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Market Matrix Thursday, April 4, 2013 27<br />

US recovery,<br />

Cyprus events hit<br />

gold; silver flat<br />

Traders on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange, on Wednesday. (REUTERS)<br />

Global shares, dollar fall<br />

on weaker US jobs data<br />

REUTERS<br />

NEW YORK<br />

MAJOR stock markets and<br />

the US dollar fell on<br />

Wednesday after weakerthan-expected<br />

growth <strong>in</strong> U.S.<br />

private-sector jobs and services<br />

dented some optimism<br />

about the world’s largest<br />

economy, while <strong>in</strong>vestors<br />

awaited policy meet<strong>in</strong>gs by<br />

central banks <strong>in</strong> the euru zone<br />

and Japan.<br />

Brent crude slipped below<br />

$110 a barrel as oil stockpiles<br />

swelled <strong>in</strong> the United States,<br />

the top oil consumer, where a<br />

struggl<strong>in</strong>g economy is limit<strong>in</strong>g<br />

demand for fuel.<br />

US private employers<br />

added 158,000 jobs <strong>in</strong> March,<br />

the smallest ga<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> five<br />

months and fall<strong>in</strong>g short of<br />

economists’ expectations. The<br />

report by ADP <strong>in</strong>jected caution<br />

among <strong>in</strong>vestors about<br />

Friday’s all-important government<br />

jobs data.<br />

“The disappo<strong>in</strong>t<strong>in</strong>g headl<strong>in</strong>e<br />

did dent some of the<br />

recent optimism surround<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the U.S. recovery and the<br />

overall improvement <strong>in</strong><br />

labour markets,” said Omer<br />

Es<strong>in</strong>er, chief market analyst<br />

at Commonwealth Foreign<br />

Exchange <strong>in</strong> Wash<strong>in</strong>gton.<br />

“While the ADP and broader<br />

non-farm payroll numbers<br />

have not had the closest correlation<br />

over recent months,<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestors are likely to go <strong>in</strong>to<br />

Friday’s jobs report a bit more<br />

cautious.”<br />

Analysts forecast U.S. nonfarm<br />

payrolls hit 200,000 <strong>in</strong><br />

March, with the unemployment<br />

rate seen hold<strong>in</strong>g steady<br />

at 7.7 percent.<br />

A separate release showed<br />

the pace of growth <strong>in</strong> the vast<br />

US services sector slowed <strong>in</strong><br />

March to the lowest level <strong>in</strong><br />

seven months as new orders<br />

and employment measures<br />

pulled back.<br />

The MSCI world <strong>in</strong>dex<br />

slipped 0.2 percent to 359.42<br />

po<strong>in</strong>ts.<br />

The Dow Jones <strong>in</strong>dustrial<br />

average dropped 26.45<br />

po<strong>in</strong>ts, or 0.18 percent, to<br />

14,635.56. The Standard &<br />

Poor’s 500 Index fell 6.01<br />

po<strong>in</strong>ts, or 0.38 percent, to<br />

1,564.24. The Nasdaq<br />

Composite Index shed 8.72<br />

po<strong>in</strong>ts, or 0.27 percent, to<br />

3,246.15.<br />

European shares lost 0.5<br />

percent after surg<strong>in</strong>g 1.3 percent<br />

the previous day, with<br />

heavy falls <strong>in</strong> the telecoms<br />

and m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g sectors.<br />

The dollar <strong>in</strong>dex, which<br />

measures the greenback versus<br />

a basket of currencies,<br />

dropped 0.3 percent to<br />

82.697.<br />

The euro rose 0.3 percent<br />

to $1.2856, while the dollar<br />

fell 0.5 percent to 92.92 yen.<br />

The European Central<br />

Bank and the Bank of Japan<br />

are both expected to make<br />

monetary policy announcements<br />

on Thursday.<br />

Analysts said a recent run<br />

of weak eurozone data, political<br />

turmoil <strong>in</strong> Italy, and concerns<br />

over Cyprus could lead<br />

ECB President Mario Draghi<br />

to strike a dovish tone <strong>in</strong> his<br />

comments after the meet<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

REUTERS<br />

LONDON<br />

GOLD p<strong>rice</strong>s fell on<br />

Wednesday, extend<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

previous day’s sharp slide, as<br />

the metal’s appeal as a haven<br />

from risk was hurt by speculation<br />

the US economic<br />

recovery is ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g traction<br />

and a retreat <strong>in</strong> concerns<br />

over Cyprus.<br />

Gold slid 1.4 percent on<br />

Tuesday, its biggest one-day<br />

drop s<strong>in</strong>ce February 20, as<br />

stocks markets rallied <strong>in</strong><br />

Europe and the United<br />

States. Firmer appetite for<br />

assets seen as higher risk,<br />

like equities, dented <strong>in</strong>terest<br />

<strong>in</strong> safe-haven bullion.<br />

The metal hit its lowest<br />

s<strong>in</strong>ce March 8 <strong>in</strong> early trade<br />

at $1,563.06, but clawed<br />

back some losses as the rally<br />

<strong>in</strong> European stock markets<br />

stalled.<br />

Spot gold was down 0.2<br />

percent at $1,571.80 an<br />

ounce at 1203 GMT, while<br />

US gold futures for April<br />

delivery were down 0.3 percent<br />

at $1,571.70 an ounce.<br />

“Ascrib<strong>in</strong>g gold weakness<br />

to equity strength is shorthand<br />

for talk<strong>in</strong>g about risk<br />

appetite, and there’s no<br />

doubt that the ostensible<br />

solution to what’s been happen<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong> Cyprus took away<br />

some of the short-term reason<br />

to hold gold,” Mitsui<br />

Precious Metals analyst<br />

David Jollie said.<br />

“There is certa<strong>in</strong>ly a degree<br />

of optimism about the U.S.<br />

economy, and that should<br />

lead to some reductions <strong>in</strong><br />

gold long positions,” he<br />

added. “There is scope for<br />

gold to strengthen if economic<br />

data isn’t as strong as<br />

people are hop<strong>in</strong>g, but at the<br />

moment, there’s a lack of justification<br />

to buy <strong>in</strong> the short<br />

term.”<br />

European shares steadied<br />

on Tuesday as speculation of<br />

takeover activity among telecom<br />

stocks dissipated, capp<strong>in</strong>g<br />

its previous ga<strong>in</strong>s, while<br />

the euro edged up a touch<br />

versus the dollar.<br />

F<strong>in</strong>ancial market participants<br />

largely stuck to the<br />

sidel<strong>in</strong>es ahead of policy<br />

announcements from the<br />

Bank of Japan and the<br />

European Central Bank later<br />

this week, and Friday’s key<br />

US non-farm payrolls data.<br />

“With NFP figures due out<br />

on Friday, the (gold) market<br />

may not get itself too short <strong>in</strong><br />

case of a bad figure,” Marex<br />

Spectron said <strong>in</strong> a note. “But<br />

overall, the trend is lower<br />

and the sentiment is negative.”<br />

From a technical perspective,<br />

Tuesday’s sell-off has<br />

left gold trad<strong>in</strong>g just above<br />

support at $1,561.55 and<br />

$1,555.55, the March and<br />

February lows, UBS said <strong>in</strong> a<br />

note.<br />

Gold slid 1.4 percent<br />

on Tuesday, its<br />

biggest one-day drop<br />

s<strong>in</strong>ce February 20,<br />

as stocks markets<br />

rallied <strong>in</strong> Europe and<br />

the US. Firmer<br />

appetite for assets<br />

seen as higher risk,<br />

like equities, dented<br />

<strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> safehaven<br />

bullion.<br />

“With the trend<strong>in</strong>g and<br />

momentum <strong>in</strong>dicators po<strong>in</strong>t<strong>in</strong>g<br />

lower, a break below<br />

these would extend weakness<br />

to test strong support at<br />

1,526.97, the May 2012 low,”<br />

the Swiss bank said.<br />

“Silver... is currently test<strong>in</strong>g<br />

critical support at 27.01,<br />

the August 2012 low,” it<br />

added.<br />

“With the mov<strong>in</strong>g average<br />

convergence divergence<br />

(MACD) below its zero l<strong>in</strong>e,<br />

reflect<strong>in</strong>g a bearish trend, a<br />

break below this would trigger<br />

a deeper sell-off to test<br />

next significant support at<br />

26.50 and 26.16.”<br />

Spot silver was flat at<br />

$27.20 an ounce, off an<br />

eight-month low of $26.88<br />

hit <strong>in</strong> earlier trade. Silver was<br />

at its cheapest compared to<br />

gold s<strong>in</strong>ce August, with an<br />

ounce of gold now buy<strong>in</strong>g<br />

nearly 58 ounces of silver, up<br />

from around 50 ounces <strong>in</strong><br />

late November.<br />

Mubadala <strong>in</strong>ks<br />

$2bn loan<br />

ref<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g deal<br />

REUTERS<br />

DUBAI<br />

ABU DHABI state <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />

fund Mubadala has<br />

signed a $2 billion loan ref<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

two bank<strong>in</strong>g<br />

sources said on Wednesday.<br />

The three-year revolv<strong>in</strong>g<br />

credit facility attracted a<br />

total of 19 <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />

lenders, one of the sources<br />

said, and replaces a $2.5 billion<br />

loan agreed <strong>in</strong> 2010.<br />

Banks tak<strong>in</strong>g part <strong>in</strong> the<br />

transaction would be<br />

regarded by Mubadala as<br />

key relationship lenders,<br />

mean<strong>in</strong>g they would be chosen<br />

for future fee-pay<strong>in</strong>g<br />

work, Kelly Thomson,<br />

Mubadala’s head of structured<br />

f<strong>in</strong>ance, told a conference<br />

<strong>in</strong> Dubai <strong>in</strong> January.<br />

Prospects for longer-term<br />

bus<strong>in</strong>ess for banks would<br />

mean the loan’s pric<strong>in</strong>g<br />

would favour Mubadala,<br />

Thomson said at the time.<br />

The loan is expected to be<br />

undrawn by the company<br />

and the banks will be paid 45<br />

basis po<strong>in</strong>ts over the relevant<br />

benchmark, with the<br />

<strong>in</strong>terest rate <strong>in</strong>creased if<br />

Mubadala uses some of the<br />

cash, the second bank<strong>in</strong>g<br />

source said.<br />

Mubadala, which owns<br />

<strong>stake</strong>s <strong>in</strong> global companies<br />

such as General Electric and<br />

private equity <strong>firm</strong> Carlyle,<br />

didn’t immediately respond<br />

to a request for comment.<br />

<strong>Indian</strong> shares fall 240 pts<br />

REUTERS<br />

MUMBAI<br />

INDIAN shares snapped a<br />

four-day w<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g streak on<br />

Wednesday to post their<br />

biggest falls <strong>in</strong> two weeks as<br />

auto shares such as Tata<br />

Motors were hit by weak<br />

March sales, while recent<br />

outperformers such as<br />

Larsen & Toubro retreated.<br />

Prime M<strong>in</strong>ister Manmohan<br />

S<strong>in</strong>gh’s speech earlier <strong>in</strong> the<br />

day urg<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess leaders<br />

to keep faith <strong>in</strong> his government’s<br />

efforts towards<br />

improv<strong>in</strong>g a dire <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />

climate failed to bolster market<br />

sentiment as he did not<br />

give concrete measures<br />

towards recovery.<br />

S<strong>in</strong>gh’s comments also<br />

failed to resonate given cont<strong>in</strong>ued<br />

political uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty<br />

and worries about early elections<br />

after the withdrawal of<br />

a key regional ally from the<br />

rul<strong>in</strong>g coalition last month,<br />

dealers said.<br />

A redeem<strong>in</strong>g factor has<br />

been foreign <strong>in</strong>stitutional<br />

<strong>in</strong>flows of over $10 billion so<br />

far this year.<br />

“The sentiment is cautious<br />

at this po<strong>in</strong>t. Given the political<br />

situation, some more<br />

downside is possible,” said G.<br />

Chokkal<strong>in</strong>gam, Executive<br />

Director & Chief Investment<br />

Officer, Centrum Wealth<br />

Management.<br />

“It seems like even the FII<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestments this year also<br />

look at risk of be<strong>in</strong>g pulled<br />

out,” he said.<br />

The BSE <strong>in</strong>dex fell 1.26<br />

percent, or 239.31 po<strong>in</strong>ts to<br />

18,801.64 po<strong>in</strong>ts, post<strong>in</strong>g its<br />

biggest daily percentage fall<br />

s<strong>in</strong>ce March 19 and eras<strong>in</strong>g a<br />

good chunk of its 1.9 percent<br />

ga<strong>in</strong> over the past four previous<br />

trad<strong>in</strong>g sessions.<br />

The broader NSE <strong>in</strong>dex<br />

ended down 1.31 percent, or<br />

75.20 po<strong>in</strong>ts to 5,672.90.

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