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Overview of basic concepts in Statistics and Probability - SAMSI

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Hypothesis test<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>Overview</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>basic</strong> <strong>concepts</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>Statistics</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Probability</strong><br />

Avanti<br />

Athreya<br />

Prelim<strong>in</strong>aries<br />

Important<br />

distributions,<br />

scal<strong>in</strong>g laws,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the CLT<br />

Parametric<br />

estimation <strong>and</strong><br />

hypothesis<br />

test<strong>in</strong>g<br />

A statistical hypothesis is an assertion about the value <strong>of</strong> some<br />

unknown parameter, either a characteristic <strong>of</strong> a population or a<br />

characteristic <strong>of</strong> a probability distribution.<br />

The null hypothesis H 0 is the claim that is <strong>in</strong>itially assumed to<br />

be true (sometimes called the prior belief).<br />

The alternative hypothesis H a is a claim that is different from<br />

the null.<br />

Example: the average height <strong>of</strong> American women is µ = 65<br />

<strong>in</strong>ches; H 0 = 65, compared to an alternative hypothesis µ ≠ 65.<br />

Question: What does the sample data tell us about the likely<br />

truth <strong>of</strong> H 0 ?

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