China Deals â a new perspective (English only) - PwC Belgium
China Deals â a new perspective (English only) - PwC Belgium
China Deals â a new perspective (English only) - PwC Belgium
Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
www.pwc.co.uk/china<br />
<strong>China</strong> deals<br />
A fresh <strong>perspective</strong><br />
October 2012
Contents<br />
Welcome 4<br />
Foreword: <strong>China</strong>-Britain Business Council 6<br />
<strong>China</strong>-Europe-<strong>China</strong> deal flow: a <strong>perspective</strong> on the trends 7<br />
Getting to know... Ken Su 14<br />
From deal-breakers to deal-makers 16<br />
<strong>China</strong> and the UK: building on experience 22<br />
Please get in touch 26<br />
<strong>China</strong> deals 3
Welcome<br />
Looking at the growing level of M&A<br />
flows between <strong>China</strong> and Europe and<br />
what they mean for the companies and<br />
sectors involved.<br />
Just over ten years since joining WTO<br />
in 2001, <strong>China</strong> has overtaken<br />
Germany and Japan to become the<br />
world’s second largest economy. This<br />
year <strong>China</strong> ousted the US from its<br />
position as the world’s largest<br />
manufacturer. In barely two decades,<br />
Europe has become <strong>China</strong>’s biggest<br />
export market and now attracts more<br />
Chinese investment than any other<br />
region. With strong growth and a<br />
burgeoning middle class, <strong>China</strong> is<br />
Europe’s second biggest export market<br />
and a target for European companies.<br />
Behind these statistics lays a rising<br />
level of mergers and acquisitions<br />
activity between Chinese and<br />
European companies. Like a network<br />
of veins and arteries, they are enabling<br />
access to markets, technology and<br />
expertise for Chinese and European<br />
enterprises alike. Businesses in <strong>China</strong><br />
and Europe need to understand how<br />
and why these deals are happening to<br />
grasp their strategic impact –<br />
and opportunities.<br />
Though reports of billion Euro deals<br />
between Chinese and European<br />
companies regularly make headlines,<br />
there is a bigger story. We look at the<br />
growing number of smaller deals,<br />
flowing in both directions and in a<br />
range of sectors that are the lifeblood<br />
of <strong>China</strong> and European trade ties. We<br />
believe that these deals, big and small,<br />
will be a source of growth, jobs and<br />
innovation for years to come.<br />
In this issue, we offer what will<br />
become a regular update on <strong>China</strong>-<br />
Europe-<strong>China</strong> deals: who is investing<br />
and why, features on sectors and<br />
countries, as well as looking at what<br />
makes deals happen and how that<br />
process can be improved. One article<br />
looks at the publically available data<br />
on deals over the past several years<br />
and considers what it tells us about the<br />
volume – and value - of M&A flows<br />
between Europe and <strong>China</strong> and vice<br />
versa. It shows that while conditions in<br />
Europe may have affected <strong>China</strong>bound<br />
investments, there is a ramping<br />
up of investment by Chinese<br />
companies across different sectors. It<br />
also shows that most deal activity is in<br />
sectors such as industrial products,<br />
even if the headline-grabbing deals<br />
have often been for energy, financial<br />
or utility targets.<br />
Though M&A activity is steadily<br />
growing, both Chinese and European<br />
M&A teams often face unfamiliar<br />
hurdles. As the article on making M&A<br />
transactions happen discusses, there is<br />
a need for greater understanding of<br />
approval processes, strategic rationale<br />
and operational as well as cultural or<br />
political concerns for bids to be<br />
successful. Money may not be enough,<br />
even for companies keen to buy or sell.<br />
We look at how both parties can<br />
increase the chance of a good<br />
deal completed.<br />
As competition intensifies among<br />
European countries to attract<br />
investment from <strong>China</strong> and to find<br />
attractive Chinese targets, we consider<br />
how the UK in particular can benefit<br />
from its comparatively strong<br />
performance in doing deals in - and<br />
attracting investment from – <strong>China</strong>.<br />
Though it has lost its lead for both<br />
outbound and inbound Chinese M&A,<br />
as a country it offers the skills and<br />
industries for which Chinese investors<br />
are looking. Both countries could gain<br />
by strengthening their ties and<br />
building on their mutual experience.<br />
4 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>
As a global network, the ties between<br />
the <strong>PwC</strong> firms in the UK, Europe and<br />
<strong>China</strong> are long established. Our<br />
experienced deal teams in <strong>China</strong> and<br />
the UK are well positioned to help<br />
clients make the most of the growth<br />
opportunities M&A can bring. For this<br />
first edition of “<strong>China</strong> <strong>Deals</strong>” we were<br />
privileged to be able to draw on their<br />
experience and the support of the<br />
<strong>China</strong>-British Business Council. As an<br />
international business, our success<br />
depends on ensuring finely tuned<br />
connectivity between our clients,<br />
partners and teams worldwide. For all<br />
the regulatory and commercial<br />
requirements, deal making is also<br />
very much about connecting people at<br />
the right time and with the right facts.<br />
This publication supports our work<br />
and that of our clients to get good<br />
deals done. We hope that this report<br />
provides you with some fresh<br />
<strong>perspective</strong>, whether you are reading<br />
it in Beijing or London – the distance<br />
between the two is narrowing<br />
all the time.<br />
Nick Page<br />
Partner<br />
Transaction Services UK Emerging Markets leader<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />
+44 (0) 20 7213 1442<br />
nick.r.page@uk.pwc.com<br />
Nick is a partner in Transaction Services in London and has a focus on<br />
investment activity with emerging markets. He worked in Moscow in<br />
the mid-1990s and has been active in M&A with emerging markets ever<br />
since. He is also the head of the financial services team.<br />
Philip Bloomfield<br />
Partner<br />
Transaction Services UK <strong>China</strong> team leader<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />
+44 (0)20 7804 4904<br />
philip.bloomfield@uk.pwc.com<br />
Philip is a partner in our Transaction Services business, based in<br />
London. He leads our UK Transactions team focused on <strong>China</strong> and<br />
has worked with <strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong> since 2008/09 when he led the firm's<br />
work in support of <strong>China</strong>lco's proposed joint venture with Rio Tinto.<br />
Philip has focused exclusively on the transactions market for over<br />
fifteen years.<br />
Allan Zhang<br />
Director<br />
Advisory<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />
Tel: +44(0)207 804 5605<br />
allan.x.zhang@uk.pwc.com<br />
Allan is a director of <strong>PwC</strong> Beijing office. He worked at <strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong>'s<br />
Transaction Services team for over six years and is currently on a<br />
two-year secondment to <strong>PwC</strong> UK, focusing on outbound deals from<br />
<strong>China</strong>. Allan also leads <strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong>’s Sustainability and Climate Change<br />
practice and is a member of Carbon Disclosure Project <strong>China</strong> Advisory<br />
Council. He is a frequent speaker of major international and domestic<br />
conferences as a subject matter expert of outbound deals<br />
and sustainability.<br />
<strong>China</strong> deals 5
Foreword: <strong>China</strong>-Britain Business Council<br />
I was delighted to be invited to write a<br />
foreword and support this exciting <strong>new</strong><br />
initiative of <strong>PwC</strong>.<br />
The depth and breadth of economic<br />
relations with <strong>China</strong> have grown<br />
exponentially for the UK and Europe<br />
over the past 30 years. Until recently,<br />
this has largely been characterised by<br />
ever-increasing Chinese exports to<br />
Europe, a strong flow of European goods<br />
and services to <strong>China</strong>, and a significant<br />
number of European companies<br />
investing in <strong>China</strong>.<br />
One of the most exciting dimensions to<br />
this business relationship is the increase<br />
in recent years in Chinese outbound<br />
investment. More Chinese companies<br />
than ever before are seizing<br />
opportunities abroad in order to reach<br />
<strong>new</strong> markets and sales channels, develop<br />
technology, brands and know-how, as<br />
well as invest in a variety of assets and<br />
raise capital. While demand for natural<br />
resources was the driver for much of the<br />
‘early’ Chinese investment overseas, the<br />
imperative for Chinese firms to move up<br />
the value chain has led to a growing<br />
number of companies looking to Europe.<br />
Greenfield investment remains<br />
important, and Chinese companies<br />
continue to set up sales offices along<br />
with R&D centres. However, one of the<br />
most exciting developments is the<br />
burgeoning interest in M&A activity.<br />
This is clear to us at CBBC through the<br />
numerous conversations we have with<br />
Chinese companies, investors, and<br />
government figures. Individual<br />
companies know that it is important for<br />
the development of their own business,<br />
and the Chinese government sees<br />
overseas investment as an important<br />
step for <strong>China</strong>’s increasingly<br />
international role.<br />
We have already seen a number of<br />
high-profile acquisitions. However, it is<br />
not just household names that are<br />
involved. Chinese private companies and<br />
State-Owned Enterprises ("SOEs") have<br />
invested in smaller companies too.<br />
Often the goal has been to acquire<br />
technology and brands that the acquirer<br />
believes will have good prospects back in<br />
<strong>China</strong>, creating a <strong>new</strong> means for UK<br />
innovations to make their way into the<br />
Chinese market.<br />
We are delighted to be working with<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> again to support this important<br />
piece of work to help better understand<br />
the emerging trends, and what it means<br />
for the UK and Europe’s relationship<br />
with <strong>China</strong>. I found the articles in this<br />
report both fascinating and informative,<br />
dispelling some misconceptions through<br />
evidence and analysis. As the report<br />
highlights, the gap in deal flow between<br />
Europe and <strong>China</strong> has already closed at<br />
an impressive pace, and the better we<br />
can understand what is happening, the<br />
better UK firms will be placed to gain<br />
from in the future.<br />
Stephen Phillips<br />
Chief Executive<br />
<strong>China</strong>-Britain Business Council (CBBC)<br />
+44 (0) 207 802 2001<br />
stephen.phillips@cbbc.org<br />
Stephen Phillips joined the <strong>China</strong>- Britain<br />
Business Council as Chief Executive in<br />
June 2006. Stephen has been actively<br />
engaged in business in and with <strong>China</strong><br />
since 1989 and his experience spans a<br />
number of sectors including aerospace,<br />
oil, gas and petrochemicals, infrastructure,<br />
ICT and financial services.<br />
Stephen held senior investment banking<br />
positions with Deutsche and BZW/<br />
Barclays Capital in Asia for over 10 years,<br />
6 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong><br />
where he specialised in structuring and<br />
financing cross border investments totalling<br />
in excess of £20 billion. In <strong>China</strong>, Stephen<br />
worked with a wide range of multinational<br />
and Chinese enterprises on major projects,<br />
acquisitions and joint ventures.<br />
Stephen was then Managing Director and<br />
co-founder of iBridge Capital, a group of<br />
companies providing IT solutions and<br />
financial and business consulting services<br />
throughout Asia and the Middle East.<br />
Before joining CBBC Stephen was<br />
International Trade Director, UK Trade &<br />
Investment based in the South West<br />
of England.<br />
Prior to moving to Asia in 1989, Stephen<br />
worked for the Barclays Group in the UK<br />
and Botswana. He holds a BSc<br />
in Chemistry and Law from the University<br />
of Exeter.
<strong>China</strong>-Europe-<strong>China</strong> deal<br />
flow: a <strong>perspective</strong> on<br />
the trends<br />
Executive summary<br />
In this piece, we look at the number and size of M&A deals<br />
flowing, in both directions, between mainland <strong>China</strong> and<br />
Europe. Using publically available information on<br />
transactions completed between 2006 and the close of the<br />
first quarter of 2012 1 , we present some of the key trends in<br />
M&A activity.<br />
Rising M&A volume and value from mainland<br />
<strong>China</strong> to Europe<br />
The figures from the past years show a significant rise in<br />
mainland Chinese M&A activity in Europe, in both volume<br />
and value terms. If historically European investors have been<br />
more acquisitive in <strong>China</strong>, the gap in deal flow between<br />
Europe and <strong>China</strong> is narrowing. Moreover, though they may<br />
have done fewer deals, Chinese companies have invested<br />
more in European targets than vice versa. Most of the very<br />
high value transactions have been in the Energy and<br />
Financial services sectors, usually attracting a great deal of<br />
media attention. However, a deeper look at the data<br />
highlights several important facts. While billion Euro deals<br />
are happening, a large proportion of all deals – in both<br />
directions – actually fall under the €100m mark. The<br />
Industrial Products sector is the one that sees the most M&A<br />
activity- again in both directions, reflecting the fact that<br />
mainland <strong>China</strong> is the world’s largest manufacturing nation.<br />
For most sectors, where ownership restrictions do not apply,<br />
both Chinese and European investors seem to prefer taking<br />
stakes of 25% and above. Deal flow to Europe is primarily to<br />
France, the UK and Germany but companies in other nations<br />
are also benefitting and nearly all have seen an increase in<br />
Chinese investment over the past years. From Europe,<br />
Germany and the UK have been the biggest source of<br />
Mainland <strong>China</strong>-bound investment, with Germany edging<br />
ahead since 2010.<br />
1 The data analysis in this piece covers publically announced M&A deals, as<br />
reported by Mergermarket, Thomson Reuters and Dealogic. All the deals<br />
included in the data were announced between 2006 and the first quarter of<br />
2012 and have been completed or are expected to complete.<br />
Finally, while Chinese SOEs may lead the way for many of<br />
the bigger Europe-bound M&A transactions, the trends show<br />
that there is still plenty of opportunity for privately owned<br />
companies, Chinese and European, to access <strong>new</strong> markets<br />
and know-how and to grow their business through deals.<br />
Europe-mainland<br />
Europe-mainland<br />
<strong>China</strong><br />
<strong>China</strong><br />
(excluding<br />
(excluding<br />
Hong<br />
Hong<br />
Kong)<br />
Kong)<br />
outbound<br />
outbound<br />
and<br />
Figure 1: to <strong>China</strong> – <strong>China</strong> to Europe: M&A by volume and inbound 2006 to Q1 2012<br />
inbound<br />
M&A by<br />
M&A<br />
deal<br />
by<br />
volume,<br />
deal volume,<br />
2006 -<br />
2006<br />
Q1 2012<br />
- Q1 2012<br />
200<br />
150<br />
Number<br />
of deals<br />
Number<br />
of deals<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />
Europe to mainland <strong>China</strong><br />
Europe to HK<br />
Mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe<br />
Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
HK to Europe<br />
Deal flow compared: closing the volume gap<br />
Though in the past European investors have been more<br />
active in investing in Chinese companies than vice versa,<br />
the gap is narrowing. There has been a steady rise in the<br />
number of Europe-bound deals by mainland Chinese<br />
investors over the past years, from just 11 in 2006 to 61 in<br />
2011. A comparison with deal flow in the opposite<br />
direction, from Europe to <strong>China</strong>, shows that volume<br />
declined from a peak of 163 deals in 2006, to a low of 85 in<br />
2009, as European investors felt the effects of the credit<br />
crunch, and the impending Eurozone crisis. While<br />
international investors had limited access to lending and<br />
had to focus on problems in their existing markets, Chinese<br />
M&A flowed into the opportunities created by strong domestic<br />
growth. Chinese private equity houses benefited particularly<br />
from the relative absence of international investors.<br />
Though a rise in the number of <strong>China</strong>-bound deals since<br />
2009 suggests that European investors are pushing for<br />
growth through deals in <strong>China</strong>’s faster growing market, it<br />
has taken them some time to recover. From the Chinese<br />
<strong>perspective</strong>, European targets may appear more open to<br />
investment – and better value - after several difficult years.<br />
<strong>China</strong> deals 7
2011 – 2012: M&A momentum returns<br />
<strong>China</strong>-bound investment recovered some ground in 2011<br />
with 125 deals by the year-end. In fact, 2011 proved to be a<br />
good year for M&A deals in both directions. European<br />
investors poured over €7 billion into mainland <strong>China</strong>.<br />
Chinese investors reciprocated, investing over €11 billion<br />
in European companies, with a number of big-ticket items<br />
such as €2.9 billion for a 30% stake in GDF Suez and<br />
€2.7billion for 21% of EDP. While the Energy, Utilities,<br />
Manufacturing and Infrastructure (EUMI) sector produced<br />
high value deals, the Industrial Products (IP) sector<br />
generated most deals for both Europe-bound and <strong>China</strong>bound<br />
M&A, accounting for around 30% of all transactions<br />
between 2006 and Q1 2012.<br />
Q1 2012 figures show 32 Chinese investments in Europe<br />
and just 26 deals made by European companies in <strong>China</strong>.<br />
This marks the first time that deal flow volume has been<br />
greater to Europe than to <strong>China</strong>. However, with so little<br />
growth coming from their European and the US markets,<br />
there are signs that a number of large multinationals are<br />
placing bigger bets on <strong>China</strong> and other high growth<br />
economies and we expect to see some very large M&A<br />
announcements in 2012.<br />
Chinese SOEs active in European deals<br />
With backing from Beijing, Chinese SOEs led the way in<br />
<strong>China</strong>’s first wave of international M&A activity. The<br />
nation’s Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) have also played a<br />
role as they diversify <strong>China</strong>’s vast foreign currency<br />
reserves. Many of the very high value deals that have<br />
boosted average Europe-bound deal value involved SOEs or<br />
SWFs. In fact, from 2006 to Q1 2012, 90% of the top 20<br />
Europe-bound M&A deals from mainland <strong>China</strong> were by<br />
SOEs or SWFs. On average, the disclosed value of Chinese<br />
acquisitions in Europe was significantly higher than<br />
<strong>China</strong>-bound deal values for the period. In contrast, half of<br />
the top 20 deals done by European investors in mainland<br />
<strong>China</strong> were for privately owned companies. With an<br />
established record of M&A activity, and as they mature,<br />
<strong>China</strong>’s privately owned enterprises (POEs) are now also<br />
looking to expand by acquiring businesses overseas and in<br />
a range of sectors.<br />
Europe To <strong>China</strong>: a billion<br />
reasons to invest<br />
With a rapidly emerging middle-class, relatively<br />
competitive - though rapidly increasing - labour rates, and<br />
state spending on infrastructure, <strong>China</strong> offers a range of<br />
opportunities to European companies seeking growth. As<br />
mentioned above, though fewer, the average value of<br />
Chinese Europe-bound deals over the last years outstripped<br />
that of European deal value in <strong>China</strong>. Figures for European<br />
<strong>China</strong>-bound investment show that a high percentage of<br />
disclosed deals are in the
FS values make headlines but IP leads on<br />
M&A volume<br />
Though nine out of the top 20 deals by value were in<br />
Financial Services (FS), the highest numbers of European<br />
deals in <strong>China</strong> since 2006 were in the Industrial Products<br />
(IP) and Business Services (BS) sectors. These two sectors<br />
have accounted for approximately half of all deals every<br />
year since 2006. FS deals, though sizeable in Euro terms,<br />
were all for minority stakes. Of the 64 deals done in<br />
mainland <strong>China</strong>’s FS sector between 2006 and Q1 2012,<br />
<strong>only</strong> 26 were for a stake of 25% or more. Most mainland<br />
<strong>China</strong> FS targets are State-owned and foreign ownership is<br />
restricted to a maximum of 25% of total shares. Despite<br />
restrictions in some sectors, European banks see<br />
substantial growth potential in <strong>China</strong> and several have<br />
purchased successive stakes in mainland Chinese banks. In<br />
late 2006, Spain’s Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria paid<br />
€501m for a 5% stake in CITIC Bank Corporation and<br />
invested a further €1,064m for an additional 4.9% stake in<br />
December 2009. Deutsche Bank acquired 5.4% of Hua Xia<br />
Bank in March 2008, followed by a further 7.5% in May 2010.<br />
sector continued to attract a growing amount of European<br />
investment up to the end of 2011. The FS dip is<br />
understandable. While less exposed than their<br />
international counterparts, Chinese banks were not<br />
unscathed by the global financial crisis, which severely<br />
affected the value of several of the large FS investments<br />
they had made just prior to, or during the crisis. <strong>Deals</strong> such<br />
as CIC’s investment in Morgan Stanley resulted in losses, in<br />
some cases the first for Chinese SWFs. Though levels of<br />
uncertainty remain high, Chinese investors are likely to<br />
re<strong>new</strong> their global expansion in FS activities through M&A<br />
when they see improved stability in the banking sector.<br />
Figure 5: Sector volume and value varies year on year: <strong>only</strong> IP shows a<br />
Europe steady rise* to mainland <strong>China</strong> M&A deal value* by sector, 2006<br />
- Q1 2012<br />
€ in billions<br />
5<br />
4<br />
3<br />
2<br />
1<br />
Figure 4: Europe to mainland <strong>China</strong> M&A by sector and stake 2006 – Q1 2012<br />
Europe to mainland <strong>China</strong> sectors M&A by stake%, 2006 - Q1 2012<br />
Industrial Products<br />
-<br />
FS<br />
Retail &<br />
Consumer<br />
Industrial<br />
Products<br />
Telecoms,<br />
Media &<br />
Technology<br />
EUMI<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1-12<br />
Business<br />
Services<br />
Business Services<br />
Telecoms, Media & Technology<br />
Retail & Consumer<br />
Source: M&A from Europe to mainland <strong>China</strong>, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />
Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
Note*: Value is based on the disclosed M&A value in the source documents<br />
EUMI<br />
FS<br />
- 50 100 150 200 250 300 350<br />
Number of deals<br />
Undisclosed 25% stake<br />
Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
European investors take bigger stakes in<br />
non-FS sectors<br />
With fewer ownership restrictions, most IP and BS deals<br />
were for stakes of 25% or more. After IP and BS, the sectors<br />
seeing the greatest volume, and for stakes above 25%, were<br />
Telecoms, Media & Technology (TMT), Retail & Consumer<br />
(R&C) and EUMI. The TMT sector is still subject to some<br />
foreign-ownership restrictions, which if relaxed, would<br />
undoubtedly attract a lot more M&A to this sector. Of the<br />
top 20 deals in mainland <strong>China</strong>, half were for privately<br />
owned companies and three of the top deals in the period<br />
were joint ventures.<br />
Different sectors have seen big deals in<br />
different years<br />
While IP and BS lead in terms of overall deal volume from<br />
Europe to <strong>China</strong>, followed by TMT and R&C, several<br />
sectors have seen large deals over the period. 2007 and<br />
2010 saw strong deal flow in FS, while 2011 was a record<br />
year for R&C deals with Nestlé paying €1,514m for a 60%<br />
stake in a joint venture with Hsu Fu Chi International.<br />
Though deal values in the R&C and FS sectors dipped in<br />
2008 and 2009 respectively, other sectors held up. The IP<br />
French and British companies doing most M&A<br />
in mainland <strong>China</strong><br />
Together the UK, France and Germany accounted for well<br />
over 50% of all <strong>China</strong>-bound M&A activity between 2006<br />
and Q1 2012. Swiss, Swedish and Dutch investors are also<br />
active but their level of M&A transactions varied quite<br />
considerably from year to year during the period we<br />
reviewed. While UK investors were the main deal drivers<br />
up to and including 2010, France overtook the UK in 2011,<br />
accounting for 26% and 35% of all M&A activity in 2011<br />
and Q1 2012 respectively.<br />
Figure Europe 6: to France mainland overtakes <strong>China</strong> M&A the UK deal as volume biggest proportion investor in by Q1 2012<br />
country, 2006 - Q1 2012<br />
100%<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
0%<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />
Other<br />
Spain<br />
Source: M&A from Europe to mainland <strong>China</strong>, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />
Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
Italy<br />
Finland<br />
<strong>Belgium</strong><br />
Austria<br />
Netherlands<br />
Sweden<br />
Switzerland<br />
Germany<br />
United Kingdom<br />
France<br />
<strong>China</strong> deals 9
French acquisitions target mainland <strong>China</strong> and<br />
stakes >25%<br />
French investors have shown a liking for mainland <strong>China</strong>’s<br />
Industrial Products and Business Services sectors.<br />
Schneider Electric’s 2011 agreement to buy Beijing Leader<br />
& Harvest Electric Technologies, a medium voltage drive<br />
manufacturer for €448 million exemplifies the portfolio<br />
approach. This acquisition not <strong>only</strong> gave Schneider a strong<br />
position in the Chinese medium-voltage drive market, but<br />
also complements its wider portfolio. The data supports the<br />
prevalence of serial investor activity. Between 2006 and Q1<br />
2012, 87% of total French Investment into mainland <strong>China</strong><br />
was for stakes of more than 25% in target companies.<br />
French companies completed 42 such deals for IP targets<br />
and 35 for Business Services providers. Mainland <strong>China</strong>’s<br />
Telecoms, Media & Technology and Retail & Consumer<br />
sectors also drew strong interest from French investors<br />
looking for >25% stakes.<br />
France Figure to 7: mainland French companies <strong>China</strong> M&A lead volume M&A by activity sector, in mainland 2006 - Q1 <strong>China</strong><br />
2012<br />
40<br />
<strong>China</strong> To Europe: deal<br />
numbers rise despite<br />
Eurozone malaise<br />
If 2012 looks set to be another troubled year in Europe, the<br />
Eurozone crisis does not seem to be deterring Chinese<br />
investors. On the contrary, a relatively weak Euro and<br />
declining valuations have proved fertile ground for Chinese<br />
investors to find good deals. Mainland Chinese Europe-bound<br />
deals surged in 2011 and early figures indicate that 2012 is on<br />
track to exceed the record of 61 deals done in 2011.<br />
Mainland Figure 9: <strong>China</strong> Mainland to Europe <strong>China</strong> Europe-bound M&A deal volume M&A by rising size, 2006 - Q1<br />
2012<br />
Number of deals<br />
120<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
-<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />
Number of deals<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
Undisclosed €1bn<br />
Source: M&A from mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />
Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
-<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 12<br />
Industrial Products<br />
Telecoms, Media & Technology<br />
EUMI<br />
Industrial Products<br />
Business Services<br />
Telecoms, Media & Technology<br />
Retail & Consumer<br />
EUMI<br />
FS<br />
Business Services<br />
Retail & Consumer<br />
Source: M&A from France to mainland <strong>China</strong>, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />
Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
France to mainland <strong>China</strong> sectors M&A volume by stake%,<br />
Figure 2006 -8: Q1 French 2012 companies target mainland <strong>China</strong> IP and BS sectors<br />
FS<br />
- 10 20 30 40 50<br />
Number of deals<br />
Undisclosed 25% stake<br />
The number and value of Europe-bound deals rose<br />
substantially from between 2006 and 2011. The compound<br />
annual growth rate for deals emanating from mainland<br />
<strong>China</strong> was 41%. If Hong Kong had previously been the<br />
driver in <strong>China</strong>’s Europe-bound M&A activity (see box), by<br />
2010 two thirds of <strong>China</strong>’s Europe-bound deals were<br />
coming from mainland <strong>China</strong> and one third from Hong<br />
Kong. A rise in both the number and value of deals Europebound<br />
deals from Hong Kong in 2011 brought that split<br />
back to 60/40 for mainland <strong>China</strong>/Hong Kong. However,<br />
Q1 2012 figures suggest that the trend for mainland <strong>China</strong><br />
increasing its share of European M&A is likely to continue.<br />
Figure 10: Big ticket deals impact yearly value*<br />
1. €2.9bn GDF Suez-Exploration<br />
(30%);<br />
1. € 9.0bn Rio Tinto Plc (12%);<br />
2. €1.9bn Total SA (1.6%); 2. €2.7bn EDP (21%);<br />
Mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe M&A value* 2006 - Q1 2012<br />
3. €1.6bn Awilco Offshore ASA;<br />
18<br />
4. €1.3bn BP Plc (1%)<br />
3. €1.7bn Elkem AS;<br />
4. €1.2bn BorsodChem Zrt (58%)<br />
Source: M&A from France to mainland <strong>China</strong>, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />
Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
€ in billions<br />
15<br />
12<br />
9<br />
6<br />
1. €2.1bn Barclays Plc<br />
(3.1%);<br />
2. €1.8bn Fortis SA<br />
(4.2%)<br />
1. €1.4bn Volvo Cars<br />
Corporation<br />
3<br />
-<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />
Other Top deal4 Top deal3 Top deal2 Top deal1<br />
Source: M&A from mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />
Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
Note*: Value is based on the disclosed M&A value in the source documents<br />
10 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>
The Hong Kong factor<br />
For the purposes of this article, we are focusing on M&A<br />
transactions between mainland <strong>China</strong> and Europe. However,<br />
if we consider the data including figures for Hong Kong, we<br />
can see another facet of <strong>China</strong>-Europe deal flow. For many<br />
years, Hong Kong played a role as a platform for European<br />
investment into <strong>China</strong> and Asia. It was also a key source of<br />
<strong>China</strong>’s Europe-bound investment. While Europe to mainland<br />
<strong>China</strong> M&A deals numbered 163 in 2006, there were 41 other<br />
deals for Hong Kong-based targets. And, in addition to the 11<br />
investments from mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe in 2006, another<br />
19 deals originated in Hong Kong. From 2006 to 2008 Hong<br />
Kong garnered over a third of all <strong>China</strong>-bound European FS<br />
investment (28 deals out of 77) and 28% of all BS (36 deals<br />
out 128). It is probably not surprising that the difference is<br />
greatest for these two sectors. Hong Kong’s role as a financial<br />
hub is well established and its international commercial ties<br />
may make a more attractive location for these sectors and for<br />
European investment alike. Regulatory differences between<br />
Hong Kong and mainland <strong>China</strong> also make foreign ownership<br />
easier in certain sectors, such as FS and TMT. European<br />
investors can acquire minority stakes in the Hong Kong listed<br />
arms of SOEs via share purchases, a route used by Telefonica<br />
for their €699m acquisitions of a 2.8% in <strong>China</strong> Unicom in<br />
2009. Indeed, if we include the figures for Hong Kong M&A<br />
flow to Europe with those of mainland <strong>China</strong>, then we see<br />
while the IP sector still draws achieves the most volume, the<br />
TMT sector and not the EUMI sector is the next largest by<br />
volume. When it comes to targets, Hong Kong investors<br />
continue to favour UK businesses over other European ones<br />
with an average of 50% of Europe-bound deals occurring in<br />
the UK over the past six years. In addition to the long-standing<br />
Hong Kong-based companies, the city is now also home to a<br />
growing number of investment vehicles used by Chinese and<br />
international investors. These are used to effect investments to<br />
and from Chinese SOEs and POEs. As we have discussed,<br />
Chinese SOEs behave differently to the typical Chinese<br />
outbound investor while Chinese POEs tend to operate in<br />
similar ways, whether they work through Hong Kong or<br />
mainland <strong>China</strong> based entities. In general, the data shows<br />
Hong Kong to be in line with mainland <strong>China</strong> trends, with<br />
M&A volumes rising and dipping in the same years. Despite a<br />
longer track record of M&A deals with European companies,<br />
Hong Kong is no longer powering the growth of Chinese<br />
outbound and inbound investment. Involved in an increasing<br />
number of deals in both directions, it is mainland <strong>China</strong><br />
investors who are now playing an ever greater role in <strong>China</strong><br />
– Europe M&A activity.<br />
<strong>China</strong> deals 11
Most deals are in the €1bn deals<br />
completed between 2006 and Q1 2012 were minority<br />
interest purchases by mainland <strong>China</strong> SOEs.<br />
Chinese SWFs: marrying strategic interest with<br />
commercial goals<br />
Of the 20 biggest Europe-bound M&A transactions from<br />
mainland <strong>China</strong>, five were made by <strong>China</strong>’s Sovereign<br />
Wealth Funds (SWFs). <strong>China</strong> has the advantage of immense<br />
foreign currency reserves but also a real need to ensure<br />
those reserves are diversified. As the world’s biggest<br />
manufacturing economy, <strong>China</strong> also needs resources and<br />
as financial investors, <strong>China</strong>’s SWFs tend to take small but<br />
high value stakes in large companies. The EUMI sector,<br />
with its large incumbents and focus on extraction, is a<br />
source of attractive targets. Four of the top 20 mainland<br />
<strong>China</strong> Europe-bound M&A transactions were for EUMI<br />
targets made by SWFs, including CIC and SAFE 2 . These<br />
included SAFE paying over €1.87bn for a 1% stake in Total,<br />
a French Oil & Gas company, and nearly €1.3bn for a 1%<br />
stake of the UK energy company, BP.<br />
Buying into markets, brands and know-how<br />
If <strong>China</strong>’s SWFs seek financial diversification and access to<br />
resources, mainland <strong>China</strong>’s privately held companies are<br />
using M&A to develop their operational advantages. As<br />
<strong>China</strong>’s largest privately-owned carmaker, Zhejiang Geely’s<br />
2010 100% acquisition of the Swedish car company Volvo,<br />
for €1.4bn is an example of a deal bringing both access to<br />
an established brand and European-standard technology.<br />
Equally, Wanhua Industrial Group’s €1.2bn acquisition of a<br />
controlling stake in Hungary-based Borsodchem brought it<br />
access to Europe’s chemicals market. Five other 100% buy<br />
outs by mainland <strong>China</strong> companies also feature among the<br />
top 20 deals, reflecting their desire to acquire core<br />
technology that they can leverage at home and overseas.<br />
2 State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) primary role is as the<br />
administrative body responsible for regulating foreign exchange market<br />
activities and managing foreign exchange reserves. Its investment activities<br />
are mainly exercised through its SWF arm, SAFE Capital.<br />
EUMI attracts most Mainland Chinese<br />
investment in Euro terms<br />
Chinese M&A activity in Europe’s Energy, Utilities, Mining<br />
and Infrastructure sector (EUMI) has created some<br />
impressive deal values, often generating copious media<br />
coverage. Between 2006 and Q1 2012, 12 out of the 20<br />
largest deals done by mainland Chinese companies in<br />
Europe were for EUMI targets, of which seven were deals of<br />
between €1bn and over €8bn. Nearly two thirds of<br />
investments in this area were for stakes of 25% or above.<br />
2008 values were bolstered by a single €9bn deal by<br />
Aluminum Corporation of <strong>China</strong> (<strong>China</strong>lco), a SOE, and<br />
Alcoa Inc. for a joint 12% stake in Rio Tinto Plc. 2011 saw<br />
two more major deals involving Chinese SOEs, including<br />
<strong>China</strong> National BlueStar, a unit of state-owned Chem<strong>China</strong>,<br />
€1.7bn transaction for Orkla’s silicon business, Elkem.<br />
Figure 11: Deal values vary greatly by sector and year*<br />
15<br />
单 位 1 0 亿 欧 元<br />
12<br />
9<br />
6<br />
3<br />
-<br />
能 源 、 工 业 产 品 金 融 服 务 商 务 服 务 零 售 和 消 费 电 信 媒 体 与 技 术<br />
公 共 设 施 、<br />
矿 业 和 基 础 设 施<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 年 1 季 度<br />
Source: M&A from mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />
Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
Note*: Value is based on the disclosed M&A value in the source documents<br />
The IP sector also attracts the most deals by<br />
Chinese investors<br />
Though large EUMI deals are the most valuable, other<br />
sectors are actually seeing a greater number of Europebound<br />
M&A transactions. As is the case for European<br />
investment into <strong>China</strong>, the Industrial Products sector<br />
attracts the highest volume of Chinese Europe-bound<br />
investment, followed by TMT and R&C. Europe-bound deal<br />
volume in IP increased fourfold from 4 deals in 2006 to 16<br />
by Q1 2012, with a record total of 26 deals in 2011. Indeed,<br />
the IP sector, from Chemicals to Automotive, delivered the<br />
most high value deals after the EUMI sector, with five deals<br />
completed in Sweden, Hungary, Germany, the Netherlands<br />
and France.<br />
Figure 12: Chinese investors also show a strong appetite for the IP sector<br />
Mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe sectors M&A by stake%, 2006 - Q1 2012<br />
Industrial Products<br />
EUMI<br />
Telecoms, Media & Technology<br />
Business Services<br />
Retail & Consumer<br />
FS<br />
- 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100<br />
Number of deals<br />
Undisclosed 25% stake<br />
Source: M&A from mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />
Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
12 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>
Germany overtakes the UK as a target for<br />
mainland <strong>China</strong> M&A<br />
Though the UK led the way for some time other countries<br />
have been increasing their share of Chinese investment.<br />
Germany has seen a steady rise in mainland Chinese<br />
investment in recent years, overtaking the UK in 2011 with<br />
20% of all Chinese Europe-bound deal volume and<br />
reaching 28% in Q1 2012. Since 2006, 39 of the 42 deals<br />
completed by mainland Chinese investors in Germany have<br />
been for stakes of 25% or more. Of the 21 deals completed<br />
in the 2011 and Q1 2012, seven were in the automotive<br />
sector, seven in Industrial Manufacturing and four were in<br />
Engineering & Construction, proof that Germany’s<br />
strengths in Industrial Manufacturing, Computer<br />
Hardware and the automotive industry are attractive to<br />
Chinese investors.<br />
Figure Mainland 13: <strong>China</strong> Germany, to Europe the UK M&A and France deal volume attract proportion most Chinese by M&A transactions<br />
country (2006-Q1 2012)<br />
100%<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
0%<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />
Other<br />
Austria<br />
Sweden<br />
Italy<br />
France<br />
Netherlands<br />
United Kingdom<br />
Germany<br />
Conclusion<br />
The period of 2006 to Q1 2012 probably covers one of the<br />
most difficult global economic environments of our time.<br />
Even with its vast reserves, <strong>China</strong> has had to navigate<br />
uncertainties in its major export markets, while trying to<br />
maintain pace of growth it needs. European companies<br />
have had to face slower – or no - domestic growth, as well<br />
as concerns about government debt levels and the stability<br />
of European banks. M&A transactions are challenging<br />
enough even in good times. However, it would seem from<br />
the figures that the Eurozone uncertainties, and lower<br />
growth and values, have offered opportunities to Chinese<br />
investors and spurred European ones to turn to <strong>China</strong>.<br />
Early figures for 2012 suggest that M&A activity will<br />
continue to pick up, in both volume and value terms. We<br />
will have to wait to see if some of the trends we identified<br />
here are consolidated and future editions of this review<br />
will provide updates. For certain sectors, <strong>China</strong>-Europe<br />
investment flows have become familiar. For these sectors, it<br />
will be interesting to see how the changes in ownership<br />
and presence in <strong>new</strong> markets plays out for the companies<br />
concerned. For other sectors, access and ownership<br />
restrictions may evolve over time, opening even more<br />
opportunities. We hope a look at these figures will provide<br />
those involved in M&A, whether in Beijing, Birmingham or<br />
Bonn, a better understanding of the trends in their industry<br />
and others.<br />
Source: M&A from mainland <strong>China</strong> to Europe, <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket,<br />
Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
Germany and the UK are currently ahead of other<br />
European countries when it comes to attracting Chinese<br />
investment. France, the Netherlands and Italy have the<br />
next highest deal volumes but their deal flows have varied<br />
considerably over the past six years and as yet, none of<br />
them has established a consistent trend.<br />
Malcolm Macdonald<br />
<strong>China</strong> <strong>Deals</strong> adviser<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />
+ 44 (0) 207 804 1066<br />
malcolm.x.macdonald@uk.pwc.com<br />
Following nearly 20 years working for <strong>PwC</strong> in Hong Kong and<br />
<strong>China</strong>, Malcolm is now working for <strong>PwC</strong> UK as an advisor to<br />
identify and support inbound and outbound M&A transactions<br />
between the UK and <strong>China</strong>. Malcolm will work closely with key<br />
account and industry teams, as well as colleagues in <strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong>.<br />
While in our Beijing office, Malcolm led the <strong>China</strong> Outbound<br />
initiative for <strong>PwC</strong> in <strong>China</strong>, overseeing the firm’s focus on Chinese<br />
clients that are investing overseas.<br />
Malcolm is a Fellow of the ICAEW and has a BEng (Hons) degree<br />
in Civil and Structural Engineering.<br />
Yan Lin<br />
Senior Associate<br />
Transaction Services<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />
+ 44 (0) 118 938 3175<br />
yan.z.lin@uk.pwc.com<br />
Yan Lin joined <strong>PwC</strong> UK in 2008 and works in our Transaction<br />
Services team in the South East region. Yan has assisted on<br />
various M&A transactions, acting for corporate and private equity<br />
clients across different sectors including Automotive and<br />
Technology.<br />
Yan is originally from Guangzhou and is a native speaker of<br />
Mandarin and Cantonese. She is a qualified Chartered<br />
Accountant with the ICAEW and holds a Master of Science<br />
degree from the University of Oxford.<br />
<strong>China</strong> deals 13
Getting to know... Ken Su<br />
Ken Su moved from Shanghai to Beijing in 2004 to co-found <strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong>’s Outbound Investment practice. Though he grew up in<br />
Canada, he has re-established roots in <strong>China</strong> where he has lived and worked for the last decade. His background means he<br />
brings a unique <strong>perspective</strong> to the market and his clients, whether they are Chinese companies doing business around the world<br />
or multi-national companies operating in <strong>China</strong>. From his office in Beijing, he took a few moments to reflect on the changes he<br />
has seen over the past decade.<br />
How has your work with Chinese<br />
companies evolved since the<br />
start of the Outbound investment<br />
practice?<br />
The past eight years have been an<br />
interesting journey. A lot of my role<br />
entails working as a key advisor to<br />
Chinese companies on their overseas<br />
deals, conducting due diligence,<br />
supporting them in negotiations, as<br />
well as working with them on<br />
valuations and deal structures. In<br />
addition, we actively identify<br />
attractive international investment<br />
opportunities for our clients. From our<br />
position in Beijing, we do a lot of work<br />
with our <strong>PwC</strong> network firms around<br />
the world to service our Chinese<br />
clients here and their teams based<br />
abroad. Keeping abreast of what is<br />
happening in this fast moving market<br />
is central to all of this, so the team’s<br />
work includes market analysis and<br />
thought leadership development<br />
around key sectors of interest and<br />
Chinese overseas investment trends.<br />
What key trends have you seen<br />
recently in deal flows between<br />
<strong>China</strong> and Europe?<br />
The big trend is the growing number<br />
of sectors in which Chinese companies<br />
want to invest. Where it used <strong>only</strong> to<br />
be about buying access resources, now<br />
companies are buying into more<br />
industrial and consumer goods<br />
companies. Equally, the buyer base<br />
has expanded. In the past, the buyers<br />
were almost all central SOEs, we then<br />
saw the first provincial SOEs doing<br />
outbound deals, followed by privately<br />
owned Chinese companies. More<br />
recently, Chinese Private Equity<br />
companies have begun to invest<br />
abroad, opening up a completely <strong>new</strong><br />
range of opportunities. From a<br />
<strong>China</strong>-Europe <strong>perspective</strong>, there has<br />
been a gradual increase in interest<br />
linked to this broadening out of both<br />
sector-interest and the buyer base. We<br />
can see this in <strong>China</strong>-Europe deal flow<br />
to the Automotive, Aerospace and<br />
Industrial Products sectors in<br />
particular. At the same time, the level<br />
of sophistication of Chinese investors<br />
has increased along with their ties to<br />
European companies and agencies;<br />
this in turn facilitates even more deals.<br />
In my opinion, Europe has a lot to gain<br />
from these trends, including injections<br />
of capital, access to <strong>China</strong>’s markets<br />
and possibly even fresh <strong>perspective</strong>s<br />
on business.<br />
What are the key driving factors<br />
of a Chinese company's decision<br />
to invest abroad?<br />
Chinese companies continue to invest<br />
abroad with the goal of acquiring key<br />
strategic resources as well as<br />
technology and brands. However, we<br />
are beginning to see more companies<br />
investing to acquire distribution<br />
channels and to access markets and<br />
we believe these drivers will increase<br />
in importance over the coming years.<br />
How does the M&A team of a<br />
typical Chinese company compare<br />
to their western counterparts?<br />
It is difficult to generalize about M&A<br />
teams in a 'typical' Chinese company,<br />
as there are many kinds of Chinese<br />
companies and many M&A<br />
department models in operation. It is<br />
probably fair to say that they tend to<br />
differ in terms of their typical size,<br />
how they function and how they fit in<br />
with the rest of the organisation.<br />
Eight years ago, when the outbound<br />
investment wave was really beginning<br />
to take off, it could have been said that<br />
approaches to deals were less<br />
structured but now more and more<br />
companies have dedicated M&A teams<br />
and even specific overseas investment<br />
departments. We also see that Chinese<br />
companies are evolving the way they<br />
use external advisors during the M&A<br />
process as they engage in more and<br />
more overseas deals.<br />
14 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>
What do you consider the biggest<br />
challenges for Chinese investors<br />
doing deals in Europe?<br />
Upfront, it can be difficult finding<br />
deals that fit with the buyer’s strategy<br />
and are feasible targets. Managing the<br />
deal process effectively so that the<br />
client can make a well- informed<br />
decision demands a lot of work.<br />
Settling valuation and price issues is<br />
clearly critical but guiding the client<br />
through the negotiation can be an<br />
intensive process, given that the<br />
parties usually have differing business<br />
practices and, in many cases, are<br />
focusing on longer-term strategic<br />
goals, as opposed to commercial<br />
returns, when negotiating pricing and<br />
deal terms. We also work with the<br />
client to handle all the regulatory<br />
requirements both here in <strong>China</strong> and<br />
in Europe to get the deal approved. In<br />
addition, our work usually includes<br />
resolving many of the post-deal issues.<br />
What advice can you give<br />
European companies<br />
engaged in a deal process with<br />
Chinese companies?<br />
Because of the complexity and<br />
differing procedures for deal approval,<br />
European companies may need to<br />
prepare for a lengthier deal process<br />
and so they will need to be patient for<br />
the deal to complete, which in some<br />
cases can take years rather than<br />
months. We often see deals take three<br />
years to get done: a two-year deal<br />
process is not uncommon and in<br />
extreme cases it could be four or<br />
five years.<br />
What are your top three pieces of<br />
advice for a potential Chinese<br />
company looking to invest<br />
in Europe?<br />
It is hard to pin things down to just<br />
three points for any situation but in<br />
general, I would say first, ensure the<br />
targeted deal ties in with the<br />
company's short, medium and long<br />
term strategies. Second, Chinese<br />
investors should be prepared for a<br />
sophisticated deal process involving<br />
multiple advisors on both sides of the<br />
deal. Finally, getting to a win-win<br />
situation may involve some<br />
compromise on the initial plans so<br />
showing a little flexibility may go a<br />
long way.<br />
Ken Su<br />
Partner<br />
Transaction Services<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong><br />
Tel: +86 (10) 6533 7290<br />
ken.x.su@cn.pwc.com<br />
Ken Su is a Partner in <strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong>'s<br />
Transaction Services team and a founder<br />
of the firm's <strong>China</strong> Outbound Investment<br />
practice. He joined <strong>PwC</strong> Canada in 1993<br />
and <strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong> in 2004. Ken works with<br />
many large Chinese companies including<br />
CIC, Petro<strong>China</strong>, CNOOC, <strong>China</strong><br />
Minmetals, <strong>China</strong>lco, AVIC, SDIC, Sinopec<br />
and Shandong Gold. Ken is a fully<br />
qualified CA (Canada), CPA (USA), and<br />
CFA (International).<br />
<strong>China</strong> deals 15
From deal-breakers<br />
to deal-makers<br />
Closing the valuations gap for more successful<br />
<strong>China</strong>-Europe deals<br />
Introduction<br />
Anecdotes and copious press coverage<br />
could give European businesses,<br />
looking for buyers, the impression<br />
that a raft of Chinese investors is<br />
arriving, ready - and able - to pay<br />
above the odds for acquisitions. The<br />
reality is more nuanced. Although<br />
about 30% of <strong>China</strong>’s outward<br />
investment already flows towards<br />
Europe, that amount actually<br />
represents less than 0.2% of all<br />
non-financial foreign investment<br />
stock in Europe. As other articles in<br />
this review highlight, overall dealflow<br />
between <strong>China</strong> and Europe is<br />
steadily increasing and now includes<br />
a wider range of sectors than in the<br />
past. We believe that increasing the<br />
number of these deals, by privately<br />
owned Chinese enterprises (POEs) as<br />
well by Chinese State owned<br />
enterprises (SOEs), represents a huge<br />
opportunity for European and<br />
Chinese business alike.<br />
However, despite some success<br />
stories, we sometimes hear of deals<br />
falling through, even when the<br />
prospective Chinese buyer is the<br />
highest bidder.<br />
Number and value of deals with Chinese (inc. HK) investors in Europe<br />
Number and value of deals with Chinese (incl. HK) investors in Europe<br />
Number of deals<br />
120<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
-<br />
In this section, we look behind the<br />
headlines to understand why some<br />
<strong>China</strong>-Europe deals never make it to<br />
completion. In particular, we consider<br />
the gap between buyers’ and sellers’<br />
<strong>perspective</strong>s of valuations and the<br />
deal-making process and suggest how<br />
those differences can be resolved.<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />
Number of deals<br />
Deal value (€m)<br />
Average of 61 242 387 61 319 277 159<br />
deal value (€m)<br />
18,000<br />
15,000<br />
12,000<br />
9,000<br />
6,000<br />
3,000<br />
-<br />
*Value of deals (€m)<br />
Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
Note*: Value is based on the disclosed M&A value in the source documents<br />
16 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>
Is there a Chinese price<br />
when it comes<br />
to valuations?<br />
According to Dealogic 1 , Chinese<br />
companies are paying greater<br />
premiums for cross-border<br />
acquisitions. Reports suggest that<br />
Chinese companies pay a 28.8 per cent<br />
premium on average, compared to the<br />
US average of 25.6 per cent, the<br />
Japanese average of 26.6 per cent, and<br />
a broader Europe, Middle East and<br />
Africa average of 25.6 per cent. 2<br />
Media coverage of Chinese investor<br />
deals seems to support these findings:<br />
Recent examples include the <strong>China</strong><br />
Yangtze Three Gorges Development<br />
Corporation’s winning bid in<br />
December 2011 for a stake in Energias<br />
de Portugal, for which they paid a<br />
significant 53% premium3. <strong>China</strong><br />
Development Bank was the highest<br />
bidder for RBS Aviation Capital in<br />
January 2012, as was Bright Food in<br />
the bid for Yoplait in February 2011,<br />
although in both cases, they lost out to<br />
lower bids. Chinese business leaders<br />
have a reputation of being good<br />
traders, able to strike a good deal, so<br />
why is it in some cases with outbound<br />
M&A that they seem to be paying a<br />
higher premium? To understand why<br />
this is often the case for <strong>China</strong>-Europe<br />
deals, we need to understand what is<br />
motivating both the buyers and<br />
the sellers.<br />
1 Measured by comparing the deal valuation with<br />
the market capitalisation of the target one month<br />
before deal announcement, when compared to<br />
cross-border acquisitions made by companies<br />
from other countries<br />
2 “<strong>China</strong> Inc: record outbound M&A”, July 27, 2011,<br />
FT.com<br />
3 “Privatisation: Extensive sell-offs constitute<br />
irreversible retreat by government”, April 10,<br />
2012, FT.com<br />
No deal without a seal of approval<br />
All outbound investments are subject to approval by both<br />
the Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) and the National<br />
Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) or their<br />
affiliated agencies at local levels, depending on the scale<br />
and complexity of the deals. In addition, SOEs must obtain<br />
approval from or report to the State-owned Assets<br />
Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC)<br />
– which is effectively the State holding company for all<br />
SOEs. All overseas deals in foreign currency also need State<br />
Administration of Foreign Exchanges (SAFE) approval.<br />
Both SOEs and POEs are more likely to receive State<br />
support for deals considered beneficial for <strong>China</strong>, an<br />
important consideration being their strategic fit with<br />
prevailing State policies.<br />
SOEs and POEs face<br />
different hurdles<br />
for funding<br />
Though both SOEs and POEs need<br />
regulatory approval for outbound M&A,<br />
SOEs face a slightly more onerous<br />
approval process (see above). However,<br />
SOEs usually have better access than<br />
POEs to funds from the State-backed<br />
“policy” banks, such as the Export<br />
Import Bank (Exim) or <strong>China</strong><br />
Development Bank. Having said this, it<br />
would be wrong to assume that they<br />
have access to loans by default. Foreign<br />
companies must assume that a Chinese<br />
lender to a Chinese bidder will demand<br />
a commercial rate of return appropriate<br />
to the risk of the investment, as would<br />
an international lender.<br />
At the same time, <strong>China</strong> is currently<br />
the home of the world’s biggest foreign<br />
exchange reserves (US$3.3 trillion) 4 , a<br />
factor that ultimately supports the<br />
lending power of State-backed banks.<br />
Additionally, <strong>China</strong>’s State-backed<br />
banks were less exposed to the global<br />
financial crisis compared to their<br />
western counterparts, leaving them in<br />
a position to offer rates similar to<br />
those pre-credit crunch 5 .<br />
4 "<strong>China</strong>’s Forex Reserves Show First Decline in<br />
Three Months", April 24, 2012, Bloomberg News<br />
5 We note that the limited availability of data about<br />
the rates obtained by companies borrowing in<br />
<strong>China</strong> makes it difficult to judge the degree to<br />
which they can borrow at cheaper rates<br />
compared to western competitors<br />
<strong>China</strong> deals 17
Why pay more?<br />
Understanding Chinese<br />
investors’ rationale for<br />
strategic premium<br />
While <strong>China</strong>’s SOEs may have easier<br />
access to funds, POEs face less<br />
favourable conditions without the<br />
same State-backing. Nevertheless,<br />
POEs have also demonstrated<br />
themselves as ready to make high bids,<br />
indicating that access to funding<br />
cannot be the <strong>only</strong> factor at play.<br />
Looking at a range of deals, we can<br />
see a number of factors powering<br />
Chinese investors’ rationale to offer a<br />
strategic premium.<br />
Hidden Dragons<br />
There is strong evidence to suggest<br />
that a premium may be justified<br />
because Chinese investors can gain<br />
greater benefits from the acquisition<br />
by leveraging the potential of their<br />
large domestic market and creating<br />
synergies that are often not easily<br />
accessible or visible to their western<br />
competitors. One example is Bright<br />
Foods Group’s search for a brand name<br />
target culminating in the successful<br />
bid for Weetabix in May 2012, to<br />
capitalise from the growing taste for<br />
western food in <strong>China</strong>.<br />
The opportunity to acquire<br />
established brands and intellectual<br />
property may justify a higher<br />
valuation, given the high growth<br />
potential of the Chinese market.<br />
Lenovo’s €511m acquisition of Medion,<br />
a German consumer electronics<br />
company will bring a 14% share of the<br />
German market and a total market<br />
share of 7.5% in Europe, as well as<br />
expertise in marketing, sales and<br />
distribution. Sany heavy industry<br />
acquired Putzmeister, a world-class<br />
German manufacturer of hi-tech<br />
pumps, for €360m. This will allow<br />
<strong>China</strong>’s largest construction<br />
equipment manufacturer to gain<br />
global exposure through the<br />
Putzmeister brand, whilst<br />
simultaneously taking its technology<br />
to the Chinese market. <strong>China</strong> National<br />
Bluestar’s €1.7bn acquisition of Elkem<br />
brought it access to highly energy<br />
efficient solar-grade silicon, giving<br />
Bluestar an edge in the green energy<br />
market. It could take many years for a<br />
company to develop these advantages<br />
organically. Chinese investors can<br />
therefore often justify this premium,<br />
even if not explicitly quantified, as<br />
they can deploy their access to and<br />
understanding of their home market<br />
to much greater effect than their<br />
international rivals.<br />
A Chinese buyer may also seek to<br />
prevent a Chinese competitor from<br />
acquiring a desirable target. There<br />
may be significant market gains to<br />
being the first to take an acquisition to<br />
<strong>China</strong> and, thus, establish first-mover<br />
advantage against other Chinese<br />
companies, who could leverage<br />
similar synergies.<br />
Another possible explanation is<br />
that the Chinese investors making<br />
acquisitions to date may have a<br />
larger proportion of buyers with a<br />
long-term, strategic view.<br />
These investors may be more likely to<br />
hold their investment for longer, have<br />
a longer timeframe to realise the<br />
benefits of an acquisition, and<br />
consequently have a lower hurdle rate<br />
for short-term returns. On the<br />
contrary, a western private equity<br />
buyer may enter a deal with<br />
expectations of high returns from<br />
shareholders to realise gains in the<br />
short to medium term.<br />
Easier access to funds and a robust<br />
strategic rationale for a high bid<br />
should place Chinese investors in a<br />
strong bidding position. So why are<br />
high bids from Chinese investors<br />
not necessarily resulting in<br />
successful deals? To understand<br />
this phenomenon, we must look at<br />
how sellers perceive bid risks and<br />
how that influences their response<br />
to Chinese valuations.<br />
The seller’s <strong>perspective</strong> -<br />
pricing in uncertainties<br />
As the examples cited earlier show,<br />
being willing and able to pay a<br />
strategic premium for a deal is no<br />
guarantee of success. We believe that a<br />
combination of commercial, cultural<br />
and political differences generates<br />
uncertainties for sellers, with the<br />
result that they may heavily discount<br />
bids by Chinese investors. For<br />
example, Chinese investors tend to be<br />
more cautious about sharing their<br />
strategic objectives for an acquisition<br />
with other parties.<br />
18 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>
From the <strong>perspective</strong> of a seller, the<br />
lack of an articulated rationale for<br />
the higher bid can make sellers<br />
mistrustful of the bidder’s intentions.<br />
Uncertainties created by a lack of trust<br />
on both sides can <strong>only</strong> be detrimental<br />
to negotiations. A focus on improving<br />
communications between the parties,<br />
to close the expectations gap in<br />
valuations and build trust, is critical if<br />
a deal is to complete.<br />
To European sellers the Chinese<br />
deal approval process can<br />
introduce uncertainty.<br />
The seller will often lack a good<br />
understanding of the details, or the<br />
duration of the approval process from<br />
the Chinese side. The Chinese deal<br />
approval process also runs differently:<br />
in the US or Europe sellers expect<br />
buyers to be able to demonstrate key<br />
facts, such as proof of funds, prior to<br />
signing. It is the opposite in <strong>China</strong>.<br />
The Chinese process requires buyers<br />
to submit a request for approval once<br />
key matters are agreed. This may leave<br />
sellers feeling exposed and uncertain<br />
about the ability of a Chinese bidder to<br />
close the deal. This issue can be more<br />
pronounced in auction situations,<br />
where the auctioneer must have<br />
confidence in the ability of the bidder<br />
to deliver on their bid. One effective<br />
solution could be for the Chinese<br />
investor to secure a period of<br />
exclusivity during a bid process within<br />
which they can try to sort out<br />
approvals, but this can be difficult to<br />
achieve.<br />
Uncertainties may also exist over a<br />
Chinese investor’s ability to manage<br />
the target business effectively.<br />
This may be of particular concern for<br />
the seller if the target has global<br />
operations, demanding a high degree<br />
of international experience combined<br />
with local knowledge. It was reported<br />
that Bright Foods Group lost out to a<br />
lower rival bid from US General Mills<br />
because of a perceived lack of global<br />
operational and brand experience 6 .<br />
There could also be concerns about<br />
the preservation of corporate identity<br />
and the retention of key management.<br />
Beyond cultural differences in<br />
commercial practice and<br />
communication, large deals in any<br />
territory by foreign investors can<br />
trigger the risk of political<br />
intervention in the target country. As<br />
Chinese corporates are often under<br />
the guidance of a State that many<br />
countries consider a strategic<br />
competitor, acquisitions that are too<br />
high profile, or have overlaps with<br />
strategically sensitive industries<br />
such as defence, may also come with<br />
political risks. The seller’s own<br />
government may step in to request<br />
assurances, even for non-defence<br />
industries. In the current economic<br />
climate, job protection and the<br />
preservation of brands perceived as<br />
“national” champions can provoke<br />
press attention, if not actual political<br />
intervention. Past examples include<br />
the bid for 3Com by Huawei, the bid<br />
for Unocal by CNOOC, and the bid for<br />
Potash Corp by Sinochem. In highly<br />
politicised situations, getting to a deal<br />
can prove impossible, regardless of<br />
how high a strategic premium Chinese<br />
investors may be willing to pay.<br />
6 "Shanghai's Bright Food loses battle for big<br />
Western brand", March 18, 2011, FT.com<br />
Discounting for<br />
uncertainties – an<br />
equation of unknowns<br />
Uncertainties over the investor’s<br />
ability to complete the deal, as well as<br />
the buyer’s ability to preserve and<br />
grow the value of the acquisition, may<br />
lead to a discount being placed on the<br />
investor’s bid. A seller will invariably<br />
weigh up the pros and cons of a<br />
Chinese bid to that of a rival bid with<br />
greater certainty of outcome. A<br />
Chinese buyer may not have<br />
sufficiently priced in these risks to<br />
their bid. In other words, the highest<br />
valuation in absolute terms may not be<br />
the highest bid after taking into<br />
account the seller’s discount for risks<br />
– perceived or otherwise.<br />
Despite this expectations gap, we<br />
note that Chinese SOEs and POEs<br />
have found Europe to be a more<br />
receptive market for investment<br />
compared to North America, resulting<br />
in increasing Chinese interest in<br />
making European acquisitions. We<br />
have also observed an increasing<br />
willingness of the Chinese investors<br />
to be flexible and more open towards<br />
partnerships. Chinese buyers are<br />
recognising the importance of<br />
retaining local management, not just<br />
in response to local concerns about<br />
job retention but in optimising their<br />
bids, the transfer of expertise to<br />
<strong>China</strong>, and the future growth<br />
potential of the acquisition.<br />
<strong>China</strong> deals 19
Valuations – a summary of the factors behind the buyers’ and sellers’ rationale<br />
Chinese strategic premium rationale<br />
Strategic fit –Realisation of synergies in the Chinese market,<br />
first-mover advantage, brand, technological know-how<br />
Easier access to capital<br />
Relatively longer-term view of investment - greater timeframe to<br />
realise benefits from the acquisition, and less subject to shareholder<br />
pressures for short-term returns<br />
Seller’s discount rationale<br />
Uncertainty about outcome of the deal approval process and the ability<br />
of the buyer to complete the deal<br />
Risk of political intervention<br />
Concerns about access to capital (especially when dealing<br />
with POEs)<br />
Concerns about capacity to manage global operations/global brands<br />
and retention of existing management and workforce<br />
Conclusions<br />
Although there have been some high profile Chinese<br />
inbound acquisitions in Europe, the overall level of<br />
investment is not huge, at least not yet. However, we expect<br />
the number of collaborative partnerships and acquisitions<br />
of European firms by Chinese investors to continue<br />
increasing. A focus on technological know-how and<br />
branded products that can be leveraged in <strong>China</strong>’s rapidly<br />
growing middle-class consumer market will make<br />
European companies increasingly attractive to<br />
Chinese investors.<br />
Chinese investors are learning quickly about investing in<br />
Europe. While cultural and political barriers continue to<br />
exist, Europe has been more open to Chinese investment<br />
and European companies have much to gain in<br />
understanding how Chinese investors set valuations.<br />
The main driver behind the strategic premiums being paid by<br />
Chinese investors is their ability to leverage the high growth<br />
potential of their domestic market. Another, but in our view<br />
less significant, driver is relative easier access to capital.<br />
The key downside risks tend to revolve around<br />
uncertainties and communication gaps between sellers and<br />
buyers, mainly due to challenges that bidders have in<br />
providing sufficient certainty of outcome. When combined<br />
with a typical seller’s relative unfamiliarity in dealing<br />
with Chinese bidders, the result can be a significant<br />
discounting of the bid price, which is difficult for Chinese<br />
buyers to factor in.<br />
The key to a successful deal is to close the expectation gap<br />
in valuation between the buyer and the seller. This can<br />
<strong>only</strong> come about through better dialogue. Sellers can<br />
improve their articulation of their concerns when<br />
negotiating with a Chinese investor. Equally, Chinese<br />
buyers can reciprocate by better explaining and<br />
quantifying their deal rationale, and addressing<br />
uncertainties around issues such as deal approval more<br />
directly. Deal advisors with strong international and<br />
local knowledge have a role to play in helping deal<br />
participants understand such issues, and in steering the<br />
dialogue so that the expectation gap can be narrowed. This<br />
will allow sellers to understand and trust a Chinese<br />
valuation offer, and Chinese buyers to complete more<br />
deals successfully.<br />
20 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>
Simon Harris<br />
Director<br />
Valuations<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />
+ 44 (0) 207 804 9413<br />
simon.harris@uk.pwc.com<br />
Simon leads <strong>PwC</strong> UK's Telecoms, Media<br />
and Technology Valuation practice.<br />
He has valued businesses and assets in<br />
those sectors for 11 years, with a particular<br />
specialism in intellectual property valuation<br />
including assets such as telecoms<br />
licences and media catalogues.<br />
Simon has advised many clients on the<br />
pricing of deals, including a significant<br />
number of cross-border deals. He has also<br />
worked with clients to assess the value of<br />
acquired assets for financial reporting<br />
purposes once the deal has completed.<br />
Tetsuya Ogino<br />
Senior Associate<br />
Valuations<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />
+ 44 (0)207 8040019<br />
tetsuya.ogino@uk.pwc.com<br />
Tetsuya joined <strong>PwC</strong> UK in London in 2007.<br />
He has experience working on FTSE<br />
audits, such as Shell and Rexam, as well<br />
as managing carbon assurance projects,<br />
such as the flagship project for the<br />
Household of Their Royal Highnesses. He<br />
also has experience on the Carbon<br />
Disclosure Project.<br />
Tetsuya has worked in the Valuations<br />
practice since 2011, where he has built<br />
experience in commercial and<br />
dispute valuations.<br />
He is a member of the Institute of Chartered<br />
Accountants in England and Wales.<br />
<strong>China</strong> deals 21
<strong>China</strong> and the UK: building<br />
on experience<br />
Figures for M&A activity between <strong>China</strong> and Europe for the<br />
period 2006 to Q1 2012 show one country to the fore: the<br />
UK. Deal flow between <strong>China</strong> and the UK has been a<br />
two-way street for several years. In 2006 and 2007,<br />
bidirectional UK-<strong>China</strong> deal volumes surpassed those<br />
between <strong>China</strong> and any other European nation. The lion’s<br />
share of UK bound investment from <strong>China</strong> came from Hong<br />
Kong. However, as more mainland Chinese investors turn<br />
to Europe for deal opportunities, they are also targeting UK<br />
companies. Despite this trend, the UK’s share of Chinese<br />
investment in Europe has fallen slightly over the last 15<br />
months, as has its <strong>China</strong>-bound deal flow. In 2011,<br />
Germany became the main European destination for<br />
Chinese M&A transactions. <strong>China</strong>-bound investment by UK<br />
companies has also slipped slightly. 2011 also saw France<br />
overtake UK as the largest investor in Chinese M&A 1 .<br />
The experience garnered from deals between UK and<br />
Chinese companies is valuable but the competition for<br />
Chinese investment – and for access to <strong>China</strong>’s growing<br />
market – is clearly intensifying. Deal flows can and do vary<br />
from year to year so there is no reason why UK companies<br />
cannot regain their position as Europe’s premier<br />
dealmakers in <strong>China</strong> – with some help. The current UK<br />
government has stepped up its efforts to increase trade<br />
with <strong>China</strong>, with the goal of bilateral trade reaching £62bn<br />
per annum by 2012 2 . But while exports are essential,<br />
getting investment flowing is equally important. <strong>China</strong>’s<br />
government policies actively support Chinese companies’<br />
outbound investments. The UK government could also<br />
develop policies to attract Chinese investors to the UK and<br />
to support UK companies wishing to invest in <strong>China</strong>. As<br />
more Chinese companies seek to establish themselves in<br />
Europe’s market and build their technological and<br />
operational capacity through M&A, UK companies in many<br />
sectors are attractive targets but they face more<br />
competition from their continental counterparts than in<br />
the past. <strong>China</strong> and the UK have strong ties and a track<br />
record of mutually beneficial M&A transactions, it would<br />
be a shame not to make a concerted effort to build on<br />
that advantage.<br />
1 All deal data is based on publically announced M&A deals as reported by<br />
Mergermarket, Thomson Reuters and Dealogic.<br />
2 “<strong>China</strong> signs £1.4bn in UK trade deals”, June 27, 2011, FT.com<br />
UK Figure to mainland 1: UK to <strong>China</strong>: <strong>China</strong> M&A and by volume Hong Kong 2006 to Q1 2012<br />
Number of deals<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
-<br />
<strong>China</strong> offers a huge manufacturing<br />
base, a less challenging funding<br />
environment and the world’s fastest<br />
growing consumer market. Chinese<br />
companies and Chinese capital may be<br />
more in demand than ever before.<br />
There is a lot to motivate both<br />
countries to maintain their head start.<br />
UK M&A deal flow to <strong>China</strong>: getting back on track<br />
During the period under review, UK outbound M&A deal<br />
activities to <strong>China</strong> peaked at sixty five transactions in 2007.<br />
After stalling during the global economic recession in 2009,<br />
M&A activity from the UK to <strong>China</strong> has recovered some<br />
ground, with 40 deals in 2011, up from 24 in 2009. Like<br />
other European investors, UK companies have focused on<br />
acquiring stakes of 25% or more of their Chinese targets.<br />
Although the UK was the major outbound investor into<br />
<strong>China</strong> and Hong Kong between 2006 and 2011, <strong>only</strong> one UK<br />
M&A transaction ranked among the top 20 European M&A<br />
deals in <strong>China</strong>. This the €647m paid by Diageo Plc for a<br />
60.3% stake in the drinks distiller and distributor Sichuan<br />
Swellfun Co Ltd. in 2010. With a very few exceptions the<br />
bulk of UK <strong>China</strong>-bound deals were priced below €100m.<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />
UK to mainland <strong>China</strong><br />
UK to Hong Kong<br />
Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
22 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>
UK investors target diverse sectors<br />
Four of the top 10 UK outbound M&A deals in <strong>China</strong> were<br />
by private equity investors. Three occurred between 2010<br />
and 2011. This appears to be part of a wider trend for<br />
increased demand from foreign private equity for M&A<br />
targets in <strong>China</strong>. In mainland <strong>China</strong> (excluding Hong Kong)<br />
9 out of the top 10 businesses targeted by UK investors were<br />
privately-owned, five of which in the Retail & Consumer<br />
sector. The fact that three of them were 100% acquisitions<br />
suggests that UK see the sector benefiting from <strong>China</strong>’s<br />
rising domestic consumption. Of the top UK <strong>China</strong>-bound<br />
investments, two were minority interest transactions in<br />
Financial Services. Other top value deals occurred in the<br />
Professional Services, Automotive and Energy, Utilities,<br />
Manufacturing and Infrastructure (EUMI) sectors. The<br />
diversity of the businesses in the table of top deals by value<br />
reflects the UK’s own diversity and that there are desirable<br />
Chinese targets across a range of industries<br />
UK to <strong>China</strong> (including Hong Kong) sectors M&A by stake%, 2006 -<br />
Q1 2012<br />
Figure 2: Most UK investment goes to BS and then to TMT in <strong>China</strong> (incl. HK)<br />
Business Services<br />
<strong>China</strong> investing into the UK: small stakes can be<br />
a big deal<br />
On average, between 2007 and 2009, 65% of M&A from<br />
<strong>China</strong> to the UK was for stakes of 25% or above. In 2008,<br />
that proportion dipped to 55% and if we exclude Hong<br />
Kong <strong>only</strong> 14% of mainland <strong>China</strong> UK-bound deals were for<br />
stakes of >25%. Though mainland <strong>China</strong> investors made<br />
more minority-stake transactions that year, many were<br />
very high value deals. Eight of them feature on the list of<br />
the 10 biggest UK-bound M&A transactions from mainland<br />
<strong>China</strong>. Topping that list for the period of 2006 to Q1 2012<br />
are deals by Alcoa and <strong>China</strong>lco for 12% of Rio Tinto,<br />
worth €8,971m, and by <strong>China</strong> Development Bank<br />
Corporation for 3.1% of Barclays Plc.<br />
From 2010 to 2011, a higher proportion of UK Inbound<br />
M&A deals were for stakes of 25% or above. In 2011, all of<br />
the UK inbound M&A from mainland <strong>China</strong> was for stakes<br />
of >25%. However, despite the transactions being for<br />
bigger stakes, 2011 produced the lowest total deal value for<br />
UK M&A deals by Chinese investors since 2006.<br />
Telecoms, Media & Technology<br />
Retail & Consumer<br />
FS<br />
EUMI<br />
Industrial Products<br />
- 20 40 60 80 100<br />
Number of deals<br />
Undisclosed 25% stake<br />
Figure 2 includes HK M&A<br />
Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
Figure 3: EUMI in mainland <strong>China</strong> is the second most attractive sector to<br />
UK investors<br />
mainland <strong>China</strong> sectors M&A by stake%, 2006 - Q1 2012)<br />
Business Services<br />
Figure 4 : Most <strong>China</strong> (incl. HK) M&A transactions are for 25% or above<br />
<strong>China</strong> to UK M&A deal volume by stake%, 2006 - Q1 2012<br />
Number of deals<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
-<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />
Undisclosed 25%<br />
Figure 4 includes HK M&A<br />
Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
EUMI<br />
Telecoms, Media & Technology<br />
Retail & Consumer<br />
Industrial Products<br />
FS<br />
Figure 3 mainland <strong>China</strong> <strong>only</strong><br />
- 20 40 60 80 100<br />
Number of deals<br />
Undisclosed 25% stake<br />
Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
UK-<strong>China</strong> M&A volume may down but value<br />
is rising<br />
Though UK <strong>China</strong>-bound deal volume is still not back to its<br />
2007 peak, the total value of UK M&A transactions in<br />
<strong>China</strong> reached a record of over €2bn in 2010. While 2011<br />
values were lower, they still exceeded the 2007 level. A<br />
sign perhaps that UK companies are prepared to pay more<br />
for the targets because they are more confident about their<br />
ability to make those investments work – or that it is the<br />
right to invest in <strong>China</strong>.<br />
Figure 5: Mainland <strong>China</strong>’s stake (excluding acquisitions Hong fluctuate Kong) to in UK the M&A UK deal<br />
volume by stake%, 2006 - Q1 2012<br />
Number of deals<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
-<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />
Figure 5 mainland <strong>China</strong> <strong>only</strong><br />
25%<br />
Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
<strong>China</strong> deals 23
<strong>China</strong> Figures (including 6 & 7: UK Hong EUMI Kong) sector UK attracts sectors most M&A Chinese by stake%, M&A 2006 – Hong - Kong-based investors favour the UK’s R&C sector<br />
Q1 2012<br />
Mainland <strong>China</strong> to UK sectors M&A by stake%, 2006 - Q1 2012<br />
EUMI<br />
EUMI<br />
Retail & Consumer<br />
Industrial Products<br />
Business Services<br />
Telecoms, Media & Technology<br />
Industrial Products<br />
FS<br />
Telecoms, Media & Technology<br />
- 5 10 15 20 25 30 35<br />
Number of deals<br />
Undisclosed 25% stake<br />
Figure 6 includes HK M&A<br />
Business Services<br />
FS<br />
Retail & Consumer<br />
- 5 10 15 20 25 30 35<br />
Number of deals<br />
25% stake<br />
Figure 7 mainland <strong>China</strong> <strong>only</strong><br />
Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
Hong Kong not mainland <strong>China</strong> brings most<br />
M&A volume to the UK<br />
As is the case for the wider bidirectional deal flow between<br />
<strong>China</strong> and Europe, the number of deals emanating from<br />
<strong>China</strong> to the UK was less than from the UK to <strong>China</strong>. Even in<br />
the peak year of 2007, there were <strong>only</strong> 23 publically<br />
disclosed deals by Chinese investors in the UK. When we<br />
exclude Hong Kong, we can see that in the period 2006 to<br />
Q1 2012, <strong>only</strong> between a quarter and a third of Chinese<br />
M&A transactions in the UK actually originate in mainland<br />
<strong>China</strong>. For a UK company looking for investment, Hong<br />
Kong remains an important port of call, in particular for<br />
Retail & Consumer companies.<br />
Chinese SOEs find strategic fit in UK targets<br />
While Hong Kong may still generate a greater volume of<br />
UK-bound M&A deals than mainland <strong>China</strong>, several of the<br />
biggest deals over the last few years have come from<br />
mainland <strong>China</strong>. Chinese State-owned enterprises (SOEs)<br />
and <strong>China</strong>’s Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) dominate the<br />
list of the ten largest UK-bound M&A transactions. Aside<br />
from the two biggest deals mentioned above, the State<br />
Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) and the <strong>China</strong><br />
Investment Corporation, both SWFs, undertook three other<br />
large deals in 2008, 2010 and 2012. SAFE took a 1% stake<br />
in BP for €1,296m, while <strong>China</strong> Investment Corporation<br />
invested €707m in 2.3% of Apax Partners LLP, a private<br />
equity partnership, and €602m for a 8.7% stake in Thames<br />
Water Utilities. These large deals reflect the fact that<br />
Chinese government can deploy its abundant foreign<br />
reserves to support the expansion of SOEs overseas, a goal<br />
they have communicated in their “going out” policy. Thus,<br />
the prevalence of UK EUMI targets tallies with the desire of<br />
Chinese investors to access natural resources, while FS<br />
targets facilitate financial and currency diversification.<br />
Figure 8: Mainland <strong>China</strong> drives most of the biggest UK-bound M&A deals<br />
(mainland <strong>China</strong>)<br />
<strong>China</strong> to UK M&A value* 2006 - Q1 2012<br />
€ in billions<br />
15<br />
12<br />
9<br />
6<br />
3<br />
-<br />
1. €2.1bn Barclays Plc<br />
(3.1%) from <strong>China</strong><br />
Development Bank<br />
(mainland <strong>China</strong>)<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012<br />
Other Top deal4 Top deal3 Top deal2 Top deal1<br />
Figure 8 includes HK M&A<br />
Source: <strong>PwC</strong> analysis of Mergermarket, Reuters and Dealogic data.<br />
Note*: Value is based on the disclosed M&A value in the source documents<br />
Conclusion<br />
1. € 8.9bn Rio Tinto Plc (12%)<br />
from <strong>China</strong>lco (mainland<br />
<strong>China</strong>) and Alcoa Inc;<br />
2. €1.3bn BP Plc (1%) from SAFE<br />
1. € 6.9bn EDF Energy-UK<br />
Power Distribution<br />
Business from Cheung<br />
Kong Infrastructure<br />
(Hong Kong)<br />
1. € 3.4bn Northumbrian<br />
Water from Cheung<br />
Kong Infrastructure<br />
(Hong Kong)<br />
While M&A flows between the UK and <strong>China</strong> are off to<br />
a good start, both nations need to continue to develop<br />
their ties. While high value, headline-grabbing deals<br />
are important, particularly in a gloomy economic<br />
environment, increasing the number – and overall<br />
value – of deals will strengthen commercial links and<br />
experience - and thus generate even more<br />
opportunities. The UK is one of the European nations<br />
most open to Chinese investors. It has a strong<br />
advanced manufacturing and R&D base, offers a<br />
gateway to European markets, and is a leading<br />
financial centre but it needs investment, and to create<br />
jobs. <strong>China</strong> offers a huge manufacturing base, a less<br />
challenging funding environment and the world’s<br />
fastest growing consumer market. Chinese companies<br />
and Chinese capital may be more in demand than ever<br />
before. There is a lot to motivate both countries to build<br />
on their track record.<br />
24 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>
<strong>China</strong> deals 25
Please get in touch<br />
Nick Page<br />
Partner<br />
Transaction Services<br />
UK Emerging Markets leader<br />
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7213 1442<br />
E: nick.r.page@uk.pwc.com<br />
Malcolm Macdonald<br />
<strong>China</strong> <strong>Deals</strong> adviser<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />
Tel: + 44 (0) 207 804 1066<br />
E: malcolm.x.macdonald@uk.pwc.com<br />
Philip Bloomfield<br />
Partner<br />
Transaction Services<br />
UK <strong>China</strong> team leader<br />
Tel: +44 (0)20 7804 4904<br />
E: philip.bloomfield@uk.pwc.com<br />
Ken Su<br />
Partner<br />
Transaction Services<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong><br />
Tel: +86 (10) 6533 7290<br />
E: ken.x.su@cn.pwc.com<br />
Allan Zhang<br />
Director<br />
Advisory<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />
Tel: +44(0)207 804 5605<br />
E: allan.x.zhang@uk.pwc.com<br />
Sir Tom Troubridge<br />
Chairman<br />
<strong>China</strong> Business Group<br />
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7804 4723<br />
E: tom.troubridge@uk.pwc.com<br />
Yan Lin<br />
Senior Associate<br />
Transaction Services<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />
Tel: + 44 (0) 118 938 3175<br />
E: yan.z.lin@uk.pwc.com<br />
Suwei Jiang<br />
Partner and Senior <strong>China</strong> Adviser<br />
<strong>China</strong> Business Group<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7804 9248<br />
E: suwei.jiang@uk.pwc.com<br />
Chen Li<br />
Manager<br />
Transaction Services<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />
Tel: +44 (0) 207 804 2731<br />
E: chen.li@uk.pwc.com<br />
Craig Stevenson<br />
Partner<br />
UK <strong>China</strong> Legal Team Leader<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> Legal<br />
Tel: +44 (0) 207 212 1612<br />
E: craig.stevenson@pwclegal.co.uk<br />
Shen Kan<br />
Manager<br />
Transaction Services<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> UK<br />
Tel: +44 (0) 207 213 8234<br />
E: shen.kan@uk.pwc.com<br />
Cynthia Chan<br />
Senior Manager<br />
UK <strong>China</strong> Markets Leader<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> Legal<br />
Tel: +44 (0) 207 212 1918<br />
E: cynthia.chan@pwclegal.co.uk<br />
26 A fresh <strong>perspective</strong>
Calum Davidson<br />
Advisory Leader<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong> and Hong Kong<br />
Tel: +852 2289 2323<br />
E: calum.davidson@hk.pwc.com<br />
Frank Lyn<br />
<strong>China</strong> Markets Leader, <strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong><br />
Corporate Finance Leader<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong> and Hong Kong<br />
Tel: +86 (10) 6533 2388<br />
E: frank.lyn@cn.pwc.com<br />
David Brown<br />
Transaction Services Leader<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong><br />
Tel: + 852 2289 2400<br />
E: d.brown@hk.pwc.com<br />
Leon Qian<br />
Transaction Services Leader<br />
for Beijing<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong><br />
Tel: +86 (10) 6533 2940<br />
E: leon.qian@cn.pwc.com<br />
Andrew Li<br />
Transaction Services Leader<br />
for Shanghai<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong><br />
Tel: +86 (21) 2323 3437<br />
E: andrew.li@cn.pwc.com<br />
Edwin Wong<br />
<strong>China</strong> Outbound Investment<br />
Services Leader<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> <strong>China</strong><br />
Tel: +86 (10) 6533 2100<br />
E: edwin.wong@cn.pwc.com<br />
<strong>China</strong> deals 27
www.pwc.co.uk/china<br />
<strong>PwC</strong> firms help organisations and individuals create the value they’re looking for. We’re a network of firms with 169,000 people in more than 158 countries who are<br />
committed to delivering quality in assurance, tax and advisory services. Tell us what matters to you and find out more by visiting us at www.pwc.com.<br />
This publication has been prepared for general guidance on matters of interest <strong>only</strong>, and does not constitute professional advice. You should not act upon the<br />
information contained in this publication without obtaining specific professional advice. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is given as to the accuracy or<br />
completeness of the information contained in this publication, and, to the extent permitted by law, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, its members, employees and agents do<br />
not accept or assume any liability, responsibility or duty of care for any consequences of you or anyone else acting, or refraining to act, in reliance on the information<br />
contained in this publication or for any decision based on it.<br />
© 2012 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP. All rights reserved. In this document, "<strong>PwC</strong>" refers to the UK member firm, and may sometimes refer to the <strong>PwC</strong> network. Each<br />
member firm is a separate legal entity. Please see www.pwc.com/structure for further details.<br />
120618-140958-SW-OS