irrigation <strong>and</strong> power generations. In<br />

2010 devastating flooding, Tarbela dam did not play any major role in<br />

reducing the flood level at the downstream. These dams can be very<br />

useful in flood management if the current operations of these dams have<br />

to be optimized for flood control at downstream (Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de<br />

Giesen, 2011). Similarly, the hydraulic structure (i.e. barrages <strong>and</strong><br />

bridges) which are constructed on Indus, Ravi <strong>and</strong> Chenab Rivers, do<br />

not have the adequate discharge capacity to meet the unexpected high<br />

level of flow due to either snowmelt or excessive rainfall.<br />

Encroachment of people, in Sindh Province, to the floodplain is another<br />

factor which generally results in heavy damages in flood season. The<br />

people who are living around the floodplain are mainly poor people <strong>and</strong><br />

are moved in search of economic benefits. Their main source of income<br />

is agriculture <strong>and</strong> fishing in the riverine area. There is a need of flood<br />

hazard maps for at least such floodplain so that the people either keep<br />

away through legal measures or flood awareness programs. The<br />

government should provide alternative places to re-settle the people<br />

(Ahmad et al., 2011).<br />

Figure 16: Historical mean rainfall <strong>and</strong> river inflow relationship in<br />

the Indus River (Akhtar, 2011)<br />

Figure 17: Annual Peak flows (1921-2010) in Indus Basin River<br />

System (Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen, 2011)<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

Table 4: Vulnerable districts to flooding during monsoon season<br />

(PDMA Sindh, 2011)<br />

District in Sindh Province<br />

Karachi<br />

Thatta<br />

Dadu<br />

Kambar Shahdadkot<br />

Larkana<br />

Khairpur Mirs<br />

Naushero Feroze<br />

Shaheed Benazirabad<br />

Sanghar<br />

Hyderabad<br />

Kashmore<br />

Jacobabad<br />

Shikarpur<br />

Matiari<br />

Jamshoro<br />

Sukkur<br />

Ghotki<br />

T<strong>and</strong>o Muhammad Khan<br />

Type of Flooding<br />

Urban<br />

Riverine<br />

Riverine <strong>and</strong> Flash<br />

Riverine <strong>and</strong> Flash<br />

Riverine <strong>and</strong> Flash<br />

Riverine<br />

Riverine<br />

Riverine<br />

Riverine <strong>and</strong> precipitation based<br />

Riverine <strong>and</strong> urban flooding<br />

Riverine <strong>and</strong> urban flooding<br />

Riverine<br />

Riverine<br />

Riverine<br />

Riverine<br />

Riverine<br />

Riverine<br />

Riverine<br />

Flood Mitigation Measures<br />

In historical perspective, Pakistan was not equipped against the flooding<br />

for 30 years after independence, during this period the country faced<br />

several severe flooding events, which resulted in huge human <strong>and</strong><br />

economic losses (Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen, 2011)(Table 1). The lack of<br />

proper flood mitigation measures during this period could be due to<br />

inadequate resources but definitely being involved in several wars with<br />

the neighboring country, India. Soon, after the flooding of 1975 <strong>and</strong><br />

1977 the Federal government decided to review the flood protection<br />

measures. In the first instance a unified approach was realized to be the<br />

optimal solution for the flood mitigation as it was initially the<br />

responsibility of the provincial governments to carry out flood protection<br />

measures. In this regards a new institution was created with the name of<br />

Federal Flood Commission(FFC) in 1977 <strong>and</strong> had given the following<br />

m<strong>and</strong>ate (FFC, 2010; Rehman <strong>and</strong> Kamal, 2010; Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de<br />

Giesen, 2011).<br />

Prepare flood protection plans/schemes with the coordination of<br />

provincial governments.<br />

Improvement of the flood forecasting <strong>and</strong> warning system.<br />

Reviewing <strong>and</strong> restoration of the flood protection measures.<br />

Supervise all the flood control <strong>and</strong> protection arrangements in the<br />

provincial governments.<br />

Provide financial <strong>and</strong> technical support to the provincial governments<br />

to carry out flood protection works.<br />

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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

With the above m<strong>and</strong>ate a new <strong>and</strong> integrated National Flood Protection<br />

Plan (NFPP) was prepared in 1978 for the next 10 years. It is important<br />

to mention here, that from 1978 to 1988 about US$ 220 million USD<br />

was invested for flood protection measures excluding relief <strong>and</strong><br />

rehabilitations. Apart of this, Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)<br />

<strong>and</strong> Water <strong>and</strong> Power Development Authority (WAPDA) which are<br />

working on the flood control <strong>and</strong> forecasting had improved their<br />

telemetry <strong>and</strong> flood forecasting system (FFC, 2010).<br />

According to FFC (2010), that in the 2 nd NFPP plan from 1988 to 1998<br />

about US$ 66 million (01US$ = 86 PKR) was utilized. The output of this<br />

plan resulted in the FPSP-I (First Flood Protection Sector Project) <strong>and</strong><br />

Emergent Flood Protection Schemes were established. Out of total 85%<br />

fund was used in FPSP-I to implement 257 schemes in the four<br />

provinces. From 1994 to 1996 Prime Minister’s River Management<br />

Program (RMP) was initiated with the cost of US$ 7.136 million (01 US$<br />

= 86 PKR) to implement flood management scheme in Sindh <strong>and</strong><br />

Punjab. The funding for this period was from government of Pakistan<br />

<strong>and</strong> Asian Development Bank (ADB). The main output of NFPP-II was<br />

the following (FFC, 2010):-<br />

Equipment of Flood Forecasting Division (FFD) Lahore by<br />

installation of 10-CM Quantitative Precipitation Measurement<br />

Weather Radars.<br />

Installation of 25 Meteor burst Telecommunication Systems.<br />

Preparation of floodplain maps of Indus River.<br />

Pre-feasibilities studies for increasing discharge capacity of four<br />

barrages as per 1992 flood level.<br />

The third NFPP was carried out for 1998 to 2008. About US$ 40 million<br />

(01 US$ = 86 PKR) was invested on 363 flood protection schemes<br />

throughout the country. For second FPSP, about US$ 48.130 million (01<br />

US$ = 86 PKR) was invested on 101 schemes, <strong>and</strong> about US$ 16.279<br />

million (01 US$ = 86 PKR) was invested in improving the flood<br />

forecasting <strong>and</strong> warning system (FFC, 2010).<br />

The fourth NFPP (2008 to 2018) was prepared to carry out flood works<br />

with the estimated investment of US$ 35 million (01 US$ = 86 PKR),<br />

the plan is not yet approved as per FFC 2010 report. In total about PKR<br />

26138 million is invested in the flood control <strong>and</strong> protection works <strong>and</strong><br />

forecasting systems (FFC, 2010). The distribution of investment by FFC,<br />

to execute the flood protection works has been mainly on need-based<br />

criteria as per NFPP policy (FFC, 2010). In this regards priority was<br />

given to such measures which were highly beneficial to reduce the socioeconomic<br />

<strong>and</strong> human losses. It is important to here that the designing of<br />

flood protection structures <strong>and</strong> river training structures were based on<br />

high st<strong>and</strong>ards of quality with life span of 50 years for flood protection<br />

structures <strong>and</strong> 100 years for river structures (Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen,<br />

2011).<br />

Flood mitigation works has been mainly based on provision of hydraulic<br />

structures on river courses. In this regards, embankments <strong>and</strong> spurs has<br />

been constructed at large, to train the river course for the purpose to<br />

reduce the river erosions <strong>and</strong> ultimately reduce the flood damages (Tariq<br />

<strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen, 2011). According to FFC (2010), embankments with<br />

the length of 6803.19 km <strong>and</strong> 1420 number of spurs have been<br />

constructed throughout the country as structural measures against the<br />

floods to minimize the human <strong>and</strong> economic losses (Table 5).<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

Table 5: Flood protection measures Province-wise (FFC, 2010)<br />

Name of Province<br />

Spurs<br />

(No.)<br />

Embankments<br />

(km)<br />

Punjab 496 3332.09<br />

Sindh 46 2422<br />

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 186 352.24<br />

Baluchistan 682 696.85<br />

Total in Pakistan 1410 6803.18<br />

PMD, Flood Forecasting <strong>and</strong> Warning Systems<br />

Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has been contributing a<br />

major role in the development of the socio-economic sector of Pakistan.<br />

It came into existence in 1947 with only 15 meteorological observatories<br />

<strong>and</strong> with the aim of providing services for aviation sector (WMO, 2010).<br />

With the passage of time, PMD has extended its scope of work <strong>and</strong><br />

these days PMD can function in meteorology, hydrology (i.e. flood<br />

forecasting) <strong>and</strong> seismology area. PMD has now provincial regional<br />

meteorological centers <strong>and</strong> a Flood Forecasting Division (FFD) unit.<br />

PMD disseminate outward all forecasts to the other governmental<br />

departments/agencies, which are involved in the management of the<br />

flood, so that these departments/agencies could carry out necessary<br />

action as per the weather forecasts (WMO, 2010).<br />

FFD is one of the most important units of PMD. After certain<br />

investment, FFD is now capable of providing services throughout the<br />

country for hydrometeorological <strong>and</strong> flood forecasting measures. It can<br />

provide both qualitative <strong>and</strong> quantitative forecasts (WMO, 2010).<br />

PMD uses 7 weather radars to observe the intense rainfall throughout<br />

Pakistan. Most of these radars are installed in early 1990s, though some<br />

of them are now upgraded. The radars functioning continuously in<br />

monsoon season only, as PMD head office does not have enough<br />

resources to operate these radars continuously throughout the year so<br />

that to collect high resolution pictures. So, PMD head office collect the<br />

raw data pictures throughout the year, except monsoon season, from the<br />

respective radars office. PMD has 90 meteorological observational<br />

stations across the country, but all observational stations are manoperated.<br />

Apart of this, PMD get rainfall observations of 45 stations<br />

from the Water <strong>and</strong> Power Development Authority, these rainfall<br />

observational stations are primarily for the operations of dam, while<br />

there are 500 ordinary rainfall measuring gauges with PMD. PMD gets<br />

the observations of these gauges through other governmental<br />

departments or agencies on monthly basis (WMO, 2010).<br />

PMD has done advancement in flood forecasting system <strong>and</strong> in flood<br />

routing, as computer models <strong>and</strong> simulations are in practice for the<br />

routing of runoff through the Indus River systems. Real time rainfall<br />

data is acquired, to operate/run such models (WMO, 2010). Since<br />

2007, FFD has been using flood early warning system (FEWS) model,<br />

which is a rainfall runoff <strong>and</strong> routing model. But unfortunately, this<br />

model has not been updated, which definitely makes the model’s<br />

meteorological observation doubtful. This model can be only used for<br />

riverine type of flood. FFD is not equipped with early warning or flood<br />

forecasting systems for the flash flooding (WMO, 2010).<br />

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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

Flood Damages in Sindh<br />

The damages of the flooding 2010 were severed throughout the flood<br />

affected areas but it varied with respect to the topography, population<br />

density, l<strong>and</strong> use <strong>and</strong> definitely the type of flood it had been. The<br />

flooding 2010 was composed of flash <strong>and</strong> riverine types, depending on<br />

the area of geography. According to NDMA (2011), the 2010 monsoon<br />

flooding was due to the un-even pattern of rainfall, resulting the worst<br />

ever flood in the history of the region <strong>and</strong> it was called by the then UN<br />

secretary General as the “Slow Evolving Tsunami” (Table 6). Sindh<br />

Province among all four Provinces has been severely affected from<br />

flooding throughout the flooding history of Pakistan. The high level of<br />

flood damages in Sindh Province is mainly due to the encroachment of<br />

people to the flood plain area <strong>and</strong> also due to the Sindh’s agricultural<br />

based economy which is always vulnerable to flooding as Indus River is<br />

flowing in the middle of the Province. According to PDMA Sindh<br />

(2011), the 2010 flooding had affected 15 of 23 districts, in which 7<br />

(Jacobabad, Kambar, Kashmore, Shikarpur, Dadu, Thatta <strong>and</strong> Jamshoro)<br />

were almost ruined (Table 7). Following are the sectorial damages of the<br />

flood through the Sindh province in 2010 flooding.<br />

Impacts on Housing<br />

The housing sector in the only Sindh province was completely ruined as<br />

about 1 million houses were damaged (Table 8). Out of these damaged<br />

houses 66% were completely demolished, while the remaining damaged<br />

houses were not even able to use as shelter to live (WFP, 2010; PDMA<br />

Sindh, 2011). Among the most disastrous districts, district Jacobabad,<br />

Shikarpur <strong>and</strong> Thatta were in the province as almost all the houses were<br />

demolished due to (PDMA Sindh, 2011).<br />

Impacts on Basic public services <strong>and</strong> Infrastructure<br />

Basic public services <strong>and</strong> infrastructures for any society is the main<br />

source of interacting to the rest of the world. The extent of 2010<br />

flooding did not stick to housing only but it had resulted in extensive<br />

damages to schools, roads <strong>and</strong> bridges, telephone lines <strong>and</strong> electric<br />

supply lines (Table 8). Due to such damages, the flood victims were<br />

completely isolated from the rest of the country which resulted in the<br />

delay of relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process. Similarly h<strong>and</strong> pump or tube<br />

wells were completely out of order due to clogging with silts <strong>and</strong> salts.<br />

As a result, the people had no choice but to use or drink the<br />

contaminated water (WFP, 2010).<br />

Impacts on Agriculture <strong>and</strong> Livestock<br />

People of the Sindh province are mainly dependent on the agriculture<br />

<strong>and</strong> livestock, particularly in the rural area of the province. In agricultural<br />

sector, the backbone of the province’s economy is mainly depending on<br />

cotton, rice, maize <strong>and</strong> vegetables. The flooding in 2010 was<br />

unprecedented as it had severely damaged the agricultural sector <strong>and</strong><br />

livestock of the Sindh province (WFP, 2010). In fact, the flooding struck<br />

the province at stage when the crop of cotton, rice, maize <strong>and</strong> vegetables<br />

were about to harvest. This resulted a financial loss in billions PKR to<br />

the province (Table 8). Due to such damages people had lost their<br />

source of income <strong>and</strong> were in need of support from the government <strong>and</strong><br />

other relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation agencies.<br />

Impacts on Socio-Economic <strong>and</strong> Health Units<br />

Flood 2010 resulted in severe socio-economic <strong>and</strong> Health problems<br />

(Table 8). Basic, district <strong>and</strong> regional health facilities were also severely<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

damaged. Apart of this, people were hit by water borne diseases as there<br />

was no clean water for drinking <strong>and</strong> cooking etc. They had no choice to<br />

avoid the contaminated water for their daily use.<br />

Impacts on Indus River Morphology<br />

The morphology of the Indus River has changed due to the flood as unregulated<br />

flow of river was observed during the flood. The un-pattern<br />

flow was mainly due to the erosions <strong>and</strong> widening of the river courses.<br />

The training works along the river banks/courses need to be rebuilt at<br />

high st<strong>and</strong>ards to minimize the flood damages in future (PDMA Sindh,<br />

2011).<br />

Table 6: Comparison of flood 2010 with other disasters in the world<br />

(NDMA, 2011)<br />

Table 7: Damages in Sindh province due to flood 2010 (PDMA<br />

Sindh, 2011)<br />

Type of Damage<br />

No.<br />

Villages Affected 11,992<br />

Persons Affected 7,254,355<br />

Houses Damaged 876,240<br />

Persons Died 414<br />

Total Number of Persons Displaced <strong>and</strong> registered in<br />

Govt. Relief Camps<br />

1,821,479<br />

Table 8: Sectorial losses due flood 2010 in Sindh (PDMA Sindh,<br />

2011)<br />

Sector<br />

Physical Loss<br />

Agriculture 2,894,551 M.Tons 136.20<br />

Livestock 191,311 Nos. 11.44<br />

Housing 1,021,000 units 134.34<br />

Roads 8061 kms(411 Bridges/Culverts) 35.67<br />

Irrigation Not reported 52.00<br />

Health 100 no of health units at District level 3.90<br />

Education 4602 School Buildings 30.56<br />

Urban/Municipal<br />

Infrastructures<br />

Government<br />

Infrastructures<br />

Total Financial Loss<br />

Not reported 40.00<br />

Not Reported 10.00<br />

Financial Loss<br />

(PKR. In Billion)<br />

454.11<br />

(5.28 Billion US$)<br />

19


Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

Figure 18: Disaster management plan after 2010 flooding (NDMA,<br />

2011)<br />

Relief <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong> <strong>Process</strong><br />

Historically the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process in Pakistan has never<br />

been integrated with the country’s core planning <strong>and</strong> management. In<br />

fact the whole process was malfunctioning due to lack of coordination<br />

among the government agencies, which were related to disaster<br />

management. Since 2010, National Disaster Management Commission<br />

has been constituted by the Government of Pakistan (Fig. 18) to<br />

monitor <strong>and</strong> oversee the pre <strong>and</strong> post disaster spectrum by organizing<br />

the activities of the national, provincial <strong>and</strong> international bodies for<br />

better management of any disaster including flood (NDMA, 2011).<br />

Following are the departments at national <strong>and</strong> provincial level which play<br />

a vital role in the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process (FFC, 2010).<br />

National Disaster Management Authority<br />

Provincial Disaster Management Authorities<br />

Emergency Relief Cell<br />

Army Relief Wing<br />

National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA)<br />

NDMA is the core body in the National Disaster Management<br />

Commission (NDMC), as it has coordination link with all wings of the<br />

commission. NDMA came into existence in 2007 as a federal authority<br />

to manage the pre <strong>and</strong> post phase of all type of disasters. NDMA has got<br />

more responsibility after implementation of NDMC in 2010 with the aim<br />

to work as a central body to interact with all stakeholders at national (e.g.<br />

federal ministries, Armed forces, WAPDA, PMD), provincial (PDMC<br />

<strong>and</strong> provincial departments) & international (e.g. UNO, International<br />

donors, International NGOs) level <strong>and</strong> also to interact with other<br />

stakeholders (e.g. Ministries) to minimize the risk <strong>and</strong> vulnerability in the<br />

country by implementation of disaster management strategies. Apart of<br />

this, NDMA has the role to prepare, implement <strong>and</strong> monitor the disaster<br />

management plans <strong>and</strong> provide necessary support to the PDMA <strong>and</strong><br />

other provincial departments. Moreover, NDMA furnish technical <strong>and</strong><br />

manpower support to the provinces in case of any disaster. Last but not<br />

least, NDMA arrange seminars or programs to educate people about the<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

natural disasters <strong>and</strong> provide necessary training as well, to reduce the<br />

extent of damages in any drastic situation (NDMA, 2011).<br />

Provincial Disaster Management Authorities (PDMA)<br />

PDMA is established to carry out pre <strong>and</strong> post disaster management<br />

activities at the province level. The authority works under the guidance<br />

of PDMC <strong>and</strong> coordinate with the NDMA <strong>and</strong> other relief agencies.<br />

DDMA, District Disaster Management Authorities, are the lower wings<br />

of the PDMA to inform the people about all sort of disaster with the<br />

help of district management departments <strong>and</strong> to execute the relief <strong>and</strong><br />

rehabilitation process at the grass roots level. The role of the DDMA is<br />

most critical in the whole disaster management as it bridge the gap<br />

between the national, provincial disaster management authorities <strong>and</strong> the<br />

local community (FFC, 2010).<br />

Emergency Relief Cell (ERC)<br />

ERC is part of Cabinet Division <strong>and</strong> is mainly responsible to plan <strong>and</strong><br />

assess the relief works. Relief works generally include provision of goods<br />

(tents, medicines, drinking water, blankets etc) to the flood victims. ERC<br />

generally ask the international <strong>and</strong> national aid agencies to pledge<br />

funding for the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation works (FFC, 2010).<br />

Pak Army Relief Wing<br />

Pakistan Army relief wing has always played a vital role in the relief <strong>and</strong><br />

rehabilitation process. The Pak Army relief wing is mainly responsible to<br />

help out the civil authorities in the rescue <strong>and</strong> relief operations. For such<br />

operations, the relief wing gets the financial <strong>and</strong> human resources<br />

support from the Provincial governments. Pak Army’s relief wing in<br />

flooding situation, carry out the relief <strong>and</strong> rescue operations based on<br />

three phase strategy i.e. Pre-flood, flood phase <strong>and</strong> post flood phase. The<br />

Pre-flood phase is the preparatory phase in which the Pak Army<br />

evacuate the people from the flood vulnerable areas (after receiving the<br />

flood warning) <strong>and</strong> construct the flood fighting barriers mainly through<br />

s<strong>and</strong>bags. Apart of this, Pak Army inspects the serviceability of all<br />

hydraulic structure (i.e. bunds, barrages, spurs etc) against the flood. In<br />

case of any deficiency, the concerned Provincial Irrigation Departments<br />

are informed to mitigate the flood situation. During this process, the<br />

rescue <strong>and</strong> relief wing keeps a constant coordination with NDMA <strong>and</strong><br />

FFD to take appropriate actions in areas which are highly vulnerable to<br />

flood. In the post flood phase, units of Pak Army provide all necessary<br />

support in relief works to normalize the flood affected areas to its pre<br />

flood situation e.g. construction of relief camps, providing of relief<br />

goods, logistic support to people <strong>and</strong> aid agencies (FFC, 2010).<br />

Watan Card Scheme<br />

Watan card scheme is initiated by the federal government of Pakistan to<br />

the victims of flooding in 2010. Watan card is actually a Relief card,<br />

which is the early relief compensation to the flood victims with a worth<br />

of PKR 100000 (i.e. 1150 USD or 8000 SEK). The card is giving to the<br />

head of the family <strong>and</strong> also to any family member of at least 18 years of<br />

age. However, such person must have a valid National Identity card to<br />

proof his/her identity. Otherwise it’s not possible for anyone to get any<br />

relief compensation from the government agencies. National Database<br />

<strong>and</strong> Registration Authority (NADRA) of Pakistan issue the Watan cards<br />

to the eligible flood victims. Since flooding 2010 more than 160<br />

thous<strong>and</strong>s of Watan cards have been distributed with a worth of 141<br />

USD millions (Table 9).<br />

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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

Table 9: Watan card distribution Province/Territory wise (NDMA,<br />

2011)<br />

Province/ Territory<br />

Number of Watan<br />

Cards Distributed<br />

(Approx)<br />

Azad Jammu & Kashmir 11133 3<br />

Gilgit Baltistan 9382 2<br />

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 258909 55<br />

Bal<strong>och</strong>istan 123658 26<br />

Punjab 608825 141<br />

Sindh 658650 143<br />

Overall 1670557 370<br />

Cash Distributed<br />

USD millions (Approx)<br />

METHODS<br />

The study is mainly focused on the problems of flooding in Pakistan, its<br />

relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process in the Sindh Province. The study has two<br />

folds i.e. background studies <strong>and</strong> field work. For background studies,<br />

secondary sources have been used to review the flooding <strong>and</strong> its<br />

mitigation measures that have been done by the Pakistani authorities<br />

since 1947, while for field work a field survey has conducted in three<br />

districts of Sindh Province to examine the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation<br />

process.<br />

The field work was conducted between in the month of February 2011.<br />

Field work was composed of Survey in relief camps, interviews with<br />

policy makers, non-governmental organizations (NGOs) <strong>and</strong> aid<br />

agencies. In the survey, four relief camps were surveyed in the three<br />

districts (i.e. Kotri, Thatta <strong>and</strong> Larkana) of Sindh Province. The survey<br />

<strong>and</strong> interviews were conducted by the authors. In this regards, lack of<br />

financial <strong>and</strong> human resources were the major factors which limited the<br />

survey to four relief camps only.<br />

The method of the survey was based on the cross sectional research<br />

approach while the questionnaires were based on the open ended<br />

questions. A total of 752 people of 126 families have participated in the<br />

survey. These people were living in relief camp No K1, K2, T1 <strong>and</strong> L1<br />

(Appendix A). It is important to mention here that the questionnaires<br />

were circulated to number of groups of different age of people, who had<br />

participated in survey <strong>and</strong> discussed the flooding, relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation<br />

process with the authors (Fig. 19 to 24).<br />

Figure 19: Flood victims waiting for the relief<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

The geographical spread was observed in the relief camps, as a result the<br />

respondents were divided into urban <strong>and</strong> rural area when the survey was<br />

completed. Out of total respondents, in the camps, about 62 percent<br />

were displaced from the rural areas of the Sindh Province. 41 percent of<br />

the respondents have school level of education <strong>and</strong> 45 percent of the<br />

people have no schooling at all. Similarly only 10 percent of people have<br />

college <strong>and</strong> 3 percent of people have only university level educations.<br />

While regarding source of earning, 40 percent of the flood affected<br />

people in the camps were dependent on agricultural sectors <strong>and</strong> 35<br />

percent are household persons. The remaining percent of people have<br />

low portion of percentage in different sectors.<br />

Figure 20: Temporary housing arrangements for the flood victims<br />

without any proper facilities of drinking water <strong>and</strong> sanitation<br />

Figure 21: Flood victim's relief camp<br />

Figure 22: Discussion with flood victims about relief <strong>and</strong><br />

rehabilitation<br />

23


Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

The questionnaires were mainly designed to collect information about<br />

the basic demographic information (Appendix A), extent of flood<br />

damages, health issues, financial support from the government <strong>and</strong> non<br />

government agencies <strong>and</strong> the process of rehabilitation. Each interview<br />

from the NGOs, Policy makers <strong>and</strong> aid agencies generally took a<br />

minimum of half an hour time. The respondents were also allowed to<br />

provide additional information if they deemed relevant to the flooding,<br />

its relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process. The collected information from the<br />

flooded area was assessed to determine the short-comings in the relief<br />

<strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process. The responses of people to the questionnaires<br />

are translated into English language <strong>and</strong> are provided in the results<br />

section.<br />

Figure 23: Flood victims enrolling their national Identity cards to<br />

be able to get Watan /relief compensation cards (Watan cards)<br />

from Government agencies<br />

Figure 24: Discussion with women about their problems in relief<br />

camps<br />

24


<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS<br />

Analysis of the responses of flood affected people in the field survey<br />

The results of the field survey is presented <strong>and</strong> analyzed below which<br />

represent the real picture of the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process that has<br />

been established after the experience of 2010 flood in Sindh Province.<br />

Undoubtedly flood is a natural event but proper preparedness for such<br />

event can minimize the extent of damages. In this regards, flood<br />

forecasting <strong>and</strong> warning system play an important role in the mitigation<br />

of flood. However, it is important as well to disseminate the flood<br />

warnings across flood prone areas on time to reduce the social <strong>and</strong><br />

economic losses. It is worthy to mention here, that people from both<br />

rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas were living together in the relief camps <strong>and</strong> there<br />

was no class distinction between rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas. The response of<br />

the flood affected people in rural areas shows that the 60 percent of the<br />

people were informed at a time when they had only one hour to respond<br />

to the most devastating flood event in the history of Pakistan (Fig. 25).<br />

Similarly, only 5 percent of people had information that flood is about to<br />

struck their place while 10 percent have 3 days <strong>and</strong> quarter percent had<br />

only 24 hours to respond. However, the situation was quite different as<br />

all of the urban areas people were informed at least 24 hours before the<br />

flood event to happen in their districts. Similarly, the response of the<br />

people of urban areas shows that 50 percent of the people had 1 week,<br />

35 percent had 3 days <strong>and</strong> 15 percent had 25 hours time to respond to<br />

the flood. The picture of flood warning receiving shows the clear<br />

difference of lifestyle between the rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas of the Sindh<br />

Province. It is quite strange that even 50 percent of people from urban<br />

areas did not respond enough to keep away their goods from the flood.<br />

During the discussion with the flood victims, the authors came to know,<br />

that either lack of resources or lack of education, about how to respond<br />

in flood situation, was the main reason that they could not responded<br />

properly in flood situation even after having flood warnings information<br />

of about 1 week, particularly people from urban. Apart of the flood<br />

warnings, the statistics about the source of information regarding flood<br />

warnings, it is quite alarming as the government agencies did not manage<br />

to keep in touch with the people of rural areas while in urban areas they<br />

had just managed to 20 percent of people (Fig. 26). Though television<br />

<strong>and</strong> newspaper played important role, to keep the people aware about<br />

the flood situation, in the urban areas but in rural areas people did not<br />

have access to TV <strong>and</strong> newspaper. 25 percent of the people from rural<br />

areas had got the flood warnings information through radio <strong>and</strong> NGOs.<br />

However, relatives, feudals played important role in rural areas as they<br />

managed to inform 35 % people. It can be said, that people in the rural<br />

areas are socially well integrated with each other as compared to urban<br />

areas, which could be due to many reasons, but such network play<br />

important role as a source of information in any part of the world.<br />

However, the extent of damages in the 2010’s flood is very huge as<br />

compared to the flood history of Pakistan (Table 1). Similarly, in the<br />

study area, the extent of flood damage is very severe in the rural areas as<br />

compared to the response of people from the urban areas in the relief<br />

camps (Fig. 27).<br />

Human losses, though there is difference of only two percent between<br />

the rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas but the financial losses is quite huge, as 90<br />

percent of st<strong>and</strong>ing crops were flooded, which were ready for the<br />

harvesting but only 20 percent crops had damaged of people who are<br />

living in the urban areas. Up to 30 percent people from urban areas have<br />

25


Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

lost a crop area of 5 to 25 acres while people from rural areas have lost 5<br />

to 15 acres crop areas (Appendix B). The situation in the livestock<br />

damages is not much different than the agricultural damages in the rural<br />

area. The percentage difference is 60 between rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas. The<br />

livestock was severely damaged by the flooding both in rural <strong>and</strong> urban<br />

areas. The livestock damages include mainly the killing of buffalos, goats<br />

<strong>and</strong> cow both in rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas (Appendix B). The extent of<br />

house damages in both urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas were very high as the<br />

flooding hit the 95 <strong>and</strong> 60 percent of the houses in rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas,<br />

respectively (Fig. 27). The health issues are the most vulnerable as 95<br />

percent people from the rural areas <strong>and</strong> 70 percent from the urban areas<br />

had hit by the water borne diseases (Fig. 28). People in the relief camps<br />

still do not have clean water for drinking <strong>and</strong> in fact there were still flood<br />

water ponds around the relief camps which are causing health problems<br />

to the flood victims. Apart of water borne diseases, some pregnant<br />

women <strong>and</strong> old people are looking forward to get extra health care.<br />

Figure 25: Comparison of flood warning receiving between urban<br />

<strong>and</strong> rural areas<br />

Figure 26: Comparison of flood warning's sources between urban<br />

<strong>and</strong> rural areas<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

Figure 27: Comparison of extent of flood damages between urban<br />

<strong>and</strong> rural areas<br />

Figure 28: Comparison of water borne diseases between urban <strong>and</strong><br />

rural areas<br />

The flood victim’s views about the worth of Watan Card as part of relief<br />

compensation were categorized into three levels i.e. very good, good <strong>and</strong><br />

not enough (Fig. 29). 65 percent of the people from rural areas thought<br />

that these cards are very good as relief compensation, 20 percent<br />

considered the Watan card is good enough but 15 percent said that the<br />

relief compensation they get through these Watan cards are not enough<br />

to survive as they have big family <strong>and</strong> they have lost everything in the<br />

flood. Similarly, only 5 percent people from the urban areas thoughts<br />

that these cards are very good as relief compensation, 40 percent<br />

considered the Watan cards are good to survive. However, 55 percent<br />

said that the relief compensation is not enough for them to get back to<br />

their pre flood situation.<br />

The reason of high percentage of negative thoughts about the Watan<br />

cards in urban areas, probably because of the high cost of living in urban<br />

areas as compared to the rural areas. These were the thoughts of people<br />

who got the Watan cards but there were many people who are still<br />

waiting for the government agencies to give them the Watan cards. The<br />

reason could be due to the condition of receiving the relief card, i.e. the<br />

person must be at age of 18 <strong>and</strong> must have a valid national identity card<br />

to get the relief card. But as the flood victims did not have enough time<br />

27


Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

to respond the flooding as they were not informed on time about<br />

flooding, so the people had to save their lives rather saving livestock,<br />

important documents etc. It is obvious, that the people did not know<br />

that they will get the relief support or compensation on the basis of<br />

National Identity cards otherwise they would have saved their national<br />

identity cards too. Another thing which is also important to mention<br />

here that as most of the flood victims have lost their houses then how<br />

they could bring their national identity cards from their houses to get the<br />

Watan cards.<br />

Figure 29: Comparison of flood victim's views about Watan cards<br />

between urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas<br />

Figure 30: Comparison of flood victim's views about relief <strong>and</strong><br />

rehabilitation process in urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas<br />

Figure 31: Comparison of flood victim's views about time frame for<br />

rehabilitation process between urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas<br />

28


<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

Figure 32: Comparison of burning issues in urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas<br />

Figure 33: Comparison of willingness about moving back to flood<br />

damaged areas in urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas<br />

In spite of the fact, that governmental authorities have issued more than<br />

1.6 million Watan/Relief cards but the authors think that the<br />

government should make some change in their policy about relief cards<br />

so that the flood victims get the respectable money to re-start their<br />

routine life. Due to such hurdles, 30 percent of the people from urban<br />

<strong>and</strong> only 5 percent of the people from rural affected areas think that the<br />

relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process is on the track as they have got relief<br />

goods from the government agencies, NGOs <strong>and</strong> civil societies but the<br />

rest of the people have not been able to get anything from these sources<br />

(Fig. 30). 60 percent <strong>and</strong> 65 percent people from urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas,<br />

respectively, think that the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process will take at<br />

least 1-2 years additionally, while 35 <strong>and</strong> 20 percent people from urban<br />

<strong>and</strong> rural areas, respectively, thinks that it will take 2-3 years more (Fig.<br />

31). However, 15 <strong>and</strong> 5 percent of rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas, respectively,<br />

thinks that as the governmental agencies are not fulfilling their<br />

responsibilities <strong>and</strong> as result the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation work will be<br />

going on for longer period.<br />

As the people are still not getting relief support from the government, on<br />

time, there is an acute shortage of drinking water, goods for food,<br />

medicines, clothes <strong>and</strong> shelter. 80 percent in urban <strong>and</strong> 85 percent<br />

people of rural area are in need of these goods as part of relief support.<br />

While 20 percent in urban <strong>and</strong> 15 percent in rural areas are in need of<br />

additional money <strong>and</strong> transport service so that they could buy goods<br />

from the markets <strong>and</strong> could support their self until they find jobs to<br />

improve their life (Fig.32). When the authors asked about their<br />

29


Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

willingness to go back to the pre flooded area, almost all were ready to<br />

go back to the flood affect areas but with certain conditions. As per<br />

condition 1, 90 <strong>and</strong> 60 percent of the urban <strong>and</strong> rural area people said<br />

that if the government provides enough money so that they re-build<br />

their houses then they are ready to move to flood damaged area. While<br />

as per condition 2, 10 <strong>and</strong> 40 percent of the people from urban <strong>and</strong> rural<br />

areas said that it is better to find job in the surrounding areas of the relief<br />

camp instead of going back to the damaged houses <strong>and</strong> flooded areas<br />

because next year the flood will come again <strong>and</strong> they will be displaced to<br />

another locations, as the government do not pay any attention to the<br />

flooded area to be protected by appropriate measures from the next<br />

flood season (Fig. 33).<br />

Analysis of the responses of NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies<br />

NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies were contacted later after completing the survey<br />

in the relief camps with the intention to evaluate how they look into the<br />

whole process of relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process <strong>and</strong> to find out why<br />

they could not contribute very well in the whole process (Appendix C<br />

<strong>and</strong> D).<br />

Most of the officials from NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies also were agreed that<br />

the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process is very slow <strong>and</strong> it will take at least 1<br />

to 2 years more as the millions of people are displaced from their homes<br />

<strong>and</strong> the extent of flood damages are quite huge if compared to the recent<br />

natural disasters. But they have also pointed out that in some part of the<br />

rural area in Sindh province, some feudals/l<strong>and</strong>lords <strong>and</strong> politicians have<br />

deliberately diverted the flow of floodwater towards such areas which<br />

were announced as safe place from the flood, to protect their own<br />

agricultural l<strong>and</strong>s. Here it can easily be said, that the flooding in that<br />

particular non vulnerable area to flooding was due to the deliberately<br />

breaching of embankments/leaves <strong>and</strong> it would be unfair to blame the<br />

summer monsoon rainfall or climate change. According to officials from<br />

NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies, that government is not fully supporting them<br />

particularly in providing security at time when distributing the relief<br />

goods in the flood affected people as it is hard for them to manage<br />

hundreds of people, who are deliberately in need of food, shelters,<br />

medicines <strong>and</strong> especially the clean drinking water. They believe that such<br />

miserable situation is actually occurred as a result of not fairly<br />

distributing the goods among the flood victims. In fact, many people are<br />

still waiting for the Watan/relief cards to get from the governmental<br />

agencies. However, officials from NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies have also<br />

appreciate that the Watan/relief card is good approach for providing<br />

relief compensation to the flood victims <strong>and</strong> hopefully the flood affected<br />

people will get back to their pre-flood situation as soon as they get the<br />

relief cards. But they suggested that the governmental agencies should<br />

make some changes in the rules of getting Watan cards. According to<br />

them, the road infrastructure is mostly damaged due to flood <strong>and</strong> as a<br />

result it is very hard for them to reach to the flood victims to help them<br />

out. The NGOs staff suggested that the governmental agencies either<br />

provide the goods through NGOs or through the local prominent<br />

persons who have good credibility in the flood affected people. Similarly,<br />

the pressing action should be to keep the political leaders out of the<br />

process of relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation as most of them do not have good<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ing among the people <strong>and</strong> in fact, such political leaders just<br />

distribute the relief goods among those flood victims who have<br />

membership of their political parties.<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

Analysis of the responses of Policy makers<br />

Policy makers <strong>and</strong> staff of the governmental agencies for relief <strong>and</strong><br />

rehabilitation were contacted as well to compare their views with the<br />

views of flood victims, NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies for the purpose to know<br />

the quality level of relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process (Appendix E).<br />

According to them that all the efforts (both electronic <strong>and</strong> print media)<br />

were utilized to inform the people about the flood forecasting <strong>and</strong><br />

warnings but there are some areas in the rural areas where people do not<br />

have access to both electronic <strong>and</strong> print media. However, in such areas<br />

local authorities informed the people through telephonic service <strong>and</strong><br />

crisis management teams who visited the rural areas. In this regards, local<br />

organization of the villages/rural areas were involved but for rural area<br />

there was not enough time so that they could save their livestock <strong>and</strong><br />

household goods. According to policy makers, distribution of relief<br />

goods among people was also a big problem for them, as they were not<br />

ready at least for such a big natural disaster. In other words they were<br />

accepting that the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation work is out of their capacity<br />

due to the fact that this was a catastrophic event <strong>and</strong> as a result the relief<br />

<strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process has been slow They accepted that the relief<br />

goods did not reach on time to flood victims due to damaged of the road<br />

infrastructures <strong>and</strong> also ponding of flood water. According to them, that<br />

during the flood, most of people are affected in those areas where the<br />

population density is very high as people do not pay attention to family<br />

planning as a result, people from such areas who got the Watan/relief<br />

cards are not happy with the government relief compensations. It is hard<br />

for policy makers to manage the flood victims because most of the<br />

people are not educated <strong>and</strong> are ill mannered. The policy makers were<br />

insisting that the Watan card is enough for one family as these people<br />

also getting the relief goods from government agencies <strong>and</strong> also from<br />

other sources too. Policy makers believes that there are some people<br />

who are pretending of being victim of flood, but in fact, such people are<br />

living in those cities which were not affected by flood, as a result they are<br />

affecting the whole process of relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation. Regarding the<br />

health issues, they were also agreed that the people are still at risk of<br />

water borne diseases as the government is facing shortage of medicines<br />

<strong>and</strong> medical staff so that to speed up the medical service for the flood<br />

victims. They have appreciated the efforts of NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies.<br />

Policy makers strongly suggested that the government should initiate<br />

high level of programs to enhance the capacity of the crisis management<br />

teams <strong>and</strong> also initiate flood awareness programs for people so that to<br />

make relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process speedy <strong>and</strong> effective in future.<br />

Analysis of flood mitigation measures<br />

Pakistan has been the victim of monsoon flooding throughout its<br />

history. The occurrence of flood event in Pakistan since 1947 till 2011 is<br />

24 times with an average of a flood per 2.66 years. The analysis of the<br />

history of the flood damages in Pakistan reveals that the areal extents of<br />

damage was high in 1956, 1977 <strong>and</strong> in the 2010. Similarly financial<br />

damages were extremely high in 2010 while the human losses were high<br />

in 1950, 1977, 1992 <strong>and</strong> 2010.The highest number of villages is affected<br />

in the 2011 flood, which was due to the fact that this flooding was only<br />

occurred in the rural area of Sindh province where the number of<br />

villages is very high. It is surprising that the Pakistani water managers<br />

<strong>and</strong> policy makers did not pay attention to the flood events till 1977,<br />

which could be due to lack of resources <strong>and</strong> may be the efforts were<br />

diverted due to three major wars (1948, 1965 <strong>and</strong> 1971) with India. The<br />

31


Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

government initiated flood protection measures under the umbrella of<br />

FFC for every 10 years. However, the large numbers of human losses<br />

was occurred even in 1992 flood, which brought the attention of the<br />

water managers into the improvement in the flood forecasting <strong>and</strong><br />

warning system. Then again the high level of flood occurred in 2010 <strong>and</strong><br />

the water policy makers <strong>and</strong> managers are now again trying to bring<br />

some changes in the mitigation measures. It can easily be said that the<br />

flood mitigation measures of the Pakistani government is retroactive<br />

rather than proactive, as the government starts to improve the flood<br />

mitigation measures after flood events, though it is good enough that the<br />

changes have come after the flood struck e.g. 1977, 1992. According to<br />

Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen, 2011, that there has been a decreasing<br />

tendency in the death toll in flooding event from 1950 till 2099, which<br />

could be due to flood control measures (Fig. 5). It is also important to<br />

mention here that due to such flood mitigation measures the ratio<br />

between the human losses in flood to the exposure of people to flood is<br />

lower than the India, China, Bangladesh <strong>and</strong> Afghanistan (Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van<br />

de Giesen, 2011).<br />

FFC water policy is mainly depending on structural measures to<br />

minimize the flooding events, as billions of USD has been invested for<br />

construction of small dams, barrages but even then such measures are<br />

not useful enough to avoid the flooding situation. The reason could be<br />

because of the fact that major dams in Pakistan are mainly using for<br />

irrigation purpose <strong>and</strong> power generation (Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen,<br />

2011). The alarming point is that Pakistan does not have enough water<br />

storage reservoirs to store the excess water in the monsoon season to<br />

avoid flooding event <strong>and</strong> drought situation as well, because before the<br />

flood 2010 the country was facing drought <strong>and</strong> shortage of water. If FFC<br />

had built major dams to store the water, they would have avoided the<br />

flood 2010 <strong>and</strong> would have saved big financial <strong>and</strong> human loss.<br />

According to Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen, 2011, that Pakistan has not been<br />

able to construct big reservoirs since Tarbela dam i.e. 1974, as political<br />

leaders have politicized the matter. In fact, they have created inter<br />

provincial disputes over the share of water for their vested interests<br />

which is the most controversial hurdle for the FFC to solve. Pakistan<br />

could solve the flood problem <strong>and</strong> as well as the energy crisis if the<br />

country save huge amount of excess water which flows straightaway to<br />

the Arabian Sea. The need is here to build major dams to store the water<br />

of the flood <strong>and</strong> Indus River as Pakistan is getting 56% of the water<br />

from the Indus River, otherwise the country will face water shortage in<br />

near future as Pakistan is one of the water scarce countries.<br />

In terms of climate, Pakistan is vulnerable to flood in the monsoon/<br />

summer season. To minimize this factor, Pakistan needs an effective<br />

flood forecasting <strong>and</strong> warning system. As a matter of fact, the<br />

government has paid attention to upgrade the of weather technology<br />

right after the 1992 devastating flood event. However, PMD is still<br />

lacking of advance technology to forecast the flash flooding. If PMD had<br />

upgraded the flood forecasting they would have played a vital role in<br />

reducing the damages due to 2010 flash plus riverine type of flooding. It<br />

was observed in the 2010 flooding, that the PMD’s flood early warning<br />

system even for riverine flood forecasting did not work significantly as<br />

there was not enough time for the authorities to evacuate the people<br />

right after the issuance of flood warning. The reasons behind the late<br />

issuance of flood warning could be others too but one reason could be<br />

that the PMD’s riverine flood forecasting is mainly dependent on the<br />

secondary hydrological data, which they get from the WAPDA <strong>and</strong><br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

Irrigation departments. So such hydrological data is required to be<br />

h<strong>and</strong>ed over on time <strong>and</strong> should be authentic too as most of the<br />

hydrological stations are man-operating <strong>and</strong> there is always a chance of<br />

human error. According to the PMD report that that the weather<br />

forecasting ability of this department was malfunctioning during the<br />

flooding 2010, as many of their meteorological stations were partially or<br />

fully damaged soon after the beginning of the 2010 flooding (WMO,<br />

2010).<br />

The alarming point is that the population growth rate of the country is<br />

very high as country’s population is now 180 millions with rare practice<br />

of city planning. Due to this reason, the people are used to move to<br />

places where they can expect socio-economic benefits, without paying<br />

any attention to the climatic vulnerability of the area. In city planning,<br />

flood hazard map is an important part, however FFC has not yet paid<br />

any serious attention to make the authentic flood hazard maps so that to<br />

restrict the movement of the people haphazardly. Additionally, the<br />

morphology of the rivers need be studied <strong>and</strong> particularly the Indus<br />

River, as flood like 2010 bring huge amount of sediments which make<br />

changes in the river course <strong>and</strong> also deteriorate the capacity of a<br />

hydraulic structures. The re-study of the river morphology <strong>and</strong> crosssections<br />

of the rivers will also be helpful in measurement of water<br />

discharge at certain location in the rivers. If FFC once managed to<br />

implement the flood hazard maps then it is important to educate the<br />

people so that the people should avoid living in such floodplain area.<br />

The people who are living in the riverine area could also be resettled in<br />

safe residential places by providing alternative source of income as many<br />

of them are dependent on the river water to use it for agriculture <strong>and</strong><br />

fishing purpose. Such action could be possible if FFC spend more<br />

money on the flood awareness among the people by initiating flood<br />

awareness programs so that the people have an idea how to respond in<br />

the flood crisis <strong>and</strong> to support the flood crisis management teams rather<br />

than creating problems in implementation of relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation<br />

process.<br />

CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS<br />

Conclusion<br />

Flooding <strong>and</strong> its rehabilitation process need a comprehensive approach<br />

to deal with it <strong>and</strong> particularly in the Indus River Basin System when it<br />

couple with uneven monsoon precipitations. Flooding is undoubtedly a<br />

natural disaster, even the developed countries have failed to counteract<br />

in spite of all preparations. The historical flood events in Pakistan are<br />

mainly connected to the uneven monsoon rainfall with devastating<br />

consequences that have raised serious questions about the flood<br />

management strategies. Undoubtedly, it can be said that mitigations<br />

measures, of the Pakistani policy makers <strong>and</strong> water mangers against the<br />

flooding, are retroactive rather than proactive. The mitigation measures<br />

have been around construction of hydraulic structures but over sighted<br />

the importance of authentic flood hazard mapping <strong>and</strong> its<br />

implementations, study of the rivers morphology, improvement of flood<br />

forecasting & warning system <strong>and</strong> definitely much attention should have<br />

been paid to the coordination system between the FFD <strong>and</strong> relief<br />

agencies. Apart of these, the importance of people have never been<br />

recognized which could play a useful role if they get awareness about<br />

flood hazards, relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process. However, the county’s<br />

high population growth, varied climate <strong>and</strong> socio economic conditions<br />

33


Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

are the issues which make the management of flood events, relief <strong>and</strong><br />

rehabilitation works more tangled. Relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process<br />

cannot be executed smoothly <strong>and</strong> transparently without involving of<br />

local people as even though approximately USD 370 million has been<br />

distributed in flood victims but still many of the flood victims are<br />

looking to get the Watan/relief cards, which obviously have raised the<br />

question about the transparency of relief compensations. Pakistan, being<br />

an agriculture based economy country cannot withst<strong>and</strong> with such<br />

frequent flood events <strong>and</strong> thus there is an urgent need of change in flood<br />

mitigation strategies based on the short comings of 2010 flood. It is<br />

important that the future flood mitigation measures should be good<br />

enough to integrate into the Indus River basin systems, which will<br />

contribute positively in the socio-economic development in the Sindh<br />

Province.<br />

Recommendations<br />

Following are short comings in the Pakistan’s flood mitigation policy,<br />

which considerably need improvement to mitigate the flood events, <strong>and</strong><br />

to reduce the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation’s problems.<br />

Technical <strong>and</strong> Management Issues<br />

Preparation <strong>and</strong> implementation of flood hazard maps, particularly in<br />

Sindh province should be done on urgent basis as Indus River<br />

passing through the centre of the province.<br />

Flood control <strong>and</strong> flood early warning system (FEWS) need to be<br />

updated. Apart of this, meteorological radars should be installed<br />

throughout the country instead of focusing only the developed<br />

areas/cities.<br />

Advance technology should be utilized to able the PMD to forecast<br />

both flash <strong>and</strong> riverine flooding.<br />

Maintenance of the hydraulic structures should be done on regular<br />

basis as flooding transport large amount of sediments along its<br />

course, which reduce the capacity of the hydraulic structure.<br />

The benefits of the flooding should be increased by creating storage<br />

reservoirs which could help in solving the energy crisis by using the<br />

excess water for irrigation <strong>and</strong> power generation purpose.<br />

Coordinated flood management approach is weak, which needs<br />

improvement, particularly coordination between PMD, WAPDA <strong>and</strong><br />

Irrigation departments.<br />

The river morphology need to be studied, at least once in two<br />

monsoon seasons <strong>and</strong> must be studied after every future flood event,<br />

<strong>and</strong> floodplain maps should be prepared accordingly.<br />

Flood management should be proactive <strong>and</strong> need to be integrated with<br />

Indus River basin system.<br />

People who are living in the flood hazard zone should be compensated<br />

in the process of re-settlement<br />

Awareness Programs<br />

Flood awareness programs need to be initiated in areas which are<br />

vulnerable to recurrent flooding. Apart of this, both electronic <strong>and</strong><br />

print media could be very useful to aware the people about flood<br />

hazard.<br />

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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

Local people should be trained for all kind of hazards <strong>and</strong> particularly<br />

for the flood response so that people work as a facilitative in the<br />

relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process rather than problematic.<br />

National flood insurance program need to be initiated for those houses<br />

or businesses which are located in flood prone areas, which would<br />

indirectly bring the awareness in the people towards flood hazards<br />

<strong>and</strong> on other h<strong>and</strong> it will be helpful for rebuilding the businesses <strong>and</strong><br />

houses after the flood event.<br />

Relief <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>s<br />

Need of coordination is required between the NGOs <strong>and</strong> Government<br />

agencies<br />

The provision of relief compensation to the affected people should be<br />

transparent so that well-off people come forward in support of relief<br />

<strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process.<br />

Logistic support should be provided to the civil society to make it easy<br />

for people who want to participate in the relief or rehabilitation<br />

process.<br />

Safety of the NGOs staff should be increased.<br />

Government should provide relief compensation to the affected<br />

people through non political leaders, for the purpose to avoid<br />

mismanagement <strong>and</strong> to improve transparency in the relief works.<br />

Incentives should be given to the local contractors so that<br />

rehabilitation process make faster (e.g. Income tax waiver on all<br />

rehabilitation works).<br />

35


Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

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Akhtar S. 2011. The South Asiatic Monsoon <strong>and</strong> Flood Hazards in the<br />

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PMD, 2010. Monsoon Tracks. Pakistan Meteorological Department,<br />

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SUPARCO <strong>and</strong> FAO, 2011. Pakistan Rain/Flood 2011 Report on Flash<br />

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L<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Water Resources Engineering, School of Architecture <strong>and</strong> the<br />

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Pakistan Indus River System. (Online), Available:<br />

http://ndma.gov.pk/Documents/NIDM/NIDM%20COurses/Floo<br />

d%20Mitigation%2015-<br />

19%20Feb%202010/Flood%20disaster%20risk%20situations%20in<br />

%20Pakistan.pdf (Retrieved July 2011)<br />

Pakistan Meteorological Department Website http://www.pmd.gov.pk/<br />

Pakistan’s Ministry of information <strong>and</strong> broadcasting, 2011. Information<br />

Gateway to Pakistan. (Online), Available:<br />

http://www.infopak.gov.pk/BasicFacts.aspx (Retrieved December<br />

2011)<br />

Panikkar A.K., 2008. Water profile of Pakistan, In: Encyclopedia of Earth.<br />

(Online), Available:<br />

http://www.eoearth.org/article/Water_profile_of_Pakistan (Retrieved<br />

November 2011)<br />

Provintial Disaster Management Authority (Sindh) Website<br />

http://www.pdma.pk/dnn/<br />

Sindh Agriculture Department, 2005. Government of Sindh - Agriculture<br />

Deapartment (Online), Available: http://www.sindhagri.gov.pk/ (Retrieved<br />

November 2011)<br />

Rehman, H. <strong>and</strong> Kamal, A., 2010. Indus Basin River System - Flooding<br />

<strong>and</strong> Flood Mitigation.ICID Publication (Online), Available:<br />

http://www.icimod.org/?opg=949&q=drr_document&document=1<br />

660 (Retrieved September 2011)<br />

Relief Web Website http://reliefweb.int/country/pak<br />

Stockholm International Water Institute (SIWI) http://www.siwi.org/<br />

UN, 2011.Pakistan <strong>Floods</strong> Response Plan 2011, (Online), Available:<br />

http://ndma.gov.pk/Documents/flood_2011/Pakistan_RRP_Flood<br />

s2011.pdf (Retrieved December 2011)<br />

World Water Week Website http://www.worldwaterweek.org/<br />

37


<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

APPENDICES<br />

A. Flood affected people in study area of Sindh province, assessment of<br />

basic demographic information<br />

District Kotri Thatta Larkana<br />

Camp No K1 K2 T1 L1<br />

1.Gender<br />

Male 43 64 90 216<br />

Female 33 47 66 193<br />

Total 76 111 156 409<br />

Urban area's victims out of total 17 23 43 197<br />

Rural area's victims out of total 59 88 113 212<br />

2. Age<br />

17 years <strong>and</strong> below 34 52 72 220<br />

18 – 30 years 12 21 41 68<br />

31 – 45 23 29 27 89<br />

46 years <strong>and</strong> above 7 9 16 32<br />

Total 76 111 156 409<br />

3. Marital status<br />

Single (above 17 years) 9 15 27 53<br />

Married (having children) 12 17 23 47<br />

Married (having no children) 4 3 1 19<br />

Widow/Widower/ no family members 1 4 9 16<br />

Total 26 39 60 135<br />

4. Education Level<br />

School 31 42 67 172<br />

College 4 3 10 57<br />

University 0 1 5 21<br />

No education 41 65 74 159<br />

Total 76 111 156 409<br />

5. Source of Income ( Before flooding)<br />

Job 3 4 17 53<br />

Agriculture 20 38 63 162<br />

Fishing 2 3 13 31<br />

Business 1 2 9 27<br />

Household 21 34 54 136<br />

Total 47 81 156 409<br />

I


Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

Questions<br />

B. Questionnaire response from the flood victims<br />

Flood warning: When did you<br />

know that flood is coming?<br />

Source of information: From<br />

which source of information you<br />

used flood warning?<br />

Flood damages: What did you<br />

lose in this flood? (Any family<br />

member, crops, l<strong>and</strong>s, animals<br />

etc)<br />

Time frame for rehabilitation:<br />

What do you think that how long<br />

time will it take to come back on<br />

the pre flood life conditions with<br />

the Relief compensations,<br />

PKR.100000= USD 1100= 8000<br />

SEK, which is providing by<br />

government for relief <strong>and</strong><br />

rehabilitation?<br />

Willingness to go back to<br />

floodplain area: Do you want to<br />

go back to your houses <strong>and</strong><br />

villages?<br />

Health issues: Is there anybody<br />

in your family who is ill due to<br />

water born diseases?<br />

Relief work: Do you think that<br />

NGOs, aid agencies <strong>and</strong><br />

government are really working in<br />

proper way for the relief <strong>and</strong><br />

rehabilitation?<br />

Agricultural <strong>and</strong> Livestock<br />

damages: How much agricultural<br />

l<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> animals have you lost?<br />

Short coming in relief work:<br />

What kind of big problem do you<br />

have now?<br />

Response<br />

Urban Area<br />

50% knew one week in advance<br />

35% knew 72 hours in advance<br />

15% knew 24 hours in advance<br />

15 % Government agencies<br />

75% Television <strong>and</strong> newspaper<br />

10% Ngo´s<br />

0% lost family member<br />

20% lost crops<br />

60% houses damage<br />

20% animals lost<br />

60% said it will take at least one to<br />

two years <strong>and</strong> PKR.100000= USD<br />

1100= 8000 SEK is not enough for<br />

start a life.<br />

40% said it takes two years <strong>and</strong><br />

PKR.100000= USD 1100= 8000<br />

SEK is good compensation if<br />

governments provide it to us as<br />

soon as possible.<br />

90% said yes if government<br />

provides funds then we go <strong>and</strong> start<br />

our lives.<br />

10% said yes but we are more<br />

interested to start our life in city <strong>and</strong><br />

find work here<br />

70% said yes because we have no<br />

properly good drinking water <strong>and</strong><br />

flood water is st<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>and</strong> causing<br />

malaria, stomach problems.<br />

30% said no, we didn’t face any<br />

problem but sometimes we have flu<br />

due to malaria.<br />

70% said no, they working very<br />

slowly <strong>and</strong> still we didn’t get<br />

properly fund.<br />

30% said yes, we get fund from<br />

government <strong>and</strong> Ngo´s <strong>and</strong> aid<br />

agencies but we need enough aid<br />

to start our lives.<br />

05% have 10-25 Acre<br />

25% have 05-15 Acre<br />

03-06 Buffalo<br />

07-10 Goat<br />

02-04 cows<br />

80% said problem of food stuff,<br />

medicine, winter clothes <strong>and</strong> lack of<br />

money.<br />

20% said lack of money because<br />

they are getting food <strong>and</strong> other stuff<br />

from government aid agencies <strong>and</strong><br />

other resources.<br />

Rural Area<br />

05% knew one week in advance<br />

10% knew 72 hours in advance<br />

25% knew 24 hours in advance<br />

60% came to know when the flood<br />

was on the doorstep because of the<br />

lack of information <strong>and</strong> lack of<br />

literacy<br />

40% didn’t know<br />

30% by relatives, friends <strong>and</strong><br />

l<strong>and</strong>lord/feudals.<br />

25% Radio<br />

05% Ngo´s<br />

02% lost family member out of total<br />

at study area Sindh.<br />

90% lost crops out of total<br />

agriculture l<strong>and</strong><br />

95% houses are partially <strong>and</strong> fully<br />

damages out of total<br />

80% animals lost/died out of total<br />

85% said it takes at least one year<br />

<strong>and</strong> PKR.100000= USD 1100=<br />

8000 SEK is very good<br />

compensation of to start live again.<br />

15% said it will take long time <strong>and</strong><br />

we are interested to find work here<br />

in city.<br />

60% said yes if government<br />

provides funds then we go <strong>and</strong> start<br />

our lives.<br />

40% said yes but we are more<br />

interested to start our life in city <strong>and</strong><br />

find work here because we are<br />

afraid if we go <strong>and</strong> build our houses<br />

<strong>and</strong> again flood come then we have<br />

no option<br />

95% said yes, we have lot of<br />

problems <strong>and</strong> we didn’t get good<br />

drinking water <strong>and</strong> flood water is<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>and</strong> causing malaria,<br />

stomach problems<br />

05% no, we didn’t face any<br />

problem.<br />

95% said no, they working very<br />

slowly <strong>and</strong> still we didn’t get<br />

properly fund or Watan card money<br />

which is Rs.100000=8000 SEK.<br />

05% said yes, we get fund from<br />

government <strong>and</strong> Ngo´s <strong>and</strong> aid<br />

agencies but we need enough aid<br />

to start our lives.<br />

05% have 10-25 Acre<br />

10% have 05-15 Acre<br />

85% farm workers<br />

06-10 Buffalo<br />

15-25 Goat<br />

03-07 cows<br />

95% said problem of food stuff,<br />

medicine, winter cloths <strong>and</strong> lack of<br />

money.<br />

05% said lack of money because<br />

they are getting food <strong>and</strong> other stuff<br />

from government aid agencies <strong>and</strong><br />

other resources.<br />

II


<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />

C. Questionnaire response from the aid agencies personals<br />

Questions<br />

Response<br />

Q# 1.Did you get any threat while in<br />

the process of rehabilitation?<br />

Yes! We were getting threats from local people during the distribution<br />

of funds because they are hungry <strong>and</strong> many people snatching the<br />

food, medicine <strong>and</strong> clothes .So, for our safety governments provide<br />

us security.<br />

Q#2. What kind of major problems are<br />

people facing in your perspective?<br />

There are many problems that the affected people are facing ,for<br />

example shortage of food, drinking water <strong>and</strong> also health issues as<br />

there are people who are facing water born diseases<br />

Q#3. What do you think how long time<br />

the rehabilitation process will take so<br />

that flood victims go back to their pre<br />

flood normal life?<br />

It will take at least one or two years because flood victims have<br />

nothing as compared to pre flood situation. The government is<br />

providing funds, so gradually they will move to their places <strong>and</strong> start<br />

their lives as soon they get the relief goods<br />

Q#4. How much support do you get<br />

from the government, <strong>and</strong> civil<br />

society?<br />

Q#5. How do you participate in the<br />

rehabilitation process?<br />

We have been partially supported by government.<br />

Provision of aid to the flood victims, which generally we get mainly<br />

from general public by running campaigns about the flood, however<br />

media support is also important in our fund raising.<br />

D. Questionnaire response from the NGOs<br />

Questions<br />

Response<br />

Q#1. How do you see this flood?<br />

Q#2. As a neutral person, what do you think<br />

how much people have lost financially <strong>and</strong> what<br />

kind of risk are they facing now?<br />

This is a big disaster in Pakistan <strong>and</strong> millions of people are<br />

affected by this flood<br />

Millions of houses are demolish, crops are destroyed by<br />

flood, animals either lost or killed <strong>and</strong> loss of human life.<br />

There is big risk of many water borne diseases <strong>and</strong> people<br />

are sick <strong>and</strong> hungry<br />

Q#3. Do you think victims are properly cared by<br />

the aid agencies <strong>and</strong> government?<br />

Government agencies provide the aid <strong>and</strong> there are many<br />

NGOs <strong>and</strong> political parties for example Muttahida Quami<br />

movement (Pakistan), they are providing fund, government<br />

is also issuing Watan card to all victims, but there are many<br />

victims who didn’t get any fund from government.<br />

Q#4. What is the role of NGO´S in the<br />

rehabilitations of the victims?<br />

Q#5. In your opinion how long time it will take to<br />

complete rehabilitation of the flood victims?<br />

Q#6. Is the relief compensation fairly<br />

distributed?<br />

NGOS´s are providing food, clothes <strong>and</strong> house hold stuff<br />

<strong>and</strong> money for victims of flood by the collaboration of<br />

general public <strong>and</strong> political parties.<br />

It will take at least one year more because flood victims<br />

have lost almost everything e.g. house, crop l<strong>and</strong>, livestock<br />

<strong>and</strong> their jobs.<br />

No! Because most of the flood victims are still waiting to get<br />

any sort of aid to re-build their life.<br />

Q#7. What kind of problems do you see among<br />

flood victims?<br />

People are hungry for food, lacking of good clothes to<br />

protect from winter. Apart from this, many people are at risk<br />

of water borne diseases <strong>and</strong> there is need of doctors as<br />

well to provide necessary health support to flood victims<br />

III


Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />

E. Questionnaire response from Policy makers<br />

Questions<br />

Response<br />

Q# 1.Did you inform or tried to inform people before<br />

flood to move to safer places?<br />

Q# 2.What is the minimum or maximum lose of<br />

people? Any record?<br />

Q# 3.What do you think that how it will be possible<br />

to bring back the flood victims to their normal life?<br />

Q# 4 Is government or aid agencies working in<br />

proper way for the cause?<br />

Q# 5.What is the major problem in relief <strong>and</strong><br />

rehabilitation process?<br />

Q# 6.What lesson have you learned from current<br />

flood?<br />

Q #7.What kinds of water borne diseases are<br />

expected to spread among the flood victims?<br />

Q# 8.Are there enough doctors <strong>and</strong> medicines to<br />

save the lives of flood victims?<br />

Q# 9.In what ways aid agencies <strong>and</strong> government is<br />

helping flood victims?<br />

Q# 10.Are there any specific problem which needs<br />

urgent sort of treatment or attentions?<br />

Yes, we informed the people about update of flood<br />

through government resources <strong>and</strong> media but in<br />

some rural area where electricity <strong>and</strong> other media<br />

sources are not available they did not get flood<br />

warnings on time.<br />

More than 2000 people are died <strong>and</strong> millions of<br />

houses are demolished. Similarly about<br />

1,400,000 acres of cropl<strong>and</strong> was damaged. In fact<br />

the whole socio-economic profile is severely<br />

damaged in Sindh province of Pakistan. Record is<br />

available at NDMA website.<br />

It will take time because the country has never faced<br />

such kind flooding situation before. The government<br />

is trying hard to fully compensate the people so that<br />

they could restart their normal life as they had before<br />

the flood.<br />

Yes, government <strong>and</strong> aid agencies are trying their<br />

best to compensate every flood victim. Apart of this<br />

the government is also getting some fund from<br />

foreign countries to meet the requirements of the<br />

flood victims.<br />

Actually people are frustrated as they have big<br />

families, bad weather <strong>and</strong> bad condition of living<br />

which have made the situation worst. That’s why in<br />

some areas some people have tried to snatch the<br />

relief goods <strong>and</strong> threaten the NGO or relief workers.<br />

Flood warning system needs improvement, Disaster<br />

response program should be initiated in people <strong>and</strong><br />

at administration level.<br />

Skin disease/ problem, Diarrhea, Typhoid , Giardia,<br />

Salmonella, Cholera, , E. Coli <strong>and</strong> Fecal Coli etc<br />

Yes, there are doctors <strong>and</strong> other medical staff but still<br />

there is a shortage of medicines <strong>and</strong> doctors, which<br />

is the main hurdle in treatment of flood victims<br />

Aid agencies providing relief good to some extent,<br />

which includes food/ tents/ drinking stuffs but the aid<br />

need to be consistent rather periodic.<br />

Yes, there are pregnant women <strong>and</strong> in fact newly<br />

born babies as well which need special treatment<br />

IV

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