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www.pwc.co.uk/china<br />

<strong>China</strong> deals<br />

A fresh <strong>perspective</strong><br />

October 2012


Contents<br />

Welcome 4<br />

Foreword: <strong>China</strong>-Britain Business Council 6<br />

<strong>China</strong>-Europe-<strong>China</strong> deal flow: a <strong>perspective</strong> on the trends 7<br />

Getting to know... Ken Su 14<br />

From deal-breakers to deal-makers 16<br />

<strong>China</strong> and the UK: building on experience 22<br />

Please get in touch 26<br />

<strong>China</strong> deals 3


Welcome<br />

Looking at the growing level of M&A<br />

flows between <strong>China</strong> and Europe and<br />

what they mean for the companies and<br />

sectors involved.<br />

Just over ten years since joining WTO<br />

in 2001, <strong>China</strong> has overtaken<br />

Germany and Japan to become the<br />

world’s second largest economy. This<br />

year <strong>China</strong> ousted the US from its<br />

position as the world’s largest<br />

manufacturer. In barely two decades,<br />

Europe has become <strong>China</strong>’s biggest<br />

export market and now attracts more<br />

Chinese investment than any other<br />

region. With strong growth and a<br />

burgeoning middle class, <strong>China</strong> is<br />

Europe’s second biggest export market<br />

and a target for European companies.<br />

Behind these statistics lays a rising<br />

level of mergers and acquisitions<br />

activity between Chinese and<br />

European companies. Like a network<br />

of veins and arteries, they are enabling<br />

access to markets, technology and<br />

expertise for Chinese and European<br />

enterprises alike. Businesses in <strong>China</strong><br />

and Europe need to understand how<br />

and why these deals are happening to<br />

grasp their strategic impact –<br />

and opportunities.<br />

Though reports of billion Euro deals<br />

between Chinese and European<br />

companies regularly make headlines,<br />

there is a bigger story. We look at the<br />

growing number of smaller deals,<br />

flowing in both directions and in a<br />

range of sectors that are the lifeblood<br />

of <strong>China</strong> and European trade ties. We<br />

believe that these deals, big and small,<br />

will be a source of growth, jobs and<br />

innovation for years to come.<br />

In this issue, we offer what will<br />

become a regular update on <strong>China</strong>-<br />

Europe-<strong>China</strong> deals: who is investing<br />

and why, features on sectors and<br />

countries, as well as looking at what<br />

makes deals happen and how that<br />

process can be improved. One article<br />

looks at the publically available data<br />

on deals over the past several years<br />

and considers what it tells us about the<br />

volume – and value - of M&A flows<br />

between Europe and <strong>China</strong> and vice<br />

versa. It shows that while conditions in<br />

Europe may have affected <strong>China</strong>bound<br />

investments, there is a ramping<br />

up of investment by Chinese<br />

companies across different sectors. It<br />

also shows that most deal activity is in<br />

sectors such as industrial products,<br />

even if the headline-grabbing deals<br />

have often been for energy, financial<br />

or utility targets.<br />

Though M&A activity is steadily<br />

growing, both Chinese and European<br />

M&A teams often face unfamiliar<br />

hurdles. As the article on making M&A<br />

transactions happen discusses, there is<br />

a need for greater understanding of<br />

approval processes, strategic rationale<br />

and operational as well as cultural or<br />

political concerns for bids to be<br />

successful. Money may not be enough,<br />

even for companies keen to buy or sell.<br />

We look at how both parties can<br />

increase the chance of a good<br />

deal completed.<br />

As competition intensifies among<br />

European countries to attract<br />

investment from <strong>China</strong> and to find<br />

attractive Chinese targets, we consider<br />

how the UK in particular can benefit<br />

from its comparatively strong<br />

performance in doing deals in - and<br />

attracting investment from – <strong>China</strong>.<br />

Though it has lost its lead for both<br />

outbound and inbound Chinese M&A,<br />

as a country it offers the skills and<br />

industries for which Chinese investors<br />

are looking. Both countries could gain<br />

by strengthening their ties and<br />

building on their mutual experience.<br />

4 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>


As a global network, the ties between<br />

the <strong>PwC</strong> firms in the UK, Europe and<br />

<strong>China</strong> are long established. Our<br />

experienced deal teams in <strong>China</strong> and<br />

the UK are well positioned to help<br />

clients make the most of the growth<br />

opportunities M&A can bring. For this<br />

first edition of “<strong>China</strong> <strong>Deals</strong>” we were<br />

privileged to be able to draw on their<br />

experience and the support of the<br />

<strong>China</strong>-British Business Council. As an<br />

international business, our success<br />

depends on ensuring finely tuned<br />

connectivity between our clients,<br />

partners and teams worldwide. For all<br />

the regulatory and commercial<br />

requirements, deal making is also<br />

very much about connecting people at<br />

the right time and with the right facts.<br />

This publication supports our work<br />

and that of our clients to get good<br />

deals done. We hope that this report<br />

provides you with some fresh<br />

<strong>perspective</strong>, whether you are reading<br />

it in Beijing or London – the distance<br />

between the two is narrowing<br />

all the time.<br />

Nick Page<br />

Partner<br />

Transaction Services UK Emerging Markets leader<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />

+44 (0) 20 7213 1442<br />

nick.r.page@uk.pwc.com<br />

Nick is a partner in Transaction Services in London and has a focus on<br />

investment activity with emerging markets. He worked in Moscow in<br />

the mid-1990s and has been active in M&A with emerging markets ever<br />

since. He is also the head of the financial services team.<br />

Philip Bloomfield<br />

Partner<br />

Transaction Services UK <strong>China</strong> team leader<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />

+44 (0)20 7804 4904<br />

philip.bloomfield@uk.pwc.com<br />

Philip is a partner in our Transaction Services business, based in<br />

London. He leads our UK Transactions team focused on <strong>China</strong> and<br />

has worked with <strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong> since 2008/09 when he led the firm's<br />

work in support of <strong>China</strong>lco's proposed joint venture with Rio Tinto.<br />

Philip has focused exclusively on the transactions market for over<br />

fifteen years.<br />

Allan Zhang<br />

Director<br />

Advisory<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />

Tel: +44(0)207 804 5605<br />

allan.x.zhang@uk.pwc.com<br />

Allan is a director of <strong>PwC</strong> Beijing office. He worked at <strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong>'s<br />

Transaction Services team for over six years and is currently on a<br />

two-year secondment to <strong>PwC</strong> UK, focusing on outbound deals from<br />

<strong>China</strong>. Allan also leads <strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong>’s Sustainability and Climate Change<br />

practice and is a member of Carbon Disclosure Project <strong>China</strong> Advisory<br />

Council. He is a frequent speaker of major international and domestic<br />

conferences as a subject matter expert of outbound deals<br />

and sustainability.<br />

<strong>China</strong> deals 5


Foreword: <strong>China</strong>-Britain Business Council<br />

I was delighted to be invited to write a<br />

foreword and support this exciting <strong>new</strong><br />

initiative of <strong>PwC</strong>.<br />

The depth and breadth of economic<br />

relations with <strong>China</strong> have grown<br />

exponentially for the UK and Europe<br />

over the past 30 years. Until recently,<br />

this has largely been characterised by<br />

ever-increasing Chinese exports to<br />

Europe, a strong flow of European goods<br />

and services to <strong>China</strong>, and a significant<br />

number of European companies<br />

investing in <strong>China</strong>.<br />

One of the most exciting dimensions to<br />

this business relationship is the increase<br />

in recent years in Chinese outbound<br />

investment. More Chinese companies<br />

than ever before are seizing<br />

opportunities abroad in order to reach<br />

<strong>new</strong> markets and sales channels, develop<br />

technology, brands and know-how, as<br />

well as invest in a variety of assets and<br />

raise capital. While demand for natural<br />

resources was the driver for much of the<br />

‘early’ Chinese investment overseas, the<br />

imperative for Chinese firms to move up<br />

the value chain has led to a growing<br />

number of companies looking to Europe.<br />

Greenfield investment remains<br />

important, and Chinese companies<br />

continue to set up sales offices along<br />

with R&D centres. However, one of the<br />

most exciting developments is the<br />

burgeoning interest in M&A activity.<br />

This is clear to us at CBBC through the<br />

numerous conversations we have with<br />

Chinese companies, investors, and<br />

government figures. Individual<br />

companies know that it is important for<br />

the development of their own business,<br />

and the Chinese government sees<br />

overseas investment as an important<br />

step for <strong>China</strong>’s increasingly<br />

international role.<br />

We have already seen a number of<br />

high-profile acquisitions. However, it is<br />

not just household names that are<br />

involved. Chinese private companies and<br />

State-Owned Enterprises ("SOEs") have<br />

invested in smaller companies too.<br />

Often the goal has been to acquire<br />

technology and brands that the acquirer<br />

believes will have good prospects back in<br />

<strong>China</strong>, creating a <strong>new</strong> means for UK<br />

innovations to make their way into the<br />

Chinese market.<br />

We are delighted to be working with<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> again to support this important<br />

piece of work to help better understand<br />

the emerging trends, and what it means<br />

for the UK and Europe’s relationship<br />

with <strong>China</strong>. I found the articles in this<br />

report both fascinating and informative,<br />

dispelling some misconceptions through<br />

evidence and analysis. As the report<br />

highlights, the gap in deal flow between<br />

Europe and <strong>China</strong> has already closed at<br />

an impressive pace, and the better we<br />

can understand what is happening, the<br />

better UK firms will be placed to gain<br />

from in the future.<br />

Stephen Phillips<br />

Chief Executive<br />

<strong>China</strong>-Britain Business Council (CBBC)<br />

+44 (0) 207 802 2001<br />

stephen.phillips@cbbc.org<br />

Stephen Phillips joined the <strong>China</strong>- Britain<br />

Business Council as Chief Executive in<br />

June 2006. Stephen has been actively<br />

engaged in business in and with <strong>China</strong><br />

since 1989 and his experience spans a<br />

number of sectors including aerospace,<br />

oil, gas and petrochemicals, infrastructure,<br />

ICT and financial services.<br />

Stephen held senior investment banking<br />

positions with Deutsche and BZW/<br />

Barclays Capital in Asia for over 10 years,<br />

6 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong><br />

where he specialised in structuring and<br />

financing cross border investments totalling<br />

in excess of £20 billion. In <strong>China</strong>, Stephen<br />

worked with a wide range of multinational<br />

and Chinese enterprises on major projects,<br />

acquisitions and joint ventures.<br />

Stephen was then Managing Director and<br />

co-founder of iBridge Capital, a group of<br />

companies providing IT solutions and<br />

financial and business consulting services<br />

throughout Asia and the Middle East.<br />

Before joining CBBC Stephen was<br />

International Trade Director, UK Trade &<br />

Investment based in the South West<br />

of England.<br />

Prior to moving to Asia in 1989, Stephen<br />

worked for the Barclays Group in the UK<br />

and Botswana. He holds a BSc<br />

in Chemistry and Law from the University<br />

of Exeter.


<strong>China</strong>-Europe-<strong>China</strong> deal<br />

flow: a <strong>perspective</strong> on<br />

the trends<br />

Executive summary<br />

In this piece, we look at the number and size of M&A deals<br />

flowing, in both directions, between mainland <strong>China</strong> and<br />

Europe. Using publically available information on<br />

transactions completed between 2006 and the close of the<br />

first quarter of 2012 1 , we present some of the key trends in<br />

M&A activity.<br />

Rising M&A volume and value from mainland<br />

<strong>China</strong> to Europe<br />

The figures from the past years show a significant rise in<br />

mainland Chinese M&A activity in Europe, in both volume<br />

and value terms. If historically European investors have been<br />

more acquisitive in <strong>China</strong>, the gap in deal flow between<br />

Europe and <strong>China</strong> is narrowing. Moreover, though they may<br />

have done fewer deals, Chinese companies have invested<br />

more in European targets than vice versa. Most of the very<br />

high value transactions have been in the Energy and<br />

Financial services sectors, usually attracting a great deal of<br />

media attention. However, a deeper look at the data<br />

highlights several important facts. While billion Euro deals<br />

are happening, a large proportion of all deals – in both<br />

directions – actually fall under the €100m mark. The<br />

Industrial Products sector is the one that sees the most M&A<br />

activity- again in both directions, reflecting the fact that<br />

mainland <strong>China</strong> is the world’s largest manufacturing nation.<br />

For most sectors, where ownership restrictions do not apply,<br />

both Chinese and European investors seem to prefer taking<br />

stakes of 25% and above. Deal flow to Europe is primarily to<br />

France, the UK and Germany but companies in other nations<br />

are also benefitting and nearly all have seen an increase in<br />

Chinese investment over the past years. From Europe,<br />

Germany and the UK have been the biggest source of<br />

Mainland <strong>China</strong>-bound investment, with Germany edging<br />

ahead since 2010.<br />

1 The data analysis in this piece covers publically announced M&A deals, as<br />

reported by Mergermarket, Thomson Reuters and Dealogic. All the deals<br />

included in the data were announced between 2006 and the first quarter of<br />

2012 and have been completed or are expected to complete.<br />

Finally, while Chinese SOEs may lead the way for many of<br />

the bigger Europe-bound M&A transactions, the trends show<br />

that there is still plenty of opportunity for privately owned<br />

companies, Chinese and European, to access <strong>new</strong> markets<br />

and know-how and to grow their business through deals.<br />

Europe-mainland<br />

Europe-mainland<br />

<strong>China</strong><br />

<strong>China</strong><br />

(excluding<br />

(excluding<br />

Hong<br />

Hong<br />

Kong)<br />

Kong)<br />

outbound<br />

outbound<br />

and<br />

Figure 1: to <strong>China</strong> – <strong>China</strong> to Europe: M&A by volume and inbound 2006 to Q1 2012<br />

inbound<br />

M&A by<br />

M&A<br />

deal<br />

by<br />

volume,<br />

deal volume,<br />

2006 -<br />

2006<br />

Q1 2012<br />

- Q1 2012<br />

200<br />

150<br />

Number<br />

of deals<br />

Number<br />

of deals<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />

Europe to mainland <strong>China</strong><br />

Europe to HK<br />

Mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe<br />

Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

HK to Europe<br />

Deal flow compared: closing the volume gap<br />

Though in the past European investors have been more<br />

active in investing in Chinese companies than vice versa,<br />

the gap is narrowing. There has been a steady rise in the<br />

number of Europe-bound deals by mainland Chinese<br />

investors over the past years, from just 11 in 2006 to 61 in<br />

2011. A comparison with deal flow in the opposite<br />

direction, from Europe to <strong>China</strong>, shows that volume<br />

declined from a peak of 163 deals in 2006, to a low of 85 in<br />

2009, as European investors felt the effects of the credit<br />

crunch, and the impending Eurozone crisis. While<br />

international investors had limited access to lending and<br />

had to focus on problems in their existing markets, Chinese<br />

M&A flowed into the opportunities created by strong domestic<br />

growth. Chinese private equity houses benefited particularly<br />

from the relative absence of international investors.<br />

Though a rise in the number of <strong>China</strong>-bound deals since<br />

2009 suggests that European investors are pushing for<br />

growth through deals in <strong>China</strong>’s faster growing market, it<br />

has taken them some time to recover. From the Chinese<br />

<strong>perspective</strong>, European targets may appear more open to<br />

investment – and better value - after several difficult years.<br />

<strong>China</strong> deals 7


2011 – 2012: M&A momentum returns<br />

<strong>China</strong>-bound investment recovered some ground in 2011<br />

with 125 deals by the year-end. In fact, 2011 proved to be a<br />

good year for M&A deals in both directions. European<br />

investors poured over €7 billion into mainland <strong>China</strong>.<br />

Chinese investors reciprocated, investing over €11 billion<br />

in European companies, with a number of big-ticket items<br />

such as €2.9 billion for a 30% stake in GDF Suez and<br />

€2.7billion for 21% of EDP. While the Energy, Utilities,<br />

Manufacturing and Infrastructure (EUMI) sector produced<br />

high value deals, the Industrial Products (IP) sector<br />

generated most deals for both Europe-bound and <strong>China</strong>bound<br />

M&A, accounting for around 30% of all transactions<br />

between 2006 and Q1 2012.<br />

Q1 2012 figures show 32 Chinese investments in Europe<br />

and just 26 deals made by European companies in <strong>China</strong>.<br />

This marks the first time that deal flow volume has been<br />

greater to Europe than to <strong>China</strong>. However, with so little<br />

growth coming from their European and the US markets,<br />

there are signs that a number of large multinationals are<br />

placing bigger bets on <strong>China</strong> and other high growth<br />

economies and we expect to see some very large M&A<br />

announcements in 2012.<br />

Chinese SOEs active in European deals<br />

With backing from Beijing, Chinese SOEs led the way in<br />

<strong>China</strong>’s first wave of international M&A activity. The<br />

nation’s Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) have also played a<br />

role as they diversify <strong>China</strong>’s vast foreign currency<br />

reserves. Many of the very high value deals that have<br />

boosted average Europe-bound deal value involved SOEs or<br />

SWFs. In fact, from 2006 to Q1 2012, 90% of the top 20<br />

Europe-bound M&A deals from mainland <strong>China</strong> were by<br />

SOEs or SWFs. On average, the disclosed value of Chinese<br />

acquisitions in Europe was significantly higher than<br />

<strong>China</strong>-bound deal values for the period. In contrast, half of<br />

the top 20 deals done by European investors in mainland<br />

<strong>China</strong> were for privately owned companies. With an<br />

established record of M&A activity, and as they mature,<br />

<strong>China</strong>’s privately owned enterprises (POEs) are now also<br />

looking to expand by acquiring businesses overseas and in<br />

a range of sectors.<br />

Europe To <strong>China</strong>: a billion<br />

reasons to invest<br />

With a rapidly emerging middle-class, relatively<br />

competitive - though rapidly increasing - labour rates, and<br />

state spending on infrastructure, <strong>China</strong> offers a range of<br />

opportunities to European companies seeking growth. As<br />

mentioned above, though fewer, the average value of<br />

Chinese Europe-bound deals over the last years outstripped<br />

that of European deal value in <strong>China</strong>. Figures for European<br />

<strong>China</strong>-bound investment show that a high percentage of<br />

disclosed deals are in the


FS values make headlines but IP leads on<br />

M&A volume<br />

Though nine out of the top 20 deals by value were in<br />

Financial Services (FS), the highest numbers of European<br />

deals in <strong>China</strong> since 2006 were in the Industrial Products<br />

(IP) and Business Services (BS) sectors. These two sectors<br />

have accounted for approximately half of all deals every<br />

year since 2006. FS deals, though sizeable in Euro terms,<br />

were all for minority stakes. Of the 64 deals done in<br />

mainland <strong>China</strong>’s FS sector between 2006 and Q1 2012,<br />

<strong>only</strong> 26 were for a stake of 25% or more. Most mainland<br />

<strong>China</strong> FS targets are State-owned and foreign ownership is<br />

restricted to a maximum of 25% of total shares. Despite<br />

restrictions in some sectors, European banks see<br />

substantial growth potential in <strong>China</strong> and several have<br />

purchased successive stakes in mainland Chinese banks. In<br />

late 2006, Spain’s Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria paid<br />

€501m for a 5% stake in CITIC Bank Corporation and<br />

invested a further €1,064m for an additional 4.9% stake in<br />

December 2009. Deutsche Bank acquired 5.4% of Hua Xia<br />

Bank in March 2008, followed by a further 7.5% in May 2010.<br />

sector continued to attract a growing amount of European<br />

investment up to the end of 2011. The FS dip is<br />

understandable. While less exposed than their<br />

international counterparts, Chinese banks were not<br />

unscathed by the global financial crisis, which severely<br />

affected the value of several of the large FS investments<br />

they had made just prior to, or during the crisis. <strong>Deals</strong> such<br />

as CIC’s investment in Morgan Stanley resulted in losses, in<br />

some cases the first for Chinese SWFs. Though levels of<br />

uncertainty remain high, Chinese investors are likely to<br />

re<strong>new</strong> their global expansion in FS activities through M&A<br />

when they see improved stability in the banking sector.<br />

Figure 5: Sector volume and value varies year on year: <strong>only</strong> IP shows a<br />

Europe steady rise* to mainland <strong>China</strong> M&A deal value* by sector, 2006<br />

- Q1 2012<br />

€ in billions<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

Figure 4: Europe to mainland <strong>China</strong> M&A by sector and stake 2006 – Q1 2012<br />

Europe to mainland <strong>China</strong> sectors M&A by stake%, 2006 - Q1 2012<br />

Industrial Products<br />

-<br />

FS<br />

Retail &<br />

Consumer<br />

Industrial<br />

Products<br />

Telecoms,<br />

Media &<br />

Technology<br />

EUMI<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1-12<br />

Business<br />

Services<br />

Business Services<br />

Telecoms, Media & Technology<br />

Retail & Consumer<br />

Source: M&A from Europe to mainland <strong>China</strong>, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />

Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

Note*: Value is based on the disclosed M&A value in the source documents<br />

EUMI<br />

FS<br />

- 50 100 150 200 250 300 350<br />

Number of deals<br />

Undisclosed 25% stake<br />

Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

European investors take bigger stakes in<br />

non-FS sectors<br />

With fewer ownership restrictions, most IP and BS deals<br />

were for stakes of 25% or more. After IP and BS, the sectors<br />

seeing the greatest volume, and for stakes above 25%, were<br />

Telecoms, Media & Technology (TMT), Retail & Consumer<br />

(R&C) and EUMI. The TMT sector is still subject to some<br />

foreign-ownership restrictions, which if relaxed, would<br />

undoubtedly attract a lot more M&A to this sector. Of the<br />

top 20 deals in mainland <strong>China</strong>, half were for privately<br />

owned companies and three of the top deals in the period<br />

were joint ventures.<br />

Different sectors have seen big deals in<br />

different years<br />

While IP and BS lead in terms of overall deal volume from<br />

Europe to <strong>China</strong>, followed by TMT and R&C, several<br />

sectors have seen large deals over the period. 2007 and<br />

2010 saw strong deal flow in FS, while 2011 was a record<br />

year for R&C deals with Nestlé paying €1,514m for a 60%<br />

stake in a joint venture with Hsu Fu Chi International.<br />

Though deal values in the R&C and FS sectors dipped in<br />

2008 and 2009 respectively, other sectors held up. The IP<br />

French and British companies doing most M&A<br />

in mainland <strong>China</strong><br />

Together the UK, France and Germany accounted for well<br />

over 50% of all <strong>China</strong>-bound M&A activity between 2006<br />

and Q1 2012. Swiss, Swedish and Dutch investors are also<br />

active but their level of M&A transactions varied quite<br />

considerably from year to year during the period we<br />

reviewed. While UK investors were the main deal drivers<br />

up to and including 2010, France overtook the UK in 2011,<br />

accounting for 26% and 35% of all M&A activity in 2011<br />

and Q1 2012 respectively.<br />

Figure Europe 6: to France mainland overtakes <strong>China</strong> M&A the UK deal as volume biggest proportion investor in by Q1 2012<br />

country, 2006 - Q1 2012<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />

Other<br />

Spain<br />

Source: M&A from Europe to mainland <strong>China</strong>, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />

Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

Italy<br />

Finland<br />

<strong>Belgium</strong><br />

Austria<br />

Netherlands<br />

Sweden<br />

Switzerland<br />

Germany<br />

United Kingdom<br />

France<br />

<strong>China</strong> deals 9


French acquisitions target mainland <strong>China</strong> and<br />

stakes >25%<br />

French investors have shown a liking for mainland <strong>China</strong>’s<br />

Industrial Products and Business Services sectors.<br />

Schneider Electric’s 2011 agreement to buy Beijing Leader<br />

& Harvest Electric Technologies, a medium voltage drive<br />

manufacturer for €448 million exemplifies the portfolio<br />

approach. This acquisition not <strong>only</strong> gave Schneider a strong<br />

position in the Chinese medium-voltage drive market, but<br />

also complements its wider portfolio. The data supports the<br />

prevalence of serial investor activity. Between 2006 and Q1<br />

2012, 87% of total French Investment into mainland <strong>China</strong><br />

was for stakes of more than 25% in target companies.<br />

French companies completed 42 such deals for IP targets<br />

and 35 for Business Services providers. Mainland <strong>China</strong>’s<br />

Telecoms, Media & Technology and Retail & Consumer<br />

sectors also drew strong interest from French investors<br />

looking for >25% stakes.<br />

France Figure to 7: mainland French companies <strong>China</strong> M&A lead volume M&A by activity sector, in mainland 2006 - Q1 <strong>China</strong><br />

2012<br />

40<br />

<strong>China</strong> To Europe: deal<br />

numbers rise despite<br />

Eurozone malaise<br />

If 2012 looks set to be another troubled year in Europe, the<br />

Eurozone crisis does not seem to be deterring Chinese<br />

investors. On the contrary, a relatively weak Euro and<br />

declining valuations have proved fertile ground for Chinese<br />

investors to find good deals. Mainland Chinese Europe-bound<br />

deals surged in 2011 and early figures indicate that 2012 is on<br />

track to exceed the record of 61 deals done in 2011.<br />

Mainland Figure 9: <strong>China</strong> Mainland to Europe <strong>China</strong> Europe-bound M&A deal volume M&A by rising size, 2006 - Q1<br />

2012<br />

Number of deals<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

-<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />

Number of deals<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

Undisclosed €1bn<br />

Source: M&A from mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />

Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

-<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 12<br />

Industrial Products<br />

Telecoms, Media & Technology<br />

EUMI<br />

Industrial Products<br />

Business Services<br />

Telecoms, Media & Technology<br />

Retail & Consumer<br />

EUMI<br />

FS<br />

Business Services<br />

Retail & Consumer<br />

Source: M&A from France to mainland <strong>China</strong>, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />

Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

France to mainland <strong>China</strong> sectors M&A volume by stake%,<br />

Figure 2006 -8: Q1 French 2012 companies target mainland <strong>China</strong> IP and BS sectors<br />

FS<br />

- 10 20 30 40 50<br />

Number of deals<br />

Undisclosed 25% stake<br />

The number and value of Europe-bound deals rose<br />

substantially from between 2006 and 2011. The compound<br />

annual growth rate for deals emanating from mainland<br />

<strong>China</strong> was 41%. If Hong Kong had previously been the<br />

driver in <strong>China</strong>’s Europe-bound M&A activity (see box), by<br />

2010 two thirds of <strong>China</strong>’s Europe-bound deals were<br />

coming from mainland <strong>China</strong> and one third from Hong<br />

Kong. A rise in both the number and value of deals Europebound<br />

deals from Hong Kong in 2011 brought that split<br />

back to 60/40 for mainland <strong>China</strong>/Hong Kong. However,<br />

Q1 2012 figures suggest that the trend for mainland <strong>China</strong><br />

increasing its share of European M&A is likely to continue.<br />

Figure 10: Big ticket deals impact yearly value*<br />

1. €2.9bn GDF Suez-Exploration<br />

(30%);<br />

1. € 9.0bn Rio Tinto Plc (12%);<br />

2. €1.9bn Total SA (1.6%); 2. €2.7bn EDP (21%);<br />

Mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe M&A value* 2006 - Q1 2012<br />

3. €1.6bn Awilco Offshore ASA;<br />

18<br />

4. €1.3bn BP Plc (1%)<br />

3. €1.7bn Elkem AS;<br />

4. €1.2bn BorsodChem Zrt (58%)<br />

Source: M&A from France to mainland <strong>China</strong>, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />

Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

€ in billions<br />

15<br />

12<br />

9<br />

6<br />

1. €2.1bn Barclays Plc<br />

(3.1%);<br />

2. €1.8bn Fortis SA<br />

(4.2%)<br />

1. €1.4bn Volvo Cars<br />

Corporation<br />

3<br />

-<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />

Other Top deal4 Top deal3 Top deal2 Top deal1<br />

Source: M&A from mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />

Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

Note*: Value is based on the disclosed M&A value in the source documents<br />

10 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>


The Hong Kong factor<br />

For the purposes of this article, we are focusing on M&A<br />

transactions between mainland <strong>China</strong> and Europe. However,<br />

if we consider the data including figures for Hong Kong, we<br />

can see another facet of <strong>China</strong>-Europe deal flow. For many<br />

years, Hong Kong played a role as a platform for European<br />

investment into <strong>China</strong> and Asia. It was also a key source of<br />

<strong>China</strong>’s Europe-bound investment. While Europe to mainland<br />

<strong>China</strong> M&A deals numbered 163 in 2006, there were 41 other<br />

deals for Hong Kong-based targets. And, in addition to the 11<br />

investments from mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe in 2006, another<br />

19 deals originated in Hong Kong. From 2006 to 2008 Hong<br />

Kong garnered over a third of all <strong>China</strong>-bound European FS<br />

investment (28 deals out of 77) and 28% of all BS (36 deals<br />

out 128). It is probably not surprising that the difference is<br />

greatest for these two sectors. Hong Kong’s role as a financial<br />

hub is well established and its international commercial ties<br />

may make a more attractive location for these sectors and for<br />

European investment alike. Regulatory differences between<br />

Hong Kong and mainland <strong>China</strong> also make foreign ownership<br />

easier in certain sectors, such as FS and TMT. European<br />

investors can acquire minority stakes in the Hong Kong listed<br />

arms of SOEs via share purchases, a route used by Telefonica<br />

for their €699m acquisitions of a 2.8% in <strong>China</strong> Unicom in<br />

2009. Indeed, if we include the figures for Hong Kong M&A<br />

flow to Europe with those of mainland <strong>China</strong>, then we see<br />

while the IP sector still draws achieves the most volume, the<br />

TMT sector and not the EUMI sector is the next largest by<br />

volume. When it comes to targets, Hong Kong investors<br />

continue to favour UK businesses over other European ones<br />

with an average of 50% of Europe-bound deals occurring in<br />

the UK over the past six years. In addition to the long-standing<br />

Hong Kong-based companies, the city is now also home to a<br />

growing number of investment vehicles used by Chinese and<br />

international investors. These are used to effect investments to<br />

and from Chinese SOEs and POEs. As we have discussed,<br />

Chinese SOEs behave differently to the typical Chinese<br />

outbound investor while Chinese POEs tend to operate in<br />

similar ways, whether they work through Hong Kong or<br />

mainland <strong>China</strong> based entities. In general, the data shows<br />

Hong Kong to be in line with mainland <strong>China</strong> trends, with<br />

M&A volumes rising and dipping in the same years. Despite a<br />

longer track record of M&A deals with European companies,<br />

Hong Kong is no longer powering the growth of Chinese<br />

outbound and inbound investment. Involved in an increasing<br />

number of deals in both directions, it is mainland <strong>China</strong><br />

investors who are now playing an ever greater role in <strong>China</strong><br />

– Europe M&A activity.<br />

<strong>China</strong> deals 11


Most deals are in the €1bn deals<br />

completed between 2006 and Q1 2012 were minority<br />

interest purchases by mainland <strong>China</strong> SOEs.<br />

Chinese SWFs: marrying strategic interest with<br />

commercial goals<br />

Of the 20 biggest Europe-bound M&A transactions from<br />

mainland <strong>China</strong>, five were made by <strong>China</strong>’s Sovereign<br />

Wealth Funds (SWFs). <strong>China</strong> has the advantage of immense<br />

foreign currency reserves but also a real need to ensure<br />

those reserves are diversified. As the world’s biggest<br />

manufacturing economy, <strong>China</strong> also needs resources and<br />

as financial investors, <strong>China</strong>’s SWFs tend to take small but<br />

high value stakes in large companies. The EUMI sector,<br />

with its large incumbents and focus on extraction, is a<br />

source of attractive targets. Four of the top 20 mainland<br />

<strong>China</strong> Europe-bound M&A transactions were for EUMI<br />

targets made by SWFs, including CIC and SAFE 2 . These<br />

included SAFE paying over €1.87bn for a 1% stake in Total,<br />

a French Oil & Gas company, and nearly €1.3bn for a 1%<br />

stake of the UK energy company, BP.<br />

Buying into markets, brands and know-how<br />

If <strong>China</strong>’s SWFs seek financial diversification and access to<br />

resources, mainland <strong>China</strong>’s privately held companies are<br />

using M&A to develop their operational advantages. As<br />

<strong>China</strong>’s largest privately-owned carmaker, Zhejiang Geely’s<br />

2010 100% acquisition of the Swedish car company Volvo,<br />

for €1.4bn is an example of a deal bringing both access to<br />

an established brand and European-standard technology.<br />

Equally, Wanhua Industrial Group’s €1.2bn acquisition of a<br />

controlling stake in Hungary-based Borsodchem brought it<br />

access to Europe’s chemicals market. Five other 100% buy<br />

outs by mainland <strong>China</strong> companies also feature among the<br />

top 20 deals, reflecting their desire to acquire core<br />

technology that they can leverage at home and overseas.<br />

2 State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) primary role is as the<br />

administrative body responsible for regulating foreign exchange market<br />

activities and managing foreign exchange reserves. Its investment activities<br />

are mainly exercised through its SWF arm, SAFE Capital.<br />

EUMI attracts most Mainland Chinese<br />

investment in Euro terms<br />

Chinese M&A activity in Europe’s Energy, Utilities, Mining<br />

and Infrastructure sector (EUMI) has created some<br />

impressive deal values, often generating copious media<br />

coverage. Between 2006 and Q1 2012, 12 out of the 20<br />

largest deals done by mainland Chinese companies in<br />

Europe were for EUMI targets, of which seven were deals of<br />

between €1bn and over €8bn. Nearly two thirds of<br />

investments in this area were for stakes of 25% or above.<br />

2008 values were bolstered by a single €9bn deal by<br />

Aluminum Corporation of <strong>China</strong> (<strong>China</strong>lco), a SOE, and<br />

Alcoa Inc. for a joint 12% stake in Rio Tinto Plc. 2011 saw<br />

two more major deals involving Chinese SOEs, including<br />

<strong>China</strong> National BlueStar, a unit of state-owned Chem<strong>China</strong>,<br />

€1.7bn transaction for Orkla’s silicon business, Elkem.<br />

Figure 11: Deal values vary greatly by sector and year*<br />

15<br />

单 位 1 0 亿 欧 元<br />

12<br />

9<br />

6<br />

3<br />

-<br />

能 源 、 工 业 产 品 金 融 服 务 商 务 服 务 零 售 和 消 费 电 信 媒 体 与 技 术<br />

公 共 设 施 、<br />

矿 业 和 基 础 设 施<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 年 1 季 度<br />

Source: M&A from mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />

Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

Note*: Value is based on the disclosed M&A value in the source documents<br />

The IP sector also attracts the most deals by<br />

Chinese investors<br />

Though large EUMI deals are the most valuable, other<br />

sectors are actually seeing a greater number of Europebound<br />

M&A transactions. As is the case for European<br />

investment into <strong>China</strong>, the Industrial Products sector<br />

attracts the highest volume of Chinese Europe-bound<br />

investment, followed by TMT and R&C. Europe-bound deal<br />

volume in IP increased fourfold from 4 deals in 2006 to 16<br />

by Q1 2012, with a record total of 26 deals in 2011. Indeed,<br />

the IP sector, from Chemicals to Automotive, delivered the<br />

most high value deals after the EUMI sector, with five deals<br />

completed in Sweden, Hungary, Germany, the Netherlands<br />

and France.<br />

Figure 12: Chinese investors also show a strong appetite for the IP sector<br />

Mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe sectors M&A by stake%, 2006 - Q1 2012<br />

Industrial Products<br />

EUMI<br />

Telecoms, Media & Technology<br />

Business Services<br />

Retail & Consumer<br />

FS<br />

- 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100<br />

Number of deals<br />

Undisclosed 25% stake<br />

Source: M&A from mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />

Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

12 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>


Germany overtakes the UK as a target for<br />

mainland <strong>China</strong> M&A<br />

Though the UK led the way for some time other countries<br />

have been increasing their share of Chinese investment.<br />

Germany has seen a steady rise in mainland Chinese<br />

investment in recent years, overtaking the UK in 2011 with<br />

20% of all Chinese Europe-bound deal volume and<br />

reaching 28% in Q1 2012. Since 2006, 39 of the 42 deals<br />

completed by mainland Chinese investors in Germany have<br />

been for stakes of 25% or more. Of the 21 deals completed<br />

in the 2011 and Q1 2012, seven were in the automotive<br />

sector, seven in Industrial Manufacturing and four were in<br />

Engineering & Construction, proof that Germany’s<br />

strengths in Industrial Manufacturing, Computer<br />

Hardware and the automotive industry are attractive to<br />

Chinese investors.<br />

Figure Mainland 13: <strong>China</strong> Germany, to Europe the UK M&A and France deal volume attract proportion most Chinese by M&A transactions<br />

country (2006-Q1 2012)<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />

Other<br />

Austria<br />

Sweden<br />

Italy<br />

France<br />

Netherlands<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Germany<br />

Conclusion<br />

The period of 2006 to Q1 2012 probably covers one of the<br />

most difficult global economic environments of our time.<br />

Even with its vast reserves, <strong>China</strong> has had to navigate<br />

uncertainties in its major export markets, while trying to<br />

maintain pace of growth it needs. European companies<br />

have had to face slower – or no - domestic growth, as well<br />

as concerns about government debt levels and the stability<br />

of European banks. M&A transactions are challenging<br />

enough even in good times. However, it would seem from<br />

the figures that the Eurozone uncertainties, and lower<br />

growth and values, have offered opportunities to Chinese<br />

investors and spurred European ones to turn to <strong>China</strong>.<br />

Early figures for 2012 suggest that M&A activity will<br />

continue to pick up, in both volume and value terms. We<br />

will have to wait to see if some of the trends we identified<br />

here are consolidated and future editions of this review<br />

will provide updates. For certain sectors, <strong>China</strong>-Europe<br />

investment flows have become familiar. For these sectors, it<br />

will be interesting to see how the changes in ownership<br />

and presence in <strong>new</strong> markets plays out for the companies<br />

concerned. For other sectors, access and ownership<br />

restrictions may evolve over time, opening even more<br />

opportunities. We hope a look at these figures will provide<br />

those involved in M&A, whether in Beijing, Birmingham or<br />

Bonn, a better understanding of the trends in their industry<br />

and others.<br />

Source: M&A from mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />

Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

Germany and the UK are currently ahead of other<br />

European countries when it comes to attracting Chinese<br />

investment. France, the Netherlands and Italy have the<br />

next highest deal volumes but their deal flows have varied<br />

considerably over the past six years and as yet, none of<br />

them has established a consistent trend.<br />

Malcolm Macdonald<br />

<strong>China</strong> <strong>Deals</strong> adviser<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />

+ 44 (0) 207 804 1066<br />

malcolm.x.macdonald@uk.pwc.com<br />

Following nearly 20 years working for <strong>PwC</strong> in Hong Kong and<br />

<strong>China</strong>, Malcolm is now working for <strong>PwC</strong> UK as an advisor to<br />

identify and support inbound and outbound M&A transactions<br />

between the UK and <strong>China</strong>. Malcolm will work closely with key<br />

account and industry teams, as well as colleagues in <strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong>.<br />

While in our Beijing office, Malcolm led the <strong>China</strong> Outbound<br />

initiative for <strong>PwC</strong> in <strong>China</strong>, overseeing the firm’s focus on Chinese<br />

clients that are investing overseas.<br />

Malcolm is a Fellow of the ICAEW and has a BEng (Hons) degree<br />

in Civil and Structural Engineering.<br />

Yan Lin<br />

Senior Associate<br />

Transaction Services<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />

+ 44 (0) 118 938 3175<br />

yan.z.lin@uk.pwc.com<br />

Yan Lin joined <strong>PwC</strong> UK in 2008 and works in our Transaction<br />

Services team in the South East region. Yan has assisted on<br />

various M&A transactions, acting for corporate and private equity<br />

clients across different sectors including Automotive and<br />

Technology.<br />

Yan is originally from Guangzhou and is a native speaker of<br />

Mandarin and Cantonese. She is a qualified Chartered<br />

Accountant with the ICAEW and holds a Master of Science<br />

degree from the University of Oxford.<br />

<strong>China</strong> deals 13


Getting to know... Ken Su<br />

Ken Su moved from Shanghai to Beijing in 2004 to co-found <strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong>’s Outbound Investment practice. Though he grew up in<br />

Canada, he has re-established roots in <strong>China</strong> where he has lived and worked for the last decade. His background means he<br />

brings a unique <strong>perspective</strong> to the market and his clients, whether they are Chinese companies doing business around the world<br />

or multi-national companies operating in <strong>China</strong>. From his office in Beijing, he took a few moments to reflect on the changes he<br />

has seen over the past decade.<br />

How has your work with Chinese<br />

companies evolved since the<br />

start of the Outbound investment<br />

practice?<br />

The past eight years have been an<br />

interesting journey. A lot of my role<br />

entails working as a key advisor to<br />

Chinese companies on their overseas<br />

deals, conducting due diligence,<br />

supporting them in negotiations, as<br />

well as working with them on<br />

valuations and deal structures. In<br />

addition, we actively identify<br />

attractive international investment<br />

opportunities for our clients. From our<br />

position in Beijing, we do a lot of work<br />

with our <strong>PwC</strong> network firms around<br />

the world to service our Chinese<br />

clients here and their teams based<br />

abroad. Keeping abreast of what is<br />

happening in this fast moving market<br />

is central to all of this, so the team’s<br />

work includes market analysis and<br />

thought leadership development<br />

around key sectors of interest and<br />

Chinese overseas investment trends.<br />

What key trends have you seen<br />

recently in deal flows between<br />

<strong>China</strong> and Europe?<br />

The big trend is the growing number<br />

of sectors in which Chinese companies<br />

want to invest. Where it used <strong>only</strong> to<br />

be about buying access resources, now<br />

companies are buying into more<br />

industrial and consumer goods<br />

companies. Equally, the buyer base<br />

has expanded. In the past, the buyers<br />

were almost all central SOEs, we then<br />

saw the first provincial SOEs doing<br />

outbound deals, followed by privately<br />

owned Chinese companies. More<br />

recently, Chinese Private Equity<br />

companies have begun to invest<br />

abroad, opening up a completely <strong>new</strong><br />

range of opportunities. From a<br />

<strong>China</strong>-Europe <strong>perspective</strong>, there has<br />

been a gradual increase in interest<br />

linked to this broadening out of both<br />

sector-interest and the buyer base. We<br />

can see this in <strong>China</strong>-Europe deal flow<br />

to the Automotive, Aerospace and<br />

Industrial Products sectors in<br />

particular. At the same time, the level<br />

of sophistication of Chinese investors<br />

has increased along with their ties to<br />

European companies and agencies;<br />

this in turn facilitates even more deals.<br />

In my opinion, Europe has a lot to gain<br />

from these trends, including injections<br />

of capital, access to <strong>China</strong>’s markets<br />

and possibly even fresh <strong>perspective</strong>s<br />

on business.<br />

What are the key driving factors<br />

of a Chinese company's decision<br />

to invest abroad?<br />

Chinese companies continue to invest<br />

abroad with the goal of acquiring key<br />

strategic resources as well as<br />

technology and brands. However, we<br />

are beginning to see more companies<br />

investing to acquire distribution<br />

channels and to access markets and<br />

we believe these drivers will increase<br />

in importance over the coming years.<br />

How does the M&A team of a<br />

typical Chinese company compare<br />

to their western counterparts?<br />

It is difficult to generalize about M&A<br />

teams in a 'typical' Chinese company,<br />

as there are many kinds of Chinese<br />

companies and many M&A<br />

department models in operation. It is<br />

probably fair to say that they tend to<br />

differ in terms of their typical size,<br />

how they function and how they fit in<br />

with the rest of the organisation.<br />

Eight years ago, when the outbound<br />

investment wave was really beginning<br />

to take off, it could have been said that<br />

approaches to deals were less<br />

structured but now more and more<br />

companies have dedicated M&A teams<br />

and even specific overseas investment<br />

departments. We also see that Chinese<br />

companies are evolving the way they<br />

use external advisors during the M&A<br />

process as they engage in more and<br />

more overseas deals.<br />

14 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>


What do you consider the biggest<br />

challenges for Chinese investors<br />

doing deals in Europe?<br />

Upfront, it can be difficult finding<br />

deals that fit with the buyer’s strategy<br />

and are feasible targets. Managing the<br />

deal process effectively so that the<br />

client can make a well- informed<br />

decision demands a lot of work.<br />

Settling valuation and price issues is<br />

clearly critical but guiding the client<br />

through the negotiation can be an<br />

intensive process, given that the<br />

parties usually have differing business<br />

practices and, in many cases, are<br />

focusing on longer-term strategic<br />

goals, as opposed to commercial<br />

returns, when negotiating pricing and<br />

deal terms. We also work with the<br />

client to handle all the regulatory<br />

requirements both here in <strong>China</strong> and<br />

in Europe to get the deal approved. In<br />

addition, our work usually includes<br />

resolving many of the post-deal issues.<br />

What advice can you give<br />

European companies<br />

engaged in a deal process with<br />

Chinese companies?<br />

Because of the complexity and<br />

differing procedures for deal approval,<br />

European companies may need to<br />

prepare for a lengthier deal process<br />

and so they will need to be patient for<br />

the deal to complete, which in some<br />

cases can take years rather than<br />

months. We often see deals take three<br />

years to get done: a two-year deal<br />

process is not uncommon and in<br />

extreme cases it could be four or<br />

five years.<br />

What are your top three pieces of<br />

advice for a potential Chinese<br />

company looking to invest<br />

in Europe?<br />

It is hard to pin things down to just<br />

three points for any situation but in<br />

general, I would say first, ensure the<br />

targeted deal ties in with the<br />

company's short, medium and long<br />

term strategies. Second, Chinese<br />

investors should be prepared for a<br />

sophisticated deal process involving<br />

multiple advisors on both sides of the<br />

deal. Finally, getting to a win-win<br />

situation may involve some<br />

compromise on the initial plans so<br />

showing a little flexibility may go a<br />

long way.<br />

Ken Su<br />

Partner<br />

Transaction Services<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong><br />

Tel: +86 (10) 6533 7290<br />

ken.x.su@cn.pwc.com<br />

Ken Su is a Partner in <strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong>'s<br />

Transaction Services team and a founder<br />

of the firm's <strong>China</strong> Outbound Investment<br />

practice. He joined <strong>PwC</strong> Canada in 1993<br />

and <strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong> in 2004. Ken works with<br />

many large Chinese companies including<br />

CIC, Petro<strong>China</strong>, CNOOC, <strong>China</strong><br />

Minmetals, <strong>China</strong>lco, AVIC, SDIC, Sinopec<br />

and Shandong Gold. Ken is a fully<br />

qualified CA (Canada), CPA (USA), and<br />

CFA (International).<br />

<strong>China</strong> deals 15


From deal-breakers<br />

to deal-makers<br />

Closing the valuations gap for more successful<br />

<strong>China</strong>-Europe deals<br />

Introduction<br />

Anecdotes and copious press coverage<br />

could give European businesses,<br />

looking for buyers, the impression<br />

that a raft of Chinese investors is<br />

arriving, ready - and able - to pay<br />

above the odds for acquisitions. The<br />

reality is more nuanced. Although<br />

about 30% of <strong>China</strong>’s outward<br />

investment already flows towards<br />

Europe, that amount actually<br />

represents less than 0.2% of all<br />

non-financial foreign investment<br />

stock in Europe. As other articles in<br />

this review highlight, overall dealflow<br />

between <strong>China</strong> and Europe is<br />

steadily increasing and now includes<br />

a wider range of sectors than in the<br />

past. We believe that increasing the<br />

number of these deals, by privately<br />

owned Chinese enterprises (POEs) as<br />

well by Chinese State owned<br />

enterprises (SOEs), represents a huge<br />

opportunity for European and<br />

Chinese business alike.<br />

However, despite some success<br />

stories, we sometimes hear of deals<br />

falling through, even when the<br />

prospective Chinese buyer is the<br />

highest bidder.<br />

Number and value of deals with Chinese (inc. HK) investors in Europe<br />

Number and value of deals with Chinese (incl. HK) investors in Europe<br />

Number of deals<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

-<br />

In this section, we look behind the<br />

headlines to understand why some<br />

<strong>China</strong>-Europe deals never make it to<br />

completion. In particular, we consider<br />

the gap between buyers’ and sellers’<br />

<strong>perspective</strong>s of valuations and the<br />

deal-making process and suggest how<br />

those differences can be resolved.<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />

Number of deals<br />

Deal value (€m)<br />

Average of 61 242 387 61 319 277 159<br />

deal value (€m)<br />

18,000<br />

15,000<br />

12,000<br />

9,000<br />

6,000<br />

3,000<br />

-<br />

*Value of deals (€m)<br />

Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

Note*: Value is based on the disclosed M&A value in the source documents<br />

16 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>


Is there a Chinese price<br />

when it comes<br />

to valuations?<br />

According to Dealogic 1 , Chinese<br />

companies are paying greater<br />

premiums for cross-border<br />

acquisitions. Reports suggest that<br />

Chinese companies pay a 28.8 per cent<br />

premium on average, compared to the<br />

US average of 25.6 per cent, the<br />

Japanese average of 26.6 per cent, and<br />

a broader Europe, Middle East and<br />

Africa average of 25.6 per cent. 2<br />

Media coverage of Chinese investor<br />

deals seems to support these findings:<br />

Recent examples include the <strong>China</strong><br />

Yangtze Three Gorges Development<br />

Corporation’s winning bid in<br />

December 2011 for a stake in Energias<br />

de Portugal, for which they paid a<br />

significant 53% premium3. <strong>China</strong><br />

Development Bank was the highest<br />

bidder for RBS Aviation Capital in<br />

January 2012, as was Bright Food in<br />

the bid for Yoplait in February 2011,<br />

although in both cases, they lost out to<br />

lower bids. Chinese business leaders<br />

have a reputation of being good<br />

traders, able to strike a good deal, so<br />

why is it in some cases with outbound<br />

M&A that they seem to be paying a<br />

higher premium? To understand why<br />

this is often the case for <strong>China</strong>-Europe<br />

deals, we need to understand what is<br />

motivating both the buyers and<br />

the sellers.<br />

1 Measured by comparing the deal valuation with<br />

the market capitalisation of the target one month<br />

before deal announcement, when compared to<br />

cross-border acquisitions made by companies<br />

from other countries<br />

2 “<strong>China</strong> Inc: record outbound M&A”, July 27, 2011,<br />

FT.com<br />

3 “Privatisation: Extensive sell-offs constitute<br />

irreversible retreat by government”, April 10,<br />

2012, FT.com<br />

No deal without a seal of approval<br />

All outbound investments are subject to approval by both<br />

the Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) and the National<br />

Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) or their<br />

affiliated agencies at local levels, depending on the scale<br />

and complexity of the deals. In addition, SOEs must obtain<br />

approval from or report to the State-owned Assets<br />

Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC)<br />

– which is effectively the State holding company for all<br />

SOEs. All overseas deals in foreign currency also need State<br />

Administration of Foreign Exchanges (SAFE) approval.<br />

Both SOEs and POEs are more likely to receive State<br />

support for deals considered beneficial for <strong>China</strong>, an<br />

important consideration being their strategic fit with<br />

prevailing State policies.<br />

SOEs and POEs face<br />

different hurdles<br />

for funding<br />

Though both SOEs and POEs need<br />

regulatory approval for outbound M&A,<br />

SOEs face a slightly more onerous<br />

approval process (see above). However,<br />

SOEs usually have better access than<br />

POEs to funds from the State-backed<br />

“policy” banks, such as the Export<br />

Import Bank (Exim) or <strong>China</strong><br />

Development Bank. Having said this, it<br />

would be wrong to assume that they<br />

have access to loans by default. Foreign<br />

companies must assume that a Chinese<br />

lender to a Chinese bidder will demand<br />

a commercial rate of return appropriate<br />

to the risk of the investment, as would<br />

an international lender.<br />

At the same time, <strong>China</strong> is currently<br />

the home of the world’s biggest foreign<br />

exchange reserves (US$3.3 trillion) 4 , a<br />

factor that ultimately supports the<br />

lending power of State-backed banks.<br />

Additionally, <strong>China</strong>’s State-backed<br />

banks were less exposed to the global<br />

financial crisis compared to their<br />

western counterparts, leaving them in<br />

a position to offer rates similar to<br />

those pre-credit crunch 5 .<br />

4 "<strong>China</strong>’s Forex Reserves Show First Decline in<br />

Three Months", April 24, 2012, Bloomberg News<br />

5 We note that the limited availability of data about<br />

the rates obtained by companies borrowing in<br />

<strong>China</strong> makes it difficult to judge the degree to<br />

which they can borrow at cheaper rates<br />

compared to western competitors<br />

<strong>China</strong> deals 17


Why pay more?<br />

Understanding Chinese<br />

investors’ rationale for<br />

strategic premium<br />

While <strong>China</strong>’s SOEs may have easier<br />

access to funds, POEs face less<br />

favourable conditions without the<br />

same State-backing. Nevertheless,<br />

POEs have also demonstrated<br />

themselves as ready to make high bids,<br />

indicating that access to funding<br />

cannot be the <strong>only</strong> factor at play.<br />

Looking at a range of deals, we can<br />

see a number of factors powering<br />

Chinese investors’ rationale to offer a<br />

strategic premium.<br />

Hidden Dragons<br />

There is strong evidence to suggest<br />

that a premium may be justified<br />

because Chinese investors can gain<br />

greater benefits from the acquisition<br />

by leveraging the potential of their<br />

large domestic market and creating<br />

synergies that are often not easily<br />

accessible or visible to their western<br />

competitors. One example is Bright<br />

Foods Group’s search for a brand name<br />

target culminating in the successful<br />

bid for Weetabix in May 2012, to<br />

capitalise from the growing taste for<br />

western food in <strong>China</strong>.<br />

The opportunity to acquire<br />

established brands and intellectual<br />

property may justify a higher<br />

valuation, given the high growth<br />

potential of the Chinese market.<br />

Lenovo’s €511m acquisition of Medion,<br />

a German consumer electronics<br />

company will bring a 14% share of the<br />

German market and a total market<br />

share of 7.5% in Europe, as well as<br />

expertise in marketing, sales and<br />

distribution. Sany heavy industry<br />

acquired Putzmeister, a world-class<br />

German manufacturer of hi-tech<br />

pumps, for €360m. This will allow<br />

<strong>China</strong>’s largest construction<br />

equipment manufacturer to gain<br />

global exposure through the<br />

Putzmeister brand, whilst<br />

simultaneously taking its technology<br />

to the Chinese market. <strong>China</strong> National<br />

Bluestar’s €1.7bn acquisition of Elkem<br />

brought it access to highly energy<br />

efficient solar-grade silicon, giving<br />

Bluestar an edge in the green energy<br />

market. It could take many years for a<br />

company to develop these advantages<br />

organically. Chinese investors can<br />

therefore often justify this premium,<br />

even if not explicitly quantified, as<br />

they can deploy their access to and<br />

understanding of their home market<br />

to much greater effect than their<br />

international rivals.<br />

A Chinese buyer may also seek to<br />

prevent a Chinese competitor from<br />

acquiring a desirable target. There<br />

may be significant market gains to<br />

being the first to take an acquisition to<br />

<strong>China</strong> and, thus, establish first-mover<br />

advantage against other Chinese<br />

companies, who could leverage<br />

similar synergies.<br />

Another possible explanation is<br />

that the Chinese investors making<br />

acquisitions to date may have a<br />

larger proportion of buyers with a<br />

long-term, strategic view.<br />

These investors may be more likely to<br />

hold their investment for longer, have<br />

a longer timeframe to realise the<br />

benefits of an acquisition, and<br />

consequently have a lower hurdle rate<br />

for short-term returns. On the<br />

contrary, a western private equity<br />

buyer may enter a deal with<br />

expectations of high returns from<br />

shareholders to realise gains in the<br />

short to medium term.<br />

Easier access to funds and a robust<br />

strategic rationale for a high bid<br />

should place Chinese investors in a<br />

strong bidding position. So why are<br />

high bids from Chinese investors<br />

not necessarily resulting in<br />

successful deals? To understand<br />

this phenomenon, we must look at<br />

how sellers perceive bid risks and<br />

how that influences their response<br />

to Chinese valuations.<br />

The seller’s <strong>perspective</strong> -<br />

pricing in uncertainties<br />

As the examples cited earlier show,<br />

being willing and able to pay a<br />

strategic premium for a deal is no<br />

guarantee of success. We believe that a<br />

combination of commercial, cultural<br />

and political differences generates<br />

uncertainties for sellers, with the<br />

result that they may heavily discount<br />

bids by Chinese investors. For<br />

example, Chinese investors tend to be<br />

more cautious about sharing their<br />

strategic objectives for an acquisition<br />

with other parties.<br />

18 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>


From the <strong>perspective</strong> of a seller, the<br />

lack of an articulated rationale for<br />

the higher bid can make sellers<br />

mistrustful of the bidder’s intentions.<br />

Uncertainties created by a lack of trust<br />

on both sides can <strong>only</strong> be detrimental<br />

to negotiations. A focus on improving<br />

communications between the parties,<br />

to close the expectations gap in<br />

valuations and build trust, is critical if<br />

a deal is to complete.<br />

To European sellers the Chinese<br />

deal approval process can<br />

introduce uncertainty.<br />

The seller will often lack a good<br />

understanding of the details, or the<br />

duration of the approval process from<br />

the Chinese side. The Chinese deal<br />

approval process also runs differently:<br />

in the US or Europe sellers expect<br />

buyers to be able to demonstrate key<br />

facts, such as proof of funds, prior to<br />

signing. It is the opposite in <strong>China</strong>.<br />

The Chinese process requires buyers<br />

to submit a request for approval once<br />

key matters are agreed. This may leave<br />

sellers feeling exposed and uncertain<br />

about the ability of a Chinese bidder to<br />

close the deal. This issue can be more<br />

pronounced in auction situations,<br />

where the auctioneer must have<br />

confidence in the ability of the bidder<br />

to deliver on their bid. One effective<br />

solution could be for the Chinese<br />

investor to secure a period of<br />

exclusivity during a bid process within<br />

which they can try to sort out<br />

approvals, but this can be difficult to<br />

achieve.<br />

Uncertainties may also exist over a<br />

Chinese investor’s ability to manage<br />

the target business effectively.<br />

This may be of particular concern for<br />

the seller if the target has global<br />

operations, demanding a high degree<br />

of international experience combined<br />

with local knowledge. It was reported<br />

that Bright Foods Group lost out to a<br />

lower rival bid from US General Mills<br />

because of a perceived lack of global<br />

operational and brand experience 6 .<br />

There could also be concerns about<br />

the preservation of corporate identity<br />

and the retention of key management.<br />

Beyond cultural differences in<br />

commercial practice and<br />

communication, large deals in any<br />

territory by foreign investors can<br />

trigger the risk of political<br />

intervention in the target country. As<br />

Chinese corporates are often under<br />

the guidance of a State that many<br />

countries consider a strategic<br />

competitor, acquisitions that are too<br />

high profile, or have overlaps with<br />

strategically sensitive industries<br />

such as defence, may also come with<br />

political risks. The seller’s own<br />

government may step in to request<br />

assurances, even for non-defence<br />

industries. In the current economic<br />

climate, job protection and the<br />

preservation of brands perceived as<br />

“national” champions can provoke<br />

press attention, if not actual political<br />

intervention. Past examples include<br />

the bid for 3Com by Huawei, the bid<br />

for Unocal by CNOOC, and the bid for<br />

Potash Corp by Sinochem. In highly<br />

politicised situations, getting to a deal<br />

can prove impossible, regardless of<br />

how high a strategic premium Chinese<br />

investors may be willing to pay.<br />

6 "Shanghai's Bright Food loses battle for big<br />

Western brand", March 18, 2011, FT.com<br />

Discounting for<br />

uncertainties – an<br />

equation of unknowns<br />

Uncertainties over the investor’s<br />

ability to complete the deal, as well as<br />

the buyer’s ability to preserve and<br />

grow the value of the acquisition, may<br />

lead to a discount being placed on the<br />

investor’s bid. A seller will invariably<br />

weigh up the pros and cons of a<br />

Chinese bid to that of a rival bid with<br />

greater certainty of outcome. A<br />

Chinese buyer may not have<br />

sufficiently priced in these risks to<br />

their bid. In other words, the highest<br />

valuation in absolute terms may not be<br />

the highest bid after taking into<br />

account the seller’s discount for risks<br />

– perceived or otherwise.<br />

Despite this expectations gap, we<br />

note that Chinese SOEs and POEs<br />

have found Europe to be a more<br />

receptive market for investment<br />

compared to North America, resulting<br />

in increasing Chinese interest in<br />

making European acquisitions. We<br />

have also observed an increasing<br />

willingness of the Chinese investors<br />

to be flexible and more open towards<br />

partnerships. Chinese buyers are<br />

recognising the importance of<br />

retaining local management, not just<br />

in response to local concerns about<br />

job retention but in optimising their<br />

bids, the transfer of expertise to<br />

<strong>China</strong>, and the future growth<br />

potential of the acquisition.<br />

<strong>China</strong> deals 19


Valuations – a summary of the factors behind the buyers’ and sellers’ rationale<br />

Chinese strategic premium rationale<br />

Strategic fit –Realisation of synergies in the Chinese market,<br />

first-mover advantage, brand, technological know-how<br />

Easier access to capital<br />

Relatively longer-term view of investment - greater timeframe to<br />

realise benefits from the acquisition, and less subject to shareholder<br />

pressures for short-term returns<br />

Seller’s discount rationale<br />

Uncertainty about outcome of the deal approval process and the ability<br />

of the buyer to complete the deal<br />

Risk of political intervention<br />

Concerns about access to capital (especially when dealing<br />

with POEs)<br />

Concerns about capacity to manage global operations/global brands<br />

and retention of existing management and workforce<br />

Conclusions<br />

Although there have been some high profile Chinese<br />

inbound acquisitions in Europe, the overall level of<br />

investment is not huge, at least not yet. However, we expect<br />

the number of collaborative partnerships and acquisitions<br />

of European firms by Chinese investors to continue<br />

increasing. A focus on technological know-how and<br />

branded products that can be leveraged in <strong>China</strong>’s rapidly<br />

growing middle-class consumer market will make<br />

European companies increasingly attractive to<br />

Chinese investors.<br />

Chinese investors are learning quickly about investing in<br />

Europe. While cultural and political barriers continue to<br />

exist, Europe has been more open to Chinese investment<br />

and European companies have much to gain in<br />

understanding how Chinese investors set valuations.<br />

The main driver behind the strategic premiums being paid by<br />

Chinese investors is their ability to leverage the high growth<br />

potential of their domestic market. Another, but in our view<br />

less significant, driver is relative easier access to capital.<br />

The key downside risks tend to revolve around<br />

uncertainties and communication gaps between sellers and<br />

buyers, mainly due to challenges that bidders have in<br />

providing sufficient certainty of outcome. When combined<br />

with a typical seller’s relative unfamiliarity in dealing<br />

with Chinese bidders, the result can be a significant<br />

discounting of the bid price, which is difficult for Chinese<br />

buyers to factor in.<br />

The key to a successful deal is to close the expectation gap<br />

in valuation between the buyer and the seller. This can<br />

<strong>only</strong> come about through better dialogue. Sellers can<br />

improve their articulation of their concerns when<br />

negotiating with a Chinese investor. Equally, Chinese<br />

buyers can reciprocate by better explaining and<br />

quantifying their deal rationale, and addressing<br />

uncertainties around issues such as deal approval more<br />

directly. Deal advisors with strong international and<br />

local knowledge have a role to play in helping deal<br />

participants understand such issues, and in steering the<br />

dialogue so that the expectation gap can be narrowed. This<br />

will allow sellers to understand and trust a Chinese<br />

valuation offer, and Chinese buyers to complete more<br />

deals successfully.<br />

20 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>


Simon Harris<br />

Director<br />

Valuations<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />

+ 44 (0) 207 804 9413<br />

simon.harris@uk.pwc.com<br />

Simon leads <strong>PwC</strong> UK's Telecoms, Media<br />

and Technology Valuation practice.<br />

He has valued businesses and assets in<br />

those sectors for 11 years, with a particular<br />

specialism in intellectual property valuation<br />

including assets such as telecoms<br />

licences and media catalogues.<br />

Simon has advised many clients on the<br />

pricing of deals, including a significant<br />

number of cross-border deals. He has also<br />

worked with clients to assess the value of<br />

acquired assets for financial reporting<br />

purposes once the deal has completed.<br />

Tetsuya Ogino<br />

Senior Associate<br />

Valuations<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />

+ 44 (0)207 8040019<br />

tetsuya.ogino@uk.pwc.com<br />

Tetsuya joined <strong>PwC</strong> UK in London in 2007.<br />

He has experience working on FTSE<br />

audits, such as Shell and Rexam, as well<br />

as managing carbon assurance projects,<br />

such as the flagship project for the<br />

Household of Their Royal Highnesses. He<br />

also has experience on the Carbon<br />

Disclosure Project.<br />

Tetsuya has worked in the Valuations<br />

practice since 2011, where he has built<br />

experience in commercial and<br />

dispute valuations.<br />

He is a member of the Institute of Chartered<br />

Accountants in England and Wales.<br />

<strong>China</strong> deals 21


<strong>China</strong> and the UK: building<br />

on experience<br />

Figures for M&A activity between <strong>China</strong> and Europe for the<br />

period 2006 to Q1 2012 show one country to the fore: the<br />

UK. Deal flow between <strong>China</strong> and the UK has been a<br />

two-way street for several years. In 2006 and 2007,<br />

bidirectional UK-<strong>China</strong> deal volumes surpassed those<br />

between <strong>China</strong> and any other European nation. The lion’s<br />

share of UK bound investment from <strong>China</strong> came from Hong<br />

Kong. However, as more mainland Chinese investors turn<br />

to Europe for deal opportunities, they are also targeting UK<br />

companies. Despite this trend, the UK’s share of Chinese<br />

investment in Europe has fallen slightly over the last 15<br />

months, as has its <strong>China</strong>-bound deal flow. In 2011,<br />

Germany became the main European destination for<br />

Chinese M&A transactions. <strong>China</strong>-bound investment by UK<br />

companies has also slipped slightly. 2011 also saw France<br />

overtake UK as the largest investor in Chinese M&A 1 .<br />

The experience garnered from deals between UK and<br />

Chinese companies is valuable but the competition for<br />

Chinese investment – and for access to <strong>China</strong>’s growing<br />

market – is clearly intensifying. Deal flows can and do vary<br />

from year to year so there is no reason why UK companies<br />

cannot regain their position as Europe’s premier<br />

dealmakers in <strong>China</strong> – with some help. The current UK<br />

government has stepped up its efforts to increase trade<br />

with <strong>China</strong>, with the goal of bilateral trade reaching £62bn<br />

per annum by 2012 2 . But while exports are essential,<br />

getting investment flowing is equally important. <strong>China</strong>’s<br />

government policies actively support Chinese companies’<br />

outbound investments. The UK government could also<br />

develop policies to attract Chinese investors to the UK and<br />

to support UK companies wishing to invest in <strong>China</strong>. As<br />

more Chinese companies seek to establish themselves in<br />

Europe’s market and build their technological and<br />

operational capacity through M&A, UK companies in many<br />

sectors are attractive targets but they face more<br />

competition from their continental counterparts than in<br />

the past. <strong>China</strong> and the UK have strong ties and a track<br />

record of mutually beneficial M&A transactions, it would<br />

be a shame not to make a concerted effort to build on<br />

that advantage.<br />

1 All deal data is based on publically announced M&A deals as reported by<br />

Mergermarket, Thomson Reuters and Dealogic.<br />

2 “<strong>China</strong> signs £1.4bn in UK trade deals”, June 27, 2011, FT.com<br />

UK Figure to mainland 1: UK to <strong>China</strong>: <strong>China</strong> M&A and by volume Hong Kong 2006 to Q1 2012<br />

Number of deals<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

-<br />

<strong>China</strong> offers a huge manufacturing<br />

base, a less challenging funding<br />

environment and the world’s fastest<br />

growing consumer market. Chinese<br />

companies and Chinese capital may be<br />

more in demand than ever before.<br />

There is a lot to motivate both<br />

countries to maintain their head start.<br />

UK M&A deal flow to <strong>China</strong>: getting back on track<br />

During the period under review, UK outbound M&A deal<br />

activities to <strong>China</strong> peaked at sixty five transactions in 2007.<br />

After stalling during the global economic recession in 2009,<br />

M&A activity from the UK to <strong>China</strong> has recovered some<br />

ground, with 40 deals in 2011, up from 24 in 2009. Like<br />

other European investors, UK companies have focused on<br />

acquiring stakes of 25% or more of their Chinese targets.<br />

Although the UK was the major outbound investor into<br />

<strong>China</strong> and Hong Kong between 2006 and 2011, <strong>only</strong> one UK<br />

M&A transaction ranked among the top 20 European M&A<br />

deals in <strong>China</strong>. This the €647m paid by Diageo Plc for a<br />

60.3% stake in the drinks distiller and distributor Sichuan<br />

Swellfun Co Ltd. in 2010. With a very few exceptions the<br />

bulk of UK <strong>China</strong>-bound deals were priced below €100m.<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />

UK to mainland <strong>China</strong><br />

UK to Hong Kong<br />

Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

22 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>


UK investors target diverse sectors<br />

Four of the top 10 UK outbound M&A deals in <strong>China</strong> were<br />

by private equity investors. Three occurred between 2010<br />

and 2011. This appears to be part of a wider trend for<br />

increased demand from foreign private equity for M&A<br />

targets in <strong>China</strong>. In mainland <strong>China</strong> (excluding Hong Kong)<br />

9 out of the top 10 businesses targeted by UK investors were<br />

privately-owned, five of which in the Retail & Consumer<br />

sector. The fact that three of them were 100% acquisitions<br />

suggests that UK see the sector benefiting from <strong>China</strong>’s<br />

rising domestic consumption. Of the top UK <strong>China</strong>-bound<br />

investments, two were minority interest transactions in<br />

Financial Services. Other top value deals occurred in the<br />

Professional Services, Automotive and Energy, Utilities,<br />

Manufacturing and Infrastructure (EUMI) sectors. The<br />

diversity of the businesses in the table of top deals by value<br />

reflects the UK’s own diversity and that there are desirable<br />

Chinese targets across a range of industries<br />

UK to <strong>China</strong> (including Hong Kong) sectors M&A by stake%, 2006 -<br />

Q1 2012<br />

Figure 2: Most UK investment goes to BS and then to TMT in <strong>China</strong> (incl. HK)<br />

Business Services<br />

<strong>China</strong> investing into the UK: small stakes can be<br />

a big deal<br />

On average, between 2007 and 2009, 65% of M&A from<br />

<strong>China</strong> to the UK was for stakes of 25% or above. In 2008,<br />

that proportion dipped to 55% and if we exclude Hong<br />

Kong <strong>only</strong> 14% of mainland <strong>China</strong> UK-bound deals were for<br />

stakes of >25%. Though mainland <strong>China</strong> investors made<br />

more minority-stake transactions that year, many were<br />

very high value deals. Eight of them feature on the list of<br />

the 10 biggest UK-bound M&A transactions from mainland<br />

<strong>China</strong>. Topping that list for the period of 2006 to Q1 2012<br />

are deals by Alcoa and <strong>China</strong>lco for 12% of Rio Tinto,<br />

worth €8,971m, and by <strong>China</strong> Development Bank<br />

Corporation for 3.1% of Barclays Plc.<br />

From 2010 to 2011, a higher proportion of UK Inbound<br />

M&A deals were for stakes of 25% or above. In 2011, all of<br />

the UK inbound M&A from mainland <strong>China</strong> was for stakes<br />

of >25%. However, despite the transactions being for<br />

bigger stakes, 2011 produced the lowest total deal value for<br />

UK M&A deals by Chinese investors since 2006.<br />

Telecoms, Media & Technology<br />

Retail & Consumer<br />

FS<br />

EUMI<br />

Industrial Products<br />

- 20 40 60 80 100<br />

Number of deals<br />

Undisclosed 25% stake<br />

Figure 2 includes HK M&A<br />

Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

Figure 3: EUMI in mainland <strong>China</strong> is the second most attractive sector to<br />

UK investors<br />

mainland <strong>China</strong> sectors M&A by stake%, 2006 - Q1 2012)<br />

Business Services<br />

Figure 4 : Most <strong>China</strong> (incl. HK) M&A transactions are for 25% or above<br />

<strong>China</strong> to UK M&A deal volume by stake%, 2006 - Q1 2012<br />

Number of deals<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

-<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />

Undisclosed 25%<br />

Figure 4 includes HK M&A<br />

Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

EUMI<br />

Telecoms, Media & Technology<br />

Retail & Consumer<br />

Industrial Products<br />

FS<br />

Figure 3 mainland <strong>China</strong> <strong>only</strong><br />

- 20 40 60 80 100<br />

Number of deals<br />

Undisclosed 25% stake<br />

Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

UK-<strong>China</strong> M&A volume may down but value<br />

is rising<br />

Though UK <strong>China</strong>-bound deal volume is still not back to its<br />

2007 peak, the total value of UK M&A transactions in<br />

<strong>China</strong> reached a record of over €2bn in 2010. While 2011<br />

values were lower, they still exceeded the 2007 level. A<br />

sign perhaps that UK companies are prepared to pay more<br />

for the targets because they are more confident about their<br />

ability to make those investments work – or that it is the<br />

right to invest in <strong>China</strong>.<br />

Figure 5: Mainland <strong>China</strong>’s stake (excluding acquisitions Hong fluctuate Kong) to in UK the M&A UK deal<br />

volume by stake%, 2006 - Q1 2012<br />

Number of deals<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

-<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />

Figure 5 mainland <strong>China</strong> <strong>only</strong><br />

25%<br />

Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

<strong>China</strong> deals 23


<strong>China</strong> Figures (including 6 & 7: UK Hong EUMI Kong) sector UK attracts sectors most M&A Chinese by stake%, M&A 2006 – Hong - Kong-based investors favour the UK’s R&C sector<br />

Q1 2012<br />

Mainland <strong>China</strong> to UK sectors M&A by stake%, 2006 - Q1 2012<br />

EUMI<br />

EUMI<br />

Retail & Consumer<br />

Industrial Products<br />

Business Services<br />

Telecoms, Media & Technology<br />

Industrial Products<br />

FS<br />

Telecoms, Media & Technology<br />

- 5 10 15 20 25 30 35<br />

Number of deals<br />

Undisclosed 25% stake<br />

Figure 6 includes HK M&A<br />

Business Services<br />

FS<br />

Retail & Consumer<br />

- 5 10 15 20 25 30 35<br />

Number of deals<br />

25% stake<br />

Figure 7 mainland <strong>China</strong> <strong>only</strong><br />

Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

Hong Kong not mainland <strong>China</strong> brings most<br />

M&A volume to the UK<br />

As is the case for the wider bidirectional deal flow between<br />

<strong>China</strong> and Europe, the number of deals emanating from<br />

<strong>China</strong> to the UK was less than from the UK to <strong>China</strong>. Even in<br />

the peak year of 2007, there were <strong>only</strong> 23 publically<br />

disclosed deals by Chinese investors in the UK. When we<br />

exclude Hong Kong, we can see that in the period 2006 to<br />

Q1 2012, <strong>only</strong> between a quarter and a third of Chinese<br />

M&A transactions in the UK actually originate in mainland<br />

<strong>China</strong>. For a UK company looking for investment, Hong<br />

Kong remains an important port of call, in particular for<br />

Retail & Consumer companies.<br />

Chinese SOEs find strategic fit in UK targets<br />

While Hong Kong may still generate a greater volume of<br />

UK-bound M&A deals than mainland <strong>China</strong>, several of the<br />

biggest deals over the last few years have come from<br />

mainland <strong>China</strong>. Chinese State-owned enterprises (SOEs)<br />

and <strong>China</strong>’s Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) dominate the<br />

list of the ten largest UK-bound M&A transactions. Aside<br />

from the two biggest deals mentioned above, the State<br />

Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) and the <strong>China</strong><br />

Investment Corporation, both SWFs, undertook three other<br />

large deals in 2008, 2010 and 2012. SAFE took a 1% stake<br />

in BP for €1,296m, while <strong>China</strong> Investment Corporation<br />

invested €707m in 2.3% of Apax Partners LLP, a private<br />

equity partnership, and €602m for a 8.7% stake in Thames<br />

Water Utilities. These large deals reflect the fact that<br />

Chinese government can deploy its abundant foreign<br />

reserves to support the expansion of SOEs overseas, a goal<br />

they have communicated in their “going out” policy. Thus,<br />

the prevalence of UK EUMI targets tallies with the desire of<br />

Chinese investors to access natural resources, while FS<br />

targets facilitate financial and currency diversification.<br />

Figure 8: Mainland <strong>China</strong> drives most of the biggest UK-bound M&A deals<br />

(mainland <strong>China</strong>)<br />

<strong>China</strong> to UK M&A value* 2006 - Q1 2012<br />

€ in billions<br />

15<br />

12<br />

9<br />

6<br />

3<br />

-<br />

1. €2.1bn Barclays Plc<br />

(3.1%) from <strong>China</strong><br />

Development Bank<br />

(mainland <strong>China</strong>)<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />

Other Top deal4 Top deal3 Top deal2 Top deal1<br />

Figure 8 includes HK M&A<br />

Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />

Note*: Value is based on the disclosed M&A value in the source documents<br />

Conclusion<br />

1. € 8.9bn Rio Tinto Plc (12%)<br />

from <strong>China</strong>lco (mainland<br />

<strong>China</strong>) and Alcoa Inc;<br />

2. €1.3bn BP Plc (1%) from SAFE<br />

1. € 6.9bn EDF Energy-UK<br />

Power Distribution<br />

Business from Cheung<br />

Kong Infrastructure<br />

(Hong Kong)<br />

1. € 3.4bn Northumbrian<br />

Water from Cheung<br />

Kong Infrastructure<br />

(Hong Kong)<br />

While M&A flows between the UK and <strong>China</strong> are off to<br />

a good start, both nations need to continue to develop<br />

their ties. While high value, headline-grabbing deals<br />

are important, particularly in a gloomy economic<br />

environment, increasing the number – and overall<br />

value – of deals will strengthen commercial links and<br />

experience - and thus generate even more<br />

opportunities. The UK is one of the European nations<br />

most open to Chinese investors. It has a strong<br />

advanced manufacturing and R&D base, offers a<br />

gateway to European markets, and is a leading<br />

financial centre but it needs investment, and to create<br />

jobs. <strong>China</strong> offers a huge manufacturing base, a less<br />

challenging funding environment and the world’s<br />

fastest growing consumer market. Chinese companies<br />

and Chinese capital may be more in demand than ever<br />

before. There is a lot to motivate both countries to build<br />

on their track record.<br />

24 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>


<strong>China</strong> deals 25


Please get in touch<br />

Nick Page<br />

Partner<br />

Transaction Services<br />

UK Emerging Markets leader<br />

Tel: +44 (0) 20 7213 1442<br />

E: nick.r.page@uk.pwc.com<br />

Malcolm Macdonald<br />

<strong>China</strong> <strong>Deals</strong> adviser<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />

Tel: + 44 (0) 207 804 1066<br />

E: malcolm.x.macdonald@uk.pwc.com<br />

Philip Bloomfield<br />

Partner<br />

Transaction Services<br />

UK <strong>China</strong> team leader<br />

Tel: +44 (0)20 7804 4904<br />

E: philip.bloomfield@uk.pwc.com<br />

Ken Su<br />

Partner<br />

Transaction Services<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong><br />

Tel: +86 (10) 6533 7290<br />

E: ken.x.su@cn.pwc.com<br />

Allan Zhang<br />

Director<br />

Advisory<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />

Tel: +44(0)207 804 5605<br />

E: allan.x.zhang@uk.pwc.com<br />

Sir Tom Troubridge<br />

Chairman<br />

<strong>China</strong> Business Group<br />

Tel: +44 (0) 20 7804 4723<br />

E: tom.troubridge@uk.pwc.com<br />

Yan Lin<br />

Senior Associate<br />

Transaction Services<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />

Tel: + 44 (0) 118 938 3175<br />

E: yan.z.lin@uk.pwc.com<br />

Suwei Jiang<br />

Partner and Senior <strong>China</strong> Adviser<br />

<strong>China</strong> Business Group<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />

Tel: +44 (0) 20 7804 9248<br />

E: suwei.jiang@uk.pwc.com<br />

Chen Li<br />

Manager<br />

Transaction Services<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />

Tel: +44 (0) 207 804 2731<br />

E: chen.li@uk.pwc.com<br />

Craig Stevenson<br />

Partner<br />

UK <strong>China</strong> Legal Team Leader<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> Legal<br />

Tel: +44 (0) 207 212 1612<br />

E: craig.stevenson@pwclegal.co.uk<br />

Shen Kan<br />

Manager<br />

Transaction Services<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />

Tel: +44 (0) 207 213 8234<br />

E: shen.kan@uk.pwc.com<br />

Cynthia Chan<br />

Senior Manager<br />

UK <strong>China</strong> Markets Leader<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> Legal<br />

Tel: +44 (0) 207 212 1918<br />

E: cynthia.chan@pwclegal.co.uk<br />

26 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>


Calum Davidson<br />

Advisory Leader<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong> and Hong Kong<br />

Tel: +852 2289 2323<br />

E: calum.davidson@hk.pwc.com<br />

Frank Lyn<br />

<strong>China</strong> Markets Leader, <strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong><br />

Corporate Finance Leader<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong> and Hong Kong<br />

Tel: +86 (10) 6533 2388<br />

E: frank.lyn@cn.pwc.com<br />

David Brown<br />

Transaction Services Leader<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong><br />

Tel: + 852 2289 2400<br />

E: d.brown@hk.pwc.com<br />

Leon Qian<br />

Transaction Services Leader<br />

for Beijing<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong><br />

Tel: +86 (10) 6533 2940<br />

E: leon.qian@cn.pwc.com<br />

Andrew Li<br />

Transaction Services Leader<br />

for Shanghai<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong><br />

Tel: +86 (21) 2323 3437<br />

E: andrew.li@cn.pwc.com<br />

Edwin Wong<br />

<strong>China</strong> Outbound Investment<br />

Services Leader<br />

<strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong><br />

Tel: +86 (10) 6533 2100<br />

E: edwin.wong@cn.pwc.com<br />

<strong>China</strong> deals 27


www.pwc.co.uk/china<br />

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