Floods and Rehabilitation Process - Mark- och vattenteknik
Floods and Rehabilitation Process - Mark- och vattenteknik
Floods and Rehabilitation Process - Mark- och vattenteknik
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Ulla<br />
Mörtberg<br />
<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong> <strong>Process</strong>: A<br />
Study on Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong><br />
Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh<br />
Province, Pakistan<br />
Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui<br />
February 2013<br />
TRITA-LWR Degree Project 13-05<br />
ISSN 1651-064X<br />
LWR-EX-13-05
Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
© Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui 2013<br />
Degree Project for the masters program in Water Systems Technology<br />
Department of L<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Water Resources Engineering<br />
Royal Institute of Technology (KTH)<br />
SE-100 44 STOCKHOLM, Sweden<br />
Reference should be written as: Afridi, M.A., Siddiqui, M.A (2013) “<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: A Study of Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on<br />
Sindh Province, Pakistan” TRITA-LWR Degree Project 13:05, 37p<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
SUMMARY<br />
Flooding is one of the most common natural disasters not only for Pakistan but to the<br />
whole world. The reasons behind flooding could be due to occurrence of abnormal<br />
rainfall, melting of snow or failure of hydraulic structures. Its extent of damage does<br />
not stick only to losses of lives but in fact infrastructure, cultivated l<strong>and</strong>, water bodies<br />
<strong>and</strong> livestock are the sectors which become useless for the whole society. Flooding as<br />
it disrupts the whole society needs rehabilitation as well after the flood event, which is<br />
the most challenging one for developing country. The study is focused to review the<br />
flooding history of Pakistan, conduct field survey in flood relief camps in three<br />
districts of Sindh Province to raise the problems of rehabilitation process, highlight<br />
the drawbacks in the flood mitigation measure of the water managers of Pakistan.<br />
Pakistan has faced more than 24 times flooding since its independence. The flooding<br />
in 2010 was the most drastic in the history of Pakistan. These flooding resulted in<br />
29547 USD million estimated financial loss <strong>and</strong> 12452 human’s loss. Apart of this, the<br />
floods affected an area of 59576 sq. miles. Southern province of Pakistan, Sindh, is<br />
most prone province to flooding as the Indus River is passing through the middle of<br />
the Province. The main causes of flooding in Pakistan are the monsoon rainfall, which<br />
result flash flooding in the northern part of Pakistan <strong>and</strong> riverine flooding in the<br />
southern part i.e. mainly Sindh Province. The southern part is lower than the river bed<br />
which make the situation critical in the Sindh Province in case of any flooding. The<br />
damage is also increases as people have encroached to the flood plain in the Sindh<br />
Province. For flood mitigation, Pakistan have spent billions of USD but such<br />
investment is mainly in the construction of hydraulic structures <strong>and</strong> little improvement<br />
in the flood forecasting after 1992 flooding but have missed to educate people about<br />
flooding, creating of authentic flood hazard maps, study of Indus River morphology<br />
<strong>and</strong> enhancing the capacity of the disaster management agencies. The survey findings<br />
reveal the mismanagement in the distribution of early compensation money to the<br />
flood victims, such money has been distributing through a relief card which called<br />
Watan card. Though 1.6 million of Watan cards have been distributed but still people<br />
are waiting for such compensation. People those who got this card think that PKR<br />
100000 or USD 1100 is not enough. Flood victims have serious reservation on<br />
political leaders being involved in the corruption of cards distribution. Flood victims<br />
are still in need of relief goods. Flood victims have also pointed out that some feudals<br />
or political leaders have deliberately diverted the flood water, towards villages, for<br />
their vested interest. The survey also raised the poor communication between the<br />
disaster management agencies <strong>and</strong> people as some people were unaware of flooding<br />
even till the last stage. NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies need security <strong>and</strong> logistic support so<br />
that they could carry out the relief works in better way to speed up the rehabilitation<br />
process. The government is supposed to take immediate action in improvement in the<br />
flood forecasting technology, enhance the flood benefits, educate people about flood<br />
hazard, execute study of river morphology <strong>and</strong> make authentic flood hazard maps. All<br />
such actions must be economical, feasible <strong>and</strong> meet the Indus basin management plan.<br />
For relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process, the government needs to keep the political<br />
leaders away from any kind of involvement in the whole process to make the relief<br />
<strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process smooth <strong>and</strong> free from any sort of corruption.<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
SUMMARY IN SWEDISH<br />
Översvämningar är en av de vanligaste naturkatastroferna inte bara för Pakistan utan<br />
för hela världen. Orsakerna översvämning kan bero på är förekomst av onormala regn<br />
nivåer, smält<strong>and</strong>e snö eller fel av hydrauliska strukturer. Skadans omfattning<br />
inbegriper inte bara förluster liv utan infrastruktur, odlad mark, vattendrag,<br />
djurenheter är de sektorer som blir värdelösa för samhället. Översvämningar som stör<br />
hela rehabiliteringen samhället behöver efter översvämning, som är den mest<br />
utman<strong>and</strong>e för utvecklingsländer. Studien är fokuserad att granska översvämningarnas<br />
historia, Pakistan uppförde fältundersöknings läger om översvämningar i tre distrikt i<br />
Sindh-provinsen för att påvisa problemen med rehabilitering, markera nackdelarna i<br />
att begränsa översvämningarnas mått i Pakistan. Pakistan har haft mer än 24<br />
översvämningar sedan dess självständighet. Översvämningarna under 2010 var den<br />
mest drastiska i historien om Pakistan. Dessa översvämningar resulterade i 29.547 M<br />
USD beräknad ekonomisk förlust <strong>och</strong> 12.452 populations förlust. Bortsett från detta,<br />
påverkade översvämningarna ett område av 59.576 kvm miles. Södra provinsen av<br />
Pakistan, Sindh, är den mest benägna provins till översvämningar då floden Indus<br />
passerar genom mitten av provinsen. De främsta orsakerna till översvämningar i<br />
Pakistan är monsun regn, vilket resulterat i plötsliga översvämningar i norra delen av<br />
Pakistan <strong>och</strong> flodens översvämningar i södra delen, dvs huvudsakligen Sindhprovinsen.<br />
Den södra delen är lägre än flodbädden som gör situationen kritisk i Sindhprovinsen<br />
i händelse av översvämning. Skadan ökar också eftersom människor har<br />
inkräktat på flodslätten i Sindh-provinsen. För att begränsa översvämningar har<br />
Pakistan spenderat miljarder dollar, men en sådan investering är främst i bygg<strong>and</strong>et av<br />
hydrauliska strukturer <strong>och</strong> liten förbättring i översvämningsprognoser efter 1992 års<br />
översvämningar, men man har missat att utbilda människor om översvämningar,<br />
skapa autentiska kartor över översvämningshotade områden, studie av Indus flodens<br />
morfologi <strong>och</strong> öka kapaciteten av katastrofhantering. Undersökningens resultat visar<br />
en misskötsel i fördelningen av tidig kompensation till offren för översvämningarna,<br />
dessa pengar har distribueras genom en lättnads kort som kallas Watan kort. Även 1,6<br />
miljoner av Watan kort har delats ut, men fortfar<strong>and</strong>e finns människor som väntar på<br />
sådan ersättning. Människor som fick detta kort tror att PKR 100.000 eller 1100 dollar<br />
är inte tillräckligt. Översvämningsoffer har allvarliga reservationer på politiska ledare<br />
som är involverade i korruption av kortets distribution. Översvämningsdrabbade är<br />
fortfar<strong>and</strong>e i behov av lättnads varor. Översvämningsoffer har också påpekat att vissa<br />
läns eller politiska ledare avsiktligt har avlett flodens vatten, mot byar, för deras<br />
egenintresse. Undersökningen tog också den dåliga kommunikationen mellan<br />
myndigheternas katastrofhantering <strong>och</strong> människor, då vissa människor var omedvetna<br />
om översvämningar ända till det sista steget. Frivilligorganisationer <strong>och</strong> biståndsorgan<br />
behöver trygghet <strong>och</strong> logistiskt stöd så att de kunde genomföra lättnad på ett bättre<br />
sätt <strong>och</strong> påskynda rehabiliteringsprocessen. Regeringen ska vidta omedelbara åtgärder<br />
gäll<strong>and</strong>e förbättring tekniken runt översvämningsprognoser, öka översvämningens<br />
fördelar, utbilda människor om översvämningshoten, köra studie av flodens morfologi<br />
<strong>och</strong> göra autentiska kartor över översvämningshotade områden. Alla sådana åtgärder<br />
måste vara ekonomiska, genomförbara <strong>och</strong> träffa Indus förvaltningsplan. För lindring<br />
<strong>och</strong> rehabilitering, måste regeringen hålla de politiska ledarna från alla former av<br />
inbl<strong>and</strong>ning i hela processen för att göra lättnad <strong>och</strong> rehabilitering jämn <strong>och</strong> fri från<br />
någon form av korruption.<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS<br />
First of all, we are thankful to all teachers, teacher’s assistants <strong>and</strong> friends for their<br />
support in any respect at different stages of this master program in Water Systems<br />
Technology at The Royal Institute of Technology (KTH), Sweden.<br />
We would like to express our deepest gratitude to the degree project advisor, Prof.<br />
Prosun Bhattacharya, whose availability, fruitful discussions, insightful advices <strong>and</strong><br />
guidance enabled us to complete this degree project.<br />
We offer great regards to all those who helped us in the field visits to the flood relief<br />
camps in the study area, Sindh Province, Pakistan. The survey would not have been<br />
executed without their support.<br />
Finally, we would like to thank our families for their infinite love, encouragement <strong>and</strong><br />
support in every form for so long. Without their kindness <strong>and</strong> prayers, the master<br />
program studies would not have been possible.<br />
Muhammad Amjad Afridi<br />
Muhammad Alam Siddiqui<br />
Stockholm, February, 2013<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
TABLE OF CONTENTS<br />
Summary<br />
iii<br />
Summary in Swedish<br />
v<br />
Acknowledgements<br />
vii<br />
Table of Contents<br />
ix<br />
Abbreviations<br />
xi<br />
Abstract 1<br />
Introduction 1<br />
Aim of the Study 2<br />
Material 2<br />
Location <strong>and</strong> area of study 2<br />
Sindh Province 2<br />
Literature Review of Flooding in Pakistan 4<br />
History of Pakistan Flood 6<br />
Indus Basin Water System 7<br />
Irrigation System 10<br />
Causes of Flood 10<br />
Flood Mitigation Measures 15<br />
PMD, Flood Forecasting <strong>and</strong> Warning Systems 17<br />
Flood Damages in Sindh 18<br />
Impacts on Housing 18<br />
Impacts on Basic public services <strong>and</strong> Infrastructure 18<br />
Impacts on Agriculture <strong>and</strong> Livestock 18<br />
Impacts on Socio-Economic <strong>and</strong> Health Units 18<br />
Impacts on Indus River Morphology 19<br />
Relief <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong> <strong>Process</strong> 20<br />
National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) 20<br />
Provincial Disaster Management Authorities (PDMA) 21<br />
Emergency Relief Cell (ERC) 21<br />
Pak Army Relief Wing 21<br />
Watan Card Scheme 21<br />
Methods 22<br />
Results <strong>and</strong> Discussions 25<br />
Analysis of the responses of flood affected people in the field survey 25<br />
Analysis of the responses of NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies 30<br />
Analysis of the responses of Policy makers 31<br />
Analysis of flood mitigation measures 31<br />
Conclusion <strong>and</strong> Recommendations 33<br />
Conclusion 33<br />
Recommendations 34<br />
Technical <strong>and</strong> Management Issues 34<br />
Awareness Programs 34<br />
Relief <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>s 35<br />
References 36<br />
Other references 36<br />
Appendices<br />
I<br />
A. Flood affected people in study area of Sindh province, assessment of basic<br />
demographic information<br />
I<br />
B. Questionnaire response from the flood victims II<br />
C. Questionnaire response from the aid agencies personals III<br />
D. Questionnaire response from the NGOs III<br />
E. Questionnaire response from Policy makers IV<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
ABBREVIATIONS<br />
ADB<br />
DDMA<br />
ERC<br />
FEWS<br />
FFC<br />
FFD<br />
FPSP<br />
ICID<br />
IFFS<br />
NDMA<br />
NFPP<br />
NGOs<br />
PDMA<br />
PKR<br />
PMD<br />
RMP<br />
SEK<br />
UNO<br />
USD<br />
WAPDA<br />
WFD<br />
WMO<br />
Pakistan <strong>and</strong> Asian Development Bank<br />
District Disaster Management Authority<br />
Emergency Relief Cell<br />
Flood Early Warning System<br />
Federal Flood Commission<br />
Flood Forecasting Division<br />
First Flood Protection Sector Project<br />
International Commission on Irrigation <strong>and</strong> Drainage<br />
Indus Flood Forecasting System<br />
National disaster Management Authority<br />
National Flood Protection Plan<br />
Non-Governmental Organizations<br />
Provincial Disaster Management Authority<br />
Pakistani Rupees<br />
Pakistan Meteorological Department<br />
River Management Program<br />
Swedish Krona<br />
United Nation Organization<br />
United States Dollar<br />
Water <strong>and</strong> Power Development Authority<br />
World Food Programme<br />
World Meteorological Organization<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
ABSTRACT<br />
Flooding is a common natural disaster to Pakistan <strong>and</strong> to its Sindh Province. Flooding<br />
brings a challenging task for the disaster management agencies to bring back the<br />
whole infrastructure to pre-flood situation through proper rehabilitation process. The<br />
study is focused to review the flooding history of Pakistan, conduct survey in flood<br />
relief camps of Sindh Province to raise the problems of rehabilitation process,<br />
highlight the drawbacks in the flood mitigation measures of Pakistan. The 2010 flood<br />
was the most devastating in the history of Pakistan, which resulted in an estimated<br />
financial loss of more than USD 10000 million. The principal causes of floods in<br />
Pakistan are the monsoon heavy rainfall <strong>and</strong> the topography of the Indus River, which<br />
produce flash flooding in the northern <strong>and</strong> riverine flooding in the south-eastern part<br />
of Pakistan i.e.Sindh Province. PMD is lacking of modern technology to forecast the<br />
flash flooding <strong>and</strong> there is a lack of coordination between disaster management<br />
agencies. The field survey raises the mismanagement in the distribution of the relief<br />
goods, slow process of rehabilitations <strong>and</strong> low confidence of the flood victims on the<br />
political leaders. Similarly, NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies need security <strong>and</strong> logistic support<br />
to help the government in a much better way to speed up the rehabilitation process.<br />
Pakistani water policy makers have to educate the people as well about flooding to<br />
reduce the flood damages. Flood impact in Pakistan can also be reduced by paying<br />
attention to study of river morphology, construction of water reservoirs <strong>and</strong><br />
improvement of disaster management capacity, but all such measures must be<br />
integrated to the current Indus basin management plan.<br />
Key words: Flooding, Indus River, <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>, Watan card, Pakistan<br />
INTRODUCTION<br />
Flooding is a natural disaster which causes the loss of lives of people <strong>and</strong><br />
property in the flooded area. Though flooding is universally known as<br />
natural disaster but meeting to such event is still unfolded. No doubt<br />
such natural events cannot be stopped even after all preparations but it<br />
does not mean to let such events to befall <strong>and</strong> to disrupt the whole<br />
society. Though technologically such challenge could be partially mitigate<br />
it, by floodplain management, integrated flood management, developing<br />
of an excellent flood warning system, etc, but even by developing of<br />
such advanced <strong>and</strong> integrated systems to safeguard the lives <strong>and</strong> capital,<br />
the risk <strong>and</strong> vulnerability of flooding is still alive even for the developed<br />
countries. The main difficulty in dealing with flooding, as compared to<br />
other natural disasters, is its chain effect, as it hits the houses, public<br />
buildings, infrastructure services, livestock hydraulic structures <strong>and</strong><br />
definitely the socio-economy of the area. However, quantifying of these<br />
damages could be easily done but the real challenge is to carry out the<br />
relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process right after the flooding.<br />
Relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process is not just a one day job but in fact a<br />
complex transitional process, which requires an efficient flood crisis<br />
management approach. The process becomes more complex when the<br />
affected territory is lacking of resources to bring back the whole society<br />
to their pre-flooding situation.<br />
South Asian countries have been facing high frequency <strong>and</strong> magnitude of<br />
flooding for the last 3 to 4 decades even after investing millions of<br />
dollars to reduce the risk of flooding by the resourceful countries<br />
(Ahmad et al., 2011). Among the South Asian countries, Pakistan <strong>and</strong><br />
Bangladesh are the most prone countries to flooding due to lack of<br />
resources, inefficient flood control system <strong>and</strong> water management<br />
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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
MATERIAL<br />
approach <strong>and</strong> definitely the monsoon season. It is observed that the uneven<br />
rainfall, generally trigger the flooding in the monsoon season.<br />
Sindh, which is located in south-eastern part of Pakistan, economically<br />
depended on its agriculture sector. Water is the main source of income<br />
of the people in Sindh Province. The Province is at the risk of flooding<br />
as the main source of water of the country, Indus River, passes in the<br />
middle of the Province. Sindh generally faces riverine flooding in the<br />
monsoon season <strong>and</strong> every flood hit the province severely due to its<br />
dependency on agricultural sector. People of the rural area are most<br />
vulnerable to flood as they encroached to the floodplain area. Due to<br />
this, relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process has been a big issue for the local<br />
flood management authorities after every flood event.<br />
The recurrence of flood with high frequency <strong>and</strong> magnitude even after<br />
enough preparations then the question pop-up in minds that whether the<br />
flooding in Pakistan occurs due to climate change ? Or is it a man-made<br />
disaster due to lack of proper water management or deliberately breaches<br />
of leaves for vested interest. This is a debatable issue which will be tried<br />
to address in this study as well, to some extent.<br />
Aim of the Study<br />
The aim of the study is to analyze the scenario of the devastating flood<br />
<strong>and</strong> its rehabilitation process in the province of Sindh in southern part of<br />
Pakistan. The specific objectives of the study included:<br />
Review of the major events of flooding in Pakistan since its<br />
independence till 2011.<br />
Study the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process in the camps of the flood<br />
victims in the worst affected districts of Kotri, Thatta <strong>and</strong> Larkana in<br />
Sindh Province through field based questionnaire survey.<br />
Highlight the drawbacks in the flood mitigation measures, relief to<br />
flood victims <strong>and</strong> the rehabilitation process <strong>and</strong> provide<br />
recommendations to improve the flood management process.<br />
Location <strong>and</strong> area of study<br />
Pakistan is located in the middle of the South Asian region <strong>and</strong><br />
surrounded by neighboring countries of Afghanistan, China, India <strong>and</strong><br />
Iran with a coast of Arabian Sea (Fig.1). It is located in the temperate lies<br />
wholly in the temperate zone between latitudes 24ᵒ <strong>and</strong> 37ᵒ North <strong>and</strong><br />
longitudes 61ᵒ <strong>and</strong> 75ᵒ East. It composed of four provinces i.e.<br />
Bal<strong>och</strong>istan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Punjab <strong>and</strong> Sindh. It covers 796,095<br />
sq.km areas with estimated population of 180 millions. The water<br />
availability is around 2.7% of the country’s area (Pakistan’s Ministry of<br />
information <strong>and</strong> broadcasting, 2011). Physiographically Pakistan can be<br />
divided into three regions (Fig. 2) (ICID, 2011).<br />
Alluvial plain of the Indus River <strong>and</strong> its tributaries (i.e. 319,605 sq.km)<br />
Plateau of Bal<strong>och</strong>istan (i.e. 242,683 sq.km)<br />
North <strong>and</strong> north-west mountainous (i.e. 241,647 sq.km)<br />
Sindh Province<br />
Sindh Province (Fig. 3), named after the River Sindh (Indus), is the<br />
south-eastern part of Pakistan (located between Lat 23ᵒ-35ᵒ <strong>and</strong> Lat 28ᵒ-<br />
30ᵒ N). It covers 140,914 Sq. km i.e.18% of the total area of Pakistan.<br />
Estimated population of the province is 35 millions. The boundaries of<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
Figure 1: Map of Pakistan showing different provinces <strong>and</strong><br />
territories<br />
Sindh is meeting with Punjab Province in the north; Baluchistan Province<br />
in the west, India is in the east <strong>and</strong> Arabian Sea in the south of Sindh.<br />
About 60% percent of the area of Sindh is cultivating i.e. 8 million<br />
hectares out total geographical area i.e. 14 million hectares. Climatically<br />
around 60% of the area is arid. Annual average precipitation of the<br />
province is13 mm. Indus River along with 4 other tributaries flow in the<br />
middle of the province. It is mainly uses for agriculture <strong>and</strong> fishing<br />
purpose by the local people. Though Indus River brings amenity to the<br />
province but it is also result in the devastating flood in the monsoon<br />
season due to excessive rainfall. The Indus River discharges to Arabian<br />
Sea after passing through the Kotri district (FFC, 2010).<br />
According to 1998 national census, Sindh is administratively composed<br />
of 66923 human settlements which are divided in 23 districts, 119<br />
Tehsils, 1100 Union Councils. The livelihood of the people of Sindh is<br />
based on agricultural <strong>and</strong> pastoral activities. Karachi, which is a mega<br />
city, is the capital of Sindh <strong>and</strong> exhibit two sea ports, namely, Bin Qasim<br />
<strong>and</strong> Karachi port which meet all the st<strong>and</strong>ards which a high level port<br />
does. These ports are useful not even for the whole country but also for<br />
l<strong>and</strong>locked country Afghanistan (PDMA Sindh, 2011).<br />
The economy of Sindh Province is predominantly agricultural <strong>and</strong><br />
depends entirely on irrigation. Indus River water is mainly uses for<br />
irrigation purpose in the whole province, while the municipality of the<br />
Karachi gets the drinking water from Indus River after certain treatment.<br />
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Figure 2: Physiographic map of Pakistan (Hussain <strong>and</strong> Lee, 2009)<br />
There are three barrages on the Indus River in Sindh Province i.e.<br />
Guddu, Lloyd <strong>and</strong> Kotri. Guddo is constructed nearby the Punjab<br />
border, Lloyd is located in Sukkur <strong>and</strong> Kotri barrage is located in Kotri<br />
district near to Arabian Sea (PDMA Sindh, 2011).<br />
Sindh plays an important role in the country’s agriculture Gross<br />
Domestic Product (GDP) as the agricultural productions reach to 25<br />
percent of the total GDP (Sindh Agriculture Department, 2005). Major<br />
crop productions include wheat, rice, cotton, oilseeds, sugarcane,<br />
vegetables. The province is divided into urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas. Apart<br />
from agriculture sector, people of rural area use fishing, animals (e.g.<br />
cattle, Sheep, camels etc) <strong>and</strong> poultry as a source of income. While<br />
Urban Sindh areas, namely, Karachi, Hyderabad, Nooriabad, Kotri <strong>and</strong><br />
Sukkur are the base of manufacturing industries which also include the<br />
only State’s run steel mill, located in Karachi. These industries produce<br />
textiles, electronic, chemicals, automobile, railway tracks, steel <strong>and</strong> other<br />
metal products (PDMA Sindh, 2011).<br />
Literature Review of Flooding in Pakistan<br />
Pakistan has been severely affected by both flash <strong>and</strong> fluvial/riverine<br />
flooding. The damages of flood vary with respect to the type of flood,<br />
however it also depend on the flood management approach, topography<br />
<strong>and</strong> climate of the area. It is worth to underst<strong>and</strong> the difference between<br />
the flash <strong>and</strong> riverine flooding before to review the flooding history of<br />
Pakistan <strong>and</strong> its related mitigation measures.<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
Figure 3: Map of Study area i.e. Sindh province (PDMA Sindh,<br />
2011)<br />
Flash flood generally occurs nearby the mountainous areas, where slope of<br />
the terrain play major role in converting the intense rainfall to flood. As<br />
the rainfall water flow downstream from the slopes, the flowing water<br />
gets the acceleration <strong>and</strong> in a very short time it raises the flow level in the<br />
river. As the water level raises very quickly in river, the flood forecasting<br />
<strong>and</strong> warning authority does not get enough time to respond in the same<br />
manner to evacuate the nearby area of the river before the river water<br />
spills outside (US NOAA, 1992; UNHABITAT, 2010). Following are the<br />
type of damages that could Flash flood triggers (UNHABITAT, 2010).<br />
Foundation’s undermining of both hydraulic <strong>and</strong> non-hydraulic<br />
structures.<br />
Erosion at the base walls <strong>and</strong> corners of the structures.<br />
Wiping out of infrastructures.<br />
Flow of debris along its way resulting in deposition of debris in house<br />
<strong>and</strong> damages to infrastructures.<br />
Riverine flood is generally caused by heavy rainfall or splitting of glaciers<br />
resulting in high level of flow in the river or stream (UNHABITAT,<br />
2010). The river gets the water from the large area, due to this the speed<br />
of the flowing water is comparatively slow <strong>and</strong> it takes much time to<br />
reach river. The water level in the river rises slowly; as a result the<br />
authorities have generally enough time to respond <strong>and</strong> to issue the flood<br />
warning before the water flow level reach to the food level. When the<br />
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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
water level exceeds the flood level, it burst the river banks <strong>and</strong> inundates<br />
the floodplain. In case of any deep water ponding due to riverine<br />
flooding, it becomes difficult to the authorities to drain out the water<br />
from the flooded area due to poor drainage system. Riverine flooding<br />
could severely damage the whole infrastructure (e.g. telecommunications<br />
network, sewerage systems, road network etc) <strong>and</strong> could disintegrate the<br />
flooded area from the rest of the country.<br />
History of Pakistan Flood<br />
Since independence, i.e. 14 th August 1947, Pakistan has been vulnerable<br />
to flooding which could either be due to lack of water management or<br />
lack of resources to construct efficient drainage system. The alarming<br />
point is that, the recurrence of flooding is very regular as Pakistan has<br />
faced flood events more than 20 times. The country hit by the first<br />
flooding in 1950 <strong>and</strong> the country is still prone to severe flooding. The<br />
magnitude <strong>and</strong> intensity of the flood has been varied <strong>and</strong> resulted in<br />
losses of many people, socio- economic problems (Table 1 <strong>and</strong> Fig. 4 to<br />
7), water borne diseases <strong>and</strong> affected the irrigations system of the<br />
country, which is in fact one of the world largest irrigation system. The<br />
economic losses have been more than 12 USD billion (FFC, 2010). It is<br />
worth to discuss the flood management system of the country before<br />
finding out the possible causes of the flood in Pakistan.<br />
Table 1: Historical Flood Damages in Pakistan (FFC, 2010; PDMA<br />
Sindh*, 2011; UN**, 2011)<br />
Flood<br />
Year<br />
Flooded<br />
Area<br />
(Sq mile)<br />
Human<br />
Losses<br />
(No)<br />
Villages<br />
Affected<br />
(No)<br />
1950 3861 2190 10000 488<br />
1955 2681 679 6945 378<br />
1956 4482 160 11609 318<br />
1957 1737 83 4498 301<br />
1959 1507 88 3902 234<br />
1973 3752 474 9719 5134<br />
1975 3331 126 8628 684<br />
1976 31630 425 18390 3485<br />
1977 847 848 2185 338<br />
1978 3552 393 9199 2237<br />
1981 800 82 2071 298<br />
1983 248 39 643 135<br />
1984 97 42 251 75<br />
1988 37 508 100 857<br />
1992 5066 1008 13208 3010<br />
1994 626 431 1622 843<br />
1995 2646 591 6852 376<br />
Estimated<br />
Economic Losses<br />
(USD Millions)<br />
2003 Not known 484 4376 Not known<br />
2005 Not known 59 1931 Not known<br />
2006 Not known 541 2477 Not known<br />
2007 Not known 586 6498 Not known<br />
2008 Not known 157 800 Not known<br />
2010 61777 1985 17553 10000<br />
2011 10429* 497* 38347* 356**<br />
Total 59576 12452 181804 29547<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
Figure 4: Ariel extent of flooding at national level (FFC, 2010;<br />
PDMA Sindh, 2011)<br />
Figure 5: Historical Human losses due to flooding at national level<br />
(FFC, 2010; PDMA Sindh, 2011)<br />
Figure 6: Historical Villages losses due to flooding at national level<br />
(FFC, 2010; PDMA Sindh, 2011)<br />
Indus Basin Water System<br />
Indus Basin has an estimated area of one million sq km which is<br />
considered one of the largest river basins in Asia. Geographically, it<br />
crosses the boundaries of four South Asian countries, namely,<br />
Afghanistan, China, India <strong>and</strong> Pakistan. The majority of basin plain<br />
extends to Provinces Punjab, Sindh <strong>and</strong> Khyber Pakhtunkhwa in<br />
Pakistan with 56% of the total basin area <strong>and</strong> covers about 70% area of<br />
the country. According to estimates of 1991, the basin has a population<br />
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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
of 196 million (Fahlbusch et al., 2004; Rehman <strong>and</strong> Kamal, 2010). Indus<br />
basin consists of five rivers, namely, Indus, Chenab, Jhelum, Sutlej <strong>and</strong><br />
Ravi (Fig. 8 <strong>and</strong> 9). These rivers are considered as the main tributaries of<br />
the Indus basin (Rehman <strong>and</strong> Kamal, 2010). However there are number<br />
of minor tributary rivers <strong>and</strong> streams as well (FFC, 2010; Ahmad et al.,<br />
2011).<br />
Figure 7: Estimated economic losses due to flooding at national<br />
level (FFC, 2010 <strong>and</strong> UN, 2011)<br />
Table 2: Salient features of rivers in flowing in Pakistan (NDMA-<br />
UNDP, 2010; Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen, 2011)<br />
Name of Rivier Sutlej Ravi Chenab Jhelum Indus<br />
Origin<br />
Discharge to<br />
Length(km)<br />
Basin area(km 2 )<br />
Average annual flow<br />
(km 3 /yr)<br />
No dams in India<br />
No of dams in<br />
Pakistan<br />
No. of barrages in<br />
India<br />
No of barrages in<br />
Pakistan<br />
China India India India China<br />
Chenab Chenab Indus Chenab Arabian Sea<br />
1500 900 1240 820 3200<br />
122,000 40,000 67,500 63,500 727,000<br />
3.05 4.46 25.17 24.33 83.15<br />
4 1 2 – –<br />
– – – 1 1<br />
3 2 5 1 6<br />
2 2 5 1 5<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
Figure 8: Flood routing model in Indus Basin (PMD, 2011)<br />
The Indus basin starts form the Hindukush-Himalyan region gets the<br />
water from the melting of the snow <strong>and</strong> from monsoon precipitations.<br />
The basin furnish water to four countries, but Pakistan has been the<br />
most vulnerable to flooding throughout its history of flooding even<br />
though all the major tributaries of the basin are either start or pass from<br />
the territory of India (Rehman <strong>and</strong> Kamal, 2010).<br />
Due to this unique geographical location of the Indus basin Pakistan <strong>and</strong><br />
India has signed a Treaty in 1960 with the help of World Bank to share<br />
the water of the Indus basin (Table 2). As per the geographical location,<br />
India is on the upstream while Pakistan is on the downstream side.<br />
The mean annual inflow to Pakistan through rivers is 181.37 km 3 . The<br />
major inflow is through western rivers (Indus, Jhelum, Chenab <strong>and</strong><br />
including Kabul river) which is 170.27 km 3 while from the eastern rivers<br />
(Ravi <strong>and</strong> Sutlej) is only 11.1 km 3 . The eastern rivers including River<br />
Beas are in the full control of India under Indus Treaty 1960. Pakistan is<br />
getting 85% of the water inflow from the Himalayan region in summer<br />
<strong>and</strong> around 15% in winter season (Panikkar, 2008). The treaty is still<br />
withst<strong>and</strong>ing even the two parties of the treaty, Pakistan <strong>and</strong> India, has<br />
had disputes over the distribution of water even after signing the treaty.<br />
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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
Pakistan has raised many times reservation over the construction of<br />
dams or barrages by India, whenever the hydraulic structures were not<br />
fulfilling the conditions of the treaty. World Bank generally resolves the<br />
water issues between these two countries as per the Indus water treaty.<br />
Irrigation System<br />
Pakistan has one of the largest integrated irrigation systems in the world<br />
which covers the whole country. In 1995, the total area of the Indus<br />
irrigation system was estimated about 13,972,500 hectares(Panikkar,<br />
2008). It consists of small <strong>and</strong> large storages reservoirs, barrages, link <strong>and</strong><br />
main irrigation canals (Table 3).<br />
Causes of Flood<br />
Flood in Pakistan has generally been caused by the heavy concentrated<br />
raining in the monsoon season, which contributes to high flow level in<br />
the Jhelum <strong>and</strong> Chenab Rivers. Unfortunately, India has an edge on the<br />
water distribution in the Indus basin as Pakistan does not have any<br />
control on the River Chenab, Sutlej <strong>and</strong> Ravi due to Indus water Treaty.<br />
However, construction of new reservoirs or improvement of existing<br />
hydraulic structures is inevitable, so that to meet the high flood level<br />
situation. In 2010, monsoon resulted persistent rainfall even in those<br />
country’s regions which were not even vulnerable to heavy rainfall.<br />
Figure 9: Flowing path of the Indus River throughout Pakistan<br />
(Gaurav et al., 2011)<br />
Table 3: Hydraulic infrastructure on the Indus irrigation system<br />
(FFC, 2010; Ahmad et al., 2011; ICID, 2011)<br />
Hydraulic Structures<br />
Main Storage reservoirs ( approximately 12 MAF) 3<br />
Barrages 19<br />
Link Canals( Inter-River) 12<br />
Main irrigation Canals (Independent) 45<br />
No<br />
Dams with height 15 m or above (approximately 3 MAF) 143<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
Monsoon is the shift in wind direction <strong>and</strong> is considered the main driver<br />
of heavy raining throughout the world. In monsoon season wind blows<br />
from ocean to l<strong>and</strong> however in non-monsoon season it becomes in<br />
opposite direction. When this non-monsoon seasonal wind shift from<br />
ocean to l<strong>and</strong> then it become moist <strong>and</strong> is called the monsoon wind.<br />
This moist air results in excessive rainfall in Pakistan, North <strong>and</strong> South<br />
America <strong>and</strong> Africa. In Pakistan, monsoon season starts from June <strong>and</strong><br />
remain active till September. The monsoon winds generate from the Bay<br />
of Bengal <strong>and</strong> enter the Sindh Province from Indian boarder (Impact<br />
Forecasting, 2010).<br />
The monsoon season from July 2010 to August 2010 was unprecedented<br />
due to its intensity <strong>and</strong> time duration. In meteorological terminology, a<br />
ridge of high pressure was developed in the beginning of July 2010, near<br />
the Ural Mountains (Russia), which became stationary for two months.<br />
With passage of time, this stationary high pressure established a blocking<br />
pattern called Omega block (Fig. 10). Due to such persistent blockage,<br />
severe weather pattern were developed in the 2010 as it resulted in the<br />
extreme heat <strong>and</strong> wildfire in Russia, devastating flooding in China <strong>and</strong> in<br />
Pakistan (Impact forecasting, 2010). Monsoon winds patterns (Fig. 11 to<br />
15) since 1950 resulted in many floods <strong>and</strong> the 2010 flood was the<br />
severe. The rainfall was extremely intensive, which flooded an area of<br />
6777 sq miles (FFC, 2010). Akhtar (2011), states that the rainfall was the<br />
most abnormal weather event in the history of Pakistan, which resulted<br />
in a very high river inflow (Fig. 16).<br />
Figure 10: Omega block is clearly visible in the “upper level<br />
atmospheric map” (July – August 2010) over western Russia<br />
(Impact forecasting, 2010)<br />
Figure 11: Monsoon Tracks 1950-1976(PMD, 2010)<br />
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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
Figure 12: Monsoon tracks 1978 - 1995(PMD, 2010)<br />
Figure 13: Monsoon tracks 2003-2007 (PMD, 2010)<br />
The catchment area <strong>and</strong> river training facilities installed are the major<br />
factors which affect the flow pattern of flooding in the rivers. Rivers at<br />
the low altitude do not face snow melting <strong>and</strong> monsoon rainfall at the<br />
same time, however high altitude rivers, Indus <strong>and</strong> Jhelum, is facing both<br />
these natural phenomena at the same time which significantly play in<br />
flooding (Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen, 2011). According to Rehman <strong>and</strong><br />
Kamal (2010), that river Indus River itself does not play any role in<br />
flooding but its Jhelum <strong>and</strong> Chenab Rivers which cause flooding. Tariq<br />
<strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen (2011) stated that River Chenab has contributed to<br />
most of the floods in the Pakistan’s history (Fig.17).<br />
Topography of the Indus River also play a vital role in resulting of flooding<br />
as Indus River flows both in northern <strong>and</strong> south-eastern part of the<br />
country. In the northern part, the surrounding area is at higher altitude<br />
than the river bed while in the southern side the river bed is at higher<br />
level. In northern part, when the Indus River overflow to the<br />
surrounding area, the water flow back to river as soon the water level get<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
lower in the river. However, this phenomenon does not occur in the<br />
south-eastern Pakistan as the bed of the Indus River is at higher level<br />
than the surrounding area. Sindh province, which is located in southeastern<br />
part of the country, faces severe damages in the flooding due to<br />
this topographical reason. To overcome this problem, construction of<br />
flood protection embankments/levees has been made throughout the<br />
Indus River in this Sindh Province but this mitigation measure is not<br />
enough to reduce the flood damages. The damages become more drastic<br />
when the flood water causes breaches in flood protection embankments,<br />
particularly in areas where people have encroached to the floodplain<br />
(Ahmad et al., 2011). In Sindh province there are number of districts<br />
which are vulnerable to different type of flooding in monsoon season<br />
(Table 4).<br />
Figure 14: Monsoon track 2009 (PMD, 2010)<br />
Figure 15: Monsoon tracks 2010 (PMD, 2010)<br />
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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
Hydraulic structures like Tarbela <strong>and</strong> Mangla are multipurpose dams but<br />
were purely constructed for the irrigation <strong>and</strong> power generations. In<br />
2010 devastating flooding, Tarbela dam did not play any major role in<br />
reducing the flood level at the downstream. These dams can be very<br />
useful in flood management if the current operations of these dams have<br />
to be optimized for flood control at downstream (Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de<br />
Giesen, 2011). Similarly, the hydraulic structure (i.e. barrages <strong>and</strong><br />
bridges) which are constructed on Indus, Ravi <strong>and</strong> Chenab Rivers, do<br />
not have the adequate discharge capacity to meet the unexpected high<br />
level of flow due to either snowmelt or excessive rainfall.<br />
Encroachment of people, in Sindh Province, to the floodplain is another<br />
factor which generally results in heavy damages in flood season. The<br />
people who are living around the floodplain are mainly poor people <strong>and</strong><br />
are moved in search of economic benefits. Their main source of income<br />
is agriculture <strong>and</strong> fishing in the riverine area. There is a need of flood<br />
hazard maps for at least such floodplain so that the people either keep<br />
away through legal measures or flood awareness programs. The<br />
government should provide alternative places to re-settle the people<br />
(Ahmad et al., 2011).<br />
Figure 16: Historical mean rainfall <strong>and</strong> river inflow relationship in<br />
the Indus River (Akhtar, 2011)<br />
Figure 17: Annual Peak flows (1921-2010) in Indus Basin River<br />
System (Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen, 2011)<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
Table 4: Vulnerable districts to flooding during monsoon season<br />
(PDMA Sindh, 2011)<br />
District in Sindh Province<br />
Karachi<br />
Thatta<br />
Dadu<br />
Kambar Shahdadkot<br />
Larkana<br />
Khairpur Mirs<br />
Naushero Feroze<br />
Shaheed Benazirabad<br />
Sanghar<br />
Hyderabad<br />
Kashmore<br />
Jacobabad<br />
Shikarpur<br />
Matiari<br />
Jamshoro<br />
Sukkur<br />
Ghotki<br />
T<strong>and</strong>o Muhammad Khan<br />
Type of Flooding<br />
Urban<br />
Riverine<br />
Riverine <strong>and</strong> Flash<br />
Riverine <strong>and</strong> Flash<br />
Riverine <strong>and</strong> Flash<br />
Riverine<br />
Riverine<br />
Riverine<br />
Riverine <strong>and</strong> precipitation based<br />
Riverine <strong>and</strong> urban flooding<br />
Riverine <strong>and</strong> urban flooding<br />
Riverine<br />
Riverine<br />
Riverine<br />
Riverine<br />
Riverine<br />
Riverine<br />
Riverine<br />
Flood Mitigation Measures<br />
In historical perspective, Pakistan was not equipped against the flooding<br />
for 30 years after independence, during this period the country faced<br />
several severe flooding events, which resulted in huge human <strong>and</strong><br />
economic losses (Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen, 2011)(Table 1). The lack of<br />
proper flood mitigation measures during this period could be due to<br />
inadequate resources but definitely being involved in several wars with<br />
the neighboring country, India. Soon, after the flooding of 1975 <strong>and</strong><br />
1977 the Federal government decided to review the flood protection<br />
measures. In the first instance a unified approach was realized to be the<br />
optimal solution for the flood mitigation as it was initially the<br />
responsibility of the provincial governments to carry out flood protection<br />
measures. In this regards a new institution was created with the name of<br />
Federal Flood Commission(FFC) in 1977 <strong>and</strong> had given the following<br />
m<strong>and</strong>ate (FFC, 2010; Rehman <strong>and</strong> Kamal, 2010; Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de<br />
Giesen, 2011).<br />
Prepare flood protection plans/schemes with the coordination of<br />
provincial governments.<br />
Improvement of the flood forecasting <strong>and</strong> warning system.<br />
Reviewing <strong>and</strong> restoration of the flood protection measures.<br />
Supervise all the flood control <strong>and</strong> protection arrangements in the<br />
provincial governments.<br />
Provide financial <strong>and</strong> technical support to the provincial governments<br />
to carry out flood protection works.<br />
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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
With the above m<strong>and</strong>ate a new <strong>and</strong> integrated National Flood Protection<br />
Plan (NFPP) was prepared in 1978 for the next 10 years. It is important<br />
to mention here, that from 1978 to 1988 about US$ 220 million USD<br />
was invested for flood protection measures excluding relief <strong>and</strong><br />
rehabilitations. Apart of this, Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)<br />
<strong>and</strong> Water <strong>and</strong> Power Development Authority (WAPDA) which are<br />
working on the flood control <strong>and</strong> forecasting had improved their<br />
telemetry <strong>and</strong> flood forecasting system (FFC, 2010).<br />
According to FFC (2010), that in the 2 nd NFPP plan from 1988 to 1998<br />
about US$ 66 million (01US$ = 86 PKR) was utilized. The output of this<br />
plan resulted in the FPSP-I (First Flood Protection Sector Project) <strong>and</strong><br />
Emergent Flood Protection Schemes were established. Out of total 85%<br />
fund was used in FPSP-I to implement 257 schemes in the four<br />
provinces. From 1994 to 1996 Prime Minister’s River Management<br />
Program (RMP) was initiated with the cost of US$ 7.136 million (01 US$<br />
= 86 PKR) to implement flood management scheme in Sindh <strong>and</strong><br />
Punjab. The funding for this period was from government of Pakistan<br />
<strong>and</strong> Asian Development Bank (ADB). The main output of NFPP-II was<br />
the following (FFC, 2010):-<br />
Equipment of Flood Forecasting Division (FFD) Lahore by<br />
installation of 10-CM Quantitative Precipitation Measurement<br />
Weather Radars.<br />
Installation of 25 Meteor burst Telecommunication Systems.<br />
Preparation of floodplain maps of Indus River.<br />
Pre-feasibilities studies for increasing discharge capacity of four<br />
barrages as per 1992 flood level.<br />
The third NFPP was carried out for 1998 to 2008. About US$ 40 million<br />
(01 US$ = 86 PKR) was invested on 363 flood protection schemes<br />
throughout the country. For second FPSP, about US$ 48.130 million (01<br />
US$ = 86 PKR) was invested on 101 schemes, <strong>and</strong> about US$ 16.279<br />
million (01 US$ = 86 PKR) was invested in improving the flood<br />
forecasting <strong>and</strong> warning system (FFC, 2010).<br />
The fourth NFPP (2008 to 2018) was prepared to carry out flood works<br />
with the estimated investment of US$ 35 million (01 US$ = 86 PKR),<br />
the plan is not yet approved as per FFC 2010 report. In total about PKR<br />
26138 million is invested in the flood control <strong>and</strong> protection works <strong>and</strong><br />
forecasting systems (FFC, 2010). The distribution of investment by FFC,<br />
to execute the flood protection works has been mainly on need-based<br />
criteria as per NFPP policy (FFC, 2010). In this regards priority was<br />
given to such measures which were highly beneficial to reduce the socioeconomic<br />
<strong>and</strong> human losses. It is important to here that the designing of<br />
flood protection structures <strong>and</strong> river training structures were based on<br />
high st<strong>and</strong>ards of quality with life span of 50 years for flood protection<br />
structures <strong>and</strong> 100 years for river structures (Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen,<br />
2011).<br />
Flood mitigation works has been mainly based on provision of hydraulic<br />
structures on river courses. In this regards, embankments <strong>and</strong> spurs has<br />
been constructed at large, to train the river course for the purpose to<br />
reduce the river erosions <strong>and</strong> ultimately reduce the flood damages (Tariq<br />
<strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen, 2011). According to FFC (2010), embankments with<br />
the length of 6803.19 km <strong>and</strong> 1420 number of spurs have been<br />
constructed throughout the country as structural measures against the<br />
floods to minimize the human <strong>and</strong> economic losses (Table 5).<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
Table 5: Flood protection measures Province-wise (FFC, 2010)<br />
Name of Province<br />
Spurs<br />
(No.)<br />
Embankments<br />
(km)<br />
Punjab 496 3332.09<br />
Sindh 46 2422<br />
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 186 352.24<br />
Baluchistan 682 696.85<br />
Total in Pakistan 1410 6803.18<br />
PMD, Flood Forecasting <strong>and</strong> Warning Systems<br />
Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has been contributing a<br />
major role in the development of the socio-economic sector of Pakistan.<br />
It came into existence in 1947 with only 15 meteorological observatories<br />
<strong>and</strong> with the aim of providing services for aviation sector (WMO, 2010).<br />
With the passage of time, PMD has extended its scope of work <strong>and</strong><br />
these days PMD can function in meteorology, hydrology (i.e. flood<br />
forecasting) <strong>and</strong> seismology area. PMD has now provincial regional<br />
meteorological centers <strong>and</strong> a Flood Forecasting Division (FFD) unit.<br />
PMD disseminate outward all forecasts to the other governmental<br />
departments/agencies, which are involved in the management of the<br />
flood, so that these departments/agencies could carry out necessary<br />
action as per the weather forecasts (WMO, 2010).<br />
FFD is one of the most important units of PMD. After certain<br />
investment, FFD is now capable of providing services throughout the<br />
country for hydrometeorological <strong>and</strong> flood forecasting measures. It can<br />
provide both qualitative <strong>and</strong> quantitative forecasts (WMO, 2010).<br />
PMD uses 7 weather radars to observe the intense rainfall throughout<br />
Pakistan. Most of these radars are installed in early 1990s, though some<br />
of them are now upgraded. The radars functioning continuously in<br />
monsoon season only, as PMD head office does not have enough<br />
resources to operate these radars continuously throughout the year so<br />
that to collect high resolution pictures. So, PMD head office collect the<br />
raw data pictures throughout the year, except monsoon season, from the<br />
respective radars office. PMD has 90 meteorological observational<br />
stations across the country, but all observational stations are manoperated.<br />
Apart of this, PMD get rainfall observations of 45 stations<br />
from the Water <strong>and</strong> Power Development Authority, these rainfall<br />
observational stations are primarily for the operations of dam, while<br />
there are 500 ordinary rainfall measuring gauges with PMD. PMD gets<br />
the observations of these gauges through other governmental<br />
departments or agencies on monthly basis (WMO, 2010).<br />
PMD has done advancement in flood forecasting system <strong>and</strong> in flood<br />
routing, as computer models <strong>and</strong> simulations are in practice for the<br />
routing of runoff through the Indus River systems. Real time rainfall<br />
data is acquired, to operate/run such models (WMO, 2010). Since<br />
2007, FFD has been using flood early warning system (FEWS) model,<br />
which is a rainfall runoff <strong>and</strong> routing model. But unfortunately, this<br />
model has not been updated, which definitely makes the model’s<br />
meteorological observation doubtful. This model can be only used for<br />
riverine type of flood. FFD is not equipped with early warning or flood<br />
forecasting systems for the flash flooding (WMO, 2010).<br />
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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
Flood Damages in Sindh<br />
The damages of the flooding 2010 were severed throughout the flood<br />
affected areas but it varied with respect to the topography, population<br />
density, l<strong>and</strong> use <strong>and</strong> definitely the type of flood it had been. The<br />
flooding 2010 was composed of flash <strong>and</strong> riverine types, depending on<br />
the area of geography. According to NDMA (2011), the 2010 monsoon<br />
flooding was due to the un-even pattern of rainfall, resulting the worst<br />
ever flood in the history of the region <strong>and</strong> it was called by the then UN<br />
secretary General as the “Slow Evolving Tsunami” (Table 6). Sindh<br />
Province among all four Provinces has been severely affected from<br />
flooding throughout the flooding history of Pakistan. The high level of<br />
flood damages in Sindh Province is mainly due to the encroachment of<br />
people to the flood plain area <strong>and</strong> also due to the Sindh’s agricultural<br />
based economy which is always vulnerable to flooding as Indus River is<br />
flowing in the middle of the Province. According to PDMA Sindh<br />
(2011), the 2010 flooding had affected 15 of 23 districts, in which 7<br />
(Jacobabad, Kambar, Kashmore, Shikarpur, Dadu, Thatta <strong>and</strong> Jamshoro)<br />
were almost ruined (Table 7). Following are the sectorial damages of the<br />
flood through the Sindh province in 2010 flooding.<br />
Impacts on Housing<br />
The housing sector in the only Sindh province was completely ruined as<br />
about 1 million houses were damaged (Table 8). Out of these damaged<br />
houses 66% were completely demolished, while the remaining damaged<br />
houses were not even able to use as shelter to live (WFP, 2010; PDMA<br />
Sindh, 2011). Among the most disastrous districts, district Jacobabad,<br />
Shikarpur <strong>and</strong> Thatta were in the province as almost all the houses were<br />
demolished due to (PDMA Sindh, 2011).<br />
Impacts on Basic public services <strong>and</strong> Infrastructure<br />
Basic public services <strong>and</strong> infrastructures for any society is the main<br />
source of interacting to the rest of the world. The extent of 2010<br />
flooding did not stick to housing only but it had resulted in extensive<br />
damages to schools, roads <strong>and</strong> bridges, telephone lines <strong>and</strong> electric<br />
supply lines (Table 8). Due to such damages, the flood victims were<br />
completely isolated from the rest of the country which resulted in the<br />
delay of relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process. Similarly h<strong>and</strong> pump or tube<br />
wells were completely out of order due to clogging with silts <strong>and</strong> salts.<br />
As a result, the people had no choice but to use or drink the<br />
contaminated water (WFP, 2010).<br />
Impacts on Agriculture <strong>and</strong> Livestock<br />
People of the Sindh province are mainly dependent on the agriculture<br />
<strong>and</strong> livestock, particularly in the rural area of the province. In agricultural<br />
sector, the backbone of the province’s economy is mainly depending on<br />
cotton, rice, maize <strong>and</strong> vegetables. The flooding in 2010 was<br />
unprecedented as it had severely damaged the agricultural sector <strong>and</strong><br />
livestock of the Sindh province (WFP, 2010). In fact, the flooding struck<br />
the province at stage when the crop of cotton, rice, maize <strong>and</strong> vegetables<br />
were about to harvest. This resulted a financial loss in billions PKR to<br />
the province (Table 8). Due to such damages people had lost their<br />
source of income <strong>and</strong> were in need of support from the government <strong>and</strong><br />
other relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation agencies.<br />
Impacts on Socio-Economic <strong>and</strong> Health Units<br />
Flood 2010 resulted in severe socio-economic <strong>and</strong> Health problems<br />
(Table 8). Basic, district <strong>and</strong> regional health facilities were also severely<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
damaged. Apart of this, people were hit by water borne diseases as there<br />
was no clean water for drinking <strong>and</strong> cooking etc. They had no choice to<br />
avoid the contaminated water for their daily use.<br />
Impacts on Indus River Morphology<br />
The morphology of the Indus River has changed due to the flood as unregulated<br />
flow of river was observed during the flood. The un-pattern<br />
flow was mainly due to the erosions <strong>and</strong> widening of the river courses.<br />
The training works along the river banks/courses need to be rebuilt at<br />
high st<strong>and</strong>ards to minimize the flood damages in future (PDMA Sindh,<br />
2011).<br />
Table 6: Comparison of flood 2010 with other disasters in the world<br />
(NDMA, 2011)<br />
Table 7: Damages in Sindh province due to flood 2010 (PDMA<br />
Sindh, 2011)<br />
Type of Damage<br />
No.<br />
Villages Affected 11,992<br />
Persons Affected 7,254,355<br />
Houses Damaged 876,240<br />
Persons Died 414<br />
Total Number of Persons Displaced <strong>and</strong> registered in<br />
Govt. Relief Camps<br />
1,821,479<br />
Table 8: Sectorial losses due flood 2010 in Sindh (PDMA Sindh,<br />
2011)<br />
Sector<br />
Physical Loss<br />
Agriculture 2,894,551 M.Tons 136.20<br />
Livestock 191,311 Nos. 11.44<br />
Housing 1,021,000 units 134.34<br />
Roads 8061 kms(411 Bridges/Culverts) 35.67<br />
Irrigation Not reported 52.00<br />
Health 100 no of health units at District level 3.90<br />
Education 4602 School Buildings 30.56<br />
Urban/Municipal<br />
Infrastructures<br />
Government<br />
Infrastructures<br />
Total Financial Loss<br />
Not reported 40.00<br />
Not Reported 10.00<br />
Financial Loss<br />
(PKR. In Billion)<br />
454.11<br />
(5.28 Billion US$)<br />
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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
Figure 18: Disaster management plan after 2010 flooding (NDMA,<br />
2011)<br />
Relief <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong> <strong>Process</strong><br />
Historically the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process in Pakistan has never<br />
been integrated with the country’s core planning <strong>and</strong> management. In<br />
fact the whole process was malfunctioning due to lack of coordination<br />
among the government agencies, which were related to disaster<br />
management. Since 2010, National Disaster Management Commission<br />
has been constituted by the Government of Pakistan (Fig. 18) to<br />
monitor <strong>and</strong> oversee the pre <strong>and</strong> post disaster spectrum by organizing<br />
the activities of the national, provincial <strong>and</strong> international bodies for<br />
better management of any disaster including flood (NDMA, 2011).<br />
Following are the departments at national <strong>and</strong> provincial level which play<br />
a vital role in the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process (FFC, 2010).<br />
National Disaster Management Authority<br />
Provincial Disaster Management Authorities<br />
Emergency Relief Cell<br />
Army Relief Wing<br />
National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA)<br />
NDMA is the core body in the National Disaster Management<br />
Commission (NDMC), as it has coordination link with all wings of the<br />
commission. NDMA came into existence in 2007 as a federal authority<br />
to manage the pre <strong>and</strong> post phase of all type of disasters. NDMA has got<br />
more responsibility after implementation of NDMC in 2010 with the aim<br />
to work as a central body to interact with all stakeholders at national (e.g.<br />
federal ministries, Armed forces, WAPDA, PMD), provincial (PDMC<br />
<strong>and</strong> provincial departments) & international (e.g. UNO, International<br />
donors, International NGOs) level <strong>and</strong> also to interact with other<br />
stakeholders (e.g. Ministries) to minimize the risk <strong>and</strong> vulnerability in the<br />
country by implementation of disaster management strategies. Apart of<br />
this, NDMA has the role to prepare, implement <strong>and</strong> monitor the disaster<br />
management plans <strong>and</strong> provide necessary support to the PDMA <strong>and</strong><br />
other provincial departments. Moreover, NDMA furnish technical <strong>and</strong><br />
manpower support to the provinces in case of any disaster. Last but not<br />
least, NDMA arrange seminars or programs to educate people about the<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
natural disasters <strong>and</strong> provide necessary training as well, to reduce the<br />
extent of damages in any drastic situation (NDMA, 2011).<br />
Provincial Disaster Management Authorities (PDMA)<br />
PDMA is established to carry out pre <strong>and</strong> post disaster management<br />
activities at the province level. The authority works under the guidance<br />
of PDMC <strong>and</strong> coordinate with the NDMA <strong>and</strong> other relief agencies.<br />
DDMA, District Disaster Management Authorities, are the lower wings<br />
of the PDMA to inform the people about all sort of disaster with the<br />
help of district management departments <strong>and</strong> to execute the relief <strong>and</strong><br />
rehabilitation process at the grass roots level. The role of the DDMA is<br />
most critical in the whole disaster management as it bridge the gap<br />
between the national, provincial disaster management authorities <strong>and</strong> the<br />
local community (FFC, 2010).<br />
Emergency Relief Cell (ERC)<br />
ERC is part of Cabinet Division <strong>and</strong> is mainly responsible to plan <strong>and</strong><br />
assess the relief works. Relief works generally include provision of goods<br />
(tents, medicines, drinking water, blankets etc) to the flood victims. ERC<br />
generally ask the international <strong>and</strong> national aid agencies to pledge<br />
funding for the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation works (FFC, 2010).<br />
Pak Army Relief Wing<br />
Pakistan Army relief wing has always played a vital role in the relief <strong>and</strong><br />
rehabilitation process. The Pak Army relief wing is mainly responsible to<br />
help out the civil authorities in the rescue <strong>and</strong> relief operations. For such<br />
operations, the relief wing gets the financial <strong>and</strong> human resources<br />
support from the Provincial governments. Pak Army’s relief wing in<br />
flooding situation, carry out the relief <strong>and</strong> rescue operations based on<br />
three phase strategy i.e. Pre-flood, flood phase <strong>and</strong> post flood phase. The<br />
Pre-flood phase is the preparatory phase in which the Pak Army<br />
evacuate the people from the flood vulnerable areas (after receiving the<br />
flood warning) <strong>and</strong> construct the flood fighting barriers mainly through<br />
s<strong>and</strong>bags. Apart of this, Pak Army inspects the serviceability of all<br />
hydraulic structure (i.e. bunds, barrages, spurs etc) against the flood. In<br />
case of any deficiency, the concerned Provincial Irrigation Departments<br />
are informed to mitigate the flood situation. During this process, the<br />
rescue <strong>and</strong> relief wing keeps a constant coordination with NDMA <strong>and</strong><br />
FFD to take appropriate actions in areas which are highly vulnerable to<br />
flood. In the post flood phase, units of Pak Army provide all necessary<br />
support in relief works to normalize the flood affected areas to its pre<br />
flood situation e.g. construction of relief camps, providing of relief<br />
goods, logistic support to people <strong>and</strong> aid agencies (FFC, 2010).<br />
Watan Card Scheme<br />
Watan card scheme is initiated by the federal government of Pakistan to<br />
the victims of flooding in 2010. Watan card is actually a Relief card,<br />
which is the early relief compensation to the flood victims with a worth<br />
of PKR 100000 (i.e. 1150 USD or 8000 SEK). The card is giving to the<br />
head of the family <strong>and</strong> also to any family member of at least 18 years of<br />
age. However, such person must have a valid National Identity card to<br />
proof his/her identity. Otherwise it’s not possible for anyone to get any<br />
relief compensation from the government agencies. National Database<br />
<strong>and</strong> Registration Authority (NADRA) of Pakistan issue the Watan cards<br />
to the eligible flood victims. Since flooding 2010 more than 160<br />
thous<strong>and</strong>s of Watan cards have been distributed with a worth of 141<br />
USD millions (Table 9).<br />
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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
Table 9: Watan card distribution Province/Territory wise (NDMA,<br />
2011)<br />
Province/ Territory<br />
Number of Watan<br />
Cards Distributed<br />
(Approx)<br />
Azad Jammu & Kashmir 11133 3<br />
Gilgit Baltistan 9382 2<br />
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 258909 55<br />
Bal<strong>och</strong>istan 123658 26<br />
Punjab 608825 141<br />
Sindh 658650 143<br />
Overall 1670557 370<br />
Cash Distributed<br />
USD millions (Approx)<br />
METHODS<br />
The study is mainly focused on the problems of flooding in Pakistan, its<br />
relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process in the Sindh Province. The study has two<br />
folds i.e. background studies <strong>and</strong> field work. For background studies,<br />
secondary sources have been used to review the flooding <strong>and</strong> its<br />
mitigation measures that have been done by the Pakistani authorities<br />
since 1947, while for field work a field survey has conducted in three<br />
districts of Sindh Province to examine the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation<br />
process.<br />
The field work was conducted between in the month of February 2011.<br />
Field work was composed of Survey in relief camps, interviews with<br />
policy makers, non-governmental organizations (NGOs) <strong>and</strong> aid<br />
agencies. In the survey, four relief camps were surveyed in the three<br />
districts (i.e. Kotri, Thatta <strong>and</strong> Larkana) of Sindh Province. The survey<br />
<strong>and</strong> interviews were conducted by the authors. In this regards, lack of<br />
financial <strong>and</strong> human resources were the major factors which limited the<br />
survey to four relief camps only.<br />
The method of the survey was based on the cross sectional research<br />
approach while the questionnaires were based on the open ended<br />
questions. A total of 752 people of 126 families have participated in the<br />
survey. These people were living in relief camp No K1, K2, T1 <strong>and</strong> L1<br />
(Appendix A). It is important to mention here that the questionnaires<br />
were circulated to number of groups of different age of people, who had<br />
participated in survey <strong>and</strong> discussed the flooding, relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation<br />
process with the authors (Fig. 19 to 24).<br />
Figure 19: Flood victims waiting for the relief<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
The geographical spread was observed in the relief camps, as a result the<br />
respondents were divided into urban <strong>and</strong> rural area when the survey was<br />
completed. Out of total respondents, in the camps, about 62 percent<br />
were displaced from the rural areas of the Sindh Province. 41 percent of<br />
the respondents have school level of education <strong>and</strong> 45 percent of the<br />
people have no schooling at all. Similarly only 10 percent of people have<br />
college <strong>and</strong> 3 percent of people have only university level educations.<br />
While regarding source of earning, 40 percent of the flood affected<br />
people in the camps were dependent on agricultural sectors <strong>and</strong> 35<br />
percent are household persons. The remaining percent of people have<br />
low portion of percentage in different sectors.<br />
Figure 20: Temporary housing arrangements for the flood victims<br />
without any proper facilities of drinking water <strong>and</strong> sanitation<br />
Figure 21: Flood victim's relief camp<br />
Figure 22: Discussion with flood victims about relief <strong>and</strong><br />
rehabilitation<br />
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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
The questionnaires were mainly designed to collect information about<br />
the basic demographic information (Appendix A), extent of flood<br />
damages, health issues, financial support from the government <strong>and</strong> non<br />
government agencies <strong>and</strong> the process of rehabilitation. Each interview<br />
from the NGOs, Policy makers <strong>and</strong> aid agencies generally took a<br />
minimum of half an hour time. The respondents were also allowed to<br />
provide additional information if they deemed relevant to the flooding,<br />
its relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process. The collected information from the<br />
flooded area was assessed to determine the short-comings in the relief<br />
<strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process. The responses of people to the questionnaires<br />
are translated into English language <strong>and</strong> are provided in the results<br />
section.<br />
Figure 23: Flood victims enrolling their national Identity cards to<br />
be able to get Watan /relief compensation cards (Watan cards)<br />
from Government agencies<br />
Figure 24: Discussion with women about their problems in relief<br />
camps<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS<br />
Analysis of the responses of flood affected people in the field survey<br />
The results of the field survey is presented <strong>and</strong> analyzed below which<br />
represent the real picture of the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process that has<br />
been established after the experience of 2010 flood in Sindh Province.<br />
Undoubtedly flood is a natural event but proper preparedness for such<br />
event can minimize the extent of damages. In this regards, flood<br />
forecasting <strong>and</strong> warning system play an important role in the mitigation<br />
of flood. However, it is important as well to disseminate the flood<br />
warnings across flood prone areas on time to reduce the social <strong>and</strong><br />
economic losses. It is worthy to mention here, that people from both<br />
rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas were living together in the relief camps <strong>and</strong> there<br />
was no class distinction between rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas. The response of<br />
the flood affected people in rural areas shows that the 60 percent of the<br />
people were informed at a time when they had only one hour to respond<br />
to the most devastating flood event in the history of Pakistan (Fig. 25).<br />
Similarly, only 5 percent of people had information that flood is about to<br />
struck their place while 10 percent have 3 days <strong>and</strong> quarter percent had<br />
only 24 hours to respond. However, the situation was quite different as<br />
all of the urban areas people were informed at least 24 hours before the<br />
flood event to happen in their districts. Similarly, the response of the<br />
people of urban areas shows that 50 percent of the people had 1 week,<br />
35 percent had 3 days <strong>and</strong> 15 percent had 25 hours time to respond to<br />
the flood. The picture of flood warning receiving shows the clear<br />
difference of lifestyle between the rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas of the Sindh<br />
Province. It is quite strange that even 50 percent of people from urban<br />
areas did not respond enough to keep away their goods from the flood.<br />
During the discussion with the flood victims, the authors came to know,<br />
that either lack of resources or lack of education, about how to respond<br />
in flood situation, was the main reason that they could not responded<br />
properly in flood situation even after having flood warnings information<br />
of about 1 week, particularly people from urban. Apart of the flood<br />
warnings, the statistics about the source of information regarding flood<br />
warnings, it is quite alarming as the government agencies did not manage<br />
to keep in touch with the people of rural areas while in urban areas they<br />
had just managed to 20 percent of people (Fig. 26). Though television<br />
<strong>and</strong> newspaper played important role, to keep the people aware about<br />
the flood situation, in the urban areas but in rural areas people did not<br />
have access to TV <strong>and</strong> newspaper. 25 percent of the people from rural<br />
areas had got the flood warnings information through radio <strong>and</strong> NGOs.<br />
However, relatives, feudals played important role in rural areas as they<br />
managed to inform 35 % people. It can be said, that people in the rural<br />
areas are socially well integrated with each other as compared to urban<br />
areas, which could be due to many reasons, but such network play<br />
important role as a source of information in any part of the world.<br />
However, the extent of damages in the 2010’s flood is very huge as<br />
compared to the flood history of Pakistan (Table 1). Similarly, in the<br />
study area, the extent of flood damage is very severe in the rural areas as<br />
compared to the response of people from the urban areas in the relief<br />
camps (Fig. 27).<br />
Human losses, though there is difference of only two percent between<br />
the rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas but the financial losses is quite huge, as 90<br />
percent of st<strong>and</strong>ing crops were flooded, which were ready for the<br />
harvesting but only 20 percent crops had damaged of people who are<br />
living in the urban areas. Up to 30 percent people from urban areas have<br />
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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
lost a crop area of 5 to 25 acres while people from rural areas have lost 5<br />
to 15 acres crop areas (Appendix B). The situation in the livestock<br />
damages is not much different than the agricultural damages in the rural<br />
area. The percentage difference is 60 between rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas. The<br />
livestock was severely damaged by the flooding both in rural <strong>and</strong> urban<br />
areas. The livestock damages include mainly the killing of buffalos, goats<br />
<strong>and</strong> cow both in rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas (Appendix B). The extent of<br />
house damages in both urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas were very high as the<br />
flooding hit the 95 <strong>and</strong> 60 percent of the houses in rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas,<br />
respectively (Fig. 27). The health issues are the most vulnerable as 95<br />
percent people from the rural areas <strong>and</strong> 70 percent from the urban areas<br />
had hit by the water borne diseases (Fig. 28). People in the relief camps<br />
still do not have clean water for drinking <strong>and</strong> in fact there were still flood<br />
water ponds around the relief camps which are causing health problems<br />
to the flood victims. Apart of water borne diseases, some pregnant<br />
women <strong>and</strong> old people are looking forward to get extra health care.<br />
Figure 25: Comparison of flood warning receiving between urban<br />
<strong>and</strong> rural areas<br />
Figure 26: Comparison of flood warning's sources between urban<br />
<strong>and</strong> rural areas<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
Figure 27: Comparison of extent of flood damages between urban<br />
<strong>and</strong> rural areas<br />
Figure 28: Comparison of water borne diseases between urban <strong>and</strong><br />
rural areas<br />
The flood victim’s views about the worth of Watan Card as part of relief<br />
compensation were categorized into three levels i.e. very good, good <strong>and</strong><br />
not enough (Fig. 29). 65 percent of the people from rural areas thought<br />
that these cards are very good as relief compensation, 20 percent<br />
considered the Watan card is good enough but 15 percent said that the<br />
relief compensation they get through these Watan cards are not enough<br />
to survive as they have big family <strong>and</strong> they have lost everything in the<br />
flood. Similarly, only 5 percent people from the urban areas thoughts<br />
that these cards are very good as relief compensation, 40 percent<br />
considered the Watan cards are good to survive. However, 55 percent<br />
said that the relief compensation is not enough for them to get back to<br />
their pre flood situation.<br />
The reason of high percentage of negative thoughts about the Watan<br />
cards in urban areas, probably because of the high cost of living in urban<br />
areas as compared to the rural areas. These were the thoughts of people<br />
who got the Watan cards but there were many people who are still<br />
waiting for the government agencies to give them the Watan cards. The<br />
reason could be due to the condition of receiving the relief card, i.e. the<br />
person must be at age of 18 <strong>and</strong> must have a valid national identity card<br />
to get the relief card. But as the flood victims did not have enough time<br />
27
Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
to respond the flooding as they were not informed on time about<br />
flooding, so the people had to save their lives rather saving livestock,<br />
important documents etc. It is obvious, that the people did not know<br />
that they will get the relief support or compensation on the basis of<br />
National Identity cards otherwise they would have saved their national<br />
identity cards too. Another thing which is also important to mention<br />
here that as most of the flood victims have lost their houses then how<br />
they could bring their national identity cards from their houses to get the<br />
Watan cards.<br />
Figure 29: Comparison of flood victim's views about Watan cards<br />
between urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas<br />
Figure 30: Comparison of flood victim's views about relief <strong>and</strong><br />
rehabilitation process in urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas<br />
Figure 31: Comparison of flood victim's views about time frame for<br />
rehabilitation process between urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas<br />
28
<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
Figure 32: Comparison of burning issues in urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas<br />
Figure 33: Comparison of willingness about moving back to flood<br />
damaged areas in urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas<br />
In spite of the fact, that governmental authorities have issued more than<br />
1.6 million Watan/Relief cards but the authors think that the<br />
government should make some change in their policy about relief cards<br />
so that the flood victims get the respectable money to re-start their<br />
routine life. Due to such hurdles, 30 percent of the people from urban<br />
<strong>and</strong> only 5 percent of the people from rural affected areas think that the<br />
relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process is on the track as they have got relief<br />
goods from the government agencies, NGOs <strong>and</strong> civil societies but the<br />
rest of the people have not been able to get anything from these sources<br />
(Fig. 30). 60 percent <strong>and</strong> 65 percent people from urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas,<br />
respectively, think that the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process will take at<br />
least 1-2 years additionally, while 35 <strong>and</strong> 20 percent people from urban<br />
<strong>and</strong> rural areas, respectively, thinks that it will take 2-3 years more (Fig.<br />
31). However, 15 <strong>and</strong> 5 percent of rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas, respectively,<br />
thinks that as the governmental agencies are not fulfilling their<br />
responsibilities <strong>and</strong> as result the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation work will be<br />
going on for longer period.<br />
As the people are still not getting relief support from the government, on<br />
time, there is an acute shortage of drinking water, goods for food,<br />
medicines, clothes <strong>and</strong> shelter. 80 percent in urban <strong>and</strong> 85 percent<br />
people of rural area are in need of these goods as part of relief support.<br />
While 20 percent in urban <strong>and</strong> 15 percent in rural areas are in need of<br />
additional money <strong>and</strong> transport service so that they could buy goods<br />
from the markets <strong>and</strong> could support their self until they find jobs to<br />
improve their life (Fig.32). When the authors asked about their<br />
29
Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
willingness to go back to the pre flooded area, almost all were ready to<br />
go back to the flood affect areas but with certain conditions. As per<br />
condition 1, 90 <strong>and</strong> 60 percent of the urban <strong>and</strong> rural area people said<br />
that if the government provides enough money so that they re-build<br />
their houses then they are ready to move to flood damaged area. While<br />
as per condition 2, 10 <strong>and</strong> 40 percent of the people from urban <strong>and</strong> rural<br />
areas said that it is better to find job in the surrounding areas of the relief<br />
camp instead of going back to the damaged houses <strong>and</strong> flooded areas<br />
because next year the flood will come again <strong>and</strong> they will be displaced to<br />
another locations, as the government do not pay any attention to the<br />
flooded area to be protected by appropriate measures from the next<br />
flood season (Fig. 33).<br />
Analysis of the responses of NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies<br />
NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies were contacted later after completing the survey<br />
in the relief camps with the intention to evaluate how they look into the<br />
whole process of relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process <strong>and</strong> to find out why<br />
they could not contribute very well in the whole process (Appendix C<br />
<strong>and</strong> D).<br />
Most of the officials from NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies also were agreed that<br />
the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process is very slow <strong>and</strong> it will take at least 1<br />
to 2 years more as the millions of people are displaced from their homes<br />
<strong>and</strong> the extent of flood damages are quite huge if compared to the recent<br />
natural disasters. But they have also pointed out that in some part of the<br />
rural area in Sindh province, some feudals/l<strong>and</strong>lords <strong>and</strong> politicians have<br />
deliberately diverted the flow of floodwater towards such areas which<br />
were announced as safe place from the flood, to protect their own<br />
agricultural l<strong>and</strong>s. Here it can easily be said, that the flooding in that<br />
particular non vulnerable area to flooding was due to the deliberately<br />
breaching of embankments/leaves <strong>and</strong> it would be unfair to blame the<br />
summer monsoon rainfall or climate change. According to officials from<br />
NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies, that government is not fully supporting them<br />
particularly in providing security at time when distributing the relief<br />
goods in the flood affected people as it is hard for them to manage<br />
hundreds of people, who are deliberately in need of food, shelters,<br />
medicines <strong>and</strong> especially the clean drinking water. They believe that such<br />
miserable situation is actually occurred as a result of not fairly<br />
distributing the goods among the flood victims. In fact, many people are<br />
still waiting for the Watan/relief cards to get from the governmental<br />
agencies. However, officials from NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies have also<br />
appreciate that the Watan/relief card is good approach for providing<br />
relief compensation to the flood victims <strong>and</strong> hopefully the flood affected<br />
people will get back to their pre-flood situation as soon as they get the<br />
relief cards. But they suggested that the governmental agencies should<br />
make some changes in the rules of getting Watan cards. According to<br />
them, the road infrastructure is mostly damaged due to flood <strong>and</strong> as a<br />
result it is very hard for them to reach to the flood victims to help them<br />
out. The NGOs staff suggested that the governmental agencies either<br />
provide the goods through NGOs or through the local prominent<br />
persons who have good credibility in the flood affected people. Similarly,<br />
the pressing action should be to keep the political leaders out of the<br />
process of relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation as most of them do not have good<br />
st<strong>and</strong>ing among the people <strong>and</strong> in fact, such political leaders just<br />
distribute the relief goods among those flood victims who have<br />
membership of their political parties.<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
Analysis of the responses of Policy makers<br />
Policy makers <strong>and</strong> staff of the governmental agencies for relief <strong>and</strong><br />
rehabilitation were contacted as well to compare their views with the<br />
views of flood victims, NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies for the purpose to know<br />
the quality level of relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process (Appendix E).<br />
According to them that all the efforts (both electronic <strong>and</strong> print media)<br />
were utilized to inform the people about the flood forecasting <strong>and</strong><br />
warnings but there are some areas in the rural areas where people do not<br />
have access to both electronic <strong>and</strong> print media. However, in such areas<br />
local authorities informed the people through telephonic service <strong>and</strong><br />
crisis management teams who visited the rural areas. In this regards, local<br />
organization of the villages/rural areas were involved but for rural area<br />
there was not enough time so that they could save their livestock <strong>and</strong><br />
household goods. According to policy makers, distribution of relief<br />
goods among people was also a big problem for them, as they were not<br />
ready at least for such a big natural disaster. In other words they were<br />
accepting that the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation work is out of their capacity<br />
due to the fact that this was a catastrophic event <strong>and</strong> as a result the relief<br />
<strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process has been slow They accepted that the relief<br />
goods did not reach on time to flood victims due to damaged of the road<br />
infrastructures <strong>and</strong> also ponding of flood water. According to them, that<br />
during the flood, most of people are affected in those areas where the<br />
population density is very high as people do not pay attention to family<br />
planning as a result, people from such areas who got the Watan/relief<br />
cards are not happy with the government relief compensations. It is hard<br />
for policy makers to manage the flood victims because most of the<br />
people are not educated <strong>and</strong> are ill mannered. The policy makers were<br />
insisting that the Watan card is enough for one family as these people<br />
also getting the relief goods from government agencies <strong>and</strong> also from<br />
other sources too. Policy makers believes that there are some people<br />
who are pretending of being victim of flood, but in fact, such people are<br />
living in those cities which were not affected by flood, as a result they are<br />
affecting the whole process of relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation. Regarding the<br />
health issues, they were also agreed that the people are still at risk of<br />
water borne diseases as the government is facing shortage of medicines<br />
<strong>and</strong> medical staff so that to speed up the medical service for the flood<br />
victims. They have appreciated the efforts of NGOs <strong>and</strong> aid agencies.<br />
Policy makers strongly suggested that the government should initiate<br />
high level of programs to enhance the capacity of the crisis management<br />
teams <strong>and</strong> also initiate flood awareness programs for people so that to<br />
make relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process speedy <strong>and</strong> effective in future.<br />
Analysis of flood mitigation measures<br />
Pakistan has been the victim of monsoon flooding throughout its<br />
history. The occurrence of flood event in Pakistan since 1947 till 2011 is<br />
24 times with an average of a flood per 2.66 years. The analysis of the<br />
history of the flood damages in Pakistan reveals that the areal extents of<br />
damage was high in 1956, 1977 <strong>and</strong> in the 2010. Similarly financial<br />
damages were extremely high in 2010 while the human losses were high<br />
in 1950, 1977, 1992 <strong>and</strong> 2010.The highest number of villages is affected<br />
in the 2011 flood, which was due to the fact that this flooding was only<br />
occurred in the rural area of Sindh province where the number of<br />
villages is very high. It is surprising that the Pakistani water managers<br />
<strong>and</strong> policy makers did not pay attention to the flood events till 1977,<br />
which could be due to lack of resources <strong>and</strong> may be the efforts were<br />
diverted due to three major wars (1948, 1965 <strong>and</strong> 1971) with India. The<br />
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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
government initiated flood protection measures under the umbrella of<br />
FFC for every 10 years. However, the large numbers of human losses<br />
was occurred even in 1992 flood, which brought the attention of the<br />
water managers into the improvement in the flood forecasting <strong>and</strong><br />
warning system. Then again the high level of flood occurred in 2010 <strong>and</strong><br />
the water policy makers <strong>and</strong> managers are now again trying to bring<br />
some changes in the mitigation measures. It can easily be said that the<br />
flood mitigation measures of the Pakistani government is retroactive<br />
rather than proactive, as the government starts to improve the flood<br />
mitigation measures after flood events, though it is good enough that the<br />
changes have come after the flood struck e.g. 1977, 1992. According to<br />
Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen, 2011, that there has been a decreasing<br />
tendency in the death toll in flooding event from 1950 till 2099, which<br />
could be due to flood control measures (Fig. 5). It is also important to<br />
mention here that due to such flood mitigation measures the ratio<br />
between the human losses in flood to the exposure of people to flood is<br />
lower than the India, China, Bangladesh <strong>and</strong> Afghanistan (Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van<br />
de Giesen, 2011).<br />
FFC water policy is mainly depending on structural measures to<br />
minimize the flooding events, as billions of USD has been invested for<br />
construction of small dams, barrages but even then such measures are<br />
not useful enough to avoid the flooding situation. The reason could be<br />
because of the fact that major dams in Pakistan are mainly using for<br />
irrigation purpose <strong>and</strong> power generation (Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen,<br />
2011). The alarming point is that Pakistan does not have enough water<br />
storage reservoirs to store the excess water in the monsoon season to<br />
avoid flooding event <strong>and</strong> drought situation as well, because before the<br />
flood 2010 the country was facing drought <strong>and</strong> shortage of water. If FFC<br />
had built major dams to store the water, they would have avoided the<br />
flood 2010 <strong>and</strong> would have saved big financial <strong>and</strong> human loss.<br />
According to Tariq <strong>and</strong> Van de Giesen, 2011, that Pakistan has not been<br />
able to construct big reservoirs since Tarbela dam i.e. 1974, as political<br />
leaders have politicized the matter. In fact, they have created inter<br />
provincial disputes over the share of water for their vested interests<br />
which is the most controversial hurdle for the FFC to solve. Pakistan<br />
could solve the flood problem <strong>and</strong> as well as the energy crisis if the<br />
country save huge amount of excess water which flows straightaway to<br />
the Arabian Sea. The need is here to build major dams to store the water<br />
of the flood <strong>and</strong> Indus River as Pakistan is getting 56% of the water<br />
from the Indus River, otherwise the country will face water shortage in<br />
near future as Pakistan is one of the water scarce countries.<br />
In terms of climate, Pakistan is vulnerable to flood in the monsoon/<br />
summer season. To minimize this factor, Pakistan needs an effective<br />
flood forecasting <strong>and</strong> warning system. As a matter of fact, the<br />
government has paid attention to upgrade the of weather technology<br />
right after the 1992 devastating flood event. However, PMD is still<br />
lacking of advance technology to forecast the flash flooding. If PMD had<br />
upgraded the flood forecasting they would have played a vital role in<br />
reducing the damages due to 2010 flash plus riverine type of flooding. It<br />
was observed in the 2010 flooding, that the PMD’s flood early warning<br />
system even for riverine flood forecasting did not work significantly as<br />
there was not enough time for the authorities to evacuate the people<br />
right after the issuance of flood warning. The reasons behind the late<br />
issuance of flood warning could be others too but one reason could be<br />
that the PMD’s riverine flood forecasting is mainly dependent on the<br />
secondary hydrological data, which they get from the WAPDA <strong>and</strong><br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
Irrigation departments. So such hydrological data is required to be<br />
h<strong>and</strong>ed over on time <strong>and</strong> should be authentic too as most of the<br />
hydrological stations are man-operating <strong>and</strong> there is always a chance of<br />
human error. According to the PMD report that that the weather<br />
forecasting ability of this department was malfunctioning during the<br />
flooding 2010, as many of their meteorological stations were partially or<br />
fully damaged soon after the beginning of the 2010 flooding (WMO,<br />
2010).<br />
The alarming point is that the population growth rate of the country is<br />
very high as country’s population is now 180 millions with rare practice<br />
of city planning. Due to this reason, the people are used to move to<br />
places where they can expect socio-economic benefits, without paying<br />
any attention to the climatic vulnerability of the area. In city planning,<br />
flood hazard map is an important part, however FFC has not yet paid<br />
any serious attention to make the authentic flood hazard maps so that to<br />
restrict the movement of the people haphazardly. Additionally, the<br />
morphology of the rivers need be studied <strong>and</strong> particularly the Indus<br />
River, as flood like 2010 bring huge amount of sediments which make<br />
changes in the river course <strong>and</strong> also deteriorate the capacity of a<br />
hydraulic structures. The re-study of the river morphology <strong>and</strong> crosssections<br />
of the rivers will also be helpful in measurement of water<br />
discharge at certain location in the rivers. If FFC once managed to<br />
implement the flood hazard maps then it is important to educate the<br />
people so that the people should avoid living in such floodplain area.<br />
The people who are living in the riverine area could also be resettled in<br />
safe residential places by providing alternative source of income as many<br />
of them are dependent on the river water to use it for agriculture <strong>and</strong><br />
fishing purpose. Such action could be possible if FFC spend more<br />
money on the flood awareness among the people by initiating flood<br />
awareness programs so that the people have an idea how to respond in<br />
the flood crisis <strong>and</strong> to support the flood crisis management teams rather<br />
than creating problems in implementation of relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation<br />
process.<br />
CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS<br />
Conclusion<br />
Flooding <strong>and</strong> its rehabilitation process need a comprehensive approach<br />
to deal with it <strong>and</strong> particularly in the Indus River Basin System when it<br />
couple with uneven monsoon precipitations. Flooding is undoubtedly a<br />
natural disaster, even the developed countries have failed to counteract<br />
in spite of all preparations. The historical flood events in Pakistan are<br />
mainly connected to the uneven monsoon rainfall with devastating<br />
consequences that have raised serious questions about the flood<br />
management strategies. Undoubtedly, it can be said that mitigations<br />
measures, of the Pakistani policy makers <strong>and</strong> water mangers against the<br />
flooding, are retroactive rather than proactive. The mitigation measures<br />
have been around construction of hydraulic structures but over sighted<br />
the importance of authentic flood hazard mapping <strong>and</strong> its<br />
implementations, study of the rivers morphology, improvement of flood<br />
forecasting & warning system <strong>and</strong> definitely much attention should have<br />
been paid to the coordination system between the FFD <strong>and</strong> relief<br />
agencies. Apart of these, the importance of people have never been<br />
recognized which could play a useful role if they get awareness about<br />
flood hazards, relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process. However, the county’s<br />
high population growth, varied climate <strong>and</strong> socio economic conditions<br />
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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
are the issues which make the management of flood events, relief <strong>and</strong><br />
rehabilitation works more tangled. Relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process<br />
cannot be executed smoothly <strong>and</strong> transparently without involving of<br />
local people as even though approximately USD 370 million has been<br />
distributed in flood victims but still many of the flood victims are<br />
looking to get the Watan/relief cards, which obviously have raised the<br />
question about the transparency of relief compensations. Pakistan, being<br />
an agriculture based economy country cannot withst<strong>and</strong> with such<br />
frequent flood events <strong>and</strong> thus there is an urgent need of change in flood<br />
mitigation strategies based on the short comings of 2010 flood. It is<br />
important that the future flood mitigation measures should be good<br />
enough to integrate into the Indus River basin systems, which will<br />
contribute positively in the socio-economic development in the Sindh<br />
Province.<br />
Recommendations<br />
Following are short comings in the Pakistan’s flood mitigation policy,<br />
which considerably need improvement to mitigate the flood events, <strong>and</strong><br />
to reduce the relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation’s problems.<br />
Technical <strong>and</strong> Management Issues<br />
Preparation <strong>and</strong> implementation of flood hazard maps, particularly in<br />
Sindh province should be done on urgent basis as Indus River<br />
passing through the centre of the province.<br />
Flood control <strong>and</strong> flood early warning system (FEWS) need to be<br />
updated. Apart of this, meteorological radars should be installed<br />
throughout the country instead of focusing only the developed<br />
areas/cities.<br />
Advance technology should be utilized to able the PMD to forecast<br />
both flash <strong>and</strong> riverine flooding.<br />
Maintenance of the hydraulic structures should be done on regular<br />
basis as flooding transport large amount of sediments along its<br />
course, which reduce the capacity of the hydraulic structure.<br />
The benefits of the flooding should be increased by creating storage<br />
reservoirs which could help in solving the energy crisis by using the<br />
excess water for irrigation <strong>and</strong> power generation purpose.<br />
Coordinated flood management approach is weak, which needs<br />
improvement, particularly coordination between PMD, WAPDA <strong>and</strong><br />
Irrigation departments.<br />
The river morphology need to be studied, at least once in two<br />
monsoon seasons <strong>and</strong> must be studied after every future flood event,<br />
<strong>and</strong> floodplain maps should be prepared accordingly.<br />
Flood management should be proactive <strong>and</strong> need to be integrated with<br />
Indus River basin system.<br />
People who are living in the flood hazard zone should be compensated<br />
in the process of re-settlement<br />
Awareness Programs<br />
Flood awareness programs need to be initiated in areas which are<br />
vulnerable to recurrent flooding. Apart of this, both electronic <strong>and</strong><br />
print media could be very useful to aware the people about flood<br />
hazard.<br />
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<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
Local people should be trained for all kind of hazards <strong>and</strong> particularly<br />
for the flood response so that people work as a facilitative in the<br />
relief <strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process rather than problematic.<br />
National flood insurance program need to be initiated for those houses<br />
or businesses which are located in flood prone areas, which would<br />
indirectly bring the awareness in the people towards flood hazards<br />
<strong>and</strong> on other h<strong>and</strong> it will be helpful for rebuilding the businesses <strong>and</strong><br />
houses after the flood event.<br />
Relief <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>s<br />
Need of coordination is required between the NGOs <strong>and</strong> Government<br />
agencies<br />
The provision of relief compensation to the affected people should be<br />
transparent so that well-off people come forward in support of relief<br />
<strong>and</strong> rehabilitation process.<br />
Logistic support should be provided to the civil society to make it easy<br />
for people who want to participate in the relief or rehabilitation<br />
process.<br />
Safety of the NGOs staff should be increased.<br />
Government should provide relief compensation to the affected<br />
people through non political leaders, for the purpose to avoid<br />
mismanagement <strong>and</strong> to improve transparency in the relief works.<br />
Incentives should be given to the local contractors so that<br />
rehabilitation process make faster (e.g. Income tax waiver on all<br />
rehabilitation works).<br />
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Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
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L<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Water Resources Engineering, School of Architecture <strong>and</strong> the<br />
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http://ndma.gov.pk/Documents/NIDM/NIDM%20COurses/Floo<br />
d%20Mitigation%2015-<br />
19%20Feb%202010/Flood%20disaster%20risk%20situations%20in<br />
%20Pakistan.pdf (Retrieved July 2011)<br />
Pakistan Meteorological Department Website http://www.pmd.gov.pk/<br />
Pakistan’s Ministry of information <strong>and</strong> broadcasting, 2011. Information<br />
Gateway to Pakistan. (Online), Available:<br />
http://www.infopak.gov.pk/BasicFacts.aspx (Retrieved December<br />
2011)<br />
Panikkar A.K., 2008. Water profile of Pakistan, In: Encyclopedia of Earth.<br />
(Online), Available:<br />
http://www.eoearth.org/article/Water_profile_of_Pakistan (Retrieved<br />
November 2011)<br />
Provintial Disaster Management Authority (Sindh) Website<br />
http://www.pdma.pk/dnn/<br />
Sindh Agriculture Department, 2005. Government of Sindh - Agriculture<br />
Deapartment (Online), Available: http://www.sindhagri.gov.pk/ (Retrieved<br />
November 2011)<br />
Rehman, H. <strong>and</strong> Kamal, A., 2010. Indus Basin River System - Flooding<br />
<strong>and</strong> Flood Mitigation.ICID Publication (Online), Available:<br />
http://www.icimod.org/?opg=949&q=drr_document&document=1<br />
660 (Retrieved September 2011)<br />
Relief Web Website http://reliefweb.int/country/pak<br />
Stockholm International Water Institute (SIWI) http://www.siwi.org/<br />
UN, 2011.Pakistan <strong>Floods</strong> Response Plan 2011, (Online), Available:<br />
http://ndma.gov.pk/Documents/flood_2011/Pakistan_RRP_Flood<br />
s2011.pdf (Retrieved December 2011)<br />
World Water Week Website http://www.worldwaterweek.org/<br />
37
<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
APPENDICES<br />
A. Flood affected people in study area of Sindh province, assessment of<br />
basic demographic information<br />
District Kotri Thatta Larkana<br />
Camp No K1 K2 T1 L1<br />
1.Gender<br />
Male 43 64 90 216<br />
Female 33 47 66 193<br />
Total 76 111 156 409<br />
Urban area's victims out of total 17 23 43 197<br />
Rural area's victims out of total 59 88 113 212<br />
2. Age<br />
17 years <strong>and</strong> below 34 52 72 220<br />
18 – 30 years 12 21 41 68<br />
31 – 45 23 29 27 89<br />
46 years <strong>and</strong> above 7 9 16 32<br />
Total 76 111 156 409<br />
3. Marital status<br />
Single (above 17 years) 9 15 27 53<br />
Married (having children) 12 17 23 47<br />
Married (having no children) 4 3 1 19<br />
Widow/Widower/ no family members 1 4 9 16<br />
Total 26 39 60 135<br />
4. Education Level<br />
School 31 42 67 172<br />
College 4 3 10 57<br />
University 0 1 5 21<br />
No education 41 65 74 159<br />
Total 76 111 156 409<br />
5. Source of Income ( Before flooding)<br />
Job 3 4 17 53<br />
Agriculture 20 38 63 162<br />
Fishing 2 3 13 31<br />
Business 1 2 9 27<br />
Household 21 34 54 136<br />
Total 47 81 156 409<br />
I
Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
Questions<br />
B. Questionnaire response from the flood victims<br />
Flood warning: When did you<br />
know that flood is coming?<br />
Source of information: From<br />
which source of information you<br />
used flood warning?<br />
Flood damages: What did you<br />
lose in this flood? (Any family<br />
member, crops, l<strong>and</strong>s, animals<br />
etc)<br />
Time frame for rehabilitation:<br />
What do you think that how long<br />
time will it take to come back on<br />
the pre flood life conditions with<br />
the Relief compensations,<br />
PKR.100000= USD 1100= 8000<br />
SEK, which is providing by<br />
government for relief <strong>and</strong><br />
rehabilitation?<br />
Willingness to go back to<br />
floodplain area: Do you want to<br />
go back to your houses <strong>and</strong><br />
villages?<br />
Health issues: Is there anybody<br />
in your family who is ill due to<br />
water born diseases?<br />
Relief work: Do you think that<br />
NGOs, aid agencies <strong>and</strong><br />
government are really working in<br />
proper way for the relief <strong>and</strong><br />
rehabilitation?<br />
Agricultural <strong>and</strong> Livestock<br />
damages: How much agricultural<br />
l<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> animals have you lost?<br />
Short coming in relief work:<br />
What kind of big problem do you<br />
have now?<br />
Response<br />
Urban Area<br />
50% knew one week in advance<br />
35% knew 72 hours in advance<br />
15% knew 24 hours in advance<br />
15 % Government agencies<br />
75% Television <strong>and</strong> newspaper<br />
10% Ngo´s<br />
0% lost family member<br />
20% lost crops<br />
60% houses damage<br />
20% animals lost<br />
60% said it will take at least one to<br />
two years <strong>and</strong> PKR.100000= USD<br />
1100= 8000 SEK is not enough for<br />
start a life.<br />
40% said it takes two years <strong>and</strong><br />
PKR.100000= USD 1100= 8000<br />
SEK is good compensation if<br />
governments provide it to us as<br />
soon as possible.<br />
90% said yes if government<br />
provides funds then we go <strong>and</strong> start<br />
our lives.<br />
10% said yes but we are more<br />
interested to start our life in city <strong>and</strong><br />
find work here<br />
70% said yes because we have no<br />
properly good drinking water <strong>and</strong><br />
flood water is st<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>and</strong> causing<br />
malaria, stomach problems.<br />
30% said no, we didn’t face any<br />
problem but sometimes we have flu<br />
due to malaria.<br />
70% said no, they working very<br />
slowly <strong>and</strong> still we didn’t get<br />
properly fund.<br />
30% said yes, we get fund from<br />
government <strong>and</strong> Ngo´s <strong>and</strong> aid<br />
agencies but we need enough aid<br />
to start our lives.<br />
05% have 10-25 Acre<br />
25% have 05-15 Acre<br />
03-06 Buffalo<br />
07-10 Goat<br />
02-04 cows<br />
80% said problem of food stuff,<br />
medicine, winter clothes <strong>and</strong> lack of<br />
money.<br />
20% said lack of money because<br />
they are getting food <strong>and</strong> other stuff<br />
from government aid agencies <strong>and</strong><br />
other resources.<br />
Rural Area<br />
05% knew one week in advance<br />
10% knew 72 hours in advance<br />
25% knew 24 hours in advance<br />
60% came to know when the flood<br />
was on the doorstep because of the<br />
lack of information <strong>and</strong> lack of<br />
literacy<br />
40% didn’t know<br />
30% by relatives, friends <strong>and</strong><br />
l<strong>and</strong>lord/feudals.<br />
25% Radio<br />
05% Ngo´s<br />
02% lost family member out of total<br />
at study area Sindh.<br />
90% lost crops out of total<br />
agriculture l<strong>and</strong><br />
95% houses are partially <strong>and</strong> fully<br />
damages out of total<br />
80% animals lost/died out of total<br />
85% said it takes at least one year<br />
<strong>and</strong> PKR.100000= USD 1100=<br />
8000 SEK is very good<br />
compensation of to start live again.<br />
15% said it will take long time <strong>and</strong><br />
we are interested to find work here<br />
in city.<br />
60% said yes if government<br />
provides funds then we go <strong>and</strong> start<br />
our lives.<br />
40% said yes but we are more<br />
interested to start our life in city <strong>and</strong><br />
find work here because we are<br />
afraid if we go <strong>and</strong> build our houses<br />
<strong>and</strong> again flood come then we have<br />
no option<br />
95% said yes, we have lot of<br />
problems <strong>and</strong> we didn’t get good<br />
drinking water <strong>and</strong> flood water is<br />
st<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>and</strong> causing malaria,<br />
stomach problems<br />
05% no, we didn’t face any<br />
problem.<br />
95% said no, they working very<br />
slowly <strong>and</strong> still we didn’t get<br />
properly fund or Watan card money<br />
which is Rs.100000=8000 SEK.<br />
05% said yes, we get fund from<br />
government <strong>and</strong> Ngo´s <strong>and</strong> aid<br />
agencies but we need enough aid<br />
to start our lives.<br />
05% have 10-25 Acre<br />
10% have 05-15 Acre<br />
85% farm workers<br />
06-10 Buffalo<br />
15-25 Goat<br />
03-07 cows<br />
95% said problem of food stuff,<br />
medicine, winter cloths <strong>and</strong> lack of<br />
money.<br />
05% said lack of money because<br />
they are getting food <strong>and</strong> other stuff<br />
from government aid agencies <strong>and</strong><br />
other resources.<br />
II
<strong>Floods</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rehabilitation</strong>: Problems, Perspectives <strong>and</strong> Socio-Economic Impacts on Sindh, Pakistan<br />
C. Questionnaire response from the aid agencies personals<br />
Questions<br />
Response<br />
Q# 1.Did you get any threat while in<br />
the process of rehabilitation?<br />
Yes! We were getting threats from local people during the distribution<br />
of funds because they are hungry <strong>and</strong> many people snatching the<br />
food, medicine <strong>and</strong> clothes .So, for our safety governments provide<br />
us security.<br />
Q#2. What kind of major problems are<br />
people facing in your perspective?<br />
There are many problems that the affected people are facing ,for<br />
example shortage of food, drinking water <strong>and</strong> also health issues as<br />
there are people who are facing water born diseases<br />
Q#3. What do you think how long time<br />
the rehabilitation process will take so<br />
that flood victims go back to their pre<br />
flood normal life?<br />
It will take at least one or two years because flood victims have<br />
nothing as compared to pre flood situation. The government is<br />
providing funds, so gradually they will move to their places <strong>and</strong> start<br />
their lives as soon they get the relief goods<br />
Q#4. How much support do you get<br />
from the government, <strong>and</strong> civil<br />
society?<br />
Q#5. How do you participate in the<br />
rehabilitation process?<br />
We have been partially supported by government.<br />
Provision of aid to the flood victims, which generally we get mainly<br />
from general public by running campaigns about the flood, however<br />
media support is also important in our fund raising.<br />
D. Questionnaire response from the NGOs<br />
Questions<br />
Response<br />
Q#1. How do you see this flood?<br />
Q#2. As a neutral person, what do you think<br />
how much people have lost financially <strong>and</strong> what<br />
kind of risk are they facing now?<br />
This is a big disaster in Pakistan <strong>and</strong> millions of people are<br />
affected by this flood<br />
Millions of houses are demolish, crops are destroyed by<br />
flood, animals either lost or killed <strong>and</strong> loss of human life.<br />
There is big risk of many water borne diseases <strong>and</strong> people<br />
are sick <strong>and</strong> hungry<br />
Q#3. Do you think victims are properly cared by<br />
the aid agencies <strong>and</strong> government?<br />
Government agencies provide the aid <strong>and</strong> there are many<br />
NGOs <strong>and</strong> political parties for example Muttahida Quami<br />
movement (Pakistan), they are providing fund, government<br />
is also issuing Watan card to all victims, but there are many<br />
victims who didn’t get any fund from government.<br />
Q#4. What is the role of NGO´S in the<br />
rehabilitations of the victims?<br />
Q#5. In your opinion how long time it will take to<br />
complete rehabilitation of the flood victims?<br />
Q#6. Is the relief compensation fairly<br />
distributed?<br />
NGOS´s are providing food, clothes <strong>and</strong> house hold stuff<br />
<strong>and</strong> money for victims of flood by the collaboration of<br />
general public <strong>and</strong> political parties.<br />
It will take at least one year more because flood victims<br />
have lost almost everything e.g. house, crop l<strong>and</strong>, livestock<br />
<strong>and</strong> their jobs.<br />
No! Because most of the flood victims are still waiting to get<br />
any sort of aid to re-build their life.<br />
Q#7. What kind of problems do you see among<br />
flood victims?<br />
People are hungry for food, lacking of good clothes to<br />
protect from winter. Apart from this, many people are at risk<br />
of water borne diseases <strong>and</strong> there is need of doctors as<br />
well to provide necessary health support to flood victims<br />
III
Muhammad Amjad Afridi & Muhammad Alam Siddiqui TRITA LWR Degree Project 13:05<br />
E. Questionnaire response from Policy makers<br />
Questions<br />
Response<br />
Q# 1.Did you inform or tried to inform people before<br />
flood to move to safer places?<br />
Q# 2.What is the minimum or maximum lose of<br />
people? Any record?<br />
Q# 3.What do you think that how it will be possible<br />
to bring back the flood victims to their normal life?<br />
Q# 4 Is government or aid agencies working in<br />
proper way for the cause?<br />
Q# 5.What is the major problem in relief <strong>and</strong><br />
rehabilitation process?<br />
Q# 6.What lesson have you learned from current<br />
flood?<br />
Q #7.What kinds of water borne diseases are<br />
expected to spread among the flood victims?<br />
Q# 8.Are there enough doctors <strong>and</strong> medicines to<br />
save the lives of flood victims?<br />
Q# 9.In what ways aid agencies <strong>and</strong> government is<br />
helping flood victims?<br />
Q# 10.Are there any specific problem which needs<br />
urgent sort of treatment or attentions?<br />
Yes, we informed the people about update of flood<br />
through government resources <strong>and</strong> media but in<br />
some rural area where electricity <strong>and</strong> other media<br />
sources are not available they did not get flood<br />
warnings on time.<br />
More than 2000 people are died <strong>and</strong> millions of<br />
houses are demolished. Similarly about<br />
1,400,000 acres of cropl<strong>and</strong> was damaged. In fact<br />
the whole socio-economic profile is severely<br />
damaged in Sindh province of Pakistan. Record is<br />
available at NDMA website.<br />
It will take time because the country has never faced<br />
such kind flooding situation before. The government<br />
is trying hard to fully compensate the people so that<br />
they could restart their normal life as they had before<br />
the flood.<br />
Yes, government <strong>and</strong> aid agencies are trying their<br />
best to compensate every flood victim. Apart of this<br />
the government is also getting some fund from<br />
foreign countries to meet the requirements of the<br />
flood victims.<br />
Actually people are frustrated as they have big<br />
families, bad weather <strong>and</strong> bad condition of living<br />
which have made the situation worst. That’s why in<br />
some areas some people have tried to snatch the<br />
relief goods <strong>and</strong> threaten the NGO or relief workers.<br />
Flood warning system needs improvement, Disaster<br />
response program should be initiated in people <strong>and</strong><br />
at administration level.<br />
Skin disease/ problem, Diarrhea, Typhoid , Giardia,<br />
Salmonella, Cholera, , E. Coli <strong>and</strong> Fecal Coli etc<br />
Yes, there are doctors <strong>and</strong> other medical staff but still<br />
there is a shortage of medicines <strong>and</strong> doctors, which<br />
is the main hurdle in treatment of flood victims<br />
Aid agencies providing relief good to some extent,<br />
which includes food/ tents/ drinking stuffs but the aid<br />
need to be consistent rather periodic.<br />
Yes, there are pregnant women <strong>and</strong> in fact newly<br />
born babies as well which need special treatment<br />
IV