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Uncertainty and Risk - DARP

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Microeconomics CHAPTER 8. UNCERTAINTY AND RISK<br />

Exercise 8.10 A person has an objective function Eu(y) where u is an increasing,<br />

strictly concave, twice-di¤erentiable function, <strong>and</strong> y is the monetary value<br />

of his …nal wealth after tax. He has an initial stock of assets K which he may<br />

keep either in the form of bonds, where they earn a return at a stochastic rate<br />

r, or in the form of cash where they earn a return of zero. Assume that Er > 0<br />

<strong>and</strong> that Prfr < 0g > 0.<br />

1. If he invests an amount in bonds (0 < < K) <strong>and</strong> is taxed at rate t<br />

on his income, write down the expression for his disposable …nal wealth y,<br />

assuming full loss o¤set of the tax.<br />

2. Find the …rst-order condition which determines his optimal bond portfolio<br />

.<br />

3. Examine the way in which a small increase in t will a¤ect .<br />

4. What would be the e¤ect of basing the tax on the person’s wealth rather<br />

than income?<br />

Outline Answer:<br />

1. Suppose the person puts an amount in bonds leaving the remaining<br />

K of assets in cash. Then, given that the rate of return on cash is<br />

zero <strong>and</strong> on bonds is the stochastic variable r, income is<br />

[K ] 0 + r = r<br />

If the tax rate is t then, given that full loss o¤set implies that losses <strong>and</strong><br />

gains are treated symmetrically, disposable income is<br />

<strong>and</strong> (disposable) …nal wealth is<br />

[1 t] r<br />

x = [K ] + + [1 t] r<br />

[cash] [value of bonds] [income]<br />

= K + [1 t] r: (8.16)<br />

Note that x is a stochastic variable <strong>and</strong> could be greater or less than initial<br />

wealth K.<br />

2. The individual’s optimisation problem is to choose to maximise Eu(x).<br />

Using (8.16) the FOC for an interior solution is<br />

which implies<br />

E (u x (x) [1 t] r) = 0;<br />

E (u x (x)r) = 0: (8.17)<br />

Solving this determines = (t; K), the optimal bond purchases that<br />

depends on the tax rate <strong>and</strong> initial wealth as well as the distribution of<br />

returns <strong>and</strong> risk aversion.<br />

cFrank Cowell 2006 126

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