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TOWN OF CALEDON EMPLOYMENT LAND NEEDS STUDY

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7-5<br />

In addition, several of the remaining parcels of land which are available for development are<br />

small, poorly configured, and fragmented. While this observation applies specifically to the<br />

South Albion-Bolton Industrial Area, over time it is foreseeable that the Town’s other<br />

employment areas (i.e. Mayfield West, and Tullamore) will also begin to exhibit these<br />

characteristics. In order to allow for proper market functioning, it is our opinion that the Town<br />

should ensure that a minimum five-year supply of serviced and available employment lands (by<br />

various sizes, zoning and locations) is available at all times throughout the forecast period. This<br />

is to ensure that the Town’s employment demand is not unduly constrained by a lack of<br />

appropriately designated supply. Over the forecast period, it is recommended that the Town<br />

review its inventory of serviced employment lands every five years.<br />

6. Calculate Total Demand for Employment Lands Employment<br />

Table 7-3 summarizes forecast demand for employment lands employment and associated land<br />

area requirements by Settlement Area from 2006 to 2031, in accordance with the assumptions<br />

set out through steps 1 through 5. Key observations include:<br />

<br />

Over the 2006 to 2031 planning period, the Town of Caledon is forecast to add a total of<br />

19,174 employees on employment lands;<br />

<br />

Based on future absorption potential, approximately 47% of total forecast employment<br />

land has been allocated to the South Albion-Bolton Industrial Area, while 33% and 17%<br />

has been allocated to Mayfield West and Tullamore, respectively. The remaining 3% has<br />

been forecast throughout the remaining rural area;<br />

<br />

With respect to land demand, the Town of Caledon is forecast to absorb an annual<br />

average of 72.6 net acres per year (29.3 net ha/year) from 2006 to 2031 (72.6 acres X<br />

25 years = 1,815 (Table 7-3)). 1 Bolton and Mayfield West, the Town’s largest future<br />

employment areas, are forecast to absorb 80% of the total Town-wide employment<br />

lands forecast.<br />

1 Absorption figures have been rounded.<br />

Watson & Associates Economists Ltd.<br />

H:\caledon\2009 Employment Land Needs Addendum<br />

Report\Employment Land Needs Report_ammended as of November 13 2009.doc

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