Portfolio ManageMent atlas 2012 - PEI Media
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may <strong>2012</strong> | privateequityinternational.com<br />
FOR THE WORLD’S PRIVATE EQUITY MARKETS<br />
<strong>Portfolio</strong><br />
Management<br />
<strong>atlas</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />
A <strong>PEI</strong> supplement<br />
Zapping zombie funds<br />
Secondaries in Asia<br />
Exchanges, post-Facebook<br />
Optics and real estate<br />
...and more<br />
Sponsors:<br />
Capital Dynamics<br />
Landmark Partners
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may <strong>2012</strong> portfolio management <strong>atlas</strong> <strong>2012</strong> page 1<br />
e d i to r ’s l e tt e r<br />
Editor, Private Equity International<br />
James Taylor<br />
Tel: +44 207 566 5438<br />
james.t@peimedia.com<br />
Contributors<br />
Sam Sutton<br />
Thomas Duffell<br />
Robin Marriott<br />
Tom Porter<br />
Editor, PrivateEquityInternational.com<br />
Christopher Witkowsky<br />
Tel: +1 212 633 1072<br />
christopher.w@peimedia.com<br />
Editor, PrivateEquityInternational.com<br />
Oliver Smiddy<br />
Tel: +44 207 566 4281<br />
oliver.s@peimedia.com<br />
Senior Editor, Private Equity<br />
Amanda Janis<br />
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Philip Borel<br />
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Quite a turnaround<br />
Let me start with a caveat. Journalists like us are often<br />
too inclined to attach undue significance to particular<br />
events; to read trends into a number of isolated and possibly<br />
unrelated incidents.<br />
Nonetheless, when we heard about The Carlyle Group’s<br />
offer to provide potential investors in its latest fund with<br />
a mechanism for selling their fund interests to secondary<br />
buyers, it did really feel like a watershed moment.<br />
As recently as a few years ago, portfolio management<br />
was still a fairly undeveloped concept, and there was still a<br />
degree of stigma attached to secondary sales. So a mechanism<br />
like this would represent quite a turnaround. Whereas<br />
once GPs would actively discourage LPs from selling their<br />
fund interests to a third party, or at best approve it only grudgingly, now they’re actively coming<br />
up with ways to facilitate the process. A sign of the times, if ever there was one.<br />
The articles in this supplement clearly illustrate that as LPs have become more and more<br />
sophisticated, portfolio management has become increasingly sophisticated too. This is partly<br />
driven by necessity – compliance with regulatory pressures, for example, or the need to reduce<br />
GP relationships to a more manageable number.<br />
But as we discuss on p. 3, it’s also because investors are no longer willing to just sit around<br />
and hope for returns after making a commitment. Since the financial crisis highlighted the<br />
downsides of locking capital into illiquid funds, it’s no wonder that the secondaries market has<br />
really taken off in the last few years. Pricing is always tricky, as Cogent’s Todd Miller explains<br />
on p. 24 – but there are plenty of buyers, and a growing number of willing sellers.<br />
Secondaries aren’t just a useful portfolio management tool for mature investors, either.<br />
They can also provide new LPs with a way to develop their exposure to new strategies and<br />
geographies in a less risky way. There’s some suggestion that this is proving particularly helpful<br />
in Asia, where it can help to mitigate long-held concerns about transparency and track<br />
record (p. 14).<br />
Of course, the industry’s increasing maturity creates challenges for investors too, notably<br />
the rise of zombie funds (p. 6). What’s the best way to deal with managers who are clearly not<br />
going to be able to raise another fund, but are prolonging the life of their existing vehicle so<br />
they can keep racking up management fees? Specialist consultants are springing up to help<br />
with this issue, which is only going to get worse as more of the boom-year vintage chickens<br />
come home to roost.<br />
But if anything, that just strengthens the case for a more active approach to portfolio<br />
management. Expect more GPs to follow Carlyle’s lead and accept this as the new reality.<br />
James Taylor<br />
Editor, Private Equity International
page 2 private equity international may <strong>2012</strong><br />
c o n t e n t s<br />
portfolio<br />
management<br />
<strong>atlas</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />
m ay 2 0 1 2<br />
1 Editor’s Letter<br />
3 Overview: Out of the shadows<br />
Limited partners are getting increasingly active –<br />
and GPs are starting to accommodate them<br />
6 How to deal with ‘zombies’<br />
Help is at hand for the many LPs now grappling with<br />
managers who are unlikely to raise more capital<br />
8 Keynote interview: Capital Dynamics<br />
Martha Cassidy and Joseph Marks of Switzerlandbased<br />
Capital Dynamics explain how operating at<br />
the smaller end of the secondaries market allows<br />
the firm to work with individual sellers and GPs it<br />
knows well<br />
16 Keynote interview: Landmark Partners<br />
Landmark Partners’ Robert Shanfield talks about why<br />
his firm likes complicated, off-market deals<br />
20 The optics of real estate secondaries<br />
Discounts are still a sensitive issue when<br />
secondaries players are trading interests in private<br />
equity real estate funds<br />
22 Data Room<br />
The secondaries market at a glance: fundraising,<br />
pricing, deal volumes and more<br />
24 On the Record: Todd Miller of Cogent Partners<br />
Cogent MD Todd Miller explains the impact of<br />
public market volatility on secondary pricing<br />
12 Exchanges: Life after Facebook<br />
Why the Facebook IPO will force secondary<br />
exchanges to adapt and evolve<br />
14 Secondaries in Asia<br />
Using the secondary market to build exposure in<br />
Asia has its advantages – but it’s easier said than<br />
done<br />
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ISSN 1474-8800<br />
© <strong>PEI</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />
No statement in this supplement is to be construed as a recommendation<br />
to buy or sell securities. Neither this publication nor any part of it may<br />
be reprwoduce d or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic<br />
or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or by any information<br />
storage or retrieval system, without the prior permission of the publisher.<br />
Whilst every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, the publisher and<br />
contributors accept no responsibility for the accuracy of the content in this<br />
supplement. Readers should also be aware that external contributors may<br />
represent firms that may have an interest in companies and/or their securities<br />
mentioned in herein.
may <strong>2012</strong> portfolio management <strong>atlas</strong> <strong>2012</strong> page 3<br />
o v e r v i e w<br />
Out of the shadows<br />
The days of the passive limited partner – who made a commitment, sat back and<br />
waited with fingers crossed for a return – are long gone. And GPs are starting to<br />
accommodate this, writes Christopher Witkowsky<br />
In this challenging fundraising market,<br />
private equity firms are having to figure<br />
out ways to differentiate themselves from<br />
their competitors as they seek to tap<br />
into the ever-dwindling pool of capital<br />
available for the asset class.<br />
Sometimes, if firms are competing for<br />
capital with other funds of around the<br />
same size and with a similar track record,<br />
performance alone is not enough. And so<br />
firms need to offer sweeteners to attract<br />
potential investors into their funds.<br />
Recently, the Carlyle Group came up<br />
with a novel way to address this challenge<br />
– and it’s one that taps into the desire of<br />
limited partners to be much more active<br />
in managing their portfolios.<br />
Gone are the days when LPs would<br />
stockpile hosts of managers in search<br />
of diversity; these days, LPs are much<br />
more selective and deliberate about who<br />
should be in their alternatives portfolio<br />
and why. Equally, many are growing<br />
more comfortable with trading in and<br />
out of positions in private equity funds<br />
– something that seems to go against<br />
the long-term locked-in nature of the<br />
asset class.<br />
Acknowledging this new mindset,<br />
Carlyle has established a way for investors<br />
in its sixth global fund – which is<br />
targeting $10 billion – to access liquidity<br />
relatively quickly by allowing them to sell<br />
all or parts of their stakes in the vehicle<br />
twice a year.<br />
The soon-to-be-listed firm lined up<br />
five secondaries firms to be preferred<br />
buyers of LP stakes should they be put up<br />
for sale: Goldman Sachs, Partners Group,<br />
Landmark Partners, Coller Capital and<br />
Credit Suisse (who all had to make primary<br />
commitments to the sixth fund as<br />
part of the deal).<br />
Carlyle, which will also buy up a portion,<br />
plans to price interests twice a year<br />
using the average weighted price of all<br />
bids required to meet the supply of available<br />
interests, thus creating a market for<br />
the stakes. The highest priced bids would<br />
be matched first with the available interests<br />
to determine the final price.<br />
The move met with a variety of reactions.<br />
For a long time now, firms have<br />
tried to figure out ways to ease the illiquidity<br />
burden of the asset class on LPs<br />
– and many thought Carlyle appeared<br />
to have found a way to do that. The programme<br />
was an answer to LPs’ growing<br />
concerns about long lock-ups and their<br />
inability to get liquid if needed (something<br />
that proved a real problem for<br />
many in the wake of the financial crisis).<br />
However, the programme also seemed<br />
to strike at an idea at the very heart of<br />
private equity: that LPs are supposed to<br />
find managers they trust so much that<br />
they are willing to commit capital for<br />
a decade or more. One of the advantages<br />
of the asset class – the argument<br />
goes – is that smart GPs, who have no<br />
As LPs<br />
become more<br />
sophisticated,<br />
they’re less<br />
comfortable<br />
being purely<br />
passive; they<br />
want to be<br />
more<br />
involved<br />
pressure to hand back capital in tough<br />
times (like, say, hedge funds) can ride<br />
out cycles and focus only on the health<br />
of their businesses.<br />
Either way, many industry sources are<br />
agreed on one thing: the model Carlyle<br />
has created will be copied by other<br />
firms, because LPs are going to want<br />
the same kind of liquidity provisions.<br />
As LPs become more active with their<br />
portfolios, they will be less interested<br />
in just making a commitment and forgetting<br />
about it until years later, in the<br />
hope that carried interest will eventually<br />
kick in.
page 4 private equity international may <strong>2012</strong><br />
o v e r v i e w<br />
Brem: LPs want flexibility<br />
“One of the challenges of private<br />
equity is trying to build a portfolio in<br />
a systematic, targeted way. It is a blind<br />
pool, and you don’t know exactly what<br />
GPs will invest in,” says Monte Brem,<br />
founder and chief executive officer of LP<br />
consultant and secondary advisor Step-<br />
Stone Group. “You don’t know geography<br />
exposure, what industry exposure<br />
you’ll get.”<br />
“Let’s say you’re five years into building<br />
a programme and you have more<br />
technology exposure than you expected<br />
or wanted. Secondaries should be used as<br />
a way to buy and sell to evolve and craft<br />
your portfolio over time,” Brem says. “As<br />
LPs become more sophisticated, they’re<br />
less comfortable being purely passive;<br />
they want to be more involved.”<br />
Getting ACTIVe<br />
In the early to mid-2000s, major private<br />
equity LPs worked hard to build<br />
up their portfolios. Take the California<br />
Public Employees’ Retirement System,<br />
which committed billions of dollars to<br />
the asset class in the middle part of the<br />
2000s, mainly to the biggest managers<br />
in the business. In 2006, the pension<br />
system’s Alternative Investment Management<br />
programme committed $9.6<br />
billion; in 2007, $14.2 billion; in 2008,<br />
$11.1 billion. (The system hit the brakes<br />
hard in 2009 after the onset of the financial<br />
crisis, committing just $1 billion,<br />
and continued to slow the programme<br />
in 2010 committing $700 million; since<br />
then it has been slowly ramping it up<br />
again, committing about $1.8 billion<br />
last year.)<br />
Amid this frantic commitment pace,<br />
CalPERS also did something that would<br />
prove to be a pioneering move in the<br />
industry, at least among large public<br />
FORCED SELLERS<br />
Big limited partners aren’t just selling<br />
stakes because they want to. In some<br />
cases, it’s also because they have to.<br />
Regulation has become an increasing<br />
driver of secondary activity, particularly<br />
for the banks.<br />
Banks have contributed huge sums of<br />
capital to the asset class since its inception<br />
– but as a result of the legislation<br />
introduced in the wake of the financial<br />
crisis, many are now scaling back their<br />
private equity exposure.<br />
In Europe, the prevailing view is that<br />
our biggest banks need bigger capital<br />
buffers, so they can absorb bigger losses<br />
if (/when) things go wrong again. The<br />
riskier the assets on their balance sheet<br />
– and private equity investments are<br />
classed firmly in that category – the more<br />
capital they’ll need to hold.<br />
In the US, institutions are still<br />
grappling with the implications of the<br />
Dodd-Frank Act – and, specifically, the<br />
Volcker Rule. As originally envisaged,<br />
the idea behind Volcker was relatively<br />
institutions: in 2007, it began a massive<br />
sell-off of about $2.1 billion-worth of<br />
private equity fund interests on the secondary<br />
market. The sale started in the<br />
third quarter of 2007 and completed<br />
by August 2008, finishing just before<br />
Lehman Brothers fell into bankruptcy<br />
and the economy collapsed. As such,<br />
the timing of the sale became an almost<br />
unbelievable win for the system , in that<br />
it mitigated the impact of the crash. “In<br />
today’s market, we would have had hundreds<br />
of millions in losses,” Leon Shahinian,<br />
former CalPERS’ senior investment<br />
officer, admitted in 2008.<br />
At the time, the pension system<br />
decided to sell a large chunk of its<br />
Höppner: leading the fight<br />
simple: to stop banks using their own<br />
balance sheets for risky investments.<br />
But this has morphed into a 300-page<br />
tome that seems to raise as many questions<br />
as it answers.<br />
The result of all this is that many<br />
banks are choosing to sell their private<br />
equity assets – which has led to some<br />
huge portfolios hitting the secondary<br />
market.<br />
Another big issue in Europe is the Solvency<br />
II rules, which will limit the ability<br />
of insurers and possibly pension funds to<br />
invest in ‘riskier’ assets like private equity.<br />
EVCA, led by Secretary-General Dörte<br />
Höppner, is leading the technical fight<br />
against these proposals. But it may be<br />
an uphill battle...
may <strong>2012</strong> portfolio management <strong>atlas</strong> <strong>2012</strong> page 5<br />
o v e r v i e w<br />
private equity holdings as a way to clean<br />
up its portfolio, which by mid-2007 had<br />
become massive. The system sold 80<br />
partnerships comprised of 60 different<br />
GP relationships across private equity<br />
strategies including buyouts, venture and<br />
distressed debt.<br />
While the pension was selling off<br />
a huge chunk of its portfolio – which<br />
occurred between the third quarter of<br />
2007 and August 2008 – it was ramping<br />
up its exposure to mega-funds. Between<br />
late 2007 and 2008, the system committed<br />
almost $1 billion each to TPG and<br />
The Carlyle Group, and $500 million to<br />
The Blackstone Group; it also bought<br />
big stakes in Apollo Global Management<br />
and Silver Lake. But in early 2011, the<br />
system put around $800 million-worth<br />
of mostly mega-fund stakes up for sale,<br />
which appeared to signal a move away<br />
from the strategy it had pursued only a<br />
few years earlier.<br />
All of these moves illustrate the work<br />
of a very active LP unafraid to use the<br />
secondaries market strategically. In<br />
Dear: CalPERS takes an active approach<br />
2007, at a time when the system wanted<br />
to max out its exposure to the biggest<br />
funds in the market, CalPERS made<br />
room in the portfolio by hitting the<br />
secondaries market. In 2011, when the<br />
system – now under the leadership of<br />
CIO Joe Dear – wanted to dial down<br />
its exposure to mega-funds, as well as<br />
trim down the number of managers in<br />
its portfolio, it turned to the secondaries<br />
market once more.<br />
Other large LPs have since followed<br />
CalPERS’ lead. In 2010 and 2011, many<br />
Canadian pension systems sold legacy<br />
fund assets on the secondaries market,<br />
in order to cut back on the size of their<br />
fund commitments as they increased<br />
their focus on direct investment. And in<br />
the last couple of years, public pensions<br />
in the US have been selling down their<br />
private equity portfolios in a bid to cut<br />
down the number of manager relationships<br />
and make their programmes more<br />
manageable.<br />
The private equity secondary market<br />
had its busiest-ever year in 2011, with an<br />
Secondaries<br />
should be<br />
used as a way<br />
to buy and<br />
sell to evolve<br />
and craft your<br />
portfolio over<br />
time<br />
estimated $25 billion of deal volume –<br />
and sources believe <strong>2012</strong> could be even<br />
more exciting, potentially even topping<br />
the $30 billion mark.<br />
Much of that deal volume is being<br />
drive by financial institutions around<br />
the world forced to offload their private<br />
equity holdings because of regulations<br />
restricting their exposure to “risky” asset<br />
classes. But volume is also coming from<br />
public pensions and other institutions<br />
like sovereign wealth funds and university<br />
endowments actively managing their<br />
programmes – completely selling out of<br />
some funds and unloading small stakes<br />
in others, as well as making room for<br />
re-ups or even new relationships.<br />
LPs – and by extension the private<br />
equity market – have changed a lot<br />
in the last 20 years. Today’s investors<br />
have no problem stepping in and out<br />
of fund positions, and more and more<br />
LPs expect to be able to be aggressive in<br />
shaping their private equity portfolios.<br />
It’s this growing sophistication that will<br />
ultimately make private equity more of a<br />
partnership between LPs and GPs than<br />
ever before.
page 6 private equity international may <strong>2012</strong><br />
z o m b i e f u n d s<br />
Attack on the ‘zombies’<br />
Help is emerging for LPs grappling with the growing problem of how to deal with<br />
funds that have no prospect of raising future capital, writes Christopher Witkowsky<br />
Watch out zombies!<br />
A slew of private equity professionals,<br />
including consultants and former limited<br />
partners, have taken it upon themselves<br />
to deal with so-called zombie funds in<br />
institutional investors’ portfolios. These<br />
are funds run by managers unlikely to<br />
raise future capital – but who are hanging<br />
onto their investments in order to<br />
keep collecting management fees and<br />
maintain an income stream (without<br />
which they might be forced to find a<br />
new line of work).<br />
These zombie funds have become<br />
major headaches for LPs, especially<br />
those who have legacy portfolios that<br />
contain funds well past their contractual<br />
lives – usually around 12 years if routine<br />
fund life extensions are counted.<br />
For many LPs like public pension<br />
plans with scant resources, having to<br />
deal with zombie funds can be demoralising,<br />
especially when the managers<br />
consistently ask for fund contract<br />
amendments that keep their fees alive<br />
without any kind of reciprocal benefit<br />
to the investor.<br />
“This whole phenomenon is a symptom<br />
of a maturing industry,” says David<br />
Fann, president and chief executive<br />
officer of TorreyCove Capital Partners,<br />
an investment consultant to institutional<br />
investors like Oregon’s state pension<br />
system and the Teachers’ Retirement<br />
Fann: no immunity from zombies<br />
System of Illinois. “Investors will typically<br />
have zombies in their portfolio<br />
if they have been at it for more than<br />
15 years. There will be managers you<br />
give up on; they become non-core in<br />
this environment. You can’t immunise<br />
yourself from a zombie fund.”<br />
Amend and pretend<br />
Being branded a zombie fund isn’t always<br />
a performance issue; for example, a manager<br />
may have a decent track record, but<br />
has been compelled by the death of a<br />
key executive to call it quits – either by<br />
choice or necessity. (WL Ross & Company,<br />
which has been struggling to raise<br />
its fifth fund, is a timely example of a<br />
firm whose capital-raising plans have<br />
been hampered by succession concerns,<br />
despite Wilbur Ross’s long track record<br />
of first quartile returns: the original<br />
target was $4 billion, but it slashed this<br />
by half last year following a tepid reception<br />
from LPs).<br />
However, in most cases, the zombie<br />
manager’s current fund has underperformed<br />
(and maybe past vehicles too).<br />
As years go by and nothing improves,<br />
key members of the investment team<br />
depart as it becomes apparent that the<br />
fund will not be paying out carried interest<br />
because it won’t hit its hurdle rate.<br />
At some point, a small team is left to<br />
manage out remaining assets, and that’s<br />
when the real zombie action begins.<br />
Consultants and LPs have horror stories<br />
about an endless series of amendment<br />
requests. Fund life extensions are<br />
the most obvious – but some managers<br />
will lobby for extra money to pump<br />
into remaining portfolio companies,<br />
and possibly even extensions of the<br />
management fee that will keep the firm<br />
alive long enough to exit its remaining<br />
investments.<br />
In most cases, LPs end up having to<br />
accommodate zombie funds because the<br />
alternative is even less palatable: if they<br />
choose to end the fund for good (by not<br />
extending the fund life), they will be
may <strong>2012</strong> portfolio management <strong>atlas</strong> <strong>2012</strong> page 7<br />
z o m b i e f u n d s<br />
If you were<br />
cynical, you<br />
might think<br />
the GP is not<br />
selling the<br />
investments<br />
because<br />
they can’t<br />
find a job<br />
elsewhere<br />
given shares in the remaining investments<br />
in the fund. These shares are illiquid, and<br />
the LP may not have the expertise to<br />
manage out the investments.<br />
As a result, LPs are usually forced to<br />
continue paying a management fee to<br />
make sure the firm can keep the lights<br />
on. “Usually the situation is that the GP<br />
is working hard to maximise value in the<br />
remaining portfolio companies,” Fann says.<br />
“If you were cynical, you might think the<br />
GP is not selling the investments because<br />
they can’t find a job elsewhere.”<br />
The challenge for LPs in this situation<br />
is to make sure the manager is getting<br />
paid an appropriate amount to keep<br />
managing out funds long past the end<br />
of their contractual lives. “How do you<br />
align incentives to ensure the assets are<br />
managed and value is maximised for LPs?<br />
It gets to be a tricky balance,” says Jamie<br />
Ebersole, senior investment director at<br />
fund of funds SL Capital Partners.<br />
The situation can become even tenser<br />
when a zombie manager tries to renegotiate<br />
the way incentive payments are<br />
triggered. Generally, funds come with<br />
some kind of hurdle rate that needs to<br />
be met before carried interest begins to<br />
accrue. In some cases, managers will try<br />
to renegotiate the hurdle rate down to<br />
give the GP the opportunity to collect<br />
carried interest, ostensibly as a way to<br />
incentivise the investment team to stick<br />
around and manage out the portfolio.<br />
“In limited cases, you’re looking at<br />
resetting incentives for a team that up<br />
to that point may not have created any<br />
value for you, and you’re being asked<br />
to give away even more value to them,<br />
which can be seen as rewarding poor<br />
performance,” Ebersole says. “That’s a<br />
difficult situation to deal with.”<br />
LPs get SOPHISTICATed<br />
So is there an alternative?<br />
These days, LPs are increasingly using<br />
the secondary market to manage their<br />
portfolios. That could mean trimming<br />
down the number of managers with<br />
whom they invest, or simply trying to<br />
unload “non-core” managers.<br />
But secondaries provide another way<br />
for LPs to escape zombies. A few firms in<br />
the market target legacy funds that they<br />
buy to replace the GP and sell down the<br />
old assets. Saints Capital, W Capital and<br />
Industry Ventures specialise in deals like<br />
this. StepStone Group, which formed in<br />
2007, completed a similar deal last year<br />
when it bought legacy assets from The<br />
Canopy Group, a venture outfit that had<br />
been slowly winding down.<br />
There are also now several firms –<br />
some of which have cropped up in the<br />
last year – that work with LPs to manage<br />
out these types of portfolios.<br />
LP Capital Advisors, based in Sacramento,<br />
has managed a California Public<br />
Employees’ Retirement System’s legacy<br />
assets portfolio, which contains some<br />
‘zombie’ funds. “End of fund life issues”<br />
can be time-intensive for a small amount<br />
of dollar return, says chief executive<br />
officer Donn Cox. “There’s a different<br />
type of focus for LPs when you get down<br />
to these last funds, especially if they’re<br />
not ongoing relationships,” Cox explains.<br />
“For a lot of these, it’s their last fund and<br />
they’re winding down.”<br />
Heavyweight Joncarlo Mark, a former<br />
private equity portfolio manager at the<br />
California Public Employees’ Retirement<br />
System, formed Upwelling Capital to<br />
help institutional investors deal with<br />
investments run by managers unlikely<br />
to raise a new fund.<br />
“People are trying to figure out what<br />
to do with all the relationships, funds, coinvestments<br />
they have,” Mark told Private<br />
Equity International. “If you don’t do anything,<br />
you risk continued erosion of value,<br />
illiquidity and misalignment of interests,<br />
particularly if the manager is not in the<br />
money. If you sell, you risk discounts on<br />
the secondary market.”<br />
Zombie funds are not going away. In<br />
fact, more and more investment vehicles<br />
will fall into zombie territory as<br />
the industry matures, and LPs withhold<br />
money from GPs whose most recent<br />
funds have disappointed. It’s the natural<br />
progression of the industry – and investors<br />
need to be ready for it.
page 8 private equity international may <strong>2012</strong><br />
ke y n ot e i n t e r v i e w c a p i ta l d y n a m i c s<br />
Big value in small deals<br />
Switzerland-based Capital Dynamics typically operates at the smaller end of the<br />
secondaries market. The firm’s Martha Cassidy and Joseph Marks tell <strong>PEI</strong> this allows it<br />
to work with individual sellers and GPs it knows well through its primary fund business<br />
In a secondaries market that continues<br />
to break records, as the biggest players<br />
raise huge funds and complete headlinemaking<br />
mega-deals, firms that operate<br />
out of the spotlight at the smaller end<br />
of the market may have the best opportunity<br />
to find great deals.<br />
Take Capital Dynamics: the Switzerland-based<br />
private equity asset management<br />
firm likes to mine its opportunities<br />
in the quiet world of small sellers, where<br />
intermediaries and big players tend not<br />
to tread. In this segment of the market,<br />
deals are often one-off transactions for<br />
specific, individual stakes.<br />
Something for everyone<br />
The secondaries market is booming; deal<br />
flow was estimated to be about $25 billion<br />
last year, and many observers expect<br />
this number to break the $30 billion<br />
barrier in <strong>2012</strong> (although that clearly<br />
depends on the health of the overall<br />
financial markets – heavy volatility can<br />
scare potential sellers, who then back off<br />
from bringing offerings to the market as<br />
they lose confidence in the ability to get<br />
attractive pricing).<br />
One key driver is regulatory reform,<br />
which is forcing banks around the world<br />
to reduce their exposure to so-called<br />
“risky” assets like private equity. The<br />
result has been some massive, multibillion<br />
dollar secondary offerings from<br />
Marks: smaller deals mean fewer<br />
intermediaries<br />
Cassidy: mid-sized bank portfolios<br />
interesting<br />
banks – like Bank of America’s $1.9<br />
billion sale to AXA Private Equity in<br />
2010. These tend to be intermediated<br />
and highly competitive.<br />
It’s a similar story with the big US<br />
public pension systems, which have<br />
increasingly been using the secondary<br />
market to sell down their private<br />
equity portfolios. The California Public<br />
Employees’ Retirement System got the<br />
ball rolling when it sold more than $2<br />
billion of its portfolio in 2007; more<br />
recently New Jersey’s state system has<br />
sold more than $600 million of its portfolio,<br />
while New York City’s pension<br />
system wants to ultimately sell about<br />
$2 billion of interests. Again, these offerings<br />
are usually large, competitive and<br />
fought over by big buyers.<br />
But while these huge portfolios have<br />
represented a large part of transaction<br />
volume over the past year, there<br />
is no shortage of opportunities for<br />
those focused on the smaller end of<br />
the market, according to Martha Cassidy<br />
and Joseph Marks, co-heads of the<br />
secondaries team at Capital Dynamics.<br />
Beyond these big offerings are billions<br />
of dollars-worth of smaller portfolios<br />
and one-off sales brought to market<br />
by smaller LPs, who typically want to<br />
remain anonymous to avoid damaging<br />
relationships with general partners.<br />
“Some 70 percent of the market is<br />
estimated to be intermediated today…
may <strong>2012</strong> portfolio management <strong>atlas</strong> <strong>2012</strong> page 9<br />
ke y n ot e i n t e r v i e w c a p i ta l d y n a m i c s<br />
However, that still leaves roughly $9 billion this year of dealflow<br />
for us that is not intermediated,” says Marks. “That’s still a big<br />
market for a $276 million fund, and we can be very selective<br />
on that $9 billion.”<br />
What’s more, these opportunities can often be very attractive<br />
from a financial point of view, he says. “The smaller deals<br />
tend to be less intermediated, often less efficient in price discovery<br />
and they’re often negotiated directly between buyer<br />
and seller. That’s the kind of competitive dynamic we don’t<br />
mind engaging in.”<br />
An evolving market<br />
The private equity secondary market has evolved slowly over the<br />
past 25 years or so. Once it was purely an outlet for distressed<br />
LPs to unload their obligations; now, it’s also an essential tool<br />
used by investors to manage their portfolios.<br />
“There was this little tag of shame associated with having<br />
to do a secondary sale,” Cassidy says. Sellers “wanted to make<br />
sure the process was highly confidential, so ‘If I can’t fund my<br />
capital calls, I don’t want anyone to know’.”<br />
Equally, GPs’ views on secondaries have also evolved over<br />
the years. Once there would be consternation at the thought of<br />
one of their LPs contemplating selling out of their fund. These<br />
days, GPs are generally happy to know they have an outlet to<br />
allow an unhappy LP to get out of their obligations, potentially<br />
in favour of another more suitable partner.<br />
“Secondaries allow [GPs] to enhance their LP base… GPs<br />
realise secondaries sales are an opportunity for them,” Marks<br />
says.<br />
And while big portfolio sales tend to grab the headlines,<br />
another important change is that sellers now realise they don’t<br />
necessarily have to sell whole portfolios in one go; instead,<br />
they can chip away at offerings by passing on smaller stakes to<br />
numerous buyers, according to Cassidy and Marks.<br />
Capital Dynamics has taken advantage of this development<br />
to “cherry pick” their favoured GPs from larger offerings, they<br />
add. “That’s what we do and we see others doing it,” says Cassidy.<br />
“If I’m keen on a geography or a sector, I’ll look for those<br />
particular funds.”<br />
Adds Marks: “Sellers are becoming more mosaic in situations;<br />
they’re not always willing to take a portfolio discount if<br />
they can do better.”<br />
Capital DYNAMIC’s world<br />
With a $276 million secondaries vehicle that is less than half<br />
invested, Capital Dynamics has plenty of firepower – and a big<br />
universe of supply from which to choose. So the fund of funds<br />
narrows down its opportunity set by working with certain<br />
sellers – like small family offices, pensions and endowments<br />
and even mid-sized banks.<br />
The latter is a particularly interesting area, says Cassidy.<br />
Many mid-sized banks built private equity exposure either<br />
because they were interested in building relationships with<br />
firms so they could get involved in deal financing, or because<br />
they had a senior executive not with the bank anymore who<br />
once liked the asset class.<br />
“You’d be amazed at what’s in some of these small banks’<br />
portfolios,” she says. “They’re not what anyone would classify<br />
as strategically composed portfolios; they’re not necessarily<br />
designed as a balanced private equity portfolio. It’s like a<br />
dog’s breakfast.”<br />
Now, the banks want to sell. “We’re at the beginning of<br />
seeing it from all other mid-sized banks out there in America,<br />
of which there are loads that have private equity for sale,”<br />
Cassidy says.<br />
This “phenomenon” of small banks trying to offload their<br />
private equity portfolios is mirrored by small endowments,<br />
small family offices and even small pension funds, according to<br />
Marks. As a result, “there’s a very meaningful role to play in the<br />
much less efficient sections of all those markets,” he says.<br />
The vast majority of Capital Dynamics’ deals involve GPs<br />
that it already knows. Here, the firm has an in-built advantage<br />
thanks to the information it gets from its primary fund of funds<br />
business. “We have a treasure trove of information,” Marks says.<br />
As such, both sides of the business work together to make sure<br />
the firm is chasing the best deals.<br />
What’s more, he adds, the firm can bring “world class”<br />
research capabilities to its investment process. And then there’s<br />
its global presence; although headquartered in Switzerland, it<br />
has offices in London, New York, Zurich, Tokyo, Hong Kong,<br />
Silicon Valley, Sao Paulo and Munich, among others.<br />
“When you look at those three factors, that gives us a good<br />
advantage at what we think is the more attractive part of<br />
the secondaries market because of its inefficiencies,” Marks<br />
says.
page 10 private equity international may <strong>2012</strong><br />
c o m pa n y p ro f i l e c a p i ta l d y n a m i c s<br />
Capital Dynamics* is an independent asset management firm focusing on private assets including private equity,<br />
clean energy and infrastructure, and real estate. Capital Dynamics offers investors a range of products and services<br />
including funds of funds, direct investments, separate account solutions, and structured private equity products.<br />
Our senior investment professionals hold an average of over 20 years<br />
of investing experience and due diligence expertise, gained through<br />
diverse backgrounds as fund investors, direct investors, and coinvestors.<br />
With 160 professionals and 10 offices worldwide, Capital<br />
Dynamics is able to deliver top-quality service to its client base of<br />
sophisticated institutional investors such as pension funds, endowments,<br />
family offices, high net worth individuals, and advisors.<br />
Headquartered in Switzerland, Capital Dynamics has offices in<br />
London, New York, Zurich/Zug, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Silicon Valley,<br />
Sao Paulo, Munich, Birmingham (UK) and Brisbane.<br />
Secondaries<br />
Our Secondaries team is led by Managing Directors, Martha Cassidy<br />
and Joseph Marks; with five dedicated professionals in New York and<br />
Zurich, and additional support as needed. The team is fully integrated<br />
in the broader investment management team, and leverages our entire<br />
global platform, network of contacts and relationships to source,<br />
diligence, and transact on a global basis. Our secondary capabilities<br />
are further augmented by our portfolio and risk management team’s<br />
sophisticated tools and extensive quantitative experience.<br />
Focus on innovation and quality<br />
Capital Dynamics is an industry leader in quantitative risk management;<br />
an essential component of successful private equity investing. The<br />
importance of risk management has intensified due to tighter financial<br />
regulations and heightened investor awareness. Our <strong>Portfolio</strong> and<br />
Risk Management team conducts customized, in-depth client portfolio<br />
analyses and our <strong>Portfolio</strong> Servicing team provides comprehensive and<br />
dedicated back office services for a diverse set of global investors.<br />
We are proud of our distinguished reputation within the private<br />
equity community. In 2011 and 2010, we were voted “Fund of Funds<br />
of the Year in Europe” by Private Equity International.<br />
Capital Dynamics is a signatory of the United Nations Principles for<br />
Responsible Investment (PRI). Our emphasis on quality has been<br />
recognized with the International Standard ISO 9001:2000 certification<br />
of compliance.<br />
Investment types 2<br />
Primary fund investments – We have invested in private equity funds<br />
since the late 1980s, spanning all geographies and strategies. We have<br />
established solid relationships with over 400 General Partners, and<br />
monitor 788 active funds.<br />
Secondary fund investments – Active in the secondary market since<br />
the early 1990s, we raised one of the first dedicated secondary funds.<br />
The combination of our large number of existing fund investments<br />
and proprietary databases often provides an information advantage<br />
when evaluating secondary transactions.<br />
Direct investments – Our extensive relationships with the globe’s<br />
top-tier fund managers provide a consistent volume of high-quality<br />
investment opportunities. Our co-investment strategy is focused on<br />
mid-market buyouts, but also includes select development capital<br />
and special situations.<br />
Clean Energy and Infrastructure – Our specialized team of senior<br />
industry investors employs a direct investment strategy focused<br />
on a diverse mix of clean and low-carbon energy assets that can<br />
offer attractive risk-adjusted returns and compelling diversification<br />
benefits from this emerging class of real assets.<br />
Real Estate – Members of our Real Estate team have been investing<br />
in real estate funds since 1990 and maintain relationships with fund<br />
managers around the globe.<br />
Structures<br />
Funds of funds – We offer private equity, primary and secondary<br />
funds of funds, allowing investors to implement a global allocation<br />
strategy through access to premier private equity managers, in addition<br />
to portfolio diversification.<br />
Separate accounts – We assist clients to create individual programs<br />
to meet unique risk profiles and liquidity constraint parameters.<br />
We offer legal structuring services to meet the regulatory, tax and<br />
compliance requirements for each separate account client.<br />
Structured products – We customize solutions one client at a time.<br />
Every structured solution is designed to deliver compelling benefits such<br />
as early liquidity, enhanced return on investment, reduced risk, lower<br />
open commitments and/or decreased risk-weighted capital reserves.<br />
Please contact us at info@capdyn.com, or visit our website www.<br />
capdyn.com for further information.<br />
*<br />
“Capital Dynamics” comprises Capital Dynamics Holding AG and its affiliates<br />
2<br />
History includes 2005 acquisition of Westport Private Equity Ltd., and the Real Estate team’s prior experience
Performance:<br />
the result of long-term dedication<br />
We understand the dynamics of performance and know<br />
that long-term dedication to uncompromising quality<br />
is the best route to success. Capital Dynamics is an<br />
award-winning private asset manager highly skilled<br />
in funds of funds, separate accounts and structured<br />
products.<br />
To discover how our extensive experience in private<br />
equity, clean energy and infrastructure, and real<br />
estate – together with our long-standing industry<br />
relationships – can link you to the full potential of<br />
private assets, please contact us at info@capdyn.com.<br />
www.capdyn.com<br />
London | New York | Zurich/Zug | Tokyo | Hong Kong | Silicon Valley | Sao Paulo | Munich | Birmingham | Brisbane<br />
Awards issued to various Capital Dynamics affiliated companies. Not an offer to sell or a solicitation to purchase any security. Capital<br />
Dynamics Ltd. is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA). Past performance is not indicative of future results.
page 12 private equity international may <strong>2012</strong><br />
e x c h a n g e s<br />
Life after Facebook<br />
The Facebook IPO might be a big score for investors, but secondary exchanges<br />
will have to adapt when one of the largest private companies goes public. Sam<br />
Sutton reports<br />
Are you on Facebook?<br />
It’s a safe bet that you are; 845 million<br />
people log-in to the social media behemoth<br />
at least once a month. The site’s<br />
rapid growth over the last few years has<br />
not only changed the world; it has also<br />
played a key role in the development<br />
of secondary exchanges, which facilitate<br />
the buying and selling of shares in<br />
private companies and as such provide<br />
investors with a route to liquidity prior<br />
to an initial public offering.<br />
So while Facebook’s upcoming IPO<br />
will spell huge returns for its founders,<br />
employees, and any investors lucky<br />
or skilful enough to own shares in the<br />
social media giant, it also represents a<br />
huge challenge for secondary exchanges<br />
– which in recent times have relied on<br />
Facebook for a large part of their transaction<br />
volume.<br />
Exchanges: facing a drop in volume<br />
And if that makes it harder for these<br />
exchanges to survive and thrive, it could<br />
be bad news for investors – not only<br />
equity owners looking for an exit, but<br />
also potential buyers who were unable to<br />
participate in the company’s most recent<br />
capital raise and use exchanges to gain<br />
access in lieu of waiting for the next<br />
funding round.<br />
Although exchanges have had plenty<br />
of opportunity to prepare for this eventuality<br />
– Facebook’s decision to file for<br />
an IPO was hardly a surprise – there’s<br />
no doubting how significant the drop<br />
in volume is likely to be once Facebook<br />
and other tech darlings have migrated<br />
to the public markets.<br />
In April, prominent exchange<br />
SecondMarket laid off ten percent of its<br />
staff, in a move that anticipates life after<br />
Facebook. In a statement, a SecondMarket<br />
representative said:<br />
“In a post-Facebook<br />
market world, we have<br />
decided to eliminate<br />
some positions that are<br />
no longer core to our<br />
company’s long-term<br />
mission.” That meant<br />
a sizeable reduction in<br />
headcount – although<br />
the company said it<br />
would continue to hire<br />
“in select areas”.<br />
This has happened<br />
before, too: Offroad<br />
Capital, an online platform for private<br />
shares, was sold to NYPPEX in 2001<br />
as demand collapsed after the bursting<br />
of the tech bubble. With secondary<br />
volumes apparently on the decline, one<br />
might assume that the current generation’s<br />
crop of exchanges is in for some<br />
similar misfortune.<br />
Or are they?<br />
A changing world<br />
Sam Schwerin of Millennium Technology<br />
Value Partners takes a contrarian view:<br />
that Facebook has brought secondary<br />
deals into the mainstream.<br />
“Some people expect the volume for<br />
secondary direct will go down after<br />
Facebook’s IPO,” he tells Private Equity<br />
International. “But secondary is now<br />
becoming a fundamental part of how<br />
the venture ecosystem works… and<br />
Facebook is the best case study for that.”<br />
Millennium predicts that secondary<br />
volume, defined in part by the shares<br />
trafficked on exchanges, will hit record<br />
levels in <strong>2012</strong>. According to Schwerin,<br />
those predictions are based on the belief<br />
that many private companies will need<br />
alternative liquidity strategies at various<br />
stages of their development. And as<br />
secondary offerings have become a more<br />
accepted strategy, so too has the use of<br />
exchanges.<br />
Nonetheless, they will clearly need<br />
to adapt.
may <strong>2012</strong> portfolio management <strong>atlas</strong> <strong>2012</strong> page 13<br />
e x c h a n g e s<br />
Secondary<br />
is now<br />
becoming a<br />
fundamental<br />
part of how<br />
the venture<br />
ecosystem<br />
works<br />
Early iterations of the modern secondary<br />
exchange allowed buyers to<br />
purchase private shares through what<br />
SecondMarket’s senior vice president<br />
Jeff Thomas refers to as an “over-thecounter”<br />
model. Although companies<br />
ultimately had a right of refusal over<br />
who could get access, buyers and sellers<br />
were more or less able to participate<br />
in transactions using the exchanges as<br />
an intermediary.<br />
Even though secondary markets for<br />
private shares had existed for decades,<br />
transaction volume was limited. The<br />
explosion of technology companies and<br />
availability of private shares pushed the<br />
market above ground.<br />
“What was novel about it [was that] it<br />
had evolved,” says Greg Brogger, founder<br />
and president of SharesPost. “It had<br />
migrated online. It had become much more<br />
visible. And the number and scale of the<br />
transactions and scale of transactions had<br />
grown. It was a new market, and everyone<br />
was trying to figure it out, and to a certain<br />
extent there was a lack of order.”<br />
The growth of online platforms like<br />
SharesPost and SecondMarket led companies<br />
to push for greater control over<br />
who had access to information about<br />
their shares, which in turn forced the<br />
platforms to change their approach.<br />
SecondMarket was one of those to<br />
change its model, Thomas says. Now, when<br />
investors contact the exchange seeking<br />
private shares of a company, SecondMarket<br />
catalogues that information; this is<br />
then provided to the company concerned,<br />
which can use it to time the availability of<br />
secondary offerings. This also gives them<br />
greater control over the size of the secondary<br />
stake, as well as the number and<br />
source of its investors.<br />
One issue for these exchanges is that<br />
their infrastructure has been largely built<br />
around the needs and specifications of<br />
Facebook and other tech giants. So even<br />
if more and more companies do follow<br />
Facebook’s lead in delaying their IPOs and<br />
engaging with investors via the secondaries<br />
market, exchanges will have to evolve<br />
to meet the needs of smaller businesses.<br />
Xpert Financial is one exchange<br />
that is hoping to build an ecosystem for<br />
those smaller companies to operate, in<br />
by expanding the flow of information<br />
between investors and companies.<br />
“When we first started, we always said<br />
that the companies were the unicorns.<br />
They’re the ones you have to build the<br />
process [around]; you have to make it<br />
work for them. If you align the companies,<br />
everything else will come together,”<br />
founder and chief executive Thomas<br />
Foley tells Private Equity International.<br />
The exchanges are at least benefiting<br />
from some helpful regulatory changes.<br />
One of the primary concerns private<br />
companies had about engaging with<br />
the secondary market related to the<br />
500-shareholder limit, which required<br />
firms to disclose financial information<br />
or go public once they had at least 500<br />
shareholders. The JOBS Act, which was<br />
signed into law by President Barack<br />
Obama in April, raises that limit to 2000<br />
shareholders – giving the companies<br />
much greater flexibility around offering<br />
investors access.<br />
Because of that, and because of what<br />
many say is a strong pipeline of companies<br />
looking to tap into the secondary<br />
network, secondary exchanges are<br />
optimistic for the future – even after<br />
Facebook.<br />
“The number of companies that are<br />
going to be involved, that’s going to<br />
grow immediately,” Brogger says. “All<br />
the attention and media Facebook has<br />
taken up, it’s not going to necessarily<br />
take all the oxygen out of the room for<br />
other companies.”
page 14 private equity international may <strong>2012</strong><br />
a s i a<br />
Improving visibility<br />
Asia’s lack of well-regarded GPs with track records is pushing LPs into the<br />
secondary market in search of greater visibility – but it’s easier said than done,<br />
writes Tom Porter<br />
Investors are<br />
very keen to<br />
increase their<br />
exposure to<br />
Asia through<br />
secondaries<br />
Most LPs want more exposure to Asia.<br />
In a world where most developed<br />
economies are sluggish at best, investors<br />
are inevitably keen to tap into the<br />
high-growth Asian markets. But there’s a<br />
catch: finding suitable managers to back<br />
is by no means easy.<br />
Asia’s lack of established GPs with any<br />
substantial track record makes it difficult<br />
for investors to have confidence in the quality<br />
of either the GP or the underlying assets.<br />
“You need to focus on GPs who have<br />
had several successful funds to be sure<br />
that they will still be making new investments<br />
and be able to take care of the<br />
older assets,” says LGT Capital principal<br />
Andre Aubert.<br />
Unfortunately for LPs, Asia’s relatively<br />
nascent private equity industry does<br />
not have a great number of these. This<br />
lack of options for investors is the key<br />
reason firms like Hony Capital and New<br />
Horizon Capital have been able to raise<br />
sizeable sums so quickly, according to<br />
one market source.<br />
With so much capital available, some<br />
funds clearly slipped through the net, says<br />
Lucian Wu, managing director secondary<br />
investments at Paul Capital. “There was<br />
so much capital chasing exposure in Asia<br />
in 2006 and 2007 that many first-time<br />
funds were raised that shouldn’t have<br />
been.” Many of these funds are now fully<br />
invested and underperforming, he says,<br />
with GPs struggling to exit their portfolios<br />
or raise a second fund.<br />
A less risky WAY to inveST<br />
The result is that LPs looking to build<br />
their exposure to Asia are increasingly<br />
looking to do this via the secondary<br />
market – partly because investing at<br />
a later stage in the fund lifecycle gives<br />
them get a better look at the performance<br />
of managers and assets.<br />
“It is a less risky way to invest,” explains<br />
Wu. “We typically look for funds that are<br />
75 percent or more invested where there<br />
is a lot of visibility to the quality of the<br />
assets and minimal blind-pool risk.”
may <strong>2012</strong> portfolio management <strong>atlas</strong> <strong>2012</strong> page 15<br />
a s i a<br />
“Visibility is the most notable advantage,”<br />
agrees Conrad Yan, a partner at<br />
Campbell Lutyens. “When you invest in<br />
a manager, particularly the newer ones,<br />
sometimes there will be a difference<br />
between the strategy they promise you<br />
and the strategy they actually implement.<br />
In a secondary portfolio you know what is<br />
in there; you know what you are buying.”<br />
A key concern for investors trying to<br />
increase Asian exposure is the lack of<br />
exits. “In this respect, a major attraction<br />
of the secondary route is the payback<br />
period is much shorter – which means<br />
you don’t have to put aside your entire<br />
commitment as distributions come back<br />
much quicker,” says Wu.<br />
Secondary buyers can also retrospectively<br />
get exposure to better-performing<br />
older funds. “It allows you to cherry pick<br />
the vintages that are showing the best<br />
returns,” he adds.<br />
Happily, there is a growing number of<br />
sellers in the market, the vast majority<br />
of which are from Europe, the US and<br />
the Middle East.<br />
Banks continue to empty their private<br />
equity portfolios due to regulatory<br />
pressures – and many are overweight in<br />
Asian assets because they have tended<br />
to hold on to them disproportionately<br />
when selling in the past, sources say. That<br />
should mean more secondary deals for<br />
Asian assets as banks divest their global<br />
private equity portfolios.<br />
Last year a syndicate of secondaries<br />
funds comprising Paul Capital, Harbour-<br />
Vest Partners, LGT Capital Partners<br />
and Axiom Asia acquired all of Bank of<br />
America Merrill Lynch’s non-real estate<br />
private equity assets in Asia, spinning out<br />
the captive team to create NewQuest<br />
Partners. The $400 million portfolio<br />
comprised more than 20 growth and<br />
buyout assets in China and India.<br />
LPs’ greater activism and desire<br />
for liquidity is also driving the market.<br />
“Right now in Asia there are certain<br />
In a secondary<br />
portfolio you<br />
know what<br />
is in there;<br />
you know<br />
what you are<br />
buying<br />
funds that people come to us to ask for<br />
pricing on from time to time – certain<br />
GPs that are not performing too well<br />
where LPs are losing patience and feel<br />
they can make better use of the capital<br />
by selling their interests,” says Yan.<br />
Demand for secondaries in Asia is<br />
also drawing out more willing sellers.<br />
“In 2009 we did several transactions<br />
buying Asian assets from distressed<br />
investors who were mostly from Europe<br />
and Middle East. More recently we see<br />
non-distressed sellers who are actively<br />
managing their portfolio – they can get<br />
very attractive prices for the best funds,”<br />
says Aubert.<br />
Buying constraints<br />
However, while LPs are keen to increase<br />
their exposure through this less-risky<br />
strategy, it presents its own challenges.<br />
“I understand there are some investors<br />
out there saying secondaries are a<br />
good way to build exposure to Asia, but<br />
it is easier said than done,” says Yan.<br />
Hiro Mizuno, a partner at Coller<br />
Capital, agrees. “Buying Asian funds in<br />
the secondary market is not easy, firstly<br />
because of robust prices. Secondly,<br />
because the sellers are mainly from<br />
outside Asia the assets always come as<br />
part of a global portfolio. There aren’t<br />
many opportunities to just buy vanilla<br />
LP interests in Asian funds as a way of<br />
increasing exposure.”<br />
“We are aware that quite a few transactions<br />
are happening between existing<br />
LPs, but aside from major LPs who can<br />
give GPs a promise to invest in their next<br />
fund, they will find it difficult to buy into<br />
Asian funds using secondaries,” he adds.<br />
“We are not seeing a wave of LPs<br />
trying to buy into Asian funds using<br />
secondaries. The most active investors<br />
are the secondary funds themselves,”<br />
says Yan.<br />
Lexington Partners, which closed<br />
its seventh secondaries fund on $7 billion<br />
last year, is increasingly active in<br />
Asia, as is Coller Capital, which is very<br />
close to a final close on its $5.75 billion<br />
sixth fund (and “not exactly struggling”<br />
according to a source with knowledge<br />
of the process).<br />
“Over the last couple of years this has<br />
been one of the topics we have been<br />
discussing most with investors; they are<br />
very keen to increase their exposure to<br />
Asia through secondaries,” says Mizuno.<br />
It’s true that the lack of well-regarded<br />
GPs in Asia (and hence some of the problems<br />
with visibility) is largely a function<br />
of private equity’s relative youth in the<br />
region; Yan, for one, believes the issues<br />
around track record will naturally fade<br />
as the industry in Asia develops.<br />
“The issues will fade away; it’s just a<br />
matter of time. Last time we did a portfolio,<br />
people were keener on the older<br />
regional funds rather than the country<br />
funds. I think if we did another now or<br />
in six months, the situation would be<br />
completely different,” he says.<br />
But while LPs will undoubtedly be<br />
more confident about their primary<br />
investments as more GPs develop good<br />
track records, they’re also likely to make<br />
greater use of the secondaries market<br />
to manage their portfolios. So this is a<br />
trend that’s only going to go one way.
page 16 private equity international may <strong>2012</strong><br />
ke y n ot e i n t e r v i e w l a n d m a r k pa r t n e r s<br />
Quiet and complex<br />
Landmark Partners’ Robert Shanfield talks about why his firm likes complicated deals<br />
– and explains how Landmark is staying ahead in this constantly evolving market<br />
We don’t hear from Landmark Partners<br />
often and they like it that way. In a rare<br />
opportunity, Robert Shanfield, a partner<br />
at Landmark, shares his thoughts on<br />
the secondary market and how his firm<br />
approaches the business. While some secondary<br />
investors favour public auctions for<br />
buying limited partner interests in private<br />
equity funds, Connecticut-based Landmark<br />
prefers private negotiations with LPs who<br />
have specific, idiosyncratic and sometimes<br />
complex reasons for selling assets.<br />
The firm’s preference for this<br />
approach began with its very first secondary<br />
fund, raised in 1990, and has<br />
continued all the way through to its $2<br />
billion 14th private equity secondary<br />
fund, which Landmark began investing<br />
during the early days of the economic<br />
crisis.<br />
Roughly half of the investments in<br />
Landmark’s current fund are “structured<br />
transactions”, which have specific terms for<br />
how buyers and sellers address issues such<br />
as unfunded commitments and the sharing<br />
of distributions. “While the other half<br />
are not structured, our focus is to work<br />
with opportunities away from an auction<br />
process and, in one way or another, address<br />
unique seller needs and sensitivities.”<br />
“In the midst of the economic crisis,<br />
we were able to negotiate deals that mitigated<br />
certain concerns or roadblocks<br />
sellers might have had in a traditional<br />
transaction,” says Shanfield.<br />
Despite the post-crisis return to<br />
normalcy, Landmark continues to see<br />
Shanfield: staying on top of LP concerns<br />
“In the midst<br />
of the economic<br />
crisis, we were able<br />
to negotiate deals<br />
that mitigated<br />
certain concerns or<br />
roadblocks sellers<br />
might have had”<br />
situations where a more customized secondary<br />
solution is required. “The bid-ask<br />
spread has diminished in the last eighteen<br />
months. Nevertheless, there are still<br />
other challenges presented by plain vanilla<br />
transactions that cause many institutional<br />
owners in the asset class to conclude that<br />
the auction channel or a competitive process<br />
doesn’t work for them.”<br />
In addition to private equity, Landmark<br />
buys LP stakes in venture capital<br />
funds – which account for between 20<br />
percent and 30 percent of the firm’s<br />
investments – as well as mezzanine debt.<br />
Separately, Landmark manages capital<br />
for secondary real estate transactions<br />
and is deploying its fifth such fund.<br />
Two other aspects of Landmark’s<br />
strategy have remained consistent<br />
since the 1990s: the mature nature of<br />
the assets it buys (unfunded obligations<br />
typically fall between 20 and 30 percent)<br />
and the fact that it does not use debt to<br />
finance its deals.<br />
“While we’ve seen activity in the<br />
market that has been more expansive,<br />
in terms of accepting larger unfunded<br />
commitments as a proportion of total<br />
exposure acquired and in the use of debt<br />
to finance purchases of fund interests,<br />
we have had trouble convincing ourselves<br />
on either front,” Shanfield says.<br />
“We view our deliverable to investors<br />
as exposure to the private equity asset<br />
class that is shorter duration and lower<br />
risk than classic primary exposure. If<br />
you use debt to finance your purchases,
may <strong>2012</strong> portfolio management <strong>atlas</strong> <strong>2012</strong> page 17<br />
ke y n ot e i n t e r v i e w l a n d m a r k pa r t n e r s<br />
then there is some prior claim on the early cash flows of the<br />
portfolio that go to pay the lender. In theory it may very well<br />
increase the return, but there is clearly additional financial risk<br />
and extended duration.”<br />
Most of Landmark’s investments fall between $50 million<br />
and $400 million. The firm will, at times offer, co-invest to its<br />
limited partners in certain transactions.<br />
“When there are deals that warrant more capital than we<br />
are prepared to allocate from a single fund, we can seamlessly<br />
engage our limited partners for co-investment,” Shanfield says.<br />
“We have an investor base that’s been with us for a long, long<br />
time and are experienced co-investors with us.”<br />
An evolving market<br />
While Landmark’s strategy has remained broadly similar since<br />
its founding, the secondary market has evolved substantially,<br />
according to Shanfield, both in terms of volume and in the range<br />
of motivations and objectives of institutional sellers.<br />
“It has become more important to understand at an ever<br />
more granular level the assets underlying the partnerships that<br />
we buy,” he says. “Understanding the individual assets from the<br />
bottom-up and having a direct investment perspective is key<br />
to making sure that we make the right value decisions.”<br />
Landmark has also observed an increasing level of intermediation<br />
and auction activity in recent years. “While that doesn’t<br />
mean that every auction opportunity is a bad or flawed one,<br />
and we have and will continue to selectively participate in such<br />
processes, we do think that negotiated opportunities often<br />
have advantages for us and sellers,” Shanfield says.<br />
Another change that has taken place is the duration of hold<br />
periods. “Assets seem to be sitting in funds longer. I think that’s<br />
partly a commentary on the exit environment, but it’s also a<br />
commentary on some general partner incentives you have to<br />
consider in certain circumstances,” Shanfield says. “There are<br />
questions in many instances about whether a manager is going<br />
to be able to raise their next fund… That could have some<br />
influence on their appetite for selling today versus holding<br />
for a continuing fee stream and/or a bigger home run in the<br />
future.”<br />
According to Landmark, average holding periods have<br />
extended from 3.6 years in 2007 to 4.8 years today.<br />
“These longer hold periods mean ultimately investors have<br />
more money tied up in private equity for longer, which means<br />
they don’t have as much to then recycle back into more commitments,”<br />
he says.<br />
Less liquidity for new investments, however, can also translate into<br />
more active portfolio management via the secondary market.<br />
Still growing<br />
Landmark’s private equity team had an active year on the investment<br />
front in 2011, closing and committing to 12 transactions<br />
worth a combined $800 million.<br />
“We had a strong complement of both structured and nonstructured<br />
transactions,” Shanfield says, adding that even the<br />
firm’s traditional transactions were negotiated deals. The deals<br />
Landmark has completed since the beginning of 2011 involve<br />
a wide range of sellers, including family offices, endowments<br />
and multi-employer pension plans.<br />
“Our transaction activity in the first quarter of <strong>2012</strong> has<br />
kept pace with 2011,” Shanfield says. “We’re extremely pleased<br />
with the volume and the nature of what we did in 2011 and<br />
this year.”<br />
The firm’s 14th private equity secondary fund is currently<br />
about 70 percent deployed.<br />
In recent years, Landmark has been developing a reputation<br />
for being more quantitatively-minded and research-oriented<br />
in the private equity space, according to Shanfield.<br />
“We think that it’s important for us to stay on top of limited<br />
partner concerns, because it puts us in a better position to<br />
appreciate the constantly changing nature and often complex<br />
considerations that investors have as they think about their<br />
portfolio,” he says.<br />
“By staying at the forefront of developments in the thinking<br />
around issues such as performance measurement, liquidity<br />
management and portfolio construction, we’re on top of the<br />
issues and complexities that institutional investors face. This<br />
puts us in a better position to brainstorm creative ways to<br />
solve their problems.”<br />
Looking forward, the firm expects secondary transaction<br />
volume to grow by about 10 percent. “We think that the stage<br />
is set for, in the worst case, modest growth in the amount of<br />
secondary transaction volume in the next few years, and in all<br />
likelihood growth well better than that,” Shanfield says.<br />
And it’s not just about regulatory pressures, he adds. “There’s<br />
a lot of attention to the Volker Rule, Dodd-Frank and the European<br />
crisis as drivers. I’m not sure we’ve seen these as watershed<br />
events in terms of transacted activity at this point, but<br />
they are catalysing a lot of thinking and a lot of consideration<br />
amongst owners that may be setting the table, depending on<br />
how compliance is enforced in the US and how European<br />
issues continue to unfold.”<br />
The private equity secondaries space continues to be a<br />
robust and durable market in which to invest, according to<br />
Shanfield. “In this market, I think Landmark’s strategy and<br />
approach are exceptionally well-positioned,” he says.
page 18 private equity international may <strong>2012</strong><br />
c o m pa n y p ro f i l e l a n d m a r k pa r t n e r s<br />
Landmark was established in 1989 when the Firm<br />
launched Landmark Venture Partners, its first secondary<br />
private equity fund. With over 22 years of<br />
experience in the secondary business, Landmark is<br />
recognized as the first institutional secondary private<br />
equity firm. Since inception, the Firm has managed 15<br />
secondary private equity partnerships, with a consistent<br />
investment strategy. The Firm believes investors<br />
in the Funds will benefit from the strong reputation,<br />
knowledge and experience, as well as network of relationships<br />
that Landmark has built during its tenure in<br />
the secondary private equity industry.<br />
Landmark has formed 27 funds focused primarily on<br />
venture capital, buyout, mezzanine and real estate partnership<br />
investing over the last 22 years. These funds<br />
have been capitalized at $9.1 billion* of which $7.1<br />
billion* has been invested or committed through in<br />
excess of 400 transactions.<br />
The Landmark team includes 53 professionals and support<br />
staff experienced in all phases of investment origination,<br />
analysis, portfolio management, accounting, and<br />
reporting. The firm’s competitive advantage in deal origination,<br />
structuring, and negotiation comes from having<br />
acquired over 1,400 partnership interests with over<br />
15,000 underlying company or property investments.<br />
Landmark’s team brings the philosophy, the process,<br />
and the knowledge to successfully execute sophisticated<br />
investment strategies. Our name, ‘Landmark,’ signifies<br />
the many historical firsts our firm has achieved in the<br />
private equity and real estate investment arena.<br />
Landmark’s Private Equity Secondary<br />
Investment Program<br />
Landmark strives to execute transactions primarily on<br />
a negotiated basis and acquire portfolios of interests in<br />
private equity funds and direct investments through<br />
secondary market transactions that are unique, may<br />
require structuring, and where the opportunity for<br />
value creation exists. Each of the secondary funds is<br />
a diversified portfolio of private equity interests with<br />
the objective of achieving strong returns at lower risk<br />
for this asset class and generating cash distributions to<br />
our partners beginning in the fund’s first year.<br />
Landmark’s Real Estate Secondary<br />
Investment Program<br />
Landmark established the first institutional real estate<br />
secondary program in 1996 and is currently investing<br />
on behalf of its fifth real estate secondary fund. Our<br />
funds acquire interests in existing funds, partnerships<br />
or other structured entities invested in underlying real<br />
estate. We focus on substantially committed portfolios<br />
where most of the underlying investments are<br />
identified. Each of the secondary funds is a diversified<br />
portfolio of real estate interests with the objectives<br />
of achieving strong returns at lower risk for this asset<br />
class and generating cash distributions to our partners<br />
beginning in the fund’s first year.<br />
* as of December 31, 2011<br />
Contacts:<br />
Robert Shanfield<br />
Partner, Private Equity<br />
E: robert.shanfield@landmarkpartners.com<br />
Tel: +1 860 651 9760<br />
Chad Alfeld<br />
Partner, Investor Relations<br />
E: chad.alfeld@landmarkpartners.com<br />
Tel: +1 860 651 9760
Secondaries Firm<br />
of the Year in<br />
North America<br />
Landmark Partners<br />
Pioneered The Market<br />
Now<br />
Leading Its Evolution<br />
Landmark pioneered the secondary market in 1990 with the first<br />
institutional secondary market transaction. Since then Landmark<br />
has acquired interests in over 1,400 private equity<br />
and real estate funds and partnerships<br />
Private Equity and Real Estate Secondary Investing<br />
Boston, MA<br />
One Federal Street<br />
Boston, MA 02110<br />
(617) 556-3910<br />
Headquarters<br />
Simsbury, CT<br />
10 Mill Pond Lane<br />
Simsbury, CT 06070<br />
(860) 651-9760<br />
www.landmarkpartners.com<br />
London, UK<br />
29-30 St James’s Street<br />
London, SW1A 1HB England<br />
+44 20 7343 4450<br />
This award does not necessarily represent investor experience with Landmark Partners, or the Landmark Funds, nor does it constitute a<br />
recommendation of Landmark Partners or its services. This award is not indicative of Landmark Partners future performance.
page 20 private equity international may <strong>2012</strong><br />
real esta t e<br />
Optically minded<br />
Discounts are still a sensitive issue when secondaries players are trading interests<br />
in private equity real estate funds, writes Robin Marriott<br />
In an age where there are a multitude<br />
of reasons for investors to reduce their<br />
fund holdings – liquidity issues, regulatory<br />
pressure, risk management and<br />
so on – it’s no surprise that last year<br />
was a strong one for the burgeoning<br />
private equity real estate secondaries<br />
market, with the spread between the<br />
price aspirations of buyers and sellers<br />
narrowing.<br />
“It has got to a level where, in my view,<br />
any fair, reasonable and willing party can<br />
agree to a transaction,” says Paul Parker,<br />
managing director of real estate for<br />
Europe and Asia at Landmark Partners,<br />
one of the biggest global buyers of secondaries.<br />
“That really explains why last<br />
year was a record year and this year<br />
probably will be as well.”<br />
In light of the difficult economic climate<br />
and the pressure on sellers, it seems<br />
logical that there will be discounts on<br />
offer. But an important psychological<br />
barrier remains: neither side wants it to<br />
look as though they’ve either paid or given<br />
away too much. The parties involved often<br />
refer to this as the ‘optics’ of the deal.<br />
“This is a market that is driven by<br />
optics, more so than most,” says Parker.<br />
“[And yet] people always ask: ‘What are<br />
the discounts?’”<br />
Understanding exit routes<br />
For its part, Landmark doesn’t refer to<br />
discounts at all; instead, it talks about<br />
‘pricing’, in an effort to show that the<br />
firm views discounts as a by-product of<br />
its approach to valuation, rather than its<br />
objective. For secondary buyers, this is<br />
an important distinction that they argue<br />
is often misconstrued.<br />
When considering the subject of pricing<br />
(and the resulting discount), Parker<br />
says his firm’s approach focuses on the<br />
prevailing market conditions and the<br />
market outlook, and whether Landmark<br />
has ‘faith’ in the underlying valuations,<br />
reporting and projections of the sponsor.<br />
But above all, he says: “It is a question<br />
of whether the underlying sponsors can<br />
deliver on their asset management goals<br />
and achieve their exit objectives.”<br />
Parker points to the number of fund<br />
partnerships that are approaching their<br />
termination dates and/or refinancing obligations<br />
while faced with the challenges of<br />
tough markets across Europe, parts of Asia<br />
and in certain areas of the US.<br />
In 2008 and 2009, pricing and discounts<br />
were driven by the fact that valuations<br />
completely lagged activity in the<br />
underlying market; according to Parker,<br />
a buyer actually had to discount just to<br />
get ahead of the time when the revaluation<br />
of the fund came through. But today,<br />
valuations generally reflect what is happening<br />
in the underlying markets – with<br />
a few notable exceptions.<br />
Parker offers the example of a<br />
2004-vintage fund that projected an<br />
exit via the public markets around<br />
2011 or <strong>2012</strong>. Given the dearth of<br />
initial public offerings, the manager is<br />
now facing a ‘plan B’ scenario of selling<br />
individual assets in a tough market. If<br />
potential buyers know the fund needs to<br />
sell, that will naturally drive down the<br />
price offered. “It is essential to consider<br />
projected exit strategies, with an understanding<br />
that they will be reflected in<br />
the pricing and hence the discount,” he<br />
adds.<br />
Focusing on value<br />
Marc Weiss, head of the private real<br />
estate secondaries team at Switzerlandbased<br />
Partners Group, agrees that it is<br />
“absolutely unhelpful” to talk about the<br />
level of discount in a trade – although<br />
he accepts there is a “natural bias” in the<br />
industry to associate high discounts with<br />
a great transaction, and low discounts<br />
with a lousy one.<br />
A better approach, he says, is to focus<br />
on underlying valuations. “When it<br />
comes to sellers, we say: ‘Do not focus on<br />
the discount itself, rather focus on the<br />
dollar amount or absolute euro amount<br />
of what you may need to realise as a<br />
loss. That is more important than the<br />
percentage’,” Weiss explains. “We find<br />
there is a lot of value for us in explaining<br />
how we look at values and how we<br />
look at the market. By doing that, the<br />
seller realises that we are not viewing<br />
the market any differently than they are.<br />
If the seller agrees with our opinion on<br />
value, it therefore should accept our<br />
discount.” Ultimately, this boils down<br />
to how motivated the seller is to deal<br />
with the problem, he says.<br />
As financial markets improve, multiples<br />
will alter for the better, Weiss
may <strong>2012</strong> portfolio management <strong>atlas</strong> <strong>2012</strong> page 21<br />
real esta t e<br />
suggests. But if one takes a longer-term<br />
view, discounts might actually need to<br />
creep up a little. “For real estate, if one<br />
examines cap rates [the percentage<br />
number used to determine the value of<br />
a property based on estimated future<br />
operating income], they are back to<br />
historic highs,” Weiss points out. “[But]<br />
in a world where it is more likely that<br />
borrowing costs will rise rather than<br />
fall, I think one needs to be very careful.<br />
If one wants to be forward looking at a<br />
time when values are improving faster<br />
than they should, then that is going to<br />
drive up your discount.”<br />
From the BOTTOM up<br />
For David Boyle, who heads up the<br />
real estate programme within Morgan<br />
Stanley’s AIP division (which focuses on<br />
small and medium-sized funds), the best<br />
approach is to start with the underlying<br />
assets. “For secondary trades, we focus<br />
on what the right risk-adjusted return<br />
is and underwrite from the bottom up,<br />
visiting all the properties for an assetby-asset<br />
analysis,” he explains.<br />
With this approach, the investment<br />
bank’s secondaries business can find itself<br />
buying interests close to net asset value<br />
(NAV) one day and at a wide discount<br />
the next. “We want to make a commitment<br />
on a secondary basis that we<br />
would have committed to on a primary<br />
basis – so the quality of the GP and the<br />
underlying assets is very important to<br />
us,” Boyle adds.<br />
Boyle provides a recent example of<br />
where the manager had, if anything, been<br />
too conservative in writing up values. In<br />
certain cases, the firm had even bought<br />
at discounts of 35 percent to NAV.<br />
“There is no right or wrong answer,”<br />
says Boyle. “We do our work and figure<br />
There<br />
is no right or<br />
wrong answer.<br />
We do our work<br />
and figure out<br />
what we think<br />
the right riskadjusted<br />
return is<br />
Under the microscope: many sellers still focus on discounts<br />
out what we think the right risk-adjusted<br />
return is. That translates back into what<br />
the discount to NAV is.”<br />
At times, AIP has submitted bids that<br />
it thought were pretty strong – but the<br />
seller didn’t transact because the price<br />
didn’t reach NAV. “A lot of sellers have<br />
the ‘psychology of NAV’ and not wanting<br />
to take a big hit,” Boyle says. “That certainly<br />
affects whether the seller is going<br />
to sell in the first place.”<br />
Again, these deals often come back to<br />
perception: if the optics are wrong, the<br />
seller still may not trade.
page 22 private equity international may <strong>2012</strong><br />
d a ta ro o m<br />
Secondary DEAL vOLUME since 2001 Secondary funDRAISIng since 2001<br />
Deal volume has recovered in the last two years after a post-crisis dip<br />
$bn<br />
30<br />
LP appetite for secondaries has generally been trending upwards for<br />
a decade<br />
$bn<br />
30<br />
20<br />
20<br />
10<br />
10<br />
0<br />
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />
0<br />
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />
Source: Triago<br />
Source: Triago<br />
Secondary Market SELLER UnivERSE in 2H 2011<br />
Financial institutions were by far the biggest sellers in the second half of last year, both by volume and value<br />
12%<br />
8%<br />
3%<br />
5%<br />
13%<br />
20%<br />
39%<br />
Number of Sellers<br />
n Financial Institution<br />
n Public Pension<br />
n Endowment & Foundation<br />
n Sovereign Wealth Fund<br />
n Fund-of-Funds<br />
n Family Office<br />
n Other<br />
10%<br />
7%<br />
5%<br />
2% 9% 28%<br />
39%<br />
Transaction Value<br />
n Financial Institution<br />
n Public Pension<br />
n Endowment & Foundation<br />
n Sovereign Wealth Fund<br />
n Fund-of-Funds<br />
n Family Office<br />
n Other<br />
Source: Based on Cogent Partners data and publicly-disclosed information<br />
Secondary PRICIng Over TIME<br />
Secondary Bid SPREADS Over TIME<br />
Discounts to NAV have been narrowing steadily in the last two years The gap between buyers and sellers was at its height in late 2010<br />
%<br />
100<br />
89% 89%<br />
86%<br />
83%<br />
84%<br />
80<br />
80%<br />
84%<br />
85%<br />
81%<br />
60<br />
61%<br />
72%<br />
n Bid Spreads By Year<br />
n Avg. High % Exposure n Avg. High % NAV<br />
40%<br />
40<br />
H1 2009 2H 2009 H1 2010 2H 2010 H1 2011 2H 2011<br />
Source: Cogent Partners<br />
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 H1<br />
2010<br />
Source: Cogent Partners<br />
2H<br />
2010<br />
H1<br />
2011<br />
2H<br />
2011
may <strong>2012</strong> portfolio management <strong>atlas</strong> <strong>2012</strong> page 23<br />
d a ta ro o m<br />
Using seconDARIES to BUILD exPOSURE<br />
More than two-thirds of Asian LPs are planning to use the<br />
secondaries market to increase their allocation to private equity<br />
100<br />
90<br />
GROWTH STORy<br />
The evolution of private equity secondaries<br />
Oct-01 Goldman closes $1bn fund to buy disillusioned LPs out of VC funds<br />
Dec-01 Coller spends $100m on stake in Lucent’s corporate venturing arm<br />
Apr-02 Coller sells first Lucent asset in €470m trade sale<br />
80<br />
70<br />
68%<br />
Sep-02 <strong>PEI</strong> publishes first indepth secondaries report<br />
Feb-03 Deutsche Banks exits private equity in $1.6bn MidOcean spin-out<br />
Respondents %<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
30%<br />
35%<br />
Jan-03 Coller IV baffles with $2.5bn close (initial target: $1bn)<br />
May-03 Vision Capital buys four direct investments from Morgan Grenfell<br />
Private Equity<br />
Oct-03 Lexington Capital Partners V raises $2bn<br />
Feb-04 CSFB Strategic Partners II collets $2bn for PE and RE secondaries<br />
Mar-04 Coller lands £300m Abbey National portfolio<br />
10<br />
0<br />
Source: Coller Capital<br />
North America<br />
LPs<br />
European LPs<br />
Asia Pacific LPs<br />
Oct-04 SVG Capital launches Diamond, a €400m CDO of private equity<br />
funds<br />
Nov-04 Pantheon buys SFr400m Swiss Life portfolio<br />
Dec-04 <strong>PEI</strong> reports ‘active portfolio management’ is becoming ‘reality’<br />
Mar-05 nova, HarbourVest buy assets from troubled WestLB<br />
Secondary Market vOLUME by PERCEnt FunDED<br />
Over TIME<br />
In recent years, LPs have been buying increasingly mature fund<br />
stakes<br />
%<br />
100<br />
May-06 JPMorgan sells $925m piece of global PE fund<br />
May-07 At $4.5bn, Coller V is largest fund ever<br />
Jul-07 $1.9bn Conversus private equity CLO lists on Euronext<br />
Nov-08 Harvard readies $1.5bn funds disposal<br />
Nov-08 Wellcome to offload £4bn in funds citing currency gains<br />
Dec-08 Auction for Lehman’s private equity assets gets underway<br />
Jan-09 Cogent: secondaries pricing drops 28% in five months<br />
80<br />
Feb-09 Coller pays £50m for 24% SVG stake<br />
Mar-09 Sun Capital launches ‘online dating services’ for selling LPs<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
60.6% 61% 71% 79.7% 86.5% 92.3%<br />
15.2% 13%<br />
11%<br />
24.2% 26%<br />
13.7% 11.9%<br />
18%<br />
6%<br />
6.6% 1.6% 1.7%<br />
H1 2009 2H 2009 H1 2010 2H 2010 H1 2011 2H 2011<br />
Apr-09 GS Vintage V raises $5.5 billion<br />
May-09 Secondaries investing in a lull after ‘08 peak<br />
Oct-09 Troubled AIG announces $600m portfolio sale<br />
Dec-09 CIC offers to buy €800m of stakes in €11bn Apax Europe VII<br />
Feb-10 Pending Volcker ban brings prospect of bank sell-off<br />
Oct-10 Pantheon closes Fund IV on $3bn<br />
Nov-10 Coller launches Fund VI with $5bn target<br />
Feb-11 CalPERS puts $800m of stakes up for sale to end GP relationships<br />
Jun-11 AXA spends $5bn on buys from Barclays, Citi, BoA, Natixis<br />
n =25% and =50%<br />
Source: Cogent Partners<br />
Jul-11<br />
Jul-11<br />
IFC backs Greenpark to back a $500m emerging markets<br />
secondaries fund<br />
Lexington collects record $7bn for secondaries
page 24 private equity international may <strong>2012</strong><br />
o n t h e re c o rd<br />
p r i c i n g<br />
The waiting game<br />
Cogent Partners managing director Todd Miller explains to <strong>PEI</strong> how secondary<br />
pricing has been affected by the public market, and how that may impact buyers<br />
<strong>PEI</strong>: According to Cogent’s latest research, secondary<br />
pricing fell dramatically in the second<br />
half of 2011 – from 84.5 percent of net<br />
asset value (NAV) to 80.6 percent. Has that<br />
changed recently or has pricing plateaued?<br />
Pricing [assets] off of an old NAV date<br />
has certainly helped the optical price.<br />
But you have to take into consideration<br />
the fact that the NAVs are probably artificially<br />
low.<br />
Someone could just say, ‘I just sold<br />
an asset at 90 percent of NAV’ – that’s<br />
the optical price. But if you’re the seller<br />
today, you would say: ‘Was [that] 90 percent<br />
of NAV off the 30 September [valuation]<br />
or off the 31 December [valuation]?’<br />
The date is actually very important,<br />
because we’ve had some big swings in<br />
the public markets; you just don’t know<br />
[how GPs have valued their assets].<br />
As Q1 [valuations] come out – and<br />
NAVs should have been written up, in<br />
general – it will be interesting to see<br />
where that optical pricing is.<br />
What sort of impact has this had on buyers?<br />
Buyers are saying, ‘I don’t need to be<br />
overly aggressive today, because deals<br />
will have to get done’ [to accommodate<br />
the Volcker Rule]. And that’s before you<br />
start talking about pension fund deals,<br />
where people are over-allocated.<br />
You know, it used to be [secondary<br />
fund managers would] invest a fund over<br />
three or four years. Now, you could put<br />
a fund to work in, probably, 18 months.<br />
I think buyers are looking around today<br />
Miller: market could have been bigger<br />
saying, ‘there are tons of institutions<br />
that need to do deals, or will have to do<br />
deals’. Even though you’ve seen several of<br />
them already done, there is a significant<br />
amount of private equity on the balance<br />
sheets of financial institutions, both in<br />
the US and abroad.<br />
The bulk of that activity has revolved around<br />
buyout funds, the pricing of which remained<br />
relatively robust in the second half. Why is<br />
that?<br />
That’s kind of where we’ve seen pricing<br />
be the strongest. The [recovery in] public<br />
markets certainly haven’t hurt of late...<br />
There are exits there.<br />
The private equity space isn’t nearly<br />
as volatile as the public markets. If the<br />
public markets are down 20 percent,<br />
private equity is going to be down<br />
You have<br />
to take into<br />
consideration<br />
the fact that<br />
the NAVs<br />
are probably<br />
artificially<br />
low<br />
[maybe] mid-to-high single digits percent.<br />
As fewer financial institutions face the need<br />
to unload assets, and pensions fall back to<br />
their target allocations, is there any concern<br />
that the market might run dry?<br />
We talked to a couple of buyers, and I<br />
just asked them: how much deal flow<br />
did you look at last year? How much<br />
was shown to you; did you price; did<br />
you have an opportunity maybe to buy?<br />
Several of them said in the $40 billion<br />
to $50 billion range, and one said that<br />
they looked at almost $70 billion worth<br />
of deal volume last year.<br />
If pricing had been there, if pricing<br />
had been good enough, this market<br />
could’ve been a lot bigger. Because I<br />
think the supply was there. n
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