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TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT SUMMIT - Unido

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68 Technology Foresight Summit<br />

related causes. Over 800 million people in the world are undernourished, and<br />

a larger number suffer from malnutrition, meaning that they are qualitatively<br />

undernourished. People in developing countries do not only need food, they<br />

also need food with an enhanced nutritional value to sustain a healthy life.<br />

The need to increase food production raises questions about both the<br />

sustainability and environmental consequences of current production systems.<br />

Over the years it became clear that industrial agriculture practices have<br />

adverse environmental effects such as desertification, soil erosion, salinization,<br />

fertilizers and pesticides contamination, decreased water availability,<br />

eutrophication, and decreased genetic diversity. Although present agriculture<br />

can produce enough food to feed today’s population and probably the projected<br />

8 to 9 billion people in 2040, that achievement will come at the cost<br />

of an unacceptable impact on the environment.<br />

Plant technology developments must be redirected to meet the food quality<br />

and quantity needs of the poor. Research should tackle key problems of<br />

developing countries such as drought, soil erosion and salinity. If these priorities<br />

are addressed, it will be possible to obtain crop varieties that fit specific<br />

ecological niches without requiring expensive and polluting inputs. We<br />

will see a rapid progress in the construction of high yielding varieties for local<br />

staple crops of the southern hemisphere. These varieties can be tailored to<br />

meet the nutritional needs of the population.<br />

In this way, plant biotechnology will be essential for the development<br />

of a sustainable industry, the creation of a medicare affordable by third world<br />

countries, which soon will represent 85 per cent of the world population<br />

and for engineering solutions for our present and future environmental pollution<br />

problems.<br />

The Green Genome Era: Central European Perspective<br />

Dénes Dudits, Director General, Biological Research Centre, Szeged,<br />

Hungary<br />

Dramatic changes in political and economic situation in the Central European<br />

countries have considerably influenced the position of agriculture and the<br />

living conditions of large population of farmers. It became obvious that the<br />

highly intensive crop production has lost its economic background and the<br />

consideration of environmental issues became a central concern. The overdose<br />

of fertilizers and plant protection chemicals could no longer be used to<br />

insure a high yield. The complete restructure of the market situation, especially<br />

the loss of the former Soviet Union as a major consumer, have forced<br />

the agricultural players to rely on the European market with increased quality<br />

requirements. Parallel with the narrowing market opportunities, extreme<br />

climatic conditions such as flooding and severe drought caused significant loss<br />

in crop production in recent years. Under these conditions the performance<br />

of the cultivars and the usefulness of genetic resources have gained high priority.<br />

Fortunately in the case of several crop species, the plant cultivating

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