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I Spotted a UFO! - the Scientia Review

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I <strong>Spotted</strong> a <strong>UFO</strong>!<br />

Anish Dhesikan<br />

Massachusetts Academy of Math and Science<br />

Occam’s razor is a philosophical principle that assists in explaining phenomena and<br />

determining <strong>the</strong> credulity of certain claims. In its most basic restatement, <strong>the</strong> concept conveys<br />

that <strong>the</strong> simplest solution is often <strong>the</strong> most accurate. The belief supports <strong>the</strong> idea that <strong>the</strong> option<br />

in which <strong>the</strong> fewest assumptions are made is typically correct. Though if <strong>the</strong>re is substantial<br />

evidence to support a more complex <strong>the</strong>ory, <strong>the</strong>n this explanation may be more accurate.<br />

None<strong>the</strong>less, Occam’s razor generally suggests analyzing <strong>the</strong> situation and explaining <strong>the</strong><br />

outcome with <strong>the</strong> simplest solution.<br />

Ufology, <strong>the</strong> study of unidentified flying objects (<strong>UFO</strong>s), is commonly categorized as a<br />

pseudoscience; it is notorious for its lack of unbiased evidence and failure to follow <strong>the</strong> scientific<br />

process. Reports of <strong>UFO</strong> sightings have been populating <strong>the</strong> media ever since World War II<br />

(Ufology). However, promulgators reject <strong>the</strong> notion that ufology is a pseudoscience in an attempt<br />

to bolster <strong>the</strong>ir claims. Many pseudoscientists recognize that <strong>the</strong> scientific analyses of chemicals<br />

in agitated soil, disturbances in <strong>the</strong> electromagnetic field, and returns from aircraft radars have<br />

been inconclusive; however, <strong>the</strong>y believe that crude witness reports are strong pieces of evidence<br />

to support <strong>the</strong> claim (Cook, 2006). Generally, pseudoscientists work in isolation and do not<br />

publish <strong>the</strong>ir explanations in peer-reviewed journals because <strong>the</strong>ir ideas are often too radical for<br />

<strong>the</strong> organizations to accept. The promulgators may also see <strong>the</strong>mselves as genii while<br />

discrediting <strong>the</strong> claims of even <strong>the</strong> most reputable scientists. Additionally, <strong>the</strong>y may use complex<br />

jargon to confuse <strong>the</strong> audience into believing that <strong>the</strong>ir claims are thoroughly researched<br />

(Shermer, 2010).<br />

Nick Pope, a supposed expert on <strong>UFO</strong>s and conspiracy <strong>the</strong>ories, meets all <strong>the</strong><br />

requirements necessary to be classified as a pseudoscientist. In one of his many self-published<br />

reports, he explains that <strong>the</strong>re have been several witness accounts of <strong>UFO</strong> encounters, including<br />

a sighting reported by pilots and employees at O'Hare International Airport in Chicago. The<br />

<strong>UFO</strong>, however, did not appear on any radar. Still, Pope deduces that <strong>the</strong> flying object must not<br />

have been a typical aircraft that was recognizable by radar systems (Pope). Pope’s absurd refusal<br />

of radar data and failure to publish peer-reviewed articles exemplify his classification as a<br />

pseudoscientist.<br />

For <strong>the</strong>se promulgators to arrive at <strong>the</strong> conclusion that <strong>UFO</strong>s are extraterrestrial<br />

encounters, <strong>the</strong>y must make several assumptions, many of which cannot be scientifically<br />

supported. First and foremost, <strong>the</strong>y accept that extraterrestrials exist and are intelligent enough to<br />

visit earth in advanced, flying machines. They also assume that such machines can enter and exit<br />

earth’s atmosphere without disintegrating. Pope in particular suggests that <strong>the</strong> <strong>UFO</strong>s cannot be<br />

detected by radar, but can be seen by human eyes. These complex assumptions result in a<br />

complicated solution that is most likely inaccurate when assessed using Occam’s razor.


Several simpler explanations can be given for <strong>the</strong> observed phenomenon. One very<br />

obvious <strong>the</strong>ory is that <strong>the</strong> entire idea of <strong>UFO</strong>s is a hoax, and that people all over <strong>the</strong> world<br />

dramatize <strong>the</strong> sight of flying objects in order to achieve fame. This explanation involves much<br />

fewer assumptions than does <strong>the</strong> promulgators’ ideas; hence, it is a simpler solution that is much<br />

more likely to be accurate. Ano<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong>ory to rationalize <strong>the</strong> claim is space rock colliding with<br />

Earth’s atmosphere to create a flash of light visible to humans but not detectable by radars. With<br />

this idea, <strong>the</strong> only assumptions are that a space rock collides with <strong>the</strong> atmosphere to produce<br />

light, and this light is mistaken for an extraterrestrial flying machine. Although <strong>the</strong>se<br />

assumptions are also quite dubious, <strong>the</strong>y are simpler than those of <strong>the</strong> pseudoscientific claim, and<br />

are <strong>the</strong>refore more likely to be accurate.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> light of Occam’s razor, ufology is, indeed, a pseudoscience in that it purports a<br />

claim that is far too complex, and it is not supported by substantial scientific evidence.<br />

Promulgators of this assertion are often hermetic, and <strong>the</strong>y satisfy <strong>the</strong> criteria to be categorized as<br />

pseudoscientists. O<strong>the</strong>r, simpler explanations for <strong>the</strong> reporting of alleged <strong>UFO</strong>s contain fewer<br />

and simpler assumptions than those made by supporters of <strong>the</strong> claim. Thus, <strong>the</strong> study of ufology<br />

supports a <strong>the</strong>ory that is not accurate when examined using Occam’s razor and does not fare as a<br />

legitimate science.<br />

Literature Cited<br />

Cook, Ryan J. (2006). Anthropology & <strong>UFO</strong>s. Retrieved December 10, 2012 from<br />

http://www.anthroufo.info/au.html<br />

Pope, Nick (n.d.). Unidentified Flying Threats. Retrieved December 10, 2012 from<br />

http://www.nickpope.net/<br />

Shermer, M. (2010). Hermits and Cranks: Lessons from Martin Gardner on Recognizing<br />

Pseudoscientists. Scientific American. Retrieved December 6, 2012, from<br />

http://www.scientificamerican.com<br />

Ufology. (n.d.). In Wikipedia. Retrieved December 10, 2012, from Wikipedia:<br />

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ufology

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